QUESTIONS FOR THE OVERALL ASSIGNMENT 1. What is the best way to estimate the company and divisions’ cost of capital? Answer: The best way to estimate the cost of capital is by using the CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model) where the Weighted-Average Cost of Capital (rwacc) is given by the formula rwacc D E (1 T )rd re V V Where, D is the market value of the net debt E is the market value of the total equity V is the total market value of debt and equity = D + E T is the corporate tax rate rd is the appropriately calculated discount rate for debt (cost of debt) re is the appropriately calculated discount rate for equity (cost of equity) The cost of capital (rwacc) for the company can be calculated from the observable market values of debt (D), equity (E), & corporate tax rate (T) and calculated discount rate for debt (rd) & discount rate for equity (re). The market values of debt can be estimated from the company’s current amount of debt, their maturity levels, and credit rating and by utilizing the risk-free rate that can be observed in the market. The market value of equity can be estimated from multiplying the total number of outstanding shares and the company’s stock-price. The discount rate for debt can be calculated from on market value of debt and credit rating for the company’s debt, which includes adjustments for the company debt’s default risk. The discount rate for equity can be calculated from estimated values for the equity market risk premium (EMRP) and risk level (beta) for the company’s stock. The cost of capital (rwacc) for the division can be calculated similarly using the debt level used by the division, the overall company’s tax rate, and an estimated market value of the equity (E) for the division. The equity market value for the division is not directly observable via stock prices. However, the equity market value of the division can be estimated from the present value of its future equity cash flows discounted at an appropriate rate. This equity discount rate for the division (re) can be estimated from observing the stock prices and market values of other companies (‘pure play’ approach) engaged in similar business as the division with similar risk. 2. Should it be calculated differently for different purposes? The cost of capital should be calculated differently for different purposes. It should be based on actual interest rates paid on debt for tax accounting purposes (tax accounting does not recognize the concept of cost of equity so there is no rate that can be applied for the cost of equity). The cost of capital for financial accounting purposes will need to be calculated based on financial accounting rules using actual interest rates for debt and the accounting return on equity. The cost of capital for all other ‘internal business decision purposes’ Capital budgeting, Performance assessments, Merger & Acquisition proposals, and Stock-repurchase decisions should be based on the CAPM model and appropriate market-value based and risk-based estimated discount rates for debt and equity. The risk levels and hence the risk premiums required could differ for different decisions and purposes. For example, the risk premium required for a M&A proposal (Merger and Acquisition) should be based on the estimated incremental market value due to the M&A whereas the risk premium required for capital budgeting should be based on the company’s established operations in the current and future lines of business and investments. Questions to specifically address 1. What is the appropriate risk-free rate to use in the WACC calculations? How did you arrive at this number? The appropriate risk-free rate to use in the 2007 WACC calculations is 4.98%, the rate of 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds in 2007. The rate is specified in the case, in Table 2. Team 1 compared the rate to U.S. Treasury data online (See Exhibit 1); while the rate from the case is slightly different than the average rate found online for the January 2007 average (4.85%), the Team will use the rate specified in the case. The 30-year rate is used for the risk-free rate because the majority of large firms and financial analysts report using long-term yields for bonds to determine the risk-free rate1. The appropriate risk-free rate to use for the Exploration and Production division is also the 30-year Treasury rate of 4.98%. 2. What is the Market Risk Premium (EMRP) that is most appropriate to use in the calculation for the cost of equity? How did you arrive at that number? The appropriate EMRP to use in the 2007 WACC calculation is 6.0% as listed in Table 2. Team 1 compared this rate to real-world data using the average annual total return on common stocks from Yahoo! Finance and the risk free rate from Exhibit 1. EMRP= rm-rf EMRP=10.3%-4.85%= 5.45% We determined that 6.0% is reasonable for the Market Risk Premium in the WACC calculation. 3. What weights for the cost of capital will you use? Answer specifically what weights you will use for your capital components in calculating the cost of capital for the company as a whole. Answer: The weights for the cost of debt and cost of equity are calculated from the given data in Exhibit 5 based on the given Equity Market Value and Net Debt for the Midland Company: Midland’s Equity Market Value from Exhibit 5 =E= $134,114 million Midland’s Net Debt from Exhibit 5 = D = $79,508 million Midland’s Total Market Value = V = E + D = $213,622 million Weight for the cost of debt = D/V = 0.3722 Weight for the cost of equity = E/V = 0.6278 Berk and DeMarzo. Corporate Finance – Professional Copy. Second Edition. Chapter 12, Pages 381-382. “The Market Risk Premium” 1 4. What Beta will you use for your calculation of cost of capital for the company? How did you arrive at that Beta? Are there any adjustments you made to calculation based upon your knowledge? 5. What, then, is your cost of equity for the company as a whole? 6. What is the appropriate cost of debt for the company? How did you arrive at this number? To measure ‘r’ or cost of debt, the yield would ordinarily be calculated based on outstanding debt, if the company has debt outstanding that is traded2. If the company’s debt is only thinly traded, the bond rating would be used to find the average return on the bonds. If the company is private and non-rated, the company’s balance sheet and income statement would be used; or by discussions with the company’s banker. In the Midland case, we have no detailed information about the company’s bonds outstanding. The only detail provided is the amount of long-term debt on the balance sheet. However, detail is provided about the credit rating and the spread to Treasury. For purposes of estimating the cost of debt for Midland, the 30-year US Treasury bond yield of 4.98% can be used. The Spread to Treasury will be added to the yield; therefore for Midland as a whole, 4.98% + 1.62%; or 6.60% can be used to estimate the cost of debt. For Midland’s E&P division, the same logic can be used to estimate the cost of debt. The 30-year US Treasury yield of 4.98% is added to the E&P Division’s spread to Treasury of 1.60% for a total cost of debt of 6.58% cost of debt. Ordinarily, as mentioned in the case, a premium would be added to this cost of debt to account for politically volatile countries which support less borrowing. Since insufficient details are provided in the case regarding this volatility, the Team is unable to make an approximation of the premium and will therefore use the 6.56% cost of debt for the E&P division. 2 FINA 6241 Lecture Notes, “Capital Components,” slide 5-12. 7. Finally, show your calculation for the cost of capital for the company. What rate did you calculate? Does it seem consistent with the case data? Answer: The 2006 corporate tax rate for Midland is calculated as 38.58% from taking the ratio of Taxes ($30,447 million) to the Income Before Taxes ($11,747 million) in Exhibit 1. The (weighted-average) cost of capital (rwacc) is then calculated using the formula rwacc D E (1 T )rd re V V Therefore, the cost of capital is rwacc = 0.3722 (1 - 0.3858) rd + 0.6278 re = 8. Secondarily, follow up with questions 3-7 above but in relation to the Exploration & Production Division of the company. What rate is appropriate for this division’s cost of capital? What refinements (if any) did you make to arrive at this rate? Questions for discussion in class (do not write up) (2) Was there other data you wish you would have had for your calculations? Where might you find this data in the real world? It would be helpful to have had information regarding the company’s bonds, such as amount of bonds outstanding (we know the total amount of longterm debt but a portion of this could be notes payable instead of bonds), the average price of a bond, perhaps the average coupon rate and the average time to maturity. With this information, the cost of debt could be calculated more easily for Midland. Divisional information would have also been helpful. Perhaps bonds were issued divisionally and a divisional cost of debt could have been calculated. Typically in the “real world” this information would be displayed somewhere in the 10-K annual report or in a prospectus for a specific bond issuance.