2006 International Symposium on Contemporary Labor Economics Labor Markets Mobilization and Economic Development in a Harmonious Society, with a Focus on Chinese Labor Markets 2006 当代劳动经济学国际研讨会 “构建劳动市场,促进经济发展和社会和谐——关注中国劳动市场” December 16 - 18, 2006 Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE) and Department of Economics, School of Economics Xiamen University, China Last updated December 12, 2006 (presenters are bolded.) December 16, 2006 Section 0 (8:15am-8:30am, Auditorium 301, Ke-Li Building): Opening Ceremony Section Co-Chairs: Yongmiao Hong (yh20@cornell.edu), Cornell University, USA, and Xiamen University, China Maozu Lu (M.Lu@soton.ac.uk), University of Southampton, UK and Xiamen University, China 8:15-8:30: Welcoming Speech, Luolin Wang, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China and Xiamen University, China Section 1 (8:30am-10:15am, Auditorium 301, Ke-Li Building, English) Keynote Session I: China's Labor Market: Overviews Section Chair: John Whalley (jwhalley@uwo.ca), University of Western Ontario, Canada, NBER, USA and CESifo, Germany [1] 8:30-9:05: "Making Labor Relations Work for China: Lessons from the Outside World" Richard Freeman (freeman@nber.org), Harvard University and NBER, USA [2] 9:05-9:40: "China's Three Transitions and Its Implications for Social Security and Labor Market" Athar Hussain (A.Hussain@lse.ac.uk), London School of Economics, UK [3] 9:40-10:15: "Some Potential Stumbling Blocks in China's Growth Path" Wing Thye Woo (wtwoo@ucdavis.edu), University of California, Davis, USA and Brookings Institute, USA 10:15-10:45: Coffee Break Section 2A (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) Applied Econometrics (I): Income Section Chair: Maozu Lu (M.Lu@soton.ac.uk), University of Southampton, UK and Xiamen University, China [1] 10:45-11:15: "One-Child Policy, Fertility and Growth" Hongbin Li (lhongbin@cuhk.edu.hk), Chinese University of Hong Kong, HKSAR, China Junsen Zhang, Chinese University of Hong Kong, HKSAR, China [2] 11:15-11:45: "Selection Bias, Comparative Advantage and Heterogeneous Returns to Education: Evidence from China" James J. Heckman, University of Chicago Xuesong Li (xsli@cass.org.cn), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China [3] 11:45-12:15: "A Spatial Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Labor Migration on the Disparity of Regional Economic Development in Mainland China" Zhengming Qian, Xiamen University Xiuhua Zhang, Xiamen University Yangping Yu, Xiamen University Pengfei Guo, Xiamen University Section 2B (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 201, Jia-Geng Building 2, English) Labor Markets of OECD Countries (I): Public Policy Section Chair: Xianguo Yao (cec_yaoxg@zju.edu.cn), Zhejiang University, China [1] 10:45-11:15: "Does the Impact of Welfare to Work Depend on the State of the Labor Market? The Case of the UK New Deal for Young People" Duncan McVicar, Queen's University Belfast, UK Jan Podivinsky (jmp@soton.ac.uk), University of Southampton, UK [2] 11:15-11:45: "Unemployment Insurance's Time-varying Impacts on Re-employment Wages" Kailing Shen (klshen@xmu.edu.cn), Xiamen University, China [3] 11:45-12:15: "The Erosion of Union Membership in Germany: Determinants, Densities, Decompositions" Bernd Fitzenberger, Goethe University Frankfurt, IFS, ZEW and IZA Bonn Karsten Kohn, Goethe University Frankfurt and IZA Bonn Qingwei Wang (wang@zew.de), Goethe University Frankfurt and ZEW (Centre for European Economic Research), Germany Section 2C (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 215, Jia-Geng Building 3, Chinese) China's Labor Market (I) Section Chair: Biying Wu (biyingwu@yahoo.com.cn), Xiamen University, China [1] 10:45-11:15: "Research on the Relation between the Phenomenon of Shortage of Rural Migrants and Industrial Structure Change:a Case Study in Guangdong" Xinmin Chen (xinmin66@sina.com), South China Normal University, China Yonggui Yang, South China Normal University, China [2] 11:15-11:45: "Employment (tentative)" Desheng Lai (email), Beijing Normal University, China [3] 11:45-12:15: "Employment (tentative)" Heqing Yang (YangHeQing8@hotmail.com), Capital University of Economics and Business, China 12:15pm-2:15pm: Lunch Section 3 (2:15pm-4:00pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) Keynote Session II: Econometrics Section Chair: Chung-Ming Kuan (ckuan@econ.sinica.edu.tw), Academia Sinica, Taiwan, China [1] 2:15-2:50: "Estimating Counterfactuals in Duration Models with Heterogeneity: Labor Market Program Evaluation" Jerry Hausman (jhausman@mit.edu), Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA [2] 2:50-3:25: "The Information Basis of Matching with Propensity Scores" Esfandiar Maasoumi (maasoumi@smu.edu), Southern Methodist University, USA Ozkan Eren, Southern Methodist University, USA [3] 3:25-4:00: "Career Progression and Formal versus On-the-Job Training" J. Adda, University College London and IFS, UK C. Dustmann, University College London and IFS, UK Costas Meghir (c.meghir@ucl.ac.uk), University College London, UK J. -M. Robin; University of Paris 1, France, University College London and IFS, UK 4:00-4:30: Coffee Break Section 4A (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) Applied Econometrics (II) Section Chair: Zongwu Cai (zcai@uncc.edu), University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA and Xiamen University, China [1] 4:30-5:00: "Generalized Residual-Based Diagnostic Testing for Duration Models with Censoring" Jing Liu, Cornell University, USA Yongmiao Hong (yh20@cornell.edu), Cornell University, USA and Xiamen University, China [2] 5:00-5:30: "Evaluating the Impacts of Washington State Repeated Job Search Services on the Earnings of Prime-age Female TANF Recipients" Cheng Hsiao (chsiao@usc.edu), University of Southern California, USA and Xiamen University, China Yan Shen, Peking University, China Boqing Wang, Department of Social and Health Services, USA Greg Weeks, Employment Security Department, USA [3] 5:30-6:00: "The Hausman Test for Correlated Effects in Panel Data Models under Misspecification" Raymond O'Brien (rjo@soton.ac.uk), University of Southampton, UK Eleonora Patacchini, University of Rome, La Sapienza Section 4B (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 215, Jia-Geng Building 3, Chinese) China's Labor Market and Public Policy: Current Issues (I) Section Chair: Yuqun Yao (yaoyq@sohu.com), Renmin University of China, China [1] 4:30-5:00: "TBA" Xiaoqiong Lai (xqlai@xmu.edu.cn), Xiamen University, China [2] 5:00-5:30:"An Empirical Study of China's Pension Policy's Impacts on the Labor Market" Zeying Wang (wzzzy@263.net), Ministry of Labor and Social Security, China [3] 5:30-6:00:""Impacts of Subjective Expectations on Career Planning" Junsheng Zhang (Zhjsh158@yahoo.com.cn), Capital University of Economics and Business, China Section 4C (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 201, Jia-Geng Building 2, Chinese) Rural Migrant Workers in China: Theory Section Chair: Daidai Lin (Lindaidai99@263.net), Beijing Jiaotong University, China [1] 4:30-5:00: "Modification and Apllication of Dual Economic Model: An Analysis and Explanation of the Demand and Supply of the Rural Surplus Labor" Yongjun Chen (chenyj1108@ruc.edu.cn), Renmin University of China, China [2] 5:00-5:30: "Trade Unions in China's Labor Market: Confrontational or Cooperative" Cheng Wang (wangcheng@cass.org.cn), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China [3] 5:30-6:00: "The Estimation of Human Capital in Chinese Cities" Pingfang Zhu (pfzhu@mail.shufe.edu.cn), Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, China Dafeng Xu, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, China 6:00pm-8:00pm: Dinner December 17, 2006 Section 5 (8:30am-10:15am, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) Keynote Session III: China's Labor Market and Public Policy: Current Issues (II) Section Chair: Cheng Wang (wangcheng@cass.org.cn), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China [1] 8:30-9:05: "Population and Labor Mobility: Some Conceptual Issues with reference to China" Yew-Kwang Ng (Kwang.Ng@BusEco.monash.edu.au), Monash University, Australia [2] 9:05-9:40: "Education and Other Treatments in China: What Pays? What Does Not Pay?" Junsen Zhang (jszhang@cuhk.edu.hk), Chinese University of Hong Kong, HKSAR, China [3] 9:40-10:15: "The Segmentation of China's Social Security Programs and Labor Mobility" Xuejin Zuo (xjzuo@sass.org.cn), Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, China 10:15-10:45: Coffee Break Section 6A (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 201, Jia-Geng Building 2, English) Labor Markets of OECD Countries (II) Section Chair: Xuesong Li (xsli@cass.org.cn), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China [1] 10:45-11:15: "The Economic Determinants of Ethnic Assimilation" Carmel Ullman Chiswick (cchis@uic.edu), University of Illinois at Chicago, USA [2] 11:15-11:45: "Using a P90/P10 Ratio to Measure Inequality Trends with the Public Use Current Population Survey: A View from Inside the Census Bureau Vault" Richard V. Burkhauser, Cornell University Shuaizhang Feng (shuaizhang.feng@gmail.com), Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, China [3] 11:45-12:15: "American Exceptionalism in New Light: A Comparison of Intergenerational Earnings Mobility in the Nordic Countries, the United Kingdom and the United States" Markus Jantti, Abo Akademi University Bernt Bratsberg, Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research Knut Roed, Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research Oddbjorn Raaum, Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research Robin Haylor, University of Warwick Eva Osterbacka, Abo Akademi University Anders Bjorkund, SOFI and IZA Bonn Tor Eriksson (tor@asb.dk), Aarhus Business School, Denmark Section 6B (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, Chinese) Special Session on China’s Statistical Methods Section Chair: Yongmiao Hong (yh20@cornell.edu), Cornell University, USA and Xiamen University, China [1] 10:45-11:15: "Chinese Statistical Methods and Data Collection" Xianchun Xu (xuxc@stats.gov.cn), National Bureau of Statistics, China [2] 11:15-11:45: "Industrial Statistical Methodology in China" Xiaohui Wang, National Bureau of Statistics, China Section 6C (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 215, Jia-Geng Building 3, Chinese) Rural Migrant Workers in China: Empirical Studies Section Chair: Fangyu Fei (email), Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China [1] 10:45-11:07: "The Migration in the Urbanization Process of China," Pei Li (ruchansy@yahoo.com.cn), Renmin University of China [2] 11:07-11:29: "An Empirical Study on the Employment of Rural Migrant Workers and Employment Promotion Situations: The Case of Beijing," Xuejing Lv (luxj@cueb.edu.cn), Capital University of Economics and Business, China [3] 11:29-11:51: "Wage Forming Mechanism in the Market Transition Process of China (1993-2004): Evidence from the Panel Data," Guangjie Ning (seanning@163.com), Nankai University, China [4] 11:51-12:15: "Discrimination against Peasant Labor Have Little Effect on the Reduction of Urban Poverty: A Discussion Based on a Heterogeneous Rural-Urban Migration Model" Haiyun Ye (hhyunyee@163.com), Shandong University, China 12:15pm-2:15pm: Lunch Section 7 (2:15pm-4:00pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) Keynote Session IV: Theoretical Labor Economics and Public Policy (I) Section Chair: Heqing Yang (YnagHeQing8@hotmail.com), Capital University of Economics and Business, China [1] 2:15-2:50: "Labor Retrenchment Laws and Regulations: A Theoretical Investigation with Special Reference to Developing Countries" Kaushik Basu (kb40@cornell.edu), Cornell University, USA [2] 2:50-3:25: "Designing Optimal Unemployment Insurance" Bertil Holmlund (Bertil.Holmlund@nek.uu.se), Uppsala University, Sweden [3] 3:25-4:00: "Beneficial Brain Drain" Oded Stark (ostark@uni-bonn.de), Universities of Klagenfurt, Bonn, and Vienna; Warsaw University; ESCE Economic and Social Research Center, Cologne and Eisenstadt 4:00-4:30: Coffee Break Section 8A (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 201, Jia-Geng Building 2, English) Asia Labor Market Section Chair: Jan Podivinsky (jmp@soton.ac.uk), University of Southampton, UK [1] 4:30-5:00: "Globalization and Wage Inequality in Taiwan Manufacturing: Evidence from Quantile Regression Analysis" Chien-Liang Chen (clchen@ncnu.edu.tw), Chi Nan University, Taiwan, China Chung-Ming Kuan, Academia Sinica, Taiwan, China [2] 5:00-5:30: "The ‘Twin-Engines’ of Growth in Singapore: Employment Linkages and Structrual Changes in Manufacturing and Services" Shandre M. Thangavelu (ecssmt@nus.edu.sg), Singapore National University, Singapore [3] 5:30-6:00: "Market Segmentation and Full-time and Part-time Wage Differentials in Taiwan" Mei Hsu (mhsu@mail.ntpu.edu.tw), National Taipei University, Taiwan, China Section 8B (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) China's Labor Market (II): Poverty and Inequality Section Chair: Carmel Ullman Chiswick (cchis@uic.edu), University of Illinois at Chicago, USA [1] 4:30-5:00: "Does Inequality matter in China? An Empirical Enquiry" Lina Song (lina.song@nottingham.ac.uk), University of Nottingham, UK [2] 5:00-5:30: "Education, Human Capital and Regional Economic Differentials: An Empirical Test Using China's Provincial Matched-Pair Data" Xianguo Yao (cec_yaoxg@zju.edu.cn), Zhejiang University, China [3] 5:30-6:00: "Migration and Urban Poverty and Inequality in China" Dewen Wang (wangdw@cass.org.cn), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China Albert Park, University of Michigan, USA Fang Cai, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China Section 8C (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 215, Jia-Geng Building 3, Chinese) China's Labor Market (III): Income Section Chair: Hao Chyi (hauchyi@gmail.com), Xiamen University, China [1] 4:30-5:00: "Rural Income Disparity and Human Capital Investment" Weidong Jin (jinweidong1117@sohu.com), Nanjing University, China [2] 5:00-5:30: "Skill-biased Technical change and Widening of Wage Structure" Zhong Wang (wangzhong19@126.com), South China Normal University, China [3] 5:30-6:00: "Wage, Subjective Utility and Rural Labor Migration" Xingxiang Zhang (jjzz@xmu.edu.cn), The School of Economics, Xiamen University, China 6:00pm-8:00pm: Dinner December 18, 2006 Section 9 (8:30am-10:15am, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) Keynote Session V: Applied Labor Economics (I) Section Chair: Xin Meng (xin.meng@anu.edu.au), Australian National University, Australia [1] 8:30-9:05: "Computer Usage, Destination Language Proficiency and Earnings of Natives and Immigrants" Barry R. Chiswick (brchis@uic.edu), University of Illinois at Chicago, USA and IZA-Institute for the Study of Labor, Germany Paul W. Miller, University of Western Australia, Australia [2] 9:05-9:40: "Neglected Topics in the Analysis of Welfare Duration in the West" Robert Gregory (bob.gregory@anu.edu.au), Australian National University, Australia [3] 9:40-10:15: "Gender, Ethnic Identity and Work" Amelie Constant,IZA Bonn, DIW Berlin and Georgetown University Liliya Gataullina, IZA Bonn Klaus F. Zimmermann (Zimmermann@iza.org), Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), DIW Berlin, University of Bonn, Free University of Berlin and CEPR London 10:15-10:45: Coffee Break Section 10A (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) China's Labor Market and Public Policy: Current Issues (III) Section Chair: Shandre M. Thangavelu (ecssmt@nus.edu.sg), Singapore National University, Singapore [1] 10:45-11:15: "Fiscal Decentralization, Policy Holdup, and Rural Labor Mobility: An Analysis of Chinese Rural Governments' Incentives to Promote Undocumented Labor Mobility" Yiu Por Chen (ychen16@depaul.edu), DePaul University, USA [2] 11:15-11:45: "Higher Education Expansion in China: Origins and Impacts" Yingyi Ma (yma03@maxwell.syr.edu), Syracuse University, USA [3] 11:45-12:15: "The 1993 EITC Expansion and Low-Skilled Single Mothers' Welfare Use Decision" Hao Chyi (hauchyi@gmail.com), Xiamen University, China Section 10B (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 201, Jia-Geng Building 2, Chinese) China's Labor Market (IV): Employment Section Chair: Xiaoqiong Lai (xqlai@xmu.edu.cn), Xiamen University, China [1] 10:45-11:15: "An Empirical Study on the Distributing Characteristics and Determinants of Job Vacancies: The Case of Beijing" Kuang Tang (tangkuang@vip.sina.com), Renmin University of China [2] 11:15-11:45: " Anti-Poverty in Urban Areas and Promotion of a Harmonious Society " Biying Wu (biyingwu@yahoo.com.cn), Xiamen University, China [3] 11:45-12:15: "The Labor Market for University Graduates and Higher Education in China" Yuqun Yao (yaoyq@sohu.com), Renmin University of China, China Section 10C (10:45am-12:15pm, Room 215, Jia-Geng Building 3, Chinese) China's Public Health Policy Section Chair: Pingfang Zhu (pfzhu@mail.shufe.edu.cn), Shanghai University of Finance, China [1] 10:45-11:15: "Wealth, Education and Health Investment --- Evidence from Rural China" Bei Qin, University of Illinois at Chicago, USA Jin Feng (jfeng_july@hotmail.com), Fudan University, China [2] 11:15-11:45: "Innovations of Co-payment Health Care Mechanism Design in Xiamen Rural Area" Xiaowei Gong (tonygxw@hotmail.com), Xiamen Economic Research Institute, China [3] 11:45-12:15: "Mobile Population, Disease and Public Health Policy" Jun Wang (ausjun@hotmail.com), Nanjing Audit University, China 12:15pm-2:15pm: Lunch Section 11 (2:15pm-4:00pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) Keynote Session VI: Applied Labor Economics (II) Section Chair: Xuejin Zuo (xjzuo@sass.org.cn), Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, China [1] 2:15-2:50: "Where the Boys No Longer Are: Recent Trends in USA College Enrollment Patterns" Patricia M. Anderson (Patricia.M.Anderson@Dartmouth.EDU), Dartmouth College and NBER, USA [2] 2:50-3:25: "Demographic Change, Pension Reform, and Household Saving in Urban China " Francine D. Blau, Cornell University, NBER, IZA and CESifo Xin Meng (xin.meng@anu.edu.au), Australian National University, Australia [3] 3:25-4:00: "Does the Gradient Matter? Further Understanding the Intergenerational Transmission of Human Capital" George H. Jakubson (gj10@cornell.edu), Cornell University,USA André Portela Souza, Getulio Vargas Foundation, Brazil 4:00-4:30: Coffee Break Section 12A (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 201, Jia-Geng Building 2, English) Theoretical Labor Economics and Public Policy (II) Section Chair: Kailing Shen (klshen@xmu.edu.cn), Xiamen University, China [1] 4:30-5:00: "The Effect of Wage Differences on the Cyclical Behavior of the Two Genders in the Labor Market" Nissim Ben David (nissimB@yvc.ac.il), University of Haifa and Emek Yezreel Academic College, Israel [2] 5:00-5:30: "Employee Screening: Theory and Evidence" Fali Huang (flhuang@smu.edu.sg), Singapore Management University, Singapore Peter Cappelli, University of Pennsylvania, USA [3] 5:30-6:00: "Taxation and Unemployment Benefits with Imperfect Goods and Labor Markets" Antonio Sciala' (antonio.sciala@unipd.it), University of Padua, Italy Riccardo Tilli, University of Rome "La Sapienza", Italy Section 12B (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 220, Jia-Geng Building 3, English) China's Labor Market (V): Migration Section Chair: Hongbin Li (lhongbin@cuhk.edu.hk), Chinese University of Hong Kong, HKSAR, China [1] 4:30-5:00: "A Numerical Simulation Analysis of Labor Mobility Restrictions in China" John Whalley, University of Western Ontario, Canada, NBER, USA and CESifo, Germany Shunming Zhang (szhang@xmu.edu.cn), Xiamen University, China [2] 5:00-5:30: "International Migration and Development: The Case of Fujian Province" Zai Liang (zliang@albany.edu), University at Albany, SUNY, USA Hideki Morooka,University at Albany, SUNY, USA [3] 5:30-6:00: "Leaving the Land, but not Their Hometown? --- Public Trust and Labor Migration in Rural China" Ming Lu, Fudan University, China Shuang Zhang (042015197@fudan.edu.cn), Fudan University, China Section 12C (4:30pm-6:00pm, Room 215, Jia-Geng Building 3, Chinese) China's Labor Market and Public Policy: Current Issues (IV) Section Chair: Zongwu Cai (zcai@uncc.edu), University of North Carolina at Charlotte, USA and Xiamen University, China [1] 4:30-4:52: "From Green Economy to Green Labor Market" Yuqun Yao (yaoyq@sohu.com), Renmin University of China, China Fuli Guo, Helongjiang University, China [2] 4:52-5:15: "Studies of the Minimum Wage in China" Daidai Lin (Lindaidai99@263.net), Beijing Jiaotong University, China Yuan Lin, Beijing Normal University, China Lunqu Yuan, Beijing Normal University, China [3] 5:15-5:38: "Demographic Dividend and Labor Market Policy of China" Daisheng Tang, Renmin University of China [4] 5:38-6:00: "An Analysis of the Evolution of China's Pension Policy" Zhiyong Yang (zyxxmu@yahoo.com.cn), Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China 6:00pm-8:00pm: Dinner December 19, 2006 8:00am-1:00pm, 8:00am: 12:00am: 1:00pm, Sight-seeing to Gu-Lang Island Bus departure at the front gate of Yi-Fu Building Lunch Bus return to Xiamen University