Discussion Draft January 12, 2004 GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT BONDS SUMMARY This paper introduces a proposal to establish a new category of U.S. investment security called Global Development Bonds (GDBs). The objective is to mobilize a higher flow of capital investment by U.S. investors, especially institutional investors, to projects and companies in developing countries, for sustainable development. With certain US government enhancements, GDBs will strike a risk/reward balance that draws private investors into markets with significant growth potential that heretofore have been unattractive to them. In so doing, GDBs will employ the financial creativity and investment judgment of Wall Street and tap previously inaccessible pools of capital in support of sustainable development goals that public sector aid programs have not, and cannot, fully achieve. GDBs will not work like foreign aid or other public sector funding (trade, investment, risk mitigation) programs, but will complement them, leverage their funds and further their goals. In time, GDBs should reduce the need for some types or levels of aid programs. INTRODUCTION The financing of sustainable development in the developing world has been largely the domain of public sector agencies. While private sector investment in the developing world has surpassed official development assistance since the end of the 1980s, portfolio investment has been problematic given its volatility, and foreign direct investment has significantly decreased due to market problems and economic instabilities since the late 1990s. The United States and other industrialized nations long have agreed that economic growth is an indispensable element in sustainable development and that the need for both hard and local currency investment in sustainable development far exceeds the supply of funds. The industrialized nations acknowledge that the investment needed must come from private as well as public sources, and over the years a variety of efforts have been made to combine, relate, or leverage the two, through public-private partnerships. Private investment in developing countries is rife with risk. Investors and lenders face unstable macroeconomic environments, currency devaluation, inadequate legal frameworks, changing government policy, political forces, corruption, and other challenges. When adjusted for risk, the cost of capital often becomes too great for the emerging market businesses or projects to bear. Drawing capital market funding more broadly into the process of sustainable development is a major challenge; engaging private sector institutional investors such as pension funds and insurance companies that manage large pools of capital and, by fiduciary duty, invest conservatively, is particularly difficult. Protections offered today by government and multilateral agencies such as political risk insurance can be cumbersome and expensive. A principal characteristic that leads to complexity and cost is the requirement that government support be applied case-by-case – thus the one-off nature of each investment and lack of a systematized approach. This paper puts forth an idea that was born in discussions about the financing of Sustainable Development in the International Working Group of the Energy Future Coalition (EFC). With ongoing support from the EFC, a team is developing the GDB concept as a securitized, insured product analogous to municipal and corporate bonds, asset-backed securities (ABSs), and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) as a recognized category of bonds – an asset class – rated and traded in secondary markets. The goal is to engage Wall Street creativity in the design of a class of security that can achieve investment-grade ratings, through a combination of private and public sector enhancements that can overcome the sovereign and project risks inherent in the countries and regions that are the intended beneficiaries. As envisioned, GDBs will be a securitized instrument representing an interest in an underlying pool of loans or other financial assets that originated in the financing of sustainable development in “emerging markets” or other developing countries that have demonstrated some level of commitment to and implementation of market economics. GDBs would receive certain “automatic” risk mitigation coverages from public sector agencies, for which a fee would be paid. They would be regulated by a government agency. The proceeds of GDBs would be used in designated countries (“Qualifying Countries”) and for specified “sustainable development” purposes (“Qualifying Uses”). Given the target assets, obligors, and countries, the government role is inevitable – but the GDB goal is to have a market product supported by government, not a government program implemented by the market. STARTING FROM WALL STREET Meetings on Wall Street have confirmed that while no GDB-like product has been introduced successfully in the market, there are more or less analogous precedents and techniques that can be looked to and employed in structuring GDBs. The intention is to utilize those techniques, from diversification to over-collateralization, to make the public sector enhancement role as minimal as possible. While recognizing significant obstacles and an ultimate need for a government enhancement package to neutralize sovereign risk (including foreign exchange risk), the rating agencies, investment and commercial banks, monoline insurers, and institutional investors encourage the initiative and believe it can work. a. The Techniques of Securitization Securitization is a recent phenomenon, that in 30 years has grown into a $6.6 trillion market. Initially it was stimulated by government involvement. In the early 1970s, a government agency, the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), popularly “Ginnie Mae”, issued guaranteed securities that passed through the principal and interest payments on HUD and Veterans Administration backed mortgages to investors. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, both federallychartered private corporations, soon followed with mortgage-backed securities that explosively expanded the secondary mortgage market. Collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), which followed in the early 1980s, were designed to address prepayment risk and utilized different bond classes, with a hierarchy of subordination, to absorb market changes and first loss. The Tax Reform Act of 1986 added an additional layer of sophistication, the Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduit (REMIC), which facilitated CMOs through a simplified tax structure and the issuance of securities with a range of risk characteristics and coupons. The first asset-back securities (ABSs), non-mortgage loans or other assets with expected payment streams, date back only to 1985 and computer leases. This market now includes securitized auto loans, credit card receivables, home equity loans, student loans, future entertainment royalties, and an expanding number of other assets. Collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) are a newer breed of asset-backed securities – structured finance, securitized products first issued in the late 1980s (sometimes as collateralized loan obligations or collateralized bond obligations) that may include corporate bonds, bank loans, emerging market sovereign debt, and project finance debt as well as more traditional asset-backed securities and credit derivatives. CDOs normally are structured with a number of “tranches” (there 2 can five or more) with varying risk, payment frequency, coupon, and maturity. The safest (often called the “A Tranche”) may be rated AA or AAA, the lowest tranche is designated as, or is the effective equivalent of, equity. It is critical for a securitization to isolate the financial assets supporting the payments to the holder of the security. Thus, the issuer is usually a special purpose vehicle (SPV), which can be a corporation, partnership or trust, which buys assets from originators. The originators in the case of GDBs could include U.S. commercial banks and contractually-related local commercial banks. The purpose is to ensure that payments to investors are derived from the segregated pool of assets and are not dependant on the financial performance of the originator. That also protects the investor from claims against or the bankruptcy of the originator; and it protects the originator by allowing investors to turn only to the SPV for payment. The final players are the rating agencies, monoline insurers, underwriters, dealers, and ultimately investors (bond buyers). Virtually all MBSs, ABSs, and CDOs are rated; GDBs would have to be. Monoline insurers (as opposed to multi-line), such as Ambac, MBIA, and XL Capital Assurance are specialized insurers that guarantee, without question, payments to bond holders in the event of a default. (Ambac and MBIA instituted municipal bond insurance in the US in the early 1970s. Roughly half of municipal bonds are now insured.) The monolines do extensive due diligence and for the most part carry AAA ratings themselves – a testament to their business model and execution. Their insurance (really a guarantee) takes a BBB bond to a AAA rating. Underwriters are the intermediary between the SPV and the investor – the bonds are exchanged for cash with an underwriter, which then sells the bonds to investors. Credit enhancement is common in securitizations. Diversification is a form of enhancement and is critical in non-homogeneous CDOs, of which GDBs will be a type. Rating agencies have diversification criteria and assign a diversification score in their due diligence process. Subordinating one or more tranches also is a form of enhancement – defaults affecting the security will be absorbed by a subordinate tranche before the senior tranche is affected. Overcollateralization – having a larger payment stream to service principal and interest obligations to bond holders than would be necessary absent default – is a common practice. The SPV mechanism and, where appropriate, moving payment streams outside of risky emerging market countries are not credit enhancement per se, but provide needed security to investors. Finally, the monoline insurance wrap, which can be utilized only if the bonds already have reached the BBB level, is an important private sector enhancement. b. Application to GDBs GDBs closest parallel to existing market products is the CDO – more specifically an arbitrage cash flow CDO. (There also are “market value CDOs”, which pay obligations to bond holders through the trading and sale of collateral. Cash flow CDOs rely on the income streams of the underlying assets. The arbitrage results from the positive spread between cash flows generated by the portfolio of non-investment grade assets and the investment grade liabilities to bond holders. “Arbitrage CDOs” differ from “balance sheet CDOs” in that the latter are essentially securitizations of commercial and industrial loans.) Since the late 1990s, there have been CDOs that included “emerging market” debt in the portfolio of underlying financial assets. A few have been exclusively emerging market debt. Their average portfolio has been 80% sovereign debt; 20% corporate debt. Many issuances have had difficulty. The GDB will differ from existing emerging market CDOs in a number of respects, primary among them that the GDB’s purpose is to finance sustainable development, which probably means that 3 substantial amounts of infrastructure debt will be among the pooled assets, along with some corporate bonds, bank loans, and ABSs and MBSs if available. (All cash-flow assets could be considered. For example, some forfeiting debt could qualify as sustainable development.) Significantly, many Wall Street experts were attracted to the concept of GDBs precisely because, unlike the CDOs, they wouldn’t be tapping capital markets to finance general obligational sovereign debt, which has a high risk of diversion for illicit or at least unproductive use by corrupt or incompetent governments. A substantial portion of a GDB issuance would likely be used to refinance existing debt but a portion also could be used for new financing of sustainable development programs, companies, and projects. The issuer would establish its GDB management group, which would place and manage the funds but rely on local intermediaries or partners to be the primary lenders. Thus, prior to looking to Washington, the structure of the GDB will include geographical diversity (more than one country and probably more than one region), asset diversity, and obligor (issuer/originator) diversity. It certainly will include tranching and over-collateralization. An important objective will be to reach the BBB level in order to utilize the monoline insurance wrap. Additional elements in the structure of the GDB, which would substantially strengthen the security, could be host country or local government participation in the equity of the SPV, which ensures risk sharing in the event of default. Host country or local government guarantees also would be obtained where possible, but these add less security because they are subject to political decision. One Wall Street expert suggested that wherever possible, a GDB should include a sequence of host country guarantees or loss protections – from local, provincial and national governments. Important to the rating agencies in looking at the security of pooled assets will be the credit rating of the country (local currency and hard currency ratings, the latter always lower because of foreign exchange risk), the existence of a liquid local capital market, and the existence of legal infrastructure that permits the creation of security interests in underlying assets. Then the rating agencies will be interested in available historical data on the assets and obligors in the pool. Absent that, they will look for “proxies” – that is the historical performance of comparable assets. The key, obviously, is predictability. MBSs, and ABSs such as car loans and credit card receivables, have historical data even in emerging markets and the pools can contain thousands of assets. For GDBs, the fewer the assets, the more assets without discernable historical performance data for their classes, and the fewer proxies, the greater the need will be for public sector enhancement. Wall Street experts with whom the team has discussed GDBs to this point, have a range of views on whether the spreads between what LDC debtors will pay and US investors will demand is sufficient without substantial public-sector enhancement. That analysis will be an important element in the team’s next steps. Overall, however, Wall Street has been positive in its reaction to the concept of GDBs. Interviewees believe it can be done with the right structure and mix of private and public enhancement. The less complex the structure the better (though a certain amount of complexity is inevitable). A good first “deal”, which will enable the rating agencies to develop a model, will be very important. THE WASHINGTON ROLE a. In General Because their proceeds will be employed in developing countries, GDBs will require certain credit enhancements from the U.S. Government. In time, the goal will be to have fees for the enhancements make the U.S. Government participation revenue neutral. (The concept obviously could be replicated in other industrialized nations or supported by multilateral institutions.) 4 The most logical USG entity to provide the risk mitigation coverage is the Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC). An entity administering the proposed Millennium Challenge Account program (about to be authorized in appropriations legislation) also could play a major role. OPIC has existing authority for a range of enhancements that could be relied upon for GDBs, and has existing products including, but also beyond, their standard political risk package, such as the liquidity facility for devaluation risk set up for Latin American countries (though used only once, in Brazil), that could be adapted for GDBs. As envisioned, GDBs would not utilize OPIC’s guarantee authority – because of the moral hazard (as well as being politically unpractical) of shifting the entire risk to the government. Examples of risk mitigation under consideration include political risk insurance, foreign exchange risk liquidity facility and/or insurance, partial risk guarantees against nonperformance of contractual obligations undertaken by governments, and low cost matching or partial first loss funds. Tax credits of some kind also could be a possibility but appear to the GDB team and Wall Street experts as a far less practical option. b. Legislation New legislation probably would be needed to authorize OPIC or another agencies to license, monitor and regulate GDBs – as opposed to reviewing, approving, and applying statutory requirements case by case. Legislation also might be required to authorize the use of funds, such as those in the Millennium Challenge Account, for partial first loss pools, subsidizing the cost of political risk insurance or devaluation liquidity facilities. Appropriations legislation also likely would be required if the government support went beyond political risk insurance. c. Precedents of Federal Government Support The Federal Government has long supported certain sectors of the economy or categories of people, such as home ownership, family farming, and students, through indirect, quasi-market support programs. As shown above, the original securitization of home mortgage loans, backed by HUD and the Veterans Administration, were guaranteed through Ginnie Mae, a government agency. In fact, the US has created a separate class of securities issued or guaranteed by government agencies. There are two types: federally regulated institutions that borrow through the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) and Government Sponsored Entities (GSEs) that issue bonds directly into the market. There are eight GSEs, many well known, all that enjoy state and local tax exemptions in addition to lower borrowing costs because of their special federal status. The eight are: the Federal Farm Credit Bank System (FFCB); the Farm Credit Financial Assistance Corporation (FACO); the Federal Home Loan Bank System (FHLB); the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac); the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae); the Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae); and the Financing Corporation (FICO) and the Resolution Trust Corporation, both created in the wake of the savings and loan crisis. The Tennessee Valley Authority straddles the two categories, both borrowing through the FFB and issuing securities directly into the market. GSEs enjoy a number of economic benefits – tax exemptions, exemptions from SEC registration requirements, the use of the Federal Reserve as their fiscal agent, and borrowing authority from the U.S. Treasury (e.g. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each $2.25 billion, FHLBs {there are 12 district banks} $4.0 billion, FICO $10.825 billion.) While not obligations of the U.S. Treasury, GSE bonds are perceived as safe by investors because of the government backing. As a consequence, 5 they are priced between US Treasuries and AAA corporate bonds – creating a sort of “super-AAA” category. Apart from international programs of direct relevance to GDBs such as OPIC’s insurance and guarantee programs and USAID’s recent employment of its guarantee authority for the Development Credit Authority (DCA) program, there are many other federal programs that support private sector initiatives. Two examples that could have relevance to GDBs are the SBIC program of the Small Business Administration and EPA’s State Revolving Fund (SRF) program. SBICs are licensed by SBA, must have a management team with venture capital expertise and at least $5 million in private capital investment. They then may receive leverage equal to 300% of their private capital and issue debentures that are guaranteed by SBA. SRFs are created by the states for water and waste water projects. They receive matching capitalization grants from EPA that can be set aside in a debt service reserve fund and/or invested. The SFRs then issue bonds and lend the proceeds for eligible projects. Investment income from EPA grants may be used as reserves or to subsidize interest rates. The US government enhancement wrap for GDBs is likely to be more targeted to the specific political, foreign exchange, and other sovereign risks that will be the chief obstacles to investmentgrade ratings for GDBs. Nevertheless, the foregoing examples amply demonstrate the wide variety of techniques that have been employed that could be adapted to GDBs and underscore the willingness of the U.S. government to use taxpayer-funded mechanisms in support of worthy public policy goals. d. The Working Description of the USG Role and Process Short of creating a new GSE for GDBs, the GDB team initially has envisioned a U.S. government agency authorizing/licensing a Qualifying Issuer of GDBs to issue GDBs for Qualifying Uses in Qualifying Countries, supporting the GDBs through targeted, generic (class) enhancements, and monitoring and regulating their trading in bond markets. The object of the government role is to cover risks that markets cannot assume sufficiently to achieve the goal of an investment grade, rated, tradable class of securities that finance sustainable development in poor countries. (1) Examples of Targeted Government Enhancements Political Risk insurance: Investors are concerned about unpredictable political risks. OPIC’s standard insurance package includes currency inconvertibility (where host country currency restrictions prevent the conversion or transfer of investment returns), expropriation, and political violence. As envisioned, GBD issuers could receive “automatic” political risk insurance. OPIC would establish certain criteria for a GDB to qualify, whereupon it would be entitled to the standard OPIC insurance. Foreign Exchange Risk Mitigation: OPIC political risk insurance does not cover foreign exchange risk, which can range from fluctuations during the term of a loan to longer-term devaluations. OPIC has developed a product for Latin America called a liquidity facility for devaluation risk. It has been used only once, for the Tiete Project (sponsored by AES) in Brazil. It is tied to the premise that government regulators will permit rates to be raised as necessary to support increased debt service, which in time repay the facility. Whether this type of mechanism is used, separate from or in combination with private sector hedges, foreign exchange risk is a principal obstacle to be overcome by GDBs. Funding to Support First Loss Reserves, Devaluation Facilities, and/or Political Risk Insurance: While proposals for the Millennium Challenge Account (MCA) are 6 based on more traditional aid approaches, the spirit of its genesis – to reward countries moving toward market economies – might generate support within the Administration and Congress for more daring and innovative approaches such as GDBs. The fund could be used in a variety of ways: as part of a “first loss” fund, as funding for a devaluation liquidity facility, to pay for political risk insurance etc. Since some of the proceeds from GDBs may be used prospectively, rather than for refinancing existing debt, such funds also could be employed as matching funds. All such uses would leverage the appropriated funds many times over their currently proposed uses. Partial Risk Guarantees: The World Bank and IFC have partial risk guarantee products that cover some of the political risks covered by OPIC’s insurance but also defaults caused by a government’s failure to meet its contractual obligations related to a private project. Such coverage would be important for GDBs to the extent that the underlying financial assets in the portfolio include project debt. (2) Qualifying Countries GDB rules for qualifying countries could range from existing qualifications for OPIC coverage, to several more restrictive models in proposed or existing legislation that authorize governmentsponsored financing in developing countries. Fundamentally, qualifying countries would either have to have or be moving toward the establishment of free market laws, rules, regulations, and institutions. Recent examples of such criteria passed by Congress or contained in existing legislation include country eligibility criteria in various Millennium Challenge Account bills and in the African Growth and Opportunity Act. (Both examples also contain criteria relating to democracy, human rights, the rule of law, education, poverty reduction etc. – standard aid criteria, which usually are necessary to enact legislation. While that might narrow the potential universe of qualifying countries, it would only apply as a threshold test for eligibility and wouldn’t affect the implementation of the GDB process.) (3) Qualifying Uses From the investor perspective, capital will seek the best risk-adjusted rate of return. From the public policy perspective, priorities range from economic development, to environmentally clean development, to poverty alleviation-focused development. A varying balance of these criteria is often required in today’s world. Considering the objectives of the EFC, the GDB concept is put forth as a vehicle for financing “Sustainable Development” as defined from time to time, and might include clean energy, water, health, housing, communications, and transportation – and corporate and possibly sovereign debt demonstrably tied to such ends. (4) Qualifying Issuers As a U.S. government-supported security, GDBs would need to be raised by entities that are subject to U.S. laws and tax regulations. As envisioned, the administering agency, OPIC, the SEC, or some other agency, would need to put forth a regulatory definition of “qualifying” issuers of GDBs, or establish an entity to award GDB licenses to approved issuers. 7 (5) Implementation Options There is a wide range of implementation options. For example, a mandate would be given to a U.S. Government agency to establish and oversee the GDB program. Since GDBs appear to align more closely with OPIC’s mission, authority, and capabilities than to any other agency, it is a likely candidate to be the implementing agency. OPIC would issue approvals or licenses to issuers of GDBs, which would trigger qualification for some or all of the enhancements in the program, such as political risk insurance. The regulatory function also could be performed by OPIC or by a newly created agency. Alternatively, this function might be performed by the SEC. In any case, there will be a need for the kind of “loose-tight” regulation that the SEC applies, requiring certain reporting and adherence to accounting and ethical standards, but in such a way as to allow the markets to allocate capital. POTENTIAL IMPACTS AND NATIONAL BENEFITS Approximately $50 billion per year is spent by all OECD countries together for official development assistance, which represents less than 0.3% of the aggregate Gross National Income (GNI) of those countries. Clearly, this formal aid funding does not reflect the potential of the OECD nations to advance capital for the purposes of development. A key feature of GDBs is its scalability based on merit. Just as there are hundreds of mutual funds, real estate investment trusts, leasing companies, mortgage-backed securities funds, and other special-purpose investment methods and vehicles, dozens or hundreds of GDB funds could emerge from a successful GDB program. The net effect would be an acceleration in economic, social, and human advancement around the world. A successful program also could mobilize a new generation of U.S financial talent to work in the developing countries. This is important because “good deals” happen most often as a result of collaboration between financial professionals and project sponsors. Government support that results in the widespread employment of a GDB-class of security, has the potential to return significant benefits to the nation. GDBs would complement existing programs and leverage scarce foreign aid funds. They would improve the effectiveness of dollars flowing overseas – GDB funds would flow through many competing channels, seeking best applications through market forces. They would improve the efficiency of moving the funds into key developing countries because the private sector works faster and with lower overhead than government. By causing economic growth, they would open up new export opportunities for U.S. businesses, create U.S. jobs, and generate tax revenues back to government. Finally, through the private sector, GDBs would be supporting long-standing U.S. foreign policy, international economic, development, and trade goals and strengthening international relations – all in a manner that would be a more efficient and less costly use of U.S. taxpayer dollars. * * * * For additional information about the GDB proposal, please contact the EFC study team: Michael Eckhart at Solar International Management, Inc. (telephone 202-429-2030 and email meckhart@aol.com) or John E. Mullen at Globalnet Venture Partners (telephone 202-429-2720 or email mullenj@aol.com). 8 Attachment A New York (Financial Community) Meetings/Discussions on GDBs (through January 12, 2004) Meetings: Paul V. Applegarth, Chief Executive Officer, Value Enhancement International LLC Carl Adams, Executive Director, Financial Standards Foundation John Baumann, Managing Director, JPMorgan Fleming Asset Managment J. Carter Beese, Riggs Capital Partners David Beidler, Senior VP & Chief Legal Officer, Radian Asset Assurance Inc. Anthony Drexel Biddle, III, Hill International, Inc. Dan Bond, First VP, Sovereign, Ambac Bill Chew, Managing Director, Corporate & Government Ratings, S&P Barry Gold, Managing Director, Global Structured Bonds, Citigroup Frank Fernandez, Senior VP, Chief Economist & Director of Research, SIA Steven Greenwald, Managing Director Credit Suisse First Boston Chansoo Joung, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs T. Wynne Morriss, Senior Managing Director, XL Capital Insurance Robert Osterwalder, Director, Debt Capital Markets, UBS Investment Bank Dana Fisk Pitts, Managing Director, JPMorgan Chase Bank George Sorenson, Chairman, FE Clean Energy Group, Inc. David Stortz, Managing Director, XL Capital Insurance William Streeter, Managing Director, Global Project Finance, Fitch Bill Wicker, Managing Director, Goldman Sachs Conference calls: Hilary Ackermann, Managing Director, Project Finance group, Goldman Sachs Barry Gold, Citigroup Michael Lucente, Merrill Lynch Anthony Presisano, Structured Finance, Goldman Sachs (formerly Fitch) John Salinger, President, AIG Global Trade and Political Risk Insurance Co. Pat Welch, Asset-Backed Securities group, Goldman Sachs (formerly S&P) Next Steps in Market Analysis Determining current spreads and interest rates and trends; determining the pricing and costing of guarantees. The size and shape of bond markets – in the US and internationally, to determine supply, demand, and applications. The supply of projects and other eligible country assets – the types and availability of assets that could be pooled. Determining how much capital market funding is international – and how much of that is going to 2nd and 3rd world countries – as part of the analysis of what countries can be eligible. 9 Attachment B Washington (Public Policy) Meetings/Discussions on GDBs (through January 12, 2004) Meetings Ken Hansen, Partner, Chadborne & Parke (former ExIm GC and OPIC attorney) Dan Renburg, Arent Fox, former Board of ExIm. James Brenner, Meadowbrook Advisors Christopher Walker, Managing Director, Environmental/Greenhouse Gas Solutions, and Cosette Simon, VP, government and Industry Relations, Swiss Re (55 E. 52nd St NY, and Armonk, NY) OPIC – Jan Boyer, Senior Advisor to the President, and Tracey Webb, Director, Credit Policy and Analysis. State Dept. Meeting: Lori Brutten (State), Griffin Thompson and Paul Freedman (AID), Ginger Green (OPIC), Francis Hodsoll (DOE) – others James Fuschetti, Director, WWF Center for conservation Finance Mark Collins, Partner, Brown Investment Advisory John Wasielewski, Director of Development, USAID Center for Global Development – Sheila Herrling, Todd Moss, Bill Cline, Ted Truman (IIE), Mary Goodman (Moore Capital Strategy Group), Contacts/Conversations Mike Kitay – USAID Assistant General Counsel Drew Luten – USAID, Millennium Challenge Account Barbara Turner – USAID, Acting Asst. Admin., Policy and Program Coordination (PPC) Next Steps Regarding the Washington Role Legal and policy aspects of “eligibility” by location, uses, and issuers. The minimum types and costs of enhancements necessary to get a hypothetical GDB (with eligible countries and examples of financial assets in the underlying portfolio). Cost benefit analysis – the overall budget impact, not only the direct cost of the program but also the offsets in savings from other “aid” programs and the benefits to the nation in more broadly achieving foreign policy goals. The potential US Government “players” and the path in the Washington political process to present, advance, and succeed in authorizing the program. Political considerations among key constituencies. 10