2004 Marketing Analysis for Mid Island Co-op Bowen Grocery Store 2517 Bowen Road, Nanaimo, B.C. V9T 3L2 (250) 729-8400 Prepared by - mclaren consulting Completed: June 7th, 2004 tel (250) 618-1226 – fax (250) 729 4961 – Email: profit@mclarenconsulting.ca - Web: www.mclarenconsulting.ca Table of Contents Table of Contents ............................................................................................................................ 2 1.0 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................. 3 1.1 Objectives ............................................................................................................................. 7 1.2 Background ........................................................................................................................... 8 2.0 Business Analysis ..................................................................................................................... 9 2.1 Business Profile .................................................................................................................... 9 2.1.1 Mission.......................................................................................................................... 9 2.1.2 Niche/Position...............................................................................................................9 2.1.3 Target Customer Segments ......................................................................................... 10 2.2 Business Performance – History ......................................................................................... 13 2.2.1 Sales ............................................................................................................................ 14 2.2.2 Promotion....................................................................................................................17 2.2.3 Marketing Mix - Overview ......................................................................................... 19 2.3 Mid Island Co-op - Qualitative Analysis ............................................................................ 20 2.3.1 Interviews....................................................................................................................20 2.3.2 S.W.O.T. Analysis ......................................................................................................21 2.3.3 Focus Group Report ....................................................................................................25 3.0 Market Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 28 3.1 Industry ............................................................................................................................... 28 3.1.2 Industry Trends ...........................................................................................................29 3.2 Market Areas - Trade Areas................................................................................................ 33 3.2.1 Market Share ...............................................................................................................33 3.2.2 Nanaimo Households and Demographics ...................................................................34 3.2.3 Market Trends .............................................................................................................35 3.3 Competition Review ........................................................................................................... 36 4.0 Recommended Strategies to Increase Sales ............................................................................ 38 4.1 Marketing and Communications ......................................................................................... 38 4.2 The Shopping experience.................................................................................................... 40 4.3 Member loyalty and data management ............................................................................... 40 4.4 Target closest and most vulnerable competitor– Quality Foods, Bowen ........................... 40 5.0 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 41 6.0 Appendix – Reference Materials & Sources........................................................................... 42 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 3 1.0 Executive Summary Mid Island Co-op commissioned mclaren consulting to conduct a marketing study to assess the potential of increasing sales by 40% at the Mid Island Co-op grocery store. Through the process of answering the above question, the study would also contain general recommendations for overall sales growth. Analyze Mid Island Co-op’s current processes and outcomes to determine strengths and weaknesses of current marketing procedures Analysis of market position including competitive analysis Including the Co-ops niche/values as a social democratic – community driven membership Analysis of target market, current membership and trade area demographics Analysis of Mid Island Co-ops key performance indicators as compared to industry and National Co-op standards Analyze marketing budget and processes Assess and recommend strongest opportunities for sales growth Background: Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Road store has continued to run revenue shortfalls with declining sales over the recent history. The Nanaimo area has seen rapid growth of grocery retail competitors, while Co-op closed their Harewood location in 2001. At the same time the competition has been upgrading and increasing. Niche/Position: Co-op’s philosophy is held up as the niche/position within the Nanaimo market place. Amongst the members and the general consumers, this niche is neither well defined nor recognized. Target Customer Segments Young/medium families that buy large quantity of groceries And/or current loyal members And/or higher educated (respond to social democratic values) And/or a union members New to the area, Prairie transplants Older non family (under serviced) And/or current loyal members Geographically, the primary market for Mid Island Co-op is family households predominantly within the V9S F.S.A. postal area and to a lesser extent – V9T. These are consumers that will find the Co-op location convenient and live in areas surrounding the Bowen Road corridor and into Departure Bay. The Co-op membership to postal code ratio is very impressive and shows an excellent opportunity to convert grocery consumers/members within the V9R area and a smaller portion of the V9T area. These are households that will find the Co-op location convenient. 3 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 4 Business Performance – History: Mid Island Co-op has gone from a leadership (40% share) position in 1980 to a 5% share position in 2003/04. Co-op closed their Harewood location in 2001. At the same time, the Nanaimo area has seen rapid growth of grocery retail competitors who have also been aggressively upgrading and increasing. Sales: Since fiscal 1990/91, there has been a consistent downward trend in annual gross sales for the Mid Island Co-op Bowen store. One major exception in this downward trend is when the Harewood store closed in July 2001, resulting in a number of Harewood store members/shoppers converting to the Bowen location. However, since 2001/02 the downward trend has continued. Sales by Customer: Sales per customers is consistently trending downward, when considering this result and the decrease in customer counts there is clear indications that consumers are not responding favourably both to external communication and to the internal shopping experience. Promotion: Results from the focus group sessions conducted for this report clearly recognize a severe lack of positive positioning by the Mid Island Co-op grocery store. Currently, members (and many staff) do not recognize a clear benefit in being a Co-op member. For non-members there is either no recognition of any benefits, or a negative perception based on dated information. For the basic grocery consumer there is the over-riding perception of an out-of-date grocery store that is expensive. Positive positioning and niche development is absolutely critical to the success of the Co-op Bowen store. Promotional spending should be categorized, budgeted and tracked by medium type and fiscal period. Promotional spending for the store in 2003/04 was at $205,160 or 2% of gross sales. This is slightly above the norm for stand-alone grocery stores. When considering market share and sales declines, the advertising spending is low. Co-op flyers do not rank strongly with the consumer. The low cost of the flyers is exceptional and too good to not continue. The low-cost flyers must be maintained, but enhanced with some local positioning strategies with local benchmark pricing. Marketing Mix - Overview Product/Operation: The Produce section has clearly been recognized as a critical store weakness and must be addressed. The meat department has been recognised as a strength that is poorly promoted. The Bakery and Deli appears to be competitive in pricing and offers but this department should not be considered a strength. A poor layout with tired product displays, fixtures and bad lighting creates an under whelming visual appearance. The grocery area could be competitive but due to a confusing non-traditional layout and poor displays it should be considered an overall weakness. 4 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 5 Pricing: A definitive weakness, rooted both in reality and a very strong perception with members, non-members and many staff members that overall the store is expensive. There have been strong in-store specials but to the most part it is an in-house secret, only loyal members are aware of these promotions. Place/location: The location and its convenience did not receive an overall high rating by the focus groups. The location has excellent parking and compares well in this category. The store is also positioned well to reach households in the Diver Lake area and Bowen Road corridor and has several distinct advantages over the Quality Foods, Bowen Road location. Mid Island Co-op - Qualitative Analysis: The Focus groups indicated that many of the conditions and attitudes towards shopping and perceptions of the store/market mix in Nanaimo continue to reflect the findings of the 1999 research. The interviews conducted and the SWOT analysis duplicated, to the most part the focus groups message that in almost all critical areas of operations and marketing the Mid Island Co-op store is at the back of the competitive pack. At the same time, both the stakeholder interviews and the focus groups indicate strong opportunities for growth and niche development for the Co-op. Many of these suggestions strongly fit industry and local market trends. Industry and Local Market Trends: For Nanaimo this study suggests the ranked main factors for choosing a store for the weekly grocery shop are: 1. Pricing a. Every day low pricing b. In store specials 2. Location/convenience 3. Produce/Meat/Bakery quality 4. Selection 5. In store experience Industry trends with opportunity for growth/development 5 Prepared Foods/Meals Community and Charitable Support: Capital Improvements Buy Local, Marketing Programs 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 6 Market Share and the Competition: Mid Island Co-op has seen its share of the Nanaimo grocery market decrease from: 40% in 1980, 6.5% in 2002, Less than 5% in 2003/04. New and growing competition – Nanaimo is a highly competitive and over-serviced market area. There is robust investment in capital improvements and the in-store shopping experience amongst the grocery retailers. Co-op has fallen behind Fairway Market – three- to four- year old store – much more current than Co-op Most likely has, and is, stealing Co-op share New Save-on Foods - Woodgrove Renovated Save-On Foods at Country Club and Terminal Park Potential for a new grocery tenant at Rutherford Mall All other competitors have a stronger and/or more relevant in store layout Thrifty Foods and Quality Foods have been recognised as main competitors, Fairway Markets should be added in consideration of their location and market share growth. Quality Foods, Bowen Road should be the main focus in a competitive/market penetration strategy. They are Co-op’s most direct competitor are also the most vulnerable of the competitors. Recommended Strategies to Increase Sales: The overlying factors in any sales improvement for Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery store is: There must be radical change With consistent follow through At every level of the operation and marketing pipeline A substantial increase in marketing budget A substantial financial investment into capital upgrades Recommended Strategies – Concepts: 1. Marketing and Communications Increasing the marketing influence and weight within the Mid Island Co-op management structure. Incorporate an integrated and consistent marketing / positioning approach for the entire Mid Island Co-op operation. Positioning - Clearly establish the Co-op niche/position with target segments, enhancing/developing in store depratment offers. 2. The Shopping experience Upgrade store to “catch up” to the competitors and develop in store niche. Improve shopping experience with focus on comfortable lighting, a welcoming entry way and a traditional grocery floor plan/merchandising plan. 6 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 7 3. Member loyalty and data management Manage, track and use membership data to enhance the relationship with the Co-op customer/member. Increase cross-promotional marketing with gas bars. 4. Target closest and most vulnerable competitor– Quality Foods, Bowen Conclusion For the Mid Island Co-op store to become competitive again radical change, consistent follow through in both marketing and operations is necessary, plus a substantial investment in capital upgrades. Even with these changes our findings show that a 40% increase in sales is unlikely and most probably impossible in this highly competitive market. The Co-op store is currently operating in a “negative vacuum”, the downward momentum means an aggressive approach is needed just to stop the share lost and declining sales. With an aggressive, integrated and consistent marketing plan pursuing niches and effectively positioning the Co-op store, the grocery operation has the potential to stop the decline in sales within a year. With consistent follow through of a comprehensive marketing plan, the Co-op store can potentially see 5% incremental growth in the years following. Considering the investment needed to become competitive, stopping the decline and then in the years following seeing manageable growth the return on investment would not be realized for at least another four years. 1.1 Objectives 1. How to increase market penetration? a. Can sales be increased by 40% in the existing market area? - Stop trend of declining sales and market share - General recommendations for sales increases - Analysis of current marketing situation 7 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 8 1.2 Background Mid Island Co-op has continued to run revenue shortfalls with declining sales over the recent history. At the same time the Nanaimo area has seen rapid growth of grocery retail models including Costco and Superstore; the traditional competition of Thrifty, Quality Foods and a new Save on Foods; plus assorted local merchants. At the same time the competition has been upgrading and increasing, we note that the second Co-op store in Nanaimo was closed lessening the overall footprint of Co-op in the marketplace. Methodology For this marketing study we used traditional research methods pursuing both primary and secondary research. Our analysis includes both qualitative and qualitative data where we assessed information from past Mid Island Co-op reports, conducted our own focus groups with consumers and interviews with Co-op stakeholders. 16 interviews conducted with store management; store staff and Mid Island Co-op board members. Participants were randomly selected. Focus Groups – subcontracted market research and focus group specialist – Roger Griffin Three focus groups were conducted: Older members, younger members, non members Competitive Analysis 5 interviews with grocery/retail association executives and grocery sector consultants Secondary Research o Market area research – FP Markets – 2004 Demographics, Economic Development Office – City of Nanaimo o Industry profile – Multiple national and international retail/grocery studies o Previous Mid Island Co-op reports 8 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 9 2.0 Business Analysis 2.1 Business Profile “Co-operatives are based on the values of self-help, self-responsibility, democracy, equality, equity, and solidarity. In the tradition of their founders, co-operative members believe in the ethical values of honesty, openness, social responsibility and caring for others.” Source: “What is a Co-operative?” Key points from “About Mid Island Co-op” Our members are our owners We provide ourselves with services Membership is open and voluntary - and it pays to join! Our earnings stay in the community Mid Island Co-op is socially responsible We're part of a world-wide community of co-operatives Co-operatives are based on a set of principles Mid Island Co-op was created by mid-Vancouver Island citizens in 1959 as a socially responsible way to provide themselves with goods and services. Today, Co-op's 20,000 members own seven gas bars with convenience stores along with the familiar landmark on Bowen Road, Co-op Centre. All of the profits stay in the community through allocations to their members or contributions to local organizations. They offer a broad range of services, including a grocery store with home delivery. Anyone can shop Co-op, though membership is available at a one-time cost of $10. 2.1.1 Mission “Mid Island Consumer Services Co-operative provides an economic and social return through quality, excellence and service as a member-owned Canadian business.” 2.1.2 Niche/Position Current position in grocery store market place: As recognized by store management and board members, the Co-op philosophy is held up as the niche/position within the Nanaimo market place. Amongst the members and general consumers, this niche is either not well defined or even recognized. 9 Not well maintained with membership Not recognized by average consumer in trade area Not ranked as a primary influencer for choosing grocery stores 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 10 In “having weekly food specials” and “low overall pricing”, the focus groups ranked the Co-op store as low even with their own members. Both members and non-members rate every other store higher on pricing issues. As this perception is the chosen influencer with grocery shoppers, this position must be adapted in some way for the Co-op store to succeed in this competitive market. 2.1.3 Target Customer Segments Considering the niche/positioning opportunity for Mid Island Co-op and its location, it is suggested that the target customer segments be generally defined as: Young/medium families that buy large quantity of groceries And/or current loyal members And/or higher educated (respond to social democratic values) And/or union members New to the area, ‘Prairie transplants’ Older, non-family (under serviced) And/or current loyal members Target Segments defined by demographics and psychographics Further target segments are defined within the appendices. Old Towns’ New Fringe – Younger and middle-aged high school and especially college educated, grey collar, blue collar and government workers. Predominantly small families, mortgaged, moderately priced, newer, own single-detached dwellings. Boomers and Teens – Middle and late middle-aged, university and college-educated maintainers of larger families with children over age six, especially teens. Managerial and white collar occupations; commonly two wage earners. Technocrats and Bureaucrats – Middle-aged maintainers of larger families living in large, new, single-detached dwellings in suburbs of larger and medium-sized Canadian cities. Very well-educated. Public sector and managerial occupations. Most households have two wage earners. Satellite Suburbs – Upper middle class, middle-aged maintainers of large families with children of all ages. Typically college-educated with grey collar and managerial occupations. Commonly two wage earners. Largely own heavily mortgaged, newer, single-detached and other dwellings, 16% “ethnic”. Aging Erudites – Older, well-educated singles, couples and small families. Managerial and upscale white-collar occupations. Single-detached and other predominantly `50s dwellings; 68% owned; 10% apartments. Mortgages are small. These people ‘soak up culture’. 10 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 11 Aged Pensioners – Largely very old singles, some couples, renting small apartments, flats and other dwellings in in-town areas of small and medium-sized Canadian cities. Very low education levels. High unemployment and government transfer rates. Low-status, grey collar occupations by very low labour price participant. High mobility. Source: FP Markets – Canadian Demographics 2004 Geographically, the primary market for Mid Island Co-op is family households within the V9T and V9S - F.S.A. postal areas. These are consumers that will find the Co-op location convenient and would live in areas surrounding the Bowen Road corridor and into Departure Bay. Co-op Members – Where they live: Percentage of Members in Each Postal Code Area Members Categorize by Postal Code 4000 V9X 15% 3000 Number of 2000 Members 1000 V9V 15% 0 V9R V9S V9T V9V V9T 21% V9X FSA V9R 24% V9S 25% Comparison of households by F.S.A. to Co-op members: The Co-op membership to postal code ratio is very impressive and shows an excellent opportunity to convert grocery consumers/members within the V9R area and a smaller portion of the V9T area. These are households that will find the Co-op location convenient. 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 Members 5000 Hhlds 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 V9R 11 V9S V9T V9V V9X 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 12 FSA V9R V9S V9T V9V V9X Number of Members 3882 2061 3747 861 860 Number of Households 8621 4360 9200 2997 2966 The data and graph above indicates that V9R, V9S, and V9T are areas where most co-op members live. Current Customers/members – Demographics: Bowen Store New Members – Age Group Age breakdown of new members 2003-04 Full Year 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Under 20 12 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 and o ver No age 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 13 2.2 Business Performance – History Mid Island Co-op has gone from a leadership 40% share position in 1980 to a 5% share position in 2003/04. Co-op closed their Harewood location in 2001. At the same time, the Nanaimo area has seen rapid growth of grocery retail competitors who have also been aggressively upgrading and increasing. The Bowen store has moved from a “warehouse style” grocery operation to a more competitive super market type. Through the years, the store has struggled to stay current and competitive. Over the last ten years the store has fallen further behind the competition and the store operation is in need of a substantial capital upgrade. 13 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 14 Membership has increased due to the gas bar operation and revenues are consistently strong for the overall operation again due to the gas bars. The store continues to lose over a million dollars a year. 2.2.1 Sales Since fiscal 1990/91, there has been a consistent downward trend in annual gross sales for the Mid Island Co-op Bowen store. One major exception in this downward trend is when the Harewood store closed in July 2001, resulting in a large number of Harewood store members/shoppers converting to the Bowen location. However, since 2001/02 the downward trend has continued. Sales - Bowen Store 11 ,8 21 Sales Trend by Year 12,000 $20,000,000 11,500 $15,000,000 10,500 $10,000,000 10 ,1 55 10 ,2 97 11,000 10,000 $5,000,000 9,500 $0 19 89 /9 0 19 91 /9 2 19 93 /9 4 19 95 /9 6 19 97 /9 8 19 99 /0 0 20 01 /0 2 20 03 /0 4 9,000 2001-02 Sales 2002-03 Sales 2003-04 Actual Sales Store - Weekly Sales 320 300 280 Sales per Week 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 2002 Sales 2003-04 Actual Sales 14 2001 Sales Week Number 51 49 47 45 43 41 39 37 35 33 31 29 27 25 23 21 19 17 15 13 9 11 7 5 3 1 120 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 15 Customer Counts: Customer counts declined sharply from 2001/02 to 2002/03 and then flatted for 2003/04. Number of Customer Customer Count 460,000 440,000 420,000 400,000 380,000 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 Year Sales by Customer: Sales per customers is consistently trending downward, when considering this result and the decrease in customer counts there is clear indications that consumers are not responding favourably both to external communication and to the internal shopping experience. Total Average Basket Size 26.50 26.00 25.50 Amount 25.00 24.50 24.00 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 Year Members by Purchases 10000 8000 Purchases Previous Year 6000 Number of Members Purchases Current Year 4000 2000 0 $0-$50 15 $0-$500 $500$1500 $1500$3000 $3000+ 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 16 Members and how much they buy: Purchases Previous Year Purchases Current Year $0-$50 $50-$500 42% 21% 37% 24% 15% 10% 11% 17% 10% 12% Graph incorrectly shows $0 to $500 $500-$1500 $1500-$3000 $3000+ There are 22,594 Co-op members. There are a high percentage of members that only spend $0 to $50 at Co-op. Sales by Department: Sales by department either show flat results or declines. 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 - 16 w ar e La w n ea t Departments H ar M D el i 2003 2002 2001 Ba ke ry Pr od uc e G ro ce ry Bu lk Fo o To d ba cc o Amount Department Sales Comparison 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 17 2.2.2 Promotion Results from the focus group sessions conducted for this report clearly recognize a severe lack of positive positioning by the Mid Island Co-op grocery store. These results duplicate the focus group sessions and the phone surveys conducted in 1999 by Hall & Hall Associates. Currently, members (and many staff) do not recognize a clear benefit in being a Co-op member. For nonmembers there is either no recognition of any benefits, or a negative perception based on dated information. For the basic grocery consumer there is the over-riding perception of an out-of-date grocery store that is expensive. Positive positioning and niche development is absolutely critical to the success of the Co-op Bowen store. In this very competitive market area, Co-op cannot compete without radical changes and consistent follow through. An integrated marketing communication process is a must. A clear and consistent message must be promoted to the consumer at all levels of the operation and must be delivered on when the consumer makes their purchase. Currently, promotional spending is not clearly isolated, budgeted and tracked for the Bowen store. Rather, some costs are combined with the petroleum division. Cross marketing with the petroleum division should be enhanced, though the budgeting and tracking should be distinct. Promotional spending should be categorized, budgeted and tracked by medium type and fiscal period. Promotional spending for the store in 2003/04 was at 2% of gross sales. This is slightly above the norm for individual grocery stores. When considering market share and sales declines, the advertising spending is low. The Co-op has one store in the Nanaimo trade area and, when compared to Save-On Foods, Thrifty’s or Quality Foods, they have a smaller “foot print” in the market area which also indicates a larger advertising budget is needed. Costco, RCSS and WalMart have higher profiles and national awareness and advertising that further challenge Co-op’s position in the local market place. 2003/04 Promotional Spending - Bowen Grocery Store Total annual cost Frequency Flyers Newsprint Radio Television Website Public Relations 52/weekly Bulletin 17,725 12/monthly Bulletin 33,120 $1000 mth x 20% $184,340 $17,700 n/a n/a $720 $2,400 Total Sales $10,155,234 x 2% $205,160 17 Distribution Cost per run/ad Media n/a - 2003/04 n/a - 2003/04 $300 mth x 20% for grocery store share $3,545 $1,475 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 18 Flyers are the dominant and most effective form of advertising for grocery stores. Flyer distribution was switched this year from CanWest (Daily/Star) to the Bulliten, partially because at that time the Bulliten was the only local paper that could put the Co-op flyer on the Co-op web page. With declining sales, it was also thought that a change in papers/distribution should be tested. Flyers - 2003/04 production (subsidized) shipping $0.12 Flyers - 2000/01 Production (subsidized) $0.12 $0.06 Shipping $0.06 Per flyer Total per Drops distribution subtotal Distribution flyer drop per year $0.02 $0.20 17,725 $3,545 52 $184,340 Per flyer Total per Drops Distribution subtotal Distribution flyer drop per year $0.02 $0.20 32,600 $6,520 Total Total 52 $339,040 As noted below, Co-op flyers do not rank strongly with the consumer. The low cost of the flyers is exceptional and too good to not continue. If contracted to an outside agency, a 16-page flyer would cost at least $18-20,000 a week. If an internal department were created to produce a local flyer, five to six staff members would be needed as well as the creation of an in-house graphic library. The low-cost flyers must be maintained, but enhanced with some local positioning strategies with local benchmark pricing. Print and Brand Advertising – qualitative analysis: Flyer - The focus groups ranked the Co-op flyers as the weakest in the Nanaimo area. As suggested above, the value of participating in the Federated flyer program is much too high to not participate in. As is expanded on in Section Four, it is recommended that Mid Island Co-op use the flyers, but augments them with local positioning tactics. Newsprint ads - can be valuable though the reader tends to be a different audience than those who read the flyer. If done, it must be part of integrated positioning strategy. Scoop Newsletter – focus group results show that both members and non-members either were not aware on the newsletter or were not impressed. Web site – a good site, but the huge majority of grocery consumers do not use this as part of the shopping process. One day, but not now. Television – not used last year, started this fiscal year with other Island Co-ops. Considering shared costs ($16,000 share for Mid Island of a $65,000 total), this should provide good 18 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 19 promotional R.O.I. A consistent benefit/message must be delivered, integrated with a positioning strategy. Also for this to be considered a good investment, target audience and frequency must be considered. Leverage the value of this TV promotion with integrated marketing communication using Mid Island Co-op’s other promotional mediums. Radio – As with TV, advertising began this year with ads focusing on membership benefits. Same issues as TV advertising: consistent benefit/messages and positioning strategy, reach to target audience, and frequency. It is challenging in this market area to effectively reach the Coop target audience. “Spill” from Vancouver and Victoria radio diminishes the effectiveness of local radio advertising. 2.2.3 Marketing Mix - Overview Product/Operation: The Produce section has clearly been recognized as a critical store weakness and must be addressed. Produce is one of the main determining factors in customer loyalty. Interviews with store staff, board memebers and management all recognised this as a weakness Focus groups rated the produce department as below most of the competition In a competition check mclaren consulting rated the produce section as lower than the competition The meat department has been recognised as a strength that is poorly promoted. Many that do shop in store do not recognize this strength due to the poor in store displays and signage. The Bakery and Deli appears to be competitive in pricing and offers but this should not be considered a strength. A poor layout with tired product displays, fixtures and bad lighting creates an under whelming visual appearance. This department should play to all the senses. The grocery area could be competitive but due to a confusing non-traditional layout and poor displays it should be considered an overall weakness. Several memebers in the focus group did recognize the convenience of wide aisles. The co-op brand products are not promoted and displayed to maximum effectiveness. Further details are contained within the focus group report and competitive review. Pricing: A definitive weakness, rooted both in reality and a very strong perception with members, nonmembers and many staff members. There have been strong in-store specials but to the most part it is an in-house secret, only loyal members are aware of these promotions. Due to poor displays and signage many customers may miss the “deals”. 19 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 20 People: The interviews suggest many believe the consistency of service is a strength; many staff know the members by name. There is some suggestion that the maturity of staff is recognized as a strength, mature staff are more trusted by consumers and can relate more to the consumers needs. Staffing is considered a weakness by some store, more so than by the focus groups. Though both groups recognized that younger staff brings a vibrancy and new energy to an store. Place/location: The location and its convenience did not receive an overall high rating by the focus groups. The location is somewhat off the main track for the majority of Nanaimo shoppers. However the location has excellent parking and compares well in this category. The store is also positioned well to reach households in the Diver Lake area and Bowen Road corridor. From a location/convenience standpoint the Co-op store has an advantage over the Quality Foods, Bowen Road location. 2.3 Mid Island Co-op - Qualitative Analysis 2.3.1 Interviews As part of the process of analysing the marketing effectiveness of Mid Island Co-op, mclaren consulting conducted a series of interviews with randomly selected staff members, board members and store management. In total 16 interviews were conducted: Store Staff 7 Board Members 5 Management 4 These interviews and the noted SWOT issues do not include industry research interviews or focus group information. The objective of the interviews was simple, discover what the internal stakeholders believe are the critical issues facing the Co-op store and seek suggestions for improvement. The interviews were conducted using a SWOT process of listing the Mid Island Co-op store’s strengths – weaknesses – opportunities –threats. To protect the integrity of this project and confidentiality of the individual, names are not included. We have compiled the interview issues and suggestions into the SWOT table below. When topics were discussed in more than one interview, a number in brackets precedes the comment. 20 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 21 2.3.2 S.W.O.T. Analysis Strengths: Weaknesses: 21 (3) Membership list - 22,000 plus o 16,000 valid addresses (2) Co-op Philosophy Community support – Co-op the true leader A true locally owned store (2) Social Democratic philosophy Good support by members Schools – Co-ops support of… Local car dealers in area (3) Beautiful store (6) Great service Loyalty of members, they keep coming back Staff have great people skills Knowledgeable staff – staff know their customers (many by name) (4) Good variety of product Co-op has been buying longer from local producers o Good & trusted relationships o Local producers want to deal with Co-op Good member programs (4) Good meat dept. Consistency of service Staffing quality Pricing is competitive Hours of operation (competitive) Meat debt offers smoked meats (2) Great promotional offers Deli is price competitive Good lunch crowd for Deli (from surrounding car lots) (5) Good garden shop Garden workshops, attendance is consistently increasing Fresh product in Garden centre Knowledgeable staff in Garden Centre Attractive Web site Extended hours Green/environmental values of Co-op 22,000+ members Member owned Financial stability of Mid Island Co-op (not just the store) Convenience to local neighbourhood and businesses (7) Membership list is not utilized for (marketing/member) store benefit o Costco took membership concept and are now better at it Pacific distributor is good supplier Federated o (4) They control pricing (too pricey by comparison) o Federation wants too much margin o Is federation ‘old-school’? Federation dictates produce specials Not a lot of support for each other (staff) 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 22 Weaknesses (con’t) Opportunities: 22 (3) Not strong follow-through on good in-store ideas or promotions o Ideas are sometimes initiated but tend to fall away when they are not managed Poor equipment (meat dept.) (2) Don’t promote Co-op brand Not implementing programs Perception of negative board influence – weak communication to staff o Perception of opinions based on personal lifestyle o Not ‘grocery people’ (4) Produce o (4) Customer complaints o (3) Poor freshness – i.e. wrinkled apples o Variety is good o Design/layout is old-fashioned o Displays are not used to full potential (colour, etc.) (2) Dated eating/sitting area, o Uncomfortable, uninviting, poor lighting (4) Not a welcoming entrance (2) Floor displays are either not done, or done poorly (2) Limited space Bad location o Bowen Rd Union shop – difficulty matching the right people to the right jobs Sometimes not enough staff (at garden centre) (4) Staff are ‘too old’ o No enthusiasm o Many struggle with technology, limiting potential use of POS (3) Misconception that you have to be a member to shop at Co-op Health of staff o Costs o No transition (7) Not enough promotion of store Poor management history o Management/store is boxed in - restricting itself on new/fresh opportunities Left lane access o Coming from North Can’t beat out local big box (ie: Wal-Mart peanut butter $3.99, Co-op, $5.99) Enhance/promote community and charitable support Competition does not recognize co-op as major threat QF Bowen store is closest and most vulnerable competitor Old style (value) Market place o Take advantage of the Baby Boomer affinity for retro Butcher shop– promote as is and/or enhance and reconfigure Local produce – enhance and reconfigure Promote health – focus on health supplements, dietary specialties (diabetic, low fat, low carb, low calorie), dietetic products. Food service - Pre-prepared meals - Deli & Bakery Philosophy – effectively promote & establish position o Community support – the true leader o A truly locally owned store o Social Democratic Is there an opportunity to open a 2nd store? o Buy the Food Country store 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 23 Opportunities: (con’t) Promote as shop Canadian, BC, ‘home-grown/town’) (6) Improve member sales (use list) o Remember PIPA o Offer/promote something specific – benefit for coming in o Provide clear value/benefits (3) Have members-only sales; incentives for members Promote value of membership Compare membership to other operations (Costco) (3) Create events (ie: 2 for 1 specials)/ create in-store excitement $5 off cake on birthday? (5) Beancarts o Well kept secret o Kids driving Pay staff to phone and invite memebers to events or promotions Pricing specials - shoppers pursue specials (4) Must be price competitive Flyers, improve distribution (3) Buy local produce (ie: Gabriola) (6) More promotion (ie: sausage and meat, rotisserie chicken) (10) Upgrade in things that matter (and a consistent process to see it through) Improve produce Improve over-all store layout Re configure Deli (by the door – seating in centre, bakery on other side) Improve appearance of bakery and deli o Signage o Lighting Promote take home meals, party trays, etc Promote specialty meals, lunch speicals Improve facing with more product Pasta kiosk? *Old-style marketplace (ie: Granville Island style)? Mini stir-fry What are new colour trends? Use them and update store and “warm it up” Juicer in produce dept.? In-store bank? (3) Use garden centre at entrance to encourage shoppers Older customer (needs not met?) opportunity ignored by competitors? Transparent board sessions More communication/discussion with staff (6) New blood o Young people attract young people o Change perception of being store for ‘older generation’ o Target new babies – through hospitals o Improve in-store advancement opportunities (2) Keep the ball rolling on in-store specials Promote to city – too far (expensive) to go elsewhere (2) Reader board Promote to Ex-prairie people/tourists o Offer sani-dump, specials to bring them into the store o Motor home parking in back? o 23 (2) Anti-globalization movement very strong o Not part of multi-national 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 24 Opportunities: (con’t) Family-sized purchases (case lot) is competitive Promote to unions? Radio advertising? When garden shop is closed for 3 months, replace with something else in that area Threats: 24 (3) Offer (more) prepared foods (ie: hamburgers, fish and chips, etc.) o (2) Fax daily specials to promote o Serve food on ‘real’ plates Fax grocery specials to local businesses Co-op hardware in south end or Downtown Bring in booths for café (*expensive) (2) In-store “face lift” (2) Work on Kids’ Club (half-done now). o Use to increase members’ visits, attract more families Fresh fish Advertise Bowen Rd. Access ‘You’re Forgiven’ - tongue & cheek promotion telling members there are no owed fees/penalties Need a new POS system (being looked into) Co-op dollars? Gift certificates or rebates? o Give 1 % on food purchases, 4% on gas purchases (3) Improve public relations Can there be in-store fishing equipment (Home Depot doesn’t supply) o Had once as part of hardware, complaints that it’s now gone o Expensive to inventory in slow season (2) Offer health care services: clinic- doctors, clinic where people wait On Wednesdays, 10% off to membership – further discount? Recycling bins – replace with our own Expand 3R opportunities Give workshops on organic/environmental products and uses (2) Increase stature in community (PR) Take advantage of $1.49 day (promotional appeal, tie in to old Woodward’s/retro promo) Promote social responsibility Fair trade Environment (2) Welcome wagon o New babies, new families o Target prairie transplant (2)“Did you know” history of & benefits - advertising campaign on Co-op– instore/out o Tag line “I shop Co-op because....” Use meeting space for non-profits and (target segment) community) groups Promote convenience of location to locals Competition (re)directs competitive responses at co-op Loyalty of members is decreasing Aging of loyal members (will they be replaced by new/younger) Strong need to reduce losses ($300/day, $100,000/month). o 23 % of income available for general expenses o 19 % goes to salaries/labour (12 % average on Prairies). Co-op store may no longer be relevant Management/staff buying at competition? (Perception) 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 25 Threats: (con’t) (3) Lack of target marketing When a department sales are down/declining o Pressure on staff o Declining momentum o Less production from staff, poor sales result (4) Lots of/ new competition o Perceived as younger/fresher, more vibrant (2) Competitors have more buying power Staff – older Any store changes will anger old-timers Not changing may be worse Perception that members may owe money - embarrassment to have to pay (owe money) Perception of members having to pay ($2.50/week) Lots of garden shops Cheaper garden plants 2.3.3 Focus Group Report Please refer to the mclaren consulting’s Focus Group Report for full details on the sessions. Participants in the three focus groups (2 member and 1 non-member), evidenced a great deal of similarities in their attitudes, behaviours and motivations towards the weekly shopping experience. Most shopped two or more of the major stores regularly and for the most part Mid Island Co-op was not their primary store … even for members. Many of the conditions and attitudes towards shopping and perceptions of the store/market mix in Nanaimo continue to reflect the findings of the 1999 research. Notable exceptions are that for the most part the 3% surcharge and shopper paying/bagging has fallen from the mix of barriers. Note: the fact they have disappeared is not creating a positive response to shopping at Mid Island Co-op; it is simply been removed as a barrier. Other than for these items, shoppers tell us little has changed in their overall perceptions of the Co-op store and in spite of the significant investment in the new entrance we continue to see references to the dark entrance along with requests to lighten/brighten it up … particularly the café and deli/bakery areas. Convenience Shoppers continue to identify price and convenience highest on their list of weekly shopping decision-making factors. And while Mid Island Co-op’s convenience is satisfactorily ranked by members, so are the other major competitors, indicating no particular advantage. 25 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 26 Price Clearly the single most significant barrier to Mid Island’s ability to seek major sales increases is the almost universal perceptions of overall high prices and poorly rated weekly specials. Customers generally make their weekly shopping decisions from a mix of 2-3 stores on their ‘regularly shopped’ list and the appeal or need triggered by the weekly special offerings of those grocery retailers. Mid Island Co-op’s Brand Image While we did not do an extensive Brand Image exploration in these groups it is evident that Mid Island Co-op is seen as a store for ‘older folks’. This is evident in their personification of the store, the average age of the staff and Members and the fact that nearly all of the members we contacted talked about the historical roots of their membership. While there is nothing wrong with enjoying this strength; alone, it is not enough on which to build a successful financially viable future for Mid Island Co-op. Membership Co-op membership as it stands is a ‘nice thing’ but not a key motivator to shopping … particularly among the non-member and to some extent younger Co-op members. Its value is poorly understood by both members (who see it deteriorating in the form of reduced/non-existent dividends and an absence of meaningful member communications or other specific benefits) and non-members who think it is expensive to join and don’t perceive any particular benefit. Staffing & Customer Service Good customer service is an expectation … not a competitive advantage. Customers valued it, particularly when it is ‘personal’ (as in truly recognizing and naming a customer or going beyond expectations in look after a customer), it was not a key determinant in weekly shopping destination decision making. While co-op members rate the co-op store well on the availability and quality of staff, the same can be said for the ratings of Save-On-Foods and Thrifty’s. If there is a weak or venerable store on this front it is the Bowen Quality Foods which was definitely seen as weaker than the other QF locations and tended to bring down the QF ratings overall (on a number of fronts). Fair Trade and Organics While not familiar with them to any great extent, Fair Trade products were generally lumped in with organics in customers minds as “important options but not important enough to justify the poorer quality (produce in particular) and much higher prices”. 26 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 27 Local Products As in the overall membership benefit of supporting the local and island community, there was a strong affinity for local products. In addition to being seen as supportive, they are seen as fresher, healthier and possibly more pesticide/chemical free. The current expectation amongst the participants is that local produce should not be more expensive in fact some thought it should be less. Wherever possible promoting ‘local’ will be well received and seen as part of the Mid Island Coop advantage. Produce Expanded, fresher (quality) and cheaper produce was a consistent focus of customers in this study and a key factor in many customers decision-making. Save-On-Foods was clearly the competitive winner in the ratings here including with Co-op members. Part of this is with the instore presentation, which does not highlight it as effectively as key competitors. Meat The ongoing interest in opening a Butcher Shop would only build on the strength and trust members have in the Co-op meat department. With non-members, however, it is very important that the brown-wrapped meats be reconsidered. There is no current level of trust among non-members and many flatly stated they “wouldn’t buy meat they can’t see”. In a Butcher Shop environment, the brown wrap (after purchase) would send positive signals about the meat quality as well as contributing to the overall desire for enhanced ‘shopping experience’. Marketing & Advertising Current marketing and communication efforts are almost entirely focused on the centrally produced flyer and its weekly distribution. Faced with the positive example of the Save-OnFood flyer (which is in some ways perceived as the ‘gold standard’ of local flyers), the Co-op flyer was awkward, recognized as not produced or controlled locally and missed communicating many of the member benefits, local strengths and other Mid Island Co-op Competitive advantages in the Nanaimo community. 27 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 28 3.0 Market Analysis 3.1 Industry Factors influencing how the consumer chooses where to shop The main factors that influence loyalty with the grocery shopper is fairly consistent in the western world. There are minor shifts in rankings dependant on the country or region, however the primary factors are essentially the same. For this report, we have conducted secondary research on the top loyalty factors within the grocery sector for Canada, Britain and the U.S. We then compared these results to our primary qualitative research with the focus groups and Co-op interviews. According to a 2001 U.S. study, price or price specials are the most important factors for choosing a grocery store with the average family. This “Middle American” cluster best represents the average grocery family. Convenience also rates highly amongst consumers? consumer also rates convenience highly. Quality of produce, in-store convenience and location convenience (time saving) ranked higher with the “sophisticates”, a middle-aged family group with higher incomes and higher education. For the Nanaimo area, this would be comparable to Thrifty Foods target customer, predominantly in the Hammond Bay area. “Middle American”, Grocery Store Loyalty Rankings 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Having low prices Sale or money saving specials Convenient location Fast check-out Clean and neat store High quality meat Accurate shelf tags & descriptive signage High quality fruits and vegetables Source: “A Segmentation Analysis of U.S. Grocery Shoppers” Department of Applied Economics, University of Minnesota In Britain, a trend setting country for the grocery sector (followed by the U.S.) shoppers also rate price and specials as critical. Local products are now moving up the scale as important to the British consumer, moving to number three (behind pricing and specials) in some recent studies. “Shoppers place a high value on low prices (58%), good quality products (42%), free parking (40%), customer service (39%) and convenient/easy location (37%). Promotions are deemed to be essential by 29% of shoppers whilst only 8% consider a loyalty card as being essential.” Source: “Ensuring and Retaining Shopper Loyalty – An Industry Challenge” 28 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 29 IGD Consumer Watch, Date published 21/10/03 The focus groups conducted for this report ranked the key grocery shopping factors as: 1. Price/value/specials 2. Location/convenience 3. Selection 4. Staff/customer service For Nanaimo this study suggests the main factors for choosing a store for the weekly grocery shop are: 1. Pricing a. Every day low pricing b. In store specials 2. Location/convenience 3. Produce/Meat/Bakery quality 4. Selection 5. In store experience Considering the above, we suggest a strategy based on in-store specials, with targeted offers in specific departments. This will positively affect the pricing perception without positioning the Co-op in a price war with competitors and eroding much-needed margins. It has been recognised that the Nanaimo targeted grocery shopper is either a “cherry picker” or an “every day low price” convenience shopper – a shopper that goes to one store with the perception that the overall value is consistently competitive. There is an opportunity for the Co-op store to pursue the cherry picker utilizing the store’s current strengths and enhancing department offers for new opportunities. Manager specials, meat department promotions and local produce all present opportunities to change the perception of the Co-op as a high priced grocery store. 3.1.2 Industry Trends Prepared Foods/Meals A recent study called “Foodservice 2010: America's Appetite Matures” by McKinsey & Co., a multinational research company based in New York City, points out how dramatic social changes have altered the nation's eating habits. • As the number of households earning over $50,000 increases to 30 percent of total households, the amount of money spent on food prepared outside the home will also rise. The study predicts that high-income households devote half or more of their food dollar on meals prepared outside the house. 29 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 30 “Because working women are pressed for time, they tend to rely on food prepared away from home,” the report found. • While baby boomers like to eat out, the 36 million people in Generation Y - aged 15 to 25 years old — like it even more. Gen Y already spends 50 percent to 55 percent of its total food dollars on meals away from home, and that is expected to increase in the years to come. One of the most significant developments in the American food industry in the past decade has been the growth of convenience food and food that is eaten away from home, said Bob Goldin, executive vice president of Technomic Inc., a Chicago-based food consulting and research group. “Our moms may have been home cooking when we were kids; but now with dual-income households, there just is not enough time,” Mr. Goldin said. “People get home at 6 or 6:30, run a few errands and, well, who has time to cook? Source: “Foodservice 2010: America's Appetite Matures” by McKinsey & Co. - 2001 Community and Charitable Support: According to a survey conducted by the Food and Consumer Products Manufacturers of Canada, the Canadian food and consumer products industry contributes consistently to the community and to charities. 95% of companies surveyed participate in special drives (United Way, food banks, etc.), giving 4.5 million bags of groceries and $33 million in cash annually and half donate excess assets for community purposes. Many companies also: provide meeting space and loan equipment for community groups; assign staff to specific tasks for community groups; provide shipping or storage services; and handle mailings for local groups. Sourced from: http://www.fcpmc.com, May 2004 – Date of survey is n/a As so many grocery/food companies contribute to charity and community organizations and do a good job of communicating their goodwill gestures (e.g. – Thrifty’s or Q.F. Public Relations) it will be difficult to be recognized as stronger or better with the grocery consumer. To effectively differentiate from the competition and be recognised by the consumer as the leader in community support, a grocery operation must invest in an integrated marketing communications program that fully develops a positioning strategy on community support and ethical buying. Even with this approach, there will be some promotional “catch-up” to the current market area leaders (Thrifty’s, Q.F. & Save-On Foods). If this strategy is pursued the competition is sure to react. 30 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 31 Capital Improvements: Concise information (secondary research) on how much is invested into capital improvements by grocery stores and what sales increases are realized is information that is well guarded. No industry associations can or will supply this information for obvious reasons. For our purposes we researched Loblaws, a public company that must report to its shareholders. Even this information is general and on a chain-level basis. This noted, the following excerpt does give a benchmark on the level of investments made for capital improvements and potential increases in sales: “Over the past two years, the Company has invested more than $1 billion in capital annually, resulting in an increase in net retail square footage of approximately 4.5 million square feet or 12%. The capital investment program resulted in new, larger stores replacing older, smaller stores, which dampened short-term earnings growth as sales developed… “The weighted average increase in net retail square footage was 5.6% in 2003 and 6.2% in 2002. Growth in same-store sales was 4.6% in 2002 and 4.6% in 2003 on an equivalent 53week basis. 6.2% in 2002. Sales may be influenced by a number of factors including changes in net retail square footage, same-store sales, inflation, expansion into new services and/or departments and the activities of competitors.” Source: Loblaw Companies Limited, 2003 Annual Report Loblaws budgeting process for capital improvements should be considered against it’s $25 billion in gross sales. Loblaws ratio for capital expenditures would be comparable to Mid Island Co-op investing $400,000 to capital improvements on an annual basis. It should also be considered that Loblaws is consistent with its capital improvement program and Mid Island Coop would need to invest significantly more just to “catch up”. Local Market – Capital Improvements: mclaren consulting contacted the City of Nanaimo – Economic Development Office and researched several comparable capital improvement projects for grocery stores in the Nanaimo area. Fairways Market, Nanaimo - 2000: Interior leasehold improvements only. Fixtures, inventory, etc are separate $974,000 Save on Foods – Terminal Park - 2003: $1,700,000 Interior and exterior, leasehold improvements only. Fixtures, inventory, etc would separate Quality Foods, Bowen – 2002: $55,000 New children’s entertainment area, leasehold improvements only. Fixtures, etc are separate 31 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 32 Buy Local, Marketing Programs Strategies that involve purchasing from local producers (dairy, produce, etc) and the promotion of this to the grocery consumer is a trend that is at the infancy level in British Columbia. While some grocery retailers are beginning to promote this niche, no one retailer has taken the lead. Consumers are influenced by this product feature and do recognize some benefits, however they are willing to pay more for a local product. In fact, comments from our focus group suggest they believe they should pay less for local produce. Dan Dagg of the “Buy BC” program was interviewed for this analysis. “Consumer surveys suggest consumers are willing to pay 3-9% more for local produce, however sales results show that this is not the case. Consumers are not willing to pay more.” Though local consumers are not yet willing to pay more, the influence of local products on the grocery consumer is a growing international trend. In Europe, local programs are beginning to be quite successful. As Canada generally follows European and U.S. trends, a ‘buy local’ program has strong potential as a long term and highly valuable opportunity. This is not a short term, quick cash infusion initiative. Either product must be obtained at a competitive price from local suppliers, or a lower margin accepted by the grocer. A good selection or quality local produce at a competitive price can offer a grocer a local market niche. Ultimately the consumer may accept a higher price, but not today. The below excerpt is from an article produced by a British marketing research association specializing in the grocery industry. Why buy local foods? From the producer perspective, one of the main drivers of the local food sector is the ability to support local community. This is not always the case when it comes to what motivates consumers to choose local over other foods. Figure 2: Why buy local foods? 32 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 33 For the majority of consumers, ‘localness’ and patriotic emotions are not sufficient to encourage them to buy local foods. The quality of the food is key. For local food to compete in today’s marketplace, it must respond to the current demands of consumers and also the parameters within which food choices are made, such as money and time available. Source: IGD Consumer Watch, April 2003 3.2 Market Areas - Trade Areas 3.2.1 Market Share Mid Island Co-op has seen its share of the Nanaimo grocery market decrease from: 40% in 1980 6.5% in 2002 Less than 5% in 2003/04 2003/04 Mid Island Co-op Bowen Store: Nanaimo Supermarket & Groceries: $10,155,234 $210,544,766 Considering the sales decrease and consistent market share loss, Mid Island Co-op is operating in a negative vacuum. Momentum is working against the Co-op store. 1980 - Mid Island Co-ops Grocery Market Share Co-op 40% All Others 60% 33 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 34 2003/04 - Mid Island Co-ops Grocery Market Share Co-op 5% All Others 95% Source: 1980 & 2002 share percentage – Mid Island Co-op, Malaspina Marketing Project – 2003 2003/04 – FP Markets – Canadian Demographics 2004; Mid Island Co-op Store Sales There were two Co-op stores until 2001- the Harewood store closing in 2001. This has led to a smaller “foot print” in the Nanaimo market area. The key competitors either have multiple stores or national brand recognition with advertising to match. 3.2.2 Nanaimo Households and Demographics Town Boomers Blue Collar Winners Satellite Suburbs Old Towns' New Fringe Conservative Homebodies Old Leafy Towns Nesters & Young Homesteaders Aging Erudites Small City Elite Aged Pensioners All others Boomers & Teens Mortgaged in Technocrats & Suburbia Bureaucrats 34 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 35 No. of Psyte Categories - 2004 Nanaimo Hhlds % Total Mortgaged in Suburbia 488 1.28% Technocrats & Bureaucrats 859 2.26% Boomers & Teens 388 1.02% Small City Elite 8454 22.22% Aging Erudites 299 0.79% Satellite Suburbs 1138 2.99% Blue Collar Winners 391 1.03% Town Boomers 330 0.87% Old Towns' New Fringe 6025 15.84% Conservative Homebodies 1750 4.60% Old Leafy Towns 2300 6.05% Nesters & Young Homesteaders 5721 15.04% Aged Pensioners 1536 4.04% All others 8368 21.99% Source: FP Markets – Canadian Demographics 2004 3.2.3 Market Trends 35 New and growing competition – highly competitive and over-serviced market area Heavy investment in capital improvements and the in-store shopping experience amongst the grocery retailers o Co-op has fallen behind o Fairway Market – three- to four- year old store – much more current than Co-op Most likely has, and is, stealing Co-op share o New Save-on Foods - Woodgrove o Renovated Save-On Foods at Country Club and Terminal Park o Potential for a new grocery tenant at Rutherford Mall Fairway Market should be considered a main competitor for the Bowen corridor and Departure Bay consumer Promotional focus amongst key competitors on their local/Island identity and community support Ethnic/international grocery and produce selection is growing with Fairways and RCSS Thrifty’s and others are enhancing their organic produce selection and promoting this niche Thrifty’s is further establishing itself as the urban/sophisticate grocery retailer All competitors are pursuing the prepared meals and deli niche opportunity Wal-Mart’s move to the north changed Nanaimo traffic flows – negatively affecting Coop 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 36 The new Save-on Foods, RCSS and overall development in the Woodgrove area continues to draw traffic flow to the Woodgrove area Country Club’s new upgrade with new anchors is now positively affecting traffic flow in the Bowen Rd, Island Hwy area. Vancouver Island’s real estate market is booming, growing the overall grocery market for the Nanaimo area. Many of the newcomers are from the prairies and/or are seniors or future seniors. These are segments that are either aware of the Co-op brand and want to maintain their membership or, for future seniors, may be responsive to the Co-op philosophy/message. Another relevant trend is the return to the political polarization of B.C. politics. The social democratic and/or union movement is gaining in popularity. Mid Island Co-op must be careful and not be seen as a political organization but at the same time there is an opportunity to promote its values to a target audience that may be more responsive than in recent years. 3.3 Competition Review Competitors Quality Foods – Three locations Thrifty Foods – Two locations Fairways Market Save On Foods – Three locations Real Canadian Super Store RCSS Warehouse Costco Thrifty Foods and Quality Foods have been recognised by store management as main competitors in consideration of pricing and product offerings. We suggest that Fairway Markets be added in consideration of their location; they should not be underestimated. Fairway’s has undoubtedly taken share from Co-op. We also suggest that Quality Foods, Bowen Road be the main focus in a competitive/market penetration strategy. Due to their location, QF Bowen is Co-op’s most direct competitor. Due to their size and location, parking/convenience issues, they are also the most vulnerable of the competitors. Competitor Assessment Below should be considered a “snapshot” assessment, a moment in time reflecting a single visit to each location. Assessments were conducted on April 19, 2004. The focus group results were consistent with the assessment ratings. 36 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 37 Mid Island Co-op QF - Bowen Fairways QF - Turner Thrifty - Turner 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 3 4 8-9 4 8–10 2 ? 3 8–10 2 8–10 3 3 3 Up front 3 3 Much less convenient 3 3 Less convenient 4 4 Less convenient 4 4 Up Front 3 4 4 4 4 2 2 Confusing 2 3 4 Neutral 1 4 3 Traditional 3 3 4 Neutral 3 3 3 Traditional 5 4 4 Neutral 3 4 5 Traditional 4 4 4 Neutral 4 4 2 Traditional 4 3 4 Neutral 4 Assortment breadth (visual) Garden centre Good deli, bulk Good deli, prepared Well Faced Brand names House Brands Stock levels 3 2 Not obvious 4 3 3 Few 4 Good produce, ethnic 3 3 No 4 Good deli, bakery, meat & produce 3 3 Few 3 Lots of Holes Mid Mid-Upper Good Specials Low-Mid Good Specials Mid-Upper Good Specials Uninviting entry & uncomfortable coffee shop Yes Children’s play area Store Location Exterior signage Location Convenience Hours Parking Service # of staff available Staff quality Service policies Visual Shelf talkers, specials tags Signage Lighting Layout Atmosphere Neatness Cleanliness Smell Excitement Merchandise 4 3 Few 4 Pricing Price Levels Sale Promotions Mid-Upper Good Specials Other Delivery service 37 Yes Pleasant coffee shop ? Yes Yes 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 38 4.0 Recommended Strategies to Increase Sales These strategies are general recommendations. A comprehensive marketing plan is needed to offer details in budgets, specific & measurable goals, timelines and tactical components. These recommendations do have numerous overlaps due to the complexity of processes. The overlying factors in any sales improvement for Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery store is: There must be radical change With consistent follow through At every level of the operation and marketing pipeline A substantial increase in marketing budget A substantial financial investment into capital upgrades Overall Objectives: 1. Market penetration a. Increase sales in existing market areas 4.1 Marketing and Communications Increasing the marketing influence and weight within the Mid Island Co-op management structure. Incorporates an integrated and consistent marketing / positioning approach for the entire Mid Island Co-op operation. The objective is to create and/or improve the Co-op position and brand within the mid-Island trade area. 1. Senior (contract) position that reports directly to the GM and board a. Marketing position to carry out communication and promotional tasks 2. Increase the marketing budget a. 2003/04 at 2% of gross sales at $202,040 b. Increase to 3% (or more) of gross – at $304,657 (% to 2003/04 actual gross sales) c. Manage the budget and track results for store only 3. Target marketing a. Prioritize market areas that have the most potential for sales increases b. Geographic – V9S, Bowen Road corridor (convenient location) c. Families as defined in target market section d. Philosophy sharing members and non members e. Current members – older f. Pursue prairie transplants 38 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 39 4. Positioning a. Clearly establish Niche/position with target segments b. Clearly establish position/brand c. Operational/department niche development 1. Meat department, local produce, deli/bakery (old style market) 2. Dietetic, Co-op brand products d. Do not try to compete on every day low price e. Promotional / Manager specials 1. Department niches – can be aggressive in price in specific categories 2. Specials through out store, benchmark products f. Mid Island Co-op to obtain membership with Canadian Council of Grocery Distributors. Gain access to marketing research and use for marketing plans 5. Communication a. Key communication messages that consistently support and promote the position and brand b. Establish and communicate clear benefits for Co-op membership 1. Clear and consistent definitions that are replicated 2. In store promotional materials - Point of Purchase – P.O.P. 3. P.O.P. staff verbal support 4. Member newsletters 5. PR materials 6. Paid advertising c. Augment and enhance Flyer materials with local positioning 1. Monthly insert - “pony page” or four page wrap or front page/back page 2. Produced by federated at flyer production centre 3. Federated do a “press stop” 4. Rough estimate of $2000 added cost per flyer drop 5. Or produced locally (higher costs, not as consistent) 6. Focussing on local Mid Island communication and promotions 7. Local benchmark pricing 8. In store “Manager” specials 9. Promote niche/advantage departments - Co-op market place d. Establish and brand Co-op as the community leader in…Ethical Buying, Community Support, Buy local – support of local producers 6. Event marketing 1. Objective is to draw attention and traffic to the Co-op store location 2. Secondary; demonstrate community support and Co-op niche 3. In store – workshops (e.g. current garden centre workshops) 4. In store - member promotions 5. Parking lot – community support (Sporting groups, etc) 6. Planned schedule 39 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 40 4.2 The Shopping experience Capital upgrade and improvements to in store experience. 1. Welcoming entry way 2. Improve lighting – inviting and comfortable colour temperature 3. Enlarge and improve kids club area – child minding and entertainment 4. Old fashioned market place – enhance produce/deli/bakery/meat 5. Improve and upgrade Deli and coffee shop (lighting) 6. Convenience centre, close to entry for quick pick-up of prepared meals, staples, etc. 7. Store displays – enhance and change weekly 8. In-store signage, enhance and improve for clarity, conveninec and excitement 9. Store layout changes using traditial shopping planagrams 10. Potential for leasing of space to complimentary retailers a. Strict criteria based on fit to Co-op target market and/or traffic draw 11. External store a. Improve signage – clarity of message and positioning b. Improve sightlines to store front from Bowen road (e.g. lower hedges) c. Make the store front more welcoming and demonstrate positioning/sales promotions d. Weekly events - as above 4.3 Member loyalty and data management 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Gas bar cross promotional offers to attract customers to grocery store Enhance use of sales/marketing results and customer data management Customer Relationship Management – maximize customer relationship Increase efficiency/effectiveness of the sales/service “pipeline” process Weekly marketing/competition meeting on sales results and plan of actions 4.4 Target closest and most vulnerable competitor– Quality Foods, Bowen 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 40 Eliminate QF Bowen’s advantage - Children’s area Promote advantage of convenience facors – parking and entry Aggressively target surrounding area Promote convenience factors Promote new niche developments (as they apply) Promote parking lot and in store events 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 41 5.0 Conclusion For the Mid Island Co-op store to become competitive again radical change, consistent follow through in both marketing and operations is necessary, plus a substantial investment in capital upgrades. The substantial investment needed we would roughly estimate to be a minimum $500,000 in capital upgrades/in store improvements plus a minimum increase of $100,000 to marketing expenditures. This aggressive strategy of investing into both operations and marketing would need to be maintained for at least two years. Even with these changes our findings show that a 40% increase in sales is unlikely and most probably impossible in this highly competitive market. The Co-op store is currently operating in a “negative vacuum”, consistently losing market share for at least the past ten years. This downward momentum means an aggressive approach is needed just to stop the share lost and declining sales. This alone presents a lofty challenge and should be considered high expectations. The Mid Island Co-op store does have many distinct and exciting opportunities to carve out specific market niches. Considering the large amount of upgrades needed and new development opportunities, much work is needed in prioritizing issues and strategies to select those that offer maximum return on investment. With an aggressive, integrated and consistent marketing plan pursuing niches and effectively positioning the Co-op store, the grocery operation has the potential to stop the decline in sales within a year. With consistent follow through of a comprehensive marketing plan, the Co-op store can potentially see 5% incremental growth in the years following. Considering the investment needed to become competitive, stopping the decline and then in the years following seeing manageable growth the return on investment would not be realized for at least another four years. 41 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 42 6.0 Appendix – Reference Materials & Sources Interviews/Sources Industry/Market Peter Wolford – Retail Council of Canada, Vice President of Policy and Research Bryan Walton – Canadian Council of Grocery Distributors, Vice President Western Canada Joann Sandhu – B.C. Ministry of Agriculture, Market research Dan Wong – Marketing Consultant, specializing in the grocery industry – contractor CCGD Dan Dagg – Consultant for Buy B.C. Economic Development Office – City of Nanaimo Industry Articles Local Foods: Niche market or explosion waiting to happen? Date published 07/08/03 In the top-ten wish-list for supermarket shopping in 2003, number 3 was selling local foods, topped only by lower prices and more price promotions. When this is what consumers want can you afford not to sit up and listen? The profile of the UK local food sector has been rapidly growing over the last few years. Not only is local food high on the political agenda but IGD’s continual programme of consumer research has tracked this area as it has gained prominence in the consumer mindset. Those supporting the expansion of the local food sector see wins for both industry and consumers. Most recently, the Policy Commission on Food and Farming reported to Government that the public’s enthusiasm for local food was one of the greatest opportunities for farmers to add value to locally produced food. Within the private sector, many small food businesses have recognized the economic benefits of selling their products directly to consumers. Recognizing these benefits many of the major multiples now operate local and regional buying teams to support this sector further. But operating in the local food arena faces many complexities. To begin, what are local foods; how close does local need to be? Perhaps more importantly, why do consumers want to see more local foods on shelves; is it the premium quality they believe local foods to offer or is it the economic support give to the local community? Consumer Watch provides answers to some of these questions. What are local foods? 42 63% of consumers see local foods as those produced fairly close-by, either 30 miles from where they live or buy the food from, or from the country the live. One in five consumers think bigger; for 13% local is their home nation, either England Scotland or Wales, and a further 8% see local as food produced in Britain. 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 43 Figure 1: What are local foods? Source: IGD Consumer Watch, April 2003 So what? Local is a relatively defined concept with communicable parameters. Vague terms are likely to detract consumers’ confidence. Use of specific terms in marketing seems more appropriate, rather than a just the term local. Qualitative research indicated that understanding and trusting the provenance is often more relevant to many consumer than the exact location of production. Why buy local foods? From the producer perspective, one of the main drivers of the local food sector is the ability to support local community. This is not always the case when it comes to what motivates consumers to choose local over other foods. Figure 2: Why buy local foods? Source: IGD Consumer Watch, April 2003 For the majority of consumers, ‘localness’ and patriotic emotions are not sufficient to encourage them to buy local foods. The quality of the food is key. For local food to compete in today’s marketplace, it must respond to the current demands of consumers and also the parameters within which food choices are made, such as money and time available. 43 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 44 Source: State of the Industry Report 2002, Canadian Council of Grocery Distributors 44 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 45 Source: State of the Industry Report 2002 A recent study called “Foodservice 2010: America's Appetite Matures” by McKinsey & Co., a multinational research company based in New York City, points out how dramatic social changes have altered the nation's eating habits. Even more sweeping changes are on the way, according to the study produced for International Foodservice Distributors Association, Food Distributors International and International Foodservice Manufacturers Association: • Maturing and wealthier consumers will fuel robust growth for the food-service industry, with revenues projected to surpass those of food retail revenues in 2010 for the first time. Food service encompasses all providers of prepared meals, while retail includes supermarket and other retail outlets. • The U.S. population is projected to increase by 24 million, to 300 million people. As generations age, they are more likely to spend significantly more dollars away from home on food. • As the number of households earning over $50,000 increases to 30 percent of total households, the amount of money spent on food prepared outside the home will also rise. The study predicts that high-income households devote half or more of their food dollar on meals prepared outside the house. “Because working women are pressed for time, they tend to rely on food prepared away from home,” the report found. • While baby boomers like to eat out, the 36 million people in Generation Y - aged 15 to 25 years old — like it even more. Gen Y already spends 50 percent to 55 percent of its total food dollars on meals away from home, and that is expected to increase in the years to come. 45 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 46 One of the most significant developments in the American food industry in the past decade has been the growth of convenience food and food that is eaten away from home, said Bob Goldin, executive vice president of Technomic Inc., a Chicago-based food consulting and research group. “Our moms may have been home cooking when we were kids; but now with dual-income households, there just is not enough time,” Mr. Goldin said. “People get home at 6 or 6:30, run a few errands and, well, who has time to cook? Source: “Foodservice 2010: America's Appetite Matures” by McKinsey & Co. - 2001 For multi industry organizations – including: Canadian Council of Grocery Distributors THE GROCERY STORE OF THE FUTURE Shopper Missions, Category Solutions, Beacon Brands and Retail-tainment - Grocery shopping is now less planned and more impulsive. Weekly or fortnightly trips are less common and shorter top-up visits more frequent. What are the implications of this for retailers and suppliers? What will the future store look like? Grocery shopping is now less planned and more impulsive. Weekly or fortnightly trips are less common and shorter top-up visits more frequent. But research shows that overall, shoppers are actually spending more time shopping. What are the implications of this for retailers and suppliers? How are retailers and suppliers sharing their expertise? Much shopper research has been done to identify specific shopper groups and missions. Much of this new, detailed work has been done by manufacturers re-defining category decision trees and cross category purchasing dynamics. Simple definitions of staple versus impulse, expandable versus non-expandable are too simplistic. Our report shows how leading suppliers now divide categories. “ If you lay out the shelving in a way that matches the logic of the way the category is shopped, they then move on and notice more things…. we’ ve done the research and the prize is at least a 20% sales increase” (Customer Marketing Director, Supplier) Retailers are redesigning stores to match shopper missions to layout. Because shoppers are using less lists, store environment and signage needs to prompt the 46 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 47 shopper and offer solutions. Use of “ beacon brands” , and “ vertical blocking” exploiting consumer cues with “ colour and shape” will develop further. Increasingly, point of sale, is recognised as a key advertising medium. Retailers and suppliers are communicating with shoppers, using off shelf displays, sampling, in-store TV and POP plasma screens. Digital media has made it possible for advertising or other messages to take place on one screen, leaving the aisle and shelf-edge uncluttered. Tesco may roll-out in-store TV to 300 stores. How will this fit into overall changes in store layout? “ I don’ t think that price in isolation is becoming less important, but I think price compared to time is becoming less important” (Business Development Director, Major Multiple) Research shows that shoppers are less price conscious on small shopping missions and are less motivated by promotions, with convenience and time-saving now being paramount. How are promotional strategies likely to be adapted to fit in with these changes? Which promotions build not just individual SKU volumes but also overall basket size? And can stores be made more “ exciting” environments in different ways? Sainsbury’ s concepts at Hazel Grove and King’ s Road may become more mainstream. But Hazel Grove is not the only ground breaking concept store in Europe. Metro AG have the world's most extensive trial of RFID technology at their future store in Rheinberg. In the short term RFID may only impact on the shopping experience through better product availability. In the longer term RFID could be revolutionary. What are the other possibilities? This report is based on interviews with Metro AG, each of the leading UK grocery retailers at Director and senior management level,category leading manufacturers and third-party marketing specialists. As with all Strategic Insight reports, it features proprietary business-to-business interviewing and data analysis techniques. High level 47 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 48 qualitative depth interviews are transcribed and subjected to a systematic process of analysis. Source: Insight Strategic Understanding – (England based Marketing Research Company specializing in the Grocery Industry) Published May 2003 Definitions for FP Markets - Psyte Profiles Boomers and Teens – Middle and late middle-aged, university and college-educated maintainers of larger families with children over age 6, especially teens. Managerial and white collar occupations; commonly two wage earners. Newer, larger, owned single-detached dwellings, 10% Italian mother tongue. Skewed to larger Ontario and B.C. cities. Mortgaged in Suburbia – Upscale, predominantly younger (age under 45) large families living in new suburban subdivisions in large, heavily mortgaged houses. Occupations are managerial/professional and high-status white collar. Most families have two income earners. Education attainment is high. Children are typically under age 10. Technocrats and Bureaucrats – Middle-aged maintainers of larger families living in large, new, single-detached dwellings in suburbs of larger and medium-sized Canadian cities. Very well-educated. Public sector and managerial occupations. Most households have two wage earners. Blue Collar Winners – The most upscale town cluster. Middle-aged and older, high school and college-educated blue (age grey) collar maintainers. Upscale towns and ex-urban environs of large cities. Still 10% farming. Some management commuters. Older owned dwellings with some new subdivisions. Very good income for lower cost of living. Satellite Suburbs – Upper middle class, middle-aged maintainers of large families with children of all ages. Typically college-educated with grey collar and managerial occupations. Commonly two wage earners. Largely owned, heavily mortgaged, newer single-detached and other dwellings, 16% “ethnic”. Small City Elites – Small traditional families and older couples headed by middle-aged, welleducated managerial/executive maintainers. Children are typically over 6. Larger, singledetached post-1971 dwellings. Comfortable neighbourhoods in smaller cities and towns. Aging Erudites – Older, well-educated singles, couples and small families. Managerial and upscale white collar occupations. Single-detached and other predominantly `50s dwellings; 68% owned; 10% apartments. Mortgages are small. These people soak up culture. Town Boomers – Comfortable, relatively well-off, younger and middle-aged smaller families in towns and small urban areas. Education levels are modest but high for towns. Occupations are grey collar and white collar. Dwellings are typically newer, owned and single-detached. Most households have children. 48 2004 - Marketing Analysis Mid Island Co-op – Bowen Grocery Store 49 Old Towns’ New Fringe – Younger and middle-aged high school and especially college educated, grey collar, blue collar and government workers. Predominantly small families. Towns and fringes of small cities outside of Quebec. Mortgaged, moderately priced, newer, owned single-detached dwellings. Conservative Homebodies – A large cluster of predominantly older singles, couples and small families. Middle income derived from middle statues blue/grey collar occupations. Mainly lower education attainment. Dwellings are other, single-detached and dominated by `50s and `60s vintage, 12% Eastern European immigrants. Skewed to medium sized cities. Old Leafy Towns – Established stable neighbourhoods of older, single-detached, owned dwellings in the nicer residential areas of towns and townships. Maintainers age has a strong skew to 55+. Education and occupational status are quite mixed. Younger families with children are starting to move in. Nesters and Young Homesteaders – Old singles and couples, some younger couples and small families. Older neighbourhoods in towns and smaller cities outside of Quebec. Dwellings are mixed row housing and low-rise, singled-detached. Mostly rented. High school and college education. Grey collar and service occupations. Relatively low labour force participation. Aged Pensioners – Largely very old singles, some couples, renting small apartments, flats and other dwellings in in-town areas of small and medium-sized Canadian cities. Very low education levels. High unemployment and government transfer rates. Low-status, grey collar occupations by very low labour price participant. High mobility. Source: FP Markets – Canadian Demographics 2004 49