Operational and Institutional Obstacles for the Efficacy of Micro Credit Programs for Poverty Reduction in Rural Vietnam VLIR Policy Preparing Research Mission Report first research phase Vietnam, 20/10/03-19/12/03 Miet Maertens Policy Research Group, KULeuven -Mission Report 21st January 2004- Contents List of Abbreviations 1. Overview of the Mission 1.1. General 1.2. Selection of case-study areas 1.3. Qualitative data collection 2. Preliminary results 2.1. The credit market in rural Vietnam 2.2. The Case-study regions 3. Planning further research 3.1. Methodology 3.2. Time planning Annex: Draft Decree for Micro Finance Regulations www.prgleuven.be miet_maertens@econ.kuleuven.ac.be List of Abbreviations ADB VBARD SPB VWU VFA WVI VBCP NGO MOLISA MFRC PRA MARD MPI Asian Development Bank Vietnam Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development Social Policy Bank Vietnamese Women’s Union Vietnam Farmers’ Association World Vision International Vietnam-Belgium credit project Non-governmental organization Ministry of Labour, War Invalids and Social Affairs Micro-Finance Resource Center Participatory Rural Appraisals Ministry of Agriculture Rural Development Ministry of Planning and Investment 1 1. Overview of the Mission 1.1. General To facilitate and implement the research in the villages in Vietnam, a cooperation with the Micro Finance Resource Center at the National Economics University of Hanoi was set up. The cooperation was established with Prof. Dao van Hung, the vice-director of the MFRC. In addition to this cooperation, two research assistants were contacted for the practical implementation of the research in the North and the South of Vietnam: Ms. Tran Binh Minh from the MFRC in Hanoi and Dr. Tran Viet Hoang from the Vietnam National University in Ho Chi Minh City. To facilitate the research and introduce the research project at the province, district and commune level, different institutions were visited in Hanoi, including the Women’s Union, the VBARD, the SPB, PCF, World Vision International, the Belgium-Vietnam credit project, etc. Additional secondary information and literature was collected in Hanoi, including existing reports and impact studies of micro-credit, secondary statistical data and the draft decree for regulation of micro-finance in Vietnam (see annex to this report). During the first research phase, two case study areas in the Red River Delta and the Mekong Delta were selected and a round of quantitative data collection was implemented in those areas. 1.2. Selection of Case-Study Areas The initial intention of the research was to focus on two case-study areas, one in the north and one in the south of Vietnam. Those case-study areas should preferably be located in the two delta regions –Red River Delta in the north and the Mekong Delta in the south – in order to make comparison between these two major rice-growing regions possible. To facilitate practical implementation of the research, it was chosen to select in each region 1 province, 1 district in the province and 3 communes within the district as case-study areas. In the Red River Delta, we focus the research on the district Phu Cu in Hung Yen province. In the Mekong Delta, the district Cai Be in Tien Giang province was chosen. Both provinces belong to the poorest provinces in the delta regions with an average monthly per capita income among the 20% poorest households of 92,000 VND (5.9 US $) in Hung Yen and 102,800 VND (6.6 US $) in Tien Giang (GSO, 2000). In addition, the selected districts are the poorest in the province and both are agricultural areas with a focus on rice and fruit production. The district Cai Be is located 4 to 5 hours drive south from Ho Chi Minh city and the district Hung Yen 3 to 4 hours drive south from Hanoi. 2 In both districts, 3 communes were selected for the research as to include a number of different credit programs: Table 1: Overview of Case-Study Areas and the Credit Facilities Credit facilities and projects Red River Delta (north of Vietnam) Province Hung Yen District Phu Cu Communes Doan Dao - VBARD & VBSP - Vietnam – Belgium credit project - credit project World Vision NGO Tam Da - VBARD & VBSP (intercommune branch) - credit project World Vision NGO Phan Sao Nam - VBARD & VBSP - PCF - Vietnam – Belgium credit project Mekong Delta (south of Vietnam) Province Tien Giang District Cai Be Communes An Huu - VBARD & VBSP (intercommune branch) - PCF - Vietnam – Belgian credit project Tan Thanh - VBARD & VBSP - PCF Thien Tri - VBARD & VBSP 1.3. Qualitative Data Collection During the first phase of the research, information was collected from interviews with key informants and group discussions with borrowers from different credit schemes. The key informants were the Women’s Union and staff of different credit institutions and programs (VBARD, VBSP, PCF, Vietnam-Belgium Credit Project, World Vision International) at the provincial, district and commune level. The issues addressed during these semi-structured interviews included the credit mechanism, the application procedure, the repayment performance, the outreach of the credit scheme, institutional organization, future development, limitations for expansion, etc. At the commune level, also People’s Committee, the Women’s Union and/or Farmers’ Association were visited to introduce the research and collect some general socioeconomic information for each commune. In total, 16 groups of borrowers were questioned in the 6 communes. The number of people participating in the group discussion varied from 4 to 12 people. During the group discussions, it was possible to obtain an overview of the different sources of credit and the credit history of the participants. In addition, we inquired about the income-generating activities of the people, their credit needs, the purpose of the current loans, investment in agriculture and off-farm business, their land holdings, their wealth position, etc. Also the credit mechanism, the application procedure and the reasons for joining a specific credit program were discussed. Further discussion 3 topics varied from group to group, according to the composition of the group and the daily activities of the participants. Discussion topics included: agricultural cultivation and livestock rearing, marketing of agricultural produce, land rental, seasonality and income shocks, consumption smoothing and risk-coping strategies, etc. During the discussions, some visual methods and PRA-tools were used; mainly drawing of diagrams and construction of seasonal calendars. Table 2: Overview of the number of focus group interviews Commune Doan Dao Group discussion with borrowers from: - VBSP - Vietnam-Belgium credit project - World Vision Group size (8) (6) (5) Tam Da - VBSP - VBARD - World Vision (7) (6) (7) Phan Sao Nam - VBSP - Vietnam-Belgium credit project (5) (5) An Huu - VBSP - VBARD - Vietnam-Belgium credit project (4) (12) (11) Tan Thanh - VBSP - VBARD - PCF (7) (10) (6) Thien Tri - VBSP - VBARD (4) (5) 2. Preliminary Assessment and Results 2.1. The rural credit market in Vietnam Before the renovation policy of 1986, the State Bank of Vietnam was the sole actor in the credit market in Vietnam, serving as central bank as well as commercial bank. Under this system, the credit needs of rural communes, cooperatives and state farms, were handled by credit cooperatives that were managed by local’s People Committee in association with the SBV. Rural credit needs existed but they occurred more at the cooperative level rather than the household level since cooperatives were the units of production, managing also financial problems. The renovation policy or Doi Moi of 1986, introduced the household as unit of agricultural production and launched a set of economic reforms, including liberalization of the financial sector. The commercial responsibilities of the SBV were taken over by two state-owned commercial banks: the Agricultural Development Bank and the Commercial Bank of Vietnam. However, these only served state-owned enterprises and neglected the needs of farmers and rural households. This resulted in a growth of credit cooperatives who enlarged their funds by offering very high interest rates on savings. However, the break up of the collective production system lead to default loan repayments to the credit cooperatives and the system collapsed in 1990-1991. As a response, the government mandated the Agricultural Development Bank (that changed into the Vietnam Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development – VBARD) to provide credit directly to rural 4 households. In the beginning the VBARD focused on wealthier rural households that could provide collateral but they gradually expanded their credit activities. The VBARD currently has a network of 1568 branches; one in every province, every district and intercommune branches covering nearly all communes in the country. According the figures compiled by the Asian Development Bank and the State Bank of Vietnam, the VBARD reached 5 million rural household in 2001, which is 42 % of all rural households (table 3). In 1995, as part of the ‘Hunger Eradication and Poverty Reduction’ strategy of the government, a new funding institution, the Bank for the Poor, was set up as a complementary section to VBARD. The objective of the Bank for the Poor was to provide credit to the rural poor at subsidies interest rates. In 2003, the Bank for the Poor became the Social Policy Bank – SPB and separated from VBARD. The SPB currently has provincial and district level branches but no commune branches and the SPB-loans are still being managed by the VBARD staff. According to the figures in table 3, the VBSP reaches about one fifth of all rural households. Next to VBARD and SPB, the network of People’s Credit Funds, constitute a third actor in the rural credit market in Vietnam. This a network of cooperatives owned by its members and organized in a Central Credit Fund, owned by the member PCF and the SBV. This network was established in 1993 and incorporated the few credit cooperatives that were still functioning after the collapse of credit cooperatives in 1990-1991. The PCF network is much less wide-spread than the VBARD and SPB with 888 local PCF and 720,000 borrowers. Table 3: The outreach of different credit institutions in Vietnam for 2001 Credit institution Average loan size (VND) Total number of borrowers Number % of total % of rural of poor* borrowers hh reached borrowers poor VBARD 6,450,000 5,000,000 2,350,000 47 % 42 % SPB 2,000,000 2,571,000 1,250,000 48 % 21 % PCF 3,400,000 720,000 400,000 55 % 6% Semi-formal 1,547,000 120,000 ?? ?? 1% sector Source: Asian Development Bank and State Bank of Vietnam, TA no 3741-VIE % of poor rural hh reached 35 % 19 % 6% ?? * A poor households is defined according to the MOLISA criteria of having an income of less than 1,000,000 VND per month. At the commune level, lists of poor households are compiled and revised by the Hunger and Poverty Reduction Committee. The VBARD, SPB and PCF are the tree main formal credit institutions in rural Vietnam. The first two operate under the Law on Credit and Financial Institutions while the latter operates under the Law on Cooperatives. The VBARD and PCF are commercial, self-reliant institutions with autonomous financial management while the SPB relies on external funds and subsidies. Next to these institutions, there exists a whole range of credit projects funded by donor organizations, including multilateral organizations, bilateral cooperation, and international NGO’s. Also Vietnamese mass organizations (mainly Women’s Union and Farmers Association) and ministries (MARD, MOLISA, MPI..) have there own credit projects. All these credit projects fall outside the Law on Credit Institutions and there is no comprehensive framework that regulates this so-called semi-formal credit sector. In order to provide an 5 inspection mechanism, establish laws and regulations on the mobilization of savings, and further regulate this semi-formal sector the SBV in cooperation with the ADB is currently working an a decree for micro-finance institutions (The draft of the decree is provided in annex to this report). The financial services offered by the formal and the semi-formal sector are diverse. The VBARD offers short term –6 months to 2 years– credit at a monthly interest rate of 1 % and medium to long term credit at an interest rate of 1.5% per month. The average loan-size for the VBARD is 6.4 million VND (table 3) and in fact they provide loans of up to 1 billion VND to individual households. Only for loans above 10 million, collateral is required and they are working towards new regulations of providing up to 30 million VND without collateral. The SPB offers short term – usually one year– credit at a subsidized interest rate of 0.5 % per month and without the need for collateral. The maximum loan size has been increased from 7 million to 10 million VND and on average loans are 2 million VND. The PCF network provides short term loans at an interest rate of 1.7 % per month and usually requires collateral on all types of loans. The semi-formal sector constitutes a variety of credit projects that are usually small and geographically concentrated. Different credit projects have their own model and methods. Donors have different objectives and that is often reflected in the way they implement micro-credit programs. Some donors (e.g. many NGO’s) see micro-credit as a means to reach other development goals (e.g. technical progress, income diversification, prevention of child labor, etc.) or even purely as charity. For others, micro-credit is an end or a development goal in itself. Some micro-credit projects are implemented as ‘business’ with a focus on reaching financial sustainability in the long term while others focus on reaching the poorest As indicated in table 3, it is estimated that the semi-formal sector as a whole reached in 2001 about 120 million households, representing 1 % or the rural households. As mentioned before, VBARD, SPB and PCF reach about 47 %, 21 % and 6% of the rural households, respectively. It is clear that the rural credit market in Vietnam is dominated by the VBARD. However, next to the wide of outreach also the depth of poverty outreach of credit programs should be discussed. Although the VBARD does not explicitly target the rural poor in particular while the SPB clearly does (or should), the share of poor households among their borrowers is about half for both institutions. The PCF network is often referred to as ‘credit for the rich’ because of the higher interest rate and the need to provide collateral. However, the figures in table 3 indicate the opposite with 55 % of poor households among the PCF borrowers, which would be a better poverty outreach then both VBARD and SPB. Unfortunately, there exists no reliable figures on poverty outreach for the semi-formal sector. In addition, Important questions emerge for the semi-formal sector: should they target those people who or left out by the formal sector. What Here something on the importance of mass organizations. Next to the formal and the semi-formal sector, there is also an informal sector in the rural credit market in Vietnam. This includes ‘social’ credit from friends, relatives or neighbors, credit from moneylenders and traders, as well as rotating credit groups managed by local mass organizations. As there exists no exact figures on the informal credit sector, it remains unclear how important the informal sector really is 6 2.2. The socio-economic situation in the case-study regions The two case-study areas that were selected for the research are both agricultural areas with a focus on rice and fruit production. However, the two regions differ in many respects. Tien Giang province, situated in the south, has a population density of 678 people / km2 while for Hung Yen province in the north this is almost twice as much; 1184 people / km2. Both case-study regions are relatively densely populated and land holdings per households are very small. In the selected communes, the average agricultural area per households ranges from 0.21 to 0.51 ha per household with the largest figures in the southern communes (see table 4). However, despite a lower population density and a larger average agricultural area per household, there are much more landless households in the case-study region in the south. For example, in Thien Tri commune, 266 households or 13 % of the households in the commune have no agricultural land at all. In the northern communes, there are no landless people and all households have agricultural land according to the size of their household. This is a result of a series of land reforms with the last Land Law of 1993, which imposed the equal distribution of agricultural land with long term user rights for rural households. These land reforms led to a more or less equal land distribution after the break up of the collective farms in the north of Vietnam. In the south these land reforms have never effectively been implemented. Table 4: Demographic characteristics of the 6 surveyed communes Cai Be district, Tien Giang Phu Cu district, Hung Yen Province, South of Vietnam province, North of Vietnam An Huu Tan Thien Tri Doan Tam Da Phan Sao Thanh Dao Nam Total population 15,356 9,662 9,742 9,255 5,120 5,200 Number of households 3,603 1,958 2,067 2415 1400 1523 Agricultural area (ha) 1,021 997 1,181 630 300 444 Average agr. area (ha) / hh 0.28 0.51 0.36 0.26 0.21 0.29 Poor and nearly poor hh ?? 295 464 770 400 469 (% of total households) (15 %) (22 %) (17 %) (28 %) (31 %) In both case study-areas, poverty still exists and the percentage of poor and nearly poor (see further) households ranges from 15 to 31% in the surveyed communes. The access of those poor people to the rural credit market and the impact of small loans on their livelihood and well-being is an important research issue. In the surveyed communes in the north, people hold very diversified activity and income portfolios. Every household cultivates a plot of paddy land and has some livestock (mostly chicken, ducks and pigs). Some households additionally have a garden with fruit trees (mostly litchee and longan), have a fishpond or involve in small trading activities. Also, seasonal migration is common in some communes. Two rice crops per year are possible on paddy land. Also an intermediate winter crop (e.g. corn, soybean, potato, etc) is possible but the extent of winter crop cultivation is limited due to the high labor intensity of those crops. Landholdings are small and rice cultivation is mainly focused on subsistence. Surplus rice is sold to local traders. Yet, marketing rice is not always a sign of surpluses. Poorer people often need to sell rice after harvest to overcome cash flow problems (e.g. to buy inputs for the next harvest or to fulfill loan repayment duties) which leaves them insufficient stocks and forces them to buy rice when market prices are higher. Livestock a very important source of cash income. Litchee and longan production is completely market oriented and is highly seasonal with production concentrated in July and August. Many households 7 have highly fluctuating income which poses limitations on their investment capacities and creates a need for consumption smoothing mechanisms. Fluctuating market prices, spread of pests and diseases (especially with chicken and ducks) and storms further aggravate this. The surveyed communes in the south are also rice and fruit production areas. However, here 3 rice crops per year are possible and rice production is much more market oriented. Fruit production is more diversified including mango, orange, pumelo, mandarin, guava, litchee and longan, some of which can be harvested all year round. People with land holdings, usually have either rice land or fruit gardens and get the highest share of their income from the land. Due to the possibility of 3 rice crops a year and the diversity in fruit production, income from agricultural production is less seasonal. However, fluctuating market prices (especially for fruits), storms and floods cause many risks for farmers. Livestock production, especially pigs, is also common in this area. Many landless people involve in pig production, set up very small scale trading activities or work as agricultural wage worker. Agricultural wage labor is quite common and there is a demand for daily workers all year round. The above described differences in land ownership structure, the diversity of income strategies and the incidence if poverty in the case-study regions might have important consequences for the credit needs of rural households and the impact of existing credit schemes. 2.3. Overview of different credit schemes in the case-study areas In table 5, we give an overview of the different credit schemes in the case study region, the number of borrowers and the outstanding debt for each scheme. Overall, the VBARD has the widest outreach. However, in the northern communes the SBP reaches more or less the same number of households. The PCF reaches about 1 fourth of the households in two surveyed communes; in another commune they have only few borrowers while and in the other 3 communes there is no PCF. The VietnamBelgium credit project is present in 3 surveyed communes and its’ outreach ranges from 7% to 14 % of the households. World Vision International has a credit scheme in two of the surveyed villages, where they reach 11 % and 14 % of the households. Table 5: Number of borrowers and outstanding debt for different credit projects in the 6 surveyed communes Cai Be district, Tien Giang Province, Phu Cu district, Hung Yen province, South of Vietnam North of Vietnam An Huu Tan Thanh Thien Tri Doan Dao Tam Da Phan Sao Nam Number of borrowers (% of rural households reached) 950 1,299 735 672 372 320 VBARD (26 %) (66 %) (35 %) (28 %) (26 %) (21 %) SPB 241 (6.6 %) 48 (2.5 %) 506 (24 %) 679 (28 %) 293 (21 %) 325 (21 %) PCF 120 (3.3 %) 470 (24 %) - - - 400 (26 %) VBCP 240 (6.6 %) - - 279 (11 %) - 216 (14 %) - - - 35 100 - WVI 8 ROSCA ?? 96 (5 %) Outstanding debt (million VND) VBARD 9,783 10,668 SPB 467 182 PCF 120 470 VBCP 240 WVI ROSCA ?? 74 (1.4 %) (7 %) ?? 30 (1.2 %) 25 (1.8 %) ?? 5,900 1,400 ?? 4,400 2,100 172 60 20 2,900 1,400 170 47 1,400 1,300 2,500 190 ?? In both regions, VBARD and SPB work with credit groups. VBARD also has individual loans while SPB provides loans only through groups. However, these groups are not really ‘solidarity groups’ or ‘joint liability’ groups. They apply a system of individual lending through groups rather than real ‘group lending’. Most borrowers in these groups agreed that they were not liable for each others’ debt and mentioned that they would never repay the loan of someone else in the group. In some groups, there was no clarity on whether future access to credit would be affected by default repayment of other group members. Default repayment never occurred in most groups. However, this has to be taken with care as in many cases loans were rescheduled easily. Many borrowers, especially from SPB, had their loans extended for another period when they were unable to pay back at the end of the original loan period. Cycles: on some cases for PSB laons. Mass orginazations The two donor-funded micro –credit schemes in the case-study areas, work according to completely different principles. The VBCP works with credit group and Tam Da: WU and FA guarantee loan for SPB. Rosca in Tan thanh: has 31 groups, 346 members and 114 million VND. The figures in the table are for the credit-saving group. In the south, there is clear link between land holdings and access to credit. The people with land have access to VBARD and PCF loans, while those without or too few land don’t. So, people with land have access to longer term loans and bigger loans. People without land have access only to small, short term loans. - - Market is highly segmented: VBARD and not Land holdings play an important role despite the government regulation of providing collateral-free loans to Women’s Union in guaranteeing Rescheduling loans Credit from moneylenders at high interest rates are more common in the northern than in the southern case-study communes. In the north, households 9 could more easily access credit from moneylenders since many such lenders are available. However, the inin the - In the northern case-study region, households have credit from many different sources, while in the southern case-study regions a household usually only has one source of credit. It is not uncommon for a household in the case-study area in the north to have credit from the formal and the semi-formal sector and from moneylenders at the same time. Even cases where people have loans from the VBARD and the SPB are not rare. Loan purpose North: inputs for livestock rearing and animals South: inputs for agriculture cultivation, if people are landless, also pigs and small business They seem to borrow from official sources for the most profitable business or the most important income sources while they fund other secondary activities with the income from those activities. This is security reasons: invest in least risky business?? Use profits, so own capital, or in the north even moneylender Fungibility of capital: very difficult to assess the impact of credit. Preliminary results: North: people take up credit from several sources South: only one source. Demand for credit: Credit use: South: farmers buy agricultural inputs 3.2.1. Overview of different credit schemes in the case-study areas Also, in the two case-study areas, the formal, semi-formal and informal sector of the rural credit market are present. Different actors Terms and conditions of the loans Credit discipline versus loan flexibility Group lending and Grameen banking model Poverty concept, targeting of credit schemes and access for the poor Overview of the number of borrowers, the outstanding loan size etc for the different communes. (concentrate on implementation, institutional questions and access) 10 theory of asymmetric information, moral hazard (new institutional economics) could also shortly be mentioned here. 3.2.3. Credit, investment, poverty alleviation and economic growth income shocks: weather related rather than market related, rice price fluctuations very limited, although rice prices may vary enormously at the world market, the effects for the rural areas in Vietnam is limited because of the national rice stock agency, liberalization of the rice market not complete, only competitors but still a lot of government regulations. Credit: institutional aspects and implementation: very different from district to district and north – south comparison. Economic transition in Vietnam: a lot of state-owned companies and government intervention: focus on rice and fruits. Land reform issues: north – south comparison Poverty and vulnerability: differences north – south: link with land market and credit Consumption smoothing and risk coping strategies: Ex ante mechanisms? Ex post mechanisms? Selling fruits when still on the tree: Cash flow problems: Buying and selling rice, leans a loss for the household The need for seasonal credit with flexible repayment Selling fruits when still on the trees Contract production and agreements Longan harvest, melon production In anticipation of the opening of a new longan processing company in the province, people started to convert land to gardens. But this is risky business because of no return the first years, and less land left for rice production. Food security has always been very high on the agenda of the local authorities, who still have decision power in the use of land. In order for people to convert a plot of land from rice production to garden, they need to ask for permission from local authorities and provide them with a business plan. Local authorities respond to instructions from district and provincial level, if government Capital constraints, land constraints, labour constraints: South case-study area: relatively high labour-to-land ratio Hiring labour is very common North case-study area: relatively low labour-to-land ratio Only exchange labour Harvest on contract Although: labour migration!!!! (lack of labour but migration to other provinces to work for wages!) Because people don’t know how to increase the productivity of land; still a lot of potential for increase in land productivity compared 11 to the south, where this is very limited). Land is not considered a high value in the north. Land rental arrangements? South: borrowing land is very common; tenant provides an interest free loan to the landlord in return for the use of the land, usually for a period of one year. (link of credit and land market) North: fixed rent, but in-kind payment, often borrow land from the commune, very low rental rates. Role of moneylenders: Results with respect to credit: Overview of the implementation of different credit programs. The number of borrowers, outstanding loan, loansize …. Access: South, more capital constraints, especially landless people, the need for collateral (even no collateral, but they keep the land certificate at the bank), credit sources for poor people are quite limited, but if they have credit, there is a very flexible system. North, no landless people, more access to capital, but financial services are less tailored for the needs of the farmers (seasonal loans, flexible repayment, loan extension, …..) Flexibility of agricultural bank and social policy bank depend very much on the district and the pressure the district gets from the province. Also people’s credit fund: in the south and in the north operates differently Access: also book of the poor. VBSP has extended it’s credit activities to include also nearly poor people, they are expanding the activities but probably also many poor people are not reached. Micro-finance programs: targeted towards whom? Landless poor: strict repayment makes sense if people invest in small businesses that they can run the whole year round. But does not make sense for agriculture. The role of mass organizations at the village level: linkage model, sustainability. Reduce transaction costs for the bank, translate them into social costs. Micro-finance: Loan size. Impact? Poverty reduction: some micro-credit schemes might help farmers to get out of poverty: mention some case-studies farmers, e.g; the individual framers in But also debt-cycles: Investment activities: Main findings: 12 - solidarity groups not really ‘solidarity’ groups but only ‘transaction’ groups, joint liability groups. - Demand for emergence credit high, especially in the case-study area in the North, and not covered by formal and semi-formal sector, which moneylenders, often spiral effects, in which people cannot invest capital as all profits from . These are not necessarily people who do not have access to formal credit sources - Group system and experience sharing: might have some negative effects, such as pig cycle thing - Dynamics within groups: not observed. - Most people are credit rationed, even if access to formal credit sources, - Tendency to target away from the poor or the poorest. - Much attention is paid towards the family structure, people with enough labor an hard-working. - Income and consumption smoothing is a very important issue. - Credit from SPB is not one-time credit as is sometime proposed in the literature, people do have several cycles. - Debth and wide of outreach: SPB, - Mass organizations, especially the women’s’ union, their role: o Information from banks and credit projects to the households o Cooperating with credit officers in monitoring the loans o Guaranteer of loans from VBARD and SPB, which has reduced their costs and is probably one of the factors behind the enormous wide outreach they have Issues to further explored with quantitative data already collected and survey data still to be collected: - access to credit and the demand for credit of rural households - impact of credit and how the financial system influences this - WU and mass organizations - Depth of poverty outreach of the formal sector 3. Planning of Further Research in Vietnam 3.1. Methodology 13 The research will continue in a second research stage with a survey of approximately 300 households. This survey will cover issues This phase will take place in February – March 2004 and consists of a survey of approximately 300 households – 150 households in each case-study area. In each of the 6 communes, 2 villages/hamlets will be selected to be included in the survey and a random sample1 of about 25 households will be drawn for each village. The survey will be implemented by a team of students and more experienced researcher, a combination that allows capacity building and gaining experience for local students. For Hung Yen case-study area (north), the survey team is recruited from the National Economics University in Hanoi and for Tien Giang case study area (south) the survey team is recruited from the Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh City, Economic Faculty. In January, the questionnaire for the survey will be constructed and discussed in Leuven and translated by the research assistant at the Micro Finance Resource Center in Hanoi. 1 If possible, households could be classified based on the poverty classification in the commune and a stratified random sample could be drawn. However, the selection of households will very likely be influenced and biased by local authorities. 14