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politico Tuesday, February 5, 2008
2008 Super Tuesday Preview
Where the
Democrats
Stand
Going In
Places to Watch
19
Tuesday, February 5, 2008 politico
Facts
24
1,681
States holding presidential
nominating events:
15 states holding primaries,
nine states holding caucuses/
conventions
Democratic
delegates
at stake; 2,025 needed to
win nomination
5
States voting with
African-American
population of 15
percent or higher
Republican
delegates at
stake; 1,191 needed to win
nomination
States voting
with Hispanic
population of 15
percent or higher
Where the
Republicans
Stand
Going In
New York
Illinois
As election results stream in, here are 10 states to keep an eye on.
7
1,009
With 232 Democratic delegates at stake,
this is the biggest prize east of the
Mississippi. If home-state Sen. Hillary
Rodham Clinton can’t make it here, she
can’t make it anywhere.
Sen. Barack Obama must win in his home
state. With 153 Democratic delegates at
stake, it’s the third-biggest prize today.
Utah
John McCain
Republican Mitt
Romney is far
more popular here,
in the Mormon
heartland, than in
Massachusetts,
the state he once
governed.
Hillary Rodham
Clinton
Amount raised in
Super Tuesday states:
$61,508,065
Total raised (as of
Dec. 31, 2007):
$115,652,361
Total spent (as of
Dec. 31, 2007):
$77,704,487
States won: New
Hampshire,
Nevada, Michigan,
Florida
Amount raised in
Super Tuesday states:
$17,512,311
Total raised:
$41,102,178
Total spent:
$38,153,750
States won: New
Hampshire, South
Carolina, Florida
Massachusetts
California
Without question, this is
today’s biggest prize — for
both parties. Democrat
Hillary Rodham Clinton
has Sen. Dianne Feinstein
in her corner; Gov. Arnold
Schwarzenegger lines
up with Republican John
McCain.
Barack Obama
Amount raised in
Super Tuesday states:
$51,017,655
Total raised:
$102,170,668
Total spent:
$83,544,420
States won: Iowa,
South Carolina
Mitt Romney
It’s Mitt Romney’s home state,
but keep in mind that John
McCain beat George W. Bush
here in 2000 by more than
2-to-1.
Amount raised in
Super Tuesday states:
$28,916,864
Total raised:
$88,499,686
Total spent:
$86,068,239
States won: Wyoming,
Michigan, Nevada,
Maine
New Jersey
The Garden State, with its 107
Democratic delegates in New York Sen.
Hillary Rodham Clinton’s backyard, is
critical to her Super Tuesday strategy.
Mike Huckabee
Amount raised in
Super Tuesday states:
$2,548,622
Total raised:
$8,986,532
Total spent:
$7,090,087
States won: Iowa
Arizona
Home-state Republican Sen. John
McCain won 60 percent here in
2000 against George W. Bush —
not so impressive.
Georgia
This is the South’s biggest prize for
both parties. On the Democratic
side, the African-American vote will
play a key role.
Kansas
Ron Paul
Gov. Kathleen Sebelius, frequently
mentioned as a prospective vice
presidential candidate, recently
endorsed Democrat Barack Obama
here in a state where Obama has
some family roots.
Arkansas
Two of today’s candidates — Democrat
Hillary Rodham Clinton and Republican
Mike Huckabee — have long histories
here. A poor showing for either would be
embarrassing.
Amount raised in
Super Tuesday states:
$6,519,885
Total raised:
$28,101,264
Total spent:
$20,262,084
States won: None
AP Photos
Bush
2004 Presidential Election Results
37%
62%
Alabama
36% 61%
Alaska
44%
55%
Arizona
45%
54%
Arkansas
54%
44%
California
Kerry
47%
52%
Colorado
Others
54% 44%
53% 46%
41% 58%
Connecticut
Delaware
Georgia
30%
68%
Idaho
55% 44%
Illinois
37%
62%
Kansas
62%
37%
Massachusetts
51% 49%
46% 53%
39% 59%
53% 46%
Minnesota
Missouri
Montana
New Jersey
40%
50% 49%
58%
New Mexico
New York
35%
63%
North Dakota
34%
66%
43% 57%
Oklahoma
Tennessee
26%
72%
Utah
43% 56%
West Virginia
SOURCeS: “THe ALMANAC of AMERICAN POLITICS”; “Race For The Presidency: Winning The 2008 Nomination” (CQ Press); FEDERAL ELECTION COMMISSION