Empire District Electric Company Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio Prepared by: Applied Energy Group 1377 Motor Parkway, Suite 401 · Islandia, NY 11749 Tel (631) 434-1414 · Fax (631) 434-1212 www.appliedenergygroup.com February 2012 Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Table of Contents 1. 2. 3. 4. Portfolio Overview ................................................................................................................................ 1 Cost Effectiveness ................................................................................................................................. 1 Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio ..................................................................................................... 4 Residential Programs ............................................................................................................................ 5 4.1 Residential High Efficiency Lighting Program ............................................................................... 6 4.2 ENERGY STAR® Appliance Program............................................................................................... 7 4.3 Refrigerator Recycling Program .................................................................................................. 10 4.4 High Efficiency Cooling Rebate Program..................................................................................... 11 4.5 Home Energy Comparison Reports ............................................................................................. 14 4.6 ENERGY STAR New Homes Program ........................................................................................... 15 4.7 Home Performance with ENERGY STAR...................................................................................... 17 4.8 Low Income Weatherization Program ........................................................................................ 19 4.9 Low Income New Homes Program.............................................................................................. 20 5. Commercial and Industrial Programs ................................................................................................. 22 5.1 C&I Energy Efficiency Rebate Program ....................................................................................... 22 5.1.1 Energy Audit ........................................................................................................................ 22 5.1.2 Prescriptive Rebate ............................................................................................................. 22 5.1.3 Custom Rebate .................................................................................................................... 23 5.2 Building Operator Certification ................................................................................................... 25 5.3 Interruptible Service Rider .......................................................................................................... 27 6. Portfolio Management and Implementation Strategies .................................................................... 28 6.1 Marketing and Customer Recruitment ....................................................................................... 28 6.2 Rebate Processing ....................................................................................................................... 29 6.3 Energy Audits .............................................................................................................................. 29 6.4 Customer/Contractor Feedback ................................................................................................. 29 6.5 Planning, Reporting and Program Tracking ................................................................................ 29 7. Evaluation, Measurement and Verification Activities ........................................................................ 29 7.1 Process Evaluation Approach ...................................................................................................... 29 7.2 Impact Evaluation Approach ....................................................................................................... 30 7.3 Cross-Cutting Evaluation Activities ............................................................................................. 30 7.3.1 Project Initiation Meetings ................................................................................................. 30 7.3.2 Evaluation Plans .................................................................................................................. 31 7.3.3 Program Design and Delivery Review ................................................................................. 31 7.3.4 Evaluation Management and Reporting ............................................................................. 31 7.4 Program Level Work Scope ......................................................................................................... 32 7.4.1 Process Evaluation .............................................................................................................. 32 7.4.2 Impact Evaluation ............................................................................................................... 34 ii | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 1. 2012-2013 Portfolio Overview The Missouri Energy Efficiency Investment Act of 2009 (“MEEIA”) encourages the state’s four investorowned electric companies to implement energy efficiency programs. In accordance with MEEIA, Applied Energy Group (“AEG”) examined Empire District Electric Company’s (“Empire”) existing Missouri energy efficiency portfolio and incorporated three additional demand-side programs. The new programs include: ENERGY STAR® Appliance Program; Home Energy Comparison Reports Program; and Refrigerator Recycling Program. The proposed MEEIA portfolio includes twelve energy efficiency programs.1 Each program targets multiple end uses and offers residential, commercial and industrial customers an opportunity to achieve significant energy savings through participation. PORTFOLIO SUMMARY BY PROGRAM YEAR Participation Program Year 1 76,202 Program Year 2 93,464 Program Year 3 103,562 Net kWh Savings 11,191,173 17,523,747 21,917,675 Net kW Savings 7,125 18,253 26,962 Total Budget $3,952,960 $4,558,587 $6,021,160 PROGRAM-SPECIFIC SAVINGS, PARTICIPATION AND BUDGET, 2010 PROGRAM YEAR Program Residential High Efficiency Lighting Residential High Efficiency A/C Rebate Energy Star New Homes Home Performance with Energy Star Low Income New Homes Low Income Weatherization C&I Custom Rebate C&I Prescriptive Rebate Building Operator Certificate Interruptible Service Rider General Administration & Evaluation TRC 5.06 2.36 1.53 1.02 2.64 16.27 8.52 5.61 n/a n/a Net kWh Savings 2,250,719 800,119 148,599 28,800 2,536 588,924 4,529,981 280,653 0 0 Total 8,630,330 1 Net kW Savings 649 761 128 25 7.0 10.3 995 166 0 3,100 Participation 47,540 545 57 24 2 287 30 15 0 3 5,842 48,503 Total Budget $145,432 $265,955 $86,687 $18,922 $1,322 $251,032 $228,310 $33,908 $1,029 $67,896 $62,123 $1,162,617 The C&I Custom and Prescriptive programs are bundled under the C&I Energy Efficiency Rebate Program. 1|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 PROGRAM -SPECIFIC SAVINGS, PARTICIPATION AND BUDGET BY PROGRAM YEAR Program Residential High Efficiency Lighting ENERGY STAR Appliances Refrigerator Recycling High Efficiency Cooling Rebate Home Energy Comparison Reports Energy Star New Homes Home Performance with Energy Star Low Income Weatherization Low Income New Homes C&I Custom Rebate C&I Prescriptive Rebate Building Operator Certificate Interruptible Service Rider Net kWh TRC Savings 4.97 2,637,034 1.25 84,657 4.53 379,776 1.92 1,281,785 1.61 1,800,000 1.01 918,261 1.42 511,840 1.34 718,200 0.66 92,340 1.84 1,251,411 1.63 1,190,310 6.84 325,560 36.20 0 Total 11,191,173 Program Year 1 Net kW Savings Participation 193 65,000 22 950 61 400 839 1,282 16 7,500 105 300 58 175 82 350 11 45 370 50 303 100 66 40 5,000 10 7,125 76,202 Net kWh Budget Savings $308,490 2,941,307 $35,969 168,566 $84,630 759,552 $442,075 1,883,747 $81,648 4,140,000 $1,360,425 765,217 $188,160 950,560 $511,560 974,700 $42,525 82,080 $472,500 2,502,822 $351,666 1,785,465 $32,361 569,730 $40,950 0 $3,952,960 17,523,747 Program Year 2 Net kW Savings Participation 215 72,500 40 1,875 121 800 1,218 1,849 33 15,000 87 250 109 325 111 475 9 40 740 100 455 150 115 70 15,000 30 18,253 93,464 Budget $344,085 $63,336 $166,320 $660,374 $187,790 $403,200 $349,440 $694,260 $37,800 $945,000 $527,499 $56,632 $122,850 $4,558,587 Net kWh Savings 3,245,580 262,756 1,139,328 2,613,403 4,320,000 612,174 1,462,400 1,231,200 82,080 3,754,233 2,380,620 813,900 0 21,917,675 Program Year 3 Net kW Savings Participation 237 80,000 56 2,950 182 1,200 1,686 2,577 33 15,000 70 200 167 500 141 600 9 40 1,110 150 607 200 164 100 22,500 45 26,962 103,562 Budget $379,680 $96,432 $249,480 $938,683 $195,955 $322,560 $537,600 $876,960 $37,800 $1,417,500 $703,332 $80,903 $184,275 $6,021,160 1|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 1.1 2012-2013 Planning Process The energy efficiency portfolio presented in this report is based upon Empire’s 2010 Demand-Side Resource Potential Study for 2011-20132 and a review of past demand-side program performance. Energy efficiency has been an increasing component of Empire’s operations in Missouri, with numerous programs serving the needs of different customer classes throughout the service territory. The two tenets that guide the design of Empire’s programs are: The service territory benefits from energy efficiency programs. As part of the overall strategy for meeting the needs of its customers, cost-effective energy-efficiency programs offer an alternative to the construction of infrastructure and purchase of fuel for generation. Empire customers benefit from energy efficiency programs. Energy efficiency can result in lower energy bills, immediately reducing program participant’s consumption of electricity. Furthermore, the programs are designed to be inclusive, giving all customers the opportunity to benefit from participating in Empire’s energy efficiency programs. The programs have been designed to maximize participation given best practices. In addition to ensuring participation while efficiently utilizing budget resources, incentives have been targeted to promote the adoption of qualifying Energy Efficiency Measures (EEMs) that maximize savings.3 Empire’s program portfolio uses a combination of education and customer incentives to advance energy efficiency in Missouri. Customer incentives are the primary mechanism for program delivery. Customers receive rebates to purchase energy efficient equipment and services through existing market actors, including equipment dealers and retailers. To achieve the portfolio’s long-term savings goals, it will be necessary for Empire to engage customers, retailers, and state and local agencies. Targeting retailers and leveraging Empire’s relationship with its stakeholders will increase program awareness among consumers and promote the market adoption of high efficiency equipment. Creative and sustained marketing is important to a successful and robust energy efficiency program portfolio. 2. Cost Effectiveness Empire uses the Total Resource Cost Test (TRC) as the primary method of assessing the costeffectiveness of energy efficiency measures and programs. The TRC test is a widely-accepted methodology that has been used across the United States for over twenty-five years. TRC measures the net costs and benefits of an energy efficiency program as a resource option based on the total costs of 2 The full details of the potential study can be found in Empire’s Electric Utility Resource Planning Compliance Filing, File No. EO2011-0066 on January 3, 2011. 3 EEMs are more efficient models of end-use appliances, such as central air conditioners or compact fluorescent lighting, or technological improvements that can make an end-use appliance more efficient in its use of energy (e.g. energy management systems). Nearly all the programs encourage the adoption of at least one EEM. EEMs that qualify for each program represent a substantial improvement over the standard efficiency model available on the market. 1|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 the program, including both the participant’s and the utility’s costs. This test represents the combination of the effects of a program on both participating and non-participating customers. There are four other tests that analyze cost-effectiveness from different perspectives, the Participant test, the Ratepayer Impact Measure (RIM) test – also known as the Non-Participant test, the Utility Cost test – also knows as the Program Administrator test and the Societal test. The Participant test quantifies the benefits and costs to the customer due to participation in a program. The benefits include reduction in the participant’s bill and incentives received. The costs are out-ofpocket expenses incurred as a result of participation plus any increases to utility bills. The RIM test measures what happens to a customer’s bill or rates due to changes in utility revenues and operating costs caused by a program. Benefits are the savings from avoided supply costs. Costs are the program costs incurred by the utility and/or other entities for creating or administering the program, incentives paid to the participant and decreased revenues for any periods for which demand decreased. The Utility Cost test measures the net costs of a program as a resource option based on the costs incurred by the program administrator, excluding any net costs incurred by the participant. The benefits are the avoided supply costs of energy and demand (similar to the TRC benefits). The costs are the program costs incurred by the administrator, the incentives paid to customers, and the increased supply costs for the periods in which demand is increased. The Societal test is a variant of the TRC, intended to determine the effects of a program on society as a whole. The benefits are the avoided supply costs and externalities (including environmental benefits, etc.). The costs are the program costs paid by the utility and the participants. A comprehensive benefit-cost analysis was conducted on Empire’s portfolio of energy efficient measures. The benefit-cost tests were performed using Empire-specific data. The software used to perform the benefit-cost screening has been adapted from Minnesota Office of Energy Security “BenCost” software and is consistent with the California Standard Practice Manual. The input data required for the model includes the following: General Inputs – Applied to all energy conservation measures/programs, these data describe the utility avoided costs, economic evaluation conditions [e.g., discount rates], and customer rates. o Retail Rate – the average cost of energy saved [$/kWh] by the customer, including demand and energy charges. The customer may be defined as residential or commercial/industrial/ agricultural if different rate structures exist. o Commodity Cost – the utility’s avoided cost of energy [$/kWh]. This represents the amount of money that would be saved by avoiding the generation, transmission and distribution of one less unit of energy. o Demand Cost – avoided capacity charge for electric demand [$/kW]. The utility cost savings achieved by avoiding the delivery of one less unit of demand [kW]. This may represent avoided generation and/or purchased power depending on the specific utility generation assets and planned delivery of power. 2|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 o Variable O&M – the estimated utility cost savings achieved in operations and maintenance by the avoidance in demand or energy, expressed as savings per unit of energy saved [$/kWh]. o Environmental Damage Factor (EDF) - the estimated value placed on avoiding environmental externalities such as emissions and other environmentally harmful effects of power generation [$/kWh]. o Escalation Rate – economic inflation rate used for utility rates, costs, etc. This escalation rate is applied to current values of each of the costs above to estimate the value of the same costs in future dollars. o Participant Discount Rate – the economic inflation rate applied to participant cash flows [percent]. This represents the customer’s cost of money for which alternative investments may be made instead of the investment in energy saving measures. This value is used to determine net present value of costs and benefits in the Participant Test. o Utility Discount Rate – the utility’s cost of capital expressed as a percentage. This is representative of alternate utility investments, used to determine net present value of costs and benefits in the Utility Cost Test and Ratepayer Impact Measure Test. o Societal Discount Rate – similar to the other discount rates, this value represents the overall societal cost of money [percent] and is used in discounting the societal effects of savings. This value is used to determine net present value of costs and benefits in the Societal Test and Total Resource Cost Test. o General Input Data Year – the year from which the source data is taken. In order to properly discount future costs of money, it is important to know from which year the input data is derived. o Project Analysis Year – the first year of project analysis, representative of a mature program [year, e.g., 2013]. Economic factors in the model are escalated appropriately to reflect the differences from data collection to program implementation. Project/Measure Specific Inputs – Applied to each specific energy conservation measure/program, these data describe the costs, savings, measure life, number of participants and coincident factor by measure/program. o Utility Project Costs – the overall annual costs for the utility to implement the program under evaluation [annual $]. This includes the utility cost for incentives, administration, delivery, marketing and evaluation. Utility incentives must be provided separately as these costs are handled differently from other utility costs in certain benefit cost tests. o Direct Participant Cost – the incremental cost of each energy savings measure [$/measure] before utility incentives. This represents what the customer would have to pay to achieve the benefits of the specified energy efficient measure. This is a one-time cost. o Other Participant Cost –other costs such as increased annual maintenance [annual $]. It is assumed that these are recurring costs over the life of the measure. o Other Energy Savings – other energy savings [non-electric] such as other fuel savings [annual $]. It is assumed that these are recurring savings over the life of the measure. 3|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio o o o o o 2012-2013 Project Life – the estimated lifetime that a project/measure will yield energy savings [years]. Measure life should be consistent with equipment life but in some instances the utility may choose to limit the savings to a predetermined life [for analysis purposes]. Demand Savings – the amount of demand reduction that the particular measure will yield [kW]. This represents the rated reduction on power. Coincident Factor – a factor applied to Demand Savings to determine the value of demand reduction that will be achieved during the hour of the utility peak [in percent]. Energy Savings – the energy savings component of a particular measure [annual kWh]. Number of Participants – the participation goal for a particular program. Savings estimates for individual measures or programs have been developed using a variety of sources. ENERGY STAR data was utilized where available, with regional and national data utilized to fill the information gaps. This includes calculating impacts using generally accepted engineering algorithms based on a set of reasonable assumptions. Because of the diversity in equipment and energy consumption patterns across multiple building types and end-uses, there exists a variability in these savings estimates as they relate to program design and target markets, particularly at the planning stage of these programs. 3. Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio Empire District Electric Company is an investor-owned, regulated utility based in Joplin, Missouri. The company provides electricity, natural gas and water service, with approximately 215,000 customers in Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma and Arkansas. Empire’s energy efficiency portfolio is comprised of nine residential programs and three commercial and industrial, which provide a variety of efficiency opportunities for customers. 4|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 ENERGY EFFICIENCY PORTFOLIO SUMMARY Residential High Efficiency Lighting ENERGY STAR Appliances Refrigerator Recycling High Efficiency Cooling Rebate Home Energy Comparison Report ENERGY STAR New Homes Home Performance with ENERGY STAR Low Income Weatherization Low Income New Homes C&I Energy Efficiency Rebate Building Operator Certificate Interruptible Service Rider Residential Energy Efficiency Programs Distribute CFL lighting kits to customers through mail or at local events, containing 4 standard screw-in CFLs. Customers receive a $10-$75 rebate for the purchase of a qualified washing machine, refrigerator, dehumidifier, room air conditioner, freezer, indoor fixture, smart power strip or LED bulb. Customers receive a $50 rebate for recycling an old inefficient refrigerator. Customers receive $300-$600 rebate for installing efficient cooling systems and $25 for installing a programmable thermostat. Educates customers utilizing a comparison of the customer’s energy usage to the average energy usage of 100 neighbors in similar-sized homes with similar characteristics. The report includes efficiency recommendations. Home Energy Raters receive a $400 incentive for each home energy audit. Builders receive an $800 incentive for each home that achieves the ENERGY STAR® Qualified Home designation. Customers receive up to $1,200 for qualifying whole house improvements. Supplements the federal Low Income Weatherization Assistance Program, reducing energy costs for eligible low income homeowners and renters through increased home efficiency. Customers receive up to $1,200 for qualifying efficiency improvements. Commercial Energy Efficiency Programs Customers receive up to $20,000 for prescriptive or custom equipment installed. Customers receive $575 incentive for building equipment and processes training and certification. Customers receive incentives for reducing load during peak periods, upon request by Empire. The following sections contain detailed program descriptions of the proposed energy efficiency programs. Each description contains the following components: 4. Program description including program goals, high level outline of the program and its target market. Eligible measures in the program and the recommended incentive (s). Program participation targets. Program marketing strategy. Energy and demand saving targets on an annualized basis. Estimated program budgets for incentives, delivery, marketing, administration, and evaluation. Estimate of program cost-effectiveness, including TRC, Societal, Participant, Ratepayer Impact Measure (RIM) and Utility Cost. Residential Programs Empire’s residential DSM programs serve residential customers, encouraging investment in energy efficient measures such as lighting, cooling equipment and whole house efficiency. 5|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 4.1 2012-2013 Residential High Efficiency Lighting Program ENERGY STAR® qualified compact fluorescent lamps (CFLs) use up to 75% less energy than typical incandescent light bulbs as well as offer superior performance, lasting up to 10 times longer than incandescent bulbs, reducing the need to change hard-to-reach light bulbs. The current generation of CFLs offer bright and warm light and are available in a wide variety of shapes and sizes. CFL technology continues to mature, with recess lighting lamps costing little more than incandescent bulbs. The program distributes CFL lighting kits to residential customers through mail or at local events, at no cost to the customer. Each kit contains four standard screw-in CFLs, plus educational literature on proper selection and disposal of CFLs. Customers participating in other Empire energy efficiency program will be initially targeted for mailings. Empire will track mailings to ensure that customers are not mailed multiple CFL lighting kits. Local events will be identified via relationships with local community organizations and government agencies. This primary program objective is to secure energy savings by encourage the usage of ENERGY STAR® qualified CFLs. Program goals include: Help residential customers reduce their electricity bills. Educate residential customers about the program and the benefits of installing CFLs. Effectively install efficient lighting through the Empire Program. Encourage energy saving behavior and awareness through the Empire lighting program. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY In 2010, Empire distributed approximately 11,900 lighting kits, containing 47,540 CFLs, at a cost of $3.10 per CFL bulb. Residential High Efficiency Lighting Program Summary, 2010 2010 Program CFLs Distributed 47,540 Expenditures $145,432 Energy Savings (kWh) 2,250,719 Demand Savings (kW) 649 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio 5.06 PROPOSED PROGRAM The ENERGY STAR® energy and demand savings4 assume an 18 watt CFL replaces a 75 watt incandescent bulb, adjusted by a 65 percent net-to-gross factor and an 8 percent coincidence factor.5 An ENERGY STAR® CFL has an approximate lifetime of 7.3 years, based on an average daily usage of three hours and a rate lifetime of 8,000 hours. 4 ENERGY STAR. Qualified Product Savings Calculator. www.energystar.gov/index.cfm?c=products.pr_find_es_products U.S. Department of Energy. (September 2010). ENERGY STAR CFL Market Profile: Data Trends and Market Insights; Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions. 5 6|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 The budget was developed on the assumption that it costs $4 per CFL bulb to deliver the program, estimated based on the 2010 program costs. Administration and marketing are 8 percent and 5 percent, respectively, of total delivery costs while evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 41 2,637,034 2,941,307 3,245,580 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 0.003 193 215 Year 3 237 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 65,000 72,500 80,000 Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $260,000 Admin $20,800 Marketing $13,000 Incentives $0 Evaluation $14,690 Total Budget $308,490 Year 2 $290,000 $23,200 $14,500 $0 $16,385 $344,085 Year 3 $320,000 $25,600 $16,000 $0 $18,080 $379,680 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 4.97 5.18 n/a 0.64 4.97 4.2 ENERGY STAR® Appliance Program ENERGY STAR® qualified appliances are more efficient than standard models and reduce consumer’s energy consumption. Residential and small business (<40 kW per year) customers will be offered rebates for the purchase of qualified products. Rebates will be mailed to the customer once the rebate application and receipt is submitted to Empire for approval. Eligible Measures and Incentive Levels Eligible Measure ENERGY STAR Clothes Washer ENERGY STAR Refrigerator ENERGY STAR Dehumidifier ENERGY STAR Room Air Conditioner ENERGY STAR Freezer Smart Power Strip ENERGY STAR Fixture LED Bulb Rebate $75 $50 $25 $25 $15 $15 $10 $10 7|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Empire will build customer awareness of the ENERGY STAR® brand through advertising and promotions. The program will be marketed through bill inserts, newspaper advertisements, advertising in community newsletters, direct mail to Empire customers and partnerships with local appliance retailers. The purpose of this program is to encourage residential customers to purchase high efficiency appliances. Program goals include: Help residential and small business customers reduce their electricity bills. Develop partnerships with retailers to encourage the sale of ENERGY STAR® appliances. Effectively market and promote high efficiency products and appliances. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY Empire did not offer an ENERGY STAR® Appliance Program in 2010. PROPOSED PROGRAM The energy and demand savings6 were adjusted by an 80 percent net-to-gross factor.7 Product-specific coincidence factors (CF), lifetime and direct participant costs were estimated as follows:8 Clothes Washer: 4% coincidence factor, 14 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $240. Refrigerator: 100% coincidence factor, 18 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $93. Dehumidifier: 100% coincidence factor, 12 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $50. Room Air Conditioner: 75% coincidence factor, 19 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $50. Freezer: 100% coincidence factor, 11 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $33. Smart Power Strip: 80% coincidence factor, 4 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $26. Indoor Fixture: 8% coincidence factor, 7 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $32. LED Bulb: 8% coincidence factor, 27 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $20. Program delivery and administration are 12 percent and 8 percent, respectively, of total incentives. Marketing costs are 15 percent in Year 1, reducing to 8 percent in Years 2 and 3, reflecting the costs of developing program-specific advertising and promotional materials. Evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. 6 ENERGY STAR. Qualified Product Savings Calculator; Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation; U.S. Department of Energy. Solid-State Lighting: LED Basics. 7 Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions; Idaho Power (2011). DemandSide Management 2010 Annual Report. Supplement 1: Cost-Effectiveness. 8 Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions; Michigan Public Service Commission (2012). Michigan Energy Measures Database. Prepared by Morgan Marketing Partners; Frontier Associates, LLC (2010). Arkansas Comprehensive Programs Deemed Savings. Prepared by Nexant; ENERGY STAR. Qualified Product Savings Calculator; Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation; U.S. Department of Energy. Solid-State Lighting: LED Basics. 8|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio Expected Net Energy Savings Eligible Measure Savings per Unit ENERGY STAR Clothes Washer 115 ENERGY STAR Refrigerator 85 ENERGY STAR Dehumidifier 170 ENERGY STAR Room Air Conditioner 92 ENERGY STAR Freezer 42 Smart Power Strip 82 ENERGY STAR Fixture 82 LED Bulb 88 Total Year 1 5,751 16,913 12,771 13,776 4,168 12,336 12,352 6,590 84,657 Expected Net Demand Savings Eligible Measure Savings per Unit ENERGY STAR Clothes Washer 0.012 ENERGY STAR Refrigerator 0.010 ENERGY STAR Dehumidifier 0.105 ENERGY STAR Room Air Conditioner 0.058 ENERGY STAR Freezer 0.005 Smart Power Strip 0.008 ENERGY STAR Fixture 0.006 LED Bulb 0.000 Total Year 1 0.6 1.9 7.9 8.8 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.0 22 Expected Participation Eligible Measure ENERGY STAR Clothes Washer ENERGY STAR Refrigerator ENERGY STAR Dehumidifier ENERGY STAR Room Air Conditioner ENERGY STAR Freezer Smart Power Strip ENERGY STAR Fixture LED Bulb Total Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $3,045 Admin $2,030 Marketing $3,806 Incentives $25,375 Evaluation $1,713 Total Budget $35,969 Year 1 50 200 75 150 100 150 150 75 950 Year 2 $5,655 $3,770 $3,770 $47,125 $3,016 $63,336 Year 2 100 400 150 225 150 400 300 150 1,875 Year 2 11,503 33,826 25,542 20,663 6,252 32,896 24,703 13,181 168,566 Year 2 1.2 3.9 15.8 13.2 0.7 3.1 1.8 0.1 40 2012-2013 Year 3 17,254 50,739 34,056 27,551 8,336 61,680 41,172 21,968 262,756 Year 3 1.8 5.8 21.0 17.5 1.0 5.8 3.0 0.1 56 Year 3 150 600 200 300 200 750 500 250 2,950 Year 3 $8,610 $5,740 $5,740 $71,750 $4,592 $96,432 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 1.25 1.29 0.67 0.69 2.47 9|P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 4.3 2012-2013 Refrigerator Recycling Program The Refrigerator Recycling Program encourages residential and small business (<40 kW per year) customers to remove inefficient refrigerators from the electric system and dispose of them in an environmentally safe and responsible manner. The program provides a $50 rebate to residential or small business customers that turn-in their old, inefficient refrigerator(s). The refrigerators must be between 10 and 30 cubic feet in size, at least five years of age and be operable. Customers are limited to 2 rebates per program year. Empire will select a third-party program implementer that specializes in appliance recycling and has access to a recycling facility. The program implementer will handle scheduling, transportation and disposal. Empire will work with the program implementer to develop innovative and creative marketing strategies and materials. The program will be marketed through bill inserts, newspaper advertisements and advertising in community newsletters. Program goals include: Educate customers about the energy and environmental benefits of recycling their inefficient refrigerators. Reduce household and small commercial energy consumption. Influence consumer behavior by encouraging residential and small commercial customers to avoid replacing their second refrigerator after it is recycled. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY Empire did not offer a Refrigerator Recycling Program in 2010. 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM Estimated energy and demand savings were adjusted by a 69 percent net-to-gross factor and a 100 percent coincidence factor. The remaining useful life of the refrigerator was estimated to be 8 years.9 The Refrigerator Recycling Program is a new program within Empire’s energy efficiency portfolio that is expected to get significant participation. According the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s 2009 Residential Energy Consumption Survey, 26 percent of Missouri residents have a secondary refrigerator; 35 percent of Missouri residents have a refrigerator that is between 5 and 9 years old; An additional 26 percent of residents have a primary refrigerator that is at least 10 years old. Delivery costs were estimated at $140 per appliance.10 Marketing costs are 15 percent in Year 1, reducing to 8 percent in Years 2 and 3, reflecting the costs of developing program-specific advertising 9 Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation; NMR Group, Inc. (2011). Massachusetts Appliance Turn-In Program Impact Evaluation. 10 ENERGY STAR. Launching a Refrigerator and Freezer Recycling Program. www.energystar.gov/ia/products/recycle/documents/StartAFridgeFreezerRecyclingProgram_FINAL.pdf 10 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 and promotional materials. Administration is 12 percent of incentive costs while evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 949 379,776 Year 2 759,552 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 0.152 61 121 Year 3 1,139,328 Year 3 182 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 400 800 1,200 Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $56,000 Admin $1,600 Marketing $3,000 Incentives $20,000 Evaluation $4,030 Total Budget $84,630 Year 2 $112,000 $3,200 $3,200 $40,000 $7,920 $166,320 Year 3 $168,000 $4,800 $4,800 $60,000 $11,880 $249,480 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 4.53 4.70 n/a 0.70 3.44 4.4 High Efficiency Cooling Rebate Program The High Efficiency Cooling Rebate Program encourages residential and small business (<40 kW per year) customers to purchase and install energy efficient cooling systems and programmable thermostats by providing financial incentives to offset a portion of the higher initial cost of the efficient equipment. Eligible Measures and Incentive Levels Eligible Measure CAC SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 CAC SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 CAC SEER ≥17 HP SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 HP SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 HP SEER ≥17 Geothermal EER ≥17 Programmable Thermostat Rebate $300 $400 $500 $300 $400 $500 $600 $25 Residential and small business customers, including owners of rental properties and home builders, are eligible to participate in the program. Participating HVAC contractors must provide evidence of Air Conditioning Contractors of America (ACCA) Manual J training. Empire offers free one-day training 11 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 sessions on ACCA Manual J and Manual D at least twice a year in multiple cities across Empire’s Missouri service territory. Empire will continue to develop relationships with local HVAC contractors to promote the program, through direct mailings to contractors, distributors, dealers and wholesalers, as well as presentations at Chamber of Commerce meetings. Participating HVAC contractors will distribute program brochures to potential customers. The program marketing to customers includes bill inserts, bill messaging and newspaper advertisements. Empire will conduct inspections utilizing in-house staff or a third-party contractor. Inspections will be conducted on the first four projects completed by a contractor, then 10 percent of the projects completed by a contractor thereafter. The program’s long-range goal is to encourage contractors and distributors to use energy efficiency as a marketing tool, stocking and selling more efficient units and moving the entire residential cooling market toward greater energy efficiency. Additional program goals include: Educate customers about the program and the benefits of installing high efficiency cooling equipment and programmable thermostats. Develop partnerships with contractors to bring efficient cooling systems to the market. Demonstrate persistent energy savings and provide other benefits to end-users such as improved health, safety and comfort. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY The 2010 program was called the Residential High Efficiency Central Air Conditioner Rebate Program. Empire provided incentives to residential customers for equipment that met the following eligibility: $400 per unit for central air conditioner or air source heat pump system SEER 15 to 15.9 $450 per unit for central air conditioner or air source heat pump system SEER 16 to 16.9 $500 per unit for central air conditioner or air source heat pump system SEER ≥ 17 $500 per unit for geothermal heat pump system SEER ≥ 15 Residential High Efficiency Central Air Conditioner Program Summary 2010 Program Participants 545 Expenditures $265,955 Energy Savings (kWh) 800,119 Demand Savings (kW) 761 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio 2.36 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM Empire renamed the program to High Efficiency Cooling Rebate Program. The energy and demand savings were adjusted by an 80 percent net-to-gross factor and a 75 percent coincidence factor.11 11 Empire District Electric (2009). An Evaluation of the Residential Central Air Conditioning Program. Prepared by TecMarket Works; ENERGY STAR. Qualified Product Savings Calculator; Idaho Power (2011). Demand-Side Management 2010 Annual Report. Supplement 1: Cost-Effectiveness 12 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Lifetime and direct participant costs were estimated as follows:12 Central Air Conditioner: 14 year lifetime and direct participant cost ranging from $556 to $1,111. Air Source Heat Pump: 12 year lifetime and direct participant cost ranging from $588 to $1,175. Geothermal Heat Pump: 15 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $1,464. Programmable Thermostats: 15 year lifetime and direct participant cost of $35. Delivery is 12 percent of total incentives while administration and marketing are 8 percent of incentives and evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Energy Savings Eligible Measure CAC SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 CAC SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 CAC SEER ≥17 HP SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 HP SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 HP SEER ≥17 Geothermal EER ≥17 Programmable Thermostat Savings per Unit 814 775 998 1,106 1,308 1,404 1,514 948 Year 1 122,040 155,040 44,928 359,580 130,800 70,200 22,716 376,481 1,281,785 Savings per Unit 0.576 0.571 0.668 0.850 0.810 0.790 0.891 0.499 Year 1 86 114 30 276 81 40 13 198 839 Total Expected Net Demand Savings Eligible Measure CAC SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 CAC SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 CAC SEER ≥17 HP SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 HP SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 HP SEER ≥17 Geothermal EER ≥17 Programmable Thermostat Total Expected Participation Eligible Measure CAC SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 CAC SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 CAC SEER ≥17 HP SEER 15 ≤ 15.9 HP SEER 16 ≤ 16.9 HP SEER ≥17 Geothermal EER ≥17 Programmable Thermostat Year 1 150 200 45 325 100 50 15 397 Total 1,282 Year 2 200 275 80 400 175 100 45 574 1,849 Year 2 162,720 213,180 79,872 442,560 228,900 140,400 68,148 547,967 1,883,747 Year 2 115 157 53 340 142 79 40 292 1,218 Year 3 223,740 310,080 124,800 553,200 327,000 203,580 128,724 742,279 2,613,403 Year 3 158 228 83 425 203 115 76 398 1,686 Year 3 275 400 125 500 250 145 85 797 2,577 12Michigan Public Service Commission (2012). Michigan Energy Measures Database. Prepared by Morgan Marketing Partners; ENERGY STAR. Qualified Product Savings Calculator; Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation. 13 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $39,471 Admin $26,314 Marketing $26,314 Incentives $328,925 Evaluation $21,051 Total Budget $442,075 Year 2 $58,962 $39,308 $39,308 $491,350 $31,446 $660,374 2012-2013 Year 3 $83,811 $55,874 $55,874 $698,425 $44,699 $938,683 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 1.92 1.99 0.72 0.75 3.40 4.5 Home Energy Comparison Reports Home Energy Comparison Reports are designed to educate and motivate customers to reduce their energy consumption by comparing their electricity usage to an average of 100 neighbors in similar-sized homes with similar characteristics. The reports will include targeted efficiency recommendations based on an analysis of the household’s energy usage, demographics and housing characteristics. Empire will choose a vendor that generates Home Energy Comparison Reports using a software platform that combines energy usage data with customer demographic, housing and Geographic Information System (GIS) data. The vendor will demonstrate an ability to generate measurable and verifiable savings from behavior-based programs at scale. The selected vendor will deploy an online tool suite on Empire’s Smart Energy Solutions webpage that gives customers greater insight into their energy consumption and simple steps they can take to become more energy efficient. The Home Energy Reporting System is a proven energy efficiency program that successfully leverages large-scale consumer engagement to drive measurable, predictable and sustainable energy savings. Program goals include: Increase awareness of energy efficiency and energy use in the home. Educate residential customers about the benefits of energy efficiency and the opportunities to reduce energy consumption. Encourage households to change energy usage behavior. Generate measurable and verifiable energy savings. Increase awareness of, and participation in, Empire’s energy efficiency programs. Support the use of the internet as a source of education and resources on energy efficiency. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY Empire did not offer a Home Energy Comparison Report Program in 2010. 14 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM The energy and demand savings were adjusted by an 8 percent coincidence factor.13 The program will target 7,500 participants in Year 1 and 15,000 participants in Years 2 and 3. However, participation will vary depending on an analysis of Empire’s residential customer base and high use customers. The budget was developed based on an estimated cost of $0.04 per kWh saved for delivery and marketing. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 240 1,800,000 4,140,000 4,320,000 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 0.002 16 33 Year 3 33 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 7,500 15,000 15,000 Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $72,000 Admin $5,760 Marketing $0 Incentives $0 Evaluation $3,888 Total Budget $81,648 Year 2 $165,600 $13,248 $0 $0 $8,942 $187,790 Year 3 $172,800 $13,824 $0 $0 $9,331 $195,955 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 1.61 1.69 n/a 0.44 1.61 4.6 ENERGY STAR New Homes Program The ENERGY STAR® New Homes Program encourages the construction of homes that meet ENERGY STAR® New Home guidelines. An ENERGY STAR® new home is 15 to 20 percent more energy efficient than an average new home. Benefits of owning an ENERGY STAR® home include savings resulting from: Properly installed and inspected insulation in floors, walls and attics High performance windows Tight construction and correctly installed duct system Efficient heating and cooling equipment Efficient lighting and appliances Empire provides incentives for energy audits and achieving ENERGY STAR® Qualified Home designation. Home Energy Raters that perform the home energy audits must be RESNET certified. Incentives 13 Discussion with Opower. Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions. 15 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 provided to builders, retailers or dealers for achieving the ENERGY STAR® Qualified Home designation offset a portion of the additional costs of the enhanced construction techniques. Empire partnered with the Crowder College Missouri Alternative and Renewable Energy Technology (MARET) Center to provide the required training and assist in certifying RESNET certified auditors. Empire will explore partnering with additional local colleges and universities. Empire builds awareness of the ENERGY STAR® brand through advertising and promotions. The program is marketed through bill inserts to Empire customers as well as representation at community events, home builder association meetings and Chamber of Commerce meetings. Program goals include: Help residential customers reduce their energy bills. Develop partnerships with home builders and manufactured home retailers/dealers to encourage the sale of ENERGY STAR® homes to customers. Demonstrate persistent energy savings and provide other benefits to end-users such as improved health, safety and comfort. Encourage energy saving behavior and awareness of the benefits of high efficiency equipment. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY In 2010, ENERGY STAR® Qualified Homes received incentives of $1,200, $400 for the Home Energy Rater and $800 for the builder. ENERGY STAR New Homes Program Summary 2010 Program Participants 57 Expenditures $86,687 Energy Savings (kWh) 148,599 Demand Savings (kW) 128 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio 1.53 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM As Joplin and the surroundings areas recover from the tornado that hit in May 2011, Empire will work with local communities to provide support and encourage the construction of ENERGY STAR® Qualified Homes. The direct participant cost of an ENERGY STAR® Qualified Home is approximately $3,272 and the lifetime was estimated at 25 years.14 Year 1 incentives will cover the entire $3,272 direct participant cost to support Empire’s efforts. Incentives are anticipated to decrease to $1,200 for Years 2 and 3, based on an assessment of the market. The net energy and demand savings were adjusted by a 100 percent coincidence factor. Delivery is 12 percent of total incentives while evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Administration and 14 ENERGY STAR. ENERGY STAR Qualified Homes, Version 3. Savings & Cost Estimate Summary; Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation. 16 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 marketing are 10 percent of incentives in Year 1 and reduce to 8 percent in Years 2 and 3, reflecting Empire’s efforts to support the local community. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 3,061 918,261 Year 2 765,217 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 0.349 105 87 Year 3 612,174 Year 3 70 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 300 250 200 Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $117,786 Admin $98,155 Marketing $98,155 Incentives $981,548 Evaluation $64,782 Total Budget $1,360,425 Year 2 $36,000 $24,000 $24,000 $300,000 $19,200 $403,200 Year 3 $28,800 $19,200 $19,200 $240,000 $15,360 $322,560 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 1.01 1.06 0.43 0.51 1.43 4.7 Home Performance with ENERGY STAR The Home Performance with ENERGY STAR® Program encourages whole-house improvements to existing homes by enhancing home energy audits and promoting comprehensive retrofit services. The program also aims to address other customer needs, such as comfort, durability, health and safety. A home energy audit, performed by a Building Performance Institute (BPI) accredited contractor, identifies potential improvements and the associated cost estimates. To qualify for an incentive, participants need to implement at least one qualifying improvement in addition to the home energy audit: The incentives are based on the qualifying improvement(s), which include: Insulation (attic, walls and floors) Air and duct sealing Windows and doors Empire partnered with the Crowder College Missouri Alternative and Renewable Energy Technology (MARET) Center to provide BPI training and certification for participating contractors. Empire builds customer awareness of the ENERGY STAR® brand through advertising and promotions. The program is 17 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 marketed through bill inserts to Empire customers. Additionally, Empire hosts information booths at community events and gives presentations at local contractor and Chamber of Commerce meetings. Program goals include: Develop partnerships with contractors to encourage and facilitate whole-house energy improvements and BPI certification. Demonstrate persistent energy savings and provide other benefits to end-users such as improved health, safety and comfort. Encourage energy saving behavior and awareness of the benefits of high efficiency equipment. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY In 2010, 24 existing homes received a $400 incentive for participating in the Home Performance with ENERGY STAR® Program. Home Performance with ENERGY STAR Summary 2010 Program Participants 24 Expenditures $18,922 Energy Savings (kWh) 28,800 Demand Savings (kW) 25 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio 1.02 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM The Home Performance with ENERGY STAR® Program will offer incentives up to $1,200 based on the qualifying improvements made to the residence. For the purposes of this analysis, the average incentive was estimated at $800. According to ENERGY STAR®, the program results in at least 20 percent savings. The direct participant cost is approximately $2,000, based on the 2010 program, and the lifetime was estimated at 18 years.15 Delivery is 12 percent of total incentives while administration and marketing are 8 percent of incentives and evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 2,925 511,840 Year 2 950,560 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 0.334 58 109 Year 3 1,462,400 Year 3 167 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 175 325 500 15 Energy Star. Home Performance with Energy Star - A Cost-Effective Strategy for Improving Efficiency in Existing Homes. www.energystar.gov/ia/home_improvement/HPwES_Utility_Intro_FactSheet.pdf?57ca-b606; Frontier Associates, LLC (2010). Arkansas Comprehensive Programs Deemed Savings. Prepared by Nexant. 18 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $16,800 Admin $11,200 Marketing $11,200 Incentives $140,000 Evaluation $8,960 Total Budget $188,160 Year 2 $31,200 $20,800 $20,800 $260,000 $16,640 $349,440 2012-2013 Year 3 $48,000 $32,000 $32,000 $400,000 $25,600 $537,600 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 1.42 1.49 0.74 0.61 3.01 4.8 Low Income Weatherization Program The Low Income Weatherization Program supplements the federal Low Income Weatherization Assistance Program. The program reduces energy costs for eligible low income homeowners and renters through increased home efficiency, at no cost to the participant. Home efficiency is improved through the installation of energy saving measures, such as insulation, caulking, weather stripping and heating system repair or replacement. Empire customers work with one of the following Missouri Weatherization Agencies to participate in the program: Economic Security Corporation of Southwest Area Ozarks Area Community Action Corporation West Central Missouri Community Action Agency The Missouri Weatherization Agencies offer a cost-effective implementation capability, which allows most of the funds allocated to this program to go directly to the purchase and installation of energyefficiency equipment. The Agencies have the primary responsibility for promoting the program and providing the efficiency improvements. Empire supplements marketing efforts, working with other statewide program staff and utilities to promote the program through community events and organizations, including schools, churches, and nonprofit organizations within the service territory. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY In 2010, 287 low income customers received weatherization services. Residential Low Income Weatherization Summary 2010 Program Participants 287 Expenditures $251,032 Energy Savings (kWh) 588,924 Demand Savings (kW) 10 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio 16.27 19 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM The energy and demand savings were adjusted by a 100 percent coincidence factor. The lifetime of weatherization services were estimated at 15 years.16 In 2010, the Missouri Weatherization Agencies anticipated spending an average of $1,200 per home, actually spent an average of $1,631 per home.17 Delivery was estimated at $1,200 per home, administration and marketing are 8 percent of delivery and evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 2,052 718,200 Year 2 974,700 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 0.234 82 111 Year 3 1,231,200 Year 3 141 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 350 475 600 Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $420,000 Admin $33,600 Marketing $33,600 Incentives $0 Evaluation $24,360 Total Budget $511,560 Year 2 $570,000 $45,600 $45,600 $0 $33,060 $694,260 Year 3 $720,000 $57,600 $57,600 $0 $41,760 $876,960 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 1.34 1.40 n/a 0.47 1.34 4.9 Low Income New Homes Program Empire works with local non-profit organizations to encourage energy efficiency, affordable new housing for low income customers. Financial incentives, not to exceed $1,100 per home, are available for the following measures: Building Insulation, full incremental cost above the baseline. Exterior wall insulation with an R value ≥ 19 (baseline R-13). Attic insulation with an R value ≥ 38 (baseline R-30). Floor insulation with an R value ≥ 19 (baseline R-13). Central Air Conditioning, full incremental cost up to $400 for a SEER ≥ 14 (baseline SEER 13). 16 Empire District Electric (2009). An Evaluation of the Low-Income Weatherization Program. Prepared by TecMarket Works; Frontier Associates, LLC (2010). Arkansas Comprehensive Programs Deemed Savings. Prepared by Nexant; Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions. 17 Empire District Electric (2009). An Evaluation of the Low-Income Weatherization Program. Prepared by TecMarket Works. 20 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Heat Pump, full incremental cost up to $400 (baseline SEER 13). The incentive may not exceed the incentive for a similarly rated central air conditioning unit. Refrigerator, up to $200 for an ENERGY STAR refrigerator. Lighting, up to $100 for the installation of ENERGY STAR rated lighting fixtures. Organizations notify Empire of their intent to participate in the program. Upon acceptance, Empire holds the maximum available financing per home for up to six months, with payment occurring upon receipt and review of paid invoices. Empire currently plans to fund five to ten homes in Missouri per year for a period of five years. Marketing includes advertising through bill inserts and direct mail to eligible residential customers. Empire supplements the marketing efforts, via bill inserts, newspaper advertisements and radio advertisements. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY In 2010, 2 new low income homes received incentives. Residential Low Income New Homes Summary 2010 Program Participants 2 Expenditures $1,322 Energy Savings (kWh) 2,536 Demand Savings (kW) 7 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio 2.64 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM The energy and demand savings were adjusted by a 100 percent coincidence factor. The direct participant cost is approximately $2,750, based on the 2010 program, and the lifetime was estimated at 15 years.18 For the purposes of this analysis, the average incentive was estimated at $750. The program is delivered by local non-profit organizations. Administration and marketing are 12 percent and 8 percent of incentives, respectively, while evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 2,052 92,340 Year 2 82,080 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 0.234 11 9 Year 3 82,080 Year 3 9 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 45 40 40 18 Empire District Electric (2009). An Evaluation of the Low-Income Weatherization Program. Prepared by TecMarket Works; Frontier Associates, LLC (2010). Arkansas Comprehensive Programs Deemed Savings. Prepared by Nexant; Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions. 21 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $0 Admin $4,050 Marketing $2,700 Incentives $33,750 Evaluation $2,025 Total Budget $42,525 Year 2 $0 $3,600 $2,400 $30,000 $1,800 $37,800 2012-2013 Year 3 $0 $3,600 $2,400 $30,000 $1,800 $37,800 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 0.66 0.69 0.25 0.53 2.05 5. Commercial and Industrial Programs Empire’s commercial and industrial DSM programs serve non-residential customers, encouraging investment in building operator certification and energy efficient measures such as lighting, cooling equipment and motors. 5.1 C&I Energy Efficiency Rebate Program The C&I Energy Efficiency Rebate Program provides incentives to lower the cost of identifying and purchasing energy efficient equipment for commercial or industrial facilities. The program consists of three parts, an energy audit, prescriptive rebates and custom rebates. Empire markets this program through partnerships with contractors and distributors of energy efficient systems and equipment. Other marketing includes newspaper advertisements, targeted mailings to customers and contractors, bill inserts and advertising in HVAC trade publications. Program goals include: Education about the benefits of installing high efficiency equipment. Effectively install efficient equipment and systems through the Empire Program. Help commercial and industrial customers reduce their electricity bills 5.1.1 Energy Audit Energy audits provide customers with a comprehensive analysis of their building energy use and recommendations on ways to reduce energy costs and improve energy efficiency. An incentive covers 50% of the audit cost, up to $300 for facilities less than 25,000 square feet and up to $500 for facilities over 25,000 square feet. Customers with multiple buildings are eligible for multiple audit rebates. To receive the incentive, the audit must be performed by an Empire certified energy auditor, a copy of the audit report must be submitted with the rebate application, and the participant must implement at least one of the recommendations that qualify for an Empire equipment rebate. 5.1.2 Prescriptive Rebate Pre-qualified prescriptive rebates are available for new construction and retrofits. The rebated 22 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 measures are proven technologies that are readily available with known performance characteristics. An audit is not required to participate. A $20,000 incentive cap is imposed per facility per program year. However, if funds are still available in the last three months of the program year, the cap may be exceeded. Multiple rebate applications for different measures may be submitted. Eligible equipment categories include lighting, motors, variable frequency drives and HVAC equipment. Eligible Measures and Incentive Levels 19 LIGHTING Measure High Performance T8 Fixtures replace T12 or standard T8 lighting. Must meet specifications set by the Consortium for Energy Efficiency (retrofit only). Standard T8 Lamps and Ballasts replace T12 systems (lamp and ballast). Lighting Power Density - must be at least 25% below ASHRAE Std. 90.1. High Intensity Fluorescent - T5 or T5HO lamps with electronic ballasts. Pulse Start Metal Halide (retrofit only) Lighting Controls - switch replacement sensors limited to rooms less than 250 sq.ft. LED Exit Sign HVAC Type and Size Split System Air Conditioner <65,000 Btu/h Unitary System Air Conditioner <65,000 Btu/h Unitary or Split System Air Conditioner ≥65,000 to <135,000 Btu/h Unitary or Split System Air Conditioner ≥135,000 to <240,000 Btu/h Unitary or Split System Air Conditioner ≥240,000 to <760,000 Btu/h Air Cooled Chiller MOTORS Horsepower Open Drip Proof 1 85.50% 1.5 86.50% 2 86.50% 3 89.50% 5 89.50% 7.5 91.00% 10 91.70% 15 93.00% 20 93.00% 25 93.60% Variable Frequency Drives (VFD) Horsepower 1.5 to 10 HP 10 to 20 HP ≥ 20 HP Incentive $20 for 2- lamp fixtures $30 for 3- lamp fixtures $2 per lamp $10 per ballast $1 per watt per sq.ft. reduction $50 per fixture $50 per fixture $20 switch replacement sensor $50 ceiling/remote mounted sensor $10 per sign Efficiency 14.0 SEER, 12.0 EER 14.0 SEER, 11.6 EER 11.5 EER 11.5 EER 10.3 EER 1.03 IPLV Incentive $92 per ton $92 per ton $73 per ton $79 per ton $79 per ton $40 per ton Totally Enclosed Fan Cooled 85.50% 86.50% 86.50% 89.50% 89.50% 91.70% 91.70% 92.40% 93.00% 93.60% Incentive $50 $50 $60 $60 $60 $90 $100 $115 $125 $130 Incentive $130 per HP $115 per HP $95 per HP 5.1.3 Custom Rebate Non-residential customers that install energy efficient equipment in a new or existing facility that does not qualify for a prescriptive rebate may receive a custom incentive. An audit is not required to participate, but applications must be pre-approved by Empire before equipment is purchased and 19 Empire Missouri 2010 incentive levels were utilized for all measures except LED Exit Signs, Air Cooled Chillers and Variable Frequency Drives. 23 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 installed. Custom projects are reviewed to ensure they produce a Societal Benefit-Cost Test of 1.05 or higher and have an incremental payback greater than two years. A $20,000 incentive cap is imposed per facility per program year. However, if funds are still available in the last three months of the program year, the cap may be exceeded. Multiple rebate applications for different measures may be submitted. Incentives are the lesser of the following: A buy-down to a two year payback; 50% of the incremental cost; or 50% of lifecycle avoided demand and energy costs. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY In 2010, Empire had 30 custom participants and 15 prescriptive participants. Eligible prescriptive rebate equipment categories included lighting, motor and HVAC equipment. C&I Energy Efficiency Program Summary 2010 Program Custom Prescriptive Participants 30 15 Expenditures $228,310 $33,908 Energy Savings (kWh) 4,529,981 280,653 Demand Savings (kW) 995 166 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio 8.52 5.61 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM The net energy and demand savings were estimated based on a mix of eligible equipment, adjusted by product-specific net-to-gross factors and an average 85 percent coincidence factor.20 The program lifetime was estimated at 15 years and the direct participant costs were estimated at $7,800 for prescriptive projects and $15,000 for customer projects.21 Incentives are capped at $20,000; for the purposes of this analysis, the average incentive was estimated at $2,800 for prescriptive projects and $7,500 for custom projects. Delivery is 12 percent of total incentives while administration and marketing are 5 percent and 3 percent of incentives, respectively, and evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. 20Frontier Associates, LLC (2010). Arkansas Comprehensive Programs Deemed Savings. Prepared by Nexant; Consortium for Energy Efficiency. High-Efficiency Commercial and Conditioning and Heat Pump Initiative. http://www.cee1.org/com/hecac/hecac-main.php3; Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation; Michigan Public Service Commission (2012). Michigan Energy Measures Database. Prepared by Morgan Marketing Partners; Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions. 21 Frontier Associates, LLC (2010). Arkansas Comprehensive Programs Deemed Savings. Prepared by Nexant; Michigan Public Service Commission (2012). Michigan Energy Measures Database. Prepared by Morgan Marketing Partners; Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation. 24 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Expected Net Energy Savings Eligible Measure Custom Prescriptive Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 25,028 1,251,411 2,502,822 3,754,233 11,903 1,190,310 1,785,465 2,380,620 Expected Net Demand Savings Eligible Measure Custom Prescriptive Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 7.40 370 740 3.03 303 455 Expected Participation Eligible Measure Custom Prescriptive Year 1 50 100 Year 2 100 150 Year 3 1,110 607 Year 3 150 200 Detailed Program Budget Project Delivery Admin Marketing Incentives Evaluation Total Budget Year 1 $45,000 $18,750 $11,250 $375,000 $22,500 $472,500 Program Cost-Effectiveness Total Resource Cost Test Custom 1.84 Prescriptive 1.63 5.2 Custom Year 2 $90,000 $37,500 $22,500 $750,000 $45,000 $945,000 Year 3 $135,000 $56,250 $33,750 $1,125,000 $67,500 $1,417,500 Year 1 $33,492 $13,955 $8,373 $279,100 $16,746 $351,666 Prescriptive Year 2 Year 3 $50,238 $66,984 $20,933 $27,910 $12,560 $16,746 $418,650 $558,200 $25,119 $33,492 $527,499 $703,332 Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Utility Test Test Measure Test Cost Test 1.91 0.77 0.80 3.31 1.70 0.56 0.79 3.97 Building Operator Certification The Building Operator Certification (BOC) Program is a training and certification program that educates facility managers and operators in the energy efficiency of their equipment and processes. The training includes approximately 80 hours of classroom and project work in building systems operation and maintenance. Each course in the series is completed in a one-day training session, except BOC 103 – HVAC Systems and Controls, a two-day course. Empire offers incentives for Level 1 training, topics HVAC Systems and Controls, Efficient Lighting Fundamentals, Facility Electrical Systems, and Indoor Air Quality. To become certified, participants must pass an exam at the end of each day of training and complete assigned projects. Rebates of $575, half of the training tuition, are provided to Empire participants that complete the certification process. The program is administered by the Missouri Energy Center in partnership with the Midwest Energy Efficiency Alliance (MEEA). The program is targeted towards customers with facilities that employ fulltime building operators. 25 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Empire works with Missouri Energy Center and MEEA to promote and market the certification program. Marketing activities include targeted mailing to building operators and presentations to the Chamber of Commerce. Empire will give presentations at Chamber of Commerce meetings and trade conferences. Program goals include: Education of non-residential building operators about the benefits of efficiency. Help commercial and industrial customers reduce their electricity bills. 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY There were no BOC Program participants from January through December 2010. Expenditures totaled $1,029 during this time. 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM The energy and demand savings were adjusted by a 53 percent coincidence factor.22 The direct participant costs were estimated at $1,150, the current cost of training, and the estimated useful life was 15 years.23 Participants receive an incentive of $575 upon completion of the training program. Delivery is 12 percent of total incentives while administration and marketing are 2 percent and 12 percent of incentives, respectively, and evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Energy Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 8,139 325,560 Year 2 569,730 Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 1.643 66 115 Year 3 813,900 Year 3 164 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 40 70 100 Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $2,760 Admin $460 Marketing $4,600 Incentives $23,000 Evaluation $1,541 Total Budget $32,361 Year 2 $4,830 $805 $8,050 $40,250 $2,697 $56,632 Year 3 $6,900 $1,150 $11,500 $57,500 $3,853 $80,903 22 Kansas City Power & Light (2009). Evaluation of Kansas City Power and Light's Building Operator Certificate Program. Prepared by Opinion Dynamics Corporation; Xcel Energy. 2009/2010 Biennial DSM (Revised February 20, 2009) - Technical Assumptions. 23 Empire District Electric. Building Operator Certification. www.empiredistrict.com/Dochandler.ashx?id=4019; Frontier Associates, LLC (2010). Arkansas Comprehensive Programs Deemed Savings. Prepared by Nexant; Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (2010). State of Ohio Energy Efficiency Technical Reference Manual. Prepared by Vermont Energy Investment Corporation. 26 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 6.84 7.12 2.40 0.90 11.71 5.3 Interruptible Service Rider The Interruptible Service Rider Program is intended as a load shedding strategy to be used where system peak demand exceeds available capacity or extreme energy prices are expected. The purpose of load shedding is to avoid the occurrence of involuntary load curtailments and/or excessive purchased energy prices The program is designed to reduce customer load during peak periods, upon request by Empire. The rider is available to commercial and industrial customers with a minimum monthly billing demand of 200 kW and an anticipated minimum load curtailment capability of 200 kW. The program year runs from June 1 through May 31. Customers voluntarily enter into a contract for a term of one to five years for no greater than 50 MW annually. The contract is automatically renewed for the term of equal length unless termination notice is given by the customer or Empire. The customer rate for service interruption varies according to the length of the contract. Curtailments are limited to ten per year, with a maximum interruption of eight hours per curtailment event. Empire markets this program through partnerships with contractors and distributors of energy efficient systems and equipment. Other marketing includes newspaper advertisements, targeted mailings to customers and contractors, bill inserts and advertising in HVAC trade publications. Empire will give presentations at Chamber of Commerce meetings and trade conferences. Program goals include: Education of non-residential customers about the benefits of reducing load during peak periods. Effectively install efficient equipment and systems through the Empire Program. Help commercial and industrial customers reduce their electricity bills 2010 PROGRAM SUMMARY Beginning June 1, 2010, there were three contracts with total interruptible demand of 3,100 kW for a monthly credit of $5,758. Interruptible Service Rider Summary 2010 Program Participants 3 Expenditures $67,896 Energy Savings (kWh) 0 Demand Savings (kW) 3100 TRC Benefit-Cost Ratio n/a 27 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 2012 PROPOSED PROGRAM Delivery is 20 percent of total incentives while administration and marketing are 5 percent of incentives and evaluation is 5 percent of the total budget. Expected Net Demand Savings Savings per Unit Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 500 5,000 15,000 22,500 Expected Participation Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 10 30 45 Detailed Program Budget Year 1 Project Delivery $6,000 Admin $1,500 Marketing $1,500 Incentives $30,000 Evaluation $1,950 Total Budget $40,950 Year 2 $18,000 $4,500 $4,500 $90,000 $5,850 $122,850 Year 3 $27,000 $6,750 $6,750 $135,000 $8,775 $184,275 Program Cost-Effectiveness Utility Total Resource Societal Participant Ratepayer Impact Test Test Measure Test Cost Test Cost Test 36.20 36.20 n/a 9.68 9.68 6. Portfolio Management and Implementation Strategies Empire program staff will work with AEG, trade allies and distributors, and a third-party program implementation contractor to market and deliver Empire’s energy efficiency programs. An evaluation contractor will be retained to provide an independent evaluation of each program. 6.1 Marketing and Customer Recruitment Empire staff will be responsible for marketing the efficiency programs and developing marketing materials for customers, including bill inserts, newspaper advertisements, and direct mail, with input from the program implementation contractor. Empire will also be responsible for maintaining an up-todate utility website with information on efficiency programs and how to participate. The third-party implementation contractor will recruit contractors to participate in the residential HVAC and C&I efficiency programs. The implementation contractor will be responsible for developing and maintaining relationships with Empire trade allies, providing information on the benefits of energy efficiency to contractors and training on quality installations and energy audits. The implementation contractor will send Empire program management staff weekly and monthly updates on marketing activities, customer and contractor recruitment, and training seminars. 28 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 6.2 2012-2013 Rebate Processing Empire will maintain a call center with staff that will answer customer questions and process applications to programs. This call center (including the 800 number) may be managed by a third party contractor. AEG will provide support to Empire by processing rebates. Empire will mail rebate checks to program participants, where applicable. 6.3 Energy Audits Onsite energy audits will be conducted by trained auditors. These auditors will be managed by an implementation contractor. Information on the number and type of energy audits conducted, recommendations, and measures installed as a result of the audit will be given to Empire program management staff on a monthly basis. 6.4 Customer/Contractor Feedback Empire will gather customer feedback on its programs through its call center, implementation contractors and program evaluations. Customer complaints will be handled immediately by Empire program management staff or by the implementation contractor. General customer and contractor feedback will be gathered during the evaluation through participant surveys or focus groups and reported to Empire with recommendations on program improvements. 6.5 Planning, Reporting and Program Tracking Empire will work with the PSC to ensure that programs are tracked and reported in a way that meets the state’s utility program reporting requirements. AEG will work with Empire to develop a tracking system that is efficient and effective at recording customer feedback, rebates, energy savings, and other program process indicators. This tracking system will be maintained by Empire, and will be utilized by staff and third-party contractors as a central database for program inputs. 7. Evaluation, Measurement and Verification Activities Empire has designated approximately 5% of its total program budgets for Evaluation, Measurement and Verification (EM&V) activities, which is the industry standard. To cost-effectively evaluate Empire’s energy efficiency programs, the evaluation contractor will evaluate each program every two years, starting with the beginning of the second program year. This plan provides a high level, multiple year evaluation approach for Empire’s energy efficiency program portfolio. This plan is the first stage of a two-stage evaluation planning process. The second stage is annual detailed evaluation plans, which will be prepared by the evaluation contractor for the programs that will be evaluated. 7.1 Process Evaluation Approach Process evaluations will be conducted at the end of the first year of each program. The purpose of a process evaluation is to assess the effectiveness of program processes, evaluate the achievements of objectives and make recommendations for improvements. A good process evaluation will: 29 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 Assist program implementers and managers with managing programs to achieve cost effective savings while maintaining high levels of customer satisfaction. Determine awareness levels to refine marketing strategies and reduce barriers to participation. Provide recommendations for changing the program’s structure, management, administration, design, delivery, operations or targets. Determine if best practices should be incorporated. Gather information from a variety of sources to address the issues stated above. The first year process evaluations will provide recommendations to Empire, program implementers, and other program stakeholders on program design, delivery, and administration. The evaluation contractor will meet with Empire’s program managers, review existing programs, and interview Empire staff and implementation contractors to identify and prioritize important management, policy, and process issues. The evaluation contractor will develop individual program plans that identify project objectives, data resources and collection, key researchable issues, budget and timeline. Once the evaluation plans have been reviewed by Empire, the evaluation contractor will design the sample plan and data collection instruments, and collect and analyze the data. The evaluation contractor will synthesize the findings and present recommendations to Empire in draft and final evaluation reports. 7.2 Impact Evaluation Approach Impact evaluations estimate gross and net demand, energy savings and the cost effectiveness of installed systems. They are used to verify measure installations, identify key energy assumptions and provide the research necessary to calculate defensible and accurate savings attributable to the program. Impact evaluations are typically conducted one year after the program is implemented because program results may not be accessible or apparent before then. The evaluation contractor will adhere to the state evaluation protocols to obtain unbiased reliable estimates of program-level net energy and demand savings over the life of the expected net impact. Measurement and Verification (M&V) may be conducted at a higher level of rigor or with greater precision than the protocols (depending on resources), where more inputs measured or metered, but M&V may not use a lower level of rigor than is specified in the evaluation protocol. 7.3 Cross-Cutting Evaluation Activities This section discusses the evaluation tasks that the evaluation contractor will perform each year at the overall portfolio level. 7.3.1 Project Initiation Meetings The evaluation contractor will meet with Empire staff (and their contractors, if desired) annually in person or via teleconference to discuss evaluation objectives, a common set of expectations about what the evaluation will provide, and an agreement on the methods to be used to evaluate each program. The meeting will also provide an opportunity to review the data requirements for meeting the study 30 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 objectives, establish the schedule of deliverables, set up a communications protocol and develop a good working relationship. 7.3.2 Evaluation Plans Program evaluation supports the need for public accountability, oversight, validation of program performance and cost-effective program improvements. An evaluation plan provides a roadmap for program evaluation activities, identifying evaluation objectives, the evaluation approach, data collection, sampling plans, and work schedule. In addition to the program plan, the evaluation contractor will develop detailed evaluation plans for each program. The plans will support a comprehensive approach, designed to be revised and extended into future years. The evaluation plan will include study strategies and techniques, study objectives, key researchable issues, data collection and analysis approaches, sampling strategies, timelines, and deliverables by the programs to be evaluated that year. 7.3.3 Program Design and Delivery Review A program design and delivery review will be completed as part of the Year 1 process evaluation. This will include staff interviews and a review of the tracking system. Staff Interviews The evaluation contractor will conduct in-depth interviews with Empire design and delivery staff. The interviews with program managers and staff will discuss the roles and responsibilities of staff and trade allies; program goals, successes, and challenges in meeting these goals; the effectiveness of the programs’ operations relative to the defined program goals and objectives; reasons for variance in program performance by customer class or territory; and areas in need of improvement in program design and implementation. The evaluation contractor will complete an interim memo summarizing the results of the program design and delivery review. Tracking System Review Quality program tracking systems are integral for effective program planning, implementation and evaluation. The evaluation contractor will evaluate Empire’s tracking system including initial data validation (application processing, measure and savings capture and validation, audit trail, and system location), security, and data granularity (types of data being captured, QA/QC processes, data thresholds and back-up data capture, refresh rate and automated validations). 7.3.4 Evaluation Management and Reporting The evaluation contractor will complete three main activities for evaluation management and reporting through the two-year period. These are discussed below and include progress reporting, interim reporting and annual reporting. Progress reporting The evaluation contractor will meet with Empire in person or via teleconference to summarize tasks completed for the month, problems encountered and solutions implemented, schedule and budget issues and updates, and tasks planned in the next month. The evaluation contractor will have ad-hoc 31 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 meetings with Empire staff as needed to resolve issues as they arise and maintain ongoing communication. Interim reporting It is imperative that the evaluation provide and discuss preliminary findings at the end of each data collection and analysis activity. This type of regular reporting ensures that the findings from each activity can be used to modify the programs as needed to improve their performance. The evaluation contractor will provide Empire with interim evaluation memorandum reports that will summarize preliminary evaluation findings and potential recommendations stemming from those findings. Annual reporting The evaluation contractor will compile and synthesize the results of all evaluation activities each year into an annual comprehensive evaluation report that will identify key findings and recommendations at the cross-cutting and sector level (residential and commercial) as well as program level. The annual evaluation reports will be finalized by the end of each calendar year. 7.4 Program Level Work Scope As discussed above, one comprehensive evaluation combining process and impact studies will be conducted once for each program, beginning at the end of the first program year. The bulk of the evaluation scope of work will be data collection and analysis tasks to provide input to the process and impact evaluation activities. Impact evaluation activities will include a combination of engineering reviews, customer surveys, and select on-site visits and metering as appropriate and cost-effective at the program level to provide reliable estimates of energy savings resulting from program activities. Concentrated process evaluation efforts will include program staff interviews, customer surveys, trade ally interviews, and documentation and database review. In general, survey sample sizes will be determined in order to present results at a 90 percent confidence level +/- 10 percent. 7.4.1 Process Evaluation Data Collection and Sampling Plan The data collection plan will define the specific data collection requirements, along with the source of the information and the use to which that the data will be put, the timing of the data collection, in relation to the rest of the plan, to assure that it meets the overall needs of the study, and the scheduling method and plan or coordinating contacts. The sampling plan will describe the sample design, interview methodology and stratification of each program. Interviews of the major personnel categories will include Empire staff, program managers, third party implementers, participating and non-participating customers, and participating and nonparticipating trade allies, in addition to others. The sample size of each group will be calculated at a 90% confidence interval with an error margin of +/10%. The number of completed interviews will provide a sufficient sample to meet the confidence 32 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 interval requirements. The interview methodology will range depending on the market actor being interviewed, from on-site interviews, in-depth interviews or computer assisted telephone interviews. Program Design and Delivery Staff Interviews Interviews with program staff will be conducted in-person and will focus on the program history and design, identifying areas for program improvement and the overall effectiveness of the program. The third party implementer interviews will be conducted at the locations where program files are maintained. Particular attention will be paid to the contractor’s perception of how the programs operate, what program data are tracked and captured, how the data are managed and maintained, and how program subcontractor(s) are managed, if applicable. Questions will be based on both portfolio and program level activities and achievements. Answers to these questions will help identify process improvements that can make the program more efficient and consequently more cost-effective and will be summarized in a chapter of the process evaluation report. Customer Data Collection Surveys of participating customers will be conducted via telephone. Participating customers will be asked about their experiences with the program, including the effectiveness and satisfaction with the program, the contractor/trade ally, the equipment itself, and marketing outreach. Participants will also answer a series of questions regarding program awareness, attitudes of energy efficiency and energy conservation, overall satisfaction, and barriers to participation, spillover and areas of improvement. The findings from the customer surveys will be summarized in a chapter of the process evaluation and the data tables from these surveys will be provided in separate appendices. Contractor Data Collection Contractors will be asked about clarity of program rules, usefulness of support materials, marketing and coordination efforts and application processes. These responses will be instrumental in developing recommendations for improvement that will improve program effectiveness and customer satisfaction and remove barriers to participation. Interviews will also attempt to gather information that could be used to assess market effects or other program-related impacts such as free-ridership and spillover. Nonparticipating Customer and Contractor Data Collection Where appropriate, interviews with non-participating customers and contractors will be conducted to better understand the market, free ridership, spillover and how the program can increase participation and effects in the market. These interviews will also provide insights into removing barriers to participation and improved marketing methods and messages. Document Review In addition to stakeholder interviews, the evaluation contractor will collect program materials, including process flowcharts, and marketing and outreach materials such as point of purchase (POP) materials, print and radio advertising copy and any cooperative marketing materials developed. The evaluation contractor will also request information on actual activities, such as completed marketing campaigns. Marketing schedules and quantitative data, such as enrollments per month, will be overlaid to determine the impacts of these campaigns. 33 | P a g e Empire District · Energy Efficiency Program Portfolio 2012-2013 7.4.2 Impact Evaluation Program level impact evaluations will be conducted to verify measure installations and identify key energy assumptions for equipment life, incremental equipment cost, program budget information, number of participants, free ridership and spillover. The evaluation will also provide the necessary research to calculate defensible and accurate savings attributable to the program. The primary data collection methodologies for the impact evaluation will include: Strategies to measure and verify energy efficiency installation and determine energy impacts for each program, as appropriate, in kilowatt-hour or kilowatt reductions o Sample for field verification activities o Field verification activities and observations o Adjusted measure savings values based on field activities and data reviews Program-specific realization rates Energy savings based on four annual time periods (on-peak and off-peak) Billing analyses Applications and supporting documentation provided to Empire from customers, as appropriate Conclusions and recommendations for more accurately estimating energy savings for each program Secondary data sources will be used for assumptions that do not require primary data collection. The evaluation contractor will use inputs specific to Empire, including avoided costs and discounts rates to conduct cost-effectiveness analysis and program screening. The program evaluator will evaluate costeffectiveness using the standard California tests including Total Resource Cost, Societal Cost Test, Participant Test, Utility Test and Rate Impact Measure Test. These tests consider the overall costs and benefits from various perspectives. All results will be provided with estimates of present value benefits, cost, net benefits and benefit-cost ratios. The analysis will include both a retrospective look at the program to date and a prospective analysis of the future of the program. All work will be designed to meet the appropriate International Performance Measurement and Verification Protocol (IPMVP). 34 | P a g e