Chapter 2 Psychology’s Scientific Method Chapter Preview Psychology’s Scientific Method Types of Psychological Research Research Samples and Settings Analyzing and Interpreting Data Conducting Ethical Research Thinking Critically About Research The Science of Psychology How is science different from folk wisdom? Where do we find answers to our questions? How do you know what to believe? What separates sense from nonsense? Critical Thinking 1 The Scientific Method Scientific Method: Observe Step 1 Observe some phenomenon curiosity variables theory © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Scientific Method: Hypothesize Step 2 Formulate hypotheses and predictions testable prediction derived from theory © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 2 Theories An explanation for a phenomenon Should be based on careful and precise observations Theories are changeable and expandable, and most importantly, theories are FALSIFIABLE. Theories are falsifiable In order to be a valid scientific theory there must be some way that an observation or experiment could prove it to be false. A theory must lead to predictions that can be tested and either supported or proven to be false. Is this theory falsifiable? The moon is populated by little green men who can read our minds and will hide whenever anyone on Earth looks for them, and will flee into deep space whenever a spacecraft comes near. 3 Hypotheses From theories, psychologists develop hypotheses. Hypotheses are predictions about future behavior. Specific statement of expectation derived from theory State the relationship between two variables Scientific Method: Research Step 3 Test through empirical research operational definition of variables analyze data using statistical procedures © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Scientific Method: Conclusions Step 4 Draw conclusions replication of results → reliability © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. 4 Scientific Method: Evaluate Step 5 Evaluate the theory change the theory? peer review and publication meta-analysis © 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Our hypothesis? Theory: Our hypothesis? Operationalizing the variables Participants: People? Children? Adults? Males and/or females? Independent variable: What kind of manipulation? Control condition? Dependent variable: What is our effect/result? How will we define and measure that effect? Research Methods in Psychology Descriptive Research Correlational Research The choice of Method determined by: Experimental Research goal of the research nature of the problem being investigated 5 Descriptive Research No manipulation of variables Weakness? Can’t infer cause & effect What you can do: Can describe patterns of behavior and discover links or associations between variables Descriptive Research Naturalistic Observation To study behavior in real-life settings, Avoid influencing the behavior being studied (reactive). Strength – study behavior under natural conditions Descriptive Research Case Study A case study is an in-depth analysis of a single person or event. Allows researcher to gather a lot of info Although the findings of a case study may apply only to the person who was studied, they may provide direction for further study using other methods. 6 Descriptive Research Survey Study in which people are asked questions about some topic of interest to the investigator. By asking questions of a representative sample, researchers using the survey method can provide useful information about a much larger population. Descriptive Research Surveys Use questionnaires or interviews to gather information Advantage – can gather data on things that are difficult to observe Disadvantages – self-report problems with intentional deception and wishful thinking Descriptive Research: Pros & Cons Advantage Can explore questions that can not be examined with experimental methods Disadvantage Cannot control events to isolate cause & effect 7 Correlational Research Builds on descriptive designs Discover how variables change relative to each other Cannot tell which variable is causing the change Variable X GPA Variable Y SAT scores Correlational Research Correlation Coefficient (r) Ranges from + 1.00 to – 1.00 This number tells you the strength of the relationship +/- tells you direction of the relationship Examples? Correlational Research Correlation Coefficient (r) Variable X Positive (+) both variables in same direction Variable Y 8 Correlational Research Correlation Coefficient (r) Negative (-) values of variables go in opposite directions Variable X Variable Y Correlational Research Correlation Coefficient (r) Correlational Research Explaining a Correlation Start with 3 variables, (X, Y, & Z) where X and Y are correlated: X may cause Y Y may cause X Z may cause X and Y Correlations indicate relationship patterns, not causes They can provide useful insights and help us to make predictions 9 10 Experimental Research Experimenter manipulates one variable & observes changes in another variable Use of experimental groups to allow comparison of effects Because it can generate cause-and-effect statements, many psychologists believe that the experimental method is the most powerful research approach. Dependent and Independent Variables Independent variables -The variables that might cause an effect Dependent variable -behavior that shows the outcome of an experiment by revealing the effects of an independent variable Experimental and Control Groups Experimental group -- In some cases participants in an experiment are exposed to the independent variable Control group -- Other participants are not exposed to the independent variable and will be compared with the experimental group on the dependent variable 11 Experimental Research Experimental Research By manipulating an independent variable (the cause), the researcher determines whether it influences the dependent variable (the effect). Experimental Research The only difference between groups should be the independent variable or variables manipulated by the experimenter. If you hold all other extraneous variables constant, you may identify the cause of the behavior under consideration. Want to select 2 groups that are as much alike as possible before an experiment begins. 12 Statistics Statistics involves the use of mathematics to organize, summarize, and interpret numerical data. Descriptive statistics -- summarize data. Measures of central tendency Measures of variability Coefficient of correlation Inferential statistics -- used to interpret data and draw conclusions. Descriptive Statistics Measures of Central Tendency Provide information about the typical score in a set of numbers. Median – 50% of scores fall above, 50% below Mean – arithmetic average Mode – the most frequent score Consider these job offers? COMPANY A: N=10 Mean=$33,500 Median=$20,000 Mode=$20,000 s.d.=$29,064 Range=$80,000 COMPANY B: N=10 Mean=$28,000 Median=$22,500 Mode=$20,000 s.d.=$12,293 Range=$35,000 Which job would you choose? Why? 13 Measures of Central Tendency Income 20,000 Mode = 20,000 20,000 25,000 Median =25,000 35,000 200,000 300,000 / 5 = 60,000 Mean = 60,000 Descriptive Statistics Measures of Variance Provide information about the variability or spread in a set of data. Variability – how much the scores in the data set vary from each other and from the mean Range = high score – low score Standard deviation Inferential Statistics Used to interpret and draw conclusions. Based on laws of probability Used to evaluate whether the results of a study may be due to chance Statistically significant = chances are less than 5 out of a 100 14 Evaluating Research Flawed research does make its way into the body of literature. Replication – can the results of an earlier study be duplicated This is why it is important to evaluate research using: Critical Thinking Knowledge of Scientific Method Knowledge of Research Methods Evaluating Research Sampling Bias Sample is the collection of subjects selected for observation in an empirical study Population is the much larger collection of people that researchers want to generalize about. Sampling bias exists when a sample is not representative of the population from which it was drawn. Evaluating Research Placebo Effects Changes in a person's behavior which come from the EXPECTATION of change, rather than the ingredients or components of the treatment they receive. 15 Evaluating Research Distortions in Self-report Bias introduced by participants who respond in ways that do not reflect their actual behavior, beliefs, judgments, etc. Social desirability bias Misunderstood or poorly worded questions “response sets” – participants respond in automatic ways Evaluating Research Experimenter Bias Bias introduced when a researcher's expectations or preferences influence the outcome of the research. This may be done without the research ever realizing that he/she is affecting the outcome. Double-blind research 16