STUDY ON SOCIAL, ECONOMIC AND INTERNATIONAL ISSUES IN BANGLADESH A METHODOLOGICAL REPORT Prepared for: Shin Joho Centre, Tokyo, Japan Prepared by: SIRIUS Marketing and Social Research Ltd., Dhaka, Bangladesh BACKGROUND AND RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The Client Shin Joho Centre is a research organisation authorised by the Japanese Government in 1972, specialising in opinion and market research. The Endeavour Shin Joho Centre joined a multi nation survey in Central and South Asian countries and thus would like to commission a survey in Bangladesh among a nationally representative sample size on social, political and international issues. This survey is to be conducted on behalf of the Japanese Govt. The Client commissioned us, SIRIUS Marketing and Social Research Ltd. to submit a proposal for such a survey. Research Objectives The key objective of this research were to understand the opinion of the adult Bangladeshis within the age group 20-59 years on various issues related to social, economic, political and international aspects. SAMPLING METHODOLOGY, COVERAGE AND SPREAD Bangladesh-A country rich in diversity Bangladesh in spite of its ethnic homogeneity has diverse socio-economic and cultural practices across various regions of the country. Though the total area of the country is small, the population is very dense and grows at a feverishly high rate enhancing the diversity within sampling units and hence also in public opinion thus posing a challenge to select a sample which would be truly representative of the population. To represent the country and its multi-cultural constituents we adopted a multi stage cluster sampling which will ensure that all the regions within the country as well as the administrative units like metros, other municipal towns, non-municipal towns and rural areas are represented adequately in the process detailed below. Sampling Methodology 1. Selection of survey centres We covered all the 6 Divisions as per the Census published by the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS): - Dhaka - Chittagong - Khulna - Rajshahi - Sylhet - Barisal Further, each Division was sampled by four strata as defined by the Census: - Divisional Head Quarter (DHQ) Other Municipal Center (OMC) Non Municipal Center (NMC) Rural Selection of DHQ All the DHQ towns within each division get automatically selected, thus the cities of Dhaka, Chittagong, Khulna, Rajshahi, Sylhet and Barisal were covered in the survey. The sample size varies from metro to metro as Dhaka being the country capital had the highest sample size followed by Chittagong that is the next most important city in Bangladesh. This sample skew was needed to capture the cosmopolitan nature of these towns will be later on corrected through weighting. Selection of OMC, NMC and Rural areas OMC - Other Municipal Towns NMC - Non Municipal Towns or Thanas Rural - Villages All centers of the specific type were listed within a Division based on their total population in a descending order; subsequently, the pre decided number of centers was selected using the PPS [probability proportionate to size] method. Given that we selected a small number of each centre type within a Division, post the PPS we plotted the selected locations on a map to ensure that there is adequate geographical spread within the Division. For the villages, all villages of each selected thana were arranged in descending order of population and the required number of villages were selected from each thana using the PPS method. The above method gave geographical spread and proper representation of areas within a region and of different sized villages. 2. Selection of households in the survey centres In each survey centre, we selected starting points or starting addresses, where the interviewers start contacting households. In DHQs and other MC towns, starting addresses were selected from the electoral rolls by using the circular systematic sampling method. [However, for centers for which electoral roll could not be obtained or not available, the center was divided into blocks based on the natural cluster of households and the required number of starting address will be selected by the team leader.] In each NMC town and rural centre, the team leader purposively chose starting addresses. The centre was divided into blocks on natural cluster of households and the required number of starting addresses was selected. Care was taken during this selection that all clusters/ groupings of the town or village were covered. In each selected starting address, 6 consecutive households were contacted by using both the ‘Right Hand Rule’ and the ‘Left Hand Rule’. A cluster size of 6 has been proved to very effective for smaller sample sizes in Bangladesh in earlier surveys. This systematic procedure eliminates interviewer bias in household selection and facilitates back checking of interviews. Quota The only quota which we set out is a 50:50 split in gender and thus, we selected male respondents from households using the Left Hand Rule while female respondents were selected from households using the Right Hand Rule. This ensured that both the genders were represented around each starting address. 3. Selection of respondents Out of 6 households contacted around a starting address, names and ages of all adults (20 to 59 years) were listed. Male interviewers listed the male members in a particular household while female interviewers listed the female members in a particular household. This interviewing pattern had to be maintained in Bangladesh as due to cultural taboo, it is difficult for males to interview females and vice-versa. Then all adults were numbered in descending order of their ages. One member was chosen as respondent in each household with the help of KISH selection chart. Sample Size and Coverage A total sample size of 1008 spread as given below Dhaka Chittagong Rajshahi Khulna Sylhet Barisal Total Metro 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Dhaka Chittagong Rajshahi Khulna Sylhet Barisal Total Metro 96 72 48 48 0 0 264 Dhaka Chittagong Rajshahi Khulna Sylhet Barisal Total Metro 16 12 8 8 0 0 44 Center Distribution OMC NMC Rural Total 2 2 4 9 2 2 4 9 2 2 4 9 2 2 4 9 2 2 4 9 2 2 4 9 12 12 24 54 Sample Distribution OMC NMC Rural Total 48 72 36 252 36 36 36 180 36 72 36 192 48 36 36 168 36 36 36 108 36 36 36 108 240 288 216 1008 No. of Starting Addresses OMC NMC Rural Total 8 12 6 42 6 6 6 30 6 12 6 32 8 6 6 28 6 6 6 18 6 6 6 18 40 48 36 168 Sample to Universe Ratio- Sample Size 1008 Dhaka Chittagong Rajshahi Khulna Sylhet Barisal Total Proportion of Universe - Region x Center Type HQ OMC NMC Rural Total 0.003% 0.002% 0.003% 0.000% 0.001% 0.006% 0.004% 0.003% 0.000% 0.001% 0.021% 0.002% 0.009% 0.000% 0.001% 0.010% 0.007% 0.006% 0.001% 0.002% 0.000% 0.017% 0.021% 0.001% 0.003% 0.000% 0.011% 0.016% 0.001% 0.003% 0.005% 0.004% 0.005% 0.000% 0.002% 4. Weighting During analysis, the data was weighted in line with the universe distribution of adults in the age 20 to 59 years at the following levels: - Division Center Type- Metro/OMC/NMC/Rural Age group Gender This was based on the universe estimates as obtained from the 2001 Census and projected to 2004 based on annual growth rate. However, the age and centre type distribution was as per the 1991 Census (as the 2001 Census distribution on these parameters is not available). Additionally the data was projected to the universe of 20 to 59 years adult population of Bangladesh. FIELD INTERVIEWING, QUALITY CONTROL The methodology we will follow is face to face interviews with the target group. SIRIUS conducts all fieldwork through an in house Field team that is both competent and experienced in handling large research projects across the country. The Field team working on this project was briefed by the concerned Research Executive as well as the Field Manager and Field Executive in charge of the project through a 2-3 day classroom training season. The training session covered the basic sampling process, selection of individual respondents, questionnaire and handling of cards/stimuli to be used during the course of the study. A team of freelance Interviewers were used for the project. The interviewing team was supervised by both Field Executives and freelance Supervisors in field. The quality control norms that we will follow as in other research studies is given below Post the briefing session, there was mock call sessions to ensure that the Field Interviewers have understood the selection criteria and administration of the questionnaire to perfection All Interviewers were accompanied either by Field Supervisors or Field Executives for the first few interviews in field The Quality Control report is given in next page Centre Type DHQ OMC OMC NMC NMC Rural Rural Rural Rural DHQ OMC OMC NMC NMC Rural Rural Rural Rural DHQ OMC OMC NMC NMC Rural Rural Rural Rural DHQ OMC OMC NMC NMC Rural Rural Rural Rural OMC OMC NMC NMC Rural Rural Rural Rural OMC OMC Survey Centre Dhaka Metro Mymensingh Sadar Manikgonj Sadar Fulbaria Kaliakair Sukhabashpur Baghaia Kandi Kalyanpur Bishnupur Chittagong Metro Comilla Sadar Matlab Sadar Begumgonj Faridgonj Anderchar Paschim Sulukia Haripur Parikot Khulna Metro Jhenidah Sadar Darsana Shyamnagar Kaligonj Hardi Mochainagar Rajpur Jugihati Rajshahi Metro Sirajgonj Sadar Santhia Jaldhaka Niamatpur Nilphamari Bazar Gorgram Kadihat Padampur Sunamgonj Sadar Kulaura Sadar Baniachong Balagonj Darga Mahallah Mostafapur Indangar TG Sarampur Bhola Sadar Bakergonj Sadar Region/Division Dhaka Dhaka Dhaka Dhaka Dhaka Dhaka Dhaka Dhaka Dhaka Chittagong Chittagong Chittagong Chittagong Chittagong Chittagong Chittagong Chittagong Chittagong Khulna Khulna Khulna Khulna Khulna Khulna Khulna Khulna Khulna Rajshahi Rajshahi Rajshahi Rajshahi Rajshahi Rajshahi Rajshahi Rajshahi Rajshahi Sylhet Sylhet Sylhet Sylhet Sylhet Sylhet Sylhet Sylhet Barisal Barisal Sample 96 24 24 36 36 9 9 9 9 72 18 18 18 18 9 9 9 9 48 24 24 18 18 9 9 9 9 48 18 18 36 36 9 9 9 9 18 18 18 18 9 9 9 9 18 18 Accompanied/Spot Checked Back checked 18 5 7 9 8 3 2 42 12 12 17 21 4 6 4 26 8 8 6 6 4 4 4 4 33 5 9 8 6 4 5 4 4 2 5 4 2 0 2 2 2 14 4 6 6 5 4 4 3 6 5 4 5 3 3 30 13 16 10 13 0 7 7 6 22 12 6 16 16 5 4 3 12 10 8 10 4 5 3 4 5 6 3 8 7 NMC NMC Rural Rural Rural Rural Total Bauphal Hizla Gulisakhali Purba Krishna nagar Bakshi Char Paschim Bhutardia Barisal Barisal Barisal Barisal Barisal Barisal 18 18 9 9 9 9 1008 5 4 3 9 8 5 3 5 247 475 The above table indicates that means more than 70% of the interviews were quality checked. Fieldwork Time Fieldwork Dates 27.09.2005 to 10.10.2005