Running head: MARKET ANALYSIS 1 Market Analysis Section: Nestlé Gluten-Free Cookie Dough Whitney Chadwick, Chris Holle, Erin Howard, & Brittanie Turner California State University, Monterey Bay BUS 306-81 MARKET ANALYSIS 2 Table of Contents SITUATION ANALYSIS 3 MARKET SUMMARY 4 Geographics 4 Demographics 4 Psychographics and Behavioral Factors 5 Market Needs 5 Market Trends 5 Market Growth 6 SWOT ANALYSIS 6 Strengths 6 Weaknesses 7 Opportunities 7 Threats 8 COMPETITION 8 PRODUCT OFFERING 11 Ingredients and Nutritional Factors 11 Different Packaging Types 12 Customer Satisfaction Guarantee 12 KEYS TO SUCCESS 13 Growing Population with Gluten-Intolerance 13 Increasing Level of Health Awareness 13 CRITICAL ISSUES 14 REFERENCES 15 MARKET ANALYSIS 3 SITUATION ANALYSIS In a growing health food trend, the gluten-free movement has been gaining traction. With the knowledge of celiac disease and many other gluten intolerances, many consumers have an increasing need and desire for gluten-free products. According to a survey, nearly 18 percent of Americans prefer gluten-free products (Amidor, 2014). This is a vast market that is virtually untapped. The plan is for Nestlé to make a gluten-free cookie dough. The current problem with most gluten-free products is they sacrifice taste to provide a product that many people can eat. Nestlé can provide the same great quality taste they have always offered, while also providing a product that offers health benefits to many Americans. Another advantage is that the price will stay relatively the same as the current Nestlé Tollhouse Products. On a global scale, Nestlé scored 54th in brand recognition (Ranking The Brands). Competitors like Pillsbury and Betty Crocker did not even place in the top 100. Nestlé has the tools to not only infiltrate the gluten-free snack market and have success, but also the ability to enter the market and dominate it. Nestlé has been known to provide great tasting snacks and always aims to improve the healthiness of its products. According to the Smart Cookie Dough Cook, a website that reviews various cookie dough brands, Nestlé’s Tollhouse cookie dough were not only better tasting than Pillsbury’s cookie dough, but also had better texture. On top of that, Nestlé has the resources to make these cookie dough happen. According to Nestlé’s official webpage, it owns 4 corporate locations, 32 manufacturing locations, and 5 distribution centers. This is sufficient to use existing machinery to produce gluten-free cookie dough. In order to do so, Nestlé must clean and retool the machinery to make them safe to produce products. Currently, local companies are the main source of competition. However, there are also several major brands that are already in the existing market. These brands include Pillsbury and Betty Crocker, which offer gluten-free cookie dough that is sold in stores. The product Nestlé would be offering is pre-packaged, gluten-free cookie dough. The current price of its regular Tollhouse products is approximately five dollars. The goal with the new gluten-free dough (16.5 oz.) would be to keep it at a consistent price with the regular Tollhouse products. Nestlé holds vast resources and numerous market connections. Nestlé products are featured in nearly every chain supermarket in the U.S. This allows them to infiltrate a new market fairly easily. According to CBS News, Nestlé already holds a 41% market share of the MARKET ANALYSIS 4 prepared cookie dough market. The main distribution channel for the Nestlé gluten-free Tollhouse cookie dough will be through large chain stores, including: Safeway, Target, WalMart, Albertsons, Kroger, and many more. This in itself creates a big opportunity for Nestlé. The gluten-free market is vastly untouched by large corporations, and under the right management and utilizing the right resources, Nestlé has the ability to make it happen. These attributes can be used to transition to a gluten-free cookie dough line easier. For sales promotions, it would be easy for Nestlé to market its gluten-free cookie dough as a healthy choice for everyone, not just for people with celiac disease. MARKET SUMMARY Geographics For the purpose of the project, the geographic focus will be the United States of America as a whole. There will be a good testing grounds to see how the product does. If it does well, the product could expand into Canada and then move into Europe. According to the European Food Information Council (EUFIC), celiac disease is on the rise. This would be a great investment into the future as the more people that have celiac disease, the more awareness there will be. According to Statista (2009), the gluten-free market was worth $2.3 billion globally. This is a great financial opportunity. Demographics As for the demographics, the main focus is on people with celiac disease or other gluten intolerances, and targeting families. Targeting people with celiac disease (and other gluten intolerances) is an obvious choice, since this product will allow them to have a healthy and delicious snack. The second option is seeking a healthier alternative to families. According to Celiac Central (n.d.), “it is estimated that 83% of Americans who have celiac disease are undiagnosed or misdiagnosed with other conditions.” An interesting point is that many people living with Celiac disease either do not know they have it, or they are misdiagnosed. Providing gluten-free cookie dough will allow families to play it safe and provide a delicious cookie dough that is healthier than a traditional cookie dough. MARKET ANALYSIS 5 Psychographics and Behavioral Factors A large portion of the target market is people who are gluten conscious. This consists of people who have celiac disease, other gluten intolerances, people on gluten-free diets, or families trying to eat healthier. Market Needs Within the food industry, there is a constant struggle between health, flavor, and cost. It is difficult to create product that fulfills all three criterion; this is especially true for gluten-free cookie dough. In the current market, there are limited options for gluten-free cookie dough. The options that are currently available generally consist of local companies with products more expensive than their mass-produced counterparts. According to the Statistics Portal’s survey (2012) conducted in 2012, “U.S. Gluten-Free Target Market,“ concluded that nearly 18 percent of the population in the U.S. prefers and buys gluten-free products. However, there is a huge need for affordable, healthy, mass-produced gluten-free cookie dough. Market Trends As the health trends throughout America continue to grow, the average consumer is becoming more health conscious and more aware of how their bodies react to the foods they eat. For example, five years ago, a consumer may not have known that they had Celiac Disease or had gluten sensitivity. Now, over 3 million Americans have been diagnosed with Celiac Disease and 18 million suffer from gluten sensitivity (National Foundation for Celiac Awareness: Celiac Disease: Fast Facts, 2014 & National Foundation for Celiac Awareness: Non-Celiac Gluten Sensitivity, 2014). Of the 68 persons surveyed, nearly 50 percent responded that they or someone they know has celiac disease or any other gluten-intolerance (Survey Monkey, 2014). Though the demand for healthier, and more specifically, gluten-free products increases, the supply has yet to meet the needs of the consumers. This marketing plan focuses specifically on the glutenfree cookie dough market, as there are very few affordable, healthy, mass-produced gluten-free cookie dough options within the market today. MARKET ANALYSIS 6 Market Growth In the 2000s, terms such as “celiac disease” and “gluten-free” were unfamiliar to those even in the culinary industry. Today, with an estimated 1 in 133 Americans having celiac disease, the appearance of allergen-related claims such as “gluten-free” on restaurant menus has increased by 200 percent (Amidor, 2014). According to market research by Mintel, a market research firm, the gluten-free food category is expected to generate more than $15 billion in annual sales by 2015. Furthermore, the household purchases of gluten-free products more than doubled from 5 percent in 2010 to 11 percent in 2013 (Amidor, 2014). SWOT ANALYSIS Strengths Unmatched Product Offerings and Brand Portfolio Nestlé upholds supreme brand portfolio and manufacturing capabilities than many competing firms. The company placed within the top three global food and beverage manufacturers in the Access to Nutrition Index, March 2013. Nestlé recognizes offering diversity within their brand portfolio allows them to serve a broad range of demographics. (Nestlé Global, 2014.) R&D Capabilities Nestlé devotes extensive funds - averaging $1.5 million - toward research and development annually. The company continuously brings to market new and redesigned products corresponding to market trends, ensuring the firm’s competitive edge. (Nestlé Global, 2014.) Distribution Potential Nestlé maintains widespread distribution channels and geographic presence, which supports its operation globally. Currently, the company operates 14 product categories, manufacturing more than 2,000 brands worldwide. Moreover, the company operates in 86 countries with employee strength of more than 330,000. (Nestlé Global, 2014.) MARKET ANALYSIS 7 Expansion Aptitude Over the years Nestlé has been successfully generating increased joint ventures and acquiring other businesses in order to continue growth over market shares (Nestlé Global, 2014). The company’s brand is recognized globally with highly regarded customer loyalty (About Us Nestlé Global, n.d.). APCO Worldwide ranked Nestlé number five in the global survey regarding The 100 Most Loved Companies (Nestlé’s Brand Ranking, 2014). Weaknesses Inconstant Quality Nestlé has been recalling several goods from the market due to food contamination, package mislabeling, and/or inability to provide constant quality within supplies (Nestlé Global, 2014). Most recent recall occurred June 2014, regarding unidentified allergy prone ingredients within Häagen-Dazs® Chocolate Chip Ice Cream (Recalls, Market Withdrawals, & Safety Alerts, 2014). This does not only decrease the company’s sales but lessens their consumer trust when presenting new allergen free products, such as gluten-free cookie dough. Opportunities Increasing Demand for Healthier Products Food allergies and health benefits are a rising consumer purchasing concern. As a result increased demand of customized products meeting distinct dietary requirements are occurring. Particularly, the market for gluten-free products has begun to skyrocket. Calculated from U.S. retail sales statistics, by the year 2020 the gluten-free market is estimated to be valued at $23.9 billion. Nestlé now has the opportunity to introduce a gluten-free health-based snack product, and expand possible consumer demographic. (U.S. Gluten-free Foods Market - Statistic & Facts|Statista, n.d.) Acquire Health Based Startups Several new businesses are generating and introducing products for health conscious consumer, as well as developing sustainable manufacturing methods. Nestlé is currently concentrating on providing healthier products with added nutritional value, and acquisitions such as these are great opportunity to expand the company’s brand portfolio. (Nestlé Global, 2014.) MARKET ANALYSIS 8 Threats Company Reputation Due to Nestlé’s continual recalls because of mislabeling and food contamination the company’s manufacturing reputation has decreased (Nestlé Global, 2014). It is the company’s responsibility to regulate quality checks to prevent consumer dissatisfaction. Repeated contamination will lower the company’s ability to successfully enter the allergen free market. Failure to expand with current market trends will result in losses (Nestlé Global, 2014). Cost of Raw Materials The global increase in the cost of raw material is cutting into corporate profits, declining stocks, and resulting in increased consumer prices (Gandel, 2011). As a result Nestlé’s cost of production has increased (Nestlé Global, 2014). For example, dairy – key ingredient in chocolate products – costs have increased by more than 25% this year (Sheets, 2014). Growth of Private Labels The expanding number of supermarkets who are generating their own label products that cost less will increase competition for Nestlé’s product portfolio (Nestlé Global, 2014). COMPETITION Within the niche market of gluten-free prepackaged cookie dough products a few competitors are notable. One of the competing firms, Pillsbury, makes gluten-free chocolate chip cookie dough, and Betty Crocker also produces a few gluten-free cookie dough dry mixes. Both organizations are owned by General Mills, but operate independently. Nonetheless, in the general gluten-free snack market competition would include several gluten-free items: cereals, pre-baked cookie dough, health bars, and chips etc. Some major competitors in the gluten-free snack market are companies like Kellogg and Pamela’s Products. Pillsbury has been providing families’ mealtime specials for nearly 150 years, whether it’s breakfast, lunch, dinner or dessert (General Mills: Pillsbury). Pillsbury has their brand recognition in place. The company primarily targets family homes, and distributes products MARKET ANALYSIS 9 throughout major retailers, such as Safeway or Target (General Mills: Pillsbury). The company launched their first gluten-free products line on August 6, 2013 (Food Business). These products contain items such as pizza dough, pie and pastry dough, and most importantly, cookie dough (Food Business). Pillsbury, which is owned by General Mills, has a head start in a market that is currently dominated by local bakeries. Betty Crocker has been accepted as a part of families’ food traditions for more than 90 years, providing packaged goods as well as wonderful recipes. Recently, the company had first hand experience with employees whom could not partake in the company’s products due to gluten intolerance. The experience drove them to develop great tasting gluten-free items everyone could enjoy. The company began marketing towards the idea nothing should affect sweet moments with friends and family. Targeting the modern family home, the company MARKET ANALYSIS 10 distributes their product through several major retailers. (Our Story - Betty Crocker, n.d.) . Kellogg is a company of devoted individuals producing quality products for a healthier world. The company has innovative marketing strategies, governance structures, and corporate policies that help to implement their social and corporate responsibilities into everyday operations. Currently, Kellogg’s is capitalizing on the gluten-free cereal market by reformulating or relabeling in some cases their existing brands. The idea behind this movement is to offer families healthier options to start their busy mornings. Kellogg’s is taking gluten-free rice/corn based products and turning them mainstream through distribution in major retail chains. (Cereal: The Complete Story, n.d.). Pamela’s Products is primarily an online gluten-free product line with baking mixes, cookie dough, crackers, chips and snack bars. The company, established in 1988, focuses on MARKET ANALYSIS 11 providing consumers affordable natural and gluten-free options, made from top-quality ingredients. Pamela’s Products currently remains a top leader within the gluten-free snack industry, marketing to the preferred gluten-free and natural food consumer. With ongoing research and development, Pamela’s Products continues to grow and embrace the many upcoming opportunities this industry is predicted to offer. The company is determined to remain the top provider of gluten-free snacks. (Pamela's Products: About Us, n.d.). PRODUCT OFFERING Ingredients and Nutritional Factors The Nestlé corporation will offer this product with the currently used ingredients. The current ingredients include: bleached enriched flour, semi-sweet chocolate, sugar, margarine, sodium benzoate (preservative), flavor and artificial flavor, citric acid, vitamin A, palmitate, color, liquid whole eggs, cooking molasses, corn syrup, sodium bicarbonate, flavor, and salt (Nestlé Professional, 2013). However, the current bleached enriched flour will be replaced by gluten-free flour substitute. The options for the gluten-free flour substitute include: quinoa flour, teff flour, and almond flour. Quinoa flour is a nutritious grain that contains protein, calcium, and iron. The other option, teff flour, is a gluten-free whole grain. It offers protein, calcium, and iron nutritional factors. Lastly, almond flour is a low-carb alternative. It offers calcium, iron, and protein as well. All three of these options are capable of replacing the bleached enriched flour completely (Nuts.com, 2014). MARKET ANALYSIS 12 Price and taste are two factors that must be considered when choosing the gluten-free flour substitute. Quinoa is the highest priced at $9.99 per pound (Nuts.com: Organic Quinoa Flour, 2014). It can also hold a bitter taste. Teff flour is the cheapest price offered at $4.99 per pound. Teff flour has a mild, nutty flavor (Nuts.com: Teff Flour, 2014). Almond flour is moderately priced at $8.99 per pound. Almond flour is considered to be flavorful with its nutty taste. Furthermore, it contributes to a light and moist product while baking (Nuts.com: Almond Flour, 2014). However, the only drawback of almond flour is the need to consider nut allergies. Of all the flours listed, teff flour would be the most ideal option. Not only is Teff the cheapest, but it provides the health benefits that Nestlé is striving for. By providing protein, calcium, and iron, Nestlé is adding more nutritional value than their traditional bleached enriched flour, which ensures a healthier product to their consumers and keeps the goal of providing a gluten-free cookie dough product. Different Packaging Types Nestlé offers its cookie dough products in a variety of packaging. This variation of packaging will be transferred to the gluten-free cookie dough product line. There are four types of packaging: refrigerated cookie bar dough, refrigerated cookie dough in a tube, refrigerated mini cookie bar dough, and refrigerated cookie dough tub (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The first packaging type is the Nestlé Toll House refrigerated cookie bar dough. This packaging offers a rectangular sheet of cookie dough that makes 24 cookie dough from pre-cut bars (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The second packaging type offers the product inside a long, cylinder tube. It makes approximately 16 cookie dough (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The third type of packaging is essentially the same as the first type; however, the dough is cut into mini bars, which makes smaller cookie dough. This package will make 40 mini cookie dough (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). The last packaging type is in a tub. The tub allows the consumer to scope out the desired amount and size of the cookie dough they wish to bake (Nestlé Toll House: Products, n.d.). Customer Satisfaction Guarantee Nestlé can implement a customer satisfaction guarantee on the new gluten-free cookie dough product line to further the line’s success. According to U.S. Legal Definitions (2014), a MARKET ANALYSIS 13 customer satisfaction guarantee gives “the buyer…the sole discretion to decide whether or not the goods or services tendered by the seller are acceptable.” By offering a guarantee on its product, Nestlé is keeping attune to its consumer’s demands. It can also raise the quality of the product. Quality is defined as the “characteristics of a product or service that bear on its ability to satisfy stated or implied customer needs” (Kotler, Armstrong, 2014, pg. 231). This can help create customer loyalty and adjust the gluten-free cookie dough products accordingly. KEYS TO SUCCESS Growing Population with Gluten-Intolerance The growing population with gluten-intolerances is a major component for Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough’s success in the market place. As previously mentioned, 3 million people are diagnosed with celiac disease and over 18 million people suffer from a glutenintolerance (Celiac Disease: Fast Facts, 2014, Non-Celiac Gluten Sensitivity, 2014). Additionally, according to Partnership Capital Growth (2010), “one in three (34%) people have a household member with celiac disease or wheat intolerance.” These populations make up a significant portion of the United States that will become a critical target market for Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough products. For this to be successful, the growth of the population with gluten-intolerance must continue to rise. A statistic from National Foundation for Celiac Awareness estimates that “83% of Americans who have celiac disease are undiagnosed or misdiagnosed with other conditions.” This large percentage of undiagnosed or misdiagnosed Americans with celiac disease determines a continual growth of the gluten-intolerance population. Thus, the future growth is a key to success for the gluten-free cookie dough product offered by Nestlé. Increasing Level of Health Awareness The current nationwide growth of health awareness is a major factor to this product’s success. Moreover, people are becoming more aware of the health benefits a gluten-free diet can bring. An article written by Simmons (2013) indicates that “sixty-four percent of consumers today—up from 57 percent in 2010—agree that it is important to eat healthy and pay attention to nutrition.” The rise of health conscious Americans entails a greater market demand for healthier MARKET ANALYSIS 14 food options. According to an article written by Kannall (n.d.), changing to a gluten-free diet contributes a positive effect on digestion, inflammation, neurological, and energy levels within the human body. This article signifies that a gluten-free diet has additional health benefits. In order for Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough product to reach optimal success, the rise of health awareness within the United States must continue. CRITICAL ISSUES Higher Price for Raw Ingredients of Gluten-Free Products A critical issue that can be detrimental to the success of Nestlé’s gluten-free cookie dough products is the high price of raw ingredients. The price of all-purpose flour is significantly cheaper than its gluten-free alternatives. As previously stated, the gluten-free alternative price range is approximately $5 to $10 per pound (Nuts.com, 2014). However, typical all-purpose flour costs approximately 50 cents per pound (Walmart.com, 2014). This will increase the cost of production; thus, increasing the sell price of the gluten-free cookie dough product to consumers. According to a CBS news article (2014), a consumer went from spending $90 a week to spending at least $130 per week on groceries, after being diagnosed with celiac disease. Furthermore, it is estimated that it is twice as expensive to purchase gluten-free groceries (CBS, 2014). The cost to produce and the market price of gluten-free products can have a negative effect on Nestlé’s market success. MARKET ANALYSIS 15 References About Us Nestle Global . (n.d.). Retrieved September 2014, from Nestlé Global: www.Nestlé.com/aboutus Amidor, T. (2014, April 21). Hello gluten-free, goodbye organic? Retrieved From http://health.usnews.com/health-news/blogs/eat-run/2014/04/18/hello-gluten-freegoodbye-organic Betty Crocker. (n.d.). Our story- betty crocker. Retrieved from http://www.bettycrocker.com/products/GlutenFree/our-story CBS Money Watch. (2014, February 25). A gluten-free diet, how much will it cost you? Retrieved from http://www.cbsnews.com/news/a-gluten-free-diet-how-much-willit-cost/ CBS News. (2014). Nestlé Recalls Cookie dough over Illnesses. Retrieved from http://www.cbsnews.com/news/Nestlé-recalls-cookie dough-dough-over-illnesses/ European Food Information Council. (2014). Coeliac Disease on the rise in Europe. 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