Multiple Choice Questions Inference - Two independent samples on means 1. In a study of iron deficiency among infants, random samples of infants following different feeding programs were compared. One group contained breast-fed infants, while the children in another group were fed by a standard baby formula without any iron supplements. Here are summary results of blood hemoglobin levels at 12 months of age. Group Breast-fed Formula-fed Sample Size 8 10 Sample Mean 13.3 12.4 Sample 1.7 1.8 Std. Deviation A 98% confidence interval for the mean difference in hemoglobin level between the two populations of infants is: (a) 0.9 ± 1.94 (b) 0.9 ± 2.08 (c) 0.9 ± 2.13 (d) 0.9 ± 2.15 (e) 0.9 ± 1.63 Solution: d Past performance 1989 Dec - 64% (14% a,c) Past performance 1990 Dec - 73% 2. A study was conducted to investigate the effectiveness of a new drug for treating Stage 4 AIDS patients. A group of AIDS patients was randomly divided into two groups. One group received the new drug; the other group received a placebo. The difference in mean subsequent survival (those with drugs - those without drugs) was found to be 1.04 years and a 95% confidence interval was found to be 1.04 ± 2.37 years. Based upon this information: (a) We can conclude that the drug was effective because those taking the drug lived, on average, 1.04 years longer. 1 (b) We can conclude that the drug was ineffective because those taking the drug lived, on average, 1.04 years less. (c) We can conclude that there is no evidence the drug was effective becaue the 95% confidence interval covers zero. (d) We can conclude that there is evidence the drug was effective because the 95% confidence interval does not cover zero. (e) We can make no conclusions because we do not know the sample size nor the actual mean survival of each group. Solution: c Past performance 1990 Dec - 79% Past performance 1998 Dec - 77% Past performance 2006 Dec - 85% 3. Samples of hamburger were selected from two different outlets of a large supermarket to measure the percentage of fat present in the meat, with the following summary data. n mean std.dev Outlet 1 5 10.3 1.6 Outlet 10 10.7 2.3 2 percent percent It is reasonable to believe that both outlets have the same variability. Hence, the pooled standard deviation is: (a) 1.95 (b) 2.08 (c) 4.38 (d) 2.09 (e) 2.11 Solution: e Past performance 1989 Dec - 72% 4. The degrees of freedom of the pooled estimate in the previous question is: (a) 15 (b) 13 (c) 7.5 (d) 5 (e) 10 c 2006 Carl James Schwarz 2 Solution: b Past performance 1989 Dec - 90% 5. A study was conducted to estimate the effectiveness of doing assignments in an introductory statistics course. Students in one section taught by instructor A received no assignments. Students in another section taught by instructor B, received assignments. The final grade of each student was recorded. A 95% confidence interval for the difference in the mean grades (Section A - Section B) was computed to be −3.5 ± 1.8. This means: (a) There is evidence that doing assignments improves the average grade because the difference in the population means is less than zero. (b) There is little evidence that doing assignments improves the average grade because the 95% confidence interval does not cover 0. (c) There is evidence that doing assignments improves the average grade because the 95% confidence interval does not cover 0. (d) There is evidence that doing assignments does not improve the average grade because the 95% confidence interval does not cover 0. (e) There is little evidence that doing assignments does not improve the average grade because the 95% confidence interval does cover 0. Solution: c Past performance 1989 Dec - 73% 6. Popular wisdom is that eating pre-sweetened cereal tends to increase the number of dental caries (cavities) in children. A sample of children was (with parental consent) entered into a study and followed for several years. Each child was classified as a sweetened-cereal lover or a non-sweetened cereal lover. At the end of the study, the amount of tooth damage was measured. Here is the summary data: Group Sugar Bombed No sugar n 10 15 mean 6.41 5.20 std. dev 5.0 15.0 An approximate 95% confidence interval for the difference in the mean tooth damage is: q 5 (a) (6.41 − 5.20) ± 2.26 10 + 15 15 q 225 (b) (6.41 − 5.20) ± 2.26 25 10 + 15 q 225 (c) (6.41 − 5.20) ± 1.96 25 10 + 15 c 2006 Carl James Schwarz 3 q 146 10 + 146 15 q 146 10 + 146 15 (d) (6.41 − 5.20) ± 2.07 (e) (6.41 − 5.20) ± 1.96 Solution: b Past performance 1990 Dec - 55% 7. An experiment was conducted to compare the efficacies of two drugs in the prevention of tapeworms in the stomachs of a new breed of sheep. Samples of size 5 and 8 from each breed were given the drug and the two sample means were 28.6 and 40.0 worms/sheep. From previous studies, it is known that the variances in the two groups are 198 and 232, respectively, and that the number of worms in the stomachs has an approximate normal distribution. A 95% confidence interval for the the difference in the mean number of worms per sheep is: (a) −11.4 ± 18.6 (b) 11.4 ± 18.2 (c) −11.4 ± 17.9 (d) 11.4 ± 16.2 (e) −11.4 ± 16.6 Solution: d Past performance 1989 Dec - 43% (27% -a) 8. A researcher wants to see if birds that build larger nests lay larger eggs. She selects two random samples of nests: one of small nests and the other of large nests. She weighs one egg from each nest. The data are summarized below. sample size sample mean (g) sample variance small nests 60 37.2 24.7 large nests 159 35.6 39.0 A 95% confidence interval for the difference between the average mass of eggs in small and large nests. (a) 1.6 ± 1.33 = (0.27, 2.93) (b) 1.6 ± 1.48 = (0.12, 3.08) (c) 1.6 ± 1.59 = (0.01, 3.19) (d) 1.6 ± 1.76 = (−0.16, 3.36) c 2006 Carl James Schwarz 4 (e) 1.6 ± 7.31 = (−5.71, 8.91) Solution: c Past performance 1992 Dec - 82% 9. Refer to the previous question. We wish to be 95% confident of being within 1.0 g of the true value. What is the approximate sample size is needed for each group? (a) 240 (b) 60 (c) 8000 (d) 2000 (e) 125 Solution: a Past performance 1992 Dec - 79% The following 2 questions refer to the following situation A researcher wants to see if birds that build larger nests lay larger eggs. She selects two random samples of nests: one of small nests and the other of large nests. She measures one egg from each nest. The data are summarized below. c 2006 Carl James Schwarz 5 10. Refer to the 95% confidence interval circled on the output. This means: (a) We are 95% confident that the sample mean egg size in large nests is between 37 and 40 mm if the survey was repeated. (b) If the survey was repeated, we are 95% confident that eggs sizes in large nests are between 37 and 40 mm. (c) We are 95% confident that nests will be have large eggs between 37 and 40 mm if the survey was repeated. (d) We are 95% confident that the true mean eggs size for large nests is between 37 and 40 mm. (e) We are 95% confident that repeated surveys will have population means between 37 and 40 mm. Solution: d Past performance 2006 Dec - 61% (19%-a; 12%-b) 11. Which of the following is NOT CORRECT? c 2006 Carl James Schwarz 6 (a) Because the 95% confidence interval for the difference in means includes zero, there is no evidence of a difference in the mean egg size. (b) Because the one-sided p-value is .18, there is no evidence of a difference in mean egg sizes. (c) Because the confidence intervals for the two groups have a great deal of overlap, there is no evidence of a difference in the mean egg size. (d) Because the individual values of the eggs sizes for the two groups have a great deal of overlap, there is no evidence of a difference in the means. (e) Because the 95% confidence intervals for the mean eggs sizes are approximately equal in width, the two estimates are about equally precise. Solution: d Past performance 2006 Dec - 58% (14%-a; 15%-b; 19%-d) c 2006 Carl James Schwarz 7