Suggested solutions to practical exercises Chapter 3 1. £450,000 × 231.5/189.4 = £550,026.36 = value now if just kept pace with inflation As actual value is £600,000 the real gain in value is £49,973.64 This is £49,973.64 × 100/£450,000 = 11.1 real percentage gain from original sum invested 2. Red Company dividend = 0.09 × 50p = 4.5 pence Red Company yield = 4.5 × 100/72p = 6.25% Blue Company dividend = 0.06 × £1 = 6 pence Blue Company yield = 6 × 100/82p = 7.317% Conclusion is that Blue Company is paying higher yield by 1.067% 3. £18,275 × 100/£400,000 = 4.569% 4. £5,244 × 100/(10,000 × £8.37) = 6.265% 5. £850,000 × 100/£17,000,000 = 5% Chapter 4 1. (1+0.035)7 = 1.272279 2. 1.082512 = 2.589017 × £250 = £647.25 3. 1.058 × £3,000 = £4,432.37 4. 1.0510 × £22,500 = £36,650.13 5. Return on investment minus expected average inflation rate = 4% – 2.6% = 1.4% real gain per annum (1.0147 – 1) × £1,000,000 = £102,213.40 total real gain compared to just keeping pace with inflationary increases = £102,213.40 × 100/£1,000,000 = 10.22% total real gain on investment over the 7 years 6. 1.0619 × £17,000 = £51,435.19 1.0615 × £25,000 = £59,913.95 Total now = £111,349.14 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 2 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 7. 1.082 × £6,500 = £7,581.60 × 1.075 = current value = £10,633.59 8 Amount of £1 for 7 years @ 4.5% = (1+0.045)7 = 1.36086 × £50,000 = £68,043 Amount of £1 for 3 years @ 4.5% =(1+0.045)3 = 1.141166 × £60,000 = £68,470 Therefore, total saved in account today = £136,513 9. 1.064 × 1.055 × £12,000 = 1.061 × 1.055 × £15,000 = Total now in account = £19,335.31 £20,292.88 £39,628.19 10.1.0455 × 1.0556 × £50,000 = £85,914.45 1.0556 × £70,000 = £96,518.99 In 6 years from now total saved = £182,433.44 11. To calculate future rents it is necessary to allow for compound interest at the estimated annual growth rate to be added to the current market rent. This is found by using the Amount of £1 table. Thus future rents will be: In 5 years = £40,000 × A £1 in 5yrs @ 2% = £40,000 × 1.1041 = £44,164 per annum In 10 years = £40,000 × A £1 in 10yrs @ 2% = £40,000 × 1.219 = £48,760 per annum In 15 years = £40,000 × A £1 in 15yrs @ 2% = £40,000 × 1.3459 = £53,836 per annum 12. PV is the inverse or reciprocal of the Amount of £1 formula. Thus if Amount of £1 (A) is found, the present value for the same time period at the same interest rate will be 1/A or 1/(1+i)n. 13. 1/1.042526 = 0.338862 14. £8,500 × 1/1.0331 = £3,399.89 15. £220,000 × 1/1.0918 = £46,638.62 16. £42,000 × 1/1.068 = £26,351.32 17. PV for 8 years @ 5% = 1/(1+0.05)8 = 0.67839 × £100,000 = £67,839 needs to be invested now to reach the target amount required in 8 years from now. 18. PV of £80,000 in 4.5 yrs @ 4.85% = £80,000 × 1/(1.0485)4.5 = £80,000/1.237563 = £64,644.57 19. 28 months = 28/12 = 2.333 years £11,500 × 1/1.042.333 = £10,494.43 20. The £300,000 will not be received for 2 years. Thus, its present value today at 9% all-risks yield will be: £300,000 × PV £1 in 2 years @ 9% = £300,000 × (1/1.092) = £300,000 × 0.8417 = £252,510 SAY Sale Price now = £252,500 21. £450,000 × 1/1.072525 = £78,213.19 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 3 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 22.£10,500 × 1/1.0353 = £9,470.40 £8,000 × 1/1.0358 = £6,075.29 £12,000 × 1/1.03513 = £7,672.85 Total current value =£23,218.54 23. £78,000 × 100/£1,000,000 = 7.8% 24. £320,000 × 100/£4,000,000 = 8% 25. Amount of £1 per annum for 8 years @ 6% = (1.068 – 1)/0.06 = 9.897468 × £4,000 = £39,589.87 now in the account 26.1.047 × £50,000 = £65,796.59 £5,000 × (1.046 – 1)/0.04 =£33,164.88 Total now in account = £98,961.47 Chapter 5 1. 0.04/(1.046 – 1) = 0.150762 2. £150,000 × 0.03/(1.0312 – 1) = £10,569.31 per annum 3. £50,000 × 0.045/(1.0457 – 1) = £6,235.07 per annum 4. £80,000 × 0.0325/(1.032515 – 1) = £4,223.09 per annum 5. £75,000 × 0.0425/(1.042518 – 1) = £2,858.01 per annum 6. Net of tax asf rate = 5.5% × (100 – 40)/100 = 3.3% £45,000 × 0.033/(1.0339 – 1) = £4,375.66 per annum 7. £4,000 × (1.04756 – 1)/0.0475 = £27,037.05 saved so far 1.056 × £27,037.05 = £36,232.23 will have been saved in 6 years from now as a result of the money already invested. This leaves a shortfall of £100,000 – £36,232.23 = £63,767.77 £63,767.77 × 0.05/(1.056 – 1) = £9,374.96 per annum needs to be invested for next 6 years to reach target. 8. This requires use of two formulae or tables from Parry’s: the Amount of £1 and the Amount of £1 per annum. £2,500 invested per annum for the past 9 years @ 3.75% will now amount to: A £1 per annum for 9 yrs @ 3.75% × £2,500 9 £2,500 × (1.0375 – 1)/0.0375 = £26,187.50 This sum will continue to attract interest at 4 per cent before tax per annum for the next 3 years. But, investor pays income tax at 40 per cent. Thus net-of-tax (after deduction of tax) the investor will have 60 per cent of 4 per cent interest left, that is (100 – 40)/100 = 0.6 multiplier 0.6 × 4% = 2.4% net asf rate. So, original investment in 3 years’ time will amount to: £26,187.50 × A £1 for 3 yrs @ 2.4% = £28,118.61 Target sum required is £50,000, so ‘shortfall’ = £21,881.39 Annual investment per annum for next 3 years to meet this target is found by: annual sinking fund (asf) for 3 yrs @ 2.4% × £21,881.39 = 0.32546 × £21,881.39 = £7,121.51 per annum For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 4 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Conclusion: the investor needs to invest £7,121.51 per year for the next 3 years in order to achieve her target of a total sum of £50,000 in 3 years from now. 9. 5% × (100 – 28)/100 = 3.6% net asf rate £60,000 × 0.036/(1.03611.333 – 1) = £4,380.96 per annum 10. (1.1315 × 0.13)/(1.1315 – 1) = £0.154742 per annum 11. £160,000 × (1.1118 × 0.11)/(1.1118 – 1) = £20,774.86 per annum 12. £250,000 × (1.07525 × 0.075)/(1.07525 – 1) = £22,427.67 per annum 13. £25,000 × (1.1255 × 0.125)/(1.1255 – 1) = £7,021.35 per annum 14. £190,000 × (1.08520 × 0.085)/(1.08520 – 1) = £20,077.48 per annum 15. £240,000 × (1.072522 × 0.0725)/(1.072522 – 1) = £22,149.16 per annum/12 = £1,845.76 per month 16. £3,852.74/((1.087510 × 0.0875)/(1.087510 – 1)) = £24,999.99 In other words a £25,000 loan. 17. First find the annual repayments: £15,000 × (1.126 × 0.12)/(1.126 – 1) = £3,648.39 per annum Then divide by the annuity £1 will purchase for 3 yrs @ 12% or multiply by the years purchase single rate for 3 yrs @ 12%: £3,648.39/((1.123 × 0.12)/(1.123 – 1)) = £8,762.82 or £3,648.39 × (1.123 – 1)/(1.123 × 0.12) = £8,762.82 to repay loan early Chapter 6 1. YP perp number from each of these all risks yields is: a. 5% = 20 b. 6% = 16.667 c. 7% = 14.286 d. 9% = 11.111 e. 11% = 9.091 f. 12.5% = 8 2. ARY% represented by the following YP perp numbers is: a. 5 = 20% b. 8 = 12.5% c. 10 = 10% d. 14.23 = 7% e. 16.667 = 6% f. 25 = 4% 3. £200,000 × 100/6.75 = £2,962,962.96 SAY = £2,963,000 4. £80,000 × 100/8.5 = £941,176.47 SAY = £941,200 5. £1,200,000 × 8/100 = £96,000 per annum For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 5 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 6. Freehold valuation Net income (MR) = £150,000p.a. × YP perp @ 7.5% 13.333 Market value = £2,000,00 YP perp = 100/ARY Client should offer £2 million for the freehold 7. Market rent (MR) = MV × ARY/100 Thus anticipated MR = £950,000 × 6.8/100 = £64,600 p.a. 8. Annual rate of return on property = All-risks yield (ARY) ARY = MR × 100/MV Thus: ARY = £175,000 × 100/£2.1M = 8.33% 9. (1.0915 – 1)/(1.0915 × 0.09) = 8.0606884 10. £60,000 × YP 3 yrs @ 7.25% = £156,743 SAY = £156,750 11. £87,500 × YP 2 yrs @ 11% = £149,846 SAY = £150,000 12. £200,000/£38,350 = YP for 10 yrs @ x% = 5.215123859 Look in Parry’s Tables for YP single rate and across the 10 years rows until a YP of this number or as close to this as possible is found. It will be seen that YP for 10 yrs @ 14% is 5.2161156 and is as close to number sought as to be of marginal difference. Conclusion is that the investment has sold at a yield of close to 14 per cent. 13. YP single rate for 7 yrs @ 7.5% = ((1.075)7 – 1)/((1.075)7 × 0.075) = 5.2966 Present value of £30,000 p.a. for 7 yrs @ 7.5% = £30,000 × 5.2966 = £158,898 SAY = £158,900 14. £2,000,000/YP 15 yrs @ 12% = £2M/6.8108645 = £293,648 per annum 15. 1/(1.136 × 0.13) = 3.694757903 16. £1,200,000/YP perp def 3 yrs @ 6% = £1,200,000/13.9936547 = £85,753 per annum 17. £400,000 × YP perp def 2 yrs @ 11% = £2,951,354 SAY = £2,9500,000 18. £60,000 × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 8% = £595,374 SAY = £595,000 19. YP 12 yrs @ 9% = 7.1607253 PV 4 yrs @ 9% = 0.7084252 YP × PV = 5.0728383 = YP for 12 yrs def 4 yrs @ 9% 20. YP single rate for 8 yrs @ 5% = ((1.05)8 – 1)/((1.05)8 × 0.05) = 6.46321 PV for 2 yrs @ 5% = 1/(1.05)2 = 0.907029 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 6 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises PV = £25,000 p.a. × YP for 8 yrs @ 5% × PV for 2 yrs @ 5% = £146,558 SAY = £146,500 21. YP 8 yrs @ 7% = 5.9712985 PV 3 yrs @ 7% = 0.8162978 £90,000 × 5.9712985 × 0.8162978 = £438,692 SAY = £438,500 22. YP 5 yrs @ 5% = 4.3294767 PV 4 yrs @ 5% = 0.8227024 £70,000 × 4.3294767 × 0.8227024 = £249,330 SAY = £249,500 23. YP 25 yrs @ 8% = 10.6747762 PV 4 yrs @ 8% = 0.73502985 £300,000/(10.6747762 × 0.73502985) = £38,235 per annum 24. asf = 0.032/(1.0325 – 1) = 0.187603009 YP = 1/(0.08+0.187603009) = 3.73687875 25. £10,000 × YP for 7 yrs @ 10% + 4% = £44,129 SAY = £44,100 26. £26,500 × YP for 4 yrs @ 12% + 5% = £75,282 SAY = £75,300 27. Net asf rate = 7% × 0.6 = 4.2% £25,250 × YP 7 yrs @ 14% + 4.2% (tax 40%) = £72,197 SAY = £72,200 28. Net asf rate = 6% × 0.8 = 4.8% £39,000 × YP for 5 yrs @ 12% + 4.8% (tax 20%) = £112,352 SAY = £112,400 29. Net asf rate = 4.25% × 0.72 = 3.06% Leasehold valuation Rent receivable (market rent)= £25,000 p.a. Less rent payable= £20,000 p.a. Net profit rent= £5,000 p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 11.5% + 3.06% (tax 28%) 2.65752 Market value (assignment price) = £13,287 SAY = £13,300 30. Net profit rent = £6,500 p.a. × YP for 6 yrs @ 12% + 3.5% & tax @ 21% 3.1923 Market value (assignment price) = £20,750 31. YP for 6 yrs @ 9% + 3%= 4.0883492 PV for 3 yrs @ 9% = 0.77218348 YP for 6 yrs @ 9% + 3% (no tax) def 3 yrs = 3.15695571 32. YP for 10 yrs @ 11% + 3% (tax 30%)= 4.2623019 PV for 4 yrs @ 11% = 0.658730974 YP for 10 yrs @ 11% + 3% (tax 30%) def 4 yrs = 2.8077103 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 7 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 33. Net asf rate = 6% × 0.6 = 3.6% YP for 4 yrs @ 9% + 3.6% (tax 40%)= 2.0625805 PV for 2 yrs @ 9%= 0.84167999 YP for 4 yrs @ 9% + 3.6% (tax 40%) def 2 yrs = 1.7360323 × £42,00 = £72,900 Chapter 7 1. a. 4.7665397 b. 4.9733123 c. 4.8369963 2. £25,000 × 4.1904252 = £104,761 SAY = £104,750 3. 100 × (1.02254 – 1) = 9.308% 4. a. £50,000 × 11.23136 = £561,568 SAY = £561,500 b. Net income= × YP perp @ 6.25% c. £125,000 16.620 = SAY = p.a. £2,077,533 £2.08 million Net asf rate = 4% × 0.7 = 2.8% Then using the formula, the YP can be calculated £25,000 × YP for 5 yrs @ 9.5% + 2.8% (tax 30%) QIA = £70,371 SAY = £70,400 Chapter 8 1. a. 328 feet 1 inch (328’1”) or 109.36132 yards b. 1,312 feet 4 inches (1,312’4”) or 437.4453 yards c. 0.6213881 mile or 1,096.643 yards or 3,280 feet 11 inches (3,280’11”) d. 3.1069409 miles or 5,468.2159 yards or 16,404 ft 6 in (16,404’6”) 2. a. 1,345.5328 square feet b. 5,920.3444 square feet c. 13,455.328 square feet d. 123,789.02 square feet e. 59.3032 acres 3. a. 3.81 metres or 38.1 centimetres or 3,810 millimetres b. 5.0799997 metres c. 7.0611997 metres d. 6.4372 kilometres or 6,437.2 metres e. 10.058125 kilometres f. 44.25575 kilometres g. 42.0888 hectares h. 35.39625 cubic metres For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 8 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Chapter 10 1. Estimated market rent = 850 × £75 = £63,750 p.a. ARY = MR × 100/MV ARY = £63,750 × 100/£820,000 ARY = 7.77% 2. Comparable site has space for 1.5 × 33 = 49.5 dwellings Site value per dwelling = £2,000,000/49.5 = £40,404 Subject has space for 1 × 40 = 40 dwellings @ £40,404 each = £1,616,161 SAY = £1.62 million 3. MR = ARY × MV/100 MR = 5.25 × £3,000,000/100 Market rent = £157,500 per annum /788 sq.m. = £199.87 SAY = £200 per sq.m. p.a. 4. Comparable = £217,000/3,100 = £70 psm Thus rental value of subject = £70 × 2,750 sq.m. = £192,500 p.a. 5. Comparables:£185,000/600= £308.33 per sq.m. p.a. £265,000/900= £294.44 per sq.m. p.a. Subject property’s floor area is mid-way between these two comparables and it appears the market has made a quantum adjustment for their respective sizes. Thus adopt average of the two comparable rents: 750 × £301.39 per sq.m. = £226,040 SAY market rent of office = £226,000 per annum 6. Analysis of ITZA Zone A 16.5 × 6 = 99 @ x = 99 Zone B 16.5 × 6 = 99 @ 0.5x = 49.5 Zone C 16.5 × 6 = 99 @ 0.25x = 24.75 Zone D 16.5 × 2 = 33 @ 0 as non NIA = 0 GF Ancillary 16.5 × 7 = 115.5 @ 0.05x = 5.775 LG Sales = 260 @ 0.1x = 26 Mezz Sales = 270 @ 0.125x = 33.75 1st Flr stock = 302 @ 0.04x = 12.08 TOTAL ITZA (sq.m.) = 250.855 @ £60,000/sq.m Market value= £15,051,300 SAY= £15 million (on assumption VP value or property let at current market rent) 7. The return frontage will add to the value, but there is no single agreed approach on how this should be assessed. It is possible to adopt a diagonal zoning method, working from the front corner of the unit and using an average of the two zone A rental rates. The shop area will then be divided into triangular and trapezium-shaped zones rather than rectangles. Alternatively, zoning can take place from both frontages and highest figure per square metre adopted where zones overlap. However, this can lead to overvaluation. More simply a percentage addition can be made as an ‘end allowance’ after the unit has been zoned in the conventional fashion from the highest zone A rental frontage. It is also essential the ITZA rental used has been derived in the same way as the method employed to value the subject premises. Possible analysis of floor area (note 10 sq.m. deducted from zone C square measurements to allow for non-NIA area): For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 9 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Zone Frontage Depth Area Value ITZA A 12.5 6 75 1 75 B 12.5 6 75 0.5 37.5 C 12.5 4 40 0.25 10 Ground floor ancillary 130 0.05 6.5 Mezzanine floor sales 105 0.125 13.125 1st floor ancillary 285 0.04 11.4 Lower ground sales 170 0.1 17 Lower ground ancillary 150 0.04 6 ITZA = 176.525 Add end allowance for Return frontage @ say 10% 17.6525 Total ITZA = 194.2 Total rent p.a. SAY = £350,000 Rent psm ITZA p.a. = £1,802.47 This rental assessment would apply if the subject was on the same terms as the comparables. However, there are differences that require further adjustment: Discount for longer lease length of 21 years= – 5% Increase for longer rent review periods = +3% Reduction for restrictive user clause = – 10% Total of these adjustments = – 12% Reduce calculated rental by this amount = £350,000 × 0.88 = £308,000 Conclusion: recommended rent at review around £308,000 per annum. 8. A/E = cost of work/YP for number of years over which cost is to be ‘written off ’. = £200,000/YP 20 yrs @ 11% = £200,000/7.9633 = £25,115 per annum Such a calculation is needed to calculate annual depreciation for accounts purposes or to find out what a capital expenditure would equate to on an annual basis. It will be used when finding the ‘equivalent rent’ or ‘net effective rent’ for a property (as defined in RICS Red Book Valuation Information Paper No. 8: The Analysis of Commercial Lease Transactions) from its ‘headline rent’. The headline rent is the sum payable by the tenant, but this ignores the value of any ‘incentives’ incorporated in the lease agreement. For comparison purposes and to find the ‘true’ market rent it is necessary to find the ‘equivalent’ rent (see Chapter 16 for more information). 9. a. b. c. £175,000/YP for 7 yrs @ 6% = £31,348.63 per annum £185,000/YP for 5.5 yrs @ 7.25% = £41,976.92 per annum Net asf rate = 5% × 0.72 = 3.6% £225,000/YP for 8 yrs @ 9% + 3.6% & tax @ 28% = £54,651.38 per annum 10. Annual equivalent = Capital sum/YP = £125,000/YP for 15 yrs @ 8%+3%(tax 40%) AE = £125,000/5.8958 = £21,202 per annum Chapter 11 1. YP perp deferred 2 yrs @ 6.2% = 1/((1.062)2 × 0.062) = 14.3007 PV = £90 × 750 sq.m. × YP perp def 2yrs @ 6.2% = £965,297 SAY value = £965,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 10 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 2. Leasehold valuation Rent receivable (market rent)= £32,000 p.a. Less rent payable= £25,000 p.a. Net profit rent = £7,000 p.a × YP for 4 yrs @ 9.50% + 3.0% & tax @ 40% 2.027 Market value (assignment price)= £14,188 SAY = £14,200 Freehold valuation Term Net income= £25,000 p.a. × YP for 4 yrs @ 7.00% 3.387 £84,680 Reversion to market rent Net income= £32,000 p.a. × YP perp def 4 yrs @ 8.00% 9.188 = £294,012 Market value = £378,692 SAY = £379,000 • Freehold ARY on reversion assumed at 1.5 per cent lower than leasehold ARY as better investment • Term yield reduced by 1 per cent to reflect additional security of income compared to market rent 3. Net asf rate = 5% × 0.72 = 3.6%. Say round down to 3.5%. Leasehold valuation Rent receivable (market rent)= £250,000 p.a. Less rent payable= £200,000 p.a. Net profit rent= £50,000 p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 8.50% + 3.5% & tax @ 28% 2.907 Market value (assignment price) = £145,348 SAY = £145,000 4. Net asf rate = 3.5% × 0.8 = 2.8%. SAY round down to 2.5% as next nearest in tables. Leasehold valuation Rent receivable (market rent)= £100,000 p.a. Less rent payable= £50,000 p.a. Net profit rent= £50,000 p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 7.00% + 2.5% & tax @ 20% 3.249 Market value (assignment price) = £162,439 SAY = £162,500 5. Analysis of the comparables: Bannister House: £200/sq.m. but slightly smaller than subject although has 15 year term + 5-yearly rent reviews Coe House: £179.10/sq.m. but somewhat larger than subject and a straight 5 year term Thus use say £195/sq.m. as current MR on subject property; giving market rent of £321,750 per annum Freehold valuation of subject Term Net income £250,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 6.5% 2.648 = £662,119 Reversion to market rent £321,750 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 7.5% 10.733 = £3,453,281 Market value = £4,115,400 SAY = £4,110,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 11 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Initial yield = £250,000 × 100/(MV+purchase costs) Assume costs @ 6% then initial yield = £250,000 × 100/£4,356,600 = 5.74% Reversionary yield = £321,750/MV = 7.83% Equivalent yield found from tables, formula or simple DCF/interpolation: Years Income × YP = DCF 1-3 £250,000 4-perp £321,750 Calculated at 7.5% and say 6.5% and then results interpolated to find yield. Using conventional methods, this can be achieved as follows: Freehold valuation @ trial rate equivalent yield of 7.5% Term Net income £250,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 7.5% 2.601 = £650,131 Reversion to market rent Net income £321,750 p.a. × YP perp def3 yrs @ 7.5% 10.733 = £3,453,281 Market value = £4,103,412 SAY = £4,100,000 Freehold valuation at trial rate equivalent yield of 6.5% Term Net income £250,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 6.50% 2.648 £662,119 Reversion to market rent Net income £321,750 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 6.50% 12.736 = £4,097,853 Market value = £4,759,972 SAY = £4,760,000 ‘True’ or ‘Target’ MV found from above = £4.11 million MV @ 7.5% yield = £4.1 million MV @ 6.5% yield = £4.76 million Difference between MVs at two trial rates = £0.66 million Difference between target MV and MV at higher trial rate = £0.01 million Difference between the two trial rates = 1% Thus equivalent yield = 7.5% – ((0.01 × 1%)/0.66) = 7.5% – 0.015% = 7.48% To prove this is correct, insert it back into a conventional valuation: Freehold valuation Term Net income £250,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 7.48% 2.601 £650,368 Reversion to market rent Net income £321,750 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 7.48% 10.768 £3,464,447 Market value = £4,114,815 SAY = £4,110,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 12 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 6. First, assess the current market rent for each property: Unit 1 measures 1,000 sq.m. Unit 2 measures 2,000 sq.m. Unit 3 measures 1,500 sq.m. Comparables indicate rentals of £55 to £60 per sq.m. for similar units. Quantum adjustments to allow for differing sizes of units normally show higher rentals per sq.m. for smaller floorspaces. Thus adopt: £60 per sq.m. for unit 1, £55 for unit 2 and £57.50 for unit 3. Estimated market rents: Unit 1 = £60,000 p.a. Unit 2 = £110,000 p.a. Unit 3 = £86,250 p.a. Freehold valuation of Unit 1 Term Net income £50,000 × YP for 1.5yrs @ 7.00% 1.379 Reversion to market rent Net income £60,000 × YP perp def 1.5yrs @ 7.00% 12.907 = Market value = SAY = p.a. £68,934 p.a. £774,422 £843,356 £843,000 Note: term yield not reduced as term income only marginally ‘more secure’ than reversionary income (i.e. rent in term is only £10,000 less and is still 83 per cent of market rent) so little difference in risk involved. Freehold valuation of Unit 2 Term Net income £100,000 p.a. × YP for 1yrs @ 7.00% 0.935 £93,458 Reversion to market rent Net income £110,000 p.a × YP perp def 1yrs @ 7.00% 13.351 = £1,468,625 Market value = £1,562,083 SAY = £1,562,000 Note: term yield not reduced as term rent only slightly ‘more secure’ than reversion being only £10,000 (approximately 9 per cent) lower. Freehold valuation of Unit 3 Term Net income £85,000 × YP for 0.33yrs @ 7.00% 0.315 Reversion to market rent Net income £86,250 × YP perp def 0.33yrs @ 7.00% 13.970 = Market value = SAY = p.a. £26,811 p.a. £1,204,937 £1,231,749 £1,232,000 Note: no adjustment made to term yield as term rent is virtually same as reversionary rent and is thus considered an equal risk rate. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 13 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises As remaining term is so short, a simpler valuation would be: Net income (market rent) = × YP perp @ 7% £86,250 p.a. 14.286 Market value = £1,232,167 SAY = £1,232,000 Total value of freehold interest in the estate held by ABC Investments = Unit 1 MV = £843,000 Unit 2 MV = £1,562,000 Unit 3 MV = £1,232,000 Total market value SAY = £3.64 million Leasehold valuation of XYZ’s interest in Unit 1 Rent receivable (market rent) £60,000 p.a. Less rent payable £50,000 p.a. Net profit rent £10,000 p.a. × YP for 1.5yrs @ 8.25% + 3.0% & tax @ 21% 1.087 Market value (assignment premium) = £10,870 SAY = £11,000 Leasehold valuation of RST’s interest in Unit 2 Rent receivable (market rent) £110,000 Less rent payable £100,000 Net profit rent £10,000 × YP for 1yrs @ 8.25% + 2.5% & tax @ 28% 0.68 Market value (assignment premium) = p.a. p.a. p.a. £6,800 Leasehold valuation of DDP’s interest in Unit 3: The rent paid by the tenant is virtually the market rent and there are only four months left to run on the lease, so the lease will have no saleable value. No valuation required. 7. Analysis of comparables The basis of this is to obtain a basic breakdown (£ per sq.m.). Then see how the comparable differs from the subject property and adjust accordingly. The location of all the comparables is the same as the subject building (as they are in the same road) and so no adjustment is needed for this aspect. Features of subject property: • Three-storey building, but this does not pose any special problem as there is a lift. • Built 15 years ago – if not refurbished this would be viewed as an older building and could be more difficult to let on the open market. • Secondary office district so it is necessary to be looking for secondary ARYs not prime. • Occupied by a PLC, so quite a good covenant, which means a slightly lower yield, could be accepted. • Maintained to a good standard and has double-glazing, lift and central heating, so reasonably good for its age. • Ten years without review means that this is not so good from the landlord’s viewpoint as, although the income may be quite ‘safe’, there would also be no increases to keep pace with inflation. • IRL (internal repairing lease) terms mean the landlord has to pay for external and structural repairs, insurance and management. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 14 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Analysis of Ascot House comparable £85,000/945 sq.m = £89.95 per sq.m. p.a. Differences to subject Built 4 years later Adjustment 25 yr term Rent reviews Add say 5% to this comparable rent as such a long term is not favoured by tenants nowadays and the 10 year periodleft on the subject lease is more attractive No rent reviews are mentioned, so assume they are standard 5-yearly. Add say 5% to allow for no review on subject property which would lead to landlord seeking higher rent to offset loss of income over next 10 years Size/quantum FRI terms This year letting date Air conditioning Nil; similar age Comparable is 26% larger; say add 3% for quantum for subject Nil; rent on review/lease renewal of subject will either be on FRI terms OR IRL less outgoings which will = net FRI rental value anyway Nil; assume no significant change in market since let Better than subject; say deduct 10% Adjusted comparable: for subject, the rental value needs adjustment by say +3% = £92.65/sq.m. Analysis of Sandown House comparable £102,400/1,170 sq.m = £87.52 per sq.m. p.a. Differences to subject 5-storey building Adjustment Built 4 years later Nil; similar age Lease term 5-yrly RRs (assumed) Size/quantum FRI terms This year rent review 2 storeys more than subject. Not a drawback providing the building has a lift. This is not stated, but can be assumed Lease has 10 years unexpired; the same as the subject building, so nil adjustment Add say 5% to allow for no review for 10 years on subject Comparable 56% larger; say add 5% for quantum for subject Nil; rent on review/lease. Renewal of subject will either be on FRI terms or IRL less outgoings will = net FRI rental value anyway Nil; assume no significant movement of market since let Adjusted comparable: for subject, the rental value needs adjustment by say –10% = £96.27/sq.m. In addition, the freehold sale last week provides evidence of the ARY. The rental receivable by the landlord is the market rent as at this year, so assume is up-to-date if market not changed since letting.Thus: ARY = (£102,400/£930,700) × 100 = 11% i.e. this is the freehold ARY when MR is payable for this building. Analysis of Chester Court comparable £73,750/680 sq.m = £108.45 per sq.m. p.a. Differences to subject Built 1 year later Adjustment Lease term not known 5-yrly RRs (assumed) Assume as new lease this will be for currently common 5-year term for an older building; as subject lease is twice this length and less attractive to a tenant say deduct 5% Add say 5% to allow for no review for 10 years on subject Size/quantum IRI terms Let this year Poor condition Nil; similar age Comparable 28% smaller; say deduct 5% for quantum allowance on subject As rent on review/lease renewal of subject will either be on FRI terms or IRL less outgoings will = net FRI rental value, theoutgoings on this comparable need to be deducted; say deduct 15% (10% external & structural repairs + 5% management) Nil; current market evidence providing no significant change in market since let Subject is better; say add 10% Adjusted comparable: for subject, the rental value needs adjustment by say –10% = £97.60/sq.m. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 15 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Summary of comparable analysis All the above are only suggestions on how percentage adjustments could be allocated. There is considerable room for differences in opinion on the percentages used and the method of analysis used. Also quite a lot more information needs to be found on each comparable, if possible, to ascertain why the figures differ between each building and what qualitative factors this may be due to – it is never possible to have too much evidence! Unadjusted comparables show: £89.95, £87.52 and £108.45. Straight average of these figures is £95.30/ sq.m. although one comparable is considerably out-of-line with the others and there is a temptation to disregard this and just average the remaining two – but this would be wrong! Having made qualitative and quantitative adjustments, the adjusted comparables are: £92.65, £96.27 and £97.60. These are a lot more consistent and logical and the straight average of these is £95.50/sq.m. Two of the comparables are higher than the strict average, thus the figure of £96.00/sq.m. will be adopted for the subject building. market rent valuation = 750 sq.m. × £96.00 = £72,000 per annum Capital valuations The all-risks yields will need to be used in the calculations, based on any market evidence that can be obtained. The best and most direct evidence is provided by the sale of Sandown House last week.Taking account of this evidence and the location and secondary nature of property, etc., an ARY of 11% for the freehold and 13% for the leasehold calculations can be adopted (i.e. 2% added to freehold for leasehold in absence of any direct leasehold yield evidence). a. Existing freehold valuation Term Gross income £70,500 Less outgoings: Ext/struct reps @ say 10% MR £7,200 Insurance £6,000 Management @ 5% rent £3,525 £16,725 Net income £53,775 × YP for 10 yrs @ 10% 6.1445 Reversion Net income £72,000 × YP perp def 10 yrs @ 11% 3.2016 Capital value = SAY = p.a. p.a. p.a. £330,420 p.a. £230,515 £560,935 £561,000 b. Existing leasehold valuation Rent receivable (MR on FRI terms) Add outgoings Rent receivable on IRL terms Less rent payable Net profit rent × YP 10 yrs @ 13% + 3% (tax 28%) £72,000 p.a. £16,725 p.a. £88,725 p.a. £70,500 p.a. £18,225 p.a. 3.982 = £72,565 SAY = £72,500 c. Freehold valuation with VP Net income (MR) × YP perp @ 11% £72,000 p.a. 9.0909 = £654,545 SAY= £654,500 Freehold with VP minus (present freehold + present leasehold) = £654,500 - (£561,000 + £72,500) = £21,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 16 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Thus there is a small potential ‘marriage value’ from the merging of the leasehold and freehold interests (covered in Chapter 16). This is the release of potential latent additional value through the tenant purchasing the freehold and then being in possession of a property that could sell for more than the combined total of the present freehold and leasehold interests. 8. Valuation of head leasehold interest Term Rent receivable= £47,500 p.a. Less rent payable= £ 1,500 p.a. Net profit rent = £46,000 p.a. × YP 2 yrs @ 11% + 4.5% (tax 30%) 1.2368 = £ 56,893 Reversion Rent receivable: 1,000sm @ £60 = £60,000 p.a. Less rent payable= £ 1,500 p.a. Net profit rent = £58,500 p.a. × YP 20 yrs def 2 yrs @ 12% + 4.5% (tax @ 30%) 4.8157 = £281,718 Capital value = £338,611 SAY = £338,500 Notes • Term yield 1 per cent lower to reflect term rent receivable is much lower and more secure than reversion rent. • The subject property has a ‘standard’ office content of circa 10 per cent GIA. A much higher office content could warrant a higher overall rental rate per sq.m. or a valuation on an ‘excess office’ basis, where comparables have been obtained from buildings with approx. 10 per cent content. This ‘excess’ approach would be to value all office content in excess of 10 per cent at a higher rate per sq.m. (usually 1.5 or 2 times the standard industrial/warehouse rental rate). Valuation of sub-leasehold interest Rent receivable (FRI terms)= £60,000 p.a. Less Rent payable (FRI terms)= £47,500 p.a. Net profit rent= £12,500 p.a. × YP 2 yrs @ 12%+4.5% (tax 21%) 1.3532 Capital value = £16,915 SAY= £17,000 On next rent review, sublessee will pay MR and will have no profit rent; value of interest is thus over next 2 years only. 9. Head leasehold valuation Term Rent Receivable Less Rent Payable Net profit rent × YP for 4 yrs @ 8.00% + 2.5% & tax @ 28% £225,000 p.a. £25,000 p.a. £200,000 p.a. 2.413 = £482,545 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 17 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Reversion Rent receivable £240,840 p.a. Less rent payable £25,000 p.a. Net profit rent £215,840 p.a. × YP for 12 yrs @ 8.00% + 2.5% & tax @ 28% 5.535 × PV 4 yrs @8.00% 0.735 = £878,082 Market value (assignment price) = £1,360,627 SAY = £1,361,000 10. Comparable rent = £67.50 per sq.m. p.a. However, this property is considerably larger than the subject, so adjust for quantum and adopt say £70 for subject premises: £70 × 1,300 = £91,000 per annum. Freehold valuation Term Net income= £60,000 p.a. × YP for 7 yrs @ 8.00% 5.206 £312,382 Reversion to market rent Net income= £91,000 p.a. × YP perp def 7 yrs @ 9.00% 6.078 £553,112 Market value = £865,495 SAY = £865,000 Equivalent yield approach: freehold valuation Term Net income = £60,000 p.a. × YP for 7 yrs @ 8.91% 5.048 £302,891 Reversion to market rent Net income= £91,000 p.a. × YP perp def 7 yrs @ 8.91% 6.175 £561,939 Market value = £864,831 SAY = £865,000 Nominal equivalent yield = 8.91% (annually in arrear) Hardcore or layer approach: freehold valuation Hardcore Net income = £60,000 × YP perp @ 8.38% 11.933 Top slice Net income= £31,000 × YP perp def 7 yrs @ 10.38% 4.826 Market value = SAY = p.a. £715,990 p.a. £149,600 £865,590 £865,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 18 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Freehold valuation: quarterly in advance basis Term Net income= £60,000 p.a. × YP for 7 yrs @ 8.45% 5.395 £323,714 Reversion to market rent Net income= £91,000 p.a. × YP perp def 7 yrs @ 9.45% 5.953 £541,686 Market value = £865,399 SAY = £865,000 Equivalent yield approach QIA: Freehold valuation Term Net income= £60,000 p.a. × YP for 7 yrs @ 9.36% 5.260 £315,623 Reversion to market rent Net income= £91,000 p.a. × YP perp def 7 yrs @ 9.36% 6.041 £549,767 Market value = £865,389 SAY = £865,000 True equivalent yield = 9.36% (quarterly in advance) The ARY has been found from annually in arrear analysis of comparables and must be reused in the same way so that devaluation and revaluation are on the same basis. The yields used in each of the other valuations should similarly be derived from analysis using the same approach as the valuation method. For example, a quarterly in advance yield must be found by both analysing and then valuing using this approach. The above uses an adjusted QIA yield to find the same capital value calculated from the conventional approach. If the same ARY was used as found from annually in arrear analysis, an overvaluation will result. Freehold valuation: quarterly in advance basis but using unadjusted annually in arrear ARY Term Net income= £60,000 p.a. × YP for 7 yrs @ 8.00% 5.464 £327,851 Reversion to market rent Net income= £91,000 p.a. × YP perp def 7 yrs @ 9.00% 6.416 £583,890 Market value = £911,741 SAY = £912,000 11. An insurance assessment is needed to find the annual premiums that will be payable: Site clearance and preparation SAY Construction costs: 1,550 × £1300 Professional fees @ say 12% costs = Cost of alt accom for say 2 yrs rebuilding period for 1,220 sq.m. @ £130 psm MR Plus allowance for inflation @ say 3% Insurance sum @ 35p per £100 = £8,816 p.a. premium £30,000 £2,015,000 £241,800 £2,286,800 £158,600 £2,445,400 £ 73,362 £2,518,762 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 19 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Freehold valuation Term Gross income £110,000 p.a. Less outgoings: Repairs & decs @ 5% MR = £7,930 Insurance = £8,816 Management @ 4% rent= £4,400 = £21,146 p.a. Net income £88,854 p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 5.50% 4.270 £379,432 Reversion to market rent Net income £158,600 p.a. × YP perp def 5 yrs @ 6.50% 11.229 £1,780,909 Market value = £2,160,341 SAY = £2,160,000 Notes: • Rent will be increased to MR in 5 years’ time when lease expires. • Rent on reversion can be taken to FRI basis as even if relet on internal repairing terms the net figure after deduction of outgoings should equal FRI MR. • ARY on term reduced by 1 per cent as term income lower than reversionary income and thus more ‘secure’. 12. Leasehold valuation Rent receivable (market rent on FRI terms) = £85,000 p.a. Add outgoings = £9,550 p.a. Market rent on existing lease terms = £94,550 p.a. Less rent payable = £55,000 p.a. Net profit rent = £39,550 p.a. × YP for 4 yrs @ 10.00% + 3.0% & tax @ 28% 2.315 Market value (assignment price) = £91,555 SAY = £92,000 Freehold valuation Term Gross income = £55,000 p.a. Less outgoings: Repairs & decs @ 5% MR = £4,250 Insurance @ 3% MR = £2,550 Management @ 5% rent = £2,750 = £9,550 p.a. Net income = £45,450 p.a. × YP for 4 yrs @ 7.50% 3.349 = £152,227 Reversion to market rent Net income= £85,000 p.a. × YP perp def 4 yrs @ 8.50% 8.489 = £721,574 Market value = £873,801 SAY = £874,000 13. When comparables and subject property to be valued are on different lease terms, adjustments must be made to bring them all on to a common basis, otherwise the comparison is not like-with-like. It is usually simpler to convert everything to FRI (full repairing and insuring) terms, as these are the most common. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 20 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises a. The landlord will view the rent collected as not net and need to deduct outgoings from it – for IRT this will be external and structural repairs/decorations, insurance and management. b. From the tenant’s viewpoint it is necessary to consider what the building is worth if it was sublet at MR on IRT. A prospective tenant would be prepared to pay more than the MR calculated on FRI terms since they are not responsible for some of the matters a tenant on FRI would be. That is they are ‘saving’ money on not having to pay out for those outgoings and this would be reflected in them being prepared to pay more rent in the first place. This can be equated to the MR on FRI terms PLUS the value of the outgoings they are NOT responsible for, which are those the landlord IS responsible for summarised above. Once this is done the remaining figure will be the MR on IRT basis. Even better, of course, is to find comparables also let on IRT basis and then it is a more straightforward comparison! 14. Valuation of leasehold interest in high street shop Rent receivable (market rent on FRI terms) £70,000 Add outgoings Repairs & decs @ 5% MR = £3,500 Insurance @ 3% MR= £2,100 Management @ 5% rent = £2,500 £8,100 Market rent on existing lease terms £78,100 Less rent payable £50,000 Net profit rent £28,100 × YP for 4 yrs @ 7.50% +2.5% & tax @ 28% 2.442 Market value (assignment price) = SAY = p.a. p.a. p.a. p.a. p.a. £68,625 £69,000 Notes: • ‘Outgoings’ are added back to bring comparable value in line with internal repairing only terms as under existing lease. • Spot figures or assumptions on percentage of rental value need to be adopted as no other evidence available. Chapter 12 1. Equated yield approach: freehold valuation Assumed annual rental growth rate = Equated yield (annually in arrear) = True equated yield (quarterly in advance) = Years Income p.a. PV factor 1 to 5 £80,000 3.791 6 to 10 £92,742 2.354 11 to 15 £107,513 1.462 16 to 20 £124,637 0.907 21 to 25 £144,489 0.563 26 to perp* £167,502 1.231 GPV = SAY = 3.00% 10.00% 10.66% DCF £303,263 £218,294 £157,132 £113,106 £81,416 £206,130 £1,079,342 £1,080,000 * Income capitalised @ ARY of 7.5% found from formula in Secton 12.4 to reflect continued future rental growth but then discounted at equated yield. 2. Equated yield approach: freehold valuation Assumed annual rental growth rate = Equated yield (annually in arrear) = True equated yield (quarterly in advance) = 2.50% 9.00% 9.53% For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 21 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Years Income p.a. PV factor 1 to 3 £420,000 2.531 4 to 6 £452,294 1.955 7 to 9 £487,071 1.509 10 to 12 £524,522 1.165 13 to 15 £564,853 0.900 16 to perp* £608,285 4.128 GPV = SAY = DCF £1,063,144 £884,065 £735,150 £611,320 £508,347 £2,511,240 £6,313,265 £6,316,000 * Income capitalised @ ARY of 6.65% found from Formula 2.1 to reflect continued future rental growth but then discounted at equated yield. 3. a. Using formula in Section 12.4, implied annual rental growth = 2.29% per annum. b. Using equated yield formula the all risks yield = 5.86%. 4. Freehold valuation Term Net income = £50,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 7.00% 2.624 £131,216 Reversion to market rent Net income = £75,000 p.a. x YP perp def 3 yrs @ 8.00% 9.923 £744,218 Market value = £875,434 SAY = £875,000 Equated Yyeld approach: freehold valuation Assumed annual rental growth rate = Equated yield (annually in arrear) = True equated yield (quarterly in advance) = Years Income p.a. PV factor 1 to 3 £50,000 2.465 4 to 8 £81,955 2.774 9 to 13 £95,008 1.684 14 to 18 £110,140 1.022 19 to 23 £127,682 0.620 24 to perp* £148,019 1.258 GPV = SAY = 3.00% 10.50% 11.23% DCF £123,256 £227,347 £159,979 £112,574 £79,216 £186,164 £888,537 £889,000 * Income capitalised @ ARY to reflect continued future rental growth but then discounted at equated yield. Shortcut DCF valuation Current rent= £50,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 10.5% 2.4651235 = £123,256 plus Market rent = £75,000 p.a. × A £1 for 3 yrs @ 3% 1.092727 = £81,955 × YP perp @ 8% 12.5 × PV for 3 yrs @ 10.5% 0.7472316 = £765,492 Market value = £888,748 SAY = £889,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 22 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises The three appraisals produce slightly different values, but a variation of £14,000 at this value level is comparatively small. Assume final value adopted is around mid-way between the conventional and DCF valuations, say at £880,000, and then the variation between the appraisals is less than 1.6 per cent. 5. Term Net income £72,000 × YP for 2 yrs @ 7% 1.808 Reversion to market rent Net income £84,000 × YP perp def 2 yrs @ 8% 10.717 Market value = SAY = Assumed annual rental growth rate = 3% Equated yield = 10.5% (annually in arrear) Years Income p.a. PV factor 1 to 2 £72,000 1.724 3 to 7 £89,116 3.065 8 to 12 £103,309 1.861 13 to 17 £119,764 1.129 18 to 22 £138,839 0.686 23 to perp £160,953 1.390 GPV = SAY = p.a. £130,177 p.a. £900,206 £1,030,383 £1,030,000 DCF £124,125 £273,170 £192,224 £135,264 £95,182 £223,686 £1,043,651 £1,044,000 Again, there is some relatively small variation in values between the different approaches. The difference of £14,000 is not too significant at this value level (less than 1.36 per cent of lowest value found). Conclusion: freehold market value is around £1.037 million. 6. The two open market comparables need to be analysed to arrive at the estimated market rent (MR) for the subject building now. Macduff House = £300000/1500sq.m. = £200/sq.m. p.a. Macbeth House = £575000/3200sq.m. = £179.69/sq.m. p.a. Interpolating between these figures to take into account ‘quantum adjustment’ as floor area of subject property is 2,200 sq.m., an estimated MR of £191.60/sq.m. is taken. With 10 years until rent review on the subject property, against five-yearly pattern on comparables, it is possible to argue that a small increase in this amount could be used. Note when current lease expires, it is assumed building will be relet on ‘normal’ five-yearly rent reviews and this is reflected in the DCF analysis. Market rent of subject building = 2200 × £191.60 = £421,520 SAY = £421,500 p.a. a. Freehold valuation Term Net income= £320,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 7.00% 2.624 £839,781 Reversion to market rent Net income= £421,520 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 8.00% 9.923 £4,182,702 Market value = £5,022,483 SAY = £5,022,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 23 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises b. Equivalent yield approach: freehold valuation Term Net income= £320,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 7.98% 2.578 £824,969 Reversion to market rent Net income= £421,520 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 7.98% 9.953 £4,195,515 Market value = £5,020,484 SAY = £5,022,000 Nominal equivalent yield = 7.98% (Annually in arrear) True equivalent yield = 8.39% (Quarterly in advance) Equated yield approach: freehold valuation Assumed annual rental growth rate = 2.50% Equated yield (annually in arrear) = 10.18% True equated yield (quarterly in advance) = 10.86% c. Years Income p.a. PV factor DCF 1 to 3 £320,000 2.479 £793,278 4 to 8 £453,931 2.821 £1,280,609 9 to 13 £513,581 1.737 £892,323 14 to 18 £581,070 1.070 £621,767 19 to 23 £657,427 0.659 £433,244 24 to perp* £743,819 1.344 £1,000,031 GPV = £5,021,252 SAY = £5,022,000 * Income capitalised @ ARY to reflect continued future rental growth but then discounted at equated yield. 7. Freehold valuation Term Net income × YP for 3 yrs @ 6% Reversion to market rent Net income × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 7% £250,000 p.a. 2.673 = £668,253 £300,000 p.a. 11.661 = £3,498,419 Market value = £4,166,672 SAY = £4.2 million Equivalent yield approach: freehold valuation Term Net income £250,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 6.95% 2.627 = £656,679 Reversion to market rent Net income £300,000 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 6.95% 11.762 = £3,528,532 Market value = £4,185,211 SAY = £4.2 million For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 24 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Nominal equivalent yield = 6.95% True equivalent yield = 7.26% (quarterly in advance) Hardcore or layer approach: freehold valuation Hardcore Net income £250,000 p.a. × YP perp @ 6.70% 14.925 = £3,731,343 Top slice Net income £50,000 p.a. x YP perp def 3 yrs @ 8.70% 8.949 = £447,468 Market value = £4,178,811 SAY = £4.2 million Hardcore or layer approach using equivalent yield: Freehold valuation Hardcore Net income £250,000 p.a. × YP perp @ 6.95% 14.388 £3,597,122 Top slice Net income £50,000 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 6.95% 11.762 £588,089 Market value = £4,185,211 SAY = £4.2 million Equated yield approach: freehold valuation Annual rental growth rate = 3 %; equated yield = 9.6 % Years Income p.a. PV factor 1 to 3 £250,000 2.504 4 to 8 £327,818 2.909 9 to 13 £380,031 1.839 14 to 18 £440,560 1.163 19 to 23 £510,730 0.736 24 to perp* £592,076 1.735 GPV = SAY = DCF £626,117 £953,635 £699,062 £512,447 £375,649 £1,027,157 £4,194,067 £4.2 million * Income capitalised @ ARY to reflect continued future rental growth but then discounted at equated yield. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 25 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Chapter 13 1. 5,120 × £2,000 = £10,240,000 1,500 × £200 = £300,000 800 × £120 = £96,000 Total construction costs = £10,636,000 2. a. Zone A = 8 × 6 = 48 sq.m. @ £2,000 = £96,000 Zone B = 8 × 6 = 48 sq.m. @ £1,000 = £48,000 Zone C = 8 × 4 = 32 sq.m. @ £500 = £16,000 Grnd flr ancillary = 8 × 4 = 32 sq.m. @ £100 (1/20) = £3,200 1st floor sales = 80 sq.m. @ £200 (1/10) = £16,000 1st floor ancillary = 80 sq.m. @ £80 (1/25) = £6,400 Market rent per shop = £185,600p.a. GDV: Offices MR= £562,500 p.a. × YP perp @ 6% 16.666 = £9,374,999 Shops MR = £2,227,200 p.a. × YP perp @ 5.25% 19.0476 = £42,422,814 = £51,797,813 GDV SAY = £51.75 million b. Letting fees @ 10% of MR = £278,970 Sales fees @ 3% GDV = £1,552,500 3. a. b. c. d. e. ((1.07)2 – 1) × £15M/2 = £1,086,750 ((1.075)2 – 1) × £15M/2 = £1,167,188 ((1.08)2 – 1) × £15M/2 = £1,248,000 ((1.0825)2 – 1) × £15M/2 = £1,288,547 ((1.09)2 – 1) × £15M/2 = £1,410,750 4. a. b. c. d. e. ((1.07)1.75 – 1) × £11.5M/2 = £722,759 ((1.075)2.25 – 1) × £11.5M/2 = £1,016,076 ((1.08)1.667 – 1) × £11.5M/2 = £787,102 ((1.0825)2.833 – 1) × £11.5M/2 = £1,447,839 ((1.0775)3.083 – 1) × £11.5M/2 = £1,487,862 5. £5,000,000 × PV 2.25 yrs @ 8% = £5,000,000 × 0.841 = £4,205,005 £4,205,005/1.05 = £4,004,767 Site value SAY= £4 million 6. £3,250,000 risk and profit = 20.96% GDV = 26.53% costs For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 26 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 7. See example residual method valuation illustrated below: Freehold industrial development Gross Development Value: Market Rent = x YP perp £807,500 16.000 = Less Costs of Development: Compensation to site's existing occupiers = Demolition of existing buildings = Site clearance/remediation/preparation = Other initial/miscellaneous/contingency costs = Construction costs: industrial/distribution units constructable floor area in sq.m. = @ construction cost per sq.m. = surface parking and loading areas constructable floor area in sq.m. = @ construction cost per sq.m. = landscaping constructable floor area in sq.m. = @ construction cost per sq.m. = Arch, QS & other prof. fees as % of const. costs Agents & Legals on letting as % of MR Agents/Legals on investment sale as % of GDV Finance charges on costs over devt. period @ Developer's Risk & Profit: as % of costs as % of GDV Less Site Purchase finance over devt. period @ Less site purchase costs @ £ £ £ 12,920,000 SAY = £ 12,920,000 1,390,000 Total Costs = Balance = = = = Site Value = SAY = £ £ £ £ £ £ £ 11,318,262 1,601,738 139,231 1,462,507 82,783 1,379,724 1,370,000 = per hectare: £ 796,512 £ £ £ £ 70,000 200,000 9500 m ² £775.00 /m ² Costs = £ 7,362,500 7000 m ² £50.00 /m ² Costs = £ 350,000 0 £0.00 Costs = 12 10 3 6.25 £ £ £ £ £ 90,000 936,300 80,750 387,600 451,112 m² /m ² % % % % 1,489,239 1,292,000 SAY = 6.25 % 6 % £ 8. First analyse retail ITZA and market rents for each shop unit. Zone Front Depth Area Value ITZA A 7.5 6 45 1 45 B 7.5 6 45 0.5 22.5 C 7.5 5 37.5 0.25 9.375 1st F Ancillary 130 0.02 2.6 Total ITZA = 79.5 Total Rent = £143,000 p.a. Rent psm ITZA p.a. = £1,799.31 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 27 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Then provide residual valuation using all information provided and making reasoned assumptions where necessary as illustrated below: Offices Gross Development Value: Market Rent = x YP perp £528,000 14.286 = £ 7,542,857 SAY = £ 7,540,000 £ 23,833,333 SAY = £ 23,830,000 £ £ £ £ £ £ £ 20,398,782 10,971,218 1,343,472 9,627,746 629,853 8,997,893 9,000,000 Retail units Gross Development Value: Market Rent = x YP perp £1,430,000 16.667 = Less Costs of Development: Compensation to site's existing occupiers = Planning fees = Site clearance/remediation/preparation = Promotion and marketing costs = Other initial/miscellaneous/contingency costs = Construction costs: Offices constructable floor area in sq.m. = @ construction cost per sq.m. = Retail units constructable floor area in sq.m. = @ construction cost per sq.m. = Arch, QS & other prof. fees as % of const. costs Agents & Legals on letting as % of MR Finance charges on costs over devt. period @ Developer's Risk & Profit: as 15% of costs as 10% of GDV Less Site Purchase finance over devt. period @ Less site purchase costs @ £ £ £ £ £ £ £ 150,000 15,000 70,000 100,000 500,000 4700 m ² £1,900.00 /m ² Costs = £ 8,930,000 3100 £1,500.00 Costs = 13 10 7.75 £ £ £ £ 4,650,000 1,765,400 195,800 1,142,582 £ 2,880,000 Total Costs = Balance = = = = Site Value = SAY = m² /m ² % % % 2,627,817 3,137,000 SAY = 7.75 % 7 % Conclusion is that proposed purchase price of £7 million is reasonable. a. £4,880,000 would be total available for risk and profit b. This equals 27.86% of the costs. c And 15.56% of the total GDV. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 28 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Chapter 14 1. Gross receipts £225,000 Less purchases (£85,000) Gross profit £140,000 Less working expenses £65,000 Net profit £75,000 Less proprietor’s share @ 50% £37,500 Balance= £37,500 Return on proprietor’s capital: Fixed assets £35,000 Stock £7,000 Cash £4,500 Total capital £46,500 Interest @ say 5% 0.05 = Remaining balance for rent + rates = Less business rates = Rental value= Value of land and buildings Rental value= × YP perp @ 8% Capital value= SAY = £ Value of ‘goodwill’ = share × 1.5 = £37,500 × 1.5 = £2,325 £35,175 (£9,000) £26,175 p.a. £26,175 p.a. 12.5 £327,187 327,000 £56,250 Total value could be assessed as land and buildings, goodwill and fixed assets = £418,250 As a check, compare to gross receipts: £418,250/£225,000 = 1.858 YP This is within range of other comparable properties, but on higher side of figures achieved, so may wish to consider reducing multiplier on goodwill and/or increase ARY as at 1.5 YP total value would only be £337,500. 2. Gross receipts: Room lettings Average occupancy rate = 66% Weekly charge per room = £450 Total receipts from room lettings = £930,150 Fitness room/gymnasium lettings £9,600 Functions rooms lettings £62,400 Restaurant/coffee shop/bar takings £69,600 Total gross receipts: £1,071,750 Less Purchase of new equipment £60,000 Less general working expenses £416,000 Net Profit £595,750 Less proprietor’s share including interest on proprietor’s capital £327,663 Rent + Rates = £268,088 Less estimated annual rates £43,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 29 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Market rental value of completed development = Market rent SAY = × YP perp @ 8% £225,088 p.a. £225,000 p.a. 12.5 Market value (capital value) = £2,812,500 (of completed development) SAY = £2,800,000 SAY land value = 40 per cent of completed development value as city centre site (but comparables needed to support this), then market value of site = £1,120,000 (/0.3) = £ per ha: £3,733,333 SAY =£3,700,000 per hectare Chapter 15 1. Depreciated replacement cost valuation Construction costs: 1,000 sq.m @ £900 psm = £900,000 Site works; say = £60,000 Allowance for any necessary adjustments & additions say = £50,000 = £1,010,000 Date of replacement assumed as valuation date (now) and no allowance to cost needed for this aspect Allowance for professional fees and statutory fees say @ 12% = Allow for short-term finance over half the construction period @ say 7% = Gross Replacement Cost (excluding VAT) = £121,200 £87,668 £1,218,868 Say useful life of building is 60 years total. Therefore, unexpired useful life is 30 years. Say allow 50% for simple ‘straight-line’ depreciation to reflect age, obsolescence and existing repairs required of £125,000. Thus 50% of £1,218,868 + site value = current capital value 50% of GRC = £609,434 Site value: 0.182 ha @ say £2.5M per ha = £455,000 (from comparables) = £1,064,434 Conclusion: asset value of existing building = SAY £1.064 million. Chapter 16 1. YP single rate for 4.5 yrs @ 6% = ((1.06)4.5 – 1)/((1.06)4.5 × 0.06) = 3.84417 PV for 0.5 yrs @ 6% = 1/(1.06)0.5 0.971286 PV = £50,000 p.a. × YP for 4.5 yrs @ 6% × PV for 0.5 yrs @ 6% = £186,689 SAY = £186,700 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 30 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 2. Calculation of MR on FRI terms disregarding value of improvements. From landlord’s viewpoint MR on IRT= £25,000 p.a. Less outgoings: Repairs @ say 5% MR = £1,250 p.a. Insurance @ say 2.5% MR = £ 625 p.a. Management @ say 6% rent = £1,500 p.a. = £ 3,375 p.a. MR on FRI terms (excl imps) = £21,625p.a. Note: external and structural repairs only as tenant responsible for internal repairs. From tenant’s viewpoint MR (improved) on FRI terms = Less Annual equivalent of improvements: £25,000/YP 25yrs @ 11%+3% (tax30%) = £25,000/6.7032= MR on FRI terms (excl imps) = £26,000 p.a. £ 3,730 p.a. £22,270 p.a. SAY parties prepared to split difference 50/50 Therefore agreed MR on FRI terms excluding value of improvements = £21,950; SAY = £22,000 p.a. Valuation of Grant’s present interest Rent receivable IRT = Less rent payable IRT = Net profit rent = × YP 3yrs @ 11%+3% (tax 30%) Capital value = £25,000 p.a. £15,000 p.a. £10,000 p.a. 1.7477 £17,477 Note: leasehold yield assumed as 1 per cent higher than freehold yield. Valuation of Grant’s proposed interest Term Rent receivable (MR on FRI) = £26,000 Less rent payable = £x Net profit rent = £26,000 – x × YP 5yrs @ 11%+3% (tax30%) 2.6380 = Reversion Rent receivable (MR on FRI) = £26,000 Less rent payable= £22,000 Net profit rent = £ 4,000 × YP 20yrs @ 11%+3% (tax30%) × PV 5yrs @ 11% 3.6371 = Less cost of improvements = Value = p.a. p.a. p.a. £68,588 – 2.638x p.a. p.a. p.a. £14,548 (£25,000) £58,136 – 2.638x Assessment from tenant’s viewpoint • Present interest should = Proposed interest • Therefore: £17,477 = £58,136 – 2.638x • Therefore: x (proposed rent) = £15,413 p.a. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 31 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises • The maximum rent which the tenant would be prepared to offer under the new lease would be £15,400p.a. Valuation of landlord’s present interest Term Gross income = £15,000 p.a. Less outgoings: Repairs @ say 5% MR * = £1,250 p.a. Insurance @ say 2.5% MR = £ 625 p.a. Mangmnt @ say 6% rent = £ 900 p.a. = £ 2,775 p.a. Net income = £12,225 p.a. × YP 3yrs @ 9% 2.5313 = £ 30,945 Reversion Gross income = £25,000 p.a. Less outgoings: Repairs @ say 5% MR * = £1,250 p.a. Insurance @ say 2.5% MR = £ 625 p.a. Mangment @ say 6% rent = £1,500 p.a. = £ 3,375 p.a. Net income = £21,625 p.a. × YP perp def 3yrs @ 10% 7.513 = £162,468 Capital value = £193,413 * External and structural repairs only as tenant responsible for internal repairs Valuation of landlord’s proposed interest Term Net income = £x p.a. × YP 5yrs @ 9% 3.8896 = £3.8896x Reversion 1 Net income = £22,000 p.a. × YP 20yrs def 5yrs @ 9.5% 5.597 = £123,152 Reversion 2 Net income = £26,000 p.a. × YP perp def 25yrs @ 10% 0.92296 = £23,997 Capital value = £147,149 + 3.8896x Assessment from landlord’s viewpoint • Present = proposed values • Therefore: £193,413 = £147,149 + 3.8896x • Therefore: x (rent required) = £11,894 p.a. • Landlord requires a minimum rent under the new lease of SAY £12,000 p.a. Conclusions Difference between tenant’s and landlord’s figures = £15,400 – £12,000 = £3,400. Tenant can afford to pay more than the landlord requires, so the deal is viable. The exact figure agreed will depend on the bargaining power and negotiating ability of the two sides. However, after negotiation, say a 50/50 split of the difference between the parties is agreed, then a rental of around £13,700 p.a. is likely to be mutually acceptable under the new lease. SAY agreement is reached at £13,700p.a. Again in this instance, both landlord and tenant are better off at the end of the surrender and renewal than they were at the start. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 32 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Alternatively, if the rent under the new lease was fixed in advance at £12,000 p.a. and a premium payable, the calculation would be as follows. From tenant’s viewpoint: Leaseholder’s proposed interest = £58,136 – 2.638x If x = £12,000 then proposed interest = £26,480 Present interest = £17,477 Therefore, value gained = £9,003 compared to present From landlord’s viewpoint: Freehold proposed interest = £147,149 + 3.8896x If x = £12,000 then proposed interest = £193,781 Present interest = £193,413 Thus virtually same value compared to present interest Conclusion Both sides are better off with the proposed deal than at present (freeholder only very marginally) so the transaction is viable. The tenant gains more than the landlord (nearly £9,000 more). If this additional gain is equally split between the two parties, then the premium payable by the tenant will be say £4,500, payable at the time of surrender and renewal, with the new lease at the agreed initial rent of £12,000 p.a. 3. Assumptions: • The recent letting of a similar building provides good evidence of current market ARY at market rent: £550,000/£6m = 9.16%. • From comparables, market rent of subject building before refurbishment is £600,000 p.a. (4,000 sq.m. NIA @ £150 per sq.m.) and after refurbishment will be £720,000 p.a. (4,000 sq.m. @ £180). • Next rent review on existing lease is 3 years away. • Full repairing and insuring lease so no outgoings need to be deducted from freeholder’s rental income. • Under proposed lease the improvement work will be disregarded at the first rent review after 5 years, thus the rent payable then will be the ‘unimproved’ MR and it will rise to the ‘improved’ MR at the second review in 10 years’ time • Leasehold interests are less attractive investments compared to freeholds and command slightly higher ARYs; thus will use 10.5 per cent as leasehold ARY at market rent. Existing freehold valuation Term Net income £500,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 8.16% 2.570 £1,284,837 Reversion to market rent Net income £600,000 p.a. × YP perp def 3 yrs @ 9.16% 8.393 £5,035,762 Market value = £6,320,599 SAY = £6,320,000 Existing leasehold valuation Rent receivable (market rent) £600,000 p.a. Less rent payable £500,000 p.a Net profit rent £100,000 p.a. × YP for 3 yrs @ 10.50% + 3.0% & tax @ 30% 1.763 Market value (assignment value) = £176,309 SAY = £176,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 33 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Proposed freehold valuation Term Net income × YP for 5 yrs @ 8.16% Reversion to intermediary rent Net income × YP 5 yrs @8.66% × PV 5 yrs @8.66% Reversion to market rent Net income × YP perp def 10 yrs @ 9.16% £400,000 p.a. 3.976 = £1,590,372 £600,000 p.a. 3.924 0.660 = £1,554,372 £720,000 4.544 = Market value = SAY = p.a. £3,271,913 £6,416,657 £6,410,000 Note: differential yields used in term and reversion to reflect proportionally more ‘secure’ or ‘safer’ rental incomes compared to market rent. Equivalent yield approach: proposed freehold valuation Term Net income £400,000 p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 9.00% 3.890 = £1,555,861 Reversion to intermediary rent Net income £600,000 p.a. × YP 5 yrs @ 9.00% 3.890 × PV 5 yrs @ 9.00% 0.650 = £1,516,804 Reversion to market rent Net income £720,000 p.a. × YP perp def 10 yrs @ 9.00% 4.693 = £3,379,286 Market value = £6,451,951 SAY = £6,450,000 Nominal equivalent yield = 9% Note: Equivalent yield based on market evidence of 9.16 per cent and rounded down. This valuation confirms market value found from ‘differential yield’ approach above. Proposed leasehold valuation Term Rent receivable Less rent Payable Net profit rent × YP for 5 yrs @ 10.50% + 3.0% & tax @ 30% £720,000 p.a. £400,000 p.a. £320,000 p.a. 2.673 = £855,437 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 34 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Reversion Rent receivable £720,000 p.a. Less rent payable £600,000 p.a. Net profit rent £120,000 p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 10.50% + 3.0% & tax @ 30% 2.673 × PV 5 yrs @ 10.50% 0.607 = £194,719 Less costs of improvements (£750,000) Market value (assignment value) = £300,155 SAY = £300,000 Proposed leasehold valuation eliminating ‘double sinking fund error’ Annual sinking fund for 10 yrs @ 3.00% =0.08723051 × gross tax factor @ 30% = 1.42857143 Annual sinking fund multiplier= 0.12461501 Term Net profit rent £320,000 p.a. Less annual sinking fund £134,263 p.a. £185,737 p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 10.16% 3.775 = £701,219 Reversion Net profit rent £120,000 p.a. Less annual sinking fund £134,263 p.a. (£14,263) p.a. × YP for 5 yrs @ 10.16% 3.775 × PV 5 yrs @ 10.16% 0.616 = (£33,194) Capital replaced at end of lease by sinking fund = £1,077,426 × Present value @ ARY of 10.16% = 0.380 = £409,400 £1,077,426 Less costs of improvements today = (£750,000) Market value (assignment value) = £327,426 SAY = £ 327,000 Summary and conclusion • Freeholder better off by £90,000 or more. • Tenant better off by at least £124,000 and maybe as much as £151,000. • Could argue no premium payable, as both better off than now and especially as tenant will pay for improvements. • Alternatively, tenant pays premium of £34,000/2 = £17,000 or up to maximum of £61,000/2 = £30,500. 4. Valuation of tenant’s present interest Rent receivable = Less rent payable = Net profit rent = × YP 8yrs @ 8%+3% (tax 21%) Capital value = SAY = £25,000 £10,000 £15,000 4.497 £67,461 £67,500 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 35 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Valuation of present freehold interest Term Net income = × YP 8yrs @ 6% Reversion Net income = × YP perp def 8yrs @ 7% £10,000 6.21 = £ 62,100 £25,000 8.314 = £207,850 Value = £269,950 SAY = £270,000 Note: term yield reduced by 1 per cent as term income a lot lower than reversionary income and so much more ‘secure’. Valuation of proposed freehold interest Net income = × YP perp @ 7% = SAY = £25,000 14.286 £357,150 £357,000 Marriage value = Proposed freehold minus (Present leasehold + Present freehold) = £357,000 – (£67,500 + £270,000) = £19,500 If parties agree to split marriage value 50/50 then price to be paid by tenant to buy out the landlord and acquire the freehold interest will be: Present freehold value + 50% of marriage value = £270,000 + £9,750 = £279,750 to be paid by tenant to purchase the freehold 5. Can use ‘rule of thumb’ or Jack Rose’s ‘Constant Rent’ formula. Rule of thumb = 7 – 5 yrs = +2 × 1% (as low growth rate) = +2% £60,000 plus 2% = £61,200 per annum Constant rent: k= (1 + 0.1)7 − (1 = 0.25)7 (1 + 0.1)5 − 1 × (1 = 0.1)7 − 1 (1 = 0.1)5 − (1 + 0.25)5 k = 1.0208 £60,000 × 1.0208 = £61,248 per annum 6. Leasehold valuation Rent receivable (market rent) Less rent payable Net profit rent × YP for 65 yrs @ 8.50% + 3.0% & tax @ 30% Market value (assignment price) = SAY = £300,000 p.a. £20,000 p.a. £280,000 p.a. 10.828 £3,031,906 £3,030,000 Alternatives: discounted cash flow, conventional dual rate but no tax or single rate no tax as per freehold but at higher ARY: Net profit rent = × YP 65 yrs @ 9.2% Market value = SAY = £280,000 p.a. 10.8339414 £3,033,503 £3,030,000 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 36 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises 7. Analysis period needs to be decided. Could look to analyse both deals either over the next 5 years or the next 15 years. It may be each would give a different conclusion and it would depend on the client’s requirements as to whether they are more interested in the shorter or longer-term investment strategy. Possible analyses over next 5 years Offer A Rent received £60,000 YP 1.5 yrs @ 7% 1.379 Rent received £75,000 YP 1.5 yrs @ 7.5% 1.371 × PV 1.5 yrs @ 7.5% 0.8971 Rent received £100,000 YP 2 yrs @ 8% 1.783 × PV 3 yrs @ 8% 0.7938 Less reverse premium Value = Offer B Rent received £105,000 Less service charge @ say 15% (£15,750) Net rent received £89,250 YP 5 yrs @ 8% 3.993 Less legal costs Value = Note: legal costs assumed at 7 per cent of rental. p.a. £82,740 p.a. £92,254 p.a. £141,540 (£20,000) £296,534 p.a. p.a. p.a. £356,375 (£7,350) £349,025 Offer B provides the significantly higher value, but offer A has better long-term security and the contribution to the fitting-out may result in a better-presented property. The decision will depend on the requirements, preferences and circumstances of the client, but as mentioned above, additional analysis may help them reach a decision. Possible analyses over next 15 years Offer A Rent received £60,000 YP 1.5 yrs @ 7% 1.379 Rent received £75,000 YP 1.5 yrs @ 7.5% 1.371 × PV 1.5 yrs @ 7.5% 0.8971 Rent received £100,000 YP 2 yrs @ 8% 1.783 × PV 3 yrs @ 8% 0.7938 Rent received (MR) £95,000 YP 10 yrs @ 8% 6.71 × PV 5 yrs @ 8% 0.6806 Less reverse premium Value = p.a. £82,740 p.a. £92,254 p.a. £141,540 p.a. £433,848 (£20,000) £730,383 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge 37 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Offer B Rent received £105,000 Less service charge @ say 15% (£15,750) Net rent received £89,250 YP 5 yrs @ 8% 3.993 Relet at MR £95,000 YP 9.5 yrs @ 8% 6.483 × PV 5.5 yrs @ 8% 0.6549 Less legal costs now Less legal/agents costs on relet Value = p.a. p.a. £356,375 p.a. £403,338 (£7,350) (£14,250) £738,113 Notes: legals/estate agents fees on relet assumed @ 15% of MR. Assumed rental void of 6 months at end of next 5 years to allow time for reletting. Again, offer B provides the better overall value, but this time only slightly higher. It now becomes a much harder choice between the two offers. To try to reach a final decision, a DCF analysis may help as shown in the tables below Offer A Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Rental incl growth @ 3% £60,000 Costs £20,000 £67,500 £75,000 £60,000 £75,000 £100,000 £100,000 £100,000 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £148,007 (£20,000) £67,500 £100,000 £127,672 Net cash flow £127,672 £22,201 £127,672 YP/PV @ 10.000% DCF 1 (£20,000) 0.8264 £55,785 0.9091 0.7513 0.6830 0.6209 0.5645 0.5132 0.4665 0.4241 0.3855 0.3505 0.3186 0.2897 0.2633 0.2394 2.1763 NPV = Cumulative DCF £54,545 £56,349 £68,301 £62,092 £62,166 £56,515 £277,073 (after 5 yrs) £51,377 £46,706 £42,460 £44,748 £40,680 £36,982 £33,620 £30,564 £299,905 £1,022,796 For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge £712,891 (after 15yrs) 38 Introducing Property Valuation: Suggested solutions to practical exercises Offer B Years 0 1 2 3 4 Rental incl growth @ 3% £89,250 7 £110,131 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 £89,250 £14,250 £110,131 £40,816 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £110,131 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £127,672 £148,007 £89,250 £110,131 £110,131 £127,672 £89,250 £89,250 £89,250 £55,066 (£7,350) £89,250 £89,250 £89,250 8 £7,350 £89,250 5 6 Costs Net cash flow £127,672 £22,201 £127,672 YP/PV @ 10.000% DCF Cumulative DCF 1 (£7,350) 0.8264 £73,760 0.9091 0.7513 0.6830 0.6209 0.5645 0.5132 0.4665 0.4241 0.3855 0.3505 0.3186 0.2897 0.2633 0.2394 2.1763 NPV = £81,136 £67,055 £60,959 £55,417 £23,039 £56,515 £330,978 (after 5 yrs) £51,377 £46,706 £42,460 £44,748 £40,680 £36,982 £33,620 £30,564 £299,905 £1,037,575 £737,669 (after 15yrs) Assumption made that, at end of 15 years, investment sold and agents/legal fees incurred. These DCF analyses again show offer B to provide the higher NPV after 5 years (substantially) and 15 or 16 years (marginally). Thus from a purely financial viewpoint, offer B is the best, but other considerations may lead client to choose offer A (i.e. better presented property, initial extra security of income, removal of need to relet building in 5 years’ time). Need to present the ‘fors’ and ‘againsts’ and leave client to make the final choice. For use in conjunction with Michael Blackledge, Introducing Property Valuation. Routledge: London. © 2009 Michael Blackledge