OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES OF ELECTRONIC BANKING After attempting to define E-Banking and delve into basic history, this essay endeavors to outline opportunities/challenges of specific modes of E-Banking (ATMs etc), before a generic discussion of merits/trials of E-Banking initiatives. DEFINITION Electronic Banking is any method of banking activity or distribution of banking services utilizing an electronic or digital mode of delivery/conveyance, and includes Plastic Cards, ATMs, Dial-Up Corporate Banking, Internet Banking, EBilling, and even Branch Automation Systems (On-Line Banking, Phone Banking, Call Centers) (Appendix 1). The spectrum of services comprises on-line credit card transactions; e-cash; e-cheques; e-billing; electronic invoices; electronic standing instructions and so forth. HISTORY The earliest user of electronic banking technology was the Fed Reserve Communication System (Fed Wire) in USA, recording over 700,000 transfers in 1920. The growth of E-Banking was slow, and most information flowing between corporate treasuries and banks was paper based even until 1970s. Society For Worldwide Interbank Funds Transfer (SWIFT) began operations for cross-border funds transfer in 1977, with 239 participating banks in 15 countries. Midland Bank (UK) became the first bank to offer electronic banking to corporate customers in 1982. PLASTIC CARDS Banks utilize plastic cards to diversify credit portfolio, standardize product programs, cross-sell, reduce branch-costs of outdated cash-handling, and lower risk through asset-backed securitization. The value-addition proposition for customers means many downstream conveniences such as hassle-free shopping, and upstream benefits such as utilization of “float” and availability of credit. Through franchises like Visa, many banks now have EFTPOS/Shopping Cards which virtually eliminate the need for cash. In Pakistan, Habib Bank’s “Value” Card and its supporting marketing campaign (“It’s Current-It’s Currency”) exemplify both the convenience to end-users of E-Banking solutions and the 1 resource commitments required to launch, create awareness, induce switching, and ensure smooth usage. Standard Chartered is particularly advanced in this market, having launched a co-branded card with PIA. Pundits foresee a time when EFTPOS cards shall be used in Pakistan in public arenas such as buses and cinemas (“stored-value” cards). POS are deemed especially attractive to merchants because they provide cash payments, reduce paperwork, speed sales transactions, avoid credit-card fees, and reduce incidence of bad cheques, although in economies like Pakistan negative inertia exists due to necessary requirements of documentation. Sophisticated POS-users also realize that POS cards eliminate the luxury of “float”, readily available with cheques and credit cards. Banks have introduced “E-Wallets” for micro-payments (magazines, fast-food etc). These store monetary value and their usage debits the customers’ EAccount by the amount of purchase money. This points to the extremely varied and growing number of channels of delivery, and the increased requirement for banks’ front-office integration with back-office, support functions, and systems. It was estimated in December 2003 that only about PKR 19.44 billion worth of plastic money had been created in the domestic economy, which – if compared to total money in circulation (M1) – demonstrates the available depth of opportunities. Sophisticated card delinquencies (cyber-crime and identity-theft), or simple lostand-stolen cards present major challenges, which are generally mitigated by the banking system, contingent upon speedy and accurate reporting by the customers, and by carrying general provisions to cover for future losses. ATMs The first ATMs were introduced in 1968-9 by Barclays Bank in UK. A major bank to benefit from this technology was Bank of America, which eliminated 120 of its 1,071 branches during 1984. This illustrates that banks shall only benefit from EBanking initiatives if cost savings from premises and personnel redundancies can be captured. However, in Pakistan, most large banks remain relatively constrained in terms of free-hand to lay off staff or reduce branch network, basically due to historically entrenched developmental and public-sector outlooks, existence of strong unions in some cases, and lack of an adequate social security infrastructure. 2 Automatic Teller Machine services are being offered to customers as an “addon”, mostly without service fee. ATMs were introduced for the first time in Pakistan in 1999 under the joint aegis of Askari and ABN-AMRO Banks. Most banks today are members of unified 1-LINK and MNET networks (now incorporated as Guarantee Company). Knowledge sharing has enabled all banks to establish new ATMs in locations where there exists no other member banks’ machine, thus increasing banks’ penetration and customers’ convenience. This example of enabling delivery of costly service at competitive pricing is indicative of overall prospects in E-Banking through sharing information, infrastructure, and experience. However, there remain many teething technological and operational challenges such as “down-time” due to back-office inefficiencies, and power cut-offs etc. According to SBP’s “Pakistan Financial Sector Assessment-2004” Report, amounts transacted through ATMs between 2004-2005 had declined abruptly by PKR 44 billion. (In 2003-2004 ATM amounts touched record levels of PKR 120 billion). During the same period, number of installed ATMs had been enhanced from 786 to 1,028 and number of on-line branches of banks had increased from 2,475 to 2,897. This points to customers’ ease of switching back to traditional banking channels in case of poor service, despite banks’ voluminous investments in equipment and marketing. An innate challenge to this mode of electronic delivery is the perceived inability of banks – as “pillars of the economy” – to offer this service to 60% of Pakistan’s population, being rural-based and predominantly illiterate. However, banks have recognized these rural pockets of wealth and some, including Union Bank, have launched Agri-Cards, which function essentially as Credit Cards at designated outlets. These services are being provided in Multan Division by Union, with rollout planned for other areas. Physical security is a key challenge mitigated by well-patrolled locales; networked cameras; separate and discrete mailing of cards and PIN codes; and encouragement of frequent PIN changes. BRANCH AUTOMATION SYSTEMS And CALL CENTERS A submission for credit, an application for fund-transfer, or a generation of account statement in person does subject customers to certain degree of discomfort, however small, and resultantly the more impersonal on-line form of application is deemed far more appealing by many customers. 3 Bankers in Pakistan state that Branch Automation is inversely proportional to number of branches. Foreign Banks have achieved cross-country automation as well as automation at Regional levels, whereas the large-network Pakistani Banks have automation generally at the branch level and limited number of online branches. Allied Bank is the sole player with 100% on-line branches, numbering 730+; and total on-line branches in Pakistan exceeded 1,500 by end 2003. Banks in Pakistan are also progressing towards cross-linkage, allowing electronic banking transactions between branches of different banks. Inter-bank fund transfers through the network will open ancillary opportunities, such as connectivity with international networks, allowing instant settlement of clearing cheques as their images move on the network. SBP has decided to automate inter-bank settlements through Real Time Gross Settlement (RTGS), which shall complete automation of inter-bank chain, from origination of transaction at a bank to clearing at NIFT and final settlement with SBP. Capitalizing on economic boom, consumerism, and increased spending power of a progressively larger urban middle-class, prominent banks in Pakistan have ventured into E-Banking delivery mode of 24x7 Call Centers. These provide services, educate customers in new technology-driven initiatives, and also solicit sales through cross-selling. Askari Bank, with its round-the-clock, fullyautomated, “voice response activated”, “Tele-Care Center” is the market leader. In developed economies, a certain level of security has already been achieved, wherein a client is provided a multi-level, customer-designed security product. The user of branch-automation services sets the level for information such as SMS alerts, e-mail notification, or may go as far as opting for telephonic confirmations of transactions. E-BILLING E-Billing - the ability to receive and pay bills on-line - has become a significant business in both the international and Pakistani financial markets, with banks such as Askari and MCB taking the lead locally. UBL is in advanced stages of offering utility payment services through 1-Link Switch. The SBP established Payment Systems Department in 2002 and, on the Policy Level, there exists a Payment System Policy Group headed by a Deputy Governor, who is instituting IT-based Payment Systems. 4 HOME BANKING (HB) Advanced economies have been offering HBs, which comprise a home PC, tailored banking software, and a modem. Customers utilizing this facility can maintain records, sort and retrieve information, pay bills, transfer funds, reconcile cheque books, issue orders to their bankers, and even register complaints to the bank – all from the coziness of their homes. Advanced versions of HBs can also accept and answer loan applications, trade securities (AKD and others in Pakistan) and provide investment counseling. It is estimated that 80% of US households utilize some level of HB and banks now even lease HB equipment to maintain their market position! INTERNET BANKING An exponentially expanding Internet market has rendered it possible for the banking industry to accept and deploy the Internet as a lucrative delivery channel, and E-Banking has globally become a term synonymous with Internet Banking. It is estimated that presently US households banking online are in excess of 30 million. The Internet has made it possible to launch a multitude of new financial services and products such as “digital money” and “electronic checks” in a manner both feasible to providers and easily assessable for end-users all over the world. With the advent of “Merchant Accounts” in Pakistan, E-Banking would be poised to exploit completely the benefits of E-Commerce. It would indeed not be too far-sighted to imagine mass-scale Urdu web portals, such as ATM machines presently offering both languages to patrons. An Internet Banking platform provides opportunities to a bank in three basic forms, depending on the complexity of deployment: Information At a reduced cost and readily available from anywhere, a website presents information on-line (like a printed brochure), and may include unsecured email contact. This format would require no customer identification, verification, or authentication. 5 Regulators, such as the SBP, have joined the bandwagon uploading their information, circulars, and guidelines, which were previously deemed hard to obtain but were always essential to develop seasoned/knowledgeable bankers. Information Exchange Basic customer information (name, address, account information) may be collected and displayed, with possible secure email or data transfer requiring verification of customer identification. As early as 2001, various Pakistani banks had up-loaded their Account Opening Forms for comfort of savoir-faire patrons. Transactional Customers are enabled to conduct both simple and complex transactions, with requirement for strong authentication. SECURITY CHALLENGE It presents a growing challenge to the banking industry to strategize, implement, and operate an umbrella security program encompassing a risk-based protection strategy and risk management plan; a security policy; an awareness program; security controls; and testing. Banks desirous of forging ahead in E-Banking shall require to structure programs based on passwords, firewalls, encryption, and intrusion detection and management. Banks in Scandinavian countries, Korea, Singapore, and other OECD nations have been carrying general provisioning amounting to billions of dollars as pro-active shields against losses due to hacking and insecure E-Banking. Additionally, marketing budgets require to be committed to educate the customers regarding the security of their funds and data, and induce a switch to E-modes. Like conventional “brick-and-mortar” banks, electronic banks have to develop a description of their MIS architecture, which would include – but not be limited to – vendor and vendor contracts; E-Banking security policies; electronic operating processes (vendor management, customer-vendor-employee authentication, business resumption plans, internal controls, internal audit programs and so forth). Some of the most prominent threats include inadequacy of physical and logical protection against unauthorized external access like penetration attempts; computer viruses; and denial of service. The opportunity to “rope in” economies of scale and scope from E-Banking in general and Internet Banking in particular generally only accrue if certain specific security hurdles are overcome:6 Firewalls Firewalls are used as security measures to protect internal systems. In layman’s terms they can be described as gateways to guard against unauthorized intrusions and access to the banks’ networks. Since Firewalls are penetrable, they, per se, do not guarantee logical security, and work with multitude other controls such as physical security, implying that access to physical systems should be restricted to a “need-to-know” basis. Intrusion Detection and Management Intrusion to networks – a significant security challenge with dire ramifications may result in misuse of funds, destruction of customer and bank records, or complete “black-out” and denial of service. Intrusion detection systems need to be formulated as integral part of E-Strategy and, although not infallible, these enable management to scan voluminous logs for pattern identification and trends, as a supplement to manual reviews. Encryption The need for security of electronic messages and the increasing requirement to authenticate them (for public confidence; confidentiality; determination of identity) poses the banks with the challenge to incorporate encryption but only at a sensitive level appropriate to the amount of risk present in systems. Back-Up and Recovery Banks need to determine and assess the degree of customer reliance on EBanking and the potential for loss of reputation if operations are not accessible or functional. E-Banking requires corrective controls like fault-tolerant servers, back-up battery power, and off-site vaulting (transmission/storage) of data. “PURE ECONOMICS” OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES The generic E-Commerce model visualizes dramatically reduced costs of delivery and of managing the business. Suppliers are enabled to lower prices, which stimulates demand as existing consumers consume more and new consumers switch from other higher priced alternatives. The activity jump is more profound than the price reduction, resulting in rise in overall supplier revenues. The cost base being durably reduced, profitability increases. 7 However, economists and banking industry analysts quote empirical data to substantiate that core-banking services are essentially utilitarian with low demand elasticity. (For example, it cannot be reasonably perceived that lower transactional costs will induce customers to make more frequent payments or transfers. Similarly, even a difference of 1% in deposit rates does not represent a sizeable amount for a general customer to switch banks.) Consequently, the necessity of high marketing and promotional outlays to affect a change in customer mindset cannot be emphasized enough. Studies in developed economies have conclusively indicated that whatever cost advantage newcomers may have achieved vide technology, it was heavily undermined by the requirement for voluminous client acquisition spending. Therefore, the real economic opportunity of E-Banking remains largely restricted to the advantage of incumbents with a strong customer base (cross-selling etc). Global banks realize that it is the customers’ base – and not technology – that constitutes the major fixed-cost portion of the business. Such a base is integral for economies of scale, which allow lowering of costs for existing services, and for economies of scope, which facilitate service integration and cross marketing. E-Banking, too, has its limitations – whilst it can reduce complex costs of integrating various systems and data, it certainly has no power to eradicate them. From economists’ point of view wages and overheads are “sticky”, and technological initiatives shall only yield desired results if costs incurred would allow for concurrent cost reductions in intermediation, delivery, and overheads. Since many banks in developing economies like Pakistan operate many-a-time for considerations other than purely commercial – rural outreach, providing employment – the true essence of E-Banking may not be capitalized, resulting in some duplication of costs or cannibalization of products/services. MACRO/SOCIO ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES In Pakistan, a major opportunity is availability of relatively cheap and welltrained personnel to successfully devise and implement E-Banking strategies extrapolating from successes and eliminating hiccups in similar efforts in comparable economies – Mauritius being one. We have a head-start since we are not required to re-invent the wheel. The present government has taken pioneering steps in reducing band-width rates to levels lower than even India and Dubai. Opportunities can be adequately assessed from the example that largely because of an agri-rural economy, the payment system in Pakistan remains cash-based, 8 exerting immense pressure on paper currency, which costs sizeable amounts to print. According to December 2003 estimates, the outward cash-dispensing infrastructure in Pakistan comprised about 28.27 billion bank accounts; some 4.90 million post office savings accounts; and nearly 15 million personal accounts. The outward remittance infrastructure catered to payment of salaries and pensions to over 12.79 million personnel from military, government, and private sectors. This burden on payment infrastructure causes inconvenience to customers through time requirements, probability of error, and susceptibility to disputes. The burdened payment infrastructure illustrates the vast opportunities for investment in E-Billing and E-Banking in Pakistan and would serve the present government’s stated objective of moving the economy towards improved documentation, while ultimately benefiting the public in terms of convenience, speed, and cost. STRATEGIC OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES Global banks indicate a spectrum of reasons for forays into E-Banking, apart from the purely commercial. Enhancement of Reputation Building a reputation for innovation makes it easier for a bank to introduce new services in future as customers indicate greater readiness to accept new offers from innovators and banks “ahead of the curve.” Customer-Centric Initiatives Customers’ base may be enhanced by attracting clients from new services segment of marketplace or by winning share from competition. Once a customer is “captive” opportunities abound through cross-marketing. Similarly, banks find it increasingly incumbent to respond to customer requests for E-services, due to widespread access, ease, and cost-efficiencies. It has been found that Ecustomers are generally younger, more business savvy, and, therefore, more robust sources of future business for banks. Preservation of “Fast-Follower” Status Utilization of learning curves of competitors allows banks to introduce EBanking at lower costs without replication of others’ mistakes, and consequently helps retain customers that may be contemplating a switch. 9 MANAGEMENT OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES Customer Acceptance An underlying challenge is in forecasting when and at what rate the usage level by customers would induce break-even. Without a meaningful prediction of future uptake, banks struggle globally to commit resources to the development of E-services. Foreign Banks in Pakistan (ABN-AMRO, Deutsche, and Citibank) have technological superiority and home-market-experience to initiate such ventures on retail level but remain dormant citing lack of “critical-mass” in the market: only 5% Pakistanis have access to Internet and less than 1% have PCs at home Potential Cost Savings As mentioned, the lower transactional and intermediation costs associated with E-Banking shall only translate into bank-wide cost savings if transactions can be migrated from higher-cost channels to the on-line services in a manner that allows the traditional channels to reduce their costs. (Cost per transaction through the Internet is 27x less than through ATMs, 54x less than a Telephonic transaction, and 107x less than a Branch-Banking transaction). Management is faced with the multiple challenges of control over development, set-up, and marketing costs of E-Initiatives so that these do not override the perceived savings in intermediation cost. Pricing Strategies Customers with commercial acumen realize extraordinary cost-savings for banks through E-Banking, and remain sensitive to pricing for such services. Management must capture the opportunity to provide significant perceived benefits for customers in terms of increased convenience and “one-window” functionality before extracting fair fee-based income. Control of Money Laundering According to experts in the US Treasury Department, more than US$ 100 billion a year in drug and terrorism-support money flows through US banks. With EBanking, the banking industry dances around the problem, not wanting to invade customers’ privacy nor risk impeding legitimate commercial transactions. By the time the trail of E-transactions is unearthed, originators generally have parked these funds in exotic legal instruments. Since 9/11 a surge of banking legislation has been witnessed in the area of money laundering not only due to 10 rising fears of terrorism but also because emergent worldwide E-Banking makes laundering easy. Human Resource Imperatives E-Banking necessitates redefinition of sales, operations, risk, technology, backoffice, legal and audit personnel – to name a few. Broadly speaking, staff requires relevant technological expertise to match routine needs and stand up in times of crisis-management; duties require to be documented and segregated such as for database custodians and application users; adequate levels of recognition of authentications require to be ensured; and legal staff need fair understanding of prevalent local and home-country legislation. REGULATORY CHALLENGES E-Banking allows services to be provided from anywhere in the world, and determining jurisdiction and sovereignty of prevailing law is increasingly difficult. Banks providing such services in foreign countries may be in full compliance of home-country legislation but may unknowingly violate some laws of the domestic market and vice-versa, since emergent issues like hacking, security, copyright, privacy, validity of contracts, jurisdiction, applicability of relevant law are still not adequately covered by global banking laws, and transactional formalities are still influenced by 19th century Civil Code. Apart from seizing the opportunity to evolve new laws, banks have the opportunity and challenge to educate personnel in at least the rudimentary laws that exist (Basel-II; “Know Your Customer” – KYC). LEGAL CHALLENGES Virtual banks are susceptible to violation of customer protection laws, including data collection and dissemination, privacy, and personally approaching customers to offer services or solicit deposits based upon knowledge of customers’ purchase behaviors. Government has somewhat mitigated this risk in Pakistan through promulgation of Electronic Transaction Ordinance 2002, which has provided enabling framework for E-transactions as acceptable evidence in judicial system. 11 OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES Technological Heavy reliance on novel technologies makes continuity - without break of systems - the major operational risk of E-Banking. While E-Banking offers a powerful standardization framework, the process is arduous and time-consuming as various financial systems of even one bank operate on incompatible formats and the E-Banker’s dilemma remains whether to make E-Platform simple but not compelling or persuasive but not costefficient. Capacity Planning “Stock-out” – a term used by retailers – is apt for E-Bankers since a key challenge is capacity planning for increased volume of business. Downtime, or system failure in extreme cases, can cost not only in monetary terms but also escalate intangible costs such as reputation-loss and compromise of goodwill. THE “PERSONALIZED SERVICE PARADIGM” (PSP) CHALLENGE E-Banking skews many prospects in favor of banks, which are heavy users of electronic/digital technologies and can enable themselves to adopt many new initiatives entailing low marginal costs for standardized offerings. Growing standardization presents vistas for banks to enlarge their packages of traditional products through new delivery modes. But a challenge to standardized delivery of mass-scale banking services to large and relatively homogenous client base is that about 20% of customers’ base, approximately which in most cases account for 80% of banks’ revenue streams, are increasingly willing to dole out premium prices for personalized service. Having already ridden one crash of the dot.com revolution and, in some cases, suffered major operating losses, banks in many developed countries have once again shifted to the “Personalized Service Paradigm” especially for the more lucrative clients. Leading technology analysts believe that E-Commerce market will be worth several trillion dollars over the next decade, however only a quarter of existing E-based companies will survive. To mitigate, dedicated sales, research, structuring, operational, and legal teams continuously remain in place at prominent New York Money Center banks and other financial institutions, to 12 cater some of the more demanding, elite, and sophisticated names from the Fortune-500. Millions of dollars of marketing budgets are expended by banks such as HSBC (“The World’s Local Bank”) to propound their emphasis on tailormade solutions for all categories of clients. These trends not only fly in the face of “plain-vanilla”/standardized E-delivery, but also place a daunting task for the entire banking industry to precariously balance E-Banking with the “humantouch”, as the realization dawns that at the end of the day banking is about superior services and building, nurturing, and improving of personal relationships (Appendix II). SUMMARY Soothsayers claim that E-Banking will be as critical to the financial services industry as railways were to the Industrial Revolution. The emergence of ETechnology has allowed banks to redefine their traditional strategic business model towards a lower-cost, higher-volume, swifter response-time global industry, while increasingly savvy and demanding corporate and retail customers place more stringent demands for speed, reliability, and security. Though it is propounded that E-Banks will continue to experience sweeping reductions in intermediation costs while continually evolving unique methodologies to improve lasting customer relations, the inherent challenges of advanced technology (Appendix III) compel that both the “brick” and the “click” modes shall exist in tandem in future, and successful banking shall require articulate amalgamation of the two into the product/services menu. 13