1 Tawni Mortensen Mac & Cheese CGP report English 2010 Effects of the Wasatch Fault Quake: Where will we be? Abstract Are Utahns ready for catastrophic possibilities of hazardous waste polluting our airs and ruining our beautiful natural scenic landscapes? Damage to refineries along the fault area can be fatal to humans but also devastating to wild life. The Great Salt Lake and smaller bodies of water can cause flooding if flow is disturbed by ground shake. Access to clean water, electricity, and medical care will become scarce. I provide our future possibilities and what Utahns should anticipate and how to best prepare. Introduction We are all waiting for the “Big One” along our Wasatch Front fault line that has been predicted for years. Preparations often include; food and water storage, and first aid kits. Some even store a range of weapons for protection in what most assume to be a vision of Mad Max times in the aftermath of the earthquake. These preparations address physical survival effectively but rarely address financial issues. Consequences: The predicted scale for the Wasatch quake is around 7.0-7.5 (“putting down” 7). There are about 1.6 million people who live along the fault line and will experience the brunt of 2 the predicted quake. Those individuals closest to the fault line will experience building collapses, flooding, land slides, and liquefaction of the earth. An example of this is the earthquake that shook St. George in 1992. Damage was caused initially by the quake but the majority of damage to homes and structures was caused by land slides, started by after shakes. That quake was registered at a 5.9 which is considerably less then what is predicted for the Wasatch quake (“Earthquakes”15). Environmental Damage: One source of potential damage resulting from the Wasatch Fault quake could be from hazardous material at the Deseret Chemical Depot in Tooele County. It is one of six locations in the U.S. where chemical weapons are kept. According to CSEPP, Congress directed the U.S. department of Defense to start destroying the stockpile of weapons; this process started in 1993 and should be completed by the end of 2012 (Natural hazards). There are also many refineries that pose a risk to the environment because they sit so close to the Wasatch Fault line. They could release toxic fumes into the air making it unbreathable as well as fuel, constant fires and explosions that would damage surrounding areas. There are many other damaging out comes of this predicted 7.5 quake like the possibility of flooding of the great salt lake and other smaller bodies of water. In this picture you can see where the danger of flooding could occur 3 Tips on what to do if flooding does occur: Google Images, Fox News Flood Risk: Flooding is not only high risk from the Great Salt Lake and the smaller bodies of water close to the fault line but also by failing dam structures. It is reported by Unified Fire Authority that there are over two hundred dams in the Salt Lake County area, and over 27 pose a high risk of failure. Their failure could cause devastating property damage and could even be life threating if 1. FEMA manages the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) which produces Flood Insurance Rate Maps (FIRMs) showing areas where flooding is most likely to occur. When possible, avoid building in these floodplains. Most homeowners’ insurance policies do not cover flood losses. Consider purchasing flood insurance if you own a structure located in a floodplain. Learn about protective measures to strengthen existing structures against flooding. 2. Water is extremely powerful! Water may be deeper than you realize. do not attempt to walk through moving water. As little as six inches of moving water can cause you to fall. Do not drive into flooded areas. Six inches of water can cause loss of control or stalling. One foot of water will float many vehicles. Two feet of water can sweep away most vehicles including trucks and sport utility vehicles (SUVs). 3. If your community is being threatened by a flood, listen to the radio for information. You may be advised to evacuate. If there is any possibility of a they fail in the shake of the quake. (“Natural Hazards”) flash flood, move immediately to higher ground. 4. Avoid contact with floodwaters. They How Can We Prepare For Flooding? There are multiple avenues that we can take to help may be contaminated by oil, gasoline, or sewage. Water may also be electrically charged from underground or downed protect property from flooding risks. You can follow the recommendations listed to the right, or you can seek other power lines. 5. Use caution when returning to areas that have been flooded. Floods may weaken avenues. buildings or roadways. (Natural Hazards, tab: flooding) 4 Damage to infrastructure: 1(Photo by USG, “putting down”) This picture shows a collapsed California freeway after an earthquake. Due to after shake it is possible to see a lot our freeways ending up like this. In Utah our buildings or structures are not always as strong in the case of a large earthquake compared to other places that see them more often like California or Japan, so they are weaker in the case of violent shaking (“putting down”). Surface fault rupture: (Photo from U.S. forest services Miscellaneous pulication 907, “putting down”, PDF) 5 This picture shows a surface fault rupture. In cases of a large quake it is possible to see something like this. This type of shift is also the cause of many of our mountain range slopes. This type of destruction can damage homes and buildings, leaving many homeless and/or out of a job, which can cause the financial down fall of our economy. Liquefaction of the Soil: Liquefaction is when the soil acts like quick sand. There are two conditions that must be present in order for liquification to occur: (1) loose, water-saturated or sandy soil types; and (2) ground shaking must be strong enough to cause these soil types to liquefy. This can cause structure damage but also possible loss of lives. (“Liquefaction”). Economic Damage: Aside from physical damage there is also financial consequences to the economy. It is stated that if such a quake were to hit, the financial impact would be due to damage to buildings and equipment of businesses. Some business’s would have to shut down, and those that could stay open would be unable to receive supplies due to possible road damage. Shake damage, which is covered by an earthquake insurance policy, there may be additional property damages covered by other insurance policy’s. These types of catastrophic loss could cripple insurers, and potentially result in a market failure (“The Economic”6). Conclusion Possiblilities of enviornmental, financial and economic down fall will be devastating to our economy like, financial stability, utility failure, landslides, 6 liquefacation of soil, and flooding. It is safe to say that individuals will need to have an emergancy fund program in place to keep themselve’s going financially through the tough time as people may not be able to go back to their jobs, and the prices of everyday necessaties will increase. Not only will food and water become scarce but also we will be without phone and power, for how long that is unknown. Now days we all rely on the internet or cell phones to communicate to one another and without such comforts we will not be able to reach family members or emergency contacts like 911 with out possible land lines or satilite phone capabilities. This will be quite the struggle for many especially the very young and elderly who depend on others for care. It is always a good idea to follow emergency guide lines. So with the knowledge of what has been provided Utahns may want to consider where they will be when the quake hits and if they will be prepared to survive. 7 Works Cited “Natural hazards”. Salt Lake County Emergency Management. UFA. 2011. Web. 11 Feb 2012. “Putting Down Roots in Earthquake Country your handbook for earthquakes in Utah”, USSC.UTAH.GOV. 2008. Web.11 Feb 2012. . “Earthquakes, what you should know when living in Utah” N.D. Web. 10 Feb 2012. Pg. 15-18, picture printed on page 15. "Liquefaction." Utah Geology Survey. N.p., n.d. Web. 10 Feb 2012. “The Economic Consequences of a Catastrophic Earthquake” Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems. The National Academies Press. 1992. Web. 11 Feb 2012. Fox News, Google images. N.D. Web. 10 Feb 2012.