FACTORS AFFECTING ADOPTION OF INTERNET BANKING. A CASE STUDY OF DIAMOND TRUST BANK INDIVIDUAL CUSTOMERS OF KAMPALA DISTRICT BRANCHES. BY SEKATAWA ISSAH 2008/HD06/12281U A DISSERTATION SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULLFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF A DEGREE OF MASTERS OF ARTS IN ECONOMICS OF MAKERERE UNIVERSITY NOVEMBER 2011 i DECLARATION I hereby declare that this piece of work is my original work and has not been submitted for a degree in any other university or institution. ……………………………………… Date: …………………………… Issah Sekatawa This dissertation has been submitted for examination with our approval as supervisors. ……………………………………… Date: ………………………….. Dr. James Muwanga ……………………………………... Date: …………………………… Dr. Gertrude Sebunya Muwanga DEDICATION ii I dedicate this piece of work to my mother, Hajat Mariam Nansubuga and to my wife, Joweria Nakidde. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS I am indebted to my supervisors Dr. James Muwanga and Dr. Gertrude Sebunya Muwanga for their support, guidelines, comments, and encouragement through out this research. I also appreciate all the assistance given to me by all the lecturers at the Faculty of Economics and Management, who laid the theoretical foundation during my studies in all economics courses. Special thanks to Dr. Umar Kakumba for the guidance and encouragement through the process of writing this research report. I am also grateful for the support and assistance extended to me by the management and staff of Diamond Trust Bank. Specifically, I thank the CEO, Mr. Varghese Thambi for granting me four months leave to pursue my studies in Nairobi and another two months leave to collect the necessary data for this study. The support of my work colleagues, Denis Ssembajjo, Freda Namutebi and Sam Matekha, is highly recognized. Appreciation also goes to my classmate, Sandra Basemera; her belief that it was possible to complete the course kept me going. I thank all my friends who cheered me on from the beginning especially Ambrose Ahisiibwe and Pauline Nteboheng. Last but not least, I acknowledge the support given to me by my family; my mother, my sisters Hafswa, Mariam and Nampebwa, and my brothers Muhammad, Hajji Sula, Elias and Ali. Special thanks go to my wife, Joweria for her patience, tolerance, support and encouragement throughout my entire course. Any errors in this piece of work are entirely my responsibility. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS Declaration -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I Dedication -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- II Acknowledgments --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- IV Table of Contents ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- V List of Tables ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ VIII List of Abbreviations ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ X Abstract---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- XI CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION ----------------------------------------------------------- 1 1.1 Background of the Study ------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 1.2 Statement of the Problem ------------------------------------------------------------------- 3 1.3 Objectives of the Study --------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 1.4 Research Hypotheses ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4 1.5 Significance of the Study ------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 1.6 Scope of the Study --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.7 Organization of the Report ----------------------------------------------------------------- 5 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW ------------------------------------------------- 7 2.1 The Concept of Internet Banking ---------------------------------------------------------- 7 2.1.1 Defining Internet Banking --------------------------------------------------------------- 7 2.1.2 Types of Internet Banking --------------------------------------------------------------- 8 2.1.3 Benefits of Internet Banking to Banks and Customers ------------------------------ 8 v 2.1.4 History of Internet Banking ----------------------------------------------------------- 11 2.1.5 Overview of the Global Status of Internet Banking ------------------------------- 12 2.1.6 Status of Internet Banking in Uganda ----------------------------------------------- 13 2.2 Theoretical Aspects of Internet Banking ----------------------------------------------- 15 2.2.1 Theory of Consumer Behavior-------------------------------------------------------- 15 2.2.2 Consumer Perceptions and Attitudes ------------------------------------------------ 17 2.2.3 Diffusion of Innovations --------------------------------------------------------------- 19 2.3 Empirical Evidence on Factors Affecting Adoption of Internet Banking --------- 20 2.3.1 The Influence of Demographic Factors---------------------------------------------- 21 2.3.2 The Influence of Perceptions and Attitudes----------------------------------------- 24 CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY ---------------------------------------------------- 31 3.1 Research Design --------------------------------------------------------------------------- 31 3.2 Target Population -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 32 3.3 Sample Size and Sampling Procedure -------------------------------------------------- 32 3.4 Data Collection Methods and Procedures ---------------------------------------------- 33 3.5 Validity and Reliability of the Instruments -------------------------------------------- 33 3.6 Data Analysis Techniques ---------------------------------------------------------------- 34 3.6.1 Frequencies and Percentages ---------------------------------------------------------- 35 3.6.2 Pearson’s Chi-square ------------------------------------------------------------------- 35 3.6.3 Independent t-test ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 35 3.6.4 Logistic Regression--------------------------------------------------------------------- 36 vi 3.7 Ethical Considerations -------------------------------------------------------------------- 39 CHAPTER FOUR: PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF FINDINGS ----------- 40 4.1 Response Rate ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 40 4.2 Differences between Adopters and Non-adopters of IB with Respect to their Demographic Factors and Perceptions towards IB ----------------------------------- 40 4.2.1 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their demographic factors -------------------------------------------------------------------- 41 4.2.2 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their perceptions towards IB----------------------------------------------------------------- 48 4.3 Factors Influencing the Probability of Adopting Internet Banking ----------------- 61 CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 65 5.1 Summary of the Study -------------------------------------------------------------------- 65 5.2 Conclusions from the Study -------------------------------------------------------------- 66 5.3 Recommendations from the Study ------------------------------------------------------ 67 5.4 Areas for Future Research ---------------------------------------------------------------- 70 REFERENCES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 71 APPENDICES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 80 Appendix I: Questionnaire ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 80 Appendix II: Table for appropriate sample size for a given population -------------------- 83 vii LIST OF TABLES Table No. Page No. 3.1 Results of reliability analysis ………………………………………………… 34 4.1 Response rate about adoption of Internet Banking ……………………..……. 40 4.2 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to gender ……………………..………………………………………. 42 4.3 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to age …………..………………………..…………………………… 42 4.4 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to education ………………..………………………………………… 44 4.5 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to occupation ………………………………………………………… 45 4.6 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to income …………………………………………………………….. 46 4.7 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to marital status ……………………………………………………… 47 4.8 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that IB saves time ……………………………………... 48 4.9 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that IB improves communication with the bank ……… 50 4.10 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that IB is very complex ……………………………….. 52 viii 4.11 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that IB process is simple ………………………………… 54 4.12 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that IB is safe and secure ………………………………... 55 4.13 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that customers are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet …………………………………………........................... 57 4.14 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that IB is very expensive ……………………………….. 59 4.15 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of Internet Banking with respect to perception that Internet installation is very expensive …………….... 60 4.16 A logistic regression of factors affecting adoption of Interne Banking ………... 62 ix LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ATM Automated Teller Machine AVP Automated Voice Response DTB Diamond Trust Bank GNS Global Network Standard IB Internet Banking ICT Information and Communication Technologies IFS Interactive Financial Service PC Personal Computer WAP Wireless Application Protocol x ABSTRACT The major objective of this study was to identify the factors affecting adoption of Internet Banking (IB) among DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches. The specific objectives were: to find out the difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to demographic factors such as age, income, education, marital status, occupation status, and gender; and with respect to their perceptions towards IB such as relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost of IB; and to determine the factors influencing the probability of adopting IB. Using a cross-sectional survey approach, primary data was collected from a random sample of 274 Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District branches using self-administered questionnaires. The data was analyzed using frequencies, percentages, chi-square tests, independent t-tests, and logistic regression analysis techniques. Based on the results of the chi-square test, the conclusion is that there was a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to four demographic factors including age, income, education, and occupation; while there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the demographic factors of marital status and gender. Furthermore, based on the results of the independent t-test, the conclusion is that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to their perceptions towards IB such relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost. Also, based on the logistic regression xi results, the conclusion is that the factors of age, income, education, relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB, with income having the biggest relative influence. The study recommends promoting IB among customers of the relatively young age although not at the expense of the relatively older age since some of them were found to be using IB, investing more resources in promoting IB among the relatively high income customers, promoting IB among the relatively more educated customers, increasing awareness about IB through sensitizing customers about the benefits of IB, installing simple and easy-to-use IB systems, installing modern and powerful security features to protect sensitive customer information, and minimizing costs associated with IB through introducing price bands. xii xiii CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the Study Internet banking (IB) is the act of conducting financial intermediation on the Internet (VanHoose, 2003). It represents an electronic market place where customers can conduct their financial transactions virtually (Srivastava, 2007). It is different from Electronic banking (e-banking) with the latter being a higher level activity encompassing not only IB, but also Telephone banking, Automated Teller Machines (ATM), Wireless Application Protocol (WAP)-banking, and other electronic payment systems not operated through the Internet. In developed countries, the popularity of IB as delivery channel for banking services has grown, replacing the branch-based model of banking and the manual service functions provided by employees (Cheng, Lam and Yeung, 2006). IB enables the users to perform various activities including: writing checks, paying bills, transferring funds, printing statements, and inquiring about account balances, from any location, provided there is Internet access (Hoppe, Newman and Mugera, 2001; Frust, Lang and Nolle, 2000). The benefits of IB to banks and customers are many. To the banks, IB lowers operating costs since it requires less staff and fewer physical branches; it promotes customer loyalty, and builds bank reputation among others (Chau and Lai, 2003; Tan and Teo, 2000). To the customers, IB saves time on physically visiting a branch; it is convenient 1 since it enables one to transact without necessarily queuing or writing cheques; is accessible twenty-four hours a day, seven days a week; and it executes transactions almost immediately (Suganthi and Balachandran, 2001; Bradley and Stuart, 2002). Because of its well documented benefits, banks are beginning to leverage the Internet as a means of providing financial services. This is crucial for long-term survival of banks in the world of electronic commerce (Burnham 1996), given that its market is projected to grow sharply in the coming years (Duclaux 1996; Liao et al. 1999). Banks, particularly in developed countries already invested heavily in developing IB and promoting its adoption. In these countries, using IB is a norm rather than an exception; as such, rates of adoption of the service are relatively high (Arunachalam and Sivasubramanian, 2007). In most developing countries, IB is in its infancy stage. However, banks are beginning to take advantage of the benefits it offers; hence, its availability is growing day-by-day. In the context of Uganda, IB started in the year 2001, where CitiBank used it to mainly serve its corporate and high-end individual customers (CitiDirect Release, 2001). Over the years, other commercial banks have developed the service and are promoting its use among their customers. However, its low adoption among customers is a concern. A recent report by The Uganda Banker (2008) echoes this concern when it asserts that bank customers in Uganda generally still prefer traditional branch-based retail banking in spite of the availability of IB. The report further states that this challenge must be addressed if IB in Uganda is to develop and customers reap its potential benefits. 2 Diamond Trust Bank (DTB) is among the banks promoting IB for use among its customers in Uganda. The bank launched IB in January 2007, which is currently available to customers of Kampala District branches. The customers can use this service to access latest balance, financial statements, view account details, customize, print, download statements, and obtain a recent history statement on all their accounts (www.diamondtrustbank.co.ug). In spite of the bank’s efforts, the level of adoption of IB among its customers is very low. Only about 400 of its estimated 28,000 individual customers of Kampala District branches are actively using IB, representing a low ratio of approximately 1.4 percent (Centralized Information Department of DTB). The bank managers need to understand the factors affecting adoption of IB in order to design effective measures for enhancing its adoption. 1.2 Statement of the Problem Although DTB is promoting IB for use among its customers of Kampala District branches, the adoption of the service remains low, suggesting the service is largely unnoticed and underutilized in spite of its availability. Only about 400 of its estimated 28,000 individual customers of Kampala District branches are actively using IB, representing a low ratio of approximately 1.4 percent (Centralized Information Department of DTB). Hence, there is need to identify the factors affecting adoption of Internet Banking among Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District branches. 3 1.3 Objective of the Study The major objective of this study was to examine the factors affecting adoption of Internet Banking among Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District branches. The specific objectives of the study were: i. to find out the difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their demographic factors such as gender, age, education, occupation, marital status and income; and with respect to their perceptions towards IB such as relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost of IB, and ii. to determine the factors influencing the probability of adopting IB. 1.4 Research Hypotheses The study was based on the following hypotheses: i. there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to demographic factors such as gender, age, education, occupation and income; and with respect to their perceptions and/or attitudes towards IB, such as, relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost of IB, ii. there is a positive relationship between education, income, relative advantage and the probability of adopting IB, and iii. there is a negative relationship between age, complexity, perceived risk, perceived cost and the probability of adopting IB. 1.5 Significance of the Study This study is significant in two ways. First, although IB is available in Uganda, customer adoption of the service is still low, and yet to date, there is lack of sufficient research on 4 factors affecting adoption of IB in the country. Investigating these factors may enable banks to increase their market share by creating solutions and strategies that attract consumers to use this type of banking. Therefore there is a need for a study of this kind. Second, the study shall contribute to the extremely scanty literature on IB in Uganda, especially since most of the empirical studies on the subject highlight studies largely conducted in developed countries, while few studies have been conducted on this issue in developing countries, and hardly any has been conducted in Uganda. 1.6 Scope of the Study Geographically, the study was confined to Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District Branches. Kampala District was chosen because the potential users are customers of these branches. Theoretically, although there are various categories of factors mentioned in literature affecting adoption of IB, this study was confined to the widely documented demographic factors and customer perceptions towards IB. This study considered the time period from the year 2007 to 2009. 1.7 Organization of the Study This paper is organized into five chapters. Chapter one is the introduction, which includes: background of the study, statement of the problem, objectives of the study, research hypotheses, significance of the study, and the scope of the study. Chapter two is the literature review. Chapter three is the methodology, which specifies the methods and procedures used to conduct the study. Chapter four is the presentation and interpretation 5 of findings, while chapter five presents the summary of the study, the conclusions, the recommendations, and areas for further research. 6 CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW This chapter reviews literature related to Internet Banking. It covers different sections including: concept, theoretical aspects, and empirical evidence on factors affecting adoption of Internet Banking. 2.1 The Concept of Internet Banking This section gives an explanation of the concept of Internet Banking. It comprises various sub-sections including: definition, types, benefits to banks and customers, history, overview of global and local status of IB. 2.1.1 Defining Internet Banking Different authors have attempted to define IB differently. However, this study uses VanHoose’s (2003) definition: IB is the act of conducting financial intermediation on the Internet. With the exception of cash withdrawals, internet banking gives customers access to almost any type of banking transaction at the click of a mouse (De Young, 2001). The use of the internet as a new alternative channel for the distribution of financial services is important for achieving a competitive advantage (Flavián, Torres and Guinalíu, 2004). All banks using the internet as an additional delivery channel and those using only the Internet as a delivery channel can equally compete for customers around the world. This is why the popularity of IB as a delivery channel for financial services is increasing in this era (Karjaluoto et al., 2002). 7 2.1.2 Types of Internet Banking According to Molla (2002), there are different forms of Internet Banking based on: a bank’s proprietary software, personal computers using dial-up software, on-line services, and the World Wide Web. Internet banking based on a bank’s proprietary software uses the bank as an “electronic gateway” to customer accounts. In this case, customers install this software on their home computers to enable them to transfer funds and pay bills electronically. Internet Banking based on personal computers using dial-up software makes use of home finance software to link customers to banks for online banking. Internet Banking based on on-line services involves banks setting up retail branches on subscriber-based online services, as is the case with America Online. Internet Banking based on the World Wide Web bypasses subscription based services and allows banks to interact directly with their customers through the World Wide Web. In Uganda’s case, mixtures of the third and fourth types of IB-based features are the commonly used types by customers. 2.1.3 Benefits of Internet Banking to Banks and Customers 2.1.3.1 Benefits to banks IB offers many benefits to banks. The main benefits to banks are cost savings, reaching new segments of the population, efficiency, enhancement of the bank’s reputation and better customer service and satisfaction (Brogdon, 1999). The more those clients convert to IB, the greater the monetary saving will be. According to Robinson (2000), the cost of an electronic transaction is dramatically lower than the cost of a face-to-face branch transaction. In a study conducted by Booz-Allen and 8 Hamilton (1997), it was found that the establishment of specialized IB requires only US$1 – 2 million, which is lower than branch-based banking set up. The traditional bank’s running costs account for 50% - 60% of its revenues, while the bank’s running costs of IB is established at 15% - 20% of its revenues. Robinson (2000) adds that IB strengthens the relationship between the service provider (e.g. bank) and the customer because it brings banking services directly to a customer’s home, office or mobile phone. This creates customer loyalty. The author further asserts that online services are a must for banks that have to compete with a growing number of services from other financial institutions, investment concerns and insurance companies. This is in light of the fact that banking is no longer tied to time and place. As a result global competition is expected to broaden. Sheshunoff (2000) says that the single most important driving force behind the implementation of full-service internet banking by banks is the need to create powerful barriers to customers exiting. The author argues that once a customer moves to full– service internet banking, the likelihood of that customer moving to another financial institution is significantly diminished. The main reasons for this behaviour can be found in the consumer behaviour theory, which indicates that switching always requires much time and effort from the individual consumer. The author concluded that the competitive advantage of internet banking for banks is very significant. 9 Burns (2000) argues that electronic banking customers are more valuable to banks than traditional customers. Through electronic banking, banks can achieve better cross- channel productivity and performance. The move towards internet banking increases the need for a holistic approach to channel and process management, especially when integrating new delivery channels into existing frameworks (as many traditional banks are currently doing). Burns (2000) indicates that the Internet will not replace other delivery channels, but will offer increased flexibility and the opportunity for improved service. Internet banking customers are said to be more loyal to their bank than non–internet banking customers (Mols, 1998). Mols concluded a survey in Denmark and presented some interesting insights about internet banking users. His results suggest that internet banking customers: are more satisfied with their bank; have higher switching barriers; provide more positive word-of-mouth opinions about their bank; have higher repurchase intentions; have lower price sensitivity; have a lower propensity to exit and a higher propensity to complain. 2.1.3.2 Benefits to customers Bank customers can also benefit from Internet banking in a number of ways. With the help of the Internet, banking is no longer bound to time or location. Consumers all over the world have relatively easy access to their accounts 24 hours a day, seven days a week. 10 Second, IB avails customers with a full range of services including some services not offered at branches. The greatest benefit of Internet banking is that it is cheap to customers or even free. However, in one of the past studies, price seemed a significant barrier to adoption or use of Internet banking. Third, Internet banking also has the advantage that customers avoid traveling to and from a bank branch. In this way, Internet banking saves time and money, provides convenience and accessibility, and has a positive impact on customer satisfaction (Karjauloto, 2003). Turban et al. (2000) indicated that Internet banking is extremely beneficial to customers because of the savings in costs, time and space it offers, its quick response to complaints, and its delivery of improved services, all of which benefits make for easier banking. In summary, Internet banking offers many benefits to banks and their customers. The major benefits accruing to banks are in terms of cost savings, reaching new segments of the population, efficiency and enhancement of the bank’s reputation. Customers on the hand benefit mainly through improved customer service and satisfaction. 2.1.4 History of Internet Banking Since 1981, the banking sector has witnessed a number of innovations, beginning with the introduction of the Automated Teller Machines (ATM). Early in the 1990s, the Automated Voice Response (AVR) was introduced in the financial industry. This facility gave financial institutions the opportunity and ability to launch electronic banking services to their customers. As technology kept changing the way financial services were 11 produced and delivered, banks were able to offer services to customers who owned personal computers (Sohail and Shanmughan, 2003). NetBank in the United States of America was the first online bank which was formed in 1996 under the name of Atlanta Internet Bank (Gonzalez et al., 2008). Other online financial services such as Junipercom, e-Trade.com joined the electronic banking industry in 2001, and well established banks such as CitiBank and Wells Fargo followed suit (Gefen and Straub, 2000). Over the years, Internet banking has experienced growth in many countries—developed and developing--and has transformed traditional practices in banking dramatically. 2.1.5 Overview of the Global Status of Internet Banking According to Stegman (1999) cited by Ongkasuwan (2002), IB in the United States has tremendously developed, reduced costs in the banking industry and improved service quality for their existing and potential new customers in the country. The demand for online banking via the Internet increased from 4.8 million customers in 1997 to about 7.8 million customers in 1998 (Ongkasuwan, 2002), and was estimated at 20.2 million in the year 2007. Most of the forecasts for online banking predicted that this growth rate would continue beyond the year 2007, with more than 34 million customers using online banking services via the Internet during the year 2001. According to Birth and Young (1997) cited by Ongkasuwan (2002), UK IB services encountered an increasing demand for cross-border payment transactions involving small amounts. Many UK banks continue to develop and launch new banking services on the 12 Internet in order to satisfy and meet their Internet-based customer requirements in terms of time, ease of use, security and privacy. By June 2005, the U.K. and eight other western European countries, namely, France, Spain, Portugal, Germany, Switzerland, Holland, Luxembourg and Scandinavia had become leading nations in providing internet banking services in Europe. According to Tang (2004), China decided to take advantage of the financial restructuring process and Internet revolution in Asia. China’s Central Bank initiated and encouraged the development of IB services since 31 May, 2000. This new Internet banking system provides 24 hours access to financial transactions, personal financial consulting and utility fee payment. According to Ongkasuwan (2002), in Asia and the Pacific, many banks, lending organizations, credit companies such as VISA, and computer vendors such as IBM have formed alliances in order to develop IB service standards for their customers. Banks in Singapore, Australia, Indonesia, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Thailand formed an organization called Interactive Financial Services (IFS). Through IBM’s Global Network Standard (GNS), members are able to provide and exchange their IB services to their alliance customers. This will eventually allow seamless, interactive banking and other ebusiness services across these banks around the world. 2.1.6 Status of Internet Banking in Uganda The banking industry in Uganda is undergoing rapid growth following various financial sector reforms by Bank of Uganda on behalf of the government, and a positive economic 13 environment. Banks in Uganda are competing through many commercials and a range of products and services, for customers. Products and services such as business accounts, mortgage loans, childrens’ accounts, VISA and ATM cards among others, which used to be offered by a few banks, are now offered by most of the banks. Many products and services are now a matter of competitive necessity rather than a competitive advantage. With many banks offering similar products and services, the focus of competition is now moving towards speed, customization of products and opening up of more branches to add value to the core banking products and services (BOU, 2007). The competitive landscape in Uganda’s banking sector has become highly dynamic with relatively newer banks wrestling banking awards from traditional banks in the recent banking awards (BOU, 2008). Digital technology is becoming an important tool in designing bank strategy, with Wide Area Networks (WAN) being incorporated by almost all banks to create business value (BOU, 2008). Door-to-door sale of bank products has become a norm. Yet, according to The Uganda Banker (2008) the banking customer in Uganda is far from being satisfied. The Internet is now emerging as a new market place in Uganda a number of banks already hitting the airwaves in many commercial and business interviews, promising optimal customer value in their new Internet delivery channel. Uganda, notwithstanding, is one of the African countries with the lowest Internet patronage, with only 1.8% of the 14 country’s population accessing the Internet (Internet World Stats, 2009). The full impact of the Internet has not been felt in Uganda, especially in e-commerce and banking. The level of e-readiness of the Uganda community is low, yet, research on particularly IB, is scanty. Understanding IB issues, particularly its adoption was the major purpose of this study. 2.2 Theoretical Aspects of Internet Banking This section presents an overview of the theoretical aspects related to adoption of IB. Specifically; the theoretical aspects are related to consumer behavior, consumer perceptions and attitudes, and diffusion of innovations. These are briefly explained in the following sub-sections. 2.2.1 Theory of Consumer Behavior The basis for understanding consumer behavior is learning about how consumers will accept or reject product offerings, as well as the factors that shape these decisions. For this reason, this section starts with a theory of consumer behavior, which provides a foundation on which the rest of the study stands. The purpose of this literature review is to understand the theory behind the problem, which is to investigate the factors influencing the adoption of IB. Lamb, et al. (2000) define consumer behavior as the acts of decision-making units (families as well as individuals) directly involved in obtaining and using goods and services that satisfy their needs, and this also includes the decision-making process that precedes and determines these acts. These acts refer to activities like traveling to and 15 from the stores, evaluation of both goods and services available in the market and the actual purchasing of goods. When referring to consumers, Rice (1997) explains that consumers are people who use services and products, and pay for them. Consumer behavior is about learning about consumers and their buying behavior. Schiffman and Kanuk (2000) explain that a “consumer” is used to describe two kinds of consumers, i.e. personal and business or organizational consumers. Personal consumers are consumers who buy goods and services for their own use, and business consumers are those buying products, equipment and services in order to run a business. Block and Roering (1979) define consumer behavior as the acts of individuals directly involved in obtaining and using economic goods and services. This includes the decision making processes that consumers go through when buying goods. With a better understanding of consumer behavior, banks will be able to identify customer profiles. Beckett, et al. (2000) suggests that the type of financial product being purchased influences consumer purchasing behavior. Secondly, the emphasis on trust and having a relationship is also highly pertinent to the strategies of banks and other financial providers. Thirdly the ability to retain customers and increase customer profitability is very important (Karjaluoto, et al., 2002). Individual differences in consumer behavior have been theorized and found to be associated with the acceptance of new information technology, such as internet banking (Nelson, 1990). 16 According to Wang (2002), the emergence of IB has created highly competitive market conditions, which have had a critical impact upon consumer behavior. Internet banking providers must therefore attempt to better understand the factors affecting consumer acceptance of internet banking. If they succeed, banks will be able to influence and even determine consumer behavior, which will become a major issue in creating competitive advantage in the future. 2.2.2 Consumer Perceptions and Attitudes According to Lamb, et al. (2000), perception is the process whereby an individual selects, organizes and integrates stimuli into a meaningful and overall picture. Perception involves all the senses (seeing, feeling, tasting, smelling and hearing), and these sensory stimuli play a role in causing certain sensations which influence consumers in deciding whether to purchase or not. According to Lussier (2000), perception has defense mechanisms that are used to protect consumers against undesirable stimuli from the environment. According to Reekie and Brits (1997) different consumers will perceive a product offering differently, depending on their needs. Consumer perception towards a product and service can play a role to influence their buying behavior. Consumers’ acceptance of technological innovations such as IB may be influenced not only by their socioeconomic and demographic characteristics, but also by their perceptions of specific technologies and by the characteristics of different products and services (Davis, 1989). 17 Attitude is a positive or negative feeling or mental state of readiness, learned and organized through experience that exerts specific influences on a person’s response to people, objects and situations (Gibson, et al., 2000). Consumer attitude refers to the feeling of liking or disliking that consumers have towards products, stores, brands and other marketing stimuli. The attitude of consumers is important to marketers because they show consumers’ intentions and behaviors towards the marketing variables of product, price, place and promotions (Foxall and Goldsmith, 1994). Attitudes are learned and those which result in purchase behavior are formed as a result of direct experience with the product, information acquired from others, and exposure to mass media (Hawkins, et al., 1989). According to Guo (1999), attitudes are often viewed as determinants of meanings, because they provide a context for the interpretation of new information, and help individuals to evaluate each other’s opinions and organize and select facts. The attitude theory suggests that the more a person has a favorable attitude towards a given product/service, the more likely that person is to buy or use that product/service. The overall attitude towards an object is expected to relate to behaviours towards the object (Ajzen and Fishbein, 1980). The measure and understanding of attitudes allow and help marketers in the development of products that consumers want and promote them effectively and in evaluating their efforts at promoting the products (Foxall and Goldsmith, 1994). 18 According to Lussier (2000), attitude is an overall perception about an object. Attitudes both affect and are affected by behavior. Hence attitude refers to the overall evaluation of an object. Attitudes are personal feelings that influence a person’s tendency to act in a particular way. In this study, attitude describes a person’s perception towards IB. Attitude motivates consumers towards a particular behavior. According to Mink (2001), of the ten countries studied, 3% of consumers had no interest in IB; customer service is what really matters and they receive that at a traditional bank. An innovation presents potential adopters with a new means of solving problems and exploiting opportunities. According to Rogers (1983) and Ching and Ellis (2004), an individual first forms an attitude towards the innovation leading to a decision to adopt or reject the innovation. If the innovation is perceived to be better than the existing system (a measure of is relative advantage), is consistent with the needs of the potential adopter (a measure of its compatibility), and is easy to understand and use (a measure of its complexity), it is more likely that a favorable attitude towards the innovation will be formed. Therefore, if a person has a positive attitude toward IB, he or she is more likely to become a user of internet banking (Du, 2002). Thus, this study sought to provide greater insights into how attitudes towards IB in general affect adoption of IB among DTB individual customers of Kampala District branches. 2.2.3 Diffusion of Innovations Diffusion of innovation theory attempts to identify patterns and rates of adoption of innovation. This is especially significant in consumer markets in terms of attempting to forecast demand and market growth (Valente, 1993). According to Kotler (2000), an 19 innovation refers to any goods, service, or idea that is perceived by someone as new. The idea may have a long history, but it is an innovation to the person who sees it as new. Rogers (1995) defines an innovation as any idea, practice, or object that is perceived as being new by an individual or other unit of adoption. Almost all of the new ideas are technological innovations, and innovation and technology are often used as synonyms. A technology is a design for instrumental action that reduces the uncertainty in the causeeffect relationships involved in achieving a desired outcome. According to Kotler (2000), adoption is the decision of an individual to become a regular user of a product. IB is potentially the most radical innovation, especially in the context of banks dominated by the branch as the means to provide service to customers. Only a few studies have investigated diffusion of innovation within the retail banking sector (Bradley and Stewart, 2003). Senior bank management have an interest in studies which have investigated the adoption of IB as the results can shed light on how to better market their IB services and thus accelerate the rate of adoption. If the service can more quickly reach a critical mass of customers, then the respective bank’s investment in IB could be recouped more quickly (Gerrard and Cunningham, 2003). Thus, this study sought to gain an understanding of the diffusion of IB among DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches. 2.3 Empirical Evidence on Factors Affecting Adoption of Internet Banking This study concentrated on two main categories of factors which affect the adoption of IB. These are: consumer demographic characteristics, which demonstrate how age, 20 education level, income and occupation affect adoption of IB; and consumer perception and attitude, which is analyzed under the sub-headings of relative advantage, complexity, perceived cost and perceived risk. With a greater understanding of how these factors affect consumer adoption of new products, DTB and generally other banks in Uganda will be able to create new internet banking solutions which are more acceptable to potential consumers. 2.3.1 The Influence of Demographic Factors Literature identifies a number of demographic factors that influence adoption of IB including: age, gender, income, and occupation. Within the Information Systems area, a number of studies have found evidence that explains the significant, direct and moderating affect of age on the behavioral intention, adoption and usage behaviors (Harris et al., 1996; Morris and Venkatesh, 2000; Venkatesh et al., 2003). A study by Venkatesh et al. (2003) suggests that the age group in the United States of America which mostly adopts computers is 15-17 years, which is then followed by the age group of 2635 years. Similarly, Lee and Choudrie, (2002), found in South Korea that the group that increased the adoption of broadband via the PC was also the younger age group. In turn, the younger generation’s usage of broadband in South Korea exerted a substantial influence on parents’ decisions for subscribing to broadband, since parents considered broadband as imperative for educational and entertainment purposes. Carveth and Kretchmer (2002), found that in many West European countries, the older demographic groups are less likely to use the internet compared to the younger groups. According to their findings, in the UK, 75 percent of those aged 16-24 had internet access 21 compared to just 15 percent in the 65-74 age range, 6 percent over the age of 75 years, and 4 percent in the 25-63 age range. A study by Anderson et al. (2002) also suggests that the demography of dial-up users is different to that of broadband users. Therefore, significant age differences are expected in terms of the broadband adopters and nonadopters. The younger and middle aged consumers are expected to be more apathetic to adoption, whilst the older age consumers is expected to be more relevant to the nonadopters. With respect to gender, a number of studies have investigated the role of gender in the adoption and usage of ICTs (Harris et al., 1996; Gefen and Straub, 1997; Morris and Venkatesh, 2000; Venkatesh and Morris, 2000; Venkatesh et al., 2000; Leonard and Cronan, 2005, Venkatesh et al., 2003; Choudrie and Lee, 2004, Haines and Leonard, 2007). The findings of the previous studies revealed that gender has an important role when considering technology adoption and usage in both the organizational and household contexts. The study by Morris and Venkatesh (2000) illustrated that male users used a computer more than females, and suggested the male gender to be one of the most important variables when examining PC adoption in the household. Choudrie and Lee (2004) also found that differences in gender were not important in determining adoption of broadband. A study by Carveth and Kretchmer (2002), however, shows results similar to those by Choudrie and Lee (2004) for internet users in the USA, suggesting that in the USA, there are approximately equal numbers of men and women using the internet. 22 Past research on the influence of education on technology (PC) adoption suggests a positive correlation between the level of education, technology ownership and usage (Morris and Venkatesh, 2000). Morris and Venkatesh found that people with higher educational qualifications used computers more than less educated people. Education is widely reported to be one of the most important drivers of broadband adoption in South Korea (Choudrie and Lee, 2004; Choudrie and Papazafeiropoulou, 2006). Choudrie and Dwivedi (2005) and Anderson et al., (2002) suggest that household consumers with secondary or tertiary education are more likely to have internet access. The above evidence from theory and empirical research suggests that education can be considered as a factor in adoption of Internet banking, and a basis for establishing differences between adopters and non-adopters. This is because Internet banking is considered to be useful for educational purposes and performing banking related tasks. Therefore, it is expected that consumers with higher educational attainment or working towards higher educational attainment, i.e. degrees or postgraduate students, are more likely to adopt Internet banking. With respect to income, the adaptive structuration theory argues that Information Technology has the potential to increase the resources of both those who had resources prior to its adoption and those who possessed few resources prior to its adoption (Mason and Hacker, 2003). The findings of a longitudinal study using the USA census data found a positive correlation between income and computer ownership (Venkatesh et al., 2000). Further, this study suggested that a considerable gap persists between the lower and higher income groups. 23 A study by Choudrie and Dwivedi (2005) also confirmed that income and occupation drive the general pattern of IB ownership and usage. Similarly, Carveth and Kretchmer (2002) suggested that in the USA, the higher the household income, the more likely the members of the household will own a computer and use the internet. A similar pattern was suggested for Western European countries and the UK. This study suggested that only 23 percent of lower income groups in comparison to 68 percent of the higher income groups in the UK used the internet (Carveth and Kretchmer, 2002). A recent study focusing upon the determinants of the global digital divide also confirmed the importance of per capita income in explaining the gap in computer and internet use (Chinn and Fairlie, 2004). These theoretical arguments and empirical evidence support the inclusion of both income and occupation as factors that affect adoption of Internet banking, and which can provide a basis for establishing the difference between Internet banking adopters and non-adopters. 2.3.2 The Influence of Perceptions and Attitudes According to Rogers (1983), there are three characteristics of innovations: relative advantage, compatibility, and complexity. He asserts that adopters have invariably been found to have different perceptions about these characteristics in comparison with nonadopters. Rogers further argues that if the innovation is perceived to be better than the existing system, is compatible with the needs of the potential adopter, and is easy to understand and use, then it is more likely that this innovation will generate a positive attitude on the side of the adopter leading tom its adoption. Thong (1999) found that the perceived relative advantage and complexity of the innovation played a key role in the 24 adoption of internet banking. Therefore, this section reviews empirical evidence on how these characteristics of innovation influence the adoption of internet banking. 2.3.2.1 Relative advantage Relative advantage describes the degree to which an innovation is perceived as being better than its precursor (Rogers, 1983). He points out that there are a number of subdimensions of relative advantage such as the degree of economic profitability; decrease in discomfort; time saving; and effort. Gerrard and Cunningham (2003) identify a perceived relative advantage as being a significant factor driving the adoption of IB. This construct is similar to the perceived usefulness in the Technology Acceptance Model, defined as the degree to which a person believes that a particular information technology would enhance his or her job performance. It has been revealed to be a factor towards the adoption of internet banking (Leaderer, et al., 2000). Agarwal and Prasad (1998) found that relative usefulness of an innovation is positively related to its rate of adoption. Therefore it is possible to suggest that the way that people perceive the usefulness of IB could affect its rate of adoption. In another survey, a large proportion of consumers said that twenty-four hour availability was the most important factor in their use of computer banking (Lockett and Littler, 1997). A study of 220 consumers found that shoppers appreciated the ability to visit virtual stores at any hour (www.studioarchetype.com). 25 Consumers may be motivated to use some electronic banking technologies because of the time saving. Time saving equates to a customer being able to bank without physically visiting a branch. In one survey of computer banking users, 79% indicated that convenience was very important in their decision to use computer banking and 71% said that saving time was very important (Fox, 2002). Further still, a survey conducted in Finland (Karjaluoto, et al., 2002) shows that IB users do not hunger for traditional banking. Usually, visiting bank branches is considered time-consuming due to long queues, and yet, IB users are not eager to queue at branches. It is therefore possible to suggest that the advantages that IB offers over and above regular banking methods could influence its rate of adoption. 2.3.2.2 Complexity Complexity measures the degree to which an innovation is perceived to be easy to understand and use. Adoption will be less likely if the innovation is perceived as being complex or difficult to use (Rogers, 1983). Complexity can be considered as the exact opposite of ease of use in the Technology Acceptance model, which has been found to directly impact the adoption of the Internet (Leaderer, et al., 1999). Consumers will reject an innovation if it is very complex and not user friendly. In this context, Cooper and Zmud (1997) report that ease of use of innovative products or services as one of the three important characteristics for adoption from the customer's perspective. Research by Davis (1989) has found that perceived complexity is associated with the adoption of electronic technologies. Research conducted in Estonia (Kerem, 2001) states that the most important factors in starting to use internet banking are first and foremost 26 better access to the services (convenience), better prices and a high-level of privacy. Better service (i.e. preferring self-service over office-service) was also considered to be above average in terms of importance. Therefore the adoption of internet banking is likely to be increased when customers consider using internet banking processes to be easy. An individual is far less likely to adopt a new technology if this requires a high level of technical skills. Conversely the adoption of internet banking is far more likely to occur if the internet banking processes are simplified and are user friendly. 2.3.2.3 Perceived risk Perceived risk reflects the extent to which consumers are uncertain about the consequences of buying, using or disposing of an offering. Risk or uncertainty regarding the most appropriate purchase decision or the consequences of the decision is a significant variable influencing the total amount of information gathered by consumers (Loudon and Bitta, 1993). According to Loudon and Bitta (1993) certain situations influence the consumer’s perception of uncertainty or consequences and, thus, the perception of risk. These are: uncertainty regarding buying goals; uncertainty regarding which alternatives (such as product, brand, or model) will best match or satisfy the purchase goals; and the perceived possible undesirable consequences if the purchase is made (or not made) and the result fails to satisfy buying goals. If the consumer senses any of these situations, then he or she is said to perceive risk in the situation. 27 Research conducted in Turkey (Polatoglu and Ekin, 2001) states that risk includes financial, physical, or social risks associated with trying an innovation. It is known that security risks are one of the major barriers to the adoption of online banking. With the introduction of internet banking services by a few large, well-known, and trusted banks in Turkey, customers perceive the security risk to have decreased considerably. According to Liu and Arneet (1999) the need for secure transactions is important not only for internet banking but that of any e-commerce related to website. Consequently the lower the perception of risk in using internet banking the more likely an individual would be prepared to use it. Hartman, et al. (2000) point out that security is a major concern wherever online transactions take place. They suggest that Internet-based service providers must implement access control, authentication procedures, encryption, firewalls, audit trails and virus protection to secure their online services. Another survey conducted by Cranor and Laurie (1999) found that 81% of Internet users are concerned about threats to their privacy while online. An empirical study found that consumers are often reluctant to share personal information for fear that their financial life will become an open book to the Internet universe (Bestavros, 2000). Lain (2000) conducted an Internet survey and found that South Africans are just as concerned about security as US consumers were a year previously. Security has been widely recognized as one of the main obstacles to the adoption of internet banking. Many studies suggest that banks must first convince their customers that internet banking and transactions are secure before customers will show a willingness to use internet banking. Consequently 28 the adoption of internet banking is likely to increase when the risk of using internet banking is low. 2.3.2.4 Perceived cost According to Ching and Ellis (2004), adoption will be driven by the perceived costs and benefits inherent in the particular innovation. The cost of an innovation comprises many components: initial investment costs, operational costs, and utilization costs. Rothwell and Gardiner (1984) observe that there are two fundamental sets of factors affecting user needs, namely price factors and non-price factors. To this extent Gupta (1988) identifies price as a major factor in brand switching. If consumers are to use new technologies, the technologies must be reasonably priced relative to alternatives. Otherwise, the acceptance of the new technology may not be viable from the viewpoint of the consumer. According to the Comptroller’s Handbook (1999), cost is another factor that would stand in the way of consumer adoption of internet banking. In internet banking, two types of costs are involved. First the normal costs associated with Internet access fees and connection charges. Secondly, the bank fees and charges. Bradley and Stewart (2003) found high initial set up costs; cost reductions and the costs incurred during implementation are considered as the greatest inhibitors of the diffusion of internet banking. Another study indicates that consumers will not adopt a new financial product unless it reduces their costs and does not require them to change their behavior when using it (Bareczal and Ellen, 1997). From a customer retention perspective, Goosen, et al. (1999) point out that the introduction of internet banking, the existing lower switching 29 costs and the easy accessibility to the internet, imply that customers who are dissatisfied with the services or products offered by their banks are more likely to withdraw their loyalty if their requirements are not provided for. Clearly cost perception is a factor which continues to inhibit the adoption of internet banking in many areas. To overcome this barrier, banks should be at pains to prove to consumers that internet banking is a cost effective and beneficial form of banking and actively take measures to dispel any misperceptions that consumers may have about online banking costs. 2.4 Summary of the Literature Review In summary, this chapter has reviewed a number of issues related to Internet banking, such as: definition, types, benefits, advantages and disadvantages, history, theoretical aspects, and the empirical aspects related to IB. From the theoretical and empirical evidence reviewed, it emerges that a number of factors affect adoption of IB including: demographic factors such as age, marital status, education, and income; and attitudes and perceptions towards IB with respect to relative advantage, complexity, perceived cost and perceived risk. This study attempted to investigate whether these particular factors affect adoption of IB among DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches. 30 CHAPTER THREE METHODOLOGY This chapter presents the methods and procedures used to conduct this study. Specifically, the sections covered in this chapter include: research design, target population, sample size and sampling procedure, measurement of variables, data collection methods and procedures, data analysis techniques, and ethical considerations. 3.1 Research Design A research design specifies the purpose of the study, the approach of the study and the strategy used for the study (Saunders, Lewis & Thornhill, 2000). Given that there is hardly any empirical study on adoption of Internet banking in Uganda, this study sought to explore and identify the factors affecting adoption of IB in Uganda using Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District branches. This study adopted a cross-sectional survey design involving the use of questionnaires to collect data on a wide range of variables at a given point in time. A sample of DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches were selected to participate in the study and asked to provide relevant information concerning issues related to adoption of IB as specified in the questionnaire. This study also adopted a quantitative approach to analyze the relevant data. The quantitative research approach involved numerical representation and manipulation of the data for the purpose of describing and explaining the phenomenon of adoption of IB by DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches. 31 3.2 Target Population The target population of this study comprised all Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District branches including: Main Branch, Old Kampala Branch, Kikubo Branch, Wandegeya Branch, Kitintale Branch, Ntinda Branch, Industrial Area Branch, Ndeeba Branch, and Equatorial Hotel Branch. Kampala District was chosen for this study because of two reasons. First, Diamond Trust Bank has most of its branches located in Kampala District. Second, IB is currently promoted among Kampala District Branches, and as such, most of its potential users are attached to Kampala District Branches. According to the Centralized Department of Diamond Trust Bank, there are an estimated 28,000 individual customers attached to Kampala District branches including both users and non-users of Internet banking, and these constituted the target population of this study. 3.3 Sample Size and Sampling Procedure Given a population of 28,000 DTB individual customers of Kampala District branches, a sample of 378 customers was chosen for the study. This sample size was determined using Krejcie and Morgan (1970) table showing appropriate sample size for a given population. A copy of the table can be located in appendix II for review. The sample was selected using stratified random sampling method. Stratified random sampling involves a process of stratification, followed by random selection of subjects from each stratum. In this study, DTB individual customers of Kampala District branches were stratified into nine strata according to the nine Kampala District branches 32 outlined in section 3.4, and 42 customers were targeted to be randomly selected from each branch, giving a total sample size of 378 customers. 3.4 Data Collection Methods and Procedures Primary data was collected using a self-administered questionnaire which comprised of both close-ended and open-ended questions. The choice of the questionnaire was based on the facts that: it is a quick method to collect data, it is less time consuming, it is able to cover the entire sample within the proposed time frame, and it offers greater assurance of anonymity. The questionnaire consisted of three parts. Part I sought customer responses on Internet banking-related issues. Part II sought information perceptions and attitudes of respondents toward using Internet Banking services. All responses to items on perceptions/attitudes towards IB were measured on a Likert scale ranging from 1=strongly disagree to 5=strongly agree. Part III obtained demographic information such as age, marital status, education, income and occupation. Prior to the exercise of data collection, permission was sought and secured from the relevant Diamond Trust Bank authorities to conduct the study among its customers. In addition, two research assistants were employed and trained in data collection techniques to enable them effectively seek audience from respondents. 3.5 Validity and Reliability of the Instruments Validity and reliability are critical features of effective research. Validity refers to the extent to which questions in an instrument accurately measure the variables therein (Hair et al., 2003), while reliability refers to the degree to which a set of variables are consistent with what they are intended to measure (Amin, 2005). The validity of the 33 instrument was established through pilot-testing it using 20 customers of a different bank—Stanbic Bank (Uganda) Limited, Lugogo Branch--which also offers IB, while the reliability of the items in the instrument was established using Cronbach’s Alpha. The Cronbach’s Alpha was computed using the following formula: k k2 1 2 ………………………………………………………… (3.1) k 1 where 2 k is the sum of the variance of k parts (usually items) of the test and is the standard deviation of the test. A minimum Cronbach’s Alpha value of 0.6 was used to indicate reliability of the constructs. Table 3.1: Results of reliability analysis Variable Number of items Cronbach’s coefficient Adoption of IB 1 0.73 Relative advantage 2 0.68 Complexity 2 0.81 Perceived risk 2 0.89 Perceived cost 2 0.76 The results of reliability analysis reflected a Cronbach’s Alpha coefficient ranging between 0.68 and 0.89, implying that all the items used in the data collection instrument were reliable and could be used to collect the relevant information. 3.6 Data Analysis Techniques 34 A number of data analysis techniques were used in this study including: frequencies, percentages, Pearson’s chi-square, and logistic regression. These are briefly explained in the following sub-sections. 3.6.1 Frequencies and Percentages A frequency distribution shows the number of times a score or a response occurs. A percentage is defined as a proportion of a subgroup to the total group or sample and it ranges from 0% to 100%. These two concepts were useful in comparing groups that differed in size. 3.6.2 Pearson’s Chi-square Chi-square is a statistical technique which attempts to establish a relationship between two variables both of which are categorical in nature. The technique compares the proportion observed in each category with what would be expected under the assumption of independence between the two variables. If the observed frequency greatly departs from what is expected, then we reject the null hypothesis that the two variables are independent of each other. We would then conclude that one variable is related to the other. This is usually done by establishing the significance level of the test before hand. 3.6.3 Independent t-test An independent t-test was used to determine whether there was a significant difference between the means of two independent samples, adopters and non-adopters of IB. If the observed means greatly depart from what is expected, then we reject the null hypothesis that the two groups are not significantly different from each other. We would then 35 conclude that one group is significantly different from the other. This is usually done by establishing the significance level of the test before hand. 3.6.4 Logistic Regression The second specific objective of this study was to determine the factors influencing adoption of IB among DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches. A logistic regression model was specified and estimated and used to predict adoption of IB among DTB individual customers. Logistic regression is useful for situations where there is need to predict the presence or absence of a characteristic or outcome based on values of a set of predictor variables. Since the dependent variable, adoption of IB has two possible outcomes, that is, a customer can adopt IB or not, the logistic regression analysis technique was best suited for this study. The model exhibits a binomial distribution with a probability lying between 0 and 1. The probability that a customer adopts IB was expressed as: Pi 1 …………………………………………………………………. (4.1) 1 e Ai Where: Pi Probability that a customer adopts IB n A 0 j X j n 1 X j are independent variables in the model. Equation 4.1 represents the cumulative logistic distribution function. Ai ranges from negative infinity to positive infinity, Pi ranges between 0 and 1 and that Pi is n on-linearly 36 related Ai. If Pi, the probability of adopting IB, is given by equation 4.1, then (1 - Pi), the probability of not adopting IB, is 1 Pi 1 ………………………………………………………………(4.2) 1 e Ai Combining equations 4.1 and 4.2, we can write Pi 1 e Ai e Ai ………………………………………………………. (4.3) Ai 1 Pi 1 e Pi/(1-Pi) is simply the odds ratio in favor of adopting IB—the ratio of the probability of adopting IB to the probability of not adopting IB. Taking the natural log of equation 4.3, we obtain P Li In i 1 Pi Ai 1 2 X i ………………………………………….. (4.4) That is, L, the log of odds ratio, is not only linear in X, but also linear in parameters. L is called the logit, and hence the name logit model. The interpretation of the logit model is as follows: β2, the slope, measures the change in L for a unit change in Xi, that is, it tells how the log-odds in favor of adopting IB changes as Xi change by a unit. In this study, the estimated logit model was as follows: P In i 1 2 AGE 3 INC 4 EDU 5 PRK 6 RAD 7 COM 8 PCT 1 Pi 37 Where; AGE = age which is a continuous variable measured as the number of years INC = income which is a continuous variable measured as average monthly income of a customer EDU = education which is a dummy variable measured as 1 if the customer has university/tertiary education and 0 otherwise PRK = perceived risk which is a dummy variable measured as 1 if IB is perceived as risky and 0 otherwise RAD = relative advantage which is a dummy variable measured as 1 if IB is perceived as advantageous and 0 otherwise COM = complexity which is a dummy variable measured as 1 if IB is perceived as complex and 0 otherwise PCT = perceived cost which is a dummy variable measured as 1 if IB is perceived as costly and 0 otherwise ε = error term 38 In this model, the coefficients of age, perceived risk, complexity, and perceived cost are expected to be negative, while the coefficients of income, education, and relative advantage are expected to be positive. 3.7 Ethical Considerations The goal of ethics in research is to ensure that no one is harmed or suffers adverse consequences from research activities (Cooper and Schindler, 2001). The following were done to ensure that the respondents’ rights are protected: i. informed consent was sought and appropriate documentation was kept, ii. questionnaires were coded guarantee anonymity as one of the respondents was named at any time during the research or in the subsequent study, and iii. respondents were selected for their willingness to participate without compulsion, and no risks to the respondents could be identified at any stage during the research. 39 CHAPTER FOUR PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF FINDINGS This chapter presents the findings of the study, followed by their interpretations. The findings are presented in different sections including: response rate, differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their demographic factors and perceptions towards IB. 4.1 Response Rate A total of three hundred and seventy eight (378) questionnaires were distributed during the survey. However, 289 questionnaires were returned, of which 274 questionnaires were considered valid because they were fully filled. This represented a response rate of 72.4%. Of the 274 respondents, 20 percent were categorized as adopters of IB, while 80 percent were categorized as non-adopters of IB as indicated in table 4.1. Table 4.1: Response rate about adoption of IB among respondents Frequency Percent Adopters of IB 55 20 Non-adopters of IB 219 80 Total 274 100 4.2 Differences between Adopters and Non-adopters of IB with Respect to their Demographic Factors and Perceptions towards IB One of the specific objectives of this study was to find out the difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their demographic factors such as age, education, occupation and income; and with respect to their perceptions and/or attitudes 40 towards IB such as relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost of IB. The findings in this regard are presented in two subsections; differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their demographic factors; and the other with respect to their perceptions towards IB. 4.2.1 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their demographic factors A Chi-square test was used to test whether there were significant differences between adopters and non-adopters with respect to their demographic factors such as gender, age, education, income, and occupation. The results regarding this objective are presented in the following sub-sections. 4.2.1.1 Gender The null hypothesis was that there is no difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to gender, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to gender. Table 4.2 presents a summary of the findings regarding this variable. The table shows that the biggest percentage of the adopters (56 percent) and non-adopters (51 percent) were male. The chi-square test value of 40.265 had a probability of 0.146 which is greater than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to gender was not rejected, and it was concluded that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to gender. 41 Table 4.2: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to gender Gender Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent IB Non-adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Percent Male 143 52 31 56 112 51 Female 131 48 24 44 107 49 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 Chi-square = 40.265; pr = 0.146 4.2.1.2 Age The null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to age, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to age. Table 4.3 presents a summary of the findings regarding this variable. Table 4.3: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to age Age (years) Respondents IB Adopters IB Non-adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Percent Frequency Percent 21 – 29 73 27 35 64 38 17 30 – 39 128 46 11 20 117 54 40 – 49 43 16 8 15 35 16 50 and above 30 11 1 1 29 13 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 Chi-square = 74.908; pr = 0.000 42 Table 4.3 shows that a bigger percentage of the adopters (64 percent) were in the 21 - 29 age bracket while the biggest percentage of non-adopters (54 percent) were in the 30 – 39 age bracket. The chi-square test value of 74.908 had a probability of 0.000 which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to age was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to age. Generally, most adopters of IB among the sample of DTB individual customers of Kampala District branches were younger compared to non-adopters. Therefore, this finding is line with Morris and Vankatesh (2000), Vankatesh et al. (2003) and Lee and Chaudrie (2002), who found that IB adopters tended to be generally younger, that is, they were generally below 35 years. 4.2.1.3 Education The null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to education, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to education. Table 4.4 presents a summary of the findings regarding this variable. The table shows that a bigger percentage of the adopters (75 percent) compared to non-adopters (39 percent) had attained university/tertiary level education. The chi-square test value of 45.881 had a probability of 0.041 which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to education was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to education. 43 Table 4.4: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to education Education Respondents IB Adopters IB Non-adopters Frequency Percent 127 46 41 75 86 39 Secondary 81 30 11 20 70 32 Primary 54 20 1 2 53 25 Other 12 4 2 3 10 5 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 University Frequency Percent Frequency Percent /tertiary Chi-square = 45.881; pr = 0.041 Generally, most adopters of IB among the sample of DTB individual customers of Kampala District branches were more educated compared to non-adopters. This finding is in line with the earlier studies by Morris and Vankatesh (2000), Anderson et al. (2002), and Choudrie and Papazafeiropolou (2006), who found that adopters of IB were relatively more educated. 4.2.1.4 Occupation status The null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to occupation status, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to occupation status. Table 4.5 presents a summary of the findings regarding this variable. 44 Table 4.5: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to occupation status Occupation Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent Employed 161 59 48 87 113 51 Unemployed 82 30 4 7 78 36 Pensioner 31 11 3 6 28 13 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 Chi-square = 65.866; pr = 0.062 The table shows that a bigger percentage of the adopters (87 percent) and non-adopters (51 percent) were employed. The chi-square test value of 65.866 had a probability of 0.062 which is significant at the 10% level of significance. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to occupation status was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to occupation status. This finding is consistent with earlier findings by Choudrie and Dwivedi (2005) who found that in addition to age, occupation was also a significant driver the general pattern of IB ownership and usage. 4.2.1.5 Income The null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to income, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to income. Table 4.6 45 presents a summary of the findings regarding this variable. The table shows that 44 percent of the adopters were in the income bracket 1 – 1.5 million shillings while 36 percent of the non-adopters were in the income bracket 0.5 – 1 million shillings. Table 4.6: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to mean monthly income Monthly income Respondents Frequency IB Adopters IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent Frequency Percent range (million shs) > 1.5 M 45 16 11 20 34 16 1 – 1.5 M 57 21 24 44 33 15 0.5 – 1 M 93 34 15 27 78 36 < 0.5 M 79 29 5 9 74 33 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 Chi-square = 36.921; pr = 0.047 The chi-square test value of 36.921 had a probability of 0.047 which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to income was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to income. In general, most adopters of IB among the sample of DTB individual customers of Kampala District branches had higher incomes compared to nonadopters. This finding was consistent with earlier studies by Choudrie and Dwivedi (2005) and Carveth and Kretchmer (2002), who found that adopters of IB were generally the high income group. 46 4.2.1.6 Marital status The null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to marital status, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to marital status. Table 4.7 presents a summary of the findings regarding this variable. Table 4.7: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to marital status Marital status Respondents IB Adopters IB Non-adopters Frequency Percent Married 145 53 37 67 108 50 Single 106 39 12 23 94 43 Divorced 19 7 3 5 16 7 Widowed 4 1 3 5 1 0.4 274 100 55 100 219 100 Total Frequency Percent Frequency Percent Chi-square = 57.074; pr = 0.144 Table 4.7 shows that a bigger percentage of the adopters (67 percent) and non-adopters (50 percent) were married. The chi-square test value of 57.074 had a probability of 0.144 which is greater than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to marital status was not rejected, and it was concluded that there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to marital status. 47 4.2.2 Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to their perceptions towards IB An independent t-test was used to test whether there were significant differences between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters with respect to their perceptions towards IB such as relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk and perceived cost. Customer responses were rated on a likert scale with 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree and 5=strongly agree. A mean response score below 3 was used to imply customers’ disagreement with the particular statements about perceptions towards IB, while a mean response score above 3 was used to indicate customers’ agreement with the statements. The results are presented in the following sub-sections. 4.2.2.1 Relative advantage Respondents were asked to indicate their level of agreement with respect to two statements measuring relative advantage: “IB saves time” and “IB eases communication with the bank”. In terms of IB saving time, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB saves time, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB saves time. Table 4.8 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. The table shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (95 percent) and non-adopters (51 percent) agreed that IB saves time. 48 The mean response score of adopters was 3.94 while that of non-adopters was 2.52. Since the mean response score for adopters was greater than 3 and that of non-adopters was less than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters agreed that IB saves time while non-adopters disagreed that IB saves time. Table 4.8: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB saves time Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 2 1 0 0 2 1 Disagree 74 27 3 6 71 32 Neither 35 13 0 0 35 16 Agree 94 34 25 45 69 32 Strongly agree 69 25 27 49 42 19 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 8.302; pr = 0.000; scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree The independent t-test value of 8.302 had a probability of 0.000 which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB saves time was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB saves time. This finding is in line with earlier studies by Fox (2002) 49 and Karjaluoto et al. (2002), who found a positive association between adoption of IB and its beneficial features such as the ability to save time. In terms of IB easing communication with the bank, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB eases communication with the bank, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB eases communication with the bank. Table 4.9 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. Table 4.9: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB eases communication with the bank Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 5 2 1 2 4 2 Disagree 84 31 3 5 81 37 Neither 69 25 0 0 69 31 Agree 77 28 25 46 52 24 Strongly agree 39 14 26 47 13 6 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 9.827; pr = 0.001; scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree 50 Table 4.9 shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (94 percent) agreed that IB eases communication with the bank, while 39 percent of non-adopters disagreed and 30 percent agreed with the statement. The mean response score for adopters was 3.58 while that of non-adopters was 2.30. Since the mean response score for adopters was greater than 3 and that of non-adopters was less than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters agreed that IB eases communication with the bank while non-adopters disagreed that IB eases communication with the bank. The independent t-test value of 9.827 had a probability of 0.001, which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB eases communication with the bank was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB eases communication with the bank. This finding is consistent with earlier study by Leaderer et al. (2000), who found that adoption of IB was higher among individuals who believed that it improves communication with the bank. 4.2.2.2 Complexity Respondents were asked to indicate their level of agreement with two statements measuring perceived complexity of IB: “using IB is complex” and “using the IB process is simple”. In terms of the complexity of using IB, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect 51 to perception that using IB is complex, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that using IB is complex. Table 4.10 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. The table shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (75 percent) disagreed that using IB is complex; while 44 percent of non-adopters agreed and 14 percent disagreed with the statement. Table 4.10: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that using IB is complex Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 39 14 33 60 6 3 Disagree 33 12 8 15 25 11 Neither 100 36 9 16 91 42 Agree 92 34 3 5 90 41 Strongly agree 10 4 2 4 7 3 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 14.454; pr = 0.000: scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree The mean response score of adopters was 2.68 while that of non-adopters was 3.58. Since the mean response score for adopters was less than 3 and that of non-adopters was greater than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters disagreed that using IB is complex while non-adopters agreed that using IB is complex. The independent t-test value of 52 14.454 had a probability of 0.000, which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that using IB is complex was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that using IB is complex. This finding also collaborates with earlier study findings by Davis (1989), who found that complexity of an innovation determines its adoption by potential users. In terms of the simplicity of using the IB process, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that using the IB process is simple, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that using the IB process is simple. Table 4.11 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. The table shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (84 percent) agreed that using the IB process is simple while 47 percent of the non-adopter disagreed and only 5 percent of them agreed with the statement. The mean response score of adopters was 3.66 while that of non-adopters was 2.77. Since the mean response score for adopters was greater than 3 and that of nonadopters was less than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters agreed that using the IB process is simple while non-adopters disagreed that using the IB process is simple. 53 Table 4.11: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that using IB process is simple Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 17 6 0 0 17 7 Disagree 89 33 1 2 88 40 Neither 113 41 8 15 104 48 Agree 32 12 25 45 8 4 Strongly agree 23 8 21 38 2 1 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 16.356; pr = 0.000; scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree The independent t-test value of 16.356 had a probability of 0.000, which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that using the IB process is simple was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that using the IB process is simple. The finding is also consistent with an earlier finding by Korem (2001), who found that the adoption of IB is likely to be increased when customers consider using the IB process to be easy. 54 4.2.2.3 Perceived risk Respondents were asked to indicate their level of agreement with two statements measuring perceived risk of IB: “IB is safe and secure” and “I’m not afraid of disclosing my account details on the Internet”. In terms of the safety and security of IB, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB is safe and secure, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB is safe and secure. Table 4.12 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. Table 4.12: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB is safe and secure Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 18 7 0 0 18 8 Disagree 80 29 2 4 79 36 Neither 88 32 4 7 84 38 Agree 67 24 31 56 36 16 Strongly agree 21 8 18 33 3 2 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 14.975; pr = 0.000; scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree 55 The table shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (89 percent) agreed that IB is safe and secure while 44 percent of non-adopters disagreed and only 18 percent of them agreed with the statement. The mean response score for adopters was 3.48 while that of non-adopters was 2.45. Since the mean response score for adopters was greater than 3 and that of non-adopters was less than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters agreed that IB is safe and secure while non-adopters disagreed that IB is safe and secure. The independent t-test value of 14.975 had a probability of 0.000, which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB is safe and secure was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB is safe and secure. The finding is consistent with earlier findings by Hartman et al. (2000), who found that perceived security of IB services determines the likelihood of using such services. In terms of customers not being afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that they are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that they are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet. Table 4.13 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. 56 Table 4.13: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that they are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 48 18 2 4 46 21 Disagree 103 38 4 7 99 45 Neither 34 12 1 2 33 15 Agree 43 15 25 45 18 8 Strongly agree 46 17 23 42 23 11 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 4.216; pr = 0.000; scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree The table shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (87 percent) agreed that they are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet while the biggest percentage of non-adopters (66 percent) disagreed with the statement. The mean score response of adopters was 3.68 while that of non-adopters was 2.89. Since the mean response score for adopters was greater than 3 and that of non-adopters was less than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters agreed that they are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet IB while non-adopters disagreed that they are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet. The independent t-test value of 4.216 had a probability of 0.000, which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no 57 significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that they are not afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that they are no afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet. The finding is also consistent with earlier findings by Lain (2000) and Bestavros (2000), who found that potential customers of IB are often reluctant to share personal information for fear that their financial life will become an open book to the Internet universe. 4.2.2.4 Perceived cost Respondents were asked to indicate their level of agreement with two statements measuring perceived cost of IB: “IB is expensive” and “Internet installation is expensive”. In terms of IB being expensive, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB is expensive, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB is expensive. Table 4.14 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. 58 Table 4.14: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that IB is expensive Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 5 2 2 4 3 1 Disagree 35 12 32 58 3 1 Neither 20 8 1 2 19 9 Agree 145 53 16 29 129 59 Strongly agree 69 25 4 7 65 30 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 15.462; pr = 0.000; scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree The table shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (62 percent) disagreed with the statement that IB is expensive while the biggest percentage of non-adopters (89 percent) agreed with the statement. The mean response score of adopters was 2.89 while that of non-adopters was 3.92. Since the mean response score for adopters was less than 3 and that of non-adopters was greater than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters disagreed that IB is expensive while non-adopters agreed that IB is expensive. The independent ttest value of 15.462 had a probability of 0.000, which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB is expensive was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean 59 responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that IB is expensive. This finding is in line with earlier finding by Bradley and Stewart (2003), who found that high subsequent costs incurred during use of IB were considered one of the inhibitors of the diffusion of Internet Banking. In terms of installation of Internet being expensive, the null hypothesis was that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that Internet installation is very expensive, against the alternative that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that Internet installation is very expensive. Table 4.15 presents a summary of the findings regarding this statement. Table 4.15: Differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perception that Internet installation is very expensive Option Respondents IB Adopters Frequency Percent Frequency Strongly IB Non-adopters Percent Frequency Percent 6 2 5 9 1 1 Disagree 35 13 30 54 5 2 Neither 42 15 2 4 40 18 Agree 137 50 7 12 125 57 Strongly agree 54 20 11 21 48 22 Total 274 100 55 100 219 100 disagree Independent t-test = 11.765; pr = 0.000; scales: 1=strongly disagree, 2=disagree, 3=neutral, 4=agree, 5=strongly agree 60 Table 4.15 shows that the biggest percentage of adopters (63 percent) disagreed with the statement that Internet installation is very expensive while the biggest percentage of nonadopters (79 percent) agreed with the statement. The mean score of adopters was 2.76 while that of non-adopters was 3.87. Since the mean response score for adopters was less than 3 and that of non-adopters was greater than 3, it implies that, on average, adopters disagreed that Internet installation is expensive while non-adopters agreed that Internet installation is expensive. The independent t-test value of 11.765 had a probability of 0.000, which is less than 0.05. This means that the null hypothesis that there is no significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that Internet installation is very expensive was rejected, and it was concluded that there is a significant difference between the mean responses of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the perception that Internet installation is very expensive. This is in line with the findings Bradley and Stewart (2003), who found that high initial set up costs of Internet were considered the greatest inhibitors of the diffusion of Internet Banking. 4.3 Factors Influencing the Probability of Adopting Internet Banking The second specific objective of this study was to determine the factors influencing the probability of adopting IB among DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches. A logistic regression model was estimated and the results are summarized in table 4.16. Only variables that were found significant at the 5 percent level of significance in the earlier analysis involving chi-square test and independent t-test were included in the regression model, and these include: age, income, education, relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk and perceived cost. 61 Table 4.16: A logistic regression of factors affecting adoption of IB Variable Beta Std. Wald df Sig Error Exp Marginal ( ) Effect Age -0.209 0.083 6.355 1 0.012** 0.811 -0.096 Income 0.309 0.156 3.917 1 0.008*** 1.362 0.049 Education 0.170 0.164 1.075 1 0.014** 1.185 0.388 Relative 0.169 0.137 1.523 1 0.097* 1.184 0.336 Complexity -0.035 0.120 0.084 1 0.037** 0.966 -0.001 Perceived risk -0.229 0.103 4.952 1 0.026** 0.795 -0.097 Perceived cost -0.095 0.152 0.393 1 0.032** 0.909 -0.072 Constant 3.216 2.782 1.337 1 0.248 24.928 advantage Pearson’s chi-square = 21.58** Overall cases correctly predicted = 62.04% Correctly predicted adopters = 56% Correctly predicted non-adopters = 67% N = 274 *significant at 10% level, **significant at 5%, ***significant at 1% Table 4.16 shows that the estimated coefficient of age was negative and significant at the 5 percent level of significance, implying that the probability of adopting IB decreases with increase in age. The marginal effect result shows that, holding the other factors 62 constant, the probability of adopting Internet banking increases by 9.6 percent when the bank customer is of a lower age (below 40 years). The estimated coefficient of income was positive and significant at 1 percent level of significance, implying that the probability of adopting IB increases with increase in income. The marginal effect result shows that, holding the other factors constant, the probability of adopting Internet banking increases by 4.9 percent when the bank customer is of a high income (above 1 million shillings). The estimated coefficient of education was positive and significant at the 5 percent level of significance, implying that the probability of adopting IB increases with increase in education. The marginal effect result shows that, holding the other factors constant, the probability of adopting Internet banking increases by 38.8 percent when the bank customer has university/tertiary education. The estimated coefficient of relative advantage was positive and significant at the 10 percent level of significance, implying that the probability of adopting IB increases with increase in perceived relative advantage of IB. The marginal effect result shows that, holding the other factors constant, the probability of adopting Internet banking increases by 33.6 percent when the bank customer perceives Internet banking to be advantageous. The estimated coefficient of complexity was negative and significant at the 5 percent level of significance, implying that the probability of adopting IB decreases with increase 63 in perceived complexity of IB. The marginal effect result shows that the probability of adopting Internet banking decreases by 1 percent when the bank customer perceives Internet banking to be complex. The estimated coefficient of perceived risk was negative and significant at the 5 percent level of significance, implying that the probability of adopting IB decreases with increase in perceived risk of IB. The marginal effect result shows that the probability of adopting Internet banking decreases by 9.7 percent when the bank customer perceives Internet banking to be risky. The estimated coefficient of perceived cost was negative and significant at the 5 percent level of significance, implying that the probability of adopting IB decreases with increase in perceived cost of IB. The marginal effect result shows that the probability of adopting Internet banking decreases by 7.2 percent when the bank customer perceives Internet banking to be costly. The table further shows that 62% of the total variation in the sample was explained by the variables in the logistic model. Figures for correctly predicted adopters and non-adopters were 56% and 67% respectively. The Chi-square in table 4.16 shows that the parameters included in the model were significantly different from zero at the 5% level of significance. 64 CHAPTER FIVE SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1 Summary of the Study Adoption of Internet Banking among Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District Branches is low in spite of the bank’s efforts to avail the service. The major objective of this study was to identify the factors affecting adoption of IB among DTB individual customers of Kampala District Branches. The specific objectives included: finding out the difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to demographic factors such as age, income, education, marital status, occupation status, and gender; and with respect to their perceptions towards IB such as relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost of IB, and determining the factors influencing the probability of adopting IB. Using a cross-sectional survey method, primary data was collected using selfadministered questionnaires from a random sample of 274 DTB individual customers including both adopters and non-adopters of IB. Frequencies and percentages were used to analyze the proportion of adopters and non-adopters in terms of the demographic factors and the customer perceptions towards IB. The Chi-square test was used to analyze the differences between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the demographic factors, while the independent t-test was used to analyze the differences between the means of adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to perceptions toward IB. A logistic regression model was used to determine the factors influencing the probability of adopting IB. 65 The results of the chi-square test showed that age, education, and income were significant at 5 percent level of significance. Occupational status was significant at 10 percent level of significance while gender and marital status were not significant. The results of the independent t-test showed that relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk and perceived cost were significant at 5 percent level of significance. The results of the logit regression showed that income was significant at 1 percent level of significance. Age, education, perceived risk, and perceived cost were significant at 5 percent level of significance, while relative advantage was significant at 10 percent level of significance. 5.2 Conclusions from the Study Based on the results of the chi-square test, the conclusion is that there was a significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to four demographic factors including age, income, education, and occupation; while there is no significant difference between adopters and non-adopters of IB with respect to the demographic factors of marital status and gender. Furthermore, based on the results of the independent t-test, the conclusion is that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to their perceptions towards IB such relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost. Also, based on the logistic regression results, the conclusion is that the factors of age, income, education, relative advantage, complexity, perceived risk, and perceived cost significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB, with income having the biggest relative influence. 66 5.3 Recommendations from the Study Internet banking is important for the banking industry and its role is likely to continue growing in future. Efforts need to be taken by the bank managers to improve adoption of IB by its customers. Drawing from the conclusions of this study the following recommendations can be made. The study showed that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to age, with adopters generally being the young population. This factor also significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB. Therefore, the bank should put more emphasis on promoting IB among the young population by raising awareness about benefits of IB to them. However, this should not be done at the expense of other customers in relatively older age brackets because they too can adopt IB, especially if they are made aware of its existence and potential benefits. The study showed that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to income, with adopters generally being the relatively high income group. This factor also significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB. Therefore, the bank should invest more time, effort and money on promoting IB services among the relatively high income group who are more likely to use them. This is based on the fact that the whole process of using Internet banking requires sacrificing some amount of resources, which may not be affordable to low income people who are highly constrained. 67 The study showed that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to education, with adopters generally being relatively of higher education. This factor also significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB. The bank should therefore focus promoting IB on the relatively more educated customers. This is because the use of IB requires skills for using complementary IB gadgets such as computers and IB software. The study showed that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to the perceived relative advantage of IB. Adopters of IB generally had the perceptions that IB saves time and that it improves communication with their bank, while non-adopters generally did not believe that IB saves time and it improves communication with their bank. Therefore the bank should increase awareness about IB through sensitizing its customers, particularly the non-adopters, about the various benefits of IB so as to encourage its adoption. The study showed that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to the perceived complexity of IB. Adopters of IB generally had the perceptions that IB is not expensive and that using the IB process is simple, while non-adopters generally had the perceptions that IB is expensive and that using the IB process is not simple. This factor also significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB. The bank should therefore aim to make its IB services as simple and easy to use as possible so that customers do not perceive them as being complicated or difficult to use. Websites should be user-friendly with clear instructions for users. To further alleviate 68 perceptions of complexity associated with IB services, demonstrations via video presentations could be made at the bank’s branches to showcase the user-friendliness of such services. The study showed that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to the perceived risk of IB. Adopters of IB generally had the perceptions that IB is safe and secure and that they were not afraid of disclosing their account details over the Internet, while non-adopters generally had the perceptions that IB is not safe and secure and that they were afraid of disclosing their account details on the Internet. This factor also significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB. The bank should therefore install security features such as encryption devices, which safeguard sensitive customer information. The bank also needs to look into equipping their systems with more powerful and advanced computer technologies. The study showed that there was a significant difference between adopters and nonadopters of IB with respect to the perceived cost of IB. Adopters of IB generally had the perceptions that IB is not expensive and that Internet installation is not expensive, while non-adopters generally had the perceptions that IB is expensive and that installing it is expensive. This factor also significantly influenced the probability of adopting IB. Therefore, the bank should endeavor to minimize the costs associated with IB. It should not charge fees for similar banking services that are free-of-charge in the physical world (for example, at bank branches and/or ATMs). However, certain transactions, such as cheque cancellations and wire transfers, would still require administrative charges. Also, 69 the bank could consider introducing price bands where customers who process large volumes of transactions online, receive a discount on transaction charges. 5.4 Areas for Future Research The following are areas that could be considered for future research: i. The study on the adoption of IB services among DTB individual customers of Kampala District branches can be extended to corporate customers, and comparison can then be made between individual customers and corporate customers in terms of the factors influencing their adoption decisions, the criteria for selecting an internet banking service, and the types of products and services perceived to be useful. ii. 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Available at http://www.scagari.gov.cn/b10025.txt.%20Accessed%2009-03-11. Accessed on 2009-09-23. Initial Trust and Adoption of B2C e-Commerce: The Case of Internet Banking, Database for Advances in Information Systems, 35 (2), 50-64 78 79 APPENDICES Appendix I: Questionnaire Dear respondent, This questionnaire has been designed to study the factors influencing adoption of Internet banking among Diamond Trust Bank individual customers of Kampala District branches as a requirement for the partial fulfillment for the award of a Master’s of Arts degree in Economics of Makerere University. The information you provide will help us understand the reasons why adoption of Internet banking is low. I request you to respond to the questions frankly and honestly. Thank you very much for your time and cooperation. 1. INTERNET BANKING 1.1 Have you ever used or are you currently using Internet banking? Yes No 1.2 If yes, where did you learn about Internet banking? Television/Radio Bank leaflets/Advertisements Newspapers/Magazines Words-of-mouth Others, please specify__________________________________________ 1.3 How often do you use Internet banking? Daily Weekly Monthly Quarterly 80 1.4 If you have not used Internet banking, state the reasons why:___________________ _______________________________________________________________________ _______________________________________________________________________ 2. PERCEPTIONS TOWARDS INTERNET BANKING Please read each statement and put a tick in a box which best represents your level of agreement or disagreement with a particular statement. SDA DA N A SA Relative advantage Internet banking saves my time Internet banking improves my communication with the bank Complexity Using Internet banking is complex Using the Internet banking process is simple Perceived cost Internet banking services are expensive Internet installation is expensive Perceived risk Internet banking is safe and secure I am not afraid of disclosing my account details on the Internet 3. DEMOGRAPHIC FACTORS Please put a tick in a box that best represents your opinion on the following demographic factor 3.1 Your gender: Male Female 3.2 What is your age? _________________ 81 3.3 Your marital status: Married Single Divorced Widowed 3.4 Your employment status: Employed Unemployed Pensioner 3.5 Your education level: University/tertiary Secondary Primary Other, please specify_____________________________ 3.6 What is your average monthly income? ______________________ Thank you for your time and cooperation. 82 Appendix II: Table for appropriate sample size for a given population N S N S N 10 10 220 140 1200 15 14 230 144 1300 20 19 240 148 1400 25 24 250 152 1500 30 28 260 155 1600 35 32 270 159 1700 40 36 280 162 1800 45 40 290 165 1900 50 44 300 169 2000 55 48 320 175 2200 60 52 340 181 2400 65 56 360 186 2600 70 59 380 191 2800 75 63 400 196 3000 80 66 420 201 3500 85 70 440 205 4000 90 73 460 210 4500 95 76 480 214 5000 100 80 500 217 6000 110 86 550 226 7000 120 92 600 234 8000 130 97 650 242 9000 140 103 700 248 10000 150 108 750 254 15000 160 113 800 260 20000 170 118 850 265 30000 180 123 900 269 40000 190 127 950 274 50000 200 132 1000 278 75000 210 136 1100 285 1000000 Source: Krejcie and Morgan (1970); N = Population and S = Sample 83 S 291 297 302 306 310 313 317 320 322 327 331 335 338 341 346 351 354 357 361 364 367 368 370 375 377 379 380 381 382 384