Nuclear Fusion: Moonshine or an Inexhaustible Source of Clean Energy? Carlos Badiola University of Connecticut School of Law Energy Law: Professor Elizabeth Burleson Summer Session 2010 1 Table of Contents Our Civilization’s Dual Challenge…………………………….2 Nuclear Power in the World Today…………………………...5 The Basics of Nuclear Fusion…………………………………..7 Advantages of Fusion Over Fission……………………………12 The Current Status of Fusion Research………………………13 Conclusions……………………………………………………..19 Figures…………………………………………………………..20 2 I. Our Civilization’s Dual Challenge In an article published in 1949 in the journal Science, M. King Hubbert, a geophysicist working for the Shell Oil Company, noted the historical acceleration in both the production and consumption of fossil fuels as well as the accompanying growth in the world’s population, a growth that directly correlated with the production and consumption of fossil fuels .1 Hubbert predicted that world oil production and consumption graphed against time would take the shape of a bell-shaped curve with steep slopes. He further predicted that a peak in oil production in the lower 48 states would be reached in 1970.2 Hubbert’s prediction relating to the peak in oil production in the lower 48 states was eventually proven correct. His methodology has been applied on a global basis, leading to predictions of a peak in world oil production in the first or second decades of the twenty-first century.3 Hubbert noted at the time of his 1949 publication that humanity was positioned on a “nearly vertical slope” within the upward portion of the bell shaped curve of fossil fuel production and accompanying world population growth.4 Hubbert also identified the momentous historical significance of the discovery and exploitation of fossil fuels as a source of energy, noting that the marked acceleration in the rate of energy utilization from fossil fuels was a unique event, an anomaly in the history of civilization, and that fossil fuel sources were by definition exhaustible. According to Hubbert, the availability of fossil fuels had allowed an unprecedented growth in human population and the establishment of a “high energy 1 M. King Hubbert. Energy from Fossil Fuels. Science, Vol. 109: 103-108 (1949). This article is available online at http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/science1949/. 2 Richard D. Cudahy. The Bell Tolls for Hydrocarbons: What’s Next? 29 Energy L.J. 381. 384 (2008) 3 Id. at 384 4 See M. King Hubbert, supra note 1, at 108 3 industrial civilization” that is dependent on the availability of large amounts of energy derived from fossil fuels.5 Hubbert’s prediction of a fairly imminent exhaustion of fossil fuels resources has been called into question, particularly by economists. Economic analyses of the supply of fossil fuel resources consider price as a factor affecting the supply and demand of oil, as well as technological advances that allow for the recovery of oil resources that were believed unrecoverable at the time of Hubbert’s seminal article.6 The discovery of vast new oil and gas reserves, as well as technological advances that allow for the recovery of unconventional oil resources, such as heavy tars, particularly at higher oil prices, may transform Hubbert’s curve from a standard Gaussian curve to a Gaussian curve with a large and undulating plateau.7 But regardless of the shape of the production curve for fossil fuels, hydrocarbons remain a finite resource and exhaustion is unavoidable. The maintenance of humanity’s standard of living and the characteristics of our current global civilization must therefore depend on the availability of alternatives sources of energy. In addition, the recognition that the burning of fossil fuels results in the production of greenhouse gases and global warming adds another disturbing dimension to the world’s current reliance on hydrocarbons as its primary source of energy, a dimension unknown to Hubbert at the time of his 1949 article. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), worldwide demand for energy resources will continue to increase in the coming decades and most of this demand will be supplied by an increase in the production and utilization of fossil fuels. The EIA predicts that 5 Id. at 109 See Cudahy, supra note 2, at 385-386 7 Id. at 386-387. See also Neil King, New Oil Fields May Offset Oil Drop. WSJ, Jan 17, 2008, available at http://royaldutchshellplc.com/2008/01/17/the-wall-street-journal-new-fields-may-offset-oil-drop/. 6 4 the world’s demand for energy will increase by 50% between 2007 and 2035, with approximately 85% of this increase attributed to developing economies.8 The EIA further predicts that liquid fuels, petroleum and to a much lesser degree biofuels, will remain the world’s primary source of energy, with production increasing from 86 million barrels/day to 110 million barrels/day between 2007 and 2035.9 At the current rate of increase in worldwide energy consumption, the EIA predicts that the production of natural gas and coal will increase by 44% and 56% respectively between 2007 and 2035.10 Emissions from fossil fuels, particularly carbon dioxide, are causing and will continue to result in global warming.11 The scenario posited by the EIA, a significant increase in the demand for energy resources over the coming decades supplied by an accompanying increase in the production and utilization of greenhouse gas emitting fossil fuels, results in a dual challenge to the world’s policy makers. The nature of this dual challenge has been identified by the UN Secretary-General’s Advisory group on Energy and Climate Change: meeting the world’s needs for development while contributing to a reduction in the production of greenhouse gases.12 In light of this dual environmental and energy challenge, there is an ever pressing need to supply the world’s energy requirements with clean alternatives to fossil fuels. Among the clean alternatives, nuclear fusion holds the potential of providing the world with an inexhaustible supply of large amounts of clean energy. Having set the background of a looming energy supply crisis, this essay will describe the basic principles of nuclear fusion, including an overview of fusion research and the challenges 8 See summary of EIA report available at http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/highlights.html. Id. 10 Id. 11 Megan Higgins, Is Marine Renewable Energy a Viable Industry in the United States? -Lessons Learned From The 7th Marine Law Symposium, 14 Roger Williams U. L. Rev. 562 (2009), at 563 12 The Secretary-General’s Advisory Group On Energy And Climate Change (AGECC) Summary Report And Recommendations 28 April 2010, at 7. Available at http://www.un.org/chinese/millenniumgoals/pdf/AGECCsummaryreport%5B1%5D.pdf 9 5 currently faced by fusion research. Nuclear fission, the process that presently drives the world’s nuclear energy production, will be briefly considered in an effort to distinguish it from fusion and aid in the understanding of the fusion process. The conclusion will call for an expansion of funding for fusion research and greater international collaboration for research into fusion as a potential source of clean energy. II. Nuclear Power in the World Today Nuclear power currently accounts for 14% of worldwide electricity production, 20% of electricity production in the United States, and 8% of total energy needs in the United States.13 There are 438 nuclear reactors in the world, 104 of which are located in the United States.14 France leads the world in the percentage of electricity produced by nuclear power, deriving approximately 80% of its electrical output from nuclear plants. Belgium, Hungary, Lithuania, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Korea, Sweden, Switzerland, and Ukraine all derive between a third and one-half of electricity generation from nuclear power.15 The construction of nuclear power plants in the United States was almost entirely halted after the Three Mile Island incident in 1979, which resulted in the partial meltdown of a nuclear power plant in Pennsylvania. This trend will likely soon be reversed. In February 2010 President Obama approved an $8 billion 13 Dan C. Perry. Uranium Law and Leasing. Proceedings of the Rocky Mountain Mineral Law Fifty-Fifth Annual Institute. July, 23, 2009. Chapter 27, at 3. See also U.S. Energy Information Agency (EIA) “Use of Nuclear Power” available at http://www.eia.doe.gov/energyexplained/index.cfm?page=nuclear_use. 14 See Perry, supra note 13, at 3 15 Id, at 4 6 loan guarantee for the construction of two nuclear reactors in Georgia.16 In addition, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has received applications for the construction of 18 new power plants.17 The proposed Kerry-Lieberman Energy Bill also includes incentives for the building of new nuclear power plants in the United States, with a goal of deriving 16% of electricity production from nuclear power generation by 2030.18 All of the world’s nuclear power reactors are based on the splitting of large atoms, most commonly uranium, through an atomic reaction known as fission. This process is efficient and relatively safe. Reduced to its most basic conceptual framework, energy in a fission reactor is created by the controlled splitting of large “fissile” atoms. The splitting of the atoms is slowed down by the use of “moderators”, mainly in the form of water or graphite. The purpose of the moderators is to prevent an uncontrolled fission chain reaction that may result in the release of large quantities of heat and radiation, termed a “meltdown”. This controlled atomic splitting results in the production of heat, which is in turn used to create steam. The generated steam subsequently provides the energy required to turn a turbine and produce electrical power. Fission based nuclear reactors present inherent risks related to the nature of the nuclear reaction and the inputs and outputs of the nuclear fission process. Among these, the most feared is the possibility of a nuclear “meltdown” created by an uncontrolled chain of nuclear fission reactions. Other concerns relating to fission reactors include the limited availability of uranium to fuel the nuclear plants, problems presented by the need to store radioactive end-products with 16 The New York Times Editors, A Comeback for Nuclear Power? The New York Times. February 16, 2010. Available at http://roomfordebate.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/02/16/a-comeback-for-nuclear-power/. 17 See NRC document “Combined License Applications for New Reactors”, available at http://www.nrc.gov/reactors/new-reactors/col.html. 18 Darren Samuelsohn. Study: The Kerry-Lieberman Bill will Prompt Decade of Job Growth. The New York Times. May 20, 2010. Available at http://www.nytimes.com/gwire/2010/05/20/20greenwire-study-kerry-liebermanclimate-bill-would-promp-31963.html?scp=1&sq=kerry%20lieberman%20nuclear&st=cse. 7 half-lives in the thousands of years, particularly plutonium, which is highly radioactive and has a half-life of 24,000 years, as well as the potential for the proliferation of nuclear technology that may result in the production of nuclear weapons. Nuclear installations are also vulnerable to a direct armed attack, and the storage of nuclear stockpiles within nuclear facilities may present a easy target for those seeking nuclear material for the manufacture of nuclear weapons.19 III. The Basics of Nuclear Fusion Nuclear fusion involves the joining or fusion of two small atoms with a subsequent release of energy. This is distinguished from fission, the basis of our current nuclear power generation technology, and which involves the splitting of atoms with a subsequent release of energy. Fusion is the process by which the stars, including the Sun, create heat. Fusion is also the basis of a fusion or hydrogen bomb. The basic nuclear fusion reaction involves the joining of two hydrogen atoms, each of which contains one proton, to produce an atom of helium, which contains two protons. The joining of the two hydrogen atoms results in the release of a quantity of energy that is much greater than the energy required to cause the two atoms to fuse. Experimental fusion reactions typically involve the fusion of two isotopes of hydrogen, deuterium (d) and tritium (t), to form helium (He) and a neutron (n) d + t →He + n + 17.6 MeV (figure 1). 19 David E. Hoffman, Report on Nuclear Security Urges Prompt Global Action. Yearly Study Offers Agenda for New Administration. The Washington Post. November 18, 2008; A25. Available at http://www.washingtonpost.com/wpdyn/content/article/2008/11/17/AR2008111702976.html. 8 Isotopes differ in the number of neutrons within the nucleus of an atom, while maintaining the same number of protons. It is the number of protons within a nucleus that defines an element. Thus elements with differing numbers of neutrons within the nuclear core define isotopes of the same element. Neutrons have no charge while protons are positively charged. Hydrogen contains one proton. The isotopes of hydrogen deuterium and tritium, the most commonly used fusion fuels, contain one proton and one neutron, and one proton and two neutrons respectively. The products of the fusion of these two isotopes are a helium nucleus, composed of two protons and two neutrons, a single free neutron, and 17.6 MeV of kinetic energy that is divided between the helium nucleus and the free proton. Fusion was initially observed in the 1930’s by Mark Oliphant, a young Australian physicist working in Ernest Rutherford’s laboratory at the University of Cambridge. Oliphant never envisioned that the fusion of light atoms that he observed in the Cavendish Laboratory would one day be the basis of a thermonuclear weapon.20 Fusion experimentation has been conducted ever since the initial observations of Mark Oliphant. To date, no fusion models, apart from the hydrogen bomb, have been able to deliver energies in quantities that are greater than those required as inputs for the initial reaction. Indeed, the production of energy in quantities that exceed the necessary inputs for fusion remains the holy grail of fusion research. In order to cause deuterium and tritium to join through the process of nuclear fusion, energy must be initially applied to overcome the electromagnetic repulsion caused by the positively 20 Oliphant would eventually note “we had no idea whatever that this would one day be applied to make hydrogen bombs. Our curiosity was just curiosity about the structure of the nucleus of the atom, and the discovery of these reactions was purely, as the Americans would put it, coincidental.” See Conversation with Sir Mark Oliphant, 24 July 1967, National Library Collection, Tape 276, interviewed by Hazel de Berg. Cite available at http://www.asap.unimelb.edu.au/bsparcs/exhib/journal/as_oliphant.htm#cite3. 9 charged protons within both the deuterium and tritium nuclei (figure 2). To accomplish this, deuterium and tritium particles must be heated to extremely high temperatures to achieve a state of plasma. Plasma is considered the fourth state of matter, along with solids, liquids, and gases. Plasma is an ionized gas at extremely high temperatures where the electrons and protons that normally define an atom are no longer bound. Fusion experiments typically involve the creation of plasma at temperatures exceeding 100 million degrees Celsius, temperatures that are many times higher than those in the Sun.21 Plasma at these extremely high temperatures requires confinement for a period of time that is of sufficient length to allow for the fusion of the deuterium and tritium nuclei, typically several hours.22 Because of the extremely high temperatures involved in fusion experiments, the plasma must also be isolated from the walls of the containment vessel to prevent destruction of the containment vessel and the introduction of impurities into the mixture of plasma.23 Therefore, mere material confinement of plasma is not feasible. The isolation of plasma is most commonly achieved through the use of magnetic fields that serve to confine the positively charged nuclei within a device called a tokamak. The tokamak design is based on a 1951 conceptual approach for the magnetic confinement of plasma from the Russian physicists Igor Tamm and Andrei Sakharov.24 Tokamak is a Russian acronym for the device envisioned by Tamm and Sakharov, a toroidal chamber with magnetic coils. Toroidal refers to the geometry of the device, similar to the shape of a doughnut. A tokamak uses circular superconducting coils, like to those used in high field medical MRI units, to create a doughnut shaped magnetic field that confines the superheated plasma for a period of 21 The Sun’s temperature is around 15 million degrees. Institute of Physics Report (IOP Report). Fusion as an Energy Source: Challenges and Opportunities, at 3 (2008). Available at http://www.iop.org/activity/policy/Publications/file_31695.pdf 23 A.A. Harms et al. Principles of Fusion Energy. World Scientific Publishing Co. at 48 (2000). 24 See IOP Report, supra note 22, at 6. Sakharov was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 1975 for his efforts in support of human rights in the former Soviet Union. 22 10 time (figure 3). Within the magnetic confinement field, positively charged deuterium and tritium nuclei fuse to form a helium nucleus and a single neutron. As noted, the fusion process releases 17.6 MeV of energy. The energy released by the reaction is taken up by the particles in inverse proportion to their masses. Helium is composed of two neutrons and two protons and has an atomic mass of four, whereas the neutron has an atomic mass of one. Hence, four fifths of the kinetic energy derived from the fusion reaction is taken up by the released neutron. Given that the neutron does not possess a magnetic charge, it is unaffected by the magnetic field of the tokamak. The neutrons derived from the fusion reaction are emitted in all directions beyond the area of magnetic confinement. The kinetic energy of the neutrons provides the means by which energy may be harvested from the fusion of deuterium and tritium. The released neutrons are captured by a material, termed a “blanket”, that surrounds the magnetic field. The blanket is designed to capture the kinetic energy of the neutron by slowing the velocity of the fast moving particles. Through the capture of the emitted neutrons, the blanket becomes heated. To achieve the generation of electricity by fusion, the heat in the blanket may be transferred to water in order to produce steam. The steam may in turn be used drive a turbine for the production of electricity, in a process similar to that described for the generation of electricity from fission (figure 4). By retaining the positively charged helium particles within the magnetic confinement field of the tokamak, the kinetic energy of the helium nuclei aids in sustaining the high temperatures required to maintain the fusion fuel materials in a state of plasma within the magnetic confinement field of the tokamak. The heat initially necessary to 11 create plasma is provided by the electrical current in the superconducting magnetic coils as well as through the application of radiofrequency pulses.25 One critical component of the design of a fusion reactor is the incorporation of lithium into the blanket. Lithium (Li) reacts with neutrons (n) to create tritium (t) and helium (He) n + Li → t + He. This lithium-neutron interaction that results in the breeding of tritium is a critical aspect of the blanket design. Tritium is one of the fuels of the fusion reactor along with deuterium. Although deuterium can be produced from seawater in boundless quantities, naturally occurring tritium is extremely rare, with deposits of approximately 7 kilograms present on the earth’s surface. 26 The breeding of tritium is therefore an essential aspect of the fusion cycle, without which continued deuterium-tritium fusion would not be feasible.27 Lithium is available in large quantities within the earth’s crust.28 25 IOP Report, supra note 22, at 5 See Argonne National Laboratory (DOE), Fact Sheet on Tritium, available at http://www.ead.anl.gov/pub/doc/tritium.pdf. 27 A description of the tritium breeding process is available from ITER at http://www.iter.org/mach/TritiumBreeding. See also A.A. Harms, supra note 23, at 10. 28 See US Geological Survey Mineral Commodities Summaries 2009, available at http://minerals.usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs/2009/mcs2009.pdf. 26 12 IV. Advantages of Fusion over Fission Given the proven record of fission, including the ability of nuclear fission to supply significant quantities of electrical power, what are the benefits of fusion over fission as an energy source? As noted, nuclear fission presents several problems inherent to the fission power generation cycle that can be eliminated or significantly diminished by fusion. In contrast to the fuels used for fission, the fuels for fusion are potentially inexhaustible. Deuterium is readily produced from seawater and tritium can be bread in a fusion reactor through the interaction of fast neutrons produced by fusion with lithium embedded in the blanket.29 Additional advantages of fusion over fission include a diminished environmental impact, particularly as related to the production of radioactive byproducts. Tritium has a half life of 12 years. In contrast, the half life of uranium isotopes are in the hundreds of millions of years, and the half life of plutonium produced in fission reactors is 24,000 years. Fusion reactions do not depend on the availability of a critical mass of fissile material to create a chain reaction, making a nuclear meltdown impossible. Tokamaks depend on a continuous supply of fuel; hence there is no requirement to store large quantities of fuel as in fission reactors, where storage of radioactive materials may present an opportunity for terrorists to gain access to nuclear material.30 Fusion does not produce fissile materials that may be used in the production of nuclear weapons. A possible exception to this last advantage of fusion over fission is the use of fast neutrons produced through fusion to produce fissile materials through neutron bombardment and transmutation of thorium 232 or uranium 233 into fissile uranium 238 or fissile plutonium 239 29 30 See IOP Report, supra note 22, at 1-2 for an overview of the advantages of fusion over fission. See David E. Hoffman, supra note 19. 13 respectively.31 This theoretical integration of fusion and fission will be considered in greater detail below. V. The Current Status of Fusion Research The world’s largest tokamak is the Joint European Torus (JET) located in Culham, Oxfordshire, UK, and which has been in operation since 1984 (figure 5). JET will eventually be dwarfed by the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER), an experimental tokamak that is currently being built in Cadarache, France, and which is expected to become operational in 2017 at a cost of 10 billion euros.32 ITER’s proposed tokamak design calls for a plasma volume of 840 cubic meters, over eight times the volume of the JET device. The goal of the ITER program is to produce a net gain of energy and to set the stage for commercial fusion power generation.33 Although the JET research facility has produced 16 MW of power, it was able to do so for only a brief period of time and required total energy inputs of 25 MW, hence resulting in a net loss of energy. To date, no fusion experiment has been able to release more energy than the amount of input energy. ITER has been designed to produce 500 MW of output power for 50 MW of input power, or ten times the amount of energy required as input.34 31 See A.A. Harms et al. Principles of Fusion Energy, supra note 23, at 253-255. ITER is an international effort funded by contributions from the US, the EU, China, South Korea, Japan, Russia, and India. See http://www.iter.org/FactsFigures. 33 The goal of the ITER fusion program is to produce a net gain of energy, and set the stage for the demonstration fusion power plant to come. The current record for released fusion power is 16 MW (held by the European JET facility located in Culham, UK). See http://www.iter.org/FactsFigures. 32 34 Id. 14 Despite the potential for unlimited energy production and the enthusiasm of segments of the scientific community for fusion research, fusion technology faces significant barriers. Apart from the structural and engineering challenges related to the confinement of plasma at temperatures that are ten times greater than those in the Sun, the greatest challenges faced by fusion research relate to limited funding and skepticism within scientific circles and political circles capable of influencing policy and funding. Funding for fusion must compete with funding for research of renewable sources of energy. There is a correlation between the price of oil and funding for fusion research, with fusion budgets declining in the late 1990’s, a time of relatively cheap oil prices. In the U.S., the Magnetic Fusion Engineering Act of 1980 followed the 1979 oil crisis.35 The Act called for increased funding for fusion research with the goal of operating a magnetic fusion generation plant for electric power production “by the turn of the 21st Century.36 The program was never fully funded as intended by the original legislation and needless to say, failed to achieve it stated goal of electricity production by the year 2000. Enthusiasm for fusion research in the United States is weak compared to the EU, which devotes significant resources to fusion research. The EU devotes the majority of its energy research budget towards nuclear programs, with fusion receiving the lion’s share of the EU nuclear research budget allocation. EURATOM’s nuclear research budget for 2007-2001 includes 2.167 billion euros for fusion research, more than twice the 936 billion euros allocated for fission research.37 By way of comparison, the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Fusion Energy Science Program received a total budgetary appropriation of 286.5 million dollars in FY 35 IOP Report, supra note 22, at 1 42 USC §9301 37 EURATOM funding data is available at http://evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=8343. The EURATOM treaty coordinates research among the member states of the EU towards the peaceful use of nuclear energy. For a summary of the EURATOM treaty see http://europa.eu/legislation_summaries/institutional_affairs/treaties/treaties_euratom_en.htm. 36 15 2008.38 Regarding U.S. funding for ITER, according to the DOE’s Fusion Energy Science Program, in FY 2008 the U.S. reduced its commitment to ITER from a total of 160 million dollars to 10 million dollars, a truly insignificant component to the ITER’s total budget of 10 billion euros.39 In contrast to the weak support for fusion research in the United States, China and South Korea are enthusiastically pursuing fusion research. The Institute of Physics notes that “China currently has a world-leading position with its impressive and operational mega-ampere superconducting tokamak…which started its experimental program in September 2006”.40 According to the same report, South Korea finished construction of a large experimental tokamak in 2007 using the same advanced superconducting technology that is planned for the ITER tokamak.41 In contrast, the experimental Tokamak Fusion Test Reactor at the Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory, constructed in the early 1980’s, was decommissioned in 1997 due to U.S. fusion budget constraints.42 Ernest Rutherford, the father of atomic physics, once called the possibility of energy production on a commercial scale from fusion “moonshine”.43 Indeed, the Institute of Physics notes that the greatest challenge for fusion research “is the pervasive perception that fusion as a power source is an ever receding goal”.44 In 1967 the Soviet nuclear scientist Lev Andreevich Artsimovich noted that “10 years ago we said it would take us 20 years to make fusion work and we still say that it will take 20 years to make fusion work, so we have not altered our view in any 38 Budget data available at http://www.science.doe.gov/ofes/annualbudget.shtml. Id. 40 IOP Report, supra note 22, at 12 41 Id. at 12 42 John A. Schmidt. The Fusion Reaction. 143 NO. 8 Pub. Util. Fort. 28. 29-30 (2005) 43 Fletcher T. Newton. Why Nuclear Power Will Prevail and Not Merely Survive. Rocky Mountain Mineral Law Foundation. Uranium Exploration and Development. April 27-28 2006. Paper 1A., at 2. 44 IOP Report, supra note 22, at 10 39 16 way”.45 A 2006 editorial in New Scientist noted the “old joke” that “fusion is 40 years away, and will always be”.46 James Abbot, Britain’s Green Party Technology and science spokesman notes that “Our main concern [with fusion] is it’s obviously an expensive and highly specialized form of energy production, and it’s still at an experimental stage”.47 Indeed, fusion experiments have been carried out since the early work of Oliphant in the 1930’s without achieving a net production of energy. The current efforts are aimed at the use of fusion for the production of electricity, a goal that if feasible, will result in the unleashing of vast clean energy resources. This is the stated goal of the ITER project, the world’s largest fusion initiative. This focus has eclipsed a second practical and perhaps more imminently achievable application of fusion research, the creation of fusion-fission hybrids for the production of fissile isotopes for use in fission nuclear reactors. The concept of a fusion-fission hybrid is based on the production of fast neutrons by the fusion of deuterium and tritium. The high kinetic energy of the neutron produced by the fusion reaction can be theoretically used to create fissile isotopes, such as uranium 233 and plutonium 239, through neutron bombardment of thorium 232 and uranium 238.48 This process may involve the use of an intermediate large atom to serve as a “neutron multiplier”, and may also be used to sustain a fission chain reaction within an otherwise subcritical mass of fissile materials.49 By including lithium within the area of neutron bombardment, the process of neutron bombardment will also result in the breeding of tritium for subsequent fusion reactions. This model envisions a 45 Id. New Scientist. June 7 2006. Available online at http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg19025543.300-editorialnuclear-fusion-must-be-worth-the-gamble.html. 47 Leia Parker. A future for Fusion? The Wall Street Journal. (Eastern Edition) New York, N.Y.: Feb. 22, 2010, at. R.6 48 See A.A. Harms et al. Principles of Fusion Energy, supra note 23, at 253-255 49 Id. at 253-254 46 17 fusion reactor as an adjunct to a fission power source, and not as a commercial producer of energy.50 Scientific hope for the development of commercial fusion power is currently centered on ITER, with its stated goal of commercial electricity production. According to ITER, its fusion project is not an “end to itself”, but a “bridge toward a first plant that will demonstrate the largescale production of electrical power and Tritium fuel self-sufficiency”.51 According to the ITER website, the next step after ITER is the “Demonstration Power Plant”, or DEMO. A conceptual design for such a machine could be complete by 2017. According to ITER, “DEMO will lead fusion into its industrial era, beginning operations in the early 2030s, and putting fusion power into the grid as early as 2040.”52 Hence, after ITER becomes operational in 2017, it will take more than two decades of research to determine if magnetically confined fusion is a viable option for the production of energy on a commercial scale. Although the predominant method for plasma confinement is through the use of electromagnetic forces, there exist additional methods for plasma confinement. A potentially promising method for compressing fusion material at high temperatures is inertial confinement fusion. Indeed, inertial confinement of fusion fuels by the energy of fission bombs is the basis of the hydrogen bomb. Controlled inertial confinement fusion is achieved by the pulsed bombardment of a millimeter sized pellets of fusion fuel by high energy lasers.53 Inertial confinement is a feasible method for producing energy and may compete or perhaps replace magnetic confinement as the primary method of confinement. The National Ignition Facility 50 IOP Report, supra note 22, at 12 See ITER project website at http://www.iter.org/proj/ITERAndBeyond. 52 Id. 53 See A.A. Harms, Principles of Fusion Energy, supra note 23, at 189-190 51 18 (NIF) at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in Livermore, California, an inertial confinement fusion program of the U.S. Department of Energy, has a “goal of achieving nuclear fusion and energy gain in the laboratory for the first time – in essence, creating a miniature star on Earth”.54 Construction of the NIF was completed in March 2009. The notion of “cold fusion”, or fusion at ambient temperatures, deserves mention insofar as it has received much attention in the lay press relative to the attention received in scientific circles.55 Cold fusion was initially described by Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischman in 1989.56 They reported excess heat through an electrolytic reaction involving deuterium and palladium. The magnitude of the generated heat, the researchers postulated, could not be explained by chemical reactions (reactions involving electrons) but only through by nuclear reactions involving fusion. The results of Fleischmann and Pons’ experimental work have not been reproduced. If cold fusion releases energy, it must do so without the production of large numbers of high energy neutrons or other significant sources of heat. Therefore, the physical reactions involved must be fundamentally different that those theorized for conventional fusion. The current scientific consensus is that such phenomena do not exist.57 54 See the NIF website at https://lasers.llnl.gov/about/. A link to the “60 Minutes” story on cold fusion that aired on April 22, 2009 is available at http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=4955212n. 56 Fleischman, M, and Pons, S. Electrochemically induced nuclear fusion of deuterium. Journal of Electroanalytical Chemistry. Vol 261(2),1:301-308 (1989) 57 A panel of experts organized by the DOE in 1989 concluded that cold fusion as described in the scientific literature lacks credible supporting evidence. The panel’s conclusion is available at http://files.ncas.org/erab/sec5.htm. 55 19 VI. Conclusions Depending on one’s perspective, the generation of energy from fusion is “moonshine”, as suggested by Ernest Rutherford, or perhaps a “misguided, grotesquely expensive engineering boondoggle” as described by Dave Martin, policy advisor to Greenpeace.58 On the other hand, if the ITER project proves capable of generating commercial electrical power from magnetically confined fusion, then fusion will, as suggested by Steven Cowley, director of the Culham Centre for Fusion Energy, the facility that houses the Joint European Torus, “clearly dominate energy production”.59 The ITER project will likely produce the answer to these competing views on the value of magnetically confined fusion as a source of energy. But even the most optimistic scenarios relating to ITER do not envision an answer to this question until at least the year 2040. Inertial confinement may also result in the commercial production of fusion derived energy. The results of inertial confinement experiments in the National Ignition Facility in California are unlikely to result in sustained ignition until 2020.60 In the meantime, fusion research will continue to face financial constraints fueled by skepticism about the feasibility of using fusion technology to achieve commercial energy production, as well as competition for research funding from other alternative energy sources, such as fission and renewables. The United States lags in its contributions to the international effort to make fusion energy a reality, as evidenced by its anemic budgetary contributions to the ITER project. Given the reality of global warming from the continued and increasing consumption of fossil fuels, as well as the world’s ever increasing demand for energy resources, it is incumbent upon policymakers to 58 Leia Parker, A Future for Fusion? The Wall Street Journal. (Eastern Edition). New York, N.Y.: Feb. 22, 2010, at R.6 Id 60 IOP Report, supra note 22, at 13. 59 20 provide for a transition from our current reliance on fossil fuels towards the use of alternative sources of energy production. Among the alternatives to hydrocarbons, fusion alone holds the promise of essentially limitless quantities of continuous clean energy production. The United States should follow the lead of the EU, as well as of China and South Korea, and make research into fusion a greater national energy policy priority. Only through increased funding for research will we be able to confidently identify fusion as “moonshine”, or as the answer to the world’s current energy challenge 21 FIGURE 1. The physical fusion of small atoms with subsequent release of nuclear energy. In the above diagram, deuterium and tritium fuse to form Helium and a neutron, accompanied by the release of 17.6 MeV of energy. 22 FIGURE 2. Positively charged deuterium and tritium nuclei are repelled by an electromagnetic force. This force must be overcome in order to achieve fusion. 23 FIGURE 3 The doughnut shaped magnetic confinement fields within a tokamak are produced by a toroidal electromagnetic coil configuration. The super heated plasma is contained by the magnetic field of the tokamak 24 FIGURE 4 jjj 25 FIGURE 5 An image of the inside of the tokamak at the Joint European Torus (JET) in Culham, UK 26