Business Plan Document IMPORTANT What is given in this is just a guideline and may be modified suitably according to the context of the business. The intent in preparing this note was to cover all possible issues a business plan document should contain in as much detail as possible. However, for this note to be useful, it had to be as short as can be meaningfully digested without having the need to go through a fat book on business management. With the above contradictory objectives, this note makes an attempt to deal with generic issues in writing a business plan, albeit in differing degree of detail, that need to be covered in a business plan. A lot more can be said about each of the topics. This note does not claim to cover all the issues in great detail and in great theoretical rigor for which several management books are available. The treatment given to some of the topics may be cursory and may not at all be sufficient. Some of what is written in this note may not appear to be directly relevant. At a very high level of abstraction, most of it should be applicable. The entrepreneur would have to think through it to before finally leaving it as not applicable to his/her business. For some entrepreneurs who have some kind of formal training in management, lot of what is written in this note may seem obvious. However, the note is also meant for the consumption of some of the budding entrepreneurs who do not have such formal training. It may not be possible to obtain the information required to produce the business plan document below without external help or without spending inordinate amount of time by the entrepreneurs (which they can ill afford given the multiplicity of the tasks that they need to manage in parallel). However, the purpose of the note is make the entrepreneur aware about the issues that need to be understood (and covered in a business plan) and that the entrepreneur would need be better off if he has considered these issues while he interacts with the possible financers or makes his business strategy. Most of what is prescribed in this note has been done by most of the entrepreneurs who have submitted the business plans atleast to some degree of detail. However, it has been included in this note to enable the entrepreneur to make the business plan in a bit a more systematic manner. It is also understood that the given the time and other constraints during the Enterprise KGP event, it may not have been possible for the entrepreneurs to cover every aspect of the business in the business plan they had submitted to the panelists. Ideally all the aspects of the business that are covered below should be included in a business plan. However, in the context of the entrepreneurs approaching VCs, the entrepreneurs may get some advice and inputs from the VCs in some of the general or specific aspects of business (and accordingly the entrepreneur may not fret over them, if they are not able fill those details in the business plan). For example, elaborate financial or demand modeling may be desirable but not strictly necessary if the idea is good enough to catch VC’s attention. Evolving a business plan is a detailed iterative process which is an ongoing activity even once when the business is established. The manner in which a business plan is presented as given below may suggest that it is a linear process but it is not. At every stage one has to revisit the plan made earlier and revalidate the information, analysis and the assumptions made. The views expressed in this note are personal to the author and do not represent Deloitte’s viewpoint on the same. PREPARING FOR QUESTIONS THAT MAY ARISE Evolving a business plan involves asking yourself hard questions about the question. Some of the general questions are given below. While being convinced yourself would be the first step, preparing for these questions would help you to convince others. And expect counterarguments. Who is your customer? o Why will he use your offering or any similar offering? o How is your offering different from other offerings? o When will he use your offering? How many such occasions arise when he thinks your product/offering is useful? o What alternatives will he consider? o How does he decide to purchase your or any other offering? What information does he seek? Who influences the decision? How much does he think before purchasing? Is it a low involvement purchase or high involvement purchase? What does he lose if he does not find the product to be upto his satisfaction? o How will you spread awareness about your product? o Where will he access your services? o Can he afford your service? Alternatively, can he pay a little more? o Is your offering convenient enough? Are you offering him a small discount in monetary terms when he has to spend lot more time to use/purchase your product? Is it more convenient to forego the benefit the offering offers rather than spend enormous amount of time to avail it (assuming it is cheaper)? Or on the other hand, is it worth the extra premium your consumer pays you rather than avail the alternative solution which is cheaper but has more hassle? o If the business is online business, does your consumer have access to internet when he wishes to avail of the service? Or is it that most often when he will decide to use the product/service, he is hanging out with his friends when a telephone call is more convenient? Or most often he decides to avail that service when at home where he does not have access to internet or even if he has, booting the computer/laptop connecting to internet etc. is more hassle than simply calling the service provider? o What value does your service bring to him? How much volume do you expect? At those volumes do you expect to break even? Is the information, on which the business plan is made, right and from reliable sources? Are the conclusions right? What are the assumptions? How do we know that the assumptions are right? What validation has been done? Can the business be easily copied? How will one prevent some bigger player with better brand recall and more financial muscle not to copy the business model (assuming it is profitable) Why will the business model work? Has anyone tried and failed before? If it has not worked earlier when someone else tried, why will it will work now? Is it one of those great ideas which as a consumer you will definitely take it if is offered free but don’t see the need to pay for it? If it is in a business which is essentially an intermediary between the customer and some other business, think of what the business partner will say - “My customer will come to me anyway. Why should I pay you to ‘route’ my own customers to me!” There should be strong case for the business partner to use your “intermediation” services. Does the offering complicate the way a customer solves his problem? Instead of availing your offering, if the customer can as well pay a few rupees more or go for a less optimal solution than go for the ‘optimal’ or ‘only little more optimal’ solution that you offer, why would he come to you? SOME GENERAL POINTS ABOUT DOCUMENT WRITING Writing about something also clarifies the thought process. So a well written business plan would also clarify the business plan. It offers you opportunity to ask yourself several questions to revalidate the information. Structure the document so that all the relevant aspects of the business plan are covered and each of them get appropriate coverage (not necessarily long or short but as per the importance of the topic). Avoid duplication of the content. One must be clear about what is an information, what is an analysis/inference and what is an assumption. Though this looks obvious, in reality one often finds, in a not so well written document, (even those written by premier B-School MBA passouts) information is presented as analysis and assumptions are presented as information. Sources of information have to be provided and as long as they are from reliable sources, they lend lot more credibility to your business plan. BUSINESS PLAN DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Executive Summary of the Business Plan Chapter 1 Need for the offering and overall concept The need for the offering and the details of the offering should be explained before going on to discuss about the other elements of the business plan. The ‘big’ idea should emerge from this chapter. Chapter 2 Market Analysis This chapter should discuss Overall Market size and growth Relevant Demographic data with sources/Relevant Demographic Trends Competitive scenario Segmentation Analysis of the market Profile of Target customers Positioning of your product/offering vs. competition - Key differentiators Industry Trends/ Future Outlook Policy environment if applicable Other similar business models Notes The overall market could be defined broadly in the sense this may form the universal set (your offering/other offerings in the market being the subsets of this universal set) This could also be offerings which are not a direct competition to the proposed offering. Demographic trends/data could reveal insights into trends in the consuming population in the market. Hence these are indicators to broader consumption trends in the overall market. However it is important to use only relevant demographic trends. The relevancy may be with respect to the geography e.g. If your offering is limited to Metros or top tier cities, the trends should be related to these cities only to the extent possible, unless of course, the trends are universal and can be easily extended to your target segment. These trends would subsequently form inputs to your demand estimation exercise. Competitive scenario could profile the existing offerings/business models in the market. The definition of competition should be broad enough to include those products/services which, with some modifications or extension of the functionality of its own product/service can easily substitute the proposed product/offering. The offerings could be in the same market, same segment within the market or in some other segment of the market. The profiles should ideally contain all relevant information about the competition such is publicly available or that can be reasonably inferred from the information available. Some analysis (say SWOT analysis) about the competition based on the information available is useful here. Profiling the competitors can help understand the current positioning of the existing players and the existing segmentation in the market. The information presented in this section should be enough to evaluate the threat to the proposed business from the existing players. Segmentation of the market and Targeting the right segment and Positioning your offering (STP, in marketing jargon) is one of the most important activities in evolving a market strategy. This exercise leads to answers to several fundamental questions about a business. A market can be segmented across several parameters or dimensions. Some of the parameters used frequently to segment a consumer (B2C) market often are gender, socio economic class, age, occupation, attitude towards life, and several other parameters. Similarly in a B2B market, there are several segments e.g. organized, small, medium, large etc. Segmenting the market is the first step to evolving a marketing strategy in a given market. In a market where there are existing players, analyzing their offering and positioning would also throw some light on the existing segmentation in the market. This is not to mean that one has to follow the existing segmentation in the market. Many successful products/offerings both by new entrepreneurs as well by existing players have redefined the segmentation in the market. Once the market is segmented, and the existing players profiled and their positioning in the respective segments identified, an analysis of the players and the segments can be done to assess the relative attractiveness of the segments. This would involve, identifying which segments are crowded, have competition with deeper pockets, segments with entrenched competition (better brand name), high and low growth segments, underserved segments, profitable segments, segments with high and low barriers etc. Once the Segmentation Analysis is done, defining your strategy for the chosen segment becomes relatively easier. This is not to suggest that the segmentation exercise should be done before you dream about the ‘big idea’. But it is extremely important to know which segment will find your offering attractive enough to pay for it. It is important to profile the target customers. This is one of the most important phases of evolving a market strategy. Profiling should be done to as much detail as possible. Profiling should contain all the details which will help you to put the customer in one segment or in a different segment. If this is carefully done, you may realize that your customers come from two or more distinctly different segments. In such a case you may have to have a different strategy for each segment. Profiling the customers also helps understanding the whole purchase process right from the felt need, to awareness about offerings in the market, to purchase decision, payment, repeat purchase, after sales support, if applicable. In a B2B market the whole process would be different than from a B2C business. For example in a B2B business, one has to understand who in the organization will be initiating the purchase order, who will approve and who will place the order and who will pay. What are the priorities of these people who will be involved? If the problem you are solving is not high amongst his priorities, the attention he pays you will be to that extent diluted and the effort will have to be that much more. All these aspects have to be factored into the strategy at some point in some manner. Uniquely positioning your product/service differently is the next step in evolving the market strategy. Typically for VC fundable projects, uniqueness in the positioning is highly desirable, though lack of unique positioning does not mean that is not a profitable business idea. (This perhaps only mean that it wont satisfy VC’s (normally higher) return expectations.) The Segmentation Targeting and Positioning exercise allows you to identify who is your customer and more importantly who is not – thus allowing you to find out what he wants and fine tune your offering. In other words, it allows you to firm up the Unique Selling Proposition (USP) of your offering. Offerings without a USP generally tend to be low margin/slow growth/commoditized businesses unless backed by other organizational strengths which for an upcoming entrepreneur is difficult to achieve. Or alternatively in a commoditized business, players try to differentiate through better service, better quality, relationships, better design and so on. Industry trends and future outlook could be in terms of shifts in consumption trends, demographic trends, technology trends and any other trends. These trends are very critical to be analyzed to ensure that you have the right offering and the right strategy. These trends are also useful inputs the demand estimation. It is necessary to study the legal framework that could be applicable for the business. Atleast identify the laws that could be applicable and if necessary fine tune your strategy based on any legal restrictions. For some businesses, (say for example energy saving devices) studying the regulatory framework is necessary so that the entrepreneur can suitably avail of the incentives offered by the government. The offerings present in some other market (say internationally) which are in no way a competition to your service but could be used to learn about the business model due to similarity can be profiled. The information presented in this section should lead to learnings from their business models. Chapter 3 Market Research An entrepreneur generally begins with an idea with a hunch that it will succeed in the market place – the way he has conceived. It may be a good idea and a workable proposition but not necessarily in the manner the entrepreneur has conceived. Hence it is important that the business plan is backed by adequate market research. Market research is a vast subject by itself but the fundamental principles are Construction of the hypothesis Adequate sample size Proper design of the survey instrument and choice of the method Questions that give unambiguous answers Use of statistical tools Skilled interviewers Questions that support or refute the hypothesis No bias in the sample An entrepreneur may not have the time or the resources to conduct a rigorous market research exercise but whatever research has been done, it may be useful to document. More importantly, it is necessary that research is done. If the entrepreneur is doing this himself, it is important that he meets as many unknown people/parties as possible. People who know you may be inclined to give you a biased feedback. Or worse, they may be from the same socioeconomic segment of the population that you are from – and this segment may not be what your offering is targeted at. In such case such research has limited utility. In this section it is also useful to document of customer feedbacks obtained through websites, direct mails, appreciation letters etc. In this section, it is also important to document the feedback of your important business partners e.g. if you are engaging a large number of small retailers, you have to document their feedback. This feedback should not only include their view of how the product/offering will fare in the market but also about their terms of business i.e. in terms of margins, responsibility and liability, investments to be made by them, their concerns if any, as applicable. Chapter 4 Demand Estimation Model This chapter should deal with: Key Parameters Key Assumptions Research methodology used to validate the concept/assess demand Feedback on the product/service offering Notes Demand estimation essentially involves capturing the market segments in terms of size, growth, in terms of value and in physical numbers/units sold etc. It must be noted that that demand estimation would be only for the relevant market. For example, if your offering is only being launched in the metros, it should capture only metro demand. It involves using some input parameters about the market and some reasonable assumptions to convert the input parameters to arrive at the potential demand. For existing offerings in the market, if the data is available, this is relatively easier. However, for new offerings/concepts, demand estimation is more difficult and surrogate demand parameters have to be relied upon. Demand estimation using surrogates could mean making the assumption say y% of the consumers of product X will purchase my product. So defining the X becomes more crucial – both from the point of view of getting demand data for X as well as from the point of the assumption that y% of the consumers of X will purchase your product. Some market research can also be directed at finding the percentage conversion y% through actual research. Alternatively, demand estimation could involve making an assumption that y% of type of population (say IT employees) between say of age between 22 and 40 would use your product twice a day. Here it is important to be clear about what an ‘IT employee’ means and whether their population is the right parameter. Does it also include Call center workers? Does it also include IT enabled engineering services people? Does it also include HR/Admin staff of IT companies? Should it also include employees with families, if yes what is the family size? Is the term ‘IT employee’ is loosely being used for young people with higher disposable income? If yes, then in that case should it also include employees in other industries say financial services? Should it be limited to employees or it could include other walks of life? Say housewives or small time businessmen or students? All these answers are also will lead to clarity about the offering as well as clarity about the segment. In the above example, it might be difficult to get the IT employees in a city like Bangalore. Even if this is available, it would be difficult to get data about the population within that age. And it would be even more difficult to validate the fact that an average customer who is in this segment will use it twice a day. So one has to make assumptions based on several factors and data obtained from different sources and doing some primary research. It is true that demand estimation is based on several assumptions and validating them beyond a point appears difficult, given the limited resources at disposal. However, it is important that you must be clear of the assumptions made. And as long as the assumptions are reasonable, it is good enough. At the end of the day a demand estimate is just that – an estimate. One can argue this way or that way but as long as it is reasonable it is fine. Chapter 5 Market Strategy This chapter should include the 4 P’s of marketing strategy Product Price Place Promotion Once the Segmentation, Targeting and Positioning is completed and the offering, the four Ps of marketing strategy viz., Product, Price, Place, Promotion need to be fine-tuned. Without clarity on the segments to be targeted and positioning of your offering, finalizing the marketing strategy could be counterproductive or plainly ineffective. The subsequent marketing strategy can be evolved on this basis. The product can be fine-tuned based on the market feedback and the dynamics of the chosen segment. It is necessary that the offering contains all (or most) the attributes/features that are necessary to operate in the segment. The offering attributes/features often determine the cost of the offering and hence the price. Hence it is also necessary, that the offering does not contain attributes which that targeted particular segment of customer may not pay for and which may make the offering costlier. Pricing a product should take into account several factors. Some of the factors are price of the other competing offerings in the market, economic benefit delivered, saving to the customer, cost of offering, willingness to pay. While pricing a product one must have an idea of the fixed and the variable costs. One must also have an idea of the sensitivity of the demand for the product/offering with respect to price. This has to be backed by adequate research as this will also feed into breakeven analysis. Needless to say, the pricing has to suit the target consumer and his spending habits. Place refers to the distribution channel through which your offerings will reach the customer. Depending upon the nature of the product and your strategy, it could be online, it could have a brick and mortar interface, or it could be telephonic. If you are planning to use franchisee formats or any other formats where business partners will be play an important role, your marketing strategy should recognize the value they bring to your business, identify the risks they take vs. the risks taken by you and how you will reward them. You should have a plan on how you will convince them to stock your products and to promote your products to end consumers. If any investment is required at a distributors/ place, you should plan the investment required and your business plan should provide a clear answer to what is the investment required, who makes the investment, and what are the returns on that marginal investment. How the risks and rewards are shared between you and the business partner needs to be clearly delineated. Investment need not be limited to capital investment it could also be in terms of training of resources to explain your offering to the customer. Here also, as mentioned earlier it is just not adequate to conceptualize the whole thing. It is important that it should be validated through market research. Promotion Strategy should clearly address how the awareness will be created and the financial implications/assumptions made. For a promotional campaign to be cost - effective, it has to be provide as much awareness within the target population while minimizing the spend overflow to non target segments. The link between the target segment, promotional spend and your revenues should be understood. Initial promotional offers should be given Chapter 6 Operations Strategy The operations strategy could widely vary depending upon the business. It could include any or all the following, as relevant: Manufacturing/service setup and network as applicable Choice/Suitability of location Facility and technology requirements including key equipment Technology Choices and comparison Quality aspects Outsourcing of manufacturing/services Utilities, power, water, sanitation, effluent, if relevant Environmental aspects, if relevant Raw Material Availability, if relevant Capital requirements (project costs) Anything that has an explicit or implicit cost implication has to be discussed. Similarly anything that relates to physical infrastructure that is needed to execute the whole idea of the business plan needs to be discussed in detail in the operation strategy. Importantly, any outsourcing arrangements/contracts you propose to enter into have to be discussed in detail. The key inputs to the business, such as raw materials, need to be discussed in detail if applicable. How you propose to keep tab on the quality of the product/service is a crucial aspect you need to discuss. If there are several outsource partners, the overall experience of the customer will be greatly influenced by the quality of output of your outsourcing partners. Hence it is crucial to have a clear strategy on this. If too many aspects of your business are outsourced, one must be clear about the value one is adding in between and whether this is a sustainable position. Assuming that the business offers good margins, it is possible that the outsourcing partners eat into your customer base by offering the same service – in which case your position is not sustainable. Chapter 7 Human Resource Strategy Founding Team Board of Directors/ Advisors Management Team (if applicable) Organization Structure, Staffing, skill sets, compensation, and other Human Resource aspects if applicable to the scale of business Notes This chapter should contain brief writeups/CVs of the founding team/advisory team and key management personnel, if applicable. This section should strive to give confidence to the investor that the team is right. Even if the idea is right, VCs would also love to see if the team can actually deliver- they wont put their money on a team who they think may not deliver. Advisors should be those who are ready to formally spend time on the business and are involved. Any relevant details of organization structure, staffing compensation etc. that is applicable and clear at the stage of business as going to the financer, can be provided in the chapter. The manpower required to be hired, if necessary, has to be identified. Chapter 8 Financial Analysis Break even analysis Projected Balance Sheet, Profit and Loss and Cash flow Statement for the next five years IRR, RoE, ROCE, NPV, payback period and other return benchmarks Proposed capital structure if applicable Phasing of investment, if applicable Sensitivity analysis Burn Rate Notes The financial model, like the demand model, will also be subject to various assumptions about various one-time and recurring costs. It may not be possible to get quotations for all the project costs and reasonable approximations would suffice. However, needless to say, more accurate estimates are more desirable. However it is more important to capture all the cost elements even if some accuracy is compromised. Though the financer will anyway thoroughly scrutinize your assumptions in case he is convinced about the idea, reasonably accurate projections will help you to plan better. Break even analysis will give insights to whether the volumes are adequate to cover the fixed costs and whether the pricing of the products is appropriate enough to cover the overall costs and make a reasonable profit. A well built financial model will be truly reflective of the business. The financial model could be used to analyze the sensitivity of various demand, price and cost assumptions and assess the (quantitative) key success and risk factors for the business. In order to analyze the sensitivity of the project return parameters to various business parameters, the financial model should parameterize the various aspects of the business and feed it into the financial model in the form of a quantifiable input parameter. A critical aspect of the financial planning, which is an integral part of the overall business plan, will be to see if the investment into the business can be phased over installments. This reduces the risks for the investor. The form of the investment should also be looked into i.e. debt vs. equity vs. quasi equity. However for startups, which anyway do not have the assets to serve as collateral for debt, this may not be a great issue. However, valuation of the equity and the percent the entrepreneur is willing to share for a given quantum of funds is an issue one has to give adequate thought to. Chapter 9 Present Status and Way Forward Present status Way forward and Time frame for key milestones Risk factors and mitigating strategies identified by the entrepreneur Critical success factors identified by the entrepreneur Any other issue like legal form of the entity, clearances etc. Expectations from Financiers Notes The present status should discuss in detail on what stage each of the elements of the overall strategy that have been described earlier are. This could include the cash invested in the business, sources of cash, time invested in the business, the market acceptance, business volume, state of the product development, market research findings etc. The timelines for the key milestones need to be identified by the entrepreneur and have to be realistic enough and should gel with the market realities and the overall strategy, keeping in view the constraints faced by the entrepreneur. To the extent possible, an attempt should be made to link the level of funding necessary in order to reach a specific milestone. The milestones should also define the volume of business that should get achieved for a particular investment. It would also be useful to have some plan on when you will say ‘quits’ and stop further investment in the business should the critical milestones not be reached. This concluding chapter would also talk about the risk factors and success factors as the entrepreneur sees them. The risk and success factors as identified by the entrepreneur, of course, will be suitably supplemented by the VC’s experience and insights but an attempt has to be made by the entrepreneur. The risk mitigating measures could include developing standard terms and conditions for product use. It would be advisable to take professional help for technology related risks particularly if your offering contains payment gateways etc. Risks and threats arising out of business partners, if applicable, need to be assessed. A concluding section on expectations from VCs would be useful.