The $64 Question: Welfare Reform in New Jersey by Ted Goertzel and John Hart Note: a version of this paper appeared as "The Politics of Welfare Reform in New Jersey," in The Politics of Welfare Reform (Donald Norris, ed.), SAGE Publications, 1995. This is the original typescript and does not include any editing added by the book's editors. The welfare reform passed by the New Jersey legislature in January of 1992 received national attention because of the requirement that women who conceive and deliver an additional child while on AFDC be denied additional cash benefits for that child. This provision was of great political and symbolic importance, although its economic impact was expected to be modest. The approximately 95,000 women on welfare in New Jersey have about 1,000 births a month, of which about 300 are born to mothers who have been on welfare for 10 months or longer. Thus, this new provision affects less than 4% of the welfare mothers in the course of a year. Even for these mothers, the benefit loss is only $64 per month, a one-third of which is made up by a compensatory increase in food stamps. This new provision was strongly opposed by many liberal advocates and defenders of the poor, who saw it as a case of "blaming the victim." They denounced the "myth" that welfare recipients have additional children to receive the benefits. They locked in a bitter political struggle with New Jersey Assemblyman Wayne Bryant, the initiator and chief proponent of the reform. Bryant was adamant in insisting on this provision as a means of sending a message to welfare recipients that welfare must be temporary, not a way of life. He was certain that word of this change would spread instantly through the inner city community, and that it would encourage welfare mothers to take advantage of other features of the welfare reform which were designed to strengthen families and facilitate their entry into mainstream society. He insisted that opponents consider his Family Development Plan as a whole, not just focus on the one provision they found most objectionable. The New Jersey welfare reform is a remarkable case study in legislative entrepreneurialism by a single state Assemblyman. Wayne Bryant decided that the Family Development Plan was necessary, wrote the bills, brought them to the public's attention, persuaded the legislature to pass them and Governor James Florio to implement them. Bryant's status as an influential African-American Democrat whose district included the City of Camden, New Jersey's poorest city, denied the opposition the argument that the reform was motivated by racism or mean spiritedness. Many people who might otherwise have simply rejected such a proposal out of hand were forced to rethink their assumptions or at least temper their opposition because of Bryant's sponsorship. For example, human services advocate Catherine DeCheser, known throughout the state as a fiery advocate for the dispossessed, observed that : I'm afraid the philosophy behind Wayne's plan will pander to the bigots out there who feel they should limit the number of minority babies born - in any way they can. Some minorities see that as a form of genocide. On the other hand, I know Wayne cares deeply about the black family, and some 1 blacks tell me he's right and I'm wrong. They say I'm still stuck in a 60s mentality, when black entrepreneurship and responsibility are the way to go(Magyar, 1991). The "Bryant bills," as the legislation that created the Family Development Plan came to be known, were very much Wayne Bryant's personal project. As majority leader of the New Jersey Assembly, Bryant was an experienced and skilled political leader with a long record of advocacy for the poor. He lobbied tirelessly for his bill with the general public and in both the Assembly and the Senate. He won the strong support of then-Governor James Florio, a liberal Democrat from Southern New Jersey who had been his close ally throughout his political career. He traveled the state speaking eloquently about the need to liberate black and other poor New Jerseyans from the debilitating effects of the welfare system. The Family Development Plan was a comprehensive legislative package designed to help poor families take responsibility for their own lives. Requiring welfare recipients to meet with a case worker to agree on a comprehensive plan for the family as a whole, it promised long-term support for recipients who chose to continue their education, even through college. It also offered incentives to make it easier for women to marry without losing benefits. Bryant's intention was to expose welfare recipients to the same economic incentives that apply to the American middle and working classes. Politically, Bryant's proposals were most galling to two groups who seldom find themselves on the same side of an issue: feminists and Right-to-Lifers. His stress on the traditional two-parent family was offensive to feminists, fearing that such a mind set would force many women to become dependent on men who had been abusive or irresponsible. The Rightto-Lifers feared that the refusing to support additional babies conceived on welfare might lead to an increase in the number of abortions. This awkward alliance was made more difficult by a contradiction in the logic of their arguments: the feminists vehemently denied that women have babies to get additional benefits, while the right-to-lifers feared that the change in benefits would affect their decisions to carry pregnancies to term. Bryant's response to both arguments was that he simply wanted to help welfare recipients assume the same responsibilities and make the same choices as other Americans. APPROACH AND BACKGROUND This chapter will focus primarily on the politics of the Family Development Plan (FDP), since this unique initiative offers an important contrast to developments in other states and a useful alternative for national policy makers. Of course, we will place the FDP in the context of New Jersey's welfare history, and will also discuss developments after the FDP became law. The data for this analysis comes from a number of different sources. First, we interviewed a number of very knowledgeable political leaders and activists and several knowledgeable officials in state government. Assemblyman Wayne Bryant spent three hours answering our questions. We also collected available reports in newspapers and magazines, many of which are cited in the references to this paper. We also read the transcripts of the hearings conducted by the New Jersey Assembly at which a great many New Jersey citizens, including some recipients, testified. We incorporated the views of welfare recipients by conducting survey interviews and focus group discussions with welfare mothers in Camden, one of New Jersey's poorest cities with a large welfare population. Finally, we collected and analyzed voting statistics and the available data on the impact of the program. 2 As an affluent, liberal eastern state, New Jersey's welfare benefits are comparatively generous by national standards. The most important innovation in the period prior to FDP was the REACH program, which was passed under the administration of the liberal Republican governor Thomas Kean. When the REACH program (Realizing Economic Achievement) was introduced, it too was heralded as an innovative reform designed to correct the defects of the AFDC program. As recently as the Fall of 1989, former Republican Governor Thomas Kean praised REACH as a "workfare" plan requiring able-bodied recipients to "draw up a contract, a specific and detailed plan of action that spells out what the participant will do to help herself and her children get off welfare" (Kean, 1989: 70). Several participants in the public hearings on Bryant's proposed legislation observed that his Family Development Plan was actually quite similar to the REACH program in many respects. They argued that if REACH had failed, it was because of inadequate funding or ineffective implementation, not because of fundamental policy deficiencies. Bryant's argument regarding a shortage of resources to implement FDP is that there were many under used resources available. State institutions, such as universities, should make their services available to recipients free of charge because they are already being supported by the state. There is no need to create new schools and training program when the state already supported school systems in each community. These resources needed to be made available to welfare recipients on a priority basis with a minimum of additional funding. The success of Bryant's hopes to raise welfare recipients into the economic mainstream through education, then, was dependent on enthusiastic support from welfare workers and from people providing educational and support services throughout the state. Table 1 lists the key differences between two plans. Although the Family Development Plan was heralded as an important change, it is clear from the table that most of the differences are incremental and qualitative, not drastic or revolutionary. Participation must begin when a child is two under the FDP, while under REACH it began when the child was three. Under FDP the whole family is expected to prepare a "family plan," while under REACH this applied only to the recipient. College is included as an option under the FDP, and a recipient can continue to receive benefits if she marries a man who is not the father of her children. And, finally, the controversial FDP provision that a child conceived while the mother is on welfare will not lead to an increase in the family's grant. This became known as the "$64" clause, because the cash increase for a woman having an additional child was most frequently $64. Actually, the difference in net income was somewhat less than that because the food stamp allotment is automatically increased to partially compensate for the lower cash income. It is clear that the differences in the plans as implemented may turn out to be less than the differences on paper. On paper, the REACH program was originally intended to apply to all eligible AFDC recipients. In practice, many of its provisions were limited to federally approved target groups because of limitations in resources. It is likely that resources will continue to be limited, given the current political and fiscal realities in the state. Many welfare workers and officials believe that participation in educational and work programs should be voluntary; they may not make a strenuous effort to force compliance on the reluctant recipient, particularly if his or her work load is heavy and resources are scarce. Table 1 3 Comparison of FDP and REACH New Family Development Plan Old REACH/JOBS Plan Recipients with a child younger than two years Participation old is voluntary for recipients with a child must participate in counseling. under two years of age. AFDC recipients with a child two or more Recipients years of with a child three years of age or older age or older must participate in FDP activities. must participate, The in principle. In practice, assumption is that resources will be foundREACH/JOBS for all]. served primarily those in federal target groups. Failure to participate without good cause leads Failure to to participate without good cause leads to a reduction of benefits, a 90-day suspension reduction and of benefits for as long as six months. eventually termination. Each participant must develop a "family plan" Each participant must prepare an "employability including a written contract. The entire family plan" is and a written agreement. The plan focuses on included in the plan. the individual recipient. Job development and placement, counseling, Similar services are provided to recipients, but vocational assessment, educational, and training services extended to family members are much less services are provided for the recipient and comprehensive. family members. A high school diploma or equivalency is required Only recipients younger than 25 years of age must before assignment to vocational activity (unless acquire the a high school diploma. recipient is unable to complete it). One or more full time job specialists in each Nocounty such provision. to find and create jobs. Scholarships available for vocational training, Basic opportunity and Pell grants available, but community college or 4-year college programs. four year degree programs not supported. Support services include child care, transportation, The same services are provided with a 1-year 2-years extension of Medicaid eligibility. Medicaid extension if necessary because of earned income. A recipient's natural children may continue If to a recipient remarries, the new spouse may be receive benefits after she marries a man who included is not or excluded in the eligible unit. If the father, so long as the total annual income excluded, does part of the new spouse's income is deemed not exceed 150% of the poverty level. available to the eligible unit. A recipient who gives birth to another child AFDC will not benefits increase with an increase in family receive an increase in benefits. Working families size. Working families with an additional child with an additional child receive an additional receive an additional earned income disregard 4 earned income disregard. according to a different formula. Men on municipal general assistance (without This population participates only in a less dependent children) must enroll and participate. comprehensive general assistance employability program. Family resource centers to be established in Non-existent. each county to handle service delivery. When Governor Kean was replaced by Governor Florio in 1989, there was no reason to expect major changes in welfare policy. Welfare was not an important issue in the campaign, in which Florio defeated a much more conservative Republican candidate, James Courter. Although the formal evaluation of REACH was never completed because the funds were cut off, the legislature was convinced that REACH had not been successful. Indeed, the preface to the Family Development Act legislation began with a statement to that effect (see Table 2). New Jersey is an affluent state with a large suburban population. The welfare population is concentrated in older cities with large minority populations, especially Newark and Jersey City in the north, Trenton in the center of the state, and Camden in the south. The most promising effort to realize REACH's objectives, however, was in Atlantic City, where the new casino gambling industry had promised a substantial number of new jobs. An effort was made in Camden County, but the efforts for change in Newark, the city with the largest welfare population, were not impressive. ACHIEVING AGENDA STATUS Although New Jerseyans shared in the nation's concerns about welfare and the problems of the urban underclass, welfare reform was not a major topic in New Jersey at the beginning of the Florio administration. It became an issue entirely because of the political initiative of Wayne Bryant. Bryant first became concerned by the long lines that formed outside Camden banks on "Mother's Day" (the first day of the month when welfare checks were available). He succeeded in getting legislation passed to have checks paid throughout the month instead of all on one day, but the Kean administration never got around to implementing it. It was finally implemented in 1993. Prior to this effort, welfare had not been a focus of Bryant's legislative work. When he entered the New Jersey Assembly in 1981, he steered away from the assignments that might have been stereotypically expected of an African-American legislator. He thought he could be more effective by working on committees that had major economic impacts. He was successful in writing major initiatives, such as the Urban Enterprise Zone legislation, the Health Care Reduction Act, the Insurance Reform Act, and the Mt. Laurel Fair Housing Bill. It was not until 1992, 11 years since entering office that he decided it was time to use his accumulated political expertise and influence to reform the welfare system. Bryant drew on his own experiences and ideas in developing his proposals. He did not read the major academic works on the subject, nor did he consult extensively with experts in state government or elsewhere. It was clear that previous efforts had failed, and he felt that it was time for a fresh approach. Since the reform was Bryant's personal initiative, we can begin 5 our analysis with a summary of his key arguments for it. These arguments were made in speeches around the state, in interviews with journalists, in his own press releases (Bryant, 1991), and in a lengthy interview with the authors. Bryant often began his speeches with the dramatic assertion that welfare was a form of slavery. This was true because government dependents have no real freedom. The welfare system makes families dependent by forcing the men out of the home. He argued that welfare recipients are ingenious people, as proved by their ability to survive on a grant of $424 a month, and that they are capable of working for a living like everyone else. They need education and training to enable them to make a decent living in contemporary American society, where almost all jobs require at least a high school education. Welfare recipients must rejoin the mainstream of American society, where parents support the children. No employers, not even the most liberal ones such as the American Civil Liberties Union or the National Organization for Women, give their employees a raise just because they have another baby. If working Americans choose to have a baby, they may have to work additional hours to pay for the expenses. By making children a source of income, welfare has put recipients in a situation where their incentives are the opposite of those for other Americans. In Bryant's view, welfare recipients must be given the same choices and opportunities as other Americans, not treated as an inferior group unable to take responsibility for their own lives. THE POLITICS OF POLICY CHANGE When Bryant first presented his ideas, state welfare officials did not think they were likely to ever become law. His ideas had not evolved out of any governmental policy planning process and did not seem to be a priority with the Florio administration, nor did they seem to have widespread public support. Indeed, there seemed little reason to believe that they would ever be implemented. Yet, this "outside the system" beginning was actually a part of Bryant's strategy. Although Bryant had been close to Florio throughout Bryant's political career, he told Florio that he wanted to do this on his own. He was afraid that if he turned his proposals over to legislative committees or government staffers, they would be diluted and split into parts. He thought that the program would lose coherence if legislators picked only the most popular proposals. His strategy from the start was to present his entire Family Development Plan as a complete package, to be accepted or rejected as a whole. With the assistance of his staff, Assemblyman Bryant developed a public relations campaign to promote his plan as an innovative solution to the welfare problem. He wrote an oped piece that was distributed to local newspapers, personally visited the editorial boards of key regional newspapers, and scheduled a series of public legislative hearings around the state. He also solicited letters of endorsement from welfare boards and other groups on the county level. Almost all of these letters endorsed his plan except for the provision to deny benefits for additional children. In public, Bryant never evaded what he called the "$64 dollar question," but he always insisted on putting it into the context of the plan as a whole. He stressed the positive incentives included in the plan, especially the educational and training opportunities that would be offered, and the measures that would make it easier for a recipient to marry without losing benefits. He also declared that the REACH program had been a failure. Indeed, the preamble to the 6 legislation asserted the failure of REACH. The Public Hearings. The differing views about the legislation were articulated most succinctly in public hearings held at several locations around the state. The hearings provided an opportunity for interested citizens to express their concerns to legislators. Many citizens came with carefully prepared statements expressing their points of view at considerable length. Assemblyman Bryant attended these hearings, together with Assemblyman George Otlowski, Chairman of the Assembly Health and Human Services Committee. The following section is a summary of the debate at the hearings held at Trenton, Newark and Stratford in July and October of 1992, as recorded in the minutes of the sessions. First, the kinds of people and groups that chose to speak at the hearings were representatives of community advocacy and religious groups, county and municipal political leaders, and representatives of statewide liberal advocacy groups such as the NOW Legal Defense and Education Fund, the Association for Children of New Jersey, Legal Services of New Jersey, the Lutheran Office of Governmental Ministry, the American Civil Liberties Union, the New Jersey Catholic Conference, the National Association of Social Workers, the I Have a Dream Foundation, and the Black United Fund of New Jersey. In addition, there were a few representatives of state government agencies, including the Department of the Public Advocate and the Department of Health and Welfare. Although some theorists (e.g., Piven and Cloward, 1971) believe that welfare policy represents the interest of the business class, no businessmen or representatives of business groups spoke at any of the hearings from which we have been able to obtain transcripts. Nor have we found that business interests played any significant behind the scenes role in this decision making process. Rather than articulating the interests of different classes or groups in society, the debate focused on sociological, philosophical, and ideological differences of opinion among well-meaning people who were advocates for the poor. The majority of the speakers who addressed the issue opposed the denial of additional benefits. Perhaps the most adamant in opposing Wayne Bryant's proposal was Martha Davis, staff attorney for the NOW Legal Defense and Education Fund in New York City. In the written statement that Davis submitted, NOW cited legal precedents to argue that two key provisions of the legislation were discriminatory and unconstitutional: denying additional benefits for an additional child, and providing incentives to women who marry. Davis argued that these provisions were "an impermissible attempt to intrude on the private lifestyle choices of poor women." Bryant's response was that he "just came up with another way that folks could be responsible like the rest of us." He emphasized that the proposal gave recipients the chance to work and earn the money to support additional children if they chose to. Davis further objected that the provision that allowed women to marry and not lose benefits was discriminatory against unmarried women. Bryant responded that this provision was designed to parallel the situation in the larger society where a stepfather does not have to assume financial responsibility for children who are not his own. "Why aren't we willing to apply those same middle-class, working-class systems or programs we've already set up that work so beautifully -- or at least we claim they do in America, for everyone else," Bryant argued. "Why can't they apply within a system that we develop for who are trying to get out of poverty?" Davis objected, saying "I think you can't ignore the fact, sir, that people who are on AFDC 7 have very little resources and very little money." Bryant answered, "What I get annoyed at is some folks view the system as a permanent poverty system, and therefore they get their wealth from that system. They don't see it as a transitional system, so they come up with all kinds of rational reasons to stop it from changing." Benefits are given to married people and stepparents in the tax system, Bryant argued, so why not in the welfare system. Davis argued that the situation of impoverished people is different because of their paucity of resources, and that the state should give them additional opportunities, not provide "punitive financial incentives or disincentives as part of the subsistence welfare benefits." Davis and Bryant had their most bitter disagreement about the provision to deny benefits for additional children born while the mother is receiving welfare. Davis insisted that this provision created an illegal distinction among children. Bryant insisted that there was no legal entitlement to welfare, so that we had a lot of "latitude and longitude as to how you develop the system." Davis argued that this was "a basic human rights issue" and that it was "illegal and unconstitutional, and not good policy, either" for the state to punish people for behaviors that are perfectly legal, such as having children. She insisted that although there is no constitutional right to welfare, "there is a constitutional right to equity once welfare is available." These are subsistence benefits, she argued, and it is wrong for the state to deny funds people need to feed their children. Bryant objected vehemently, arguing that "working at McDonald's that have signs all over Newark and Camden -- and every place else -- for 15 hours a week, at the minimum wage today - 15 hours a month, you get more than you have on welfare. Why is it a problem to tell a person that if you make the mental decision to have a child -- I'm not stopping you from having it, you can have it -- that you might have to go spend 15 hours a week or work within whatever schedules, like you do and I do, and might work at McDonald's while we're also training you or educating you to do whatever you want to do? Why is that such a problem?" Many of the other speakers at the hearing made points similar to Davis and Bryant. Cecilia Zalkind, representing the Association for Children of New Jersey opposed denying benefits to additional children on the grounds that this would "penalize children." The Newark Council President, Frank Bell, thought that the Bryant's proposal "assumes that AFDC welfare benefits are a sexual stimulant, enticing men and women to make unwanted children. Clearly this is not the case." Many participants denounced the "myth" that women have children just to get the welfare benefits. Many perceived the denial of benefits for an additional child as government interference in family life. Margaret Woods, director of an alternative high school in Newark, questioned whether "the government has the right to dictate or regulate family size simply because a woman is poor and on public assistance." There was general support for the positive incentives provided in the reform, such as the Medicare extension, child care benefits, and training. There was some skepticism, however, that these positive benefits would actually be delivered. Reverend Willie Simmons, representing the Black Churches Homeless Program and several other groups, thought that there was really little difference between this program and REACH, and that neither met the basic problem, which was a lack of jobs. Bryant responded that REACH placed the primary emphasis on job training, with more fundamental education a secondary goal. Bryant said, "I reversed the spin. I say education is primary, and then we do job training." Bryant pointed out that his bill provided for 8 the opportunity to go to college, and that it stressed strengthening families. All of these were differences with REACH. Regina Purcell, speaking for the New Jersey Catholic Conference, was adamantly opposed to denying benefits for additional children. She argued that "in a worst case scenario, a mother could be put in the position of determining whether to abort her baby rather than attempting to spread her already meager resources to support another child." She called for increasing public assistance levels "so that those who are attempting to live on this assistance may do so with some measure of human dignity." The abortion issue was only occasionally mentioned in the debate about the New Jersey reforms, in the public hearings or elsewhere. New Jersey Right-to-Life opposed the bill, which put them and the National Organization for Women in the unusual situation of being on the same side of an issue. Perhaps both sides felt that highlighting the possibility that the bill would lead to an increase in abortions would split their ranks and distract attention from more potent arguments on which they were in agreement. In any event, they would have found it difficult to argue that it is a that myth welfare benefits encourage women to have children, but that they would abort them if they did not get a $64 increment. There were a few participants who supported Bryant's entire legislative package, or who were at least willing to give it the benefit of the doubt. Lloyd Oxford, of the Black United Fund of New Jersey, the leading black philanthropic organization in the state, stated that "we believe that Aid to Families with Dependent Children and other forms of public assistance represent a form of genocide that perpetuates a poverty culture in the black community. By design, the system is one that neither adequately prepares or equips recipients for social and economic survival after public assistance." He commended Bryant for initiating a far-reaching reform that "could potentially place the recipients on the road to self-sufficiency." He supported Bryant's program, including the measures intended to "discourage and prevent family expansions when it is not economically feasible for both the parents and their teenaged siblings." Reverend Philip Hirsch of the Camden Lutheran Parish, remarked that "I was first outraged at the proposal to cut AFDC to families having more children." He went out and spoke to many AFDC mothers and grandmothers, including one grandmother who had 19 children herself, and said that "the overwhelming consensus was that this particular benefit program was providing incentive to some young women to have more children. Many know that if they have a child, they will get a check." He commended Bryant's proposal, but felt that perhaps it was too sweeping and that the funding sources had not been evaluated thoroughly enough. The preponderant opinion at the hearings was to support the positive incentives in the new legislation, but to oppose cutting any benefits. This clearly reflected the views of the liberal advocates who attended, not public opinion in the state as a whole. Assemblyman Bryant showed no signs of being swayed by the disagreements presented; instead, he used the hearings as an opportunity to vigorously defend his own views. Welfare Ideologies. Excerpts from the public hearings show that the debate on the Family Development Plan fundamentally revolved around ideological differences. The issues that were raised are the same as those that motivate much of the national debate on welfare. In simplified form, welfare ideologies can be classified into three major schemas, all relevant to the New 9 Jersey debate, presented here: "Victims of the System" Schema: Poor people are victims of the defects of the American economic and social system. The pathologies observed among poor people are a consequence of racial, class and gender-based oppression. Unless the fundamental structure of American society is changed, the only solution is to give the poor more money and benefits to raise them out of poverty (Harrington, 1962; Piven and Cloward, 1971, 1991; Devine and Wright, 1993). "Welfare Dependence" Schema: The welfare system perpetuates poverty by giving people disincentives to work. The solution is to cut or restructure benefits so that people will find it worth their while to accept even minimum wage jobs. They will then acquire job experience and have an incentive to advance themselves (Murray, 1984). "Culture of Poverty" Schema: Poverty persists because people in poor communities have been socialized into value systems that deprecate traditional values such as the work ethic, sexual chastity, deferred gratification, and family responsibility. The solution is to advocate for these values while changing legal and social institutions and programs that tend to undermine them. In general, liberals and others most sympathetic to the plight of the poor have adhered to the victim of the system schema, which was eloquently advocated by Michael Harrington in the early 1960s and provided the impetus for the War on Poverty. Early versions of the culture of poverty schema were vehemently denounced by these liberals as "blaming the victim," a phrase popularized by William Ryan (1971). When the war on poverty failed to solve the problem, there was a swing of opinion towards the conservative Republicans who argued that the welfare system itself was the cause of the problem. This position was best articulated in Charles Murray's book Losing Ground (1984), which was bitterly attacked by liberals (see Devine and Wright, 1993). The cuts that the conservatives imposed on benefits, however, also failed to solve the problem. Most recently, there has been a revival of the culture of poverty schema, which some people believe was the missing element in both the liberal and conservative schemas (see Magnet, 1993). Wayne Bryant's Family Development Plan is most consistent with the culture of poverty and welfare dependence schemas. He sees the welfare system as a root cause of the poverty and dependence of poor people, particularly African Americans in inner city ghettos, such as the Camden constituency he represents. He believes that a culture of poverty has developed in these communities largely because people have been accustomed to depending on public assistance. His requirement that each family be required to meet with a social worker to draw up a family development plan is a straightforward attempt to teach the poor middle class cultural values such as responsibility for one's own future and the value of education. Liberals generally believe that the welfare dependence and culture of poverty schemas are rationalizations for racist and classist attitudes. Bryant's status as an African American and a prominent liberal Democrat, prevented them from using that means of attack on the Family Development Plan. Bryant's inclusion of expanded educational benefits in the plan showed that his goal was to bring underclass citizens into the middle class. As Steve Adubato (1991) commented in the Trenton Times: If a white legislator, especially from a middle class suburban district, proposed the same exact welfare reform, he or she might be called a 'racist' or a 'welfare basher.' But right or wrong, the fact that the proposal comes from Bryant, who has proudly and effectively 10 represented poor inner city constituencies, makes his effort even more credible and courageous. Adubato, a Rutgers instructor, television commentator, and former Democratic state legislator, as well as a newspaper columnist, reflected the thinking of many liberals who did not sympathize with crude welfare bashing, but also had doubts about the current system. While growing up in a working class ethnic neighborhood in Newark, hardly a day would go by that I didn't hear someone make a negative reference to some lazy so-and-so on welfare... While never publicly agreeing with this criticism of welfare, I privately had questions about it. Isn't there good reason to question a system of doling out taxpayer dollars to certain folks who are able-bodied and women who continue to have children knowing full well that the rest of us have to pick up the tab? Yes, even "progressive" thinking people have their questions about welfare. Of course, Bryant's proposal also appealed to people whose objections to the welfare system were less tempered with "progressive" sensibilities. In the mass media, the element of the plan that received by far the greatest attention was the denial of benefits for additional children. This was clearly a popular measure among middle class white voters. Governor Florio bragged about this element of the Bryant welfare reform - and no other - in television advertisements and debates in his 1993 re-election campaign. Some people suspected that Bryant included the "$64" provision as a sop to conservatives who might not otherwise have supported his reform package; Bryant vehemently denied this was the case. In fact the "$64" provision was passed with the smallest margin of all Bryant's bills in the New Jersey legislature. Many legislators had grave doubts about the cutting of benefits for additional children, but they favored the other elements of the plan and they trusted Bryant's motives. Most importantly, they recognized that the current welfare system wasn't working, and were eager to support something different and innovative. Bryant was able to persuade enough of them to swallow their doubts about this provision to put together a narrow majority to pass the bill in the New Jersey legislature. Wayne Bryant: A Portrait. Because this reform was so much the personal initiative of Assemblyman Wayne Bryant, it is important to understand his social roots and his personal style (Heidorn, 1991). Although Bryant's legislative district includes the city of Camden, it also includes a number of white working class and middle class suburbs and the suburb of Lawnside where Bryant lives. Lawnside has been an African American community since before the Civil War, when the Quakers in the adjoining town of Haddonfield helped to resettle escaped slaves from the southern states. The population of 3,000 is 99% black, but the town is surrounded by predominantly white communities and Lawnside students attend an integrated high school. Most of the residents are small businesspersons, skilled workers, professionals, or civil servants. Bryant's own family settled in Lawnside in the 1780s, and he is the senior partner in a successful law firm. A tall, trim, middle aged man with close cropped hair and goatee, Bryant is very much a member of New Jersey's Democratic establishment. His grandfather was calendar clerk in the Assembly in 1925, and his uncle Horace was commissioner of banking and insurance in the Hughes administration. His father was an Internal Revenue Service employee, and served as 11 President of the Lawnside school board after his retirement. His brother Mark is mayor of Lawnside. His son is a marketing major at Howard University. Bryant feels that living in Lawnside has contributed to his and his family's success. Lawnside has been controlled by blacks since it was incorporated in 1922, and the residents have felt responsible for their own affairs. He observes that: Lawnside has no slums, and it's not that everybody's rich. It is because of their own selfdetermination. I have a tremendous feeling that given the opportunity, the power over your own destiny, any group of people will act basically the same (Heidorn, 1991). Bryant attended Howard University, graduated from Rutgers Camden Law School in 1972, and became involved in Democratic Party politics. In 1979, then-Congressman Jim Florio recruited him to join in a struggle against Camden Mayor Angelo Erichetti for control of the Camden County Democratic Organization. The Florio forces were victorious, in large part because Erichetti was caught by federal agents accepting a bribe in the Abscam sting operation. Bryant won a seat on the Camden County Board of Chosen Freeholders, then moved up to an Assembly seat when one became vacant. In Trenton, Bryant has a reputation for being a bit aloof or even arrogant. One Republican Assemblyman, who chose to remain anonymous, described Bryant's attitude on the floor as: "curt, quick, `I'm in charge and screw you.' He does have that air of being in control. There's nothing wrong with that, but there are times when he could be a little humble." (Heidorn, 1991): Another Republican Assemblyman, John Rocco of nearby Cherry Hill, however, says that Bryant is friendly on a one-to-one basis, but: "the only time you see that so-called arrogance or rigid philosophical position come out is when he's defending his position on bills dealing with Camden."(Heidorn, 1991): Bryant responds: Why some people believe that I'm stubborn, or think that I have an air about me, is because I make them face some of the realities of their own bigotry in terms of how they've treated what I call the least of us, the poor. I also think people feel I'm arrogant because I do have a bottom line. I am not a politician that believes in compromise, compromise, compromise (Heidorn, 1991). Although Bryant's Fifth District includes the City of Camden, its population overall is only 30% black. Bryant works closely with Senator Walter Rand and Assemblyman Joseph Roberts, the two other legislators from the district, who are both white. They campaign as a team and Bryant is proud that he often runs slightly ahead of his teammates, all quite secure in the strongly Democratic district. They have been quite successful promoting the district's interests to the state. Their most recent accomplishment was in getting funding for a $52 million state aquarium, recently opened on the Delaware River in Camden. Bryant is criticized by some activists in Camden for being closely associated with the establishment. They feel he should do more for the neighborhoods in Camden, instead of focusing on glamorous projects such as the aquarium. He insists he does what he can, and that the aquarium would have been built somewhere else if he and his colleagues hadn't made sure Camden got it. Bryant has also been criticized for using his legislative clout to win large campaign 12 contributions, and for using his political connections to win contracts for his law firm with state and local governments. He argues that his law firm actually suffers because he spends so much time in Trenton, and his supporters insist that his activities are well within the traditional norms and legal guidelines for New Jersey politics. U.S. Representative Robert Andrews describes Bryant as part of the "second wave" of black politicians. He says that (Heidorn, 1991): Wayne is sort of like the Bill Gray of New Jersey in that he's got the same emotional and political commitment to that movement but he's got the skills and legislative expertise and political savvy to build on that.(Heidorn, 1991): Some feminist critics see Bryant's proposal as representing a male-oriented point of view, in contrast to the position advocated by groups such as the National Organization for Women, which is eager to defend the rights of female-headed families. NOW's Martha Davis, for example, believes that the New Jersey, Wisconsin and similar reforms are based on the "common theme...that women who form female-headed families should be controlled through a system of government-sponsored economic penalties and rewards that condition their very survival on their marital and childbearing choices" (Davis, 1991). She sees these measures as a violation of women's constitutional rights. By contrast, Wayne Bryant seeks to restore authority to fathers who are denied their traditional role by a welfare system that makes them hide from caseworkers so that the family can get benefits. "I call him the invisible man," Bryant says of the father of children on AFDC. "The reason for that is the system is designed so he cannot become visible" (Moran, 1991). Bryant's plan includes incentives for women who marry men who are not the fathers of their children, since he believes it is unfair and unrealistic to expect these men to be able to pick up the expenses for children who are not their own. NOW interprets these provisions as discriminating against women who choose to remain single. Sociologically, Bryant's proposal can perhaps best be seen as an expression of the sentiments of the growing African American middle class. Middle class blacks, in New Jersey as elsewhere, often express frustration with people who remain dependent on welfare year after year. They feel that opportunities are available for African Americans who finish school, delay child bearing, and work hard even though they may sometimes have to struggle to overcome barriers of prejudice and discrimination. Bryant vehemently disagrees with white liberals who believe that poor black people cannot be held responsible for their own occupational, educational and family planning decisions. He believes that these affluent liberals are distant from the people they claim to represent, and do not really understand them. He purposely scheduled several of his hearings on the Family Development Plan in inner city locations, knowing that these advocates would be fearful of visiting these neighborhoods. Despite the opposition of some vocal liberal groups, Bryant's reforms have been popular with the general public. In a South Jersey survey conducted by the Forum for Policy Research in March, 1993, 80% of the respondents supported the new policy of denying additional cash benefits to recipients for additional children. This included 55% of the black respondents and 52% of the Hispanics, as well as 89% of the white respondents. 13 The Vote. The Bryant bills were passed by New Jersey's 204th legislature during the very last days of its term, in January 1992. In November, 1991, the voters had expressed their fury against Democratic Governor Jim Florio by voting a large number of Democratic Legislators out of office. The next legislature would be Republican-controlled, with Wayne Bryant serving as Minority Leader. Bryant's proposals were presented to the legislators in six separate bills as shown in the Table 2: Table 2 The "Bryant Bills" Assembly Bill 4700 - Establishing the basic framework of the "Family Development Act" including the provisions described above in Table One. The text states that "the REACH program has failed to provide a viable programmatic approach to the increasing problem of welfare dependency in New Jersey, with its attendant features of broken families and wasted lives. A new more comprehensive approach...is required." Assembly Bill 4701 - Establishing a comprehensive 24-hour social services information hotline, to more effectively provide services for individuals with multiple needs with a single phone call. Assembly Bill 4702 - Providing for AFDC eligibility for otherwise eligible children whose mother has married a man other than their father. The text states that "this bill is intended to encourage marriage and family stability among AFDC recipients..." Assembly Bill 4703 - Providing that no further benefits be paid to women having an additional child while on AFDC, but increasing their earned income disregard. The text states that "This bill is intended to discourage AFDC recipients from having additional children during the period of their welfare dependence, while at the same time giving an incentive to work to those families that do have additional children..." Assembly Bill 4704 - Directing the Department of Human Services to provide full benefits to two parent families. The text states that "currently, these families suffer a reduction in their AFDC benefits, which serves as a disincentive to maintaining family unity..." Assembly Bill 4705 - Establishing a Council on Community Restoration to advise the governor on neighborhoods to be targeted for demonstration projects. 14 Each of the 40 legislative districts in New Jersey elects one Senator and two Assemblymen. Passing a bill requires an absolute majority of both houses. The formula to pass legislation is 21 (Senate votes) plus 41 (House votes) plus the governor's signature. Abstentions have the same practical effect as negative votes, but allow legislators to tell their constituents that they didn't vote against a measure. The final votes on the Bryant's bills were as follows: House (1/8/92): 4700 4701 4702 4703 4704 4705 Senate (1/13/92): 4700 4701 4702 4703(6:18 p.m.) 4703(7:00 p.m.) 4704 4705 Yea Nay Not Voting 56 3 21 49 12 19 58 5 17 49 4 27 56 2 22 46 18 16 13 22 29 27 28 26 4 4 0 26 1 1 0 23 14 11 1 12 11 14 13 The real drama was on bill 4703 in the Senate, the provision to deny additional benefits to women who have additional children while on AFDC. Too few Senators were prepared to pass this bill when it first came up, so Walter Rand, the Senator from Bryant's Fifth District, "moved that the bill lost," a parliamentary maneuver which allowed him to bring it up again later. In the 42 minutes between 6:18 p.m. and 7:00 p.m., Assemblyman Bryant left his seat in the middle of an Assembly debate and strode down the hall to the Senate to personally lobby for the bill. Although the bill had received only 13 positive votes the first time around, three Senators told Bryant that they were prepared to vote for the bill but had simply not been able to do so at 6:18. To the best of Bryant's recollection, they were Senators Edward O'Connor, Thomas Cowan and Carmen Orechio. When a bill is opened for voting at the New Jersey legislature, the votes are tallied on a board with green lights for Yea votes and red lights for Nay. The board quickly showed 18 green lights, so Bryant was able to tell other Senators that he just needed three more to go over the top. Bryant remembers talking in depth with Senators John Russo and Wynona Lipman, who represent opposite poles ideologically but both of whom he knew well. He also spoke to Senators Phillips and Robert Menendez, to whom he had not had a chance to speak to personally about the bill. In addition to Bryant's personal lobbying, strong pressure in support of the bill was applied by Governor Florio, who sent two of his stop staff members, chief of staff Joseph Salema and management and policy director Brenda Bacon, an African American, to join Bryant on the Senate floor. Florio's counsel for legislation and policy, Greg Lawler, lobbied senators in the hallway. 15 On emerging from the Senate floor, Brenda Bacon summarized the argument she had used: I think that there are merits to tying responsible behavior to welfare benefits. I think that is a philosophy a lot of people are coming to believe is important in breaking the cycle of poverty (Hooker, 1992). After the vote, Bryant (Chicowski, 1992) explained that he had to "explain it to the senators so they understood that it was part of the theme of responsibility that ran through all the bills they had just passed." Bryant thought that: Some senators didn't understand. This package offers both help and responsibility to improve the quality of life of welfare recipients, and you can't take the linchpin of responsibility out of the package (Magyar, 1992). Four Senators had voted against the plan at 6:18 p.m.: One was Louis Bassano, a Union County Republican who told the Senate: "In good conscience, I can't support this. What you are doing with this legislation is taking money from children who need that help" (Leusner, 1992). He argued that: "The money that's given to a mother is money that's given to support her child - not her" (Associated Press, 1992). Another was Richard Codey, a Democrat whose District includes the Oranges and part of Newark and has a majority Black population. He also did not want to "penalize children ... who didn't ask to be brought into this world." The third was Ronald Rice, a Democrat whose District includes Irvington and parts of Newark. At one point in the debate, Brenda Bacon and Wayne Bryant flanked Senator Rice, and Bryant knelt beside Rice in a prayerful pose. Despite this effort, Rice remained adamant and voted Nay. Last was John Russo, a Democrat whose District is located along the New Jersey coast. Russo was best known for his conservative views on capital punishment and other legal issues. Russo had not run for re-election in 1991, and was retiring as a state Senator. He had argued against the bill in caucus, and voted against it at 6:18. When the measure came up for the second vote, he rose to explain his change of heart to the Senators. He had been concerned that the bill would penalize unborn children, but had been persuaded that "I alone shouldn't block this effort". Russo was a thoughtful and influential Senator, and he explained his change of vote in full after the session: I voted against the bill the first time because, while I understood the message we wanted to send, I was concerned that poor children would be hurt. I was concerned that because of the mother's actions, we would be punishing the child. When a little less money comes in, there might be a little less food and a little less heat. But then Wayne Bryant and Brenda Bacon made the pitch that black people are never going to get off welfare unless we take this kind of approach. It would have been different if two rich white officials were making this argument. But who am I to tell people like Wayne and Brenda who live in Camden County what to do for black kids? And who am I to block this reform they believe in so deeply from going through? (Magyar, 1992). At the crucial 7:00 p.m. vote, Russo swallowed his reservations and voted Aye. Bassano, Codey and Rice were joined in voting Nay by Republican Senator James Cafeiro of Wildwood, 16 who represents the First District at the southern tip of New Jersey, a low-density coastal region with a high proportion of retired residents. Cafeiro had not voted at 6:18; thus the total Nay votes remained at four. Overall, the final votes on Assembly Bill 4703 broke down along Party lines as follows: Yea Nay Not Voting House (1/8/92): Republicans 18 3 16 Democrats 31 1 11 Total 49 4 27 Senate (1/13/92): Republicans 3 2 12 Democrats 19 2 2 Total 22 4 14 Although this was not a strict party line vote, it is clear that the strongest support came from the Democrats, especially in the Senate. All ten of the Senators who abstained from voting on 4703 at the 6:18 vote but supported it at 7:00 were Democrats; three were retiring from the Senate. The strong support from the Florio administration made a crucial difference, even though Florio's negative image with the public had cost many of the Democratic legislators their seats in the recent elections. The bill was clearly a product of the Florio administration and the lame duck Democratic legislature, and one which Florio and the Democrats could use to appeal to suburban voters in campaigns to come. Many of the Republican Senators may have been reluctant to give the lame duck Democratic legislature the political credit for welfare reform. Their not voting rather than voting Nay may suggest a concern with political timing rather than ideological conviction. Despite its strong Democratic origins, the bill did receive the essential support of three Republican Senators and 18 Republican Assemblymen. It is difficult to detect a sociological pattern in the voting on these measures. Although most of the liberal speakers at the hearings thought of Bill 4703 as an assault on the poor, many of the legislators representing the state's poorest districts were apparently not convinced. The 29th District, for example, consists of the core of the city of Newark and has a 70% Black population. From this District, Senator Wynona Lipman and Assemblyman Jackie Mattison supported all of Bryant's bills, although Lipman abstained from voting on Bill 4703 at 6:18 p.m. Senator Lipman supported the measure even though she chaired the Commission on Sex Discrimination in the Statutes which had passed a resolution opposing the measure on the ground that it punished women and children (Commission, 1991). Assemblyman Willie Brown, the third legislator from the 29th District, on the other hand, did not vote on any of Bryant's measures. All three had been recently re-elected by overwhelmingly Democratic constituents. Bryant believes that his personal credibility carried considerable weight with Senator Lipman, as well as with Senator Russo and others with whom he had worked closely over the years. Statistically, there is some relationship between the socio-economic characteristics of the Districts and voting on Bill 4703. To obtain sufficient cases for a statistical analysis, we have combined the Senate and Assembly votes for a total of 120 votes (Bureau of Government Research, 1990, 1992). The votes on Assembly Bill 4703 broke down as follows: 17 Votes from Yea Nay or not voting Districts with: Fewer than 10% Blacks 53% 47% More than 10% Blacks 69% 31% (chi-square = 2.8, p = .09) Mean income under $15,000 71% 29% Mean income over $15,000 46% 54% (chi-square = 8.25, p = .004) The analysis suggests that support for Bill 4703 was strongest from the least affluent districts of the state, which also have a larger African American population. This goes against the expectations of many of the bill's opponents who viewed it as an assault on the low income population. However, this statistical pattern would be expected because the bill was largely supported by Democratic legislators, who come from the less affluent districts in disproportionate numbers. To try to untangle the causal links between socioeconomic characteristics of the districts, party affiliations of the legislators, and the vote on Bill 4703, we performed a multivariate analysis that is summarized in the path diagram in Figure 1. These path coefficients are based on the 120 legislative votes in both houses. The path diagram shows that, as expected, districts with more African Americans and lower median incomes were more likely to have Democratic representatives, and Democratic legislators were more likely to vote for the measure. However, controlling for the party affiliation of the legislator, median income had an independent effect on the vote, with legislators from higher income districts being less likely to support the measure. The path coefficient for the direct effect of percent black in the district is -.13, suggesting a weak tendency 18 for legislators from districts with more black constituents to vote against the bill once the effect of income and party affiliation are controlled. However, this coefficient is not statistically significant, so the best interpretation is that the racial composition of the districts had only a weak and ambiguous empirical relationship to voting on this issue. In short, the voting analysis shows that this was primarily a Democratic measure. It received somewhat greater support from legislators representing districts at the lower end of the socio-economic spectrum. Racial composition of the district had very little effect on the vote which undoubtedly reflects mixed feelings about a bill that was the pet project of a respected African American legislator, but that was questioned by some leaders from the black community. It may seem surprising that so many Republicans opposed a bill which was generally perceived, especially outside of New Jersey, as an anti-welfare measure. There are two explanations. First, the Republicans knew that they would be taking control of the legislature in a few weeks and that Governor Florio would be facing a difficult reelection campaign in only one year. They may have wanted to deny the Florio administration the opportunity to take credit for this bill during the campaign. Less cynically, many of the Republicans simply felt bad about taking money away from poor children. Senator Bryant believed that many of the Republicans (and Democrats) were quite sincere in this concern, and focused his lobbying effort on persuading them that this was a necessary part of a package which would benefit poor children. OPINIONS OF RECIPIENTS Much of the debate about the welfare reform revolved around its expected impact on the recipients. The Forum for Policy Research at Rutgers University in Camden, collected data from welfare mothers in 1992 just before the reform was implemented, and in 1993, after it had been in place for almost 1 year. The research methodology included focus groups and sample surveys in both years. Pre-reform focus groups. In the summer of 1992 we conducted two group interviews with mothers who were receiving public assistance and living in Camden. These women were selected from among our survey respondents, and were not members of any organized group. There is, of course, no assurance that they were statistically representative of the population receiving AFDC. Indeed, they themselves thought that fact that they were willing to come to Rutgers and participate in a group interview meant that they were among the better motivated of welfare recipients. They were, however, quite familiar with opinions and cultural patterns among welfare recipients in Camden, New Jersey's poorest city. They were, therefore, in a position to offer an informed judgment about the reform. The groups were equally divided between black and Latino respondents, and the smaller of the two groups was conducted in Spanish with entirely Latino women. There appeared to be significant differences in attitudes between the black and Hispanic women, as we will describe below. At the time the interviews were conducted, the welfare reform had been passed by the legislature, but it had not yet gone into effect. We explained the key provisions to the women, only a few of whom had heard about it, and asked for their reactions. They had many questions about what the reform would mean and expressed a range of opinions about its probable effects. One respondent thought that it was aimed at giving welfare recipients self-sufficiency: 19 "They want to give parents that's on welfare outlook of being self-sufficient, they don't have to sit around and wait on welfare, they gonna get out, go to job training school, or they'll put you in school." All thought this was a fine idea if it would work, but many respondents were skeptical that sufficient jobs could be found. One said, "I don't think there's enough job opportunities out there for all these welfare mothers." The respondents also questioned whether child care would be provided. Many felt that the system was obligated to compensate them for the extra effort and expense involved. One asked: "If they're going to do that are they going to supply the baby sitter services? ... What are you going to do for me if you tell me what do?" Mothers universally felt that two years of age was too young to leave their children with baby sitters or day care and go out to work or job training. They knew of cases when children had been abused by baby sitters or day care services and were very apprehensive about leaving their children at such a tender age. One remarked: "That age is too young, all baby sitters do not treat your children as you do, sometimes they mistreat them. They should raise the age to five." The Hispanic mothers agreed that mothers should not have to go out to work or school until the children reached school age, while the black mothers were willing to consider leaving children in day care at three since they get some educational advantages from it. In general, the Hispanic respondents seemed to be more oriented towards home and family and less interested in going out to work. They said that they loved having large families and had strong family values. One woman said: "in my opinion it is a pleasure to have children, I have twelve children and I am very happy with them...I have to wash clothes by hand, I don't have a washing machine, but I am happy with my children. `Where one person eats everyone eats' [an idiomatic expression] and clothing is always available. The money we get from welfare is not enough, but I've learned to stretch it." Although the welfare benefits are low, the women found it possible to supplement them. One women commented that: "We go on welfare because we need the assistance. The government knows the money we get is not enough to live. They force us to lie because to live we must find other ways of supplementing our income. We are forced to lie about a husband or boyfriend who helps with the expenses." They were unhappy with the fact that the fathers tended to be discounted by this system, 20 commenting that, "Fathers don't exist as far as school goes," and "children learn to discount their father as the system does." They were very skeptical, however, about the provision which would allow women to retain their benefits if they marry a man who is not the father of their children. They saw this as an assault against the family. One woman commented: "If I'm going to marry anybody if I'm still with my kid's father I would prefer to marry him than go with some other man so I can keep my benefits. That's stupid right there." Although the initial reactions were negative, the respondents seemed to have more enthusiasm for the new welfare system after talking about it for a while. One said "the law is good. We will learn to plan our children and consider how many children can I raise and give them what we want for them." Another said: "I agree with the new law but I feel the ones to suffer will be the children. Still I feel that it will motivate people to help themselves and not depend on anyone. Government should provide more employment. Many women would prefer to work. We should be able to provide for ourselves. What they give us in a month we could earn in a week." Others expressed fear that they would fail at job training, and thought that the real problem was providing more employment for people with limited skills. There was strong opposition to the proposal to cut off benefits if a woman has a second child while on welfare. The respondents thought that the real issue was getting the fathers to pay support. They had little sympathy for women who claimed they didn't know who was the father of their children. Comments included: "Don't do it to the mothers who can't come up with the father, there's a lot of them who say they don't know where the father's at. If you come into my office and say you don't know where he's at, then no." In general, the respondents argued that there were two kinds of welfare recipients: good recipients like themselves who were trying to be responsible and irresponsible women who simply exploited the system. They were especially disapproving of women who did not try to maintain a stable relationship with the father of their children. They felt that these women would never join a focus group or respond to a survey. Post-reform focus groups. Two focus groups were held in the summer and fall of 1993, after the reform had been in place for almost a year. The participants were long term welfare recipients with several children. Most had been on welfare since they first got pregnant in their teens or early twenties. Some had been on and off welfare during that period. When asked what they knew about the welfare reform, they immediately focused on the denial of additional benefits for additional children. Some of them misunderstood this provision as saying that one could only receive benefits for two children, but others understood it correctly. Some also knew of other provisions of the reform which allowed them to marry without losing benefits, or to earn additional money to support an additional child. The respondents believed that the change in the law might well have the effect of discouraging women from having additional children. They said they knew women who had children primarily to get the benefits. One remarked: "I have a girlfriend, when it comes time for one of her children to get off the grant she has another one. She is 42 years old and every time it comes time for someone to get off her grant, she has another one, to me that's just breeding them for the welfare grant..there's nothing wrong with her physically to make her get up off her butt and stop having babies 21 and get a job...for people like her, I think it's great." They saw little hope that the new law would have any effect on teenagers, however. Most of the women had themselves become pregnant as teenagers and dropped out of high school. With hindsight they agreed that this was a mistake, but they had little hope that teenage girls could be convinced of that. They felt that teenagers thought they knew what child care would be like because of their baby sitting experiences, and that they would not believe how hard it would be to be responsible for a child full time. One remarked "when I was 17 I was having too much fun to care, but when the baby came it raised me up real quick." Several of the women indicated that the change might discourage them from having an additional child. On the other hand, two of the focus group recipients had become pregnant since the plan came into effect. Both indicated that they had really wanted to have another child and had not been deterred by the change in welfare provisions. Remarks included: "it's only $64, how bad can it be." "If they let me work and make up that difference, I can make more than that a month...if they let me work I'll be fine." "I'm thinking how harder can it be them not giving me no more money, when the money that they're giving me I'm struggling with that. The only thing that'll be different is I'm gonna have another child, hopefully it's a boy so he can get the clothes from the first boy." Most of the respondents had been called into the welfare office to develop a family plan. They did not see this process as a major change in past practice, however, and they continued to refer to the office they were sent to as "REACH" rather than as the "FDP." They did not object to educational provisions in the program in principle, but they voiced many objections to the slowness and rigidity with which the program sometimes operated. Although they generally accepted the educational programs, it was clear that getting more education was not the first priority for most of them. When asked for their suggestions as to how the welfare system could be changed, their suggestions were mostly for ways to make life better on welfare, not for ways to help them get off it. The first concern was that welfare simply didn't pay enough money, so they all had to have a source of income on the side. Extra money came from husbands or boy friends, other family members, from working on the side, or from sharing housing expenses with a roommate not known to the welfare department. A major concern was the shortage of subsidized "Section Eight" housing. Those who had subsidized housing, as well as a cash grant a food stamps, were best able to survive. Otherwise, the cost of rent itself often exceeded the welfare grant. A major aspiration for the future is to move out of Camden to a suburban neighborhood where the schools would be better for their children. If they are unable to move, they would like to improve their current neighborhoods and schools. One respondent had been working two jobs in the hopes of achieving accumulating enough money to move. One job was from 7 in the morning to 5 at night, the other from 5 to 10. Her mother watched her child at this time. When asked if she was on welfare at the time, she replied "Yes, I was. You gotta beat the system." 22 Others remarked, "that's right, you gotta work" and "I know I'm going to beat the system every chance I get, I'm beating them now." One seldom discussed problem with the welfare reform may be that many women simply do not have time to go to school because they are working off the books as well as taking care of their children and homes. They would prefer a program which would allow them to work while receiving welfare or going to school. This is particularly true for those who do not have middle class career aspirations which would require extensive schooling. When asked what kind of work they would like to do in the future, for example, one woman commented that she liked factory work because it kept her from getting bored. If well paying factory work were available, she would prefer that to welfare. One told how much she enjoyed working in a typewriter ribbon factory: "You come home with stuff on your fingers and stuff and you come home and it makes you look like you was really working hard, you was doing something." One respondent stated that said that she enjoyed working, but that it simply did not pay her to leave welfare and work, given the wages that she could earn. Nevertheless, she hoped to get off eventually. Others, however, were bored with factory work and had aspirations for mobility into middle class jobs. One left a job in a factory because she "I just couldn't see packing pretzels for the rest of my life." For her, welfare provided an opportunity to get some support for going to school. Another had completed two years in a community college, and was eager to complete her degree. She wasn't working because the only job she had been able to get was as a personal care worker for elderly people, which she found distasteful. She commented: I didn't go to two years of college to clean nobody's butts, but when I got nothing that's what I ended up doing...it all depends on how desperate you are for a job, if they told me tomorrow you won't get a check next month, I would go back to cleaning people's butts." Most of the respondents felt that if welfare was changed so that they would be cut off after two years, they would be able to find some kind of employment so as to survive. However, they also felt that this would lead to a lot of unrest, with people "bombing city hall," and that a lot of people would go on disability if they couldn't get welfare. All the respondents agreed that dealing with the welfare office was distasteful. They found it humiliating to be asked how much money they had in their pockets at the time of the visit, or to be criticized for wearing a leather coat that a parent had given them for Christmas. They felt that the case workers often looked down on them and they didn't necessarily follow correct procedures or limit themselves to the questions on their forms. They found it irritating to be told they had to sell their life insurance policies or hide personal possessions in order to receive a check. One remarked, "welfare wants you to do what they want to do, I want to do what I want to do." Other complaints reflect little more than irritation about the appropriate enforcement of system rules, e.g., "they cut me off for not going to meet the case manager." A woman who had become pregnant with her second child when her first was seven years old, reported the following exchange with a case worker: [case worker] "you sure waited a long time...well you made a bad choice because you can't get no more money...how are you going to take care of two kids... [recipient] "I asked, is that on that paper, ask me the questions that are on the 23 paper...treat me with respect...I hate going in there." On the other hand, some had case workers who helped them get around the regulations. One reported that her caseworker had told a relative that she could have her own check if she got a different address from her mother. She didn't have to actually move, just bring in an envelope mailed to her at a different address. Several respondents felt that the welfare department should provide help with child care and transportation costs if a woman should find a job on her own, even if it did not come through the formal program. Others reported that they had only gone on welfare in the first place because they couldn't find child care or afford medical insurance, e.g., "When I went on welfare I had two jobs, I couldn't go back because I didn't have day care for my daughter..." While the respondents found the welfare department too intrusive in their own lives, they thought that the department should do more to demand good behavior from women who spend their money on drugs or men and don't take care of their children properly. When asked how welfare should be changed, they volunteered the idea that case workers should go into the homes to make sure that there is food in the refrigerator, that the children are well clothed, and so on. They thought that there should be mandatory random drug testing. They felt that the welfare system encouraged women who were irresponsible and made no effort to take care of themselves. Another objection was that the welfare system encourages families to break up. One woman was eager to get back with her husband, who was eager to come to his family, but they simply could not afford to live on his salary. He paid child support and gave her money on the side as well, and they maintained a monogamous sexual relationship. Another had a relative who filed for legal separation from her husband so as to get benefits, although they actually continued to live together. When we raised the issue of whether women should be required to give the welfare officials the name of their baby's father, many felt that this should not be done as long as he was helping out financially. "I figure if the man is helping you, then welfare will have nothing to do with that...if the man ain't helping you they should say, this man shouldn't be there." Another's philosophy was "If the man is there helping you, you can say it was a one night stand, you shouldn't have to turn him in...when he fucks up, then you turn the fucker in." A major disincentive to listing the father is that if a man pays child support through the welfare department, the welfare department keeps most of the money. One woman objected that "he paid $75 a week and you get only $50 a month." On the other hand, others observed if a man is paying informally "they can just decide not to give you nothing..." Also, he may have children with another woman, and she will get priority if she has formally listed him as a father. And finally, if he should die, it is almost impossible to get disability payments from social security if he was not formally listed as the father before his death. All in all, the consensus was that it was better to have the father listed with welfare, but to encourage him to pay as much support as possible on the side. IMPACTS In New Jersey, welfare programs are administered by county government, following federal and state guidelines. This meant that implementation of the Family Development Program was more complex than it would have been if it had been a single state program, but it also allowed for flexibility to adjust to conditions in differing regions of the state. 24 Implementation began in October, 1992, in the three New Jersey counties with the largest welfare populations. This priority of implementation was specified in the legislation, because Assemblyman Bryant did not want to see a repetition of the REACH experience where the major implementation effort was in Atlantic County where the task was easiest because of funds made available by the newly established casino gambling industry. He wanted to tackle the most serious problems first, and the Florio administration agreed. The other counties were added in steps throughout the next year. The implementation efforts varied greatly from county to county. Essex county has a third of New Jersey's welfare recipients, mostly concentrated in the city of Newark. Its welfare officials were resistant to the FDP, on both practical and ideological grounds. They thought that they were simply too burdened with the routine tasks of giving out benefits, and objected that many of their clients were simply not employable. Wayne Bryant engaged in several heated conversations with them during the course of the program. When they objected that some of their clients couldn't find work because they could only read on a third grade level, for example, Bryant explained that they didn't have to find work immediately. Their plan could be to learn to read on a 8th grade level, then to go on to high school, and perhaps then on to work. The Newark officials felt they were too burdened with emergency needs to focus on such long term goals. Ideologically, they argued that the welfare system should be revised to provide an adequate standard of living for women who are victims of the system. It should not be used to force them to change their family plans. Essex County has a "generic caseworker" system in which a single caseworker is responsible for all aspects of a client's needs, including both eligibility assessment and the kinds of services that REACH and FDP offered. These caseworkers were primarily concerned with keeping their error rates under 5% in order to meet federal audit requirements. Although the State Department of Human Services sent additional funds to cover FDP activities, it was simply never used. New caseworkers were never hired to take on the activities. Essex County officials stated that they simply lacked the resources to adequately implement the program. Finally, the State announced a "partnership" which largely took responsibility for the FDP out of the hands of Essex County officials. Under this "partnership," requests for proposals were issued to Essex County community organizations, asking them to bid to take responsibility for aspects of the program. One RFP offered $1,140,000 for an agency to take over the case management functions, with an additional $400,000 for child care. The other created a pool of $4,949,000 dollars for organizations to provide services such as vocational assessment and counseling, education and employmentdirected activities, job search, community work opportunities, occupational or vocational education, higher education, on the job training, work supplement programs, and job readiness. Eligibility to bid on these RFP's included for-profit and non-profit organizations, anyone who could get the job done. While this may not seem like a lot of money for a county with 30,000 welfare cases, the problem had not been a shortage of money but the inability of officials to spend the money which had been allocated. This upset the leaders of a number of community organizations, who felt that their constituents were being denied benefits to which they were entitled. By offering these groups a chance to bid for the money themselves, the state was doing an end run around the 25 county bureaucracy, and building a constituency for the FDP. The implementation in Camden county, Wayne Bryant's home base, was a complete contrast to that in Essex county. In Camden county, the REACH program had always been organizationally separate from the Welfare Department, and it had a tradition of aggressively implementing policy initiatives. The administrator, William Maguire, was strongly committed to making the FDP a success. They began preparing family plans immediately, at a rate of about 400 plans a month. Camden county opens 4000 new cases a year, so even at this rate it will take time before their total client base of 15,000 families is enrolled. Most of the activities mandated by the FDP were also included in REACH, and clients still think of themselves as going to the REACH office. Our independent survey of welfare mothers in Camden confirmed that most were aware of the reform, and that many had been asked to participate in it. In particular, about half of the respondents reported that they had been asked to take part in educational activities. Participation in educational activities is the first major change that the program would be expected to have on participants' lives. The implementation in Hudson County may not have been quite as aggressive as that in Camden County, but it has gone reasonably well. Other counties, in which the welfare population is smaller, have adapted the program to their own histories and organizational structure. In Cumberland county, training is offered on the welfare department's own site, and participation is very high. In Atlantic County, the case managers are in the County Welfare Offices, while other services are outstationed in schools in keeping with a program which had been established before FDP. Passaic county also bases the program in the County Welfare Offices. In statewide statistics, the major change since the implementation of the FDP has been a much greater emphasis on enrolling clients in educational programs, rather than shorter term job readiness or training programs. There is also some increase in the percentage of recipients receiving benefits as members of couples rather than as single mothers, which Bryant interprets as a sign that the FDP is succeeding in strengthening some families. However, these statistics are preliminary and a great deal of work needs to be done just to get the data processing systems into shape to produce definitive statistics. Slowness in the data processing systems have also hampered full implementation of the reforms. A year after the program was formally implemented, for example, the state's computers had still not been reprogrammed to handle the 3000 Camden county cases which were not eligible under REACH, but were under FDP. It is too early for a definitive assessment of the impact of the reform on the recipients. August 1, 1993, was the first month in which the "$64" provision might have had an impact. Preliminary results were announced by the New Jersey Department of Human Services during the 1993 election campaign, apparently in the hope that they would help in Florio's reelection campaign. Officials were careful to emphasize that these were preliminary figures which would need to be verified over a long period of time. Critics (Laracy, 1994) objected that proponents of the New Jersey reform were too eager to draw conlcusions on the basis of preliminary figures. They speculated that some of the decrease may have been due to increased delays in reporting of births. 26 At the time of this writing, figures are available through February of 1993, and they show a consistent month-by-month decline in the birth rate among New Jersey's AFDC recipients (Figure 2). The figures for August and September in this Figure are as complete as they ever will be. These figures suggest that women may indeed be having fewer babies because of the change in the law. However, it may also be that some woman are not be reporting new babies in the mistaken impression that to do so would imperil their existing grant. Actually, however, it is to their benefit to report new children so as to obtain medicare coverage and food stamps for the new child. It may take time before all recipients fully understand and believe the fact that their existing grant is not in any way jeopardized by reporting a new baby. There may also be some increased delays in updating the records within the Department of Family Development. Despite these provisos, the best data suggests that there has been some decline in the birth rate in response to the change in the law. Officials also reported that there was no increase in the number of abortions reported during these months, although the data on abortions are also soft. The department also reported that 3,683 recipients got full-time jobs at an average wage of $6.29 and left welfare. They attributed this change to the welfare reforms. Wayne Bryant was pleased by this report, commenting "the numbers show that the reforms are encouraging public-assistance clients to get out of the welfare trap and attain self-sufficiency and self-respect" (Superville, 1993). Preliminary feedback from focus group interviews conducted by the Department of Human Services, suggests that most women do not view the $64 itself as the most important factor in changing their life plans. They are more concerned with the availability of subsidized housing, and work and training opportunities. Welfare reform was a minor issue in the gubernatorial election between Florio and Republican challenger Christine Todd Whitman. A New York Times survey showed that only 1% of voters included welfare among the issues they most wanted the next governor to concentrate on (New York Times, 1993), and the candidates naturally focused on higher priority issues such 27 as taxes, crime and economic recovery. Whitman was approached by the New Jersey National Organization for Women chapter in the hopes that she would denounce the "$64" provision. NOW was naturally predisposed to support a candidate who might become New Jersey's first woman governor, but they were concerned about her position on welfare and other issues. The most she would give them was a statement that she was "open to alternatives" on welfare. She went on record as supporting the Bryant reforms. Her openness to alternatives was enough to persuade a 19 to 18 majority of the state board of NOW to vote to "recommend" Whitman (but not to "endorse") her (LeDuc, 1993). NOW President Myra Terry said that Whitman might have received a full endorsement if she had pledged to overthrow the $64 provision, but she refused to do so. There was considerable division within the 12,000 member organization, as Florio was viewed as generally more liberal despite his support of the "$64" provision, while Whitman had ties to conservative Republican circles. The South Jersey chapter voted to endorse Florio, reflecting strong pro-Florio sentiment in his home region. The President of the Morris County NOW chapter, Beth Hess, denounced the Whitman recommendation as "utterly stupid," claiming that Florio was "a better feminist" and that Whitman was a member of the "WASP elite" who makes "a mockery of our claims to multicultural sensibilities" (Lopez, 1993). Pre-election surveys showed Florio running more strongly among women than among men, perhaps because of his greater commitment to funding social programs (LeDuc, 1993b). Whitman's campaign revolved around a promise to cut taxes, a promise which Florio labeled as unbelievable. She did not appeal specifically to women for support. Rather than relying on the Bryant reforms as a campaign issue, the Florio administration announced a series of new welfare reform proposals in September 1993. These were developed by his political staff, and emphasized politically popular issues. The key provision was a requirement that welfare mothers be cut off from benefits if they refused to provide the name of their baby's father. Florio presented this as a proposal to require parents, not taxpayers, to pay for child support. Whitman's gut reaction to Florio's proposal was negative, and she denounced it in strong terms, arguing that "The Governor is playing to the most vicious stereotype of a welfare recipient in the most demeaning and degrading way possible. What is the Governor's next idea in his headlong rush to embrace extreme right-wing radicalism? A program of tattoos for welfare mothers? A badge sewn onto their clothing identifying them as welfare recipients? Creation of colonies like leper colonies, where welfare recipients would be forced to live?" (Norquist, 1993) Whitman's stance on this issue received very negative commentary on newspaper and television editorials, however, and as one reporter observed "Whitman reversed herself several days later after she and her staff realized the obvious. The plan played well with many financially hard-pressed, middle-class voters" (Mondies, 1993a). She explained that she had been misinformed about the details of the plan, which did allow an exemption for women who were raped or who honestly did not know the name of the father. In her debate with Florio, Whitman pointed out that only 1% of welfare mothers currently do not provide the father's name, a statistic which had been distorted by the Florio campaign. Florio's proposal was 28 probably intended primarily for campaign rhetoric, since no additional resources were provided for child support collection. The state already has a large backlog of fathers who are behind in their payments and whose names are known, but there is insufficient staff to follow them up. Florio's other key proposal was to require adolescent mothers to live with their parents rather than obtaining a grant on their own. This, also, was presented as a measure to strengthen the family. There was no discussion of how to deal with situations where the adolescent mother's family is abusive or unstable. Other proposals included allowing families to retain savings if they are earmarked for purchase of a home, increasing the dollar value of a car that recipients can own, and requiring patenting and conflict resolution classes and immunizations. Florio recovered remarkably in popularity, given the intense anger the voters had felt about his tax increases only three years earlier, and the loss of the legislature to the Republicans two years before. His approval ratings has sunk as low as 19% at one time, and "Florio Free in '93" bumper stickers could be seen all over the state, distributed by the National Rifle Association. His opponent, Christine Todd Whitman, had almost toppled the popular Senator Bill Bradley in 1992 because many voters wanted to punish Bradley for Florio's tax increase. Florio conducted a highly professional campaign, led by celebrity Democratic campaign consultant James Carville, while Whitman's campaign started slowly under the leadership of her brother Webster "Dan" Todd, Jr., a Montana rancher. She waffled on several issues, delayed responding to Florio's attacks, and offered a sketchy two-page plan for cutting expenditures to permit a 30% tax cut over three years. Welfare was a minor issue in the campaign, but it played to Florio's benefit. In the last stage of her campaign, however, Whitman replaced her brother as campaign manager with veteran Republican campaign strategist Ed Rollins. In television commercials in the last three weeks, she succeeded in presenting herself as a warm and personable candidate who had been unfairly criticized by Florio's negative campaign ads. She refocused the voter's attention on Florio's tax increase, scandals in his administration, and his own lack of a positive vision for the next four years. She won the election with 50% of the vote to Florio's 48%. The Republicans retained their comfortable majority in the state legislature, although the Democrats did regain some seats lost in the 1991 landslide. Assemblyman Bryant and his colleagues were reelected with over two-thirds of the votes in the strongly Democratic Fifth District. As Minority Leader, Bryant will have some influence to advocate for the welfare reform, but the Republicans will have the final decision making power. The New York Times (November 14, 1993) exit poll showed that Whitman received 55% of the men's votes and only 47% of the women's. She received strong support from conservatives, Republicans and white voters, while Florio did best with black and Jewish voters and liberal voters. The voter in cities with large welfare populations were strongly pro-Florio, but the big news was that turnout was much lower than it had been in previous years (Borowski, Zimmer and Espinoza, 1993). In the city of Camden, especially, only 39% voted as compared to 53% when Thomas Kean was elected in 1981. Some commentators speculated that this might have been due to resentment of the welfare reform, but there was no increase in the Republican vote which might have been expected if voters had been angry at Florio. In Camden City, 81% of those who did vote voted for Florio. Local observers blamed the low turnout on voter apathy and 29 overconfidence by the Democratic organization, who believed the polls almost all of which showed Florio comfortably in the lead up until the last minute (Mondies, 1993b). The greatest controversy came when Whitman's campaign manager Ed Rollins remarked that his campaign had spent $500,000 in "walking around money" to persuade politically active ministers and city Democratic political workers to play down the campaign in urban areas with large minority populations. They supposedly did not ask anyone to endorse Whitman, but simply that they not make a big effort to get out the vote for Florio. African American clergy vehemently denied that they had received this money, but the matter is currently under investigation as a possible violation of campaign law (Lowe, 1993). Whitman denied that any such payments had been made. At this point, it is unclear Whitman and her Republican associates have in mind for welfare reform. Whitman had not advanced any new ideas on the topic during the campaign, and welfare has not been a priority for the Whitman transition team. She had expressed general support for the Bryant reforms, but her sympathies seemed to lie more with the view of welfare mothers as victims of the system. Nor had the Republicans advanced new welfare legislation in the two years since they won control of the legislature. The "$64" provision remains locked in state law, and it seems unlikely that a Republican legislature would reverse it, but the Whitman administration may be less vigorous in defending it against legal challenges than a Florio administration would have been. Her major promise to the voters was to cut taxes 30% in three years, so one consequence of her election may be a shortage of funds to implement the positive incentives in the Family Development Program. Florio had used state money to implement provisions not covered by federal grants, such as programs for men on general assistance. Whitman may find it necessary to cut these programs if she is to achieve her fiscal goals. In general, however, welfare does not offer much opportunity for savings unless Whitman should decide to cut the size of the grants, which seems unlikely. Governor Florio had accepted a position as head of President Clinton's task force on welfare reform, which put him in a position to impact welfare reform nationally. As a former governor, however, he may not be so useful in this role. In early discussions between New Jersey welfare officials and Clinton staffers, significant differences emerged. The Clinton staffers were strongly in favor of placing a two year limit on welfare, while the New Jersey approach allows for a longer period as long as the woman is making progress towards self-sufficiency. Although welfare reform was not a major factor in the election, Florio's defeat may make the New Jersey model less influential nationally. As of the November elections, no lawsuit had been filed on behalf of any women who had been denied additional benefits, a fact which surprised officials since opponents of the provision knew of a number of women who were pregnant and could have served for a test case. Possibly opponents were waiting until after the November gubernatorial elections, since the publicity surrounding such a case might have helped Governor Florio's reelection campaign. Shortly after the election, a class action lawsuit was filed by the NOW Legal Defense Fund, together Legal Services of New Jersey and the New Jersey chapter of the American Civil liberties union (McLarin, 1993). The suit, on behalf of seven welfare recipients and their children, charged that the welfare reform violated the women's right to privacy and prevented them from getting basic food and shelter needed for their families. 30 CONCLUSIONS In New Jersey, the innovative ideas, political skills and personal credibility of a single state Assemblyman brought about an important experiment in welfare reform. Officials from the State Department of Human Services officials played no important role in formulating this legislation, nor were there any significant political forces demanding it. The political interest groups which became involved were politely overruled when their views conflicted with Assemblyman Bryant's. There was no mobilization of pressure groups in favor of the reform, despite the fact that its provisions were generally popular with state residents. Of course, Bryant could not have accomplished this without the support of the Florio administration. But there is no way that the Florio administration would have come up with this particular reform package on its own. Florio's support, and that of many Senators and Assemblymen, undoubtedly reflected the fact that this kind of reform was expected to be popular with the voters. Implementation of the reform, of course, required the conscientious efforts of state and local officials. The Florio administration's support was essential to obtaining federal waivers, providing funds to support aspects of the plan not covered by federal money, and in overcoming the resistance of the welfare bureaucracy in Essex County. It remains to be seen whether the Whitman administration will provide sufficient support to give the plan a fair chance at success. Despite the focus of public attention on the largely symbolic "$64" question, Bryant's Family Development Plan as a whole offers a less punitive approach to welfare reform than the proposal, now being tried out in Wisconsin, to place a two year limit on welfare benefits. If federal guidelines are changed to enforce a two year limit on welfare, New Jersey could adjust to those limits, but they would put a obstacle in the way of a full evaluation of the potential of Bryant's approach. Instead of trying to get recipients off welfare as quickly as possible, the New Jersey plan offers them help in making a longer and more lasting transition to mainstream family values and occupational commitments. In essence, it reflect Wayne Bryant's conviction that ghetto families in Camden and elsewhere can make the transition to the middle class life style enjoyed by his African American neighbors in suburban Lawnside. It is a vision which deserves to be tested, at least in one state if not in the country as a whole. REFERENCES Adubato, Steve. "Begin Welfare Debate," Trenton Times, April 14, 1991. Associated Press story, The Press, January 14, 1992. Borowski, Neill, Josh Zimmer and Galina Espinoza. "Turncout was Lower in Cities than Suburbs," Philadelphia Inquirer November 11, 1993. Bryant, Wayne. "Functional illiterates are shackled in the welfare system," Asbury Park Press, 31 May 12, 1991 Bureau of Government Research, New Jersey Legislative District Data Book, New Brunswick: Rutgers University, 1990, 1992. Cichowski, John. "Hard-Line Welfare Plan OK'd," The Record, January 14, 1992. Commission on Sex Discrimination in the Statutes, "Position Paper on Assembly Bill 4703 Sponsored by Assemblyman Wayne Bryant," October 1991. Davis, Martha. "Welfare Bills Declare War on Women, Not Poverty," Courier Post [Cherry Hill, NJ], April 15, 1991. Devine, Joel and James Wright, The Greatest of Evils, New York: Aldine de Gruyter, 1993. Harrington, Michael. The Other America, Baltimore: Penguin, 1962. Heidorn, Rich. "Taking Control of the Trenton Game, the New Jersey Reporter, volume 20, number 6 (March/April 1991), pp. 14-17. Hooker, Jim. "Welfare Reform Hurdles Senate," Trenton Times, January 14, 1992. Kean, Thomas. "New ideas for an old problem: welfare reform," Stanford Law and Policy Review, vol 3, no 1, p. 70, fall 1989. LeDuc, Daniel. "Gender-Free: Whitman Camp Hasn't Targeted Women Voters," Philadelphia Inquirer, September 28, 1993b. LeLuc, Daniel. "South Jersey NOW Chapter Endorses Florio." Philadelphia Inquirer, August 9, 1993a. Leusner, Donna. "Welfare Reforms are Voted," Newark Star-Ledger, Jan 14, 1992. Lopez, Steve. "NOW Leans and Falls Flat," Philadelphia Inquirer, August 9, 1993. Lowe, Herbert. "Ministers Deny the Allegations, Call for Probe of Rollins' Remarks," Philadelphia Inquirer, November 11, 1993. Magnet, Myron. The Dream and the Nightmare: The Sixties' Legacy to the Underclass, New York: Morrow, 1992. Magyar, Mark. "Welfare Reform is Likely to be Law," Asbury Park Press, January 14, 1992. Magyar, Mark. "Welfare Debate: Give or Earn," Asbury Park Press, April 14, 1991. 32 McLarin, Kimberly, "Trenton Welfare Changes Being Felt," New York Times, December 3, 1993. Mondies, Chris. "N.J. Pollsters Regroup and Try to Figure Out What Went Wrong," Philadelphia Inquirer, November 11, 1993. Mondies, Chris. "Rocky Campaign Proved Her Mettle," Philadelphia Inquirer, November 4, 1993a. Moran, Thomas. "Husband OK: More Kids Aren't," The Record [Hackensack, NJ), April 5, 1991. Murray, Charles. Losing Ground, New York: Basic Books, 1984. New York Times, "Second New Jersey Poll, October 16-18, 1993," photocopied. Norquist, Grover. "Florio Fights Back," The American Spectator, November 1993, p. 64. Piven, Frances Fox and Richard Cloward, "The fraud of workfare," in The Nation, July 24, 1993. Piven, Frances Fox and Richard Cloward, Regulating the Poor, New York: Vintage, 1971. Ryan, William. Blaming the Victim, New York: Random House, 1971. Superville, Darlene. "Welfare Reforms are Working, Florio Asserts," Philadelphia Inquirer, November 11, 1993. Winter, Carl. "Florio Pushes Reforms Amid New Welfare Data," Courier-Post, November 11, 1993. 33