UNIT 3 Macroeconomics LONG FREE-RESPONSE SAMPLE QUESTIONS Answer Key Answers to Sample Long Free-Response Questions 1. Assume you are a member of Congress. A member of your staff has just given you the following economic statistics: Year Ago Quarter Last Quarter Estimate for Quarter Now Ending $2,789 $2,689 $2,598 Consumer price index 197 201 204 Unemployment rate 5% 8% 10.2% $312 $300 $287 Real gross domestic product (in billions of 1997 dollars) Gross private investment (in billions of 1997 dollars) (A) What economic problem is this nation facing? There is a recession. Real GDP is declining and unemployment is rising. Inflation is moderate, rising 3 percent in the last year. (B) Identify the fiscal policy actions you would recommend. Policy recommendations are to decrease personal income taxes, decrease corporate income taxes and/or increase government spending. (C) What are the goals of your fiscal policy actions? The goal would be to enact expansionary fiscal policy actions to raise employment and increase the level of real GDP, but to do so without causing more inflation. (D) Explain how each policy action you identified in Question 1(B) will fit the goals you stated in Question 1(C). Decreasing personal income taxes will provide more disposable income available for consumption and saving. Higher consumption will increase aggregate demand and raise the level of real GDP and employment and possibly the price level. Because unemployment is high, the effect on the price level may be small. Some of the savings might find its way to financial markets and become investment. Decreasing corporate income taxes will give businesses more money for investment, raising aggregate demand, real GDP and employment. If businesses undertake purchases of new capital, this could increase the aggregate supply and the price level might fall. Increasing government spending is an option. Government spending is a direct injection and none is lost to savings. Additional disposable income as it passes through the income stream will also add to real GDP and employment. Advanced Placement Economics Teacher Resource Manual © National Council on Economic Education, New York, N.Y. 515 UNIT LONG FREE-RESPONSE 3 Macroeconomics SAMPLE QUESTIONS Answer Key PRICE LEVEL (E) Use a correctly labeled aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph to show the effects of your fiscal policy on the economy. Show the changes that will occur in the price level and the level of real GDP. The rightward movement of aggregate demand results in increases in the price level and real GDP. SRAS P1 P AD1 AD Y Y1 REAL GDP 2. Assume you are a member of Congress. A staff member has just given you the following economic statistics: Year Ago Quarter Last Quarter Estimate for Quarter Now Ending $2,356 $2,589 $2,752 Consumer price index 210 240 250 Unemployment rate 10% 6.5% 5.1% Gross private investment (in billions of 1997 dollars) $312 $340 $352 Real gross domestic product (in billions of 1997 dollars) (A) What economic problem is this nation facing? The main problem is inflation. Inflation rose almost 20 percent in the last year. (B) Identify the fiscal policy actions you would recommend. Policy recommendations are to increase personal income taxes, increase corporate income taxes and/or decrease government spending. (C) What are the goals of your fiscal policy actions? The goal would be to enact contractionary fiscal policy to lower inflation to a level that is acceptable. The fine line between lowering inflation and not causing lower employment and lower levels of real GDP is the difference between success and recession. 516 Advanced Placement Economics Teacher Resource Manual © National Council on Economic Education, New York, N.Y. UNIT 3 Macroeconomics LONG FREE-RESPONSE SAMPLE QUESTIONS Answer Key (D) Explain how each policy action you identified in Question 2(B) will fit the goals you stated in Question 2(C). Increasing personal income taxes will decrease disposable income available for consumption and saving. Lower levels of consumption will decrease aggregate demand to lower the level of real GDP and employment. If the economy is in the vertical range or upwardsloping range of AS, price levels will fall. Increasing corporate income taxes will give businesses less money for investment, reducing aggregate demand, real GDP and employment. Price levels will fall. Decreasing government spending is an option. Raising taxes and cutting the budget may create a budget surplus. The loss of disposable income, as it passes through the income stream, will also lower real GDP and employment, but price levels will fall. PRICE LEVEL (E) Use a correctly labeled aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph to show the effects of your fiscal policy on the economy. Show the changes that will occur in the price level and the level of real GDP. The leftward movement of aggregate demand results in a decline in the price level and real GDP. SRAS P P1 AD AD1 Y1 Y REAL GDP 3. Assume that the economy has been operating at the full-employment levels of output and employment but has recently experienced a decrease in consumption spending because of a sharp decline in stock market indexes that has reduced the wealth of the nation by about 18 percent. Consumption expenditures have decreased at all levels of income. (A) Use correctly labeled aggregate demand and aggregate supply graphs to illustrate the shortrun effect of the decrease in consumption expenditures on each of the following: (i)ii Output (ii)i Employment (iii) The price level Advanced Placement Economics Teacher Resource Manual © National Council on Economic Education, New York, N.Y. 517 UNIT LONG FREE-RESPONSE 3 Macroeconomics SAMPLE QUESTIONS Answer Key The decline in consumption expenditures at each and every level of income will create an output gap at the full-employment level of output. As a result of this autonomous change in aggregate demand, the following will occur: PRICE LEVEL LRAS (i)ii Output will decline. SRAS P P1 (ii)i Employment will decline, and the unemployment rate will rise. (iii) The price level will decline. AD AD1 Y1 Y* REAL GDP (B) Identify two fiscal policy actions that could be used to counter the effects of the initial decrease in consumption spending. Explain, using correctly labeled aggregate demand and aggregate supply graphs, the short-run effects of each of your policies on each of the following: (i)ii Output (ii)i Employment (iii) The price level Fiscal-policy measures can include a cut in both personal and business taxes and/or increase in government spending. Another idea would be to raise taxes and increase government spending by equal amounts. This would result in an increase in real GDP. (i)ii Output will increase. PRICE LEVEL LRAS SRAS P P2 P1 (ii)i Employment will increase and the unemployment rate will fall. (iii) The price level will increase. AD AD1 AD2 The decline in consumption moved the aggregate demand curve from AD to AD1 ; the fiscal policy shifted the aggregate demand curve back to AD2 . Y1 Y2 Y* REAL GDP 518 Advanced Placement Economics Teacher Resource Manual © National Council on Economic Education, New York, N.Y. UNIT 3 Macroeconomics LONG FREE-RESPONSE SAMPLE QUESTIONS Answer Key 4. Assume that political problems restrict the supply of oil in international markets. Consequently, increased production costs result in the following economic conditions in the United States: ■ The unemployment rate is 8 percent and rising. ■ The CPI is rising 9 percent annually and accelerating. ■ The annual rate of growth of real GDP is –1.5 percent. PRICE LEVEL (A) Identify and describe the major macroeconomic problems in the economy. Using correctly labeled aggregate demand and aggregate supply graphs, show the condition of the economy. High rates of unemployment and negative growth rates combined with a high rate of inflation show that the economy is suffering from stagflation. The graph shows price levels increasing and unemployment rising. SRAS1 SRAS P1 P AD Y1 Y REAL GDP (B) With a federal budget deficit of nearly $350 billion, fiscal authorities are considering the following policy actions to address the existing economic problems: Policy 1: Increase government expenditures. Policy 2: Increase personal income taxes. Policy 3: Decrease business taxes and regulations. Describe the effect of each of the policies on the economy, and demonstrate each on an individual aggregate demand and aggregate supply graph. Be sure to include each of the following in your description: (i)ii Output (ii)i Employment (iii) The price level Advanced Placement Economics Teacher Resource Manual © National Council on Economic Education, New York, N.Y. 519 UNIT LONG FREE-RESPONSE 3 Macroeconomics SAMPLE QUESTIONS Answer Key Policy 1: Increased government spending would move the AD curve to the right. (i)ii Output would increase. PRICE LEVEL SRAS (ii)i Employment would increase. (iii) The price level would increase. AD1 AD REAL GDP Policy 2: Increased personal taxes would move the AD curve to the left. PRICE LEVEL (i)ii Output would decline. SRAS (ii)i Employment would decrease. (iii) The price level would decrease. AD AD1 REAL GDP Policy 3: Decreased business taxes and decreased regulation would move the SRAS curve to the right. SRAS PRICE LEVEL SRAS1 (i)ii Output would increase if business expectations are positive. (ii)i Employment would rise if business expectations are positive. (iii) The price level will fall as SRAS increases. AD REAL GDP 520 Advanced Placement Economics Teacher Resource Manual © National Council on Economic Education, New York, N.Y.