Steel Industry Update/149 August/September 2000 Locker Associates, 225 Broadway, NY NY 10007 Tel: 212-962-2980 Despite the rosy shipment forecasts we presented in the July Update, very dark clouds are now enveloping the North American steel industry. Imports are soaring, prices are plummeting -- especially sheet tags, inventories continue to climb, stock prices are stuck at all-time lows and the first shutdown and layoff announcements have been issued. This could be a painful fall and winter if the economy continues to falter, especially the auto and construction markets. The tepid numbers generated in the second quarter for integrated mills (see Table 2) could worsen due to falling prices. HR sheet spot offerings have quickly slipped below $300/ton (down from $340 in April) while CR prices are touching $400/ton (down from $440). Gulf States shut its plant this summer, Wheeling-Pitt has just announced its laying off 29 hourly workers due to a decline in sales and LTV announced the closure of its Minnesota iron ore mines. Most importantly, the Clinton administration continues to largely ignore the rising flood of low-priced imports. On the more positive side, Europe, most of Asia and Latin America continue to grow. Unlike the early 1980's, the integrated mills have strengthened their balance sheets, dramatically reducing their debt and pension bills. And scrap and pig iron prices have edged up on the world market in the last six weeks. If the world and U.S. economy can maintain strong growth, then it's conceivable we could witness a steel shortage that drives up prices to new highs. In other words, we are at a crucial crossroad. Over the next three months, if the negative volume and price trends accelerate, the steel industry could take a real hit. But if demand recovers and prices rise, the downturn will be averted. Stay tuned. Fax: 212-608-3077 Inside This Issue...... Second Quarter Results ............................ Prices and Shipments ................................ End-Use Markets ....................................... Trade .......................................................... Labor/Management .................................... Raw Materials ............................................ Worthy of Note ........................................... 1 2 4 4 5 7 7 SECOND QUARTER RESULTS The eight U.S. integrated producers in Table 2 generated $181 million in operating earnings in second quarter 2000, up 330% from the same period last year. A healthy 11% jump in combined shipments, to 12.7 million tons, and a $25 per ton rise in average price, to $536 per ton, contributed to the improved performance. On a per ton basis, operating income rose from $4 per ton to a still lackluster $14 per ton. Non-recurring problems contributed to the subpar performance of several major mills. National, for example, cited the unanticipated extension of planned outages combined with a fire at the Great Lakes caster for its $15 million operating loss, while LTV cited an unplanned seven-day blast furnace outage and computer problems at the Indiana Harbor tandem mill as factors in its $7 million loss. Rouge, which set a new quarterly production record, appears to be overcoming the effects of its powerhouse explosion and fire in the second quarter of 1999, but still had an operating loss of $20 million (before insurance recoveries of $40 million). For the three Canadian integrated producers, combined operating earnings rose 21% to C$179 Table 1: Selected U.S. Steel Industry Data, June & Year-To-Date (thousand tons) Raw Steel Production ................... Capacity Utilization ..................... Mill Shipments .............................. Exports .......................................... Imports .......................................... Apparent Steel Supply* ................ Imports as % of Supply* ............. Iron Ore Shipments (metric) ............. Average Spot Price** ($/ton)............ Scrap Price+ ($/gross ton) .................. Month of June 2000 1999 9,593 89.6 9,758 543 3,346 12,016 23.3% 5,881 366 111 8,413 79.7 8,963 430 3,064 10,791 20.9% 5,935 340 108 % Chg 14.0% -8.9% 26.7% 9.2% 11.4% --0.9% 7.5% 2.8% Year-to-Date 2000 1999 59,238 91.6 57,892 3,305 20,291 70,058 22.1% 25,836 365 129 50,249 80.4 50,453 2,399 16,815 61,085 21.3% 24,017 340 101 % Chg 17.9% -14.7% 37.7% 20.7% 14.7% -7.6% 7.4% 27.9% Source: AISI, Purchasing Mag., & US Geo. Survey *Excludes semi-finished imports **Avg price of 8 carbon products +auto bundles Steel Industry Update/149 million (US$121 mil) despite a modest 1% decline in shipments. Stronger profits were the result of higher average price, up C$32 per ton price to C$667 per ton (US$451 per ton), which more than offset a C$21 per ton rise in average operating cost. Algoma -- which set new production records on its DSPC in both May and June -- posted operating earnings of $C45 per ton (US$30), a marked improvement compared to a C$27 per ton loss in second quarter 1999. The six North American minimills in Table 2 also enjoyed stronger earnings. Combined operating income rose 33% to $207 million thanks to both a 6% rise in shipments and $22 per ton rise in average price to $390 per ton. Operating income per ton increased to $36, up $7 per ton from the same period last year. All six minimills were profitable, but there was significant variation among the group. Oregon earned a paltry $1 per ton, while Steel Dynamics earned $74 per ton, making it the most profitable mill in North America on a per ton basis. creased by 2.1% over May and were up by 21.6% over June of 1999. Figures released by Pipe Logix, a consulting and information services firm for the industry, showed a 3.2% jump in carbon ERW casing in June, from $647 to $668/ton and another 1.5% hike in July to $678/ton. Carbon seamless casing moved up from $807 to $817/ton in June and to $821/ton in July, a gain of 1.2% and 0.5% respectively. Alloy ERW casing, at $785/ton in May, increased by 2.5% to $805/ton in June, and 1.2% to $815/ton in July, and alloy seamless casing went up 1%, from $879 to 888/ton in June and 0.9% more to $896/ton in July. Tubing also showed similar increases, with carbon seamless up 2.8% in June and 1.1% in July, from $969 to $996 and $1,007/ton respectively, carbon ERW ahead 1.5% and 1.3%, from $846 to $859 and $870/ton, alloy seamless increasing 2.1% and 0.6%, from $1,128 to $1,152/ton in June and $1,159/ton in July, and alloy ERW up 2.3% in June and 0.6% in July, from $1,016 to $1,039 and $1,045/ton respectively. Even as prices continued to move ahead, spokesmen for the industry expressed cautious hope that the highly attractive U.S. market does not result in a new surge of cut-rate imports from abroad, which could change the picture considerably (AMM 7/5, 8/1). PRICES AND SHIPMENTS OCTG: The unabated rise in energy prices sent OCTG prices still higher this summer as oil drilling continued to increase. In August, U.S. Steel led with a tag hike of $40/ton on high-strength alloy casing effective Sept. 1. In June, prices in- Sheet: With both the U.S. economy and steel Table 2: Performance of Major North American Steel Producers, 2Q00 & 2Q99 Shipments Sales Oper Income Sales/Ton (thousand tons) ($ millions) ($ millions) ($ per ton) U.S Integrated 2Q00 2Q99 2Q00 2Q99 AK Steel ........... 1,710 1,736 1,226 1,114 Bethlehem ........ 2,239 2,109 1,059 985 LTV Steel ......... 2,273 1,987 1,279 1,014 National............ 1,631 1,471 772 707 Rouge Steel ..... 638 372 276 173 USSteel............ 2,904 2,548 1,585 1,303 Weirton ............ 653 606 293 267 WHX (W-P)* .... 615 568 294 256 U.S. Totals ....... 12,663 11,397 $6,785 $5,819 Canadian Integrated (C$=US$.68) Algoma............. 530 571 305 296 Dofasco............ 1,128 1,141 842 784 Stelco ............... 1,267 1,245 804 798 Canada Totals .. 2,925 2,957 C$1,951 C$1,878 N.A. Minimills (US$) Birmingham ...... 734 Co-Steel ........... 750 Ipsco* ............... 559 Nucor* .............. 2,836 Oregon ............. 417 Steel Dynamics 503 N.A Mini Totals 5,798 831 728 421 2,571 405 506 5,463 213 244 237 1,214 162 191 $2,260 258 212 185 997 189 167 $2,008 Oper Inc/Ton ($ per ton) 2Q00 116 25 (7) (15) (20) 68 12 2 $181 2Q99 89 (26) (7) 3 (62) 43 0 2 $42 2Q00 717 473 563 474 433 546 449 478 $536 2Q99 641 467 510 481 466 511 441 451 $511 2Q00 68 11 (3) (9) (31) 23 19 3 $14 2Q99 51 (12) (4) 2 (166) 17 0 3 $4 24 100 55 C$179 (15) 112 52 C$148 575 746 635 C$667 518 687 641 C$635 45 89 43 C$61 (27) 98 42 C$50 3 16 23 128 1 37 $207 7 8 23 79 10 28 $156 290 325 423 428 388 379 $390 310 291 439 388 467 329 $368 4 21 41 45 1 74 $36 9 12 55 31 25 55 $29 Source: Company documents. Note: Steel Segment, except Ipsco & Nucor. Includes profit-sharing; excludes non-recurring charges. -2- Steel Industry Update/149 Table 3: U.S. Annual Product Spot Prices: Actual and Forecast Actual 1999 ($/ton) Hot rolled sheet.......... Cold rolled sheet......... HD galvanized sheet... Coiled mill plate.......... Cold-finished bars...... Wide-flange beams.... Reinforced bars #6..... Wire rod/low carbon... Carbon Avg Price..... Stainless 304 sheet... Stainless 316 sheet... Forecast 2001 2000 2002 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 283 303 327 335 331 330 328 326 324 323 321 318 397 403 437 437 432 430 427 425 423 421 419 415 423 467 430 440 435 433 430 428 426 424 421 418 300 300 323 330 326 325 323 321 319 318 316 314 460 460 460 467 462 460 457 455 452 450 448 444 270 287 307 313 310 308 306 305 303 302 300 297 310 307 322 327 324 322 320 318 316 315 313 311 295 315 300 300 297 295 293 292 290 289 287 285 342 355 363 369 365 363 361 359 357 355 353 350 1,555 1,750 1,750 1,958 1,936 1,927 1,915 1,906 1,894 1,887 1,875 1,860 1,792 1,821 2,200 2,300 2,275 2,263 2,250 2,238 2,225 2,216 2,203 2,185 Sources: Purchasing Magazine, Buying Strategy Forecast (7/24/00) industry showing signs of a slowdown in the last couple of months, flat-rolled sheet declined in August with HR at about $290/ton, down some $50-$60 from May and CR off about $70/ton to about $380. Prices have been affected by typical summer slowdowns and by the fact that service centers are reportedly working off the higher inventory levels they built up late last year. Another factor is a bit of a slowdown -- though not a major one -- in construction activity (AMM 7/17). regional price policy and its attempts to gain a larger share of the merchant bar market. AISI figures reveal that imports of carbon structural shapes went up by 30.4% this May over May of last year, from 146,542 tons to 191,032 tons, although total imports of 709,789 tons in the first five months were off this year by 2.2% compared with the first five months last year (AMM 7/24). Slab: After a rise of about $19/metric tonne earlier in the year, slab prices were falling off this summer and the trend appears to be accelerating. California Steel Industries, the largest domestic slab buyer, was reported to be paying $10/metric ton less in the third quarter, or about $220 f.o.b., and prices were expected to be still lower in the last quarter of this year. California has also resumed buying slab from Cia Siderurgica de Tubarao (CST), the Brazilian company that was formerly CSI’s biggest supplier. California had stopped buying its slabs from CST earlier this year when its prices were about $10/metric ton higher than competitive suppliers. Although purchases have begun again, it is reported unlikely that the Brazilian firm will regain its predominant position with CSI. Meanwhile, another Brazilian steelmaker, Cia Siderurgica Paulista (Cosipa) is ready to start up a new mill Oct. 1 to increase its raw steel output to 4.5 million metric tons a year, up from 2.7 million metric tons. The third largest Brazilian steel producer plans to turn out 900,000 metric tons of slab annually, most of it for export, even as CST, the country’s biggest slab exporter, will be reducing its shipments abroad (AMM 7/31, 8/3, 8/16). Merchant Bar: Nucor’s recent aggressive pricing stance in merchant bar is causing increasing concern in the market, according to a July report. In mid-July, the company announced that it was cutting its tags on merchant bars and structural shapes. Birmingham, North Star, SMI, and Auburn Steel quickly followed with cuts of their own. Mills are now reportedly introducing a “foreignfighter” price, which has been devised to fight against low-priced imports, and this is the price merchant bar buyers were now paying. Basically, it means that if a small buyer can purchase at the foreign-fighter price, he will pay the same price as the large buyer, since it is not likely that manufacturers will discount below this price. Some industry sources expressed doubt that the “foreignfighter” prices would last. In mid-summer, a Midwestern buyer was reporting that 2 inch by 2 inch by 1/4 inch angles, selling for $330/ton, were being discounted to $316/ton. The foreign-fighter price for the product is $281. Industry and service center sources said that a key factor behind Nucor’s cuts were its Steel Industry Update (ISSN 1063-4339) published 10 times/year by Locker Associates, Inc. Subscriptions $395/yr; $725/two yrs; Multiple copy discounts available. Checks payable to Locker Associates in U.S. dollars drawn on a U.S. bank. Copyright © 2000 by Locker Associates Inc. All rights reserved. Reproduction in any form forbidden w/o permission. Some material in this Update is excerpted from American Metal Market (AMM), which is available by subscription by calling 800-247-8080. Locker Associates, 225 Bdwy, # 2625, NY NY 10007. E-Mail: lockerassociates@yahoo.com -3- Steel Industry Update/149 END-USE MARKETS last year. Holding that the reduced-price imports had caused, or threatened to cause, injury to domestic industry, the 4-2 commission decision levied anti-dumping duties of up to 95.29% on four Japanese companies -- Nippon, Kawasaki, NKK, and Toyo Kohan -- and 32.52% on “all others.” In two years, from 1997 to 1999, imports of tin mill goods had jumped by 74.4%, from 199,583 to 348,000 tons. The Japanese, who have been handed a number of adverse anti-dumping decisions by the ITC this year, were particularly upset by this one, which involved only one U.S. tin mill manufacturer, Weirton Steel, and two unions, after other domestic mills declined to join. During the hearings, they introduced testimony from four U.S. can manufacturers that Weirton’s poor ontime delivery performance rather than lower import prices were the reason for their decision to purchase Japanese tin mill products last year. Weirton, whose tin mill goods account for about 40% of its income and 22% of the domestic market, should now find it easier to obtain a loan guarantee from a federal steel loan program. The AISI hailed the ITC decision and repeated its call for stronger and more-strictly enforced trade laws (AMM 7/6, 8/4). Steel Still King in Automaking: The outlook for development of new lightweight steel for use in car manufacturing looked rosier in July with the issuance of a government report that neither aluminum nor composite materials will be able to be priced cheaply enough in the near future to rival steel costs in most major vehicles. The report by the National Research Council urges the Partnership for a New Generation of Vehicles to closely follow the development of the new lightweight steel by the Ultra Light Steel Auto Body consortium. The consortium, created by the American Iron and Steel Institute, has been developing the ultra-light, high-strength steel for the next generation of cars to meet the competition from lighter weight but higher priced metals. ”We’re encouraged that the National Research Council recognized the contributions and potential that we have been able to demonstrate for the next generation of vehicles,” said David Jeanes, AISI senior VP of market development. Later in the month, reports indicated that steel products in some of its newer and higher forms will be used in a significantly larger number of vehicles for 2001. Ford also announced that it intended to use new laminated steel door panels in its 2001 Ranger trucks. The laminated panels cut down vibrations and noise in the vehicles. About 350,000 Ford Ranger trucks are sold each year (AMM 7/12, 7/14, 7/27). Series of ITC Judgments Buoy U.S. mills: A series of U.S. International Trade Commission anti-dumping rulings in July has given a new lift to a number of U.S. steel producers. In one case, involving large diameter pipe from Mexico, the commission held, by a unanimous 6-0 vote, that imports of carbon seamless standard pipe and pressure pipe caused or threatened injury to domestic producers. It also held, by a 5-1 vote that imports of alloy seamless pipe did the same. In addition, four commissioners found injury to the domestic industry from small diameter carbon and alloy pipe from Romania and the Czech Republic. In the critical circumstances portion of the decision, four of the commissioners held that such circumstances were not present during the period of the investigation, so that duties will be imposed from the date of the preliminary antidumping margins, or Aug. 23, rather than 90 days before that. The ruling will result in duty margins of 19.65% on imports from Mexico, 32.26% to 39.93% for the Czech Republic, and 11.08% to 19.11% for Romania. Injury, or the threat of injury, to the U.S. market was also found in the imports of structural steel beams from S. Korea. The unanimous ITC holding will see final anti-dumping and subsidy rate margins applied to Inchon Iron & Steel (25.51% and 0.15%), Kangwon (49.73% and 3.88%), and all others (37.72% and 3.87%) (AMM 7/14). Freight Car Sales Derailed in Second Quarter: It looks like someone has pulled the emergency brake on railway freight cars. During the second quarter of this year, sales orders plummeted by 20.4% from the first quarter, with deliveries the lowest in nearly three years. Although second quarter orders for 11,595 cars was still 73.9% higher than the 6,658 cars ordered in the second quarter of 1999, it was considerably off the 14,551 orders placed in the first quarter of this year. American Railway Car Institute President Robert A. Matthews, however, predicted a turnaround toward higher sales again “as railroads continue to recover from recent merger-related problems and fuel prices remain high.” The more the railroads are used, he said, the more need there will be for new freight cars (AMM 7/27). TRADE ITC Hits Japanese Tin Mill Imports: An antidumping ruling August 2 by the U.S. International Trade Commission struck sharply at the imports of Japanese tin-and chromium-coated steel sheet -4- Steel Industry Update/149 U.S. Trade Study Gets Mixed Reviews: The long-awaited government report on the recent crisis in steel imports was issued July 26 to a variety of reviews, mostly lukewarm, on its formula for preventing future disasters. While most praised the study as a well-documented, fact-filled description of the import problem, they noted that it was quite short on any conspicuous new measures that would prevent future occurrences. Others noted that, at least it laid to rest the denials from some sources that there was a real problem from abroad, or that domestic industry was the source of the blame. The United Steelworkers of America called the study “the result of a massive grassroots effort by our union and others,” and said that it looked to Congress for legislative action “to put teeth into the report’s findings.” Others, like the American Iron and Steel Institute, welcomed the report but said that it is “less than what is needed to address the global steel structural problems and to achieve the Steel Action Program’s stated goal of ‘zero tolerance of unfair trade.’” Most of the remedies against future dumping surges recommended in the 235page study were those already in the hopper, according to some industry and congressional sources. They included: Rebar Cases Get Mixed ITC Verdict: In another action this summer, the ITC dismissed cases of anti-dumping against producers of rebar in four countries, even as it voted to carry on the investigation into charges of injury by imports from eight others. The 5-1 preliminary injury vote held that imports from Russia, Venezuela and Austria were negligible and that imports from Japan did not cause or threaten injury to the U.S. rebar industry. It did, however, decide to proceed with the probe of imports from China, Korea, Indonesia, Poland, Ukraine, Belarus, Latvia, and Moldava. A final vote on these countries is expected next spring. Allegations of critical circumstances were filed Aug 21 by the Rebar Trade Action Coalition, representing eight U.S. rebar mills. They charged that last December producers in several of these countries, believing that anti-dumping cases would be filed imminently, engaged in “a massive increase in dumped imports.” An attorney representing the industry said that “importers should be put on notice that we are requesting the U.S. government to impose duties as rapidly as the law allows in order to address the harm caused by these import surges.” If critical circumstances are upheld, rebar producers in these countries would be subject to retroactive duties on goods coming into the country up to 90 days before the preliminary determination of anti-dumping duties, now scheduled for Dec. 5 (AMM 8/14, 8/15, 8/16, 8/23). ● A system of early warnings through the expedited issuance of steel import statistics a month early and closer coverage of raw steel production, consumption, capacity utilization, import penetration, average weekly overtime hours and other employment data. LABOR/MANAGEMENT AK’s “Safety” and “Citizenship” Citations Leave Lots of Heads Shaking: The National Safety Council’s selection of AK Chairman and CEO Richard Wardrop for its first Green Cross for Safety Medallion has left lots of people scratching their heads in disbelief. The company was cited for turning around a poor safety record into one with a very low rate of plant accidents. The NSC also cited Wardrop for his “corporate citizenship.” Blasting the award almost as soon as it was announced, the United Steelworkers of America said that it called into question the very integrity and credibility of the NSC. It pointed to the fact that AK and its contractor, Motorized Assisted Deliveries, have been assessed for over $50,000 in fines by OSHA just this summer for numerous health and safety violations at its Mansfield plant. In one violation that resulted in a $44,000 fine against MAD, an employee’s clothing caught fire when he was not given, nor required to wear, protective equipment to guard against burns. The union also charged that the company’s intimidating practices inside the plant had prevented workers from reporting accidents and safety viola- ● Expediting investigations of dumping, antiduty actions, and critical-circumstance findings to speed up relief for industries and communities affected by the actions. ● Making sure the U.S. trade laws, while consistent with WTO regulations, are strengthened to increase the ability to litigate dumping abuses. ● Conducting negotiations and bi-lateral discussions with Japan, Russia, Brazil and South Korea to correct structural problems in the industry and broadening the discussions to include extensive monitoring. ● Seeking a moratorium on lending by multilateral development banks for enterprises that significantly increase overseas steel production capability. ● Energizing the international steel policy agenda through meetings attended by highlevel government officials (AMM 7/27, 7/28, 7/31). -5- Steel Industry Update/149 tions, and that many of the violations were being committed by contractors working at the AK plants so that they are not reported as being the responsibility of AK. But the clearest irony in the “corporate citizenship” citation is the development, reported in the July Update, that AK was cited twice in June for polluting the waters of two towns in Ohio and Pennsylvania. The company was ordered by the EPA to supply and pay for supplementary drinking water for an entire town after it found that nitrate waste from AK’s Butler steel mill, dumped into a local river, had permeated the town’s water supply. The waste dumping has resulted in a nitrate level 10 times above the national standard which could cause serious illness and death in infants under six months of age. The EPA order carried a penalty of $15,000 a day for noncompliance. AK is appealing the order. In another legal action, the U.S. Justice Department also filed a lawsuit in June charging AK with polluting the air and water at its Middletown, Ohio, plant for seven years by repeatedly dumping pollutants, including heavy metals, nitrogen ammonia, cyanide, and PCBs, into a local river. The Justice Department acted after investigations by the U.S. EPA and the Ohio attorney general’s office. A spokesperson for the state attorney general’s office also announced its intention to file a lawsuit on behalf of the state EPA. The federal suit is seeking the maximum penalties of $25,000 a day for each day of violation before January 31, 1997 and $27,500 for each day since. The state suit will reportedly ask for fines of $25,000 a day for clean air violations and $10,000 a day for clean water and hazardous waste violations. AK is currently involved in a bitter labor dispute with USWA at its Mansfield, Ohio, plant after it locked out the workers there more than a year ago. The “corporate citizenship” citation is also paradoxical in light of the comment by an AK spokesman earlier this year on the fact that the company’s action has been deeply resented by the Mansfield community. “I see no evidence anyone is jumping on the AK bandwagon saying, ‘You’re doing the right thing,” he said, but the company is responsible to its stockholders, not to the community’s feelings. And when 10 members of Ohio’s Congressional delegation sought a meeting with Wardrop, to discuss the situation they were turned down. The lawmakers then "branded AK’s conduct “an embarrassment to the state of Ohio and harmful to both the company and the city of Mansfield.” was not guilty of unfair labor practices in its lockout of the Mansfield workers, declaring the lockout a “legitimate economic weapon.” It also dismissed a USWA charge that the company had unlawfully engaged in surveillance of union members and of the union hall in Mansfield, holding that AK’s concerns about its security justified its actions. The union promptly announced that it would appeal the decision with the NLRB general counsel in Washington. The decision did hold that if a settlement was not reached with the union, the company should be held in violation of the National Labor Relations Act by trying to pressure employees into accepting its contract last August when it prematurely distributed a version of it to union members. All of this AK-USWA conflict did not prevent the company and USWA Local 1865 at the Ashland plant from reaching a tentative agreement on a new five-year pact containing a $2-an-hour wage increase over the life of the contract (AMM 7/12, 7/18, 8/3, 9/4; USWA Local 169 Strike Bulletins: Our Struggle for Justice 8/2, 8/17; Yahoo Finance Newswire 8/1). Rouge & UAW Sign Pact: After rejecting a contract negotiated by their leaders in July, members of UAW Local 600 approved a new four-year agreement with Rouge Steel a month later. The new contract includes a 3-cent-an-hour base pay increase in each of its four years in addition to inflation pay raises tied to the Consumer Price Index. It also includes a $1,000 lump-sum payment to all workers completing their 90-day probationary periods, and an additional $100 lump-sum payment to all workers, including those still on probation. There is also a lump-sum payment for retirees and their surviving spouses and a pension increase of $4-a-month for every year of service for all future retirees. It also adds several health care benefits for employees. The contract, by avoiding a possible strike, was particularly important for Rouge, still recovering from serious financial problems caused by the fatal explosion and fire at its plant last February (AMM 7/12, 8/14). Rocky Mountain Hit with Half-a-Million in OSHA Fines: Citing 107 violations of health and workplace standards, OSHA has proposed penalties against Rocky Mountain Steel to the tune of $487,000. The violations include 22 repeat citations after a comprehensive inspection of the company’s Pueblo, Colo., mill following the death of a worker there in February. It was the second accident-related death at the plant in a year. Assistant U.S. Secretary of Labor Charles N. Jeffress declared in Washington in August that even after being repeatedly cited for violations, the company “has continued to disregard employee NLRB Hands Down AK Decision: In another AK development, an NLRB ruling said that AK -6- Steel Industry Update/149 safety.” Since 1972, he said, 31 out of 42 inspections had resulted in citations. Just three years ago, the mill was fined $1.1 million by OSHA -- a sum later negotiated down to $400,000 -- and $111,500 in penalties. The OSHA decision was welcomed by USWA, which has been involved in a labor dispute with the steelmaker since Rocky Mountain’s parent company, Oregon Steel, in violation of current labor law, refused to rehire workers that had struck the plant three years ago. In a development related to the labor dispute, both sides claimed a victory in a recent NLRB ruling that found USWA guilty of about 80 violations, but the Board refused to impose any sanctions or fines, or command the union to apologize, as the company had sought. The judge also rejected Oregon Steel’s demand that the union be decertified and the union noted that the NLRB had found the company guilty of “massive violations of federal labor law” making it liable for restitution of back pay that could come to as much as $120 million (AMM 8/10, 8/24; Oregon Steel Press Release 8/8). not only costs less to set up and run but provides a melt with substantially reduced residuals. However, the liquid pig iron works has been plagued by problems almost from the time it opened in the spring of 1999. After operating successfully for about five weeks, it was forced to shut down. The whole highly advanced technological process came grinding to a halt when a refractory break-out occurred in the submerged-arc furnace. The company acknowledged at the time that the breakout was caused by the use of the wrong type of brick lining in the of the submerged-arc furnace. It reopened shortly afterward, but problems still persisted. The plant will now undergo equipment retrofits and is not expected to resume production until the end of next year (AMM 7/20). WORTHY OF NOTE Guaranteed Loans Go to Four U.S. Mills: Wheeling-Pittsburgh, Northwestern Steel & Wire, Geneva Steel, and GS Technologies have been approved for $365 million in loan guarantees by the U.S. Government. The loans were guaranteed under the authority of the 1999 Emergency Steel Loan Guarantee Act, passed by Congress last year to help steel companies in the wake of the foreign dumping crisis. As approved by the Emergency Steel Loan Guarantee Board, Northwestern got $170 million, Geneva received $110 million, GS was approved for $50 million, and Wheeling-Pitt received $35 million. Other applications still being considered are those from Weirton, Gulf States, and Acme Steel. For Geneva and Acme, the loan will help the companies, now in Chapter 11 bankruptcy, to become solvent again. Northwestern will use the loan to fund some major projects, like the construction of a new structural mill. Citicorp USA is the lending institution for Wheeling-Pitt, Geneva and GS Technologies, while Bankers Trust will fund the Northwestern loan (AMM 7/5). RAW MATERIALS Whither the Scrap Market?: After a summer of mixed signals and contradictory predictions, industry analysts could only express puzzlement at the direction of the scrap market and a reluctance to make any predictions for the future. The end of July saw a very slight upturn in the auto bundles market as prices inched up a little over $1 to $108.50/metric ton. In the first six months of this year, bundles lost nearly 30% of their value as they tumbled from a high of over $150 last December. But no one was willing to say if he thought it was the beginning of a real turnaround or just a plateau before scrap went into a new tailspin. At the beginning of the summer, falling ferrous scrap prices of $2 to $5/gross ton in many of the major scrap markets had produced a gloomy outlook among observers. But two weeks later, some were expressing cautious optimism that ferrous scrap exports, suffering from an extreme case of the blahs for months, may show some upward swing. They pointed to the slowing pace of scrap shipments from Russia and Ukraine into Asian steel markets as a good sign for future U.S. exports. However, as of the beginning of this month, everyone seemed to agree that the jury was still out (AMM 7/12, 7/25, 7/31, 8/7). Acominas to Spend $133 Million: Acos de Minas Gerais (Acominas), Brazil’s biggest bloom and billet maker, launched a program of new investments in July to upgrade quality and increase output in its plant in Minas Gerais state. The investment program will total $133 million. The improvements, which are expected to raise its steel production from 2.5 million to 2.7 million metric tons, include a one-million-metric-ton-a-year continuous billet caster (already in operation), a ladle furnace, installation of a pulverized coal injection system in one blast furnace and the upgrading of its sinter feed plant. Acominas plans to use $63 million of the SDI Suspends Pig Iron Facility: Steel Dynamics, over the summer, suspended the production of liquid pig iron at its Butler, Ind. mill. The pig iron facility was operated by its subsidiary, Iron Dynamics. Liquid pig iron, used in the plant melt shop, is a substitute for scrap, and the process -7- Steel Industry Update/149 Table 4: Selected Canadian Steel Industry Data, May & Year-To-Date (thousand tons) 2000 Mill Shipments ............................. 1,458 Exports ......................................... 552 Imports ......................................... 839 Apparent Steel Supply ................. 1,745 Imports as % of Supply .............. 48.1 Month of May 1999 1,363 457 528 1,434 36.8 % Chg 2000 7.0% 20.8% 58.9% 21.7% 7,139 2,496 3,831 8,474 45.2 Year-to-Date 1999 6,887 2,239 2,288 6,937 33.0 % Chg 3.7% 11.5% 67.4% 22.2% Source: CSPA 8/25/00 amount to renovate a sections rolling mill it bought from Germany in 1988 but never installed for lack of financing. The mill, with a capacity to turn out 450,000 metric tons of 6-inch by 24-inch sections a year, should be installed in the next year or two. The $133 million investments actually are only the first phase of a $500 million expansion that Acominas eventually expects will produce 3.5 million tons of steel annually. The company, which now exports about 60% of its production to Southeast Asia and North America, plans to increase shipments to these markets after its expansion. In a related development, the Gerdau Group, Brazil’s largest steel manufacturer and owner of 36.6% of Acominas stock, is currently negotiating to buy 17.2% more. The acquisition would give it a better than 50% stake in Acominas and would make it one of the world’s largest and most profitable steel companies. The purchase price of the stock was said to range between $150 million and $250 million (AMM 7/7, 7/11, 8/9). of 749-223. Company officials had said, at that point, that obtaining a positive vote on the labor agreement was the key as to whether it would continue operations. However, the die seemed to be cast a month earlier, in July, when Gulf States was not on the list of those approved for loans by the Emergency Steel Loan Guarantee Board. It had applied for a credit of $130 million, with 85% guaranteed by the federal government, and had let it be known that it would shut down if it did not receive the loan (AMM 7/11, 8/2, 8/9, 8/11). Kawasaki to Build Rail Cars in Nebraska: Kawasaki Heavy Industries revealed plans in late August that it would build a plant to manufacture railway cars in Lincoln, Nebraska. The plant would be built on the site of its subsidiary, Kawasaki Motor Manufacturing, which now produces motorcycles, jet skis, parts for construction machinery and industrial robots. Its present railway car manufacturing is done at its Kobe, Japan, facility. The company said it was investing about 5 billion yen ($47 million) to build the Lincoln mill, which would produce 200 rail cars annually, starting in April 2002. Several weeks before this announcement, it was also revealed that Kawasaki is currently in talks with France’s giant steelmaker, Usinor, in an effort to get a global cooperation agreement to supply steel sheet to automakers. Earlier reports in the European press speculated that Germany’s Thyssen Krupp Steel may have floated merger offers to Usinor but high officials at Thyssen dismissed the reports. Officials of both Thyssen Krupp and Usinor acknowledged, however, that talks had been held some months ago on the possible formation of alliances in the cobalt and nickel markets, but nothing further has been made public. Thyssen Krupp now has a 40% share of the European stainless market, prompting fears of the possible formation of a large European cartel. Actually, of all the large basic industries, steel is among the least heavily concentrated. Compared with the tire industry, for example, in which the top five producers turn out 70% of production, the auto industry where the top five make 57% of Steel Union Blasts Gulf States Shutdown: In the wake of the bankruptcy shutdown of Gulf States Steel last month, the United Steelworkers of America reacted strongly to a report that the company’s bankruptcy filings included cuts to health-care benefits, long-term disability payments, and the elimination of all benefits for the surviving spouses of retirees. The proposals, said USWA District 9 Director Homer Wilson, “were not even part of the company’s negotiations with us.” He charged that Gulf States was attempting to scapegoat the union for the company’s closing. "Gulf States executives,” he said, “are trying to build a bankruptcy case on the backs of the workers and their families, when our members have already made significant sacrifices in contract negotiations to keep the company from going under.” Management, he said, had made no similar effort to reduce benefits for itself, but rather had plans to pay its executives bonuses if the company had worked its way out of bankruptcy. Earlier, the union’s Local 2176 membership had rejected a Gulf States contract offer by a vote -8- Steel Industry Update/149 all cars, or aluminum in which the top five manufacture 44% of the world’s output, only 14% of all raw steel is produced by the world’s top five steelmakers (AMM 7/11, 8/25). Family Health Center, will be developed and run by CHD Meridian Healthcare of Nashville, Tenn. It would minister to 45,000 patient visits a year along with a full-service pharmacy. Construction of a new center is now underway with the opening planned for January 1, 2001 (AMM 8/25). Companies Join to Provide Better Health Coverage: Three of the biggest steelmakers in the country have combined -- no, not to fix prices or drive out competition, but to provide better health care for their employees. U.S. Steel, Bethlehem and National have formed an equal partnership to build a health center in Chesterton, Pa., to provide health care for employees, retirees, and families of the three companies who live in the vicinity. The new facility, called The Steel NOTES ON STEEL TRACK EXHIBITS Performance data is from monthly AISI sources. Spot Prices (except OCTG) are from Purchasing Magazine and are FOB Midwest, with no extras. Hot rolled sheet, 48 inch, temper rolled, ASTM 569; Cold Rolled Sheet, 48 inch, AISI 366; HD Galvanized Sheet, 120 inch AISI 525, G90; Coiled Plate, A36, 1/2x96x240 inch; Cold Finished Bar, SBQ 1018; Wide-Flange Beam, A36, W8, 18 lbs; Wire Rod, low carbon; Rebar, carbon, no. 6. OCTG spot prices are from Pipe Logix, FOB Houston for J55 8REUE Seamless Tube. “As management and technical consultants, E&E has been a subscriber to Steel Industry Update for many years. This concise compendium of key industry data is one of the most valued reference sources in our library.” Joel Hoffner President, E&E Corporation “The Update is timely, comprehensive and provides us with accurate information critical for understanding what is going on in the steel industry. It is widely read by my colleagues.” A. Cole Tremain V.P. Industrial Relations, LTV Steel “The monthly price, product, and market data keeps our negotiators well informed. We find the data very useful for our Steelworker locals. The Update serves as a guide for navigating through the North American steel industry and is read throughout Canada.” Leo Gerard Secretary Treasurer , United Steelworkers of America ---------------------------------------------------------------------Please enter my subscription to Locker Associates’ Steel Industry Update: One year (10 issues): $395 Payment enclosed Bill me Two Years (20 issues): $725 (Save $65) I prefer to receive the Update by: Mail (Hard Copy) Email Note: Subscribers outside North America must add $15/year for air-mail postage. Make checks payable to Locker Associates; payment must be in U.S. dollars drawn on a U.S. bank. Multiple copy discount available. Name: Title: Company: Address: City: Phone #: State: Zip: Country: Fax #:__________________Email:____________________ Return to: Locker Assoc. 225 Broadway, #2625, NY, NY 10007 Ph-212-962-2980; Fx-212-608-3077 email: lcokerassociates@yahoo.com -9- Steel Industry Update/149 - 10 -