AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 4 CHAPTER FOUR Answers to Self-Test Questions 1. a) 10 million (employed of 9 + unemployed of 1) b) 66.66% (labour force/working age population x 100 = 10/15 x 100) c) 10% (unemployed/labour force x 100 = 1/10 x 100) 2. a) 24 million (participation rate x working age population = 75% x 32 million) b) 4 million (Labour force – employed = 24 – 20) c) 16.66% (unemployed/labour force x 100 = 4/24 x 100) 3. a) Yes, since the category "working age population" includes everyone over the age of 15, etc. whether or not they are in the labour force. b) Types of people in the category of “not in the labour force” would be: homemakers, retirees, those receiving welfare or disability incomes, those who are independently wealthy and discouraged workers. c) Yes, if the size of the labour force increases by more than the number of employed increases. 4. a) cyclical; b) frictional; c) structural 5. The size of the labour force would drop by 100 000, as would the number of people unemployed. The unemployment rate would also fall. 6. The potential GDP is $840. (Since there is 2% cyclical unemployment, using Okun's Law gives us 2% x 2.5 = 5% multiplied by $800 billion = a GDP gap of $40 billion. The actual GDP of $800 plus the GDP gap of $40 equals potential GDP of $840.) 7. Nominal GDP ($billion) Real GDP ($billion) GDP deflator (2002 = 100) Population (millions) Real GDP per capita 2010 443 374 118.4_ 26.1 $14 330 2011 474.2 389 121.9 26.4 14 735 2012 507 402.1 126.1 27 14 893 8. Increase in real income was 3 percent. Her nominal income increased by $2,800, or by 2800/40000 x 100, which equals 7 percent. Since the inflation rate was 4 percent, her real income has increased by 7 percent minus 4 percent, or by 3 percent. 9. a) 10 years. The number of years to double is 70 divided by the growth rate (of prices), i.e. 70/7 = 10. 29 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 4 b) 10 percent. Rearranging the rule of 70 formula gives: growth rate (interest rate) = 70/ # of years to double, i.e. 70/7 = 10. 10. a) Real interest rate: 7% b) Real income: $10 830. Your real income falls by 5% or $600 to $11 400 in the first year. It falls a further 5% or $570 in the second year to give a real income of $10 830. Answers to Study Guide Questions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. False: structural unemployment is likely to be largest in sunset industries. True True False: female participation rates only have been increasing. False: the higher the redistributive effects. False demand-pull inflation occurs when the total demand exceeds the capacity to produce. 7. False: it is equal to the nominal rate less the expected inflation rate. 8. True 9. True 10. True 11. a 12. a 13. c 14. b 15. a 36A. 16. a 17. d 18. c 19. d 20. b 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 2011 Qty Prices Year 2010 Nominal GDP Pizzas 30 12 Movie tickets 20 Farm tractors Parking meters Totals 31. b 32. a 33. b 34. b 35. d Table 4.11 (completed) 2010 Item 26. c 27. b 28. d 29. b 30. b Key Problem a) 1 21. a 22. c 23. d 24. d 25. e 12 13 14 Nominal GDP Prices Year 2010 Real GDP 2012 Qty Prices Year 2011 Nominal GDP Prices Year 2010 Real GDP Qty 360 35 13 455 12 420 40 14 560 12 480 10 200 22 11 242 10 220 24 12 288 10 240 3 100 300 4 95 380 100 400 4 110 440 100 400 4 50 200 4 60 240 50 200 5 70 350 50 250 1060 1317 30 1240 Prices Year 2012 1638 1370 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 4 Column 7 in the table is completed by multiplying columns 5 and 6 together. Columns 8 and 13 are simply a repeat of column 3. Column 9 is completed by multiplying columns 5 and 8 together. Column 12 is determined by multiplying columns 10 and 11 together. Column 14 is determined by multiplying columns 10 and 13 together. b) From columns 4, 7 and 12: 2010: $ __1060_______ ; 2011: $ ____1317_____ ; . 2012: $ _____1638____ c) From columns 4, 9 and 14: 2010: $ __1060_______ ; 2011: $ ____1240_____ ; . 2012: $ _____1370____ d) Nominal GDP/real GDP x 100 for each year: 2010: ______100___ ; e) Inflation rate = 2011 f) = 6.2% (6.2/100 x 100); 2012 x 100 = 12.6% (13.4/106.2 x100). 110 ; 2011: $ 120 ; 2012: $ 130 Price Index = (value of bundle in current year/ value of bundle in base year) x 100 Price indexes: h) (price index this year – price index last year) price index last year 5 pizzas + 5 movie tickets would cost each year: 2010: $ g) 2011: _____106.2_______ ; . 2012: _____119.6____ Inflation rate = 2010 = 100 (110/110 x100); 2011 = 109.1; (120/110 x 100) 2012 = 118.2. (130/110 x 100) (price index this year – price index last year) price index last year 2011 = 9.1% (9.1/100 x 100); 2012 = 8.3% (9.1/109.1 x 100) 32 x 100 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 4 37A. a) GDP deflators: Year 2010: 105.1 (420/400 x 100); Year 2011: 108.1 (456/422 x 100); Year 2012 = 111.9 (500/447 x 100) b) Real GDP per capita: Year 2010: $25 000; (400 billion/16million) Year 2011: $25 483 (422 billion/16.56 million); Year 2012: $26 079 (447 billion/17.14 million). c) Growth rate of real GDP per capita: Year 2011: 1.9% (+483/25000 x 100); Year 2012: 2.3% (+596/25483 x 100). 38A. a) Participation rates: Year 2010: 70% ((8.4/12 x 100); Year 2011: 72% (9/12.5 x 100); Year 2012: 71.9% (9.2/12.8 x 100). b) Unemployment rates: Year 2010: 8.3% (0.7/8.4 x 100); Year 2011: 8.9% (0.8/9 x 100); Year 2012 = 9.2% (0.85/9.2 x 100). c) 2011: 0.7% (+0.8/108.2 x 100); 2012: 1.2% (1.3/109 x 100) d) 2011: 5% (+1/20 x 100); 2012: 5% (+1.05/21 x 100) e) 14 years (70/5). 39A. Inflation rates: Year 2010: 4.3% (+5/116 x 100); Year 2011: 5.8%. (+7/121 x 100). 40A. a) Growth rate of population:2010: 3.5% (+0.56/16 x 100); 2011: 3.5% (+0.58/16.56 x 100). b) 20 years (70/3.5). 41A. a) Real income: b) Year 2009: $24 138 (28 000/116 x 100); Year 2010: $24 463 (29 600/121 x 100); Year 2011: $25 000 (32 000/128 x 100). 2010: 1.3% (325/24 138 x 100); 2011 2.2% (537/24 463 x 100). 42A. a) Real interest rate: Year 2009: 1.2% (8 – 6.8); Year 2010 1.7% (6 – 4.3); Year 2011: - 0.7% (5.2 – 5.9) 43A. Table 4.18 (Completed) Country 1. 2. 3. Bergan Altria Casper real GDP per capita $24 444 14 592 10 648 (2200/1.2/75 x 1000) (715/1.4/35 x 1000) (2875/1.8/150 x 1000) 33 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 4 44A The GDP deflator is the name of the price index used to calculate inflation based on the goods and services included in the GDP. It is an implicit index calculated by dividing nominal GDP by real GDP and multiplying by 100. 45A Frictional unemployment results from people switching jobs (voluntarily or involuntarily) or looking for their first jobs. Cyclical unemployment is a product of the business cycle and results in the economy operating below its full-employment potential. 46A. a) b) c) Unemployment rate: 10% (1.5/ (11.5 + 2.0 + 1.5) x 100.) Participation rate: 75% ((11.5 + 2.0 + 1.5)/20.0 x 100.) Inflation rate: 17% (but we don’t know the annual inflation rate because we don’t know the number of years since the base year.) 47A. a) See the following table: Table 4.20 (completed) 2009 Nominal GDP $850 GDP Deflator 109 Real GDP 779.8 Population 30 Real GDP per capita $25 993 b) 5.5% = (115 – 109) x 100; 109 2010 $958 115 833 30.5 $27 311 2011 1038.4 118 880 31 $28 390 c) 3.9% = (28 390 – 27 312) x 100 27 312 48A. a) Nigel gains because the real interest rate that he pays on the remaining term of his loan decreases. b) Lars loses because the purchasing power of his fixed pension decreases. c) Yoko loses because the real rate of return on her savings decreases. d) Joan loses because her expected increase in real wages of 3% is wiped out. e) Robert will gain because the company in which he owns shares is paying a lower real wage than it expected. 49A. GDP gaps: 2009: $45 (3% (cyclical unemployment) x 2.5 x $600); 2010: $15 (1% x 2.5 x $600); 2011: $15.75 (1% x 2.5 x 630). 34 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 4 50A Participation rate = Unemployment rate = labour force x 100 working-age population number of unemployed x 100 labour force 51A (Two of the following): a) The level of investment is likely to be low since firms may be discouraged from spending when faced by the future uncertainty that inflation brings. b) Inflation requires that menus, catalogues, price lists, web-sites and so on must be changed which can be very expensive (menu costs). c) Net exports are likely to be lower if domestic prices increase faster than foreign prices because it will lead to a decrease in exports and an increase in imports. 52A. An improvement in unemployment might suggest an improvement of economic conditions if it was the result of discouraged workers starting to look for employment. Since they are now looking for work – but don’t yet have jobs – the unemployment rate will increase. 53A. a) Yes, the size of the labour force will increase by 60 000 due to the fact that half of those workers (120 000) not previously seeking work are now applying for the new jobs. b) Unemployment rate: 12.1%. Unemployed: 610 000; labour force: 5 060 000 c) Unemployment rate: 11.3%. Unemployed: 570 000; labour force: 5 060 000 54A Constructing a table for James would give: Year 1 2 3 4 5 Nominal income $36 000 37 080 38 192 39 338 40 528 Price index 100.0 101.5 103.0 104.6 106.1 Real income $36 000 36 532 37 080 37 608 38 198 Alternatively, if you calculate on the basis that his real income increases by 1.5% (3% increase in nominal income minus the 1.5% inflation rate), her real income after 4 years (i.e., in year 5) is $38 209. (Be careful with the price index; you can’t simply add on 1.5 each year. The index increases by 1.5% from what it was the year before. So year 3, for instance, is 101.5 x 1.015 = 103.0225 (rounded to 103.0). Year 4 it is 103.0225 x 1.015 = 104.567 and so on.) 35 AK Macroeconomics – Chapter 4 55A We can figure the answer using Okun’s law : GDP gap = potential - actual GDP = 450 – 400 = 50 And GDP gap = 2.5 x cyclical unemployment (%) x actual GDP 50 = 2.5 x cyclical unemployment x 400 Rearranging terms gives us: cyclical unemployment = 50 2.5 x 400 = 0.05 (or 5%) Actual unemployment = natural unemployment + cyclical unemployment = 6% + 5% = 11% 56A a) See Table 4.22 (completed) Table 4.22 (completed) Item Rice 2009 2010 2010 Quantity Price Nominal Quantity Price Nominal Quantity 2009 RealGDP GDP GDP Price 400 $5 $2000 430 $5.20 $2236 430 $5 $2150 Pajamas 220 Beer 125 $15 3300 250 $16 4000 250 15 3750 20 2500 130 24 3120 130 20 2600 Totals $7800 a) 2009 $7800 7800 Nominal GDP Real GDP GDP deflator b) Item Rice Beer Pajamas Quantity 10 10 2 $9356 Prices 2009 $5 20 15 $8500 2010 $9356 8500 110 (9356/8500 x 100) Basket cost Prices 2010 $50 200 30 $280 $5.20 24 16 CPI in 2010: 324/280 x 100 = 115.7 36 Basket cost $52 240 32 $324