THELOUISIANA SURVEY 2015 MostWantTaxHikesandSpending Cuts,butNottoKeyPrograms Thesecondinaseriesofreportsfromthe 2015LouisianaSurvey Sponsoredby: TheReillyCenterforMediaandPublicAffairs ManshipSchoolofMassCommunication LouisianaStateUniversity FORFURTHERINFORMATION ONTHISREPORT: Dr.MichaelHenderson 225‐578‐5149 mbhende1@lsu.edu AbouttheLouisianaSurvey The2015LouisianaSurveyisthefourteenthinanannualseriesconductedbyLouisianaState University’sPublicPolicyResearchLab(PPRL).Forthe2015editionoftheLouisianaSurvey, wecontacted980adultresidentsofthestatebetweenJanuary12andFebruary13.The LouisianaSurveyissponsoredbytheReillyCenterforMediaandPublicAffairsinLouisiana StateUniversity’sManshipSchoolofMassCommunication.Thesurveyhasbeenconducted eachyearsince2003andtwicein2006,establishingrichlongitudinalmeasuresofpublic opinioninLouisiana.ThemissionoftheLouisianaSurveyistoestablishbenchmarksaswellas toassesschangeinresidents’assessmentsofstategovernmentservices.Thesurveyisfurther dedicatedtotrackingpublicopiniononthecontemporarypolicyissuesthatfacethestate.Each iterationoftheLouisianaSurveycontainscoreitemsdesignedtoserveasbarometersofpublic sentiment,includingassessmentsofwhetherthestateisheadingintherightdirectionor wrongdirection,perceptionsaboutthemostimportantproblemsfacingthestate,aswellas evaluationsofpublicrevenuesourcesandspendingpriorities.Inthe2015LouisianaSurvey, thiscoreissupplementedbymeasuresofpublicattitudesaboutcurrentissuessuchastax incentivesforattractingbusinesses,theCommonCoreStateStandards,costcontrolmeasures fortheTaylorOpportunityProgramforStudents(TOPS),Medicaidexpansionunderthefederal AffordableCareAct,racerelationsandlawenforcement,same‐sexmarriage,andlegalizationor decriminalizationofmarijuana. AspartofanefforttoassurethattheLouisianaSurveyfulfillsitspublicservicemission,the researchteamsolicitedinputfromanAdvisoryCommittee.Thiscommitteeprovided invaluableinsightintothedesignofthequestionnaireandinidentifyingthecontemporary policyquestionsthatcouldmostbenefitfromanunderstandingofthepublic’sviews.Whilewe areindebtedtothecommitteemembersfortheirtimeandcontributions,theybearno responsibilityforanymistakesinthequestionnaire,analysis,orinterpretationpresentedin thisreport. WeespeciallythanktheReillyFamilyFoundationfortheirgeneroussupportandvisionin helpingtocreatetheLouisianaSurvey. PrincipalResearchers Dr.MichaelHenderson,DirectorofResearch,PPRL Dr.BelindaDavis,AssociateDirector,PPRL MichaelClimek,OperationsManager,PPRL ResearchTeam SrinivasThouta,TechnologyManager,PPRL GailHagan,HeadSupervisor,PPRL Questionsregardingthecontentofthisreportmaybedirectedto: Dr.MichaelHenderson,ResearchDirector,PPRL mbhende1@lsu.edu 225‐578‐5149 1 AbouttheReillyCenterforMediaandPublic Affairs TheReillyCenterforMedia&PublicAffairs,anintegralpartofLouisianaStateUniversity’s ManshipSchoolofMassCommunication,usestheintellectualmuscleoftheschool’sfacultyto helpsolvepracticalproblemsandadvancegoodgovernmentinitiatives.TheReillyCenter’s missionistogeneratethoughtfulprograms,dialogue,andresearchaboutmass communicationanditsmanyfacetedrelationshipswithsocial,economic,andpolitical issues.EvidentineverythingtheCenterdoesisitscommitmenttostrengthenandadvance theManshipSchool’snationalleadershipinmediaandpolitics. TheCenter’sagendaisdiverseandfluid–fromtheannualJohnBreauxSymposium,which bringsinnationalexpertstodiscussatopicthathasreceivedlittleornoattention,to conductingtheannualLouisianaSurvey,avitalresourceforpolicymakers,whichtracks advancementsandregressionsofcitizenattitudesaboutstateservices.Ittakesseriouslyits role,withintheFlagshipUniversity,torespondquicklyintimesofcrisistohelpstate governance,suchasduringHurricanesKatrinaandRitaandthe2010DeepwaterHorizonoil spill.Itsaction‐orientedandpartnership‐drivenphilosophyunderscorestheReillyCenter’s dedicationtotacklingideasandissuesthatexploretherelationshipofmediaandthepublicin democraticsociety. Dr.AmyReynolds,Director,ReillyCenterforMediaandPublicAffairs 2 AboutthePublicPolicyResearchLab LouisianaStateUniversity’sPublicPolicyResearchLab(PPRL)isaresearchcenterdedicated tohighquality,state‐of‐the‐artdatacollectionandanalytics,withaspecialemphasison surveyresearch.PPRLisajointeffortoftheManshipSchoolofMassCommunication’sReilly CenterforMediaandPublicAffairsandtheCollegeofHumanitiesandSocialSciences. PPRLprovidesavarietyofservicesincludingsurveyresearch,‘bigdata’analytics,social mediatracking,andfocusgroupinterviews.TheLabisprimarilyknownforitstelephone surveywork.PPRLhas52computer‐assistedtelephoneinterviewcallstationsandacorpsof highly‐trained,well‐supervisedprofessionalcallers.Itisoneofthelargestphonesurveydata collectionfacilitiesintheSoutheasternConference. TheLabisdedicatedtomeetingtheuniquegoalsandobjectivesforeachprojectbyworking closelywiththoseseekingdata,researchexpertise,oranalysis.PPRL’sclientshaveincluded: thefederalCenterforDiseaseControlandPrevention,theLouisianaDepartmentofHealth andHospitals,theLouisianaDepartmentofLabor,LouisianaPublicBroadcasting,the Mississippi‐AlabamaSeaGrantConsortium,andtheBatonRougeAreaFoundation. Moreinformationonprevioussurveysmaybefoundat:www.survey.lsu.edu FormoreinformationaboutPPRL,pleasecontact: MichaelClimek,OperationsManager mclimek@lsu.edu 225‐578‐7499 3 ExecutiveSummary Alargemajorityofthepublic(83%)wantsthestatebudgetshortfallresolvedthroughacombinationof spendingcutsandadditionalrevenue,howevertheyopposereductionsinkeyareassuchashigher educationandhealthcare.AdditionalfindingsaboutwhatLouisianaresidentsthinkofthestate’sbudget situationinclude: o o o o o o Whenaskedingeneralterms,mostwanttoemphasizespendingcutseventhoughtheyarewilling tomixthemwithtaxincreasestosolvethebudgetshortfall. Whenaskedaboutspecificreductions,however,thepublicwantsmorespending–notless–in areassuchaselementaryandsecondaryeducation,highereducation,transportation,andhealth care. Nearlytwo‐thirdsofresidents(63%)saythestategovernment–ratherthancollegestudentsand theirfamilies–shouldplaythemajorroleinfundinghighereducation. Thereisalsolittlesupportforraisingmostspecifictaxes.Thetaxincreaseswiththemostsupport aretobaccotaxes(50%),taxesonthegamingindustry(49%),andalcoholtaxes(42%). Thepublicispoorlyinformedaboutmostfiscalfacts.Contrarytoactualrevenueandexpenditure trendsoverthepastsevenyears,amajority(54%)believesthatstatetaxeshavegoneupoverthis period.Onthespendingside,nearlyathird(30%)saystategovernmentspendinghas“goneupa lot”. Nearlytwoinfive(39%)saythestatespendsthemostmoneyonwelfareprograms,andathird (33%)saythestatespendsthemostonprisons.Yet,eachofthesemakeuprelativelysmallshares ofactualstatespending. TheLouisianaSurveytrackstrendsinstateresidents’perceptionsaboutthestateofthestate.Additionally, the2015editiontapsthepublic’sviewsofpressingcontemporaryissuessuchasstrategiesforaddressing budgetshortfalls,taxincentivesforeconomicdevelopment,theCommonCoreStateStandards,cost controlsfortheTaylorOpportunityProgramforStudents,MedicaidexpansionundertheAffordableCare Act,racerelationsandlawenforcement,same‐sexmarriage,andlegalization/decriminalizationof marijuana.Toexecutethesurvey,LouisianaStateUniversity’sPublicPolicyResearchLabconductedalive‐ caller,dualframesurvey(landlineandcellphonesamples)of980adultresidentsofthestate.Thetotal samplehasamarginoferrorof+/‐3.1percentagepoints. Thisisthesecondinaseriesofreleasesaboutfindingsfromthe2015LouisianaSurvey. 4 MostWantBudgetShortfall AddressedwithBlendofSpending CutsandTaxIncreases Alargemajorityofthepublic(83%)thinkthat bothspendingcutsandtaxincreasesshouldbe usedtoaddressbudgetshortfalls(Figure1). Thirteenpercentwanttoconcentrateonlyon spendingcutstodealwithbudgetshortfalls,and just2%wanttofocusonlyontaxincreases.In all,85%wanttaxincreasestobepartofthe solution,and96%wantspendingreductionsto bepartofthesolution. AmongRepublicans,22%wantonlyspending cuts,significantlymorethanthe13%of independentsand6%ofDemocratswhosaythe same.YetevenamongRepublicans,aclear majoritypreferacombinationofspendingcuts andtaxincreases(75%). Mostofthosewhopreferacombinedapproach, however,alsowantthefocustobemostlyon spendingcutswhenaskedafollowupquestion aboutwhichofthetwoapproachestoemphasize. Overall,whencombiningresponsestoboth questions,72%wantthestategovernmentto dealwithbudgetshortfallsbyfocusingonlyor mostlyonspendingcuts.Justoneinfive Louisianaresidentswanttofocusonlyoreven mostlyontaxincreases. PublicHasLittleStomachfor SpecificSpendingCuts Eventhoughthepublicsaystheyarewillingto considertaxincreasesincombinationwith spendingcuts,thereislittleevidencefor widespreadsupportofspecificcuts. Infact,ratherthancallingforspecificcuts,the publicgenerallysupportsspendingincreasesina varietyofprograms(Figure2).Largemajorities wanttoincrease–ratherthancut–spendingfor K‐12education,highereducation,transportation infrastructure,andhealthcare.Onlyforpublic assistanceprograms,suchaswelfare,doesa substantialshareofthepublicsupportspending cuts(49%). Figure1:LargeMajorityWantsBudget AddressedwithBlendofCutsandTaxes,PrefersCuts Todealwithbudgetshortfalls,legislatureandgovernorshouldfocuson... Combination,83% DK/Refuse,2% Onlytaxincreases,2% Mostlyspendingcuts,59% Onlyspendingcuts,13% Mostlytaxincreases,19% DK/Refuse,6% NOTE:Respondents firstchosebetween'onlyspendingcuts,''onletaxincreases,'and'acombinationofboth'.Respondentswhochose'a combinationofboth'werethenaskedtochoosebetween'mostlyonspendingcuts'and'mostlyontaxincreases'inafollowupquestion. LouisianaSurvey,2015 PublicPolicyResearchLab 5 Figure2:MostWantMore SpendingonManySpecificPrograms %Sayingstate spendingfor shouldbeincreased,decreased,orkeptthesame 80 73 70 60 50 56 49 35 40 30 20 76 73 26 18 14 5 10 5 4 0 Welfare Prisonsandlaw enforcement LouisianaSurvey,2015 PublicPolicyResearchLab Healthcare Decreased FootingtheBillforHigher Education Thepublicalsobelievesthatthestate governmentshouldbeprimarilyresponsiblefor fundingLouisiana’spubliccollegesand universitiesratherthanthestudentswhoattend themandtheirfamilies.Nearlytwo‐thirds (63%)saythestategovernmentshouldplaythe majorroleinsupportinghighereducation. Therearesignificantpartisandifferences.Alarge majorityofDemocrats(79%)believesthestate shouldbeprimarilyresponsibleforfunding,but Nearlytwo‐thirdssaythat stategovernment(rather thanstudentsandtheir families)shouldplaythe majorroleinsupporting highereducation. Highereducation Roads,bridges,and highways K‐12education Increased Republicansaredivided–45%thinkthestateis primarilyresponsibleand46%thinkstudents andtheirfamiliesareprimarilyresponsible. Thesurveyalsoincludesavariationofthis questionpresentedtoarandomlyselectedsubset ofrespondents.Thisalternatequestionspecifies recenttrendsinstatefundingforhigher education.Informationaboutcutstostate collegesanduniversitiesoverthepastseveral yearsproducesnostatisticallymeaningful differenceinopinionaboutwhoshouldprimarily bearthecostsofhighereducationinLouisiana. LittleSupportforRaisingSpecific Taxes Whenaskedifspecificstatetaxesaretoohigh andneedtobereduced,toolowandneedtobe raised,orjustaboutright,Louisianaresidents tendtostickwiththestatusquo.Thespecific taxesinclude:Incometaxes,salestaxes,local propertytaxes,taxesonalcohol,taxesontobacco, corporatetaxes,mineraltaxes,andtaxeslevied onthegamingindustry.Majoritiessaythatthe stateincometaxandsalestaxarejustaboutright astheycurrentlystand(Figure3).Thisisalso themostfrequentresponseforseveralother taxes–mineraltaxes,corporatetaxes,andlocal propertytaxes. 6 Figure3:NoTaxHasMajoritySupportfor Increases %Saying aretoohighandneedtobereduced, toolow andneedtobeincreased,oraboutright. Salestaxes 35 Localproperty taxes 40 Incometaxes 27 Mineraltaxes 24 Corporatetaxes 14 Alcoholtaxes 11 Gamingtaxes 11 Tobaccotaxes 15 Toohigh/Reduce DK/Refuse 59 5 47 6 56 14 46 23 47 41 32 30 29 42 49 50 Aboutright Toolow/Increase LouisianaSurvey,2015 PublicPolicyResearchLab AbouthalfofLouisianaresidentswouldliketo seetobaccotaxesandtaxesongamingraised– theonlytwotaxeswherethisisthemostpopular response.Asubstantialportionofthepublicalso favorsraisingtaxesonalcohol(42%),although thisisastatisticaltiewiththosesayingalcohol taxesarejustaboutright. Ingeneral,perceptionsthattaxesaretoohighare morefrequentamonglowerincomehouseholds. Forexample,49%ofindividualswithhousehold annualearningsbelow$20,000(approximately thebottomquartile)saythatsalestaxesaretoo high,butonlyabouthalfasmanyofindividuals withhouseholdincomeof$100,000ormore agree(24%).Likewise,halfofthosewiththe lowesthouseholdincomesaylocalpropertytaxes aretoohighandneedtobereduced,whilejust 32%ofthoseinthehighestearninghouseholds haveasimilargrievance.Asimilarpatternholds formineraltaxes,gamingtaxes,andtaxeson alcoholandtobacco.Theexceptionistheincome tax,forwhichindividualswithlowerhousehold incomesarethemostlikelytosaytaxesaretoo lowandneedtoberaised(29%versusjust11% amongthosewithhouseholdearningsof $100,000ormore). MostFeelTheyPayTheirFairShare WhileOthersShirk Louisianaresidentsgenerallyseethemselvesas payingtheirfairshareintaxes.Morethanhalf (56%)saytheypayabouttherightamountin taxes,butanother41%feeltheyarepayingmore thantheirfairshare(Figure4).Veryfewfeel theyarepayinglessthantheirfairshareintaxes. Overall,judgmentsaboutwhethermiddle‐income earnersarepayingmoreorlessthantheirfair sharelookremarkablysimilartojudgments aboutone’sowntaxburden.Thisisnottruefor theperceivedfairnessoftaxespaidbyupper‐ incomeandlow‐incomeearners.Amajorityof thepublic(57%)believesupper‐incomeearners paylessthantheirfairshareintaxes,whileonly 14%thinktheypaymorethantheirfairshare. Opinionismoredividedonwhetherornotlow‐ incomeearnerspaytherightamount.Roughly equalsharesofthepublicsaylow‐income earnerspayabouttherightamount(39%)assay theypaytoomuch(38%).Aboutoneinfive Louisianaresidentssaythepoorarepayingless thantheirfairshare. Beliefsaboutwhethercompaniespaymoreor lessthantheirfairshareintaxeshavealottodo withhowthequestionisphrased.Toexplorethis dynamic,the2015LouisianaSurveyaskedtwo differentversionsofaquestion–oneeachtoa randomlyselectedhalfofrespondents.When askedabout“corporations,”amajority(55%) saystheypaylessthantheirfairshare.However, whentheterm“businesses”isusedthisshare 7 Figure4:MostSayWealthyPeopleandCorporationsDo NotPayFairShare %Saying payless/more thantheirfairshareinstatetaxes 57 60 50 41 43 38 40 55 28 30 19 20 10 17 14 8 5 1 0 Self Low‐income Middle‐income Less Upper‐income Corporations Businesses More LouisianaSurvey,2015 PublicPolicyResearchLab plummetstojust28%.Whenaskedthelatter version,abouthalfofrespondentssaybusinesses arepayingabouttherightamount.Thissuggests thatevensupportforincreasestocorporatetaxes maywanewhenthoseproposalsareframedas affectingbusinesses. Figure5:Overestimating Spendingon PublicAssistanceandPrisons %namingeachastheareawherestatespendsmost money Welfareandfoodstamps 39 Prisons 33 Healthcare 9 Roadsandbridges 9 Education 5 DK/Refuse 6 0 10 20 30 40 50 LouisianaSurvey,2015 PublicPolicyResearchLab 1TheseFiguresarebasedontotalexpenditures (includingfederalfundedexpendituresbyLouisiana) asreportedbytheNationalAssociationofState BudgetOfficersinStateExpenditureReport2012‐2014. PublicKnowsLittleaboutState Budget Howisit,then,thatthepublicbelievesthebudget canbebalancedwithoutreducingspendingfor specificprograms?Therearetwopotential answers.Thefirsthastodowithmisperceptions aboutspending.Largeswathsofthepublicare misinformedaboutwherethestatespendsits money.Fromalistoffivepolicyareas– education,healthcare,prisons,roadsand bridges,andwelfareandfoodstamps– respondentsselectedtheonewheretheybelieve thestatespendsthemostmoney. AbouttwoinfiveLouisianaresidentsbelievethe statespendsmoreonwelfareandfoodstamps thanonanyoftheseotherareas(Figure5). Anotherthirdbelieveprisonsgetthelargest share.Inactualitytheseareasmakeuprelatively smallsharesoftotalexpenditures–threepercent goestocorrectionsandlessthanonepercent goestopublicassistanceprogramssuchas welfareandfoodstamps.1Incontrast,thestate spendsthelargestsharesonhealthcareand education.About19%ofLouisiana’stotal However,eveniffederalrevenueisexcluded,health careandeducationremainthetoptwoexpenditure categoriesamongthesefivebyfar. 8 expendituresgoestoelementaryandsecondary educationwhileanadditional10%goestohigher education.2Aquarterofthestate’stotalbudget goestoMedicaid,whichisonlyonepieceofstate healthcarespending.Yet,only9%ofLouisiana residentschosehealthcare,andjust5%chose educationastheareaswherethestatespendsthe mostmoney. Everyonedoesnotmakethesamemistakes. Democrats(46%)areespeciallyproneto overestimatingtheamountthestatespendson prisons,whileRepublicans(60%)aremorelikely tooverestimatespendingonwelfareandfood stamps. Thepublicisalsopoorlyinformedaboutrecent trendsinstatefinance.Althoughthestatehas repeatedlyfacedbudgetarychallengesinrecent years,thebasicfactsofthestate’sfiscalsituation havenotregisteredbroadlyamongthepublic.A majorityofLouisianaresidents(54%)believe thatstatetaxeshaverisenoverthepastseven years,includingoneinfive(20%)whothink taxeshave“goneupalot.”Inactualityratesfor statetaxeshaveremainedconstantorbeen reducedsinceJanuary2008.Eveniftheterm “statetaxes”isdefinedinsteadastheamountof revenuethestatedrawsfromtaxes,licenses,and otherfees(ratherthanastherateoftaxation), theserevenuesdeclinedbynearly$3billionfrom 2008to2010andhaveshownonlyslight increasessincethen.3 Similarly,amajorityofthepublicbelievestate spendinghasincreasedsince2008(56%), including30%whosayspendinghasincreaseda lot.Again,thesewidespreadperceptionsdonot mirrorthefacts.Evenwiththemostgenerous definitionofspending–toincludecapital investmentsandspendingwithfederalrevenue– totalexpendituresforLouisianashowlittle changefrom2008amounts.4Whenfocusingjust onstategeneralfundspending,current expendituresremainnearly$2billionbelow 2008. Thepublicisabitclosertothefactswhenit comestohighereducationfunding,butstill missesthemarksignificantly.Since2008,the statehascutsupportforhighereducationby approximately$700million.Still,onlyabouta thirdofresidents(32%)knowofthesecuts.A slightlylargershare(39%)believehigher educationfundinghasactuallyincreasedoverthis period. Amajorityofresidentsincorrectly believethatstatetaxeshaverisen overthepastsevenyears,including oneinfivewhothinktaxeshave “goneupalot.” Publicbelieves44centsofevery dollarwasted Thesecondreasonthepublicmaybelievethe budgetcanbebalancedwithoutsacrificing valuedprogramsorraisingspecifictaxeshasto dowithperceptionsofwaste.Thesurveyasks respondentstospecifythenumberofcentsthey thinkiswastedoutofeverydollarspentbystate government.Onaverage,thepublicbelieves44 centsofeverystatedollariswasted.Therefore, thepublicmaybelievethatoverallspendingcan bereducedbycuttingthisperceivedwasterather thancuttingservices. 2NationalAssociationofStateBudgetOfficers.State 4NationalAssociationofStateBudgetOfficers.State ExpenditureReport2012‐2014. ExpenditureReports.2008‐2014. 3LouisianaDivisionofAdministration.StateBudget DocumentFY2014‐2015. 9 SurveyMethodology Datainthisreportarefromarandomlyselected,statewiderepresentativegroupofadultresidentsof Louisiana.DatawerecollectedviatelephoneinterviewsconductedfromJanuary12toFebruary13,2015, amongarandomlyselectedstatesampleof980adultresidents(18yearsorolder).Thesurveyincludesa traditionallandlinetelephonesurveycombinedwithasurveyofLouisianacellphoneusers.Thecombined sampleof980respondentsincludes542respondentsinterviewedonalandlineand438respondents interviewedonacellphone.Thecellphonesampleincludes292respondentswhohavenolandline.The designofthelandlinesampleensuresrepresentationofbothlistedandunlistednumbersbyuseofrandom digitdialing.Thecellphonesampleisrandomlydrawnfromknown,availablephonenumberbanks dedicatedtowirelessservice. Theresponserateis7%forthelandlinesampleand6%forthecellphonesample.Thisresponserateis thepercentageofresidentialhouseholdsorpersonalcellphonesforwhichaninterviewiscompleted.The ratesarecalculatedusingtheAmericanAssociationforPublicOpinionResearch’smethodforResponse Rate3aspublishedintheirStandardDefinitions.Responserateshavedeclinedsteadilyforallsurveys overthepastseveraldecades.Theresponseratesforthe2015LouisianaSurveyarewithintherangeof whatnationalsurveyresearchorganizationssuchasGallupandthePewResearchCenterhavereported. Thecombinedlandlineandcellphonesampleisweightedusinganiterativeprocedurethatmatchesrace andethnicity,education,householdincome,genderandagetoknownprofilesforLouisianafoundinthe CensusBureau’sAmericanCommunitySurvey.Thesampleisalsoweightedforpopulationdensityby parishusingparametersfrom2012UnitedStatesCensusdata.Thespecificfactorsusedforweightingare: parishofresidence,gender,age,householdincome,education,race,andHispanicethnicity. Weightingcannoteliminateeverysourceofnonresponsebias.However,properconductionofrandom samplingcombinedwithacceptedweightingtechniqueshasastrongrecordofyieldingunbiasedresults. Themarginoferrorandtestsforstatisticalsignificancetakethisweightingintoaccount. Theoverallsurveyhasamarginoferrorof+/‐3.1percentagepoints.However,severaloftheresultsin thisreportarebasedonsubsetsfromthesample,includinganalysisofexperimentsutilizingmultiple versionsofquestionsrandomlyassignedtodifferentsetsofrespondentsaswellascomparisonsof demographicorpartisansubgroups.Themarginoferrorforthesecomparisonsarelargerthanforthe totalsample. Inadditiontosamplingerror,asaccountedforthroughthemarginoferror,readersshouldrecognizethat questionswordingandpracticaldifficultiesinconductingsurveyscanintroduceerrororbiasintothe findingsofopinionpolls. Pleasedirectanyquestionsconcerningsurveymethodologyto: Dr.MichaelHenderson,ResearchDirector,PPRL mbhende1@lsu.edu 225‐578‐5149 10 RegionalDefinitions Respondentsaredividedintosixregionalgroupsbasedonparishofresidenceusingthefollowing classifications: NewOrleansArea:Jefferson,Orleans,Plaquemines,St.Bernard [164respondents] BatonRougeArea:Ascension,EastBatonRouge,EastFeliciana,Iberville,Livingston,PointCoupee,St. Helena,WestBatonRouge,WestFeliciana [191respondents] NorthwestLouisiana:Bienville,Bossier,Caddo,Claiborne,DeSoto,Natchitoches,RedRiver,Sabine,Union, Vernon,Webster [144respondents] NortheastLouisiana:Avoyelles,Caldwell,Catahoula,Concordia,EastCarroll,Franklin,Grant,Jackson,La Salle,Lincoln,Madison,Morehouse,Ouachita,Rapides,Richland,Tensas,WestCarroll,Winn [133respondents] SouthwestLouisiana:Acadia,Allen,Beauregard,Calcasieu,Cameron,Evangeline,Iberia,JeffersonDavis, Lafayette,St.Landry,St.Martin,St.Mary,Vermilion [169respondents] SoutheastLouisiana(excludingNewOrleansAreaandBatonRougeArea):Assumption,Lafourche,St. Charles,St.James,St.JohntheBaptist,St.Tammany,Tangipahoa,Terrebonne,Washington [175respondents] 11 SurveyToplines NOTE:Frequenciesrepresentpercentagesofrespondentswhoreceivedthequestion.Percentagesmaynot sumto100duetorounding.Questionsfieldedto980respondentsexceptwhereotherwisenoted. Q1.–Q15.PREVIOUSLYRELEASED Q16.HELDFORFUTURERELEASE [FORQ17‐Q20,PROMPTWITH“Justtellmeyourbestguess.”IFRESPONDENTINITIALLYSAYSDON’T KNOW/NOTSURE] Q17.Basedonyourbestguess,onwhichoftheseactivitiesdoestheLouisianastategovernmentcurrently spendthemostmoney?Isit[RANDOMIZEORDERANDREADALL:healthcare,education,prisons,roads andbridges,orwelfareandfoodstamps]? Healthcare 9 Education 5 Prisons 33 Roadsandbridges 9 Welfareandfoodstamps 39 DK/Refused(Vol) 6 Q18.Thinkingbackoverthepastsevenyears,wouldyousaythatstatetaxeshavegoneupalot,goneupa little,remainedaboutthesame,gonedownalittle,orgonedownalot? Goneupalot 20 Goneupalittle 34 Remainedaboutthesame 36 Gonedownalittle 4 Gonedownalot 1 DK/Refused(Vol) 5 [RANDOMLYASSIGNTOQ19AORQ19B] Q19A.Stillthinkingaboutthepastsevenyears,wouldyousaythatspendingbythestategovernmentin generalhasgoneupalot,goneupalittle,remainedaboutthesame,gonedownalittle,orgonedownalot? [n=486] Goneupalot 30 Goneupalittle 26 Remainedaboutthesame 27 Gonedownalittle 9 Gonedownalot 5 DK/Refused(Vol) 4 12 Q19B.Stillthinkingaboutthepastsevenyears,wouldyousaythatspendingbythestategovernmentfor collegesanduniversitieshasgoneupalot,goneupalittle,remainedaboutthesame,gonedownalittle,or gonedownalot? [n=494] Goneupalot 17 Goneupalittle 22 Remainedaboutthesame 21 Gonedownalittle 16 Gonedownalot 16 DK/Refused(Vol) 8 Q20.–Q25.HELDFORFUTURERELEASE Q26.Nextwe’lltalkaboutstatetaxesandspending.Budgetshortfallshappenwhenthegovernmentdoes nothaveenoughmoneycomingintopayforthecostofthethingsitdoes.Inyourview,whenthe legislatureandthegovernordiscussstepstoaddressshortfallsinthestatebudget,shouldtheyfocus [RANDOMIZEORDERANDREADALL:onlyonspendingcuts,onlyontaxincreases]orshouldtheydoa combinationofboth? Onlyonspendingcuts 13 Onlyontaxincreases 2 Combinationofboth 83 DK/Refused(Vol) 2 [ASKIFQ26=COMBINATIONOFBOTH] Q27.Ifbothspendingcutsandtaxincreasesarebeingconsideredshouldthefocusbeon[RANDOMIZE ORDERANDREADALL:mostlyonspendingcutsormostlyontaxincreases]? [n=775] Mostlyonspendingcuts 71 Mostlyontaxincreases 22 DK/Refused(Vol) 7 Q28.–Q29.HELDFORFUTURERELEASE 13 SPENDINTRO:NowI'mgoingtoreadyousomedifferentareaswhereLouisianaspendstaxdollars.AsI readeachone,tellmeifyouwouldliketoseestatespendinginthisareaincreased,decreased,orkept aboutthesame.[INSERTITEMsQ30‐Q35,RANDOMIZEORDER] Q30.Whataboutspendingforprimaryandsecondaryeducation?Shouldthisbeincreased,decreased,or keptaboutthesame? Increased 76 Decreased 4 Keptaboutthesame 19 DK/Refused(Vol) 1 Q31.Whataboutspendingforhighereducation?Shouldthisbeincreased,decreased,orkeptaboutthe same? Increased 73 Decreased 5 Keptaboutthesame 20 DK/Refused(Vol) 1 Q32.Whataboutspendingforhealthcare?Shouldthisbeincreased,decreased,orkeptaboutthesame? Increased 56 Decreased 14 Keptaboutthesame 29 DK/Refused(Vol) 2 Q33.Whataboutspendingforroads,bridges,andhighways?Shouldthisbeincreased,decreased,orkept aboutthesame? Increased 73 Decreased 5 Keptaboutthesame 22 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 Q34.Whataboutspendingforprisonsandlawenforcement?Shouldthisbeincreased,decreased,orkept aboutthesame? Increased 35 Decreased 26 Keptaboutthesame 37 DK/Refused(Vol) 3 14 Q35.Whataboutspendingforwelfare,foodstamps,andotherpublicassistanceprograms?Shouldthisbe increased,decreased,orkeptaboutthesame? Increased 18 Decreased 49 Keptaboutthesame 32 DK/Refused(Vol) 1 Q36.Thinkingaboutstateincometaxesonindividualsandhouseholds,wouldyousaythatstateincome taxesaretoohighandneedtobereduced,toolowandneedtobeincreased,orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 27 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 14 Justaboutright 56 DK/Refused(Vol) 3 Q37.Whataboutthestatesalestax,wouldyousaythatthestatesalestaxistoohighandneedstobe reduced,toolowandneedstobeincreased,orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 35 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 6 Justaboutright 59 DK/Refused(Vol) 1 Q38.Whataboutlocalpropertytaxes,wouldyousaylocalpropertytaxesaretoohighandneedtobe reduced,toolowandneedtobeincreased,orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 40 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 5 Justaboutright 47 DK/Refused(Vol) 6 Q39.Whataboutstatetaxesonbeer,wine,andotheralcoholicbeverages,wouldyousaytaxesonbeer, wine,andotheralcoholicbeveragesaretoohighandneedtobereduced,toolowandneedtobeincreased, orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 11 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 42 Justaboutright 41 DK/Refused(Vol) 6 15 Q40.Whataboutstatetaxesontobaccoproducts,wouldyousaytaxesontobaccoproductsaretoohigh andneedtobereduced,toolowandneedtobeincreased,orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 15 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 50 Justaboutright 30 DK/Refused(Vol) 5 Q41.Thinkingaboutstatetaxesoncorporations,wouldyousaythatstatetaxesoncorporationsaretoo highandneedtobereduced,toolowandneedtobeincreased,orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 14 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 29 Justaboutright 47 DK/Refused(Vol) 10 Q42.Thinkingaboutstatetaxesonextractionandproductionofoil,naturalgas,andothermineral resources,wouldyousaythatthesetaxesaretoohighandneedtobereduced,toolowandneedtobe increased,orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 24 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 22 Justaboutright 46 DK/Refused(Vol) 8 Q43.Thinkingaboutstatetaxesoncasinos,videopokermachines,andthelottery,wouldyousaythatthese taxesaretoohighandneedtobereduced,toolowandneedtobeincreased,orjustaboutright? Toohighandneedtobereduced 11 Toolowandneedtobeincreased 49 Justaboutright 32 DK/Refused(Vol) 8 16 [RANDOMLYASSIGNTOQ44AORQ44B] Q44A.OfeverytaxdollarthatgoestothefederalgovernmentinWashingtonD.C.,howmanycentsofeach dollarwouldyousayarewasted? [n=473] [ENTERRESPONSE0‐100] Averageresponse: 50% DK/Refused(Vol) 12 Q44B.OfeverytaxdollarthatgoestothestategovernmentofLouisiana,howmanycentsofeachdollar wouldyousayarewasted? [n=507] [ENTERRESPONSE0‐100] Averageresponse: 44% DK/Refused(Vol) 14 Q45.Ifyouhadtochoose,wouldyouratherhaveasmallergovernmentprovidingfewerservicesoralarger governmentprovidingmoreservices? Smallergovernmentandfewerservices 49 Largergovernmentandmoreservices 45 DK/Refused(Vol) 6 Q46.ThinkingaboutthetaxesyoupaytothestateofLouisiana,doyouthinkyou’repayingmorethanyour fairshare,lessthanyourfairshare,orabouttherightamount? Morethanyourfairshare 41 Lessthanyourfairshare 1 Abouttherightamount 56 DK/Refused(Vol) 2 Q47.AsIreadoffsomedifferentgroups,pleasetellmeifyouthinktheyarepayingmorethantheirfair shareofstatetaxes,lessthantheirfairshare,orabouttherightamount.Howaboutlower‐incomepeople, aretheypayingmorethantheirfairshareofstatetaxes,lessthantheirfairshare,orabouttheright amount? Morethantheirfairshare 38 Lessthantheirfairshare 19 Abouttherightamount 39 DK/Refused(Vol) 3 17 Q48.Howaboutmiddle‐incomepeople,aretheypayingmorethantheirfairshareofstatetaxes,lessthan theirfairshare,orabouttherightamount? Morethantheirfairshare 43 Lessthantheirfairshare 5 Abouttherightamount 50 DK/Refused(Vol) 2 Q49.Howaboutupper‐incomepeople,aretheypayingmorethantheirfairshareofstatetaxes,lessthan theirfairshare,orabouttherightamount? Morethantheirfairshare 14 Lessthantheirfairshare 57 Abouttherightamount 27 DK/Refused(Vol) 2 [RANDOMLYASSIGNTOQ50AORQ50B] Q50A.Howaboutcorporations,aretheypayingmorethantheirfairshareofstatetaxes,lessthantheirfair share,orabouttherightamount? [n=511] Morethantheirfairshare 8 Lessthantheirfairshare 55 Abouttherightamount 29 DK/Refused(Vol) 9 Q50B.Howaboutbusinesses,aretheypayingmorethantheirfairshareofstatetaxes,lessthantheirfair share,orabouttherightamount? [n=469] Morethantheirfairshare 17 Lessthantheirfairshare 28 Abouttherightamount 49 DK/Refused(Vol) 6 Q51.–Q60.HELDFORFUTURERELEASE 18 [RANDOMLYASSIGNTOQ61AORQ61B] Q61A.Asyoumaybeaware,stategovernmentfundingforcollegesanduniversitieshasdecreasedoverthe lastseveralyears.Tooffsetthesecuts,collegesanduniversitieshaveraisedtuitionandfeesonstudents. WhodoyouthinkshouldbeprimarilyresponsibleforfundingLouisiana’scollegesanduniversities–the stategovernmentorthestudentswhoattendtheseschoolsandtheirfamilies? [n=489] Stategovernment 63 Studentsandtheirfamilies 31 DK/Refused(Vol) 6 Q61B.Asyoumaybeaware,stategovernmentfundingforcollegesanduniversitieshasdecreasedby700 milliondollarsoverthelastseveralyears.Tooffsetthesecuts,collegesanduniversitieshaveraisedtuition andfeesonstudentsbyabout40%.Whodoyouthinkshouldbeprimarilyresponsibleforfunding Louisiana’scollegesanduniversities–thestategovernmentorthestudentswhoattendtheseschoolsand theirfamilies? [n=491] Stategovernment 60 Studentsandtheirfamilies 32 DK/Refused(Vol) 8 Q62.–Q80.HELDFORFUTURERELEASE Q81.GenerallyspeakingdoyouconsideryourselfaDemocrat,Republican,Independent,orwhat? Democrat 35 Republican 27 Independent 28 Other 8 DK/Refused(Vol) 2 [ASKONLYIFANSWERED“Democrat”OR“Republican”TOQ81] Q82.Wouldyouconsideryourselfastrongoranotsostrong[INSERTANSWERTOQ81]? [n=651] Strong 59 NotsoStrong 38 DK/Refused(Vol) 2 19 [ASKONLYIFDIDNOTANSWER“Democrat”OR“Republican”TOQ81] Q83.Wouldyousay,youleantotheDemocraticPartyorRepublicanParty,orwouldyousayyoudon'tlean toeitherparty? [n=329] DemocraticParty 16 RepublicanParty 21 Independent(Don'tleantoeitherparty) 60 DK/Refused(Vol) 4 Q84.Wejusthaveafewfollowupquestionsleft.Yourdataisveryhelpfulandwillbeusedonlyfor statisticalpurposes.Inwhatyearwereyouborn? [Open‐ended] [Answerscodedintocategories] 18‐29 24 30‐49 32 50‐64 27 65orolder 17 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 Q85.Doyouownyourownhome,payrent,orsomethingelse? Ownhome 62 PayRent 22 Somethingelse 16 DK/Refused(Vol) 1 Q86.Anddoanychildrenundertheageof18currentlyresideinyourhousehold? Yes 39 No 61 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 [ASKONLYIFANSWERED“Yes”TOQ86] Q87.DoanyofthesechildrenattendapublicschoolinLouisiana? [n=291] Yes 71 No 29 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 20 Q88.Whichofthefollowingcategoriesbestdescribesyourlevelofeducation?PleasestopmewhenIgetto thatcategory. 6 Lessthan9thgrade 11 9th–11thgrade Highschooldiploma,nocollege 34 SomecollegeorvocationalDegree 26 Four‐yearcollegedegree 11 Somegraduateschool 3 Advanceddegree 7 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 Q89.Whatisyourcurrentmaritalstatus? Married 46 Single 34 Divorced 9 Separated 3 Widowed 7 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 Q90.Andwhatisyourzipcode? [ENTERRESPONSE] Q91.AreyouofHispanic,Latino,orSpanishorigin? Yes 4 No 95 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 Q92.Whichofthefollowingbestdescribesyou?AreyouWhite,African‐American,Asian,orsomething else? White 62 African‐American 32 Asian 7 Other 4 DK/Refused(Vol) 1 21 Q93.IsyourreligiouspreferenceChristian,Jewish,Muslim,Agnostic,Atheists,orsomethingelse? Christian 81 Jewish 1 Muslim 0 Agnostic 2 Atheist 1 SomethingElse 15 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 [ASKONLYIFANSWERED“Christian”TOQ93] Q94.DoyougenerallyconsideryourselfProtestant,Catholic,nondenominational,orsomethingelse? [n=840] Protestant 12 Catholic 34 Baptist 23 Nondenominational 20 Somethingelse 11 DK/Refused(Vol) 1 [ASKONLYIFANSWERED“Christian”TOQ93] Q95.Doyougenerallyconsideryourselfanevangelicalorbornagain? [n=840] Yes 49 No 45 DK/Refused(Vol) 7 Q96.Howoftendoyouattendservicesatachurch,synagogue,mosque,orotherplaceofworship?...Never, onceayear,afewtimesayear,onceamonth,abouttwiceamonth,onceaweekormoreoften Never 11 Onceayear 6 Afewtimesayear 18 Onceamonth 10 Abouttwiceamonth 11 Onceaweekormoreoften 44 DK/Refused(Vol) 6 22 Q97.Areyoucurrentlyemployedfull‐time,employedpart‐time,retired,unemployedandlookingforwork, ornotemployedandnotlookingforwork? EmployedFull‐time 52 EmployedPart‐time 10 Retired 17 Unemployedandlookingforwork 9 Notemployedandnotlookingforwork 8 OnDisability(Vol) 5 DK/Refused(Vol) 0 Q98.Wewouldliketoknowwhatyourhouseholdincomewaslastyearbeforetaxes.Thisinformationwill remainstrictlyconfidentialandwillonlybeusedforstatisticalpurposes.PleasestopmewhenIgettothe categorythatincludesyourhouseholdincome. Under$10,000 10 $10,000‐$19,999 16 $20,000‐$29,999 10 $30,000‐$39,999 5 $40,000‐$49,999 4 $50,000‐$74,999 14 $75,000‐$99,999 10 $100,000‐$199,999 15 $200,000ormore 3 DK/Refused(Vol) 14 Q99.[RECORDGENDER.DONOTASK.] Male 48 Female 52 23