Steel Industry Update/154 March 2001 Locker Associates, 225 Broadway, NY NY 10007 Tel: 212-962-2980 Fax: 212-608-3077 Important Notice to Subscribers: Due to rising printing and distribution costs, as well as the time sensitive nature of our material, the next issue of Steel Industry Update (#155) will be distributed by email only. Therefore it is imperative that you contact us at lockerassociates@yahoo.com with your email address -- otherwise you will not receive the next issue. For those subscribers who do not have an email address, we will fax the Update provided you supply your fax number by calling us at 212-962-2980. In today’s global economy, markets can rapidly change direction. While current steel pricing and production conditions are among the worst in recent memory there is some hope that things could start to improve by mid-2001. In fact, Peter Marcus of World Steel Dynamics is now predicting that the “death spiral” of steel prices has hit rock bottom and that there is a positive shift underway in U.S. and global steel markets. Marcus recently wrote that 2001 could be a mirror image of 2000. The first half of 2000 saw strong pricing and increased shipments for U.S. steel producers while the second half witnessed a dramatic downturn. On the global front, in the first three quarters of 2000 world steel production surged. Approximately 854 million metric tonnes of steel were produced on an annual basis during this period, which represents a 15% increase over the annual rate during the first quarter of 1999. While global consumption rose an estimated 4.7% over this same period, it was clearly not enough to offset the massive growth in production. Moreover, during the second half of 2000 steel buyers started liquidating inventories, compounding the supply-demand imbalance and driving prices to the floor. However, despite projections for an adverse start, 2001 already shows some signs of improvement. For the world market, there are three main reasons for a more positive outlook: (1) anticipated lower global steel production, (2) stable steel demand, and (3) the end of inventory liquidations by steel users. For the U.S., this world outlook is coupled with favorable predictions on a substantial drop in imports, especially HR band. Inside This Issue...... Fourth Quarter Results .............................. Trade Crisis ................................................ Prices and Shipments ................................ Raw Materials ............................................ Labor/Management .................................... Capacity/Technology ................................. Worthy of Note ........................................... 1 2 4 5 5 7 7 With supply and demand becoming more balanced by mid-year, world and domestic steel prices will slowly but surely move up. Where are prices headed? According to World Steel Dynamics, world export prices for slab may rise as much as $45 per metric tonne by the third quarter, up from $160 in December, and hotrolled band could rise to $275 per tonne from $175 over the same period (F.O.B. the port of export). Cold rolled and galvanized are also forecasted to rise from their lows of $290 and $360 per tonne to $380 and $475 per tonne respectively by the third quarter of this year. Of course, a lot depends on what happens to the rest of the economy, especially major steel consuming industries like auto, construction and heavy equipment. But assuming end-use markets hold up, a slow and painful recovery is in the works. FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS Performance during the fourth quarter of 2000 reflected the depression battering the North American steel industry. Weaker prices led to dramati- Table 1: Selected U.S. Steel Industry Data, December & Year-To-Date (thousand tons) Month of December Year-to-Date 2000 1999 % Chg 2000 1999 % Chg Raw Steel Production .................. Capacity Utilization .................... Mill Shipments .............................. Exports ......................................... Imports ......................................... Apparent Steel Supply* ................ Imports as % of Supply*............. Iron Ore Shipments (metric) ........... Average Spot Price** ($/ton) ......... Scrap Price+ ($/gross ton) .............. 4.2% -3.2% 20.3% 6.2% 3.6% -3.1% 1.7% 0.1% 7,982 72.0 7,559 472 2,361 8,909 20.5% 5,052 323 93 9,604 88.5 9,159 520 3,102 10,931 21.0% 6,046 349 149 -16.9% --17.5% -9.1% -23.0% -18.5% --16.4% -7.7% -37.6% 111,903 85.9 109,624 6,529 37,957 132,495 22.2% 59,682 349 115 107,395 83.8 106,201 5,426 35,731 127,925 21.2% 57,871 343 115 Source: AISI, Purchasing Mag., & US Geo. Survey *Excludes semi-finished imports **Avg price of 8 carbon products +auto bundles Steel Industry Update/154 cally reduced shipments and falling sales for all companies tracked by Locker Associates, with U.S. integrated mills suffering the most dramatic downturn. The six U.S. integrated producers realized operating loses of $389 million for the fourth quarter compared with gains of $28 million over the same period last year (see Table 2). (Unfortunately, both LTV and Wheeling-Pitt had to be excluded from our review do to late reporting.) Shipments for U.S. integrated mills declined 12%, dropping from 9.7 million tons to 8.6 million tons, while sales went down 10%. In addition, with production volume falling, average costs per ton rose almost 12%. With all these negative trends, every U.S. integrated mill lost money except AK Steel -- but even their profits fell nearly 50%. (Note: US Steel’s numbers now include their Kosice mill in the Slovak Republic.) Previously faring better than most U.S. integrated producers, the three Canadian integrated mills reported fourth quarter losses as well as falling shipments and sales across the board. Only Dofasco reported a positive operating income. While Canadian shipments dropped only half as much as the U.S., they reported a more dramatic downturn in sales of 13% and nearly an 8% drop in prices. While the six U.S. minimills in Table 2 also showed significant signs of slippage, all but two (Birmingham Steel and Co-Steel) managed to generate a positive operating income for the fourth quarter. Operating costs for the minimills remained fairly constant despite a nearly 10% drop in sales and a 6% reduction in shipments. Average prices fell nearly 3.5% but producers were still able to hold their ground. Excluding Ipsco, which includes major fabricating operations, all six minimills reported a decline in shipments for the fourth quarter. TRADE CRISIS Imports Reached Record Levels in 2000: Figures released by the Census Department showed steel imports in 2000 at 38 million net tons, up 2.2 million net tons, or 6%, from 1999. Semifinished imports topped 9 million tons, a new all-time record. The biggest increases were in HR sheets, OCTG, and heavy structural shapes, while the largest decreases were in CR sheets and hotdipped galvanized sheets and strip. The countries registering the biggest increases in shipments to the U.S. were Ukraine, China, and India, while Japan, Korea, and Mexico registered the greatest declines. Preliminary figures for January showed steel imports at 2.24 million net tons, virtually the same as the 2.23 million the month before, but down 830,000 tons, or 27%, from the 3.07 million net ton figure for January of last year. Semifinised products went down 62% from January 2000, while finished products were off 12%. HR sheet dropped 34% from last year, but CR was up a whopping 56%. Plate, wire rode and HR bar all went down, while heavy structurals, rebar and OCTG products went up (AMM 2/1, 2/12, 2/26; U.S. Customs Service). AK Leads Charge Against Bailouts: In the face of calls for action to protect domestic steel from the rising tide of bankruptcies and layoffs, AK Steel has emerged as the leading force opposing such moves. In January, citing “philosophical differences” with the American Iron and Steel Institute and a majority of its members, it withdrew from that organization. AK had opposed AISI actions supporting trade cases against the dumping of foreign imports and had registered its disagreement with the law sponsored by Sen. Robert Byrd (D.-W.Va.) that provides federal aid to troubled steel mills. Last month, it came out in opposition to the plan of Ohio Republican Gov. Bob Taft to grant $110 million to aid troubled companies in the state. The Taft plan would provide $30 million for ailing steelmakers to expand or restructure operations, $60 million in tax-exempt bonding authority to finance pollution control equipment, $15 million to help upgrade employee skills, and $5 million for infrastructure improvement and new equipment. AK, on the other hand, has touted its role as a model of success for the industry. Recently, Rep. John Boehner (R.-Ohio) sent a letter to President Bush urging him to tour the company’s Middletown facility to see “a profitable and efficient steel producer” that has operated “without any government intervention.” Its government “hands-off” policy has received partial support from the Steel Manufacturers Association, representing most of the major minimills. A statement from SMA’s Board of Directors last month, while backing further relief actions by the government to stem low-cost imports, opposed “any bailout of non-competitive facilities and reduction of their legacy costs.” Its “survival of the fittest” position (government’s support of troubled companies “violates the laws of evolution,” in the words of one Steel Industry Update (ISSN 1063-4339) published 10 times/year by Locker Associates, Inc. Subscriptions $395/yr; $725/two yrs; Multiple copy discounts available. Checks payable to Locker Associates in U.S. dollars drawn on a U.S. bank. Copyright © 2001 by Locker Associates Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in any form forbidden w/o permission. Some material in this Update is excerpted from American Metal Market (AMM), which is available by subscription by calling 800-247-8080. Locker Associates, 225 Bdwy, # 2625, NY NY 10007. E-Mail: lockerassociates@yahoo.com -2- Steel Industry Update/154 Table 2: Performance of Major North American Steel Producers, 4Q00 & 4Q99 U.S Integrated AK Steel ........... Bethlehem ........ National ............ Rouge Steel ..... USSteel ............ Weirton............. U.S. Totals ....... Shipments Sales Oper Income Sales/Ton (thousand tons) ($ millions) ($ millions) ($ per ton) 4Q00 1,595 1,877 1,434 566 2,632 471 8,575 4Q00 $46 (116) (76) (71) (122) (50) $(389) 4Q99 $94 (35) 3 (44) 48 (39) $28 4Q00 $649 482 454 408 459 446 $495 4Q99 $683 482 466 417 418 436 $485 4Q00 $29 (62) (53) (125) (46) (106) $(45) 4Q99 $59 (16) 2 (60) 17 (59) $3 Canadian Integrated (C$=US$.66) Algoma ............. 437 495 $228 $266 Dofasco ............ 1,121 1,109 759 801 Stelco ............... 1,106 1,225 612 771 Canada Totals . 2,664 2,829 C$1,599 C$1,838 $(11) 20 (62) C$(52) $9 105 30 C$144 $521 677 553 C$600 $537 722 629 C$650 $(24) 18 (56) C$(20) $18 95 24 C$51 $(6) (1) 18 120 2 15 $147 $3 17 31 147 6 27 $232 $264 293 414 409 402 333 $372 $279 304 447 417 453 345 $386 $(10) (2) 32 49 4 32 $29 $5 25 61 56 15 54 $43 607 673 515 2,619 413 510 5,337 4Q00 $1,035 905 652 231 1,208 210 $4,241 ($ per ton) 4Q99 $1,092 1,058 786 306 1,198 290 $4,728 N.A. Minimills (US$) Birmingham ...... 562 Co-Steel ........... 574 Ipsco* ............... 560 Nucor* .............. 2,471 Oregon ............. 381 Steel Dynamics 457 N.A Mini Totals 5,004 4Q99 1,599 2,196 1,686 734 2,865 665 9,745 Oper Inc/Ton $149 168 232 1,010 153 152 $1,864 $170 204 231 1,092 187 176 $2,059 Source: Company documents. Note: Steel Segment, except Ipsco & Nucor. Includes profit-sharing; excludes non-recurring charges. AK backer) is in direct contradiction to the position of the United Steelworkers of America, which is calling for a $10 billion loan guarantee program and a 2% surcharge on all steel consumed to pay for legacy costs like retiree insurance benefits. And straddling these positions, the American Iron and Steel Institute, representing most of the country’s integrated producers, in a statement last month that reflected the industry split, strongly supported immediate quota restrictions and other restraints on foreign imports, but avoided entirely the issue of government bailouts for struggling facilities (AMM 2/12, 2/13, 2/19, Yahoo Mail gency round of multilateral steel negotiations with the World Trade Organization and non-WTO trading partners to restrain imports. A few weeks letter, the Senator, in a handwritten letter he delivered personally to Vice President Cheney, repeated his request for an emergency national steel summit. While supporting Rockefeller’s call for a national summit, Tom Danjczek, president of the Steel Manufacturers Association, representing minimills in the U.S., expressed caution that such a confab should not be a cover for a government bailout of the industry. “If this could support the industrywide call for trade limitations, we would be very encouraged,” he said. So far, however, the Bush administration has not responded to either of Rockefeller’s initiatives. 2/23, AK Press Release 2/15). Nucor also came forward last month with their position on bailouts. Bob Jones, the company’s director of marketing, told a steel conference that the industry needed to be consolidated and that some obsolete facilities should be closed. He was critical of the $1 billion loan guarantee program under the measure passed by Congress last year and sponsored by Sen. Robert Byrd (D.W.Va.), “Nucor is not supportive of bailout loans and guarantees,” said Johns (AMM 2/21). Meanwhile, several trade bills were introduced into Congress in February. Rep. Ralph Regula (R.-Ohio), former chairman of the Congressional Steel Caucus, reintroduced his bill to make it easier to reach a positive injury finding under Section 201 of the Trade Act of 1974. The bill would amend the section to hold that imports shall be considered a serious injury or threat of injury “if a causal link is established between imports and injury to domestic industry.” At present, imports have to be a “substantial” cause of injury, a barrier that has often prevented the domestic industry from gaining import restrictions. Regula’s bill was introduced in the last Congress but never came to a vote (AMM 2/1, 2/12, 2/26). Rockefeller Pushes 201 Action: West Virginia Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D.) has continued to prod the new Bush administration to undertake some measures to help the industry. A Jan. 29 letter from Rockefeller urged the President to immediately call for a 201 review by the U.S. International Trade Commission, convene an Emergency National Summit on Steel, and begin an emer-3- Steel Industry Update/154 More Casualties File for Bankruptcy: Three more steel mills joined the growing casualty list last month. On Feb. 7, GS Industries filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and immediately announced that it was permanently shutting down its wire rod operation in Kansas City, Mo. The company was formed six years ago with the merger of GS Technologies of Kansas City and Georgetown Industries of Charlotte, NC. The company blamed weaker demand for wire rod in the face of higher electricity and gas costs, and claimed that the tide of imports last year played only a small part in its problems. GS was one of eight U.S. wire producers and two unions that filed an action against imports under Section 201 in 1998. The move finally led President Clinton to impose a three-year tariff quota on most wire rod imports a year later, but at a level that most in the industry regarded as too high and with a tariff level they felt was too low to be effective. Early last month, CSC asked the bankruptcy court for permission to shut down its Warren, Ohio, mill if a buyer could not be found. The company, which manufactures specialty steel bars, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy Jan. 12. Its debts at the time registered $259 million against $219 million in assets. Randy Lachowski, CSC’s president and CEO, said that the company did not have enough cash to continue even on a limited operational basis after the court-approved budget expired Feb. 9 (AMM 2/2). Finally, Qualitech, which had already emerged from one bout with Chapter 11 two years ago, decided to close its SBQ mill in Pittsboro, Ind., rather than seek another round with the bankruptcy courts. Qualitech’s president, Robert D. Bosar, said that an investment bank would be retained to find a customer for the $350 million minimill, which employed only 125 of its original 325 workers. A second Qualitech plant, built to produce iron carbide in Corpus Christi, Tex., has not been able to find a buyer and will reportedly be bulldozed and sold for scrap (AMM 2/7, 2/8, 2/12). 1.8%, carbon tubing was higher by 1.5%, and carbon bars were up by 1.3% (AMM 2/9). PRICES AND SHIPMENTS Sheet: Mixed signals emerged from sheet producers last month, though the news was generally positive. Amid signs that the HR market may be recovering both integrated and minimill producers announced sizeable price increases. Anticipating a strengthening market, Ispat in late January attempted a price rise on HR sheet of $40/ton, and CR and galvanized of $30/ton, all beginning with March 1 shipments. The move was joined by US Steel, Bethlehem, LTV, Stelco and Wheeling-Pittsburgh. However, in a move clearly undercutting its rivals, Nucor a week later, announced a price hike of only $20/ton for HR alone, effective with April 1 shipments. By the end of February, buyer resistance on the West Coast seemed to forestall any immediate hikes in that region. The word there was that increases may be in the offing later, but not now. Prices for HR sheet in February were around $220/ton with CR and coated sheet at about $330/ton and $350/ton respectively (AMM 1/29, 2/6, 2/26). Stainless Plate: Prices for stainless coiled plate have dropped since the beginning of the year by 5.1%, according to plate dealers. The decline, they say is primarily due to the sharp increase in prices that came during the first ten months of last year -- up 23%. During January and February of this year, coiled plate grade 316 and 316L both fell to $1825/ton, from levels of $1950 for grade 316, a drop of 6.4%, and $1935 for grade 316L, a decline of 5.6%. Grade 304 coiled plate went from $1320 to $1270/ton, down 3.8%, and grade 304L dropped from $1395 to $1340/ton, a dip of 3.9%. Uncoiled plate also slid, but not so sharply. Grade 316 uncoiled went from $2240 at the end of last year to $2180/ton, down 2.7%, grade 316L was off by 1.8% from $2220 to $2180/ton, grade 304 declined from $1740 to $1720/ton, down 1.l%, and grade 309 went from $3500 to $3435/ton, off by 1.9% (AMM 1/29). Service Centers Report Inventories Melting: A possible pickup in the industry was reported last month; inventories at steel service centers were dropping steadily, indicating they may be ready to place new orders. In December, inventories reached the lowest levels for the entire year, registering the fourth consecutive monthly decline. Service centers shipped 29.6 million tons of steel last year, just a bit more than the 29.4 million tons shipped in 1999 and just a bit short of the record of 29.8 million tons in 1998. Greatest gains were in alloy products, increasing by 10.4% over 1999. Stainless steel shipments from service centers in 2000 were up by 3%, carbon plate increased by Wire Rod: Government sources at the beginning of February confirmed that all future imports of wire rod for the 12 months that ended Feb. 28 would be subject to a 10% tariff since import quota levels had been filled. Under Section 201, three-year quota restrictions were placed on wire rod imports beginning March 1, 2000, limiting them to 1.58 million tons the first year, and an increase of 2% each year in the second and third years. Some importers were reported to be holding their goods in storage for the month of Febru-4- Steel Industry Update/154 fining it as just “a working group” to explore the possibilities, SMA President Thomas Danjczek said the committee would consist of six or seven members of the organization. He also acknowledged that there could be some significant legal issues in launching such a venture under the auspices of a trade association. However, SMA is interested, he said, in exploring opportunities for reducing production costs to its members ary, for the next quota year beginning March 1, to avoid paying the surcharge. Customs sources said that they had collected $1.76 million in overquota tariff payments this year. Later in February, several U.S. and Canadian wire rod producers were attempting to gain $25 to $35/ton price increases. Rocky Mountain and GS Industries were seeking increases of $25 while Ivaco/Quebec was attempting to get increases of as high as $35/ton, depending upon grade. Current prices of wire rod are between $270 and $280/ton, down from about $300/ton last April and about $80 to $90 less than what they would be in a stronger market, according to manufacturers. Increases are necessary, they say, to counter higher energy costs and to restore pricing up to more reasonable levels (AMM 2/7, 2/26). (AMM 2/8, 2/13). Iron Ore Deal Could Reshape Market: The recent agreement under which Australia’s BHP, the world’s third largest producer of iron ore, would buy control of Brazil’s second biggest producer, the Caemi group, has stirred up a great deal of speculation that it is only the first step in a giant deal that could change the face of the ore market. Analysts say that the deal could also involve the world’s No. 1 ore producer, CVRD of Brazil. Under the agreement, BHP is paying $332 million for a 60% share of voting stock in Caemi, a slightly higher bid than the offer from CVRD. However, Mitsui of Japan, which owns 40% of the voting shares, has 60 days to exercise its right to purchase Caemi on the same terms as the winning bidder. CVRD reportedly has an agreement with Mitsui providing that, if it lost in the bidding for the company, Mitsui would invoke its option, buy the 60% share of Caemi, and then divide the company equally between itself, BHP, and CVRD. But, no one had any official comment on the speculation, or on whether such an agreement even existed (AMM 2/15). Carbon Plate: Bethlehem hiked its price of carbon plate products by $10/ton on all orders scheduled for shipment after Feb. 11. At the same time, it rescinded its energy surcharge of $8/ton that it had imposed Feb. 4 on most of its steel products. The price increase on carbon plate followed similar moves by several producers, including Geneva Steel, US Steel and Ipsco. Both Bethlehem and US Steel also announced their intention to try for an additional $15/ton on heated plate products, making the total increase for that product $25/ton. A Bethlehem spokesman said that increased demand from the construction, shipbuilding, bridge, energy equipment, and machinery sectors of the economy had resulted in a higher level of orders in recent weeks. Before the price increases, carbon plate prices had fallen off about $40/ton over a six-month period and were at about $260/ton. Coiled plate is selling for about $240/ton (AMM 2/8, 2/9). LABOR/MANAGEMENT USWA and Oregon Steel Battle On: The running dispute between the United Steelworkers of America and Oregon Steel flared up again last month as two western transit systems decided on company bids to supply their rails. The battle has run for several years since Oregon, in defiance of federal labor laws, refused to reinstate many workers who had been on strike against the company. Among other products, Oregon supplies rails for metropolitan transit systems. Early in February, the Tri-County Metropolitan District of Oregon (Tri-Met), which is expanding the Portland city transit system, rejected a bid from Oregon Steel to supply 2,300 tons of rail and awarded the contract instead to rail supplied by Pennsylvania Steel Technologies (PSI), a unit of Bethlehem Steel. The USWA had lobbied heavily against Oregon Steel and in favor of PSI. Oregon Steel has filed a protest with Tri-Met. However, a few weeks later, a similar USWA lobbying effort with the Santa Clara (Cal.) Valley RAW MATERIALS Scrap Prices Expected to Fall Still Further: With the exception of November and December, scrap prices have been on a year-long slide and dealers early last month still did not see the light at the end of the tunnel. Auto bundles at the beginning of February fell by $20/long ton and were back to $86.50, less than $1 higher than its low point in October. The decline was the second largest one-month drop in the past decade. The weakening economy and the fall in auto sales, as well as the increasing number of steel companies either in or near Chapter 11 fueled the continuing downturn. At the same time, the Steel Manufacturers Association is setting up a committee to evaluate the possible introduction of a cooperative scrap purchasing venture for its minimill members. De-5- Steel Industry Update/154 Transportation Authority was unsuccessful as Oregon received the nod to furnish 1,904 tons of standard rail and 1,080 tons of premium rail for the VTA system. The award to PSI of the Portland contract was made, despite Oregon Steel’s lower bidding price, because PSI offered “more certainty and less risk,” according to a Tri-Met spokesperson. “On-time delivery of rail is critical to the overall project schedule,” she said, citing a cost of $210,000 for every month the rail delivery is late. An Oregon Steel spokesperson disputed TriMet’s claim, saying that Tri-Met had never had a delivery problem with its rails in the past. In another development, Oregon Steel, in an out-of-court settlement with the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, agreed to pay a $600,000 fine for violations of the state’s environmental regulations on smoke and particles from steelmaking operations. In addition, the company will pay $400,000 to fund environmental projects in the Pueblo community and has agreed to invest $15 mil to upgrade its steel furnace and associated emission control system steel unit in the nine months proceeding last June 30. Many have blamed the decline in Corus sales on the weakness of the euro against the pound sterling since 80% of the company’s exports go to the European continent. A national steel strike has not occurred in Britain in 20 years (AMM 1/31, 2/2, 2/5, 2/12, 2/19). (AMM 1/29, 2/21; Oregon Steel Press Release 2/6, 2/15). Sharp Union Response to Corus Restructuring, Layoffs: Union leaders and representatives of the Corus Group, the new Anglo-Dutch conglomerate, reported that their two-hour London meeting in mid-February was “constructive”. The meeting came after two months of company activity that included the dismissal of two of its top executives and the announcement, after much secrecy and rumors, that the company was cutting back sharply and laying off thousands of British steelworkers. After the meeting, a spokesperson for the Iron and Steel Trades Confederation reported that it presented its package and the company said it would “give it consideration and get back to us in a month’s time.” The crisis came to a head after Corus acknowledged that it was closing a number of mills and cutting the jobs of 6,050 workers. Previously, rumors of the cutbacks had spurred talk of a national steel strike and other possible labor actions. The union even made a bid for the Llanwern Works in Wales by putting together a consortium to buy the plant, a move that was rejected by Corus. At the Scunthorpe plant, the union voted overwhelmingly for industrial action short of a strike in response to a hundred “redundancies” or layoffs announced a few months ago. The action could include a ban on overtime and a “work to rule,” or doing no more than what is called for in the union contract. The Anglo-Dutch company reported an operating loss equivalent to $433 million in its carbon -6- AK Hits Contract Worker for Talking to Picketers: An employee of Superior Building Services, an outside contractor that provides cleaning services for AK Steel, stopped one day to talk to a locked-out member of United Steelworkers of America who was picketing at the plant gates in Mansfield, Ohio. The conversation proved to be a costly one for him. The next day, he got a call from his employer that AK no longer wanted him to work there. That charge is the substance of a complaint issued by the National Labor Relations Board against AK in a case to be heard by an NLRB administrative law judge May 8. It accuses the company of acting against the contractor employee because he was sympathetic to the USWA and because AK wants to discourage employees from talking with picketers. To date, the company has not commented on the case. On another front in the AK-USWA conflict, the NLRB rejected a union appeal of its decision issued last July that the company acted illegally in locking out its workers in Sept. 1999, just after it acquired the Mansfield plant from Armco. The lockout occurred just hours before the union contract expired and while negotiations were in progress on a new one. The NLRB ruled that there was “insufficient evidence” to warrant a ruling that AK had violated the law (AMM 1/31, 2/15). Burns Harbor Fire Kills Workers: Bethlehem Steel strongly denied last month that its own negligence was responsible for the two deaths and five injuries in a Feb. 2 fire at its Burns Harbor, Ind., mill. The company was responding to charges leveled by Paul Gipson, president of USWA Local 6786, that cutbacks in the safety program at the plant led to the fire that killed Daniel Kado, 54, a millwright, and Mike Davis, 41, an outside contractor. The company said that an investigation into the cause of the fire was under way (AMM 2/7). TXI-Chaparral: No Comment on Layoffs: TXIChaparral would neither confirm nor deny in midFebruary that it had laid off some 200 workers as part of a company-wide cost-reduction program. Industry sources had disclosed that the 200 were being let go, but the company merely said that it was doing everything it could to become “as effi- Steel Industry Update/154 cient as we possibly can in today’s environment.” TXI-Chaparral produces rebar, SBQ, structural beams, channels and spring flats. be closed. It was critical of the $1 billion loan guarantee program under the measure passed by Congress last year sponsored by Sen. Robert Byrd (D.-W.Va.) “Nucor is not supportive of bailout loans and guarantees,” said the company’s director of marketing, Bob Johns (AMM 2/21). Co-Steel Advertises for Replacement Workers: Co-Steel Lasco of Ontario, Canada, which locked out its workers just before Christmas, has now begun advertising for replacement workers. The locked-out workers, represented by USWA Local 6571, had worked for 10 months without a contract while negotiations were taking place. The lockout is seen by Co-Steel Lasco workers as a move to pressure the union into accepting its terms, which entail a number of major concessions and “givebacks” on the part of employees. The minimill, employing 500 workers, has an annual capacity of about a million tons. It turns out long products like beams, rebar, angles, rounds, squares, channels, special flats and grader blades. CAPACITY/TECHNOLOGY Usinor, Arbed Merger Could Create Global Colossus: The preliminary steps jointly taken last month between Europe’s two largest steel manufacturers -- Arbed of Luxembourg and France’s Usinor -- along with Spain’s Acereda, to create a mega-merger of the steel giants has the potential of changing the face of the world steel market. In a memorandum of understanding issued Feb. 19, the three laid down their intention to form the world’s largest steel group, employing 110,000 workers and producing 46 million metric tons of crude steel annually. Its sales, based on last year’s figures would total 30 billion euros, or $27.6 billion, a year -- 15 billion euros in flat carbon steel, 5 million euros in stainless steel, 4 million euros in long products, and 6 billion euros in processing, trading and distribution. Rumors of the merger talks had been floating around since last summer when Usinor and Thyssen Krupp of Germany were said to have held merger discussions. Although it was expected that other European steel companies would react with some trepidation to the merger, thus far there seems to be only relief at the prospect. Thyssen Krupp said it felt strengthened by the step and “favors any move toward consolidation and restructuring of the European steel market” which, it felt, would lead to better balance and capacity utilization. Salzgitter, Germany’s second largest steel producer, said that it didn’t feel the merger would have a significant effect on the German market (AMM 2/19). In the U.S., Nucor last month told a steel conference that the steel industry needed to be consolidated and that some obsolete facilities should SDI’s New Structural Mill Finally Gets Permit: Steel Dynamics, after a year of record sales and profits, is moving ahead with its intent to build a new structural mill in Whitley County, Ind. The company said last month that the Indiana Department of Environmental Management had reissued the air permit for the mill eight months after the U.S. Environmental Appeals Board had remanded several outstanding issues to the state agency. The company said that the issues had now been resolved. Construction of the mill was to begin last month and will take about 12 to 14 months to complete. SDI also said that it had completed the repairs to its Iron Dynamics facility, idled since the middle of last year. The plant has been plagued by technical problems for several years. Nearly two years ago, the liquid pig iron operation opened with much fanfare, but was forced to close after only five weeks of operation when a refractory break-out occurred in the submerged arc furnace. The break-out was caused by the use of the wrong type of brick in the furnace lining. The error caused months of disruption while a new wall, lined with copper, was designed and installed (AMM 1/31; New Steel 12/99). Nucor Pushes Plans for New Rail Facility: Nucor is pushing ahead vigorously on a new joint venture with Germany’s Voest-Alpine to build a new North America rail mill at a site yet to be determined. The rails would be turned out in 320foot lengths, sharply reducing the number of welds now needed on the standard 80-foot lengths, thus reducing the most vulnerable spots on the rails. Industry analysts predict that the market for rails could grow to 1.2 or 1.3 million tons a year in the next few years as railroads seek to replace older lines becoming obsolete. While the amount of track mileage in the U.S. has remained fairly consistent at about 170,000 miles, there has been a substantial increase in the amount of freight tonnage hauled over the rails, causing acceleration in wear. “Most of the market is in replacement trade,” said Pennsylvania Steel Technologies Vice President Kirk Gibson (AMM 2/8). WORTHY OF NOTE New Execs Tapped in Struggle to Turn Birmingham Around: In an effort to reverse the -7- Steel Industry Update/154 downturn at Birmingham Steel, its chairman and CEO, John Correnti, has recruited a number of his former colleagues at Nucor, where he was also CEO before he and a group of investors gained control of Birmingham in 1999. The latest recruit is Christopher Hiller, who joins Birmingham as vice president and general manager of its plant in Cartersville, Ga. He previously served in the same capacity at Nucor’s Norfolk, Neb., facility. Correnti is struggling to turn around the operations of a company that showed a net loss of $119 million for its fiscal quarter ending Dec. 31, compared with a net loss of $20 million for the same period a year earlier. Hiller will take over a structural products mill that is trying to upgrade the production of medium structural shapes and billets. It has a capacity of about 900,000 tons of raw steel a year, a rolling capacity of about 750,000 and employs 125 workers. Earlier in February, it was announced that Birmingham has pushed back by two months the closing date for the sale of its SBQ operations in Cleveland, Ohio and Memphis, Tenn., to North American Metals, a new company. Birmingham has been anxious to divest itself of its SBQ operations for some time and negotiated the sale to North American last September. The final closing has been delayed, however, by the difficulty North American has had in putting together financing for the deal. Originally scheduled for late November, then postponed to January 31, the closing has now been rescheduled for March 23 (AMM 2/2, 2/23). tence after pleading guilty in the case, was one of the witnesses against Mitsubishi (AMM 2/14). NKK, National Steel, Plan Closer Ties: Two companies, one based in Tokyo, the other in Pittsburgh, are planning a leaner, trimmed-down operation and closer ties between them, according to announcements last month. Under NKK’s new business plan, it would sell its Tokyo headquarters building and dissolve its holding company for North American operations, NKK USA Corp., which is deeply in the red. The building sale is expected to improve its profit to 98 billion yen ($852.2 million) and its cash flow to 260 billion yen ($2.26 billion) and reduce its debt to 1.25 trillion yen ($10.87 billion). National said it would take more vigorous cost-cutting measures, including further downsizing of its work force. It was also reportedly contemplating the closing of its No. 6 galvanizing line in its Granite City, Ill., division. Employing about 9,000 workers, about 370 of whom are currently on layoff, it planned to cut back overtime by about 70% and make deeper cuts in both hourly and salaried workers. Under the new cooperative setup between them, NKK will operate two divisions in North America -- one for the steel business that would include National and DNN Galvanizing and a second one for engineering and other activities (AMM 2/15). Enron Uses Commodity Trading for Steel Ecommerce: E-commerce for steel companies selling their products just hasn’t really gotten off the ground, but Enron Corp. is now trying a different approach. The Houston-based commodities and energy trader is beginning to trade steel like a commodity, purchasing it for forward delivery, some as far ahead as five years out, and making its profits from hedging. The company said it had begun trading contracts on its web site (www.enrononline.com) for 7 gauge, 10 gauge, and 12 gauge HR steel in 48 and 60-inch widths for delivery as far off as September. So far, the only shipping destination is Chicago, but other destinations to be added include Detroit, Houston, Cleveland and Los Angeles. It is currently buying 10 gauge, 48-inch width HR for $215/ton and selling it for April delivery in Chicago at $225 Mitsubishi Guilty in Graphite Cartel Case: Japan’s Mitsubishi, the only company to hold out against pleading guilty or otherwise admitting culpability in an international cartel scheme to fix the price of graphite electrodes, was found guilty Feb. 12 by a federal jury in Philadelphia. No date was set by U.S. District Judge Marvin Katz for the amount of the fines that will be imposed on the company. A number of companies -- UCAR, SGL Carbon, Carbide/Graphite Group, Tokai Carbon (a U.S. subsidiary of Showa Denko) and SEC Corp. were all implicated in the price-fixing scheme. UCAR paid a $110 million criminal fine, the largest in the history of anti-trust enforcement. In response to a civil suit, it also agreed to pay $80 million in damages to companies for harm done through illegal price-fixing. In 1999, after reaching a $40.6 million settlement with its shareholders arising from the case, UCAR then turned around and sued Mitsubishi for inducing its participation in the cartel. UCAR’s former chairman, Robert Krass, who is now completing a 17-month prison sen- (AMM 2/19). NOTES ON STEEL TRACK EXHIBITS Performance data is from monthly AISI sources. Spot Prices (except OCTG) are from Purchasing Magazine and are FOB Midwest, with no extras. Hot rolled sheet, 48 inch, temper rolled, ASTM 569; Cold Rolled Sheet, 48 inch, AISI 366; HD Galvanized Sheet, 120 inch AISI 525, G90; Coiled Plate, A36, 1/2x96x240 inch; Cold Finished Bar, SBQ 1018; Wide-Flange Beam, A36, W8, 18 lbs; Wire Rod, low carbon; Rebar, carbon, no. 6. OCTG spot prices are from Pipe Logix, FOB Houston for J55 8REUE Seamless Tube. -8- Steel Industry Update/154 Table 3: Selected Canadian Steel Industry Data, November & Year-To-Date (thousand tons) Month of November Year-to-Date Locker Associates Steel Track: Performance 2000 1999 % Chg 2000 1999 % Chg Raw Steel Production1,441 Mill Shipments .............................. 10.2 Exports ......................................... 415 2000 9.8 Imports .........................................1999 773 9.4 Apparent Steel Supply ................. 1,759 9.0 Imports as % of Supply .............. 41.7 Utilization -0.9%Capacity 15,350 15,212 -5.3% 5,186 4,812 -10.5% 8,242 6,093 2000 -6.4% 18,406 16,493 1999 36.9 -44.8 1,454 100% 438 95% 864 1,880 90% 46.0 m i l n e t 0.9% 7.8% 35.3% 11.6% -- t o 8.6 CSPA 2/26/01 Source: n 85% s 8.2 80% 7.8 75% 7.4 7.0 2000 1999 70% J 9.8 F 9.2 M 10.0 A 9.8 M 10.1 J 9.6 J 9.4 A 9.2 S 8.8 O 8.0 N 8.1 D 8.0 8.5 7.8 8.9 8.6 8.9 8.4 8.6 9.0 8.7 9.6 9.4 9.6 2000 1999 J 90% F 89% M 91% A 92% M 91% J 90% J 85% A 84% S 83% O 81% N 75% D 72% 77% 80% 82% 82% 82% 80% 79% 83% 82% 88% 89% 89% Locker Associates Steel Track: Spot Prices Flat-Rolled Prices Other Product Prices 560 $ 540 520 p e 500 r CF Bar (SBQ) 480 t 460 o n CR Sheet 440 420 400 380 360 340 Plate 320 300 Beam 280 260 Wire Rod HR Sheet 220 240 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 J F M A M 2000 J J A S O N D 2000 Spot Prices for Selected Steel Products, February & Year-To-Date ($ per net ton) 2001 Hot Rolled Sheet...................... 220 Cold Rolled Sheet.................... 330 HD Galvanized Sheet................ 350 Coiled Plate............................... 240 Cold-Finished Bar (SBQ).......... 435 Wide-Flange Beams................. 300 Wire Rod/Low Carbon.............. 290 Rebar........................................ 280 Average Spot Price+................. 306 OCTG Seamless Tube........... 1027 Scrap Price ($/gross ton)*......... 87 Sources: Purchasing Magazine, Pipe Logix Month of February 2000 %Chg 330 -33.3% 440 -25.0% 430 -18.6% 320 -25.0% 460 -5.4% 300 0.0% 300 -3.3% 325 -13.8% 363 -15.8% 924 11.1% 137 -36.5% + Composite price of 8 carbon products Steel Update/154 -9- 2001 223 335 345 240 433 300 290 280 306 1026 97 *auto bundles Year-to-Date 2000 325 435 430 310 460 300 300 320 360 916 145 %Chg -31.5% -23.0% -19.8% -22.6% -6.0% 0.0% -3.3% -12.5% -15.1% 12.0% -33.1% J F Steel Industry Update/154 Subscribers to the Steel Industry Update Include... 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