The Role of State Owned Banks in Indonesia P. S. Srinivas1 Djauhari Sitorus The World Bank Jakarta, Indonesia Abstract State owned banks have historically played a major role in the Indonesian financial sector. Even today, nearly half the assets of the banking system are controlled by state owned banks. This paper explores the evolution of their role in the economy over the years. Looking ahead, there is little economic justification for Indonesia to continue to have state owned banks. Full privatization should therefore be the desired policy objective. However, given the likely political difficulties in achieving this in the short run, steps should be taken to strengthen both the state owned banks and the Indonesian financial sector. 1 Paper to be presented at the Brookings/IMF/World Bank conference on “The Role of State-Owned Financial Institutions: Policy and Practice” being held during April 26-27, 2004, at the World Bank, Washington DC. Srinivas is Sector Coordinator, and Sitorus is Financial Analyst, both in the Finance & Private Sector Development Unit, in the World Bank Office in Jakarta, Indonesia. Comments are welcome. Corresponding author’s e-mail: psrinivas@worldbank.org. The views and opinions expressed in the paper are the authors’ own and are not those of the World Bank or its members. All efforts have been made to ensure accuracy of data used. Any remaining errors are the authors’ own. Thanks to Bert Hofman and James Hanson for valuable discussions and comments and to Anna Widiana for production assistance. The Role of State Owned Banks in Indonesia As in much of the rest of the developing world, state owned banks (SOBs) in Indonesia originated with the government’s objectives to channel resources to “priority” sectors of the economy as well as provide financial services to underserved parts of a widely dispersed country. Each of the state owned banks was also originally established with a clear mandate to finance specific sectors of the economy. For much of the country’s history, SOBs have played a major role in the Indonesian economy – at times controlling over three-fourths of deposits and assets of the banking system – and they continue to control almost half the assets and deposits of the banking system today. Also in line with many developing countries, the banking sector dominates the overall Indonesian financial sector – with banks forming over 80 per cent of the financial sector today. SOBs, therefore, always have – and continue to – play a large role in the Indonesian economy. The role of state owned banks has, however, evolved over time. After starting as agents of channeling subsidized credits – provided principally through rediscounting facilities from the central bank, Bank Indonesia (BI) - to specific sectors of the economy, these banks have evolved into full fledged commercial banks. While their privileged access to cheap funding from BI has declined over time – as Indonesia implemented reforms in the financial sector, and while their reported performance in terms of profitability and capital adequacy has improved since the 1997/98 crisis, they continue to face the usual gamut of problems associated with state ownership. Weak governance and susceptibility to political pressures is a major issue, while the implicit government guarantee (with or without the current blanket guarantee on deposits) to depositors in these banks weakens incentives to focus on performance. Despite efforts by the regulator, SOBs also face problems of weak implementation of regulation and supervision – given the political considerations involved. As Indonesia extricates itself from the devastating effects of the 1997 crisis and looks ahead, a key challenge is to squarely address the role of SOBs in its economy going forward. There are few arguments for continuing to have a large role for SOBs in Indonesia’s economy today. Early and full privatization of these institutions would be desirable. Much has been written about the Indonesian financial sector. Nasution (1983) and Balino and Sundararajan (1986) provide detailed overviews of the Indonesian financial sector prior to and in the early 1980s and Indonesia’s first efforts at financial sector reform. Woo and Nasution (1989) focus on the issue of international debt in Indonesia economy and discuss the political economy of SOBs in the 1980s. Cole and Slade (1990, 1996) review Indonesian financial sector development between the 1960s and the late 1980s. Hanna (1994) and Binhadi (1995) assess various financial sector reform packages in Indonesia from 1983-1991 and study their effects on the real economy. Harris, Schiantarelli, and Siregar (1992) focus on the impact of financial liberalization in Indonesia on corporate sector financing. During the mid-late 1990s, much of the literature focusing on the East Asian financial crisis also discussed the Indonesian case at length (for eg. Claessens et. al.(1999)). More recently, Santoso (2000) provides an in-depth review of Indonesian financial and corporate sector reform. Enoch et. al. (2001 and 2003), Kenward (2003), and World Bank (1998, 2000) provide excellent overviews of the evolution of banking crisis and its management. Boediono (2002) assesses the political economy of IMF support programs under three 1 Indonesian presidents and its impacts on financial sector reform. Redway (2003) assesses the role of the Indonesian Bank restructuring Agency (IBRA) in reforming Indonesia’s banking sector. McLeod (2003) reviews the Letters of Intent (LoIs) from the government of Indonesia to the IMF, evaluates the crisis recovery program, and proposes an alternative banking crisis recovery scheme that may be followed in future. Hofman and Rodrick-Jones (2004) provide an analysis of the institutional weaknesses underlying Indonesia’s rapid growth prior to the crisis and address banking sector issues as part of the overall institutional framework in the country. Given the major role of the SOBs in the Indonesian financial sector, many of the papers cited above necessarily touch upon issues related to SOBs. This paper’s contribution is a survey of the existing literature with a primary emphasis on the role of SOBs in Indonesia as well as an analysis of recent developments regarding SOBs. The paper first examines the rationale for establishing SOBs in Indonesia and their early role. It then traces the impacts of various financial sector reforms on the SOBs and discusses their evolving roles. It then focuses on the 1997 financial crisis and its impact on SOBs. It then brings the most recent developments – including ongoing partial privatization of SOBs – into focus and discuses the role of SOBs in Indonesia in the mid-2000s. The paper concludes with a discussion of the future role of SOBs in Indonesia. This paper focuses on the large, national SOBs in Indonesia – which dominate the banking system. It does not deal with the regional development banks (BPDs) – which are also state owned – though by the regional governments. Given its primary emphasis on the role of SOBs, there are several issues in the Indonesian financial sector that this paper does not focus on. It does not deal at great length with the details of the 1997/98 financial crisis (see Enoch et. al. (2001 and 2003), Kenward (2003), World Bank (1998, 2000), and the papers in Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies (April 2004)). The Indonesian Bank Restructuring Agency (IBRA) and its role in the resolution of the crisis is also touched upon only in the context of SOBs (the papers referred to above also provide details on this issue). More recent policy issues such as the financial sector safety net including the proposed deposit insurance scheme to replace the blanket guarantee, the creation of a unified financial supervisory authority, and the new banking landscape proposed by Bank Indonesia are only touched upon briefly in the context of their relevance to the SOBs2. I. Rationale for government role in the banking sector in Indonesia Why do governments own banks? Two broad views – the “development” and the “political” views – help to explain the role of governments in the financial sector (La Porta et. al. (2002) and the references therein). The “development” view focuses on the necessity of financial development for economic growth. Observers have argued that while in some industrial countries, private banks have been important vehicles of channeling private savings into industrial development, in others – especially in developing countries – economic institutions were not sufficiently developed to play this critical role. In such countries the For more on recent developments in the financial sector, see World Bank (2003) as well as monthly financial sector updates posted on http://www.worldbank.org.id. 2 2 governments could step in, set up financial institutions, and through them help both financial and economic development. This view is broadly in line with the strand of literature in development economics that advocated government ownership of firms in “strategic” economic sectors. Shleifer (1998) provides a review of literature relating to government ownership of firms. Lewis (1950) advocates government ownership of banks as part of the “commanding heights” of the economy. Governments could develop strategic industries through both direct ownership of industries and ownership of banks. Myrdal (1968) supports government ownership of banks in India, since government as owner has the incentives to take a longer term view of development than private banks can. These ideas were obviously influential as governments across the developing world either nationalized existing commercial banks or started new ones in the 1960s and 1970s. An alternate view of government ownership of banks is the “political” view that emphasizes politicians’ desire to control investment in the economy for political objectives. Governments control banks (and other enterprises) in order to provide employment, subsidies, and other benefits to their supporters. The beneficiaries in turn support politicians through votes, political contributions and bribes. Much academic work supports this view through documenting the inefficiency of state enterprises, the political motivation behind the public provision of services, and the benefits of privatization (Megginson et. al. (1994) and La Porta and Silanes (1999) among others). There are various ways in which governments can participate in the financing of activities that they consider desirable. They can provide subsidies directly from the budget, they can encourage private banks to lend to desired sectors through regulation, or they can own financial institutions. There are distinct advantages of governments owning banks – as opposed to regulating banks or to owning projects or firms. Bank ownership allows the government control over the choice of projects being financed while leaving the execution of the projects to the private sector. In this manner, governments can meet both their developmental and political objectives. Ownership of banks allows governments to both collect savings and direct them towards “strategic” projects. Through such financing the governments overcome institutional failures that undermine private capital markets and foster economic growth. In the “developmental” view, these projects would be socially desirable – but would not get privately financed. The political view states that state financing would fund politically – though not necessarily socially - desirable projects. La Porta et. al. (2002) test these theories using global data and conclude that government ownership of banks is large and pervasive across the world. It is higher in countries with low levels of per capita income, poorly developed financial systems, interventionist governments, and poor protection of property rights. They find more support for the “political” view of government ownership – higher government ownership of banks is associated with slower subsequent development of the financial system and lower economic growth. Hanson (2003) also highlights the large role that state owned banks play around the world and argues that these banks’ performance has been poor and that it has impeded financial and economic development. Indonesia’s experience with SOBs exhibits elements of both political and developmental views of state ownership. The historical roots of SOBs lie in the developmental view – wherein the SOBs were established with mandates to provide finance to segments of the 3 economy that were considered socially desirable but which the government felt could not be financed in private markets. Over time, however, the political view took over – with the SOBs being used to finance politically important projects as opposed to developmental objectives. The true extent of the losses incurred by the state as a result of such politically connected financing was exposed by the 1997/98 crisis. II. Overview of state owned banks in Indonesia The modern banking system in Indonesia has its origins in Law 14/1967 on the Principles of Banking. The law characterized the banking system as an instrument of national development to improve economic growth, equitable distribution of wealth, and national stability – clearly along the lines of the “development” view. Depending on their core business, banks were classified under the law as General Banks (or commercial banks), Savings Banks, and Development Banks. SOBs spanned all three categories. General banks could finance themselves with current and time deposits and engage in short term lending. Savings banks were permitted to finance themselves though savings deposits and had to invest in marketable securities. Development banks could fund themselves through time deposits and issue medium/long term paper and engage in medium-long term credit provision. Prior to the 1997 financial crisis, Indonesia had seven SOBs. Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) was the oldest – established in 1895. Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI) – was established in 1946. Four others - Bank Bumi Daya (BBD), Bank Dagang Negara (BDN), Bank Ekspor Impor Indonesia (Bank Exim), and Bank Pembangunan Indonesia (Bapindo) were created in 1967/687 under the Banking Act and associated legislation. Bank Tabungan Negara (BTN) was established in 1950. After the crisis, four of these banks – BBD, BDN, Bank Exim, and Bapindo were merged into the newly created Bank Mandiri in 1998. (See Appendix 1 for further details on the origin of each bank). A new SOB – Bank Ekspor Indonesia (BEI) was started in 1999 to channel bilateral aid funds to specified projects3. As was common in several countries at the time, these banks were established largely under the developmental view of state ownership of banks. These banks were to be instruments of promoting overall national economic development and each bank was assigned a specific sector of the economy in which it would operate or to which it would give priority. BRI was to provide agricultural and rural credit – which later evolved into micro-credit. BBD’s original mandate was to focus on the provision of credit to entities involved in the development of Indonesia’s food and non-food crop resources – such as agricultural, forestry, plantation and fishery companies4. BDN was originally mandated to focus on the provision of credit to entities involved in the development of Indonesia’s mineral resources5. Bank Exim focused on the providing credit for to Indonesian entities involved in importing BEI remains a small bank in the overall financial system and is not discussed further in this paper. It is also not allowed to take deposits. 4 BBD was Indonesia’s 6th largest bank at the time of acquisition by Bank Mandiri. 5 BDN was the 4th largest bank in late 1998, at the time of acquisition by Bank Mandiri. 3 4 and exporting activities6. Bapindo’s focus was on the provision of medium and long-term credit facilities to entities involved in large-scale development projects in the areas of manufacturing, transport and tourism7. BNI initially functioned as the country’s central bank before it was converted into a commercial bank. BTN was initially established as a housing bank and continues to provide housing loans to low-income families. Over time, many of these banks had begun lending into sectors that were not their focus areas – initially due to pressure from clients who had diversified into other activities, but preferred not to change banks and later due to the banks’ own strategic decisions to get involved in what they thought were attractive opportunities in corporate lending. The government also played a role in directing credit of these banks to state owned enterprises and politically connected private groups. The banking reform package of 1992 eliminated all distinctions between private banks and SOBs – except for the status of the owner – and formalized the role of SOBs as full fledged commercial banks. This situation continues at present. Beginning with BNI’s partial privatization in 19968, the government has since sold minority stakes in Bank Mandiri (30 per cent) and BRI (40.5 per cent) to the public. BTN remains fully government owned. Tables 1a –1d provide an overview of the structure of the Indonesian banking system since 1981. Until the early 1980s, Indonesia’s financial sector was relatively small with total assets of the financial system being around 50 per cent of GDP. In 1981, the system was dominated by seven SOBs that controlled almost 80 per cent of banking system assets and deposits and about 85 per cent of the system’s loans. The SOBs in turn obtained the majority of their funding from BI (Cole and Slade (1996) and further discussion below). SOBs had a wide network of branches throughout the country – with almost two-thirds of all bank branches being those of SOBs. A series of reforms in the 1980s and early 1990s significantly expanded the role of private banks in Indonesia – and consequently the share of assets controlled by SOBs declined to about 41 per cent just prior to the crisis. As a result of several actions taken during the crisis, the role SOBs in the banking sector expanded again to over half of the banking system assets in 2000. As the economy has begun to grow again and the role of private banks expands, the share of SOBs in assets of the banking system has begun to go down again since 2000. In terms of the overall financial sector, banks continue to dominate Indonesia’s financial sector. As of December 2003, – 80 per cent of financial sector assets were controlled by banks (Table 2). SOBs’ controlled about 46 per cent of these assets. 6 Bank Exim was one of the country’s leading trade financiers in 1998, although by this time it was also funding Indonesia’s large private sector corporates. 7 In 1993, it was defrauded of Rp. 1.3 trillion via a credit scam involving one of Indonesia’s then large privatesector corporates connected to the Soeharto regime. Its capital base diminished in the subsequent years leading up to the Asian crisis and the bank was almost non-existent in the market at the time of its merger with Bank Mandiri. 8 BNI sold 25 per cent of its equity to the public in November 1996. During its recapitalization after the crisis, this was diluted to 0.1 per cent. 5 III. The role of Bank Indonesia The evolution of the SOBs in Indonesia has been strongly influenced by the role and policies of Bank Indonesia. Law no. 13/1968 created BI as the national central bank. At the apex of the banking structure lay the Monetary Board that was chaired by the Minister of Finance, with government representatives constituting a majority of the board; the Governor of BI was a member of the Board. BI was originally conceived of as very much a part of the government – central bank independence in Indonesia would come much later9. The law stipulated that if the Governor of BI disagreed with the position of the Board and was not supported by the cabinet, he could publish his views. However the cabinet had the right to veto the publication in order to protect national interests. Second, the law required BI to lend money to the Treasury on demand. The act stated, “the Bank shall, whenever the Minister of Finance deems it necessary to temporarily strengthen the Treasury funds, be bound to advance the Republic of Indonesia monies in current account against sufficient treasury bonds.” Lending limits originally were set at 30% of Treasury revenue (in the previous budgetary year), then raised to 50%, and subsequently ignored in practice. The early financial sector policies in Indonesia were generally subordinated to the needs of funding large government budget deficits (Hofman and Rodrick-Jones(2004)). While the Banking Act delegated to BI responsibility for the guidance, control and supervision of all financial institutions, the role of BI in the Indonesian economy historically has been much broader than that of a traditional central bank. BI has taken the lead in furthering national development by directly financing public enterprises and by promoting special credit programs (providing refinancing facilities) to banks, thus enabling them to finance investments in priority sectors. In this way, BI became a very important source of funds to the banking sector, and therefore to the SOBs – since the latter formed the vast majority of the banking sector. Until the June 1983 financial sector reforms, the SOBs had essentially unrestricted access to all BI facilities. BI also functioned for much of its history as an arm of the government - its lack of independence significantly limited its supervisory and regulatory oversight of SOBs – which in turn contributed to the weak performance of SOBs in Indonesia over the years. This structure of the supervisory system created in the banking law in 1968 contained the seeds for weak governance of the SOBs – a problem that has plagued the SOBs in Indonesia ever since. A. Role of Bank Indonesia in credit provision Bank Indonesia was originally created through the nationalization of De Javasche Bank in 1951 and enactment of Law No. 11 in 1953. Under this law BI acted as both a central bank 9 The lack of independence of the Bank Indonesia from the government would raise alarms repeatedly as banking and financial developments became more complex over the next three decades. In fact recommendations to create an independent Central Bank feature regularly in World Bank reports issued between 1968 and May 1997. In the end, an independent Central Bank was not created until May 17, 1999 (Law No. 23/1999 on Bank Indonesia) after the damage to the financial sector by the 1997 crisis was done. 6 and a commercial bank - essentially continuing the practice that had prevailed prior to July 1953 when De Javasche Bank performed both these functions. The dual functions were deemed necessary as the government at the time had only one other national commercial bank (BNI 1946) to carry out its policies. Understandably, over time, this role of BI led to direct competition between BI and other commercial banks10. After several changes to the structure of BI and BNI in the 1960s (see Appendix 1 for details), BI’s role was formally limited to that of a central bank in 1968 – albeit under a broad definition of “central bank”. BI’s credit provision role continued as it remained part of the government and was its agent in implementing government economic policy. This role was carried out through the provision of direct credits to borrowers and through provision of liquidity credit to commercial banks – well beyond a “ lender of the last resort” function. BI’s direct credit was used to finance large projects that could not be financed by commercial banks or government economic programs11. Liquidity credit (better known as KLBI) was given through commercial banks (mostly SOBs) to finance special programs in prioritized sectors as outlined in the government’s five-year economic plans. Table 3 provides an illustrative list of programs supported by BI through liquidity credits12. During the oil boom years from 1974 to 1982, abundant government revenues were channeled into the domestic economy through more BI credits and policies on credit ceilings and credit allocation. Liquidity credits were allocated among the SOBs in accordance with their respective mandates as agents of development in their respective sectors. Table 4 shows the evolution of the role of BI in credit activities both directly and through financing banking sector credit. In 1963, BI’s direct lending accounted for over 46% of total loans of commercial banks. The share decreased since then primarily because BI transferred ownership of many of these loans to SOBs13. From 1974 until the early 1980’s liquidity credits become the major source of loans for the banking sector. The share of liquidity credit to total loans of commercial banks reached 19% in 1974 and rose to 41% in 1982. As most of these loans were provided by SOBs, their share in total loans of commercial banks also increased during that period. Liquidity credits accounted for 26% and 65% of loans of SOBs in 1974 and 1982 respectively (Rahardjo, 1995). BI also supported the operations of SOBs in other ways in order to increase their term-lending and improve their credit evaluation capacities. BI set up a project appraisal department to monitor the appraisal quality of the individual banks and helped provide training programs on project evaluation. Bank Indonesia’s commercial banking operation was once even considered as the strongest and the most prestigious commercial bank at the time (Rindjin 2003 and references therein) 11 Examples of these were loans to Krakatau Steel (state steel factory), import of sugar, wheat, and BIMAS – the government sponsored rice program. 12 These schemes were available until 1999. 13 For instance, in 1984 BI’s direct loans to BULOG was transferred to BRI and its loan to the state oil company - PERTAMINA - was transferred to BDN. 10 7 The decline in oil price and world recession that came in the early 1980’s led to introduction of a series of financial sector reforms (see below). As part of these reforms, BI reduced its liquidity credit both in volume and in terms of sectors targeted. BI introduced Sertifikat Bank Indonesia (SBI, or BI’s certificate) in 1984 and permitted commercial banks to issue Surat Berharga Pasar Uang (SBPU or money market securities) in 1985. These short-term securities were the new tools for BI to conduct open market operations. This policy coupled with policies to remove credit ceilings and permitting banks to freely set loan and deposit rates had increased competition for the SOBs. The series of bank deregulation measures in the late 1980’s until early 1990’s further limited both types and amount of BI credit programs. However, the preferred position of the SOBs, particularly their access to BI funding and BI's regulation of most of the interest rates they could charge (until 1983), effectively insulated them from competition and diminished the stimulus for these banks to emphasize operational efficiencies. The new central bank Law No. 23/1999 enshrines the independence of BI and prohibits BI from providing such credits. B. The role of Bank Indonesia as regulator and supervisor of SOBs Bank Indonesia has been the supervisor of the banking sector since 1953 and its role was further clarified in law No. 13 of 1968. However, until the early 1980’s, there were a relatively small number of commercial banks with SOBs dominating the sector (Table 1a). BI therefore rarely gave its supervisory function much importance and its powers over the SOBs were rarely exercised. Following the October 1988 deregulation package, the number of banks and their branches increased significantly (Table 1a). The amounts of loans and deposits soared as well (Table 1b-1d). This prompted the government to introduce a number of prudential measures aimed at enhancing bank soundness - such as enhanced capital requirements (based on the CAMEL rating system), limits on net open positions (NOP), and stricter loan provisioning requirements. Together with these measures also came sanctions for violations by banks. However, enforcements of sanctions by BI were weak - especially in dealing with the SOBs. BI was clearly conflicted in its dual roles as an agent of the government for development and as the regulator and supervisor of banks. This led to the situation of weak supervision – especially of the SOBs. Quite often violations of banking regulations by SOBs were ignored and left unsanctioned because they were deemed in line with high-level government economic policies. Such forbearance together with many other types of interventions from various government authorities and officials had effectively reduced Bank Indonesia’s credibility as the supervisor of commercial banks. In addition, BI did not have the necessary supervisory capacity to cope with the implications of the series of deregulation packages in late 1980’s and early 1990’s. While on the one hand, the economic slowdown of the 1980s provided the opportunity for reforms of the banking sector, it was also the case that the deregulation of banking was too fast, poorly planned and had been done in a reverse sequencing pattern where prudential regulation and supervision came after the sector had been liberalized for a number of years. 8 C. The 1999 central bank law and related improvements in regulation and supervision The enactment of the Central Bank Law No. 23/1999 in May 1999 has repositioned BI as an independent central bank that is free from interventions of the government or any other parties (Article 4). The independence is also reflected in the provision of a single objective of Bank Indonesia that is to achieve and maintain stability of the value of the Rupiah (Article 7). With this framework, BI has been freed from its earlier objectives of assisting the government to “promote smoothness of production and development as well as to expand employment opportunity in order to improve that standard living of the people” (Article 7 Law No. 13/1968). The 1999 Law ensures that no party can intervene with BI in performing its duties and it requires BI to reject and/or ignore such interventions (Article 9). BI is no longer an implementing agent of government policies and is now positioned as a partner of the government that is to be consulted on various economic, banking and budget policies and decisions (Article 52,53,54,55). Thus the 1999 law has effectively removed the role of the Monetary Board which in the past served as the bridging institution between BI and the government. The new law also prohibits BI from providing loans to the government (Article 56). Outstanding or committed Bank Indonesia Liquidity credit (KLBI) is to be transferred to an appointed state owned enterprise and all costs due to interest rate subsidies are to be borne by the government (Article 74)14. The 1997 crisis prompted the need for BI to improve banking regulation and supervision. The Letter of Intent that the government signed with the IMF in 1998 stipulated policy commitment to strengthen BI’s bank supervision and to strengthen enforcement of regulations. Since 1998, BI has issued numerous new banking regulations which broadly cover areas of bank licensing and operations, prudential banking, performance rating, selfregulatory provisions, regular reporting, short term financing, shariah banking principles, money laundering and risk management15. BI developed a master plan for enhancement of effective banking supervision which was designed to comply with the Basel Core Principles (BCPs). The plan contains a core program to tighten on-site and off-site supervision. This core program, most of which was put into place during 2000, included special surveillance and on-site supervisory presence in a number of banks that play a significant role in the national economy – including SOBs. In practical terms, Bank Indonesia divides the supervision into normal supervision, intensive supervision and special supervision based on the health of the particular bank. Based on an independent assessment of its compliance with the BCPs, BI declared that it was fully complaint with two, largely compliant with 20, and non-compliant with 3 of the BCPs16. The willingness and seriousness of BI to enforce regulation and perform its role as banking supervisor have showed significant improvements since the crisis. For instance, in August 2002 BI publicly placed two private national banks under special surveillance due to their 14 A new state owned enterprise, PNM (Permodalan Nasional Madani), has been created and all past BI subsidized credit activities have been transferred to this agency. 15 A complete list of BI’s banking regulations can be viewed at BI’s website. http://www.bi.go.id 16 Bank Indonesia 2002 Annual Report. 9 inability to meet the 8% CAR requirement. After both banks’ managements and shareholders took remedial measures deemed adequate by BI, these banks were returned to normal status in October 200217. In another instance, BI denied forbearance to a state bank regarding bypassing the limit on buying NPLs from IBRA and on loan-loss provision requirements for such NPLs. In other cases, BI has also shown keen interest in working with other institutions in the country as evidenced by its cooperation with the capital market supervisory authority (BAPEPAM) in the latter’s investigations on alleged publications of misleading financial statements18 and with PPATK (Indonesia’s anti-money laundering authority and financial intelligence unit) on investigations of suspected money laundering transactions. More recently, in April 2004, Bank Indonesia shut down two relatively small banks – Bank Asiatic and Bank Dagang Bali – citing their non-compliance with prudential capital requirements and weak capital adequacy. IV. Impact of financial sector reforms on state owned banks in Indonesia In the early 1980s, Indonesia recognized that it would need to support economic growth and development of the real economy with a financial system that would be able to provide resources cheaply and efficiently. It implemented a series of financial sector reforms in the decade of 1983-92 aimed at liberalizing the financial sector. Liberalization, combined with rapid economic growth, poor corporate governance, and weak regulation and supervision of the banking sector led to extremely rapid growth of banks with poor asset quality. By the mid-1990s, several banks in Indonesia had failed and the rest of the system was beginning to show signs of weakness. The economic and political crisis in 1997/98 exposed the full extent of the problems in the banking sector. The government implemented a series of policy packages during 1997-99 aimed at bringing the banking sector back to health – including many actions focusing on insolvent and weak banks. By 2000, the major process of restructuring the banking sector had largely been completed – although the sector had still a long way to go before it could begin to function effectively. Since 2000, efforts have focused on further strengthening regulation and supervision, continuing divestment of intervened banks and assets, strengthening governance of SOBs, and (partially) privatizing them. This section presents a brief overview of the various reform measures implemented over the last two decades in the financial sector and their impact on the evolution of SOBs. A. Period prior to the 1983 reforms As briefly discussed above, liquidity credit programs of BI played a key role in the early evolution of the SOBs. Under the scheme, banks obtained refinancing at a low interest rate from BI for credit extended to certain borrowers. Directed credit programs were an 17 These banks are Bank CIC and Bank IFI. Further information is available from BI’s website. http://www.bi.go.id 18 The case involves a dubious valuation of foreclosed assets at Bank Lippo that led Lippo’s CAR to fall below the minimum level. Market manipulation of the bank’s share price was alleged. 10 important part of the Government's overall development strategy, especially as the need to present a domestic "balanced budget" and to recycle large government revenues from oil and gas exports provided a powerful stimulus to the growth of extra-budgetary lending. However, this facility was provided only to SOBs and selected private banks, which satisfied certain minimum criteria related to soundness ratings. This discouraged banks from mobilizing funds from the public because the deposit interest rates were less competitive compared to interest rates for the liquidity support scheme. By 1982, the total assets of all banks were only 25 per cent higher than the total assets of BI (Cole and Slade (1996)) indicating the high degree of dependence of the banks on BI. In 1982, for example, deposit rates for rupiah denominated deposits was 6 per cent per annum at SOBs and 18.5 per cent per annum at private banks while subsidized interest rate from BI ranged between 3 - 6 per cent per annum. Lending rates for eligible borrowers under the BI schemes averaged 12 per cent per annum at SOBs and ranged between 9 - 20 per cent per annum at private banks. Lending rates for normal credit ranged between 15 - 21 per cent at SOBs and 21 - 36 per cent at private banks (Table 5). Because of this policy, subsidized credits from government accounted for over half of total bank credits (Santoso, (2000)). This dominance of subsidized credits was backed up by a government financed credit guarantee agency that guaranteed banks/BI against defaults19. The policies of this early period impacted the SOBs in various ways. First, they had little incentive to gain experience in mobilizing deposits – as much of their financing came from BI. Second, they developed little expertise in credit evaluation. They simply acted as channels to provide government subsidized credits to selected sectors/customers. Third, the regime ensured that they developed few strengths in overall notions of risk involved in banking. The structure of their operations and of the role of BI ensured that their exposure to credit risks, foreign exchange risks, and interest rate risks was low. The major risk that they were exposed to was operational risk. By the mid-1970s, financial development began to be constrained by the imposition of various interest rate and credit ceilings on banks. The crunch came in the early-1980s when the oil price boom abated and, in its wake, external payments and fiscal deficits widened considerably. Inflationary pressures were also aggravated. The decline in oil revenues and a consequent deterioration of the balance of payments led to the shrinkage of resources of both the Government and the private sector. The mobilization of domestic resources thus became a top priority. B. The 1983 reforms In 1982 – prior to the first major reforms implemented in the Indonesian financial sector banking system assets as a ratio of GDP stood at 33 percent. The major deposit money Askrindo is a credit insurance company established in 1971 by MoF and BI. It started as a provider of insurance for loans to SMEs provided by commercial banks but now it also provides credit management services, surety bonds, customs bonds, and L/C guarantees. 19 11 banks, along with BI, dominated the financial system with a share in total assets of over 95 percent (Hanna, 1994). Among the deposit money banks, the five SOBs had a dominant position accounting for about three-fourths of total assets (Table 1b). The 1983 reforms were motivated by the difficult balance of payments and fiscal situation facing the country after the oil-price boom abated in the early 1980s. The government initiated the reform process through a scaling back of the requirement to provide directed credits to some low-priority sectors in August 1982. In June 1983, the Government initiated a major financial sector reform which involved deregulation of SOB deposit rates on time deposits longer than six months, elimination of credit ceilings and their replacement with a system of reserve money management, and rationalization of the subsidized directed credit program. As discussed above, BI also moved to limit its direct lending activities and relied instead on refinancing the banking sector and introduced SBIs and SPBUs for reserve money management. The 1983 reform resulted in SOBs taking their initial steps in moving to more market-based banking, although they were still operating in highly protected environment. On the funding side, after the reform, BI continued to provide refinancing (liquidity support) for small-scale credits and high priority credits to help weak and small enterprises in improving their role in the economy as well as for lending to support non-oil and gas exports. However, an important aspect of the reform was also that lending to non-priority sectors would now need to be fully financed through public deposits. This meant that all banks – including SOBs – needed to seek alternative source of funds to replace the BI liquidity support in order to finance loans extended to large borrowers. This meant that the SOBs would have to learn to compete with private banks in attracting public deposits. Importantly, SOBs would need to manage their own funds to comply with minimum reserve requirements without using interest rate subsidies from Government. The SOBs responded to this challenge by increasing their interest rates on three and twelve-month time deposits – although they continued to maintain them at levels lower than the private banks (Table 5, and Cole and Slade (1996)). The extensive branch network of the SOBs as well the public’s perception that these were institutions were less risky than private banks led to a rapid increase in time deposits at SOBs (mostly deposits below 12-months of maturity, Table 1a and 1b). With the relaxation of credit ceilings, private banks began to lend more aggressively. The share of private banks in total loans doubled over the 1983-87 period (Table 1d). Much of this market share was lost by the SOBs. There was thus a clear difference between the SOBs and the private banks as a result of the reforms. Customers preferred to place their deposits with SOBs – perceiving them to be safer as well as because of their more extensive branch network. However, customers also preferred to borrow from private banks - which were probably less bureaucratic and also because the transactions costs of dealing with SOBs – including corruption – probably made effective borrowing rates higher than those at private banks, although nominal lending rates of SOBs were lower. In order to permit sound reserve management for banks, BI had introduced discount window facilities and SBIs to help banks to maintain their liquidity20. However, there were SBI is used to absorb excess liquidity of banks, while discount windows facilities provide a mechanism for banks to borrow funds from BI when they are short of liquidity. BI also maintained 15% reserve requirements. 20 12 implementation problems with this liquidity management mechanism and the inter-bank call money market became the primary venue of liquidity management for banks21. The SOBs played a key role in this market – largely due their ability to access more deposits from the public due to their large branch network as well as their incentive to find higher yields due to the gradual implementation of a zero interest rate for excess reserves at BI. Private banks’ expansion of loans was not balanced with a corresponding growth of deposits. Interbank call money was the main source of funds for private banks and state banks were the main suppliers. Because the interest rates in the interbank market were lower than that on deposits, private banks were better off using sources of funds from interbank call money market. SOBs therefore effectively became financiers of private bank lending. SOBs were also the primary beneficiaries of BI refinancing as their lending activities continued to focus on channeling subsidized credits (Table 4). The subsidized credit programs also kept the financial market fragmented, as characterized by large differences in access to credit and its cost for individual borrowers, adversely affected long-term funds mobilization, contributed to distortions in the use of financial resources, reduced transparency, and weakened financial discipline. Following a deceleration in 1983/84, resulting from the June 1983 reforms, directed credits increased rapidly. However, because total domestic credit rose even more rapidly over the period, the share of directed credit declined, from around 50 percent of total domestic credit in 1982 to about 28 percent in 1989. About 80 percent of all directed credits were channeled through SOBs. The motivation for the deregulation of 1983 was concern about the tighter resource position resulting from the weakening of oil prices. By allowing greater flexibility in deposit interest rates, the deregulation measures significantly increased the volume of resources mobilized through the financial system. However, success in other areas was limited and several issues remained. First, despite the reform, competition remained weak due to regulatory restrictions on operations, branching and entry barriers. SOBs enjoyed preferential treatment on branching, capital and loan-loss provision requirements, and access to deposits from public enterprises (which were restricted from dealing with private financial institutions). Lack of competition was reflected in relatively high intermediation costs (Table 5). Second, the expansion of directed credit lending further fragmented the financial market and adversely affected long-term fund mobilization. Third, the ability of SOBs to refinance a substantial proportion of their loans with BI at subsidized rates and liberal credit insurance provisions for these loans resulted in perfunctory credit analysis which led to weak portfolio performance of some of these banks. Finally, the legal, information and regulatory framework for the financial sector remained weak and the pace of financial innovation was slow. After the implementation of June 1983 reform, SOBs still dominated the market share in total assets, deposits and loans. In 1987, prior to the next round of reforms, SOBs held twothirds of total deposits and loans and 71 per cent of total assets of the banking system. However, private banks had nearly doubled their share in deposits, loans, and assets in the banking system. Interest rates on deposits paid by both SOBs and private banks began to converge. The stability of banking industry was sensitive to interest rate risk due to 21 For more on problems with implementation of reserve management issues, see Santoso (2000). 13 liberalization of interest rates and credit risk due to rapid credit expansion by private banks. SOBs were exposed to private bank credit risks through their interbank lending. C. The 1988-97 period During October-December 1988, the Government introduced a comprehensive set of reform measures aimed at further enhancing financial sector efficiency and significantly lowering barriers to entry. While the measures contained reforms to both bank and nonbank financial institutions, the major reforms to the banking sector were: (a) permitting the entry of new private banks, including joint ventures with foreign banks; (b) allowing domestic banks to open branches throughout Indonesia; (c) permitting new rural banks to be established in districts outside the capital; (d) easing the requirements for a bank permitted to transact foreign exchange; (e) allowing state enterprises to place up to 50 percent of their bank deposits with private banks and NBFIs; (g) stipulating loan concentration ratios for banks and NBFIs that limited lending to a single borrower or group; (h) specifying minimum capital requirements for banks; (i) eliminating differential reserve requirements for banks by establishing a uniform and lower rate of 2 percent and removing restrictions on inter-bank borrowings; (j) extending the maturities of SBIs and SBPUs, and taking steps to develop a secondary market for them; (k) determining the swap premiums on the interest rate differentials between domestic and international markets; (1) reducing the discrimination against the public holding securities market instruments as compared to holding term deposits with the banks; (m) permitting banks and NBFIs to raise capital from the securities market; and (n) allowing banks to have subsidiaries that were multi-service financial companies providing leasing, factoring, consumer finance and venture capital facilities. Further reforms were introduced in subsequent years. In March 1989, regulations were issued that clarified aspects relating to lending limits, joint venture bank capital requirements, bank mergers, definition of bank capital, reserve requirements, and bank investments in stocks. Absolute limits on external borrowings for banks were replaced with restrictions on net open positions (NOP) in foreign exchange (maximum of 25 percent of equity). Banks no longer needed BI’s approval for offshore lending. This implied that banks could borrow freely abroad as long as they covered their positions by lending in foreign exchange. In January 1990, directed credit programs were further reduced. Priority programs were reduced from thirty seven to four22. One important sector excluded from directed credit was export finance. Interest rates were moved closer to the market level and the portion of credit available for refinancing was lessened. Mandatory, subsidized credit insurance was abolished. All these measures were additional incentives for originating banks to more carefully select and monitor their borrowers. As a political compromise, the elimination of directed credit programs for small businesses was replaced by a requirement that 20 per cent of a bank's loans be made to small borrowers. The next set of reforms, announced in March 1991, The four programs were: (a) investment and working capital credits to members of rural and primary cooperatives; (b) one-year credits to rural cooperatives to finance procurement and other productive activities; (c) credits to BULOG, the national food buffer stock maintenance company; and (d) investment credits of minimum five-year maturity by development banks and plantation credits through commercial banks. 22 14 returned once again to prudential regulations. New professional standards were set for bank directors. Loan-loss provisioning standards were overhauled, now involving a financial analysis of customers rather than simply a check of whether their payments were current. A new, more quantitative evaluation of bank soundness, based on capital, asset quality, management, equity and liquidity, (CAMEL) was implemented. Finally, banks were obliged to adopt the risk-based capital adequacy standards (as stated in the Basel Agreement) by the end of 1993 (subsequently extended to 1994). The Banking Law issued in early 1992 eliminated all legal distinctions between private banks and SOBs other than status of the owners – although the Law also required that the government retain 51 percent shares of all SOBs. The 1988 reforms had a strong positive impact on the diversification of the country's financial structure. They also set the stage for extremely rapid expansion of the banking sector within the context of a weak regulatory and supervisory framework and an even weaker structure of enforcement. By the mid-1990s, SOBs as well as several private banks began to show signs of weakness. Well before the 1997 crisis, several banks in Indonesia had begun to fail. The easing of entry restrictions increased competition for SOBs considerably. The number of private and joint-venture banks increased from 77 in 1988 to 206 in 1994, while the number of SOBs remained at seven (Table 1a). Branches of private and joint-venture banks increased from 666 in 1988 to 3286 in 1994, while those of SOBs increased from 1004 to 1171 over the same period. The share of SOBs in total loans decreased from over 71 per cent in 1988 to less than 40 per cent in 1995. In terms of total assets, the share of SOBs, declined from over two-thirds in 1988 to under 40 per cent in 1995. Correspondingly, the share of private banks in total assets nearly doubled between 1988 and 1994 from 24 to 48 per cent (Table 1b-1d). Deposit rates at SOBs converged to those at private banks (Table 5) as SOBs tried to attract more deposits. The reform of the subsidized directed credit system was particularly important for its resource allocation effects. The stock of outstanding liquidity credits declined by 20 percent to Rp14 trillion by October 1991, and their share in total domestic credit declined from 28.4 percent in 1989 to 12.6 percent in 1991. SOBs continued to remain the dominant suppliers of BI liquidity credits, although the importance of liquidity overall declined. Liquidity credits had formed 41 per cent of total loans in 1982; by 1995, they accounted for less than six percent (Bank Indonesia, Pangestu (1996), Rahardjo (1995)). The combined impact of reduction in liquidity credits, greater competition from private banks, as well as the newly imposed capital requirements exposed the weak state of SOBs’ balance sheets. Having been accustomed to lending at the behest of the government, with little credit analysis and not having had to take credit risks adequately into consideration earlier, the SOBs realized that their capital levels were far below those required under the new capital adequacy rules. The government committed to recapitalizing these banks to bring them up to the full 8 per cent CAR by 1992; however it did not adequately recognize the extent of capital infusions that these banks would require (Cole and Slade (1996)). Given that the government was facing budgetary constraints at the time, it did not want to finance the recapitalization through infusion of budgetary resources. A solution was therefore structured whereby the World Bank would provide a loan of US$ 300 million to the 15 government which the latter would use towards SOBs’ recapitalization. In addition, earlier loans from the World Bank to the SOBs (which had been provided for the purposes of onlending to specific sectors) would be converted to government equity. Thus recapitalization could take place with no infusion of fresh cash from the government. This was the latest in a series of recapitalizations of SOBs that the government undertook. It was expected that after this most recent recapitalization, no further calls would be made on government as SOBs were expected to raise fresh capital either from retained earnings or from the capital market – implying the possibility of privatization of the SOBs. However, even partial privatization of SOBs would come much later – largely after the 1997 crisis during which the government would once again be forced to recapitalize SOBs. Another impact of this round of reforms was that SOBs no longer focused purely on developmental activities. This shift of focus had been in the making over the years and the regulatory removal of all distinctions between private banks and SOBs simply formalized the situation that the activities of SOBs were now much more in line with the “political view” of state ownership than with the developmental view. SOBs were extensively funding politically connected projects and persons. Several examples of such activity were discovered during the investigation phase of SOBs prior to their recapitalization under the World Bank loan. Investigations revealed that a relatively small group of conglomerates with strong political connections had availed themselves of large loans from SOBs and had not serviced them. These loans were non-performing – although they had not been classified as such and the loans exceeded the prudential regulations for borrower concentration established by BI. In mid-1993, there were newspaper reports containing the list of 50 largest borrowers from SOBs – many with political connections23. The weak governance of SOBs – which had always been a problem – was further aggravated during the years after liberalization of the banking sector. Many of the scandals involved mismanagement by SOBs and allegations of corruption in SOBs. Until some high profile chief executives of SOBs were replaced or jailed in the early 1990s, many of these CEOs were considered politically “untouchable”. BI’s position as an arm of the government did little to rein in the activities of the SOBs in this situation. Prior to the crisis in 1997, SOBs still played a major, though no longer dominant, role in the banking system. At the end of 1996, SOBs controlled 36 per cent of assets, 37 per cent of loans, and 32 per cent of deposits in the banking system. V. Impact of the crisis on SOBs in Indonesia Credit quality in banks had been deteriorating for many years prior to the crisis in 1997. Lack of credit analysis was the main problem for SOBs as credit decisions were largely made at the behest of the government and/or top government officials. Non-performing loans at private banks were normally related to loans extended to the group that owned the bank. Enforcement of the legal lending limit regulation was very weak from BI due to lack of A highly publicized case of the politicization of SOB lending was the Bapindo-Golden Key scandal involving a loan of Rp. 1.3 trillion. 23 16 independence. In 1995 for example, SOBs accounted for 40 per cent of total loans (Table 1d), while they accounted for about 73 per cent of total classified loans of the banking system(Table 5)24. By April 1997, prior to the crisis, SOBs accounted for 36 per cent of loans and 66 per cent of classified loans of the banking system. By December 1998, classified loans of the SOBs had reached 49 per cent of the loan portfolio of SOBs. Private bank loan portfolios had also been deteriorating for several years prior to the crisis (Santoso (2000)). A combination of poor loan portfolios, outright frauds, asset-liability mismatches, lending to group companies by private banks, unhedged foreign exchange positions, and deficiencies in bank supervision led to a series of bank failures in Indonesia prior to the 1997 crisis. Among the SOBs, Bapindo essentially collapsed in 1993, after the well publicized Golden Key scandal in which the sponsors of the borrowing firm disappeared after taking loans from Bapindo of more than 140 percent of the bank’s capital. Complicity of the bank’s officials with the sponsors was alleged and highlighted again the weak state of governance of the SOBs as well as the inadequate supervision that permitted the SOB to be so exposed to a single borrower. An assessment by the World Bank in mid-1997 (prior to the crisis) revealed that Bank Bumi Daya (another SOB) was also in trouble and the authorities announced a merger plan for BBD and Bapindo in June 199725. It was in this context of a steadily weakening banking system that Indonesia encountered the economic and political crisis of 1997/98. Much has been written elsewhere about the crisis (Enoch et. al. (2001), Kenward (2003), World Bank (1998, 2000), and the papers in Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies (April 2004)) and this paper does not discuss issues related to the crisis in detail. The crisis did, however, have a major impact on the SOBs in Indonesia. As the crisis broke and deepened in 1997 and the first half of 1998, audits were conducted of all commercial banks by well reputed international auditors and BI as part of IMF supported programs. These audits revealed that much of the banking system was insolvent and that NPL levels were much higher than had been anticipated by the authorities – both in SOBs and in private banks (Table 6). Credit defaults were at the root of the problems of almost all banks within the context of a corporate sector that had borrowed heavily in foreign currency and that was now faced with a depreciation of the Rupiah from Rp. 2500/US$ to over Rp. 15000/US$ at one stage in the crisis. The main cause of NPLs in private banks was connected lending – with private banks being used as vehicles to channel credits to bank owners. In the case of the SOBs, the main cause was state-directed lending to unviable projects. Interestingly, in only one SOB – Bank Exim – were foreign exchange losses the proximate cause of insolvency26. Supervision by BI was ineffective and weak. In some cases the supervisors lacked adequate capacity, and in others, they were politically constrained from carrying out their functions. In response to the findings of these audits, the government announced a series of steps that directly affected the banking sector. For the private banks, the government adopted an Classified loans include sub-standard, doubtful, and bad debt. This merger was not implemented until the 1999 merger of both these banks with Bank Mandiri. 26 There was speculation at the time that Bank Exim’s foreign exchange trading losses were part of a failed government attempt to shore up the value of the Rupiah. 24 25 17 approach wherein banks were classified in terms of their capital adequacy ratios (CAR) into three categories that would in turn determine whether they would be left un-intervened, recapitalized or closed27. For the SOBs, however, it was felt that they were too big to fail and hence they would be recapitalized by the government after undertaking certain operational changes28. As of June 1997, SOBs accounted for about 40 per cent of the banking system assets. By the end of the bank restructuring process, they would absorb over two-thirds of the recapitalization resources spent by the government (Table 7). Each SOB entered into performance contracts with the government which laid out the operational steps that were to be undertaken and the changes that were to be made in management in return for the government’s recapitalization. As the crisis intensified, depositors initially shifted funds from private banks to SOBs – perceiving them to be safe havens. SOBs share of deposits increased from 32 per cent in 1996 to 48 per cent in 1998. By late 1997, given the uncertainties in the banking system, a group of 24 banks – including all the SOBs and some well known foreign and private banks – were transacting almost exclusively between themselves – resulting in a situation of excess liquidity for this group while the rest of system faced increasing rates in the interbank market (Enoch et. al (2001)). While Bank Indonesia’s liquidity support (BLBI) was extensively used (and often misused) by the private banking system, the SOBs – with the sole exception of Bank Exim - needed almost no liquidity support throughout the crisis. Bank Exim suffered losses of about Rp. 20 trillion in failed foreign exchange derivative transactions – and BI provided it with liquidity of an equivalent amount. After the announcement of the blanket guarantee of deposits, the government also used the SOBs (largely BNI) as receivers of deposits of closed banks – with matching government bonds on the asset side. The SOBs also served as a source of talent for private banks taken over by IBRA in which the old management was replaced and new management was sourced largely from the SOBs. As the macroeconomic condition stabilized in late 1998, the authorities put in place a comprehensive strategy to restore the health of the banking system. For the SOBs, this strategy involved merging four of the weakest SOBs as well as the corporate loans of BRI into the newly created Bank Mandiri – a new SOB that would control about 25 per cent of the banking system assets29. Mandiri was recapitalized in late 1999 and its CAR was brought up to 4 per cent (Tier 1) and 8 per cent (total). NPLs of the component banks were transferred to IBRA. NPLs from other SOBs were also moved to IBRA and these banks were recapitalized. Recapitalization of the component banks of Bank Mandiri cost the government Rp. 178 trillion (41 per cent of the total cost of recapitalization of the banking system). BNI absorbed 14 per cent of the total recapitalization resources, while the remaining two SOBs accounted for les than 10 per cent of the total cost (Table 7). Private banks whose CAR was over 4 per cent were to be considered essentially sound, those with CAR between 4 per cent and minus 25 per cent were to be considered for recapitalization, while banks with CARs less than minus 25 per cent were to be closed. 28 Audits revealed that most SOBs were insolvent. Had the authorities adopted the same criterion for SOBs as they did for the private banks, most SOBs would have been classified in the weakest category of CAR and would have to be closed. 29 Bank Mandiri initially operated as holding company holding the shares of the four SOBs. The formal merger was completed in 1999. 27 18 SOB recapitalization has been one of the most expensive elements of the Indonesian bank restructuring efforts. SOBs’ recapitalization cost the government Rp. 283 trillion as compared to private bank recapitalization of Rp. 147 trillion. In addition to the weak state of their asset portfolios with which SOBs entered the crisis, another reason for the large cost was also the incentive effects of the too-big-to-fail principle adopted for the SOBs. SOB managements had little incentive to aggressively try to collect on loans and as a result NPLs rose substantially during the crisis30. Deposit rates at these banks were also the highest – as they were indifferent to resulting negative spreads. For the first time in their history, SOBs were paying higher interest rates than private banks on their deposits (Table 6). System wide loan-deposit spreads had fallen from 6 per cent in early 1990s to minus 20 per cent in 1998, although there was not much lending occurring in 1998 (Chart 1). SOB loan-deposit ratios (LDR) also began to fall – even prior to the recapitalization by the government - as deposits rose more than proportionately to loans until 1998 (Table 8). BNI, which had a LDR of 103 per cent in 1997, had an LDR of 87 per cent in 1998. Subsequently, the recapitalization by the government would further dramatically reduce LDRs. VI. Current role of SOBs in Indonesia Where do SOBs in Indonesia stand today? Within the context of the systemic bank restructuring that has occurred in Indonesia since the crisis, SOBs continue to play a major role in the banking system. The total number of banks in the system has been reduced to 138 in 2003 from its peak of 240 prior to the crisis31. This reduction has largely occurred due to closures of several banks and mergers of some of the smaller banks with larger ones. Banks continue to dominate the financial system. As of December 2003, the banking sector 80 per cent of assets of the financial system (Table 2). Also at the end of 2003, SOBs controlled 46 per cent of assets, 42 per cent of deposits, and 38 per cent of loans of the banking system. Viewed from their pre-crisis levels, the restructuring process has led to an increase in the role of SOBs in the banking system. The two largest SOBs – Bank Mandiri and BNI - now account for nearly one third and the four SOBs together control over 46 per cent of system assets (compared to 37 per cent of system assets before the crisis). Bank Mandiri alone controls a fifth of all system assets. The government has begun the process of privatization of the largest SOBs – and has sold 30 per cent of the equity of Bank Mandiri and 40.5 per cent of the equity of BRI in initial public offerings (IPOs) recently. The government also intends to undertake a significant secondary offering of the equity of BNI during 200432. BTN continues to be fully government owned and there are no plans yet for its privatization. Overall reported performance of SOBs has improved since the crisis. Despite these efforts, however, SOBs continue to face significant challenges. It is very likely that some of the growth in the NPLs during the crisis occurred as a result of poor credit decisions prior to the crisis. However, it is difficult to disentangle such loans from those that went bad due to poor incentives. 31 Two relatively small private banks have been closed in April 2004. 32 There is ongoing speculation about the government’s intention to merge Bank Mandiri and BNI – which would create an SOB that would be thrice as big as its nearest competitor. 30 19 As Indonesia recovers from the 1997 crisis, the environment in which the banking sector operates is undergoing profound transformations. Interest rates on BI’s SBI’s have come down from 40 per cent in 1998 to 7.5 per cent in April 2004. In line with this, nominal deposit rates at SOBs have come down from their high of over 35 per cent in 1998 to under 9.6 per cent by the end of 2003. Lending spreads have, however, not declined in line with declines in interest rates in the rest of economy. SOBs continued to enjoy a spread of almost 700 basis points on their working capital loans – and these spreads are higher than those of private banks (Table 5 and Chart 1). The restructuring process of both the banking sector and the economy since the crisis has had a significant impact on the structure of SOB balance sheets. As of December 2003, for the overall banking system, nearly 30 per cent of assets are government securities, while for the SOBs, nearly 40 per cent of their assets are in government bonds (Table 9). Liquid assets and BI certificates (SBIs) account for a quarter of the assets of the overall banking system. On the liability side, deposits account for 75 percent of all liabilities for the overall banking system, and two-thirds for the SOBs. Prior to the crisis in 1996, holdings of government bonds in the banking system were zero and loans accounted for over three-quarters of assets of the system. For the SOBs, loans accounted for over 70 per cent of assets in 1996. The ratio of government bond holdings to total assets for the banking system overall has been declining from its peak of over 43 per cent in 2000 to 30 per cent in 2003 as banks have begun lending again33. For the SOBs, these ratios have declined from 62 per cent to 40 per cent over the same period. The flip side of large government bond holdings is low loan to deposit ratios. The overall banking system’s load-deposit-ratio (LDR), which was over 103 per cent in 1996 had declined to 38 per cent in 2002 and has picked up again to nearly 50 per cent at the end of 2003 (Table 9). SOBs have faced similar declines (Table 8). BNI had an LDR of 93 per cent in 1996, and 44 per cent in 2003. BRI’s LDR declined from 138 per cent to 62 per cent over the same period. All banks have experienced a significant rise in LDRs since 2001. As mentioned above, the overall banking system as well as the SOBs are also highly liquid simply in terms of their holdings of cash and liquid assets. This liquidity increases further if government bonds were to be counted as also being liquid (Table 10)34. This high level of liquidity combined with revival of economic growth in the country provides the incentive for banks to look for new lending opportunities. Data for the overall banking system indicate that credit has grown in real terms since 2001 (Table 11), although much of the new lending is retail consumer loans – mainly financing durable goods and housing and the overall level of credit is still below 1998 levels. Consumer lending has increased from 15 per cent of loans in 2000 to 25 per cent of loans by end of 2003, while investment loans have remained stable at 22-23 per cent of loans, and working capital loans have declined from 61 per cent to 53 per cent of loans. For SOBs, consumer lending is beginning to show signs of rapid growth recently (Table 12), although working capital and investment lending remain 33 Some part of this decline is also due to banks selling government bonds to mutual funds – called reksadanas. The total size of the mutual fund industry at the end of 2003 was Rp. 70 trillion. 34 It is not entirely clear how liquid recap bonds would be – especially if there were to be a large demand for liquidity. 20 the bulk of their portfolios. Despite the growth in credit, a significant share of approved loans lie unused. The total stock of loans at the end of 2003 was Rp. 440 trillion. The banking sector had off balance sheet – approved but undisbursed – credit lines of a further Rp. 103 trillion. SOBs have about a third of the systems’ total approved but undisbursed credit lines (Table 12). Banks consider consumer loans to be less risky than corporate lending. This is borne out by the past good experience of BRI in its microfinance lending. Even at the peak of the crisis in 1998/99, BRI’s NPLs from its microfinance lending were less than 6 per cent as compared to corporate loans where the NPL ratios were much higher (Robinson, 2000). Corporate sector lending has not yet revived due to a variety of reasons. Incomplete corporate restructuring, possible low capacity utilization in certain sectors35, past poor experience of banks with corporate lending, consumer-spending led economic growth over the past two years, and the overall view that in Indonesia it is the large borrowers that are potential bad credits while the small borrowers usually pay even at the worst of times – have all contributed to this phenomenon. To the extent that corporate lending is being done, the usual form is working capital loans. The reason why the banking system currently holds such a large share of its assets in government bonds is that the worst NPLs from all SOBs and many private banks were transferred to IBRA and replaced by government bonds. The gross NPL ratio for all banks declined from almost 50 percent of outstanding loans at end-1998 to their per-crisis level of 8 percent at end-2002 (Table 9). The SOBs were the worst affected by the NPL problem. In 1998, SOBs’ NPLs stood at 48 per cent of outstanding loans36. By 2002, NPLs for the SOBs had declined to 6 per cent by 2002, although they have since gone up to 7.3 per cent by 2003 (Table 9). Banks have also set aside substantial provisions (over 11 per cent of outstanding loans at the end of 2002 – Table 13) with SOBs having set aside over 9 per cent of total loans as provisions. SOBs therefore report that they are over-provisioned and the net NPLs for the SOBs stood at minus 2.3 per cent at the end of 2003. These reported NPL numbers need to be interpreted with some caution as they are likely to be overstating the true quality of the asset portfolios – especially at the SOBs. Two of the SOBs – Bank Mandiri and BNI carry a substantial portion of “restructured” assets on their balance sheets (Table 14). A part of these are loans that were originally taken over by the Indonesian Bank Restructuring Agency (IBRA), in return for which banks obtained government bonds. The two SOBs bought some of these loans back from IBRA at steep discounts – even though they were effectively not restructured in any real sense. BI loan classification rules allow such loans to be considered performing for one year from the date of purchase. The other portion of the restructured loans are those that have been restructured by the banks themselves, but usually through rollovers, maturity extensions, or debt-equity conversions. Recent reports indicate that some of these so called restructured loans may be non-performing again37. In addition, some banks include foreclosed assets and equity received in restructuring deals as Firm data on capacity utilization across industrial sectors are not available. Current estimates range from 50 per cent in certain industries to 70 per cent in others. It is also likely that a portion of the capacity is now obsolete. 36 The precise level of NPLs of SOBs at this time is difficult to estimate. These numbers are drawn from BI’s 1998/99 annual report. Some observers have quoted higher numbers. 37 For example, Bank Mandiri bought a loan of a large debtor – Kiani Kertas – with a face value of Rp. 1.7 trillion at a discount of 80 per cent from IBRA. This loan has recently reported to be non-performing again. 35 21 performing assets. If these types of loans are reclassified as NPLs, the NPL numbers for SOBs – especially Bank Mandiri and BNI - get substantially worse38. Table 14 shows an analysis under two scenarios - where 50 per cent and 100 per cent of restructured loans of SOBs are considered to be non-performing. The net NPL ratios for the SOBs as a whole now increase to 7 per cent and 16.3 per cent in the two scenarios respectively, significantly higher than the reported numbers39. This implies that if a significant fraction of the restructured loans were to turn non-performing again, the SOBs would be significantly under-provisioned. The banking system has also been reporting high capital adequacy ratios (Table 9) of nearly 20 per cent. SOBs have also reported high CARs (Table 14). One reason for this high ratio is that many of the worst loans were taken over by IBRA and replaced with government bonds – which have a zero risk weight. Another reason is that, as stated above, banks have been reporting that they are over-provisioned for their current level of NPLs. If restructured loans are more conservatively provided for, the CAR situation changes significantly. For example, for Bank Mandiri and BNI, if 50 per cent of the restructured assets on the balance sheets are considered to be NPLs, the CAR falls from the reported nearly 28 per cent to about 17 per cent. If all the restructured loans were to be nonperforming, its CAR falls to 5.8 per cent. The corresponding numbers for BNI are 10 per cent and 1.7 per cent respectively40. Moving from the balance sheet to bank profitability, SOBs (and many private banks) have been experiencing improved profitability since 2000 (Table 9). As a group, SOBs – which reported a loss of Rp. 35 trillion (before taxes) in 1999 – reported profit before taxes of Rp. 12.7 trillion in 2003. In terms of returns on assets, SOBs as a group have been improving their performance with ROA increasing from 0.56 per cent in 2000 to 2.3 per cent in 2003 (Table 15). A large part of bank incomes is still driven by earnings on government bonds, although this has been declining steadily. For the system as a whole, the proportion of banks’ income from interest on government bonds has been reduced to 17% of total income in 2003 (as compared to 22% in 2002). The majority of the banking sector’s income already comes from loans. It is, however, difficult to evaluate bank profitability given the uncertainty about NPLs as discussed earlier. SOBs continue to depend heavily on recap bonds for their income. In addition, some SOBs carry high cost deposits on their balance sheets, with low ratios of core deposits to total deposits, which make ongoing profitability a challenge. NPL ratios for some of the private banks also increase quite substantially, especially for BII and Lippo. Some market analysts disagree with the view that restructured loans could be a source of problems for SOBs and have expressed the view that these loans have been bought at such steep discounts that they will be profitable. However, the situation is not yet clear – as all the restructured loans have not yet been reclassified based on the standard classification rules. Only after this is done, will the true performing status of restructured loans be known. 40 The CARs of some of the large private banks also drop substantially. Analysts have reported that under these scenarios, the CARs of the largest banks in the system could drop to any where between 5-12 per cent from the reported levels of over 20 per cent (ADB, 2004). 38 39 22 VII. Governance of state owned banks It is well recognized that governance plays a key role in the effective functioning of financial institutions (Litan et. al. (2002)) and papers and references therein). Banks, and SOBs in particular, face special problems of governance (Caprio and Levine (2002)). As discussed above, governance issues have also played a major role in the banking crisis in Indonesia41. Given the importance of this issue, this section presents a brief discussion on the evolution and current governance of SOBs in Indonesia. SOBs in Indonesia traditionally viewed themselves as agents of development and as arms of the government – with a correspondingly weak credit culture, inadequate provisioning, and poor risk management. They were subject to weak supervision by BI and even when supervised, sanctions were rarely imposed due to political considerations. SOBs also operated in an environment where they had no real “owner”. Although the Ministry of Finance (MoF) has always been the legal owner of the SOBs, since 2001 it delegates day-today responsibilities of oversight of SOBs to the Ministry of State Owned Enterprises (MoSOE). This joint responsibility has created further potential for difficulties in governance. Historically, selected individuals in the SOBs controlled the banks – and the owner was seen as not exercising adequate authority over these banks. The SOBs were also influenced directly and indirectly by Parliament as well as by the Supreme Audit Authority (BPK). Prior to the 1997/98 crisis, SOBs’ organization structure typically consisted of a Board of Directors and a Board of Commissioners. Boards of Directors consisted of one President Director and a number of directors. They were appointed by the President of Indonesia upon the recommendation from the Minister of Finance for a five-year tenure. Members of the Boards of Directors were typically career state bankers from within that same SOB or other SOBs. The Board of Commissioners was chaired by one President Commissioner and usually had two other commissioners42. President Commissioners at SOBs were usually retired military or police top brass appointed by the President of Indonesia. Members of Boards of Commissioners were usually drawn from active senior officials of Ministry of Finance or retired BI officials. While technically, the Board of Commissioners were mandated to represent the owner – the State - and the Boards of Directors were responsible for day-to-day operations of the banks, in practice, the mandates of both these boards was often unclear with overlapping responsibilities. Given the composition and unclear mandates, the Boards of Commissioners usually did not act effectively to safeguard the interest of the owner and in general had weaker bargaining positions and political power visà-vis the Boards of Directors. Boards of Commissioners were often viewed as sinecures with the real power resting with Boards of Directors – who were an integral part of SOB management. 41 Enoch et. al. (2001), World Bank (1998, 2000), Grenville (2003), Santoso (2000), and ADB (2003) provide discussions of governance issues in Indonesian SOBs. 42 The number of directors and commissioners varies across SOBs. 23 After the financial crisis in 1997, the government implemented reforms to the governance structures. Boards of Commissioners and Directors have been appointed with greater considerations of professionalism, experience, and technical skills. The Boards now are appointed based on five year contracts with clear business plans and quantifiable performance indicators. Many efforts have been made to improve governance and quality of management of SOBs by all parties involved – the government, BI, and - after their partial privatization – the Capital Market Supervisory Agency (Bapepam). As part of the restructuring process of the SOBs, and in order to keep itself better informed about developments in the banks, the MoF appointed a Monitoring and Governance Unit (MGU)43. The MGU is a strong resource to aid the government in better exercising its rights as a shareholder of the SOBs and thereby to aid in better governance. The MGU is, however, scheduled to end its operations in mid-2004 and it is unclear whether any other mechanism will be put in place. The MGU reports to both the MoF and the MoSOE. In August 2001, the MoF delegated the responsibility for day-to-day exercise of the shareholder function to the MoSOE. The monitoring capacity within the MoF largely moved to MoSOE at that time, but the MGU stayed within the MoF. The Minister of Finance signed the recapitalisation agreements with the SOBs44– under which the SOBs are required to perform according to agreed upon business plans and performance contracts. The MoF also retains the right to approve changes in the corporate structure of the SOBs. Regulations issued by BI and the Capital Market Supervisory Agency (Bapepam) – with the latter playing a role after the partial privatization of the SOBs - require the appointment of independent commissioners as well as audit committees at the SOBs. Since 1999, BI also requires members of boards of directors and commissioners to pass fit and proper tests. BI’s efforts to improve prudential supervision of SOBs have reinforced this process, particularly through the appointment of a Compliance Director45 in each bank, more intrusive supervision through the permanent presence of on-site supervisors at the SOBs, and requirements for quarterly publication of SOB accounts. BI has placed a lot of emphasis on strengthening of internal control systems in banks and this undoubtedly has led to improvements in internal control and audit procedures. However, it is clear that significant weaknesses in governance and internal controls remain in the SOBs. Indications of these weaknesses are provided by recent scandals involving a large fraud at BNI, a somewhat smaller fraud at BRI, and concerns regarding aggressive expansion of loans by some SOBs46. of significant In the BNI case, the bank had admitted to failure of its internal control systems – and the Board of Directors was largely replaced by the government as a result. Another key governance issue is that despite partial privatization of three of the four SOBs, the government continues to retain a “golden share” that gives it complete authority with regard to the boards of commissioners and directors. This structure provides little incentive The work of the MGU was financed by a grant from the Australian government. These agreements were signed with both the Directors and Commissioners of the SOBs as equal signatories – a further indication of the lack of clarity of the roles of these two bodies. 45 BI required this appointment since Sept 1999. 46 BNI faced losses of over US$200 million in a recent scandal involving letters of credit honored by officials of one branch in collusion with certain politically connected parties. BRI reported losses of Rp. 300 billion million in another case of fraud. Newspaper reports (Bisnis Indonesia, March 5, 2004) indicate that the IMF has expressed concerns over rapid expansion of lending by certain banks. 43 44 24 for bank management to change from its traditional culture of viewing themselves as agents of development and acting at the behest of politicians to one where commercial considerations and maximization of shareholder value plays a greater role. Therefore, although the government has taken many steps in the right direction in improving the governance of SOBs , they continue to face significant challenges with regard to governance. Although BI is now an independent regulator, it still faces challenges when trying to supervise SOBs. International evidence shows that government ownership of banks is negatively associated with development of the banking sector and positively associated with several measures of bank inefficiency (Barth et. al. (2001a and b)). Research also shows that countries enjoy better developed financial systems with a lower likelihood of crises when private sector entities can monitor banks better - a situation which is unlikely in Indonesia unless there is a significant reduction in the share of government ownership of the sector. VIII. Policy issues and conclusion Much progress has been made on the SOBs in Indonesia. In addition to recapitalization and restructuring, the government has begun reducing its stake in state owned banks (SOBs) through initial public offerings of minority equity stakes in Bank Mandiri and BRI. Overall banking sector as well as SOB financial performance shows signs of improvement – despite continued concerns discussed earlier. BI’s regulation and supervision of the sector has been strengthened substantially. However, the recent large frauds at a SOBs as well as concerns that banks are being too aggressive in new lending raise continuing questions regarding the extent to which reforms have taken root and raise issues regarding the fragility of the banking sector. Much still remains to be done in financial sector overall, in the banking system in particular, and with regard to the SOBs specifically, in order to create a strong satisfactorily restore its function as a sound intermediary and financier of growth in Indonesia. This section summarizes some of the main policy issues facing the SOBs. Arguably the first issue that the government needs to address is the role of the state in the future of SOBs. As discussed above, SOBs have a long history of weak governance and poor performance in Indonesia and the state has had to recapitalize them repeatedly. SOBs have also moved from their developmental focus and the crisis has exposed the full extent of the political nature of SOB operations. BI has faced continuing difficulties and challenges in supervising the SOBs. Many attempts have also been made in the past to try to improve the governance of the SOBs – without relinquishing the state’s role as owner. Despite these efforts, SOBs still pose a challenge for the government. Keeping all these issues in mind, there is little rationale for the government to continue to be a shareholder in the SOBs. The government has made significant progress in cleaning up the rest of the banking sector after the crisis, having sold the majority of intervened banks to foreign investors. Continuing to retain majority ownership of the SOBs weakens incentives for their performance and exposes the government to the risk of future recapitalizations, in case of weak performance. Full privatization of the SOBs – along with the change of incentive structures that accompanies such change - will go a long way in strengthening the Indonesian financial sector. International experience with SOBs also points to the benefits of such action. While 25 capital markets do focus more on the performance of the SOBs as result of their partial privatization, there is little that they can do to effect change as long as the government continues to retain its “golden share” and the rights to appoint and change management. The government will, therefore, have to find a way to give up its “golden share” in the SOBs – which will require legislative actions – and thereby increase the political challenges to the further privatization process. The challenge – especially for the two largest SOBs – Bank Mandiri and BNI – will be identifying buyers who will be interested in such large institutions. This might require some restructuring of these institutions in order to make them more attractive to potential investors. Some observers argue that BRI presents an interesting case of an SOB which is generally considered to be well managed, and hence is a case where the state may not necessarily have to relinquish its role. BRI was built on government subsidized programs for the rural sector. While it might have been the case that commercial banks would not have ventured on their own into this area, with government support in favor of a social objective – making banking services available to the poor - and good performance in a niche area, BRI has become one of the more attractive and profitable banks in Indonesia. However, now that its role has been firmly established and many commercial players also see the attractiveness of such opportunities, there is also a case to be made for the government relinquishing its control over BRI. Much as the above outcome of full privatization is desirable, it is likely that it will take some time before it comes about. In the interim, and in the short-term, a key focus of the government needs to be on further improving the governance of the SOBs. Closer involvement in the design and execution of the corporate strategies of these institutions, holding the SOBs accountable to their shareholders (the largest being the government), as well as close monitoring of their performance on an ongoing basis would provide a basis for such improvement. BI’s supervision of the SOBs needs to be brought in line with those of the private banks and its regulations better enforced. Another issues that the SOBs (and the government, as their majority shareholder) need to focus on is the challenges that arise in an environment where lending is increasing as economic growth resumes. The new lending will occur in a highly competitive environment. Ongoing trends indicate that many banks are wary of lending to the corporate sector and the focus of new lending is shifting to the small and medium enterprises and consumers. SOBs are also moving in this direction. As a result, SOBs will need new credit assessment and delivery skills as well as substantial upgrading of risk management expertise. SOBs need further operational restructuring. Given the large volumes of government paper on their balance sheets – and the likelihood that this will continue for some time – SOBs need to recognize that the nature of their banking business has changed and that they need to adapt operationally to the new scenario. In an environment of excess liquidity, deposit taking will be less of a priority and focus on costs and profitability will become important. The nature of credit business will change as small and medium sized borrowers are likely to become increasingly important as a business line. While the new private owners will drive this process for the privatized banks, the government needs to drive this process for the SOBs. 26 Indonesia’s financial sector is at a crossroads. It has been rescued from a debilitating crisis at a huge cost to the tax payer. Much of the crisis management work is behind the Government. The overall effort in the financial sector focus now needs to be on development of a strong diversified sector that is able to finance economic growth in future on a sustainable basis. The emphasis in the banking sector needs to be on developing a banking system that avoids destabilizing crises, provides secure payments, offers savers secure deposits, intermediates efficiently between savers and investors and provides access to financial services. SOBs should, in future, contribute to this process. Indonesian history and international experience suggests that a good way to achieve this objective is to reduce the role of SOBs in the Indonesian banking sector. 27 References Asian Development Bank (2003). “Indonesia: An Overview of Recent Developments and Pending Issues in the Financial Sector”. Balino, Tomas J.T. and V. Sundararajan (1986). 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The World Bank. 30 Appendix 1 Details of state owned banks in Indonesia Bank Negara Indonesia 1946 (BNI 46 and subsequently BNI) was the first state bank after Indonesia gained its independence in August 1945. BNI 1946 was established in 5 July 1946 initially to assume the role of a central bank for the country. However in 1951 the government nationalized De Javasche Bank, a de-facto central bank during the Dutch colonial era, and made this bank the central bank of Indonesia. De Javasche Bank subsequently changed its name to Bank Indonesia in 1953. Meanwhile, BNI 46 was given new mandate to operate as a commercial and development bank since 1955. In 1965, the government merged Bank Indonesia, BNI 1946, Bank Koperasi Tani dan Nelayan and Bank Tabungan Negara to become Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI). The operations of Bank Indonesia and BNI 1946 were put under BNI Unit I and BNI Unit III respectively. In 1968, under laws No 13 and 17 BNI Unit III was spun off and Bank Negara Indonesia 1946 was recreated. In 1992 BNI 1946 changed its name to Bank BNI and continues to operate as a commercial bank now. Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) was officially formed in 1946 although its history can be traced back to the formation of Bank Priyayi in 1896. In 1958 the government also established Bank Koperasi Tani dan Nelayan and merged this bank with BRI in 1960. Also in that year, the government nationalized Nederlandsche Handles Maatschappij (NHM) and merged it into Bank Koperasi Tani dan Nelayan. In 1965, Bank Koperasi Tani dan Nelayan was acquired by BNI. BRI’s operation was placed under BNI unit II for rural sector and NHM’s operation was under BNI unit II as an import bank. Under Law no 13 of in 1968, the two units were spun off again. BNI unit II for rural development became Bank Rakyat Indonesia based on Law No 21 issued in 1968 whereas BNI unit II for exim became Bank Ekspor Impor Indonesia (Bank Exim) based on Law No. 22 issued in 1968. BRI is still in existence Bank Exim was merged into Bank Mandiri in 1999. Bank Dagang Negara was created when the Indonesian government nationalized Escompto Bank in 1960. Bank Dagang Negara was given a mandate to operate as a commercial bank since the establishment. In 1965 the government decided to merge BDN into BNI but in practice the two banks kept operating independently. BDN continued to operate as a commercial bank until it was merged into Bank Mandiri in 1999. Earlier in 1959 the Indonesian government also nationalized Nationale Handelsbank. The bank changed its name to Bank Umum Negara and operated as a commercial bank . Later in 1965 Bank Umum Negara was acquired by BNI and become BNI Unit IV. After that in1968 BNI unit IV was spun off and became a separate bank with a name Bank Bumi Daya. Bank Bumi Daya continued to operate as a commercial bank until 199 when it was merged into Bank Mandiri. Bank Pembangunan Indonesia (Bapindo) was originated from Bank Industri Negara which was created in 1951. Based on Law No. 21 in 1960 Bank Industri Negara was changed to Bapindo. Bank Tabungan Negara has its origin from the Dutch’s Postpaarbank that was formed in 1934. In 1950 the bank changed its name to Bank Tabungan Post which then changed again to Bank Tabungan Negara in 1963. In 1965, BTN was acquired by BNI and become BNI Unit V. Subsequently in 1968 it was separated from BNI again and finally through the issuance of Law No. 20 the government established Bank Tabungan Negara not remains in operation. 31 Table 1a Indonesia : Number of Banks and Branches (1981 – 2003) Number of Banks Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Number of Branches State National Foreign State National Foreign Banks Private JV Regional Total Banks Private JV Regional Total Bank Bank Bank Bank 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 74 73 72 71 71 67 67 66 90 109 129 144 161 166 165 164 144 130 92 81 80 77 76 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 21 28 29 30 39 40 41 41 44 44 40 39 34 34 31 26 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 26 26 26 26 118 118 117 116 116 112 112 111 145 171 192 208 234 240 240 239 222 208 164 151 145 142 138 Source : Indef (2003), Bank Indonesia 32 838 854 874 898 909 952 992 1,004 1,009 1,018 1,044 1,066 1,076 1,171 1,301 1,379 1,527 1,602 1,579 1,506 1,522 1,590 1,761 311 326 353 386 429 466 538 631 1.493 2.145 2.742 2.855 3.036 3.203 3.458 3.964 4.15 3.976 3.581 3.228 3.332 3.411 3,821 32 35 36 37 37 37 37 35 41 48 53 56 75 83 83 86 90 121 93 95 92 88 101 180 196 203 213 222 229 235 270 341 352 408 425 426 431 446 490 541 555 554 550 574 585 666 1,361 1,411 1,466 1,534 1,597 1,684 1,802 1,940 2,884 3,563 4,247 4,402 4,613 4,888 5,288 5,919 6,308 6,254 5,807 5,379 5,520 5,674 6,349 Table 1b Indonesia : Deposits Growth and Market Share by Type of Banks (1981 – 2003) Share (%) Growth (%) Years Deposits State National Foreign Regional State National Foreign Regional Rp Trillion Bank Private JV Dev. All Banks Bank Private JV Dev. Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 8.0 8.7 12.3 15.4 20.0 23.3 29.1 37.5 54.0 81.6 95.1 111.4 142.5 170.4 214.8 281.7 357.6 573.5 625.6 720.4 809.1 845.0 888.6 76.0 71.1 68.1 65.2 64.4 65.2 62.2 60.1 54.8 49.7 44.0 47.2 43.3 37.7 35.4 32.1 37.2 47.3 45.8 45.6 45.6 44.6 41.7 10.7 13.7 17.2 19.6 22.7 23.1 27.4 29.7 36.0 40.5 45.4 42.8 47.2 52.2 54.7 58.6 49.5 41.1 40.4 38.7 37.8 40.1 42.4 9.0 10.5 10.6 10.6 8.8 8.3 7.1 6.7 6.1 6.6 7.3 6.7 6.1 6.5 6.3 6.3 10.8 9.7 11.6 12.9 12.0 9.9 10.0 4.4 4.7 4.0 4.6 4.1 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.0 2.5 1.9 2.2 2.8 4.6 5.4 5.9 Source : Indef (2003), Bank Indonesia 33 7.8 41.8 24.9 30.4 16.2 25.0 28.7 44.3 51.0 16.6 17.1 27.8 19.6 26.0 31.2 26.9 60.4 9.1 15.1 12.3 4.4 5.2 0.9 35.8 19.7 28.8 17.6 19.2 24.4 31.6 36.9 3.1 25.8 17.3 4.2 18.1 18.1 47.1 104.1 5.5 14.7 12.4 2.0 (1.8) 37.7 78.5 42.4 50.6 18.6 48.3 39.5 74.9 69.9 30.4 10.5 41.2 32.1 32.1 40.5 7.4 33.0 7.3 10.3 9.5 10.8 11.2 25.8 44.1 24.3 8.5 9.0 7.5 21.7 30.2 65.7 27.9 7.7 16.3 26.9 23.3 30.9 117.0 43.7 30.4 28.6 4.6 14.0 6.5 17.4 20.9 40.8 17.9 -3.4 19.7 36.3 28.8 52.3 26.6 14.5 29.4 29.3 26.3 9.1 3.2 24.3 28.2 41.9 86.4 23.9 15.0 Table 1c Indonesia : Asset Growth and Share by Banks (1981 – 2003) Share (%) Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Growth (%) Total State National Foreign Regional State National Asset Bank Private JV Dev. Total Bank Private Rp trillion Bank Bank Bank Bank 12.5 15.3 19.9 26.5 33.7 40.8 48.2 63.3 93.0 132.6 153.2 180.1 214.0 248.1 308.6 387.5 528.9 762.4 789.4 984.5 1,039.9 1,059.8 1,213.5 79.8 79.6 77.0 74.8 73.4 72.1 71.3 66.8 59.0 53.3 50.6 51.8 46.8 41.9 39.6 36.4 37.5 39.6 48.7 50.3 46.6 47.3 45.8 9.4 9.9 11.2 13.9 15.3 17.6 19.5 24.0 31.9 36.4 37.9 36.9 41.0 45.6 47.6 51.7 46.2 45.7 36.3 34.9 35.8 38.0 38.0 6.9 6.9 8.6 7.8 7.8 6.9 6.2 5.1 5.5 7.4 8.5 8.4 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.2 14.0 12.8 12.7 12.2 13.6 9.4 10.7 3.9 3.6 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.0 4.1 3.6 2.9 3.0 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.5 4.0 5.3 5.5 22.3 30.6 32.7 27.2 21.2 18.1 31.3 47.0 42.6 15.5 17.6 18.8 15.9 24.4 25.6 34.5 44.2 3.5 24.7 5.6 1.9 14.5 Source: Indef (2003), Bank Indonesia 34 22.0 26.3 28.9 24.9 19.0 16.9 23.1 29.8 28.8 9.6 20.5 7.2 3.7 17.6 15.4 42.9 50.9 28.5 29.0 2.4 (2.7) 10.9 28.7 47.0 64.9 39.6 40.1 30.3 61.7 95.4 62.9 20.5 14.2 32.1 28.8 29.9 36.4 23.8 41.5 (17.1) 20.2 13.4 9.9 14.6 Foreign JV Bank Regional Dev. Bank 21.3 64.2 20.2 27.4 7.4 6.3 6.9 60.2 90.3 32.4 16.1 30.4 18.9 28.5 18.4 110.8 31.3 3.7 20.0 23.1 (7.1) 29.8 13.3 15.7 45.5 27.3 17.3 6.0 79.3 28.5 15.4 19.5 14.3 23.0 21.1 23.3 10.0 14.4 18.6 29.2 35.1 76.7 25.5 18.2 Table 1d Indonesia : Loans Growth and Market Share by Type of Banks (1981 – 2003) Period 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Share (%) Growth (%) Total State National JV Regional All State National JV Regional Loans Bank Private Bank Dev. Banks Bank Private Bank Dev. Rp trillion Bank Bank Bank Bank 11.4 11.5 15.0 20.9 24.9 30.3 41.7 50.4 62.9 97.0 112.8 122.9 150.3 188.9 234.6 292.9 378.1 487.4 225.1 269.0 307.6 365.4 440.5 85.8 80.8 79.0 78.0 76.7 75.3 67.8 71.3 62.9 55.2 53.1 55.5 47.6 42.4 39.8 37.2 40.5 45.3 49.9 37.9 38.1 40.0 39.5 7.3 10.4 12.5 14.6 16.5 18.2 25.2 22.5 29.6 36.1 37.1 34.4 40.2 45.7 47.6 51.2 44.6 39.7 24.9 30.6 33.1 37.5 40.0 4.8 5.8 5.7 5.0 4.3 4.0 4.2 3.8 5.0 6.4 7.5 7.6 9.8 9.7 10.3 9.4 12.9 13.7 22.2 27.7 23.8 16.7 13.8 2.2 3.1 2.7 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.4 3.0 3.8 5.0 5.9 6.7 Source: Indef (2003), Bank Indonesia 35 0.9 -4.90 30.3 27.5 38.9 37.1 19.4 17.3 21.3 19.1 37.9 24.3 20.9 27.1 24.7 10.0 54.2 35.2 16.3 11.8 8.9 14.0 22.3 4.8 25.7 11.8 24.2 16.8 24.9 16.5 29.1 40.7 28.9 44.0 (53.8) (49.0) 19.5 (9.1) 14.4 14.7 18.8 24.7 20.4 19.2 43.5 57.5 61.4 34.9 34.1 91.4 7.7 63.8 88.1 19.6 1.2 42.8 42.8 29.4 34.3 12.5 14.6 (71.0) 47.2 23.6 34.5 28.5 21.5 29.3 21.5 2.6 12.2 44.8 9.8 62.8 98.3 37.8 9.6 57.9 24.7 32.0 13.8 76.2 37.3 (25.0) 48.7 (1.6) (16.8) (0.3) 44.5 15.1 24.1 25.5 19.7 49.7 4.3 35.9 41.7 13.6 15.3 17.9 18.2 24.8 23.2 16.8 (12.9) 4.0 48.8 52.6 39.6 36.2 Table 2 Indonesia : Structure of Financial System (End-2003) Banks 10 largest banks a/ State-owned Ex IBRA - owned b/ Foreign & joint 128 other banks State Regional Private domestic Foreign & joint OFIs c/ Finance companies Insurance companies Life Non-life d/ Pension funds Securities firms Pawnshop (state-owned) Rural institutions e/ Mutual funds Venture capital companies f/ Private bond issuers g/ TOTAL h/ Number of institutions 138 10 4 5 1 128 1 26 71 30 9,875 120 159 52 107 332 157 1 9,106 131 60 171 Assets (Rp trillion) 1,213.5 850.6 551.2 275.6 23.7 362.9 4.9 66.4 186.1 105.5 295.0 29.8 88.6 29.3 59.3 37.4 10.1 2.7 9.3 69.5 2.7 44.9 10,013 1,508.5 Percent of total assets 80.4 56.4 36.5 18.3 1.6 24.1 0.3 4.4 12.3 7.0 19.6 2.0 5.9 1.9 3.9 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.6 4.6 0.2 3.0 Average asset size (Rp trillion) 8.8 85.1 137.8 55.1 23.7 2.8 4.9 2.6 2.6 3.5 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 0.3 100.0 Notes: a/ 10 largest banks are Bank Mandiri, BCA, BNI, BRI, Danamon, BII, Bank Permata, BTN, Bank Lippo and Citibank b/ Ex IBRA-owned banks are those banks that already had been privatized c/ Data as of end September 2003 unless stated otherwise d/ Non life insurance co includes Jamsostek, Taspen and Asabri e/ Rural institutions include rural and non-rural credit agencies, funds and institutions f/ Data as of end 2002 g/ Non financial issuers only h/ Total assets includes some Rp. 60 trillion of double counting as most assets of insurance companies and pension funds are held as deposits in banks. Source: Bank Indonesia, Bapepam, ADB (2003), authors’ estimates 36 - Table 3 Bank Indonesia Liquidity Credits (KLBI) NO. 1 (KLBI) Working Capital Credit for Farmers (Kredit Usaha Tani/ KUT) RECEPIENT Farmer & families through the cooperative TERMS According to necessity TENOR 1 year OBJECTIVE To increase farmer’s income 2 Credit for members of Primary Cooperatives (Kredit Kepada Koperasi Primer Anggotanya/ KKPA) Organization Members of the KKPA Organization Maximum Rp 50 million 1-15 year Credit scheme given to increase capital quality 3 Credit for Cooperatives (Kredit Kepada Koperasi –KKOP) Cooperative and Village Cooperative Rp. 350 million 1-10 year To facilitate working capital & cooperative investment 4 Working capital credit for development of People’s Credit Banks and Syariah Bank (Kredit Modal Kerja Pengembangan BPR/ Syariah) For BPR/BPRS credit scheme for productive sector Rp. 15 million Maximum 1 year To support Peoples Credit Banks 5 Credit for primary cooperative members in sugar cane plantations (Kredit Kepada Koperasi Primer untuk Anggota Tebu Rakyat) Sugar cane plantation farmers Maximum Rp. 50 million 2 years To facilitate working capital for cooperatives involved in sugar cane plantation intensification 6 Credit for primary cooperative members who are transmigrated farmers in east Indonesia (KKPAPIR Trans Kawasan Timur Indonesia Small farmers in east Indonesia and new transmigration areas Rp. 50 million 3 years To facilitate working capital for plantations 7 Credit for primary cooperative members who are Indonesian laborers abroad (KKPA-Tenaga Kerja Indonesia) Indonesian workers abroad Max 85% of total cost in organizing workers to go abroad 8 Credit for cooperative members based on profit sharing (KKPA Bagi Hasil) Small sized entrepreneurs in productive sector Maximum Rp. 50 million 11 to 15 years Working and investment capital for small size entrepreneurs under a profit sharing scheme 9 Credit for small size entrepreneurs (Kredit Pengusaha Kecil and Mikro/ KPKM) Small scale individual or group entrepreneurs Maximum Rp. 25 million 5 years To develop small scale industries 10 Credit for applied technology (Kredit Penerapan Teknologi Tepat Guna/ KPTTG) Credit scheme for the poorest segment of society Rp. 50 million/group 1 year To eradicate poverty 11 Working Capital credit for SME (Kredit Modal Kerja Usaha Kecil dan Menengah) Cooperative organization & SME Rp. 3 billion/ customer 1 year To develop small sized entrepreneur Rp. 400 million 1 year To developed primary provincial manufactured products 12 Credit for applied technology in Cooperative prime provincial manufactured organization & products (Kredit Penerapan SME Teknologi Produk Unggulan Daerah) Source: Bank Indonesia, Center for Financial Policy Studies (2000) 37 To prepare the Indonesian labor force that works abroad Table 4 Bank Indonesia’s Credit (1963 – 2003) Rp billion 1963 Amount Share b/ Bank Indonesia a/ 56 46.4% State Bank Other 59 48.4% 62 51.6% 121 100% Liquidity Credit a/ 75 61.9% 1974 Amount Share 233 14.8% 1,135 72.1% 439 27.9% 1,574 100% 294 18.7% 1978 Amount Share 1,933 36.3% 2,832 53.2% 2,492 46.8% 5,324 100% 682 12.8% 1982 Amount Share 2,519 21.9% 9,292 80.8% 2,208 19.2% 11,500 100% 4,086 35.5% 1990 Amount Share 763 0.8% 53,544 55.2% 43,456 44.8% 97,000 100% 1,978 2.0% 1991 Amount Share 777 0.7% 59,897 53.9% 52,903 46.9% 112,800 100% 2,026 1.8% 1995 Amount Share n/a 0.0% 93,375 39.8% 141,236 60.2% 234,611 100% 10,423 4.4% 1997 Amount Share n/a 0.0% 153,258 40.5% 224,877 59.5% 378.134 100% 15,112 4.0% 2000 Amount Share 0.0% 102,059 37.9% 166,942 62.1% 269,000 100% 9,736 3.6% 2002 Amount Share 0.0% 145,981 40.0% 219,429 60.1% 365,410 100% 8,507 2.3% 2003 Amount Share 0.0% 177,137 40.2% 263,368 59.8% 440,505 100% 7,765 1.8% Note: a/ Bank Indonesia credit is not recorded in banks’ balance sheet b/ share of total credits Source: Bank Indonesia, Pangestu (1996), Rahardjo (1995), authors’ estimates 38 Total 6.0 18.5 NA -3.5 9.0 NA 12.0 NA NA 2.5 NA NA 6.0 NA NA 9.5 Nominal Deposit Rates a/ State Banks Private Banks All Banks Real Deposit Rates c/ State Banks Private FX Banks All Banks Nominal Lending Rates b/ State Banks Private Banks All Banks Real Lending Rates c/ State Banks Private Banks All Banks Nominal Spread State Banks Private Banks All Banks Memo Items: Annual CPI Inflation 4.7 -0.7 6.4 5.2 10.6 19.5 17.4 15.3 24.2 22.1 11.3 13.1 12.2 16.0 17.8 16.9 1985 5.8 3.8 7.5 5.7 12.7 17.2 15.3 18.5 23.0 21.1 8.9 9.7 9.6 14.7 15.5 15.4 1986 a/Weighted average rates for Rupiah six-month time deposits b/Weighted average rates for Rupiah working capital loans. c/ Rates calculated using the actual annual inflation rate Source: Bank Indonesia, authors’ estimates 1982 December of 9.3 2.7 -14.9 -16.3 10.7 -5.7 -7.2 20.0 3.6 2.1 8.0 9.2 9.1 17.3 18.5 18.4 1987 8.0 2.0 4.2 3.3 12.2 15.8 14.3 20.2 23.8 22.3 10.2 11.6 11.0 18.2 19.6 19.0 1988 6.4 2.5 3.5 3.3 13.3 15.3 14.6 19.7 21.7 21.0 10.8 11.8 11.3 17.2 18.2 17.7 1989 39 7.8 1.8 5.1 3.4 13.4 17.3 15.2 21.2 25.1 23.0 11.6 12.2 11.8 19.4 20.0 19.6 1990 9.4 2.8 4.9 3.4 15.7 18.8 16.7 25.1 28.2 26.1 12.9 13.9 13.3 22.3 23.3 22.7 1991 9.4 1.1 2.6 2.3 7.8 11.0 9.8 17.24 20.46 19.27 6.7 8.4 7.5 16.13 17.84 16.95 1995 7.9 0.7 2.8 2.3 9.0 12.3 11.1 16.88 20.24 19.04 8.2 9.5 8.9 16.14 17.42 16.78 1996 6.15 2.8 4.6 5.0 12.3 17.6 15.8 18.49 23.72 21.98 9.5 13.0 10.8 15.66 19.17 16.96 1997 Table 5 Indonesia : Interest Rates at Commercial Banks (1982-2003) (Annual, in percent) 58.48 -10.1 3.0 -4.5 -33.4 -22.1 -26.2 25.09 36.37 32.27 -23.3 -25.1 -21.7 35.17 33.34 36.78 1998 20.54 11.8 19.0 14.6 5.7 12.0 8.3 26.22 32.58 28.89 -6.10 -7.0 -6.3 14.44 13.55 14.25 1999 3.69 6.4 4.6 5.1 16.2 14.1 14.7 19.85 17.76 18.43 9.73 9.5 9.6 13.42 13.16 13.31 2000 11.50 2.6 3.6 3.0 7.6 7.7 7.7 19.15 19.16 19.19 5.05 4.1 4.7 16.55 15.58 16.18 2001 11.88 5.0 4.3 4.5 7.0 6.3 6.4 18.85 18.21 18.25 1.98 2.0 1.9 13.86 13.91 13.79 2002 6.59 8.2 6.0 6.8 9.6 8.1 8.5 16.18 14.66 15.07 1.37 2.1 1.7 7.96 8.65 8.25 2003 Table 6 Indonesia : Loan Classification (1995 – 2003) (Percent) April December December December December December December 1995 1996 1997 1997 1998 1999 2000 2002 2003 Total Loans (Rp. Trillion) 234.6 292.9 350.0 378.1 487.4 225.1 269.0 365.4 440.5 Panel A Sub-standard Doubtful Bad-Debt Panel B State-owned Banks Private Banks Regional Development Banks Foreign and Joint Venture Banks Panel C All Banks State-owned Banks Private Foreign Exchange Banks Private Non-Foreign Exchange Classified loans as a share of total % 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.6 10.4 10.2 7.8 2.4 2.4 3.3 3.5 2.5 15.2 12.8 4.6 2.1 3.3 2.9 2.3 3.2 23 9.9 7.7 3.0 Distribution of Classified loans by bank ownership % 72.7 67 65.9 52.7 38.9 52.6 33.1 32.6 16.3 22.8 24.5 42.3 52.7 23.1 22.7 28.0 5.5 4.9 4.8 0.43 0.1 1.2 1.6 1.5 43.4 31.3 1.6 5.5 23.6 5.3 4.8 4.6 8.4 23.2 42.6 37.9 2.9 1.1 2.7 Classified loans as percentage of total credit by bank ownership (%) 10.4 8.8 8.3 48.6 32.9 20.1 7.5 6.8 16.6 13.4 4.4 18.9 17.3 17.4 6.0 7.3 3.7 4.3 2.8 21.1 7.3 16.2 5.8 5.5 13.8 1.1 0.7 4.5 Note: Data for Panels B and C are not available using the same classification. Sources: Santoso (2000), Bank Indonesia 40 0.3 4.2 4.5 3.6 Table 7 Indonesia : Cost of Banking Sector Restructuring Rp trillion % of total recapitalization cost % of GDP in 2000 State Banks: Mandiri BNI BRI BTN Subtotal SOB 178.0 61.8 29.0 13.8 282.6 41% 14% 7% 3% 66% 14.1% 4.9% 2.3% 1.1% 22.4% Taken Over Banks (14 banks) Recapitalized Banks (7 banks) Regional Banks (12 banks) 109.3 36.9 1.2 25% 9% 0% 8.7% 2.9% 0.1% Subtotal - recapitalization cost Guarantee program Government credit program Total cost 430.0 218.3 10.0 658.3 100 % 34.1 % 17.2% 0.8% 52.1% Note: GDP in 2000 was Rp1,264.9 trillion Source: Bank Indonesia, authors’ calculations 41 Chart 1 Indonesia: Interest Rate Spreads Period average in percent p.a. (1992-2003) % interest rate % interest spread 60.0 60.0 40.0 40.0 20.0 20.0 0.0 0.0 (20.0) 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Interest Spread 6.4 7.2 5.3 2.2 2.3 (1.0) (19.4) 4.9 7.3 4.7 3.8 7.3 1-mo nth time depo sit 15.7 13.4 12.4 16.7 16.9 23.0 51.7 24.0 11.2 14.5 14.4 9.6 Wo rking Capital Lo an 22.1 20.5 17.8 18.9 19.2 22.0 32.3 28.9 18.4 19.2 18.3 16.9 1-mo nth SB I 13.5 8.8 12.4 14.0 12.8 20.0 38.4 12.5 14.5 17.6 12.9 8.3 (20.0) Source : Bank Indonesia Table 8 Indonesia : State Owned Bank Loan to Deposit Ratio Banks BNI BTN BRI Mandiri BBD BDN Bank Exim Bapindo 1994 103.6 % 190.3 % 130.3 % n/a 129.6 % 139.1 % 74.9 % 1995 89.9 % 180.9 % 141.6 % n/a 123.0 % 137.0 % 76.7 % 1996 93.3 % 202.0 % 137.6 % n/a 98.2 % 133.3 % 78.3 % 1997 102.7 % 177.9 % 124.1 % n/a 112.4 % 126.9 % n/a 1998 87.3 % 75.9 % 99.9 % n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 230.3 % 193.1 % 201.9 % n/a 1999 51.7 % 54.2 % 62.3 % 28.6 % 2000 36.1 % 46.1 % 52.2 % 25.4 % 2001 34.4 % 44.0 % 55.1 % 23.3 % 2002 37.7 % 50.2 % 55.2 % 32.5 % Note: Bapindo and Exim did not publish financial statements for 1994 and 1997 respectively Bapindo, Exim, BBD and BDN did not publish financials statements for 1998 and were merged into Bank Mandiri in 1999. Source: Banks’ Annual Reports 42 2003 43.6 % 58.3 % 62.3 % 41.6 % Table 9 Indonesia: Summary Commercial Bank Data (1996 – 2003, in Rp trillion unless otherwise indicated) End of December 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Number of Banks 238 222 208 164 151 145 142 138 (7) (7) (7) (5) (5) (5) (5) (5) 387.5 528.9 762.4 762.4 984.5 1,039.7 1,059.8 1,213.5 (178.8) (243.9) (230.7) (357.7) (455.4) (492.1) (488.0) (556.2) 0 0 0 281.8 431.8 435.3 419.4 344.6 (0) (0) (0) (214.2) (282.3) (256.3) (244.6) (207.4) 292.9 378.1 487.7 225.1 269.0 307.6 365.4 440.5 (124.5) (169.6) (198.3) (116.1) (109.4) (126.6) (151.0) (177.2) 281.7 357.6 573.5 625.6 720.4 809.1 845.0 888.6 (106.9) (143.7) (196.8) (284.1) (325.8) (384.8) (388.1) (368.5) 37.1 46.7 -98.5 -21.6 50.6 66.8 93.7 112.4 (11.1) (12.0) (-97.4) (-31.3) (23.3) (23.0) (29.3) (48.3) 22.8 32.9 276.7 92.0 56.9 38.7 27.8 29.9 n/a n/a n/a (17.2) (18.4) (8.8) (9.1) (13.0) 4.7 -1.5 -178.6 -75.4 10.5 13.1 21.9 28.9 (2.2) (1.9) (-152.8) (-35.0) (1.2) (6.9) (10.1) (12.7) GDP at current prices 532.6 627.7 955.8 1,099.7 1,264.9 1,449.4 1,610.0 1,786.7 M1 over GDP 12.0% 12.5% 10.6% 11.3% 12.8% 12.3% 11.9% 12.5% M2 over GDP 54.2% 56.7% 60.4% 58.8% 59.1% 58.2% 54.9% 53.5% Bank Assets / GDP 72.8% 84.3% 93.7% 91.5% 81.5% 75.9% 69.1% 67.9% Gov’t Bonds / GDP - - - 25.6% 34.1% 30.0% 26.0% 19.3% 55.0% 61.7% 57.1% 25.2% 25.3% 24.7% 25.5% 24.7% n/a 57.3% 18.4% 18.9% 20.3% 20.2% 21.5% 23.4% 52.9% 57.0% 60.0% 56.9% 57.0% 55.8% 52.5% 49.7% Total assets Government Bonds Loans Deposits Equity NPLs Profit before tax Loans/GDP Loan to Private / GDP Deposits / GDP Gross NPL ratio 7.8% 8.7% 48.6% 32.8% 18.8% 12.1% 8.3% 6.8% LDR 103.9% 105.7% 72.4% 26.2% 33.2% 33.0% 38.2% 49.6% CAR 12.2% 4.3% -15.7% -8.1% 12.5% 20.5% 22.5% 19.4% ROE 7.6% 11.8% 437.2% 110.8% 3.0% 13.9% 15.0% 20.4% ROA 0.7% 1.4% 18.8% 6.1% 0.6% 1.3% 2.0% 1.9% Notes: Numbers in parentheses are those of state banks 1998 figures for state banks are estimated figures because Bank Exim, BDN, Bapindo & BBD did not publish 1998 financial statement Bank Exim also did not publish a financial statement in 1997 M1 = currency outside banks + demand deposits M2 = M1 + quasi money Loan to Private is total loan minus loan to government entities and SOEs Gross NPL ratio = NPL/ total loans LDR = loans/deposits CAR = capital/risk-weighted asset ROE = profit after tax/ equity ROA = profit after tax/ assets Source: Bank’s Financial Statements, Bank Indonesia, authors’ calculations 43 Table 10 Indonesia: Summary Balance Sheet of Commercial Banks (1997-2003) End-period 1997 1998 1999 Claims on BI 17.4 Holdings of SBIs 47 16.5 Foreign assets 46.8 Liquid assets-1 80.7 Govt. bonds 1.0 Liquid assets-2 81.7 Credit 378.4 Other assets 48 68.8 Total assets = total liabilities 528.9 Deposits 357.6 Borrowing from BI 23.1 Foreign liabilities 70.4 Other liabilities 49 48.5 Equity 46.7 34.2 58.8 115.7 208.7 0.7 209.4 487.5 65.5 42.7 86.9 94.5 223.5 268.7 492.2 225.1 72.1 Liquid assets-1 Liquid assets-2 Loans (LDR) 2000 2001 (in Rp trillion) 49.7 49.0 58.8 102.6 102.2 109.8 238.7 301.0 429.7 408.9 668.4 709.9 269.0 307.6 47.1 22.4 2002 2003 56.9 76.9 90.1 258.3 378.3 638.6 365.4 57.8 72.3 101.4 77.3 285.8 344.6 630.5 410.5 142.5 762.4 789.4 984.5 1,039.9 1,059.8 1,213.5 573.5 625.6 720.4 809.1 845.0 888.6 112.9 33.4 16.5 15.2 12.7 10.9 97.8 74.6 92.7 68.4 51.9 31.5 76.7 55.8 104.3 80.4 56.5 170.2 (98.5) (21.6) 50.6 66.8 93.7 112.4 (in percent of deposits) 22.6 36.4 35.7 33.1 37.2 30.6 32.2 22.8 36.5 78.7 92.8 87.7 75.3 71.0 105.7 72.4.0 26.2 33.2 33.0 38.2 49.6 Note: Other assets and other liabilities are determined as residuals Liquid assets – 1 consist of claims on BI and interbank claims Liquid assets – 2 consist of liquid asset 1 and government bonds Other assets mostly consist of fixed assets and other marketable securities Other liabilities mostly consist of borrowings Source: Bank Indonesia, ADB (2003) Number from BI balance sheet Determined as a residual 49 Determined as a residual 47 48 44 Table 11 Indonesia : Outstanding Credit by Type of Lending and Bank (1998-2003) End of period 1998 Rp tr % 1999 Real Growth 2000 Rp tr % % Rp tr Real Growth 2001 Real Growth 2002 % % Rp tr % % Rp tr Real Growth % % 2003 Rp tr % % 100 14.0 22 8.9 Total credit 487.4 100 225.1 100 -21.1 269 100 15.8 307.6 100 2.8 365.4 100 6.9 440.5 Investment 141.5 -21.1 65.3 23 9.5 73.5 1.1 82.9 0.9 State banks Regional banks Private dom. Foreign & JV 29 89.1 0.9 38.7 12.8 57.7 26 37.6 0.7 13.1 6.2 34.4 0.8 19.9 10.2 24 38.6 1.3 24.5 9.1 23 43.5 2.2 30.5 6.7 Real Growth 95.8 49.6 3.1 37.7 5.3 Working cap. 314.2 State banks 115.9 Regional banks 3.4 Private dom. 142.6 Foreign & JV 52.2 64 143.4 64 61.3 3.3 36.8 41.9 -21.1 163.6 50.8 2.7 49.3 60.9 61 10.4 175.7 57 56.1 3.6 56.8 59.3 -4.1 202.7 73.2 5.8 76.1 47.6 55 3.5 233.5 83.7 7.5 95.7 46.6 53 8.6 Consumption State banks Regional banks Private dom. Foreign & JV 7 -20.8 40.1 16.8 6.6 13.3 3.4 15 62.7 58.4 22.4 10.6 20.6 4.8 34.1 79.8 29.3 13.5 30.5 6.5 22 24.8 112.1 43.8 17.8 41.1 8.6 25 32.8 31.8 15.7 2.2 12.1 1.7 Annual Inflation rate (%) 24.1 13.4 2.8 6.1 1.8 10 20.5 3.7 19 11.5 Source : Bank Indonesia 45 11.9 6.6 Table 12 Indonesia : State owned bank lending Nominal (Rp Trillion) 2000 2001 2002 2003 Share (%) 2000 2001 2002 2003 Growth (%) 2001 2002 2003 BANK MANDIRI Working Capital 23.0 13.1 21.9 37.9 53.5 47.2 55.5 49.9 (43.1) 67.5 72.9 Investment 12.7 9.8 11.4 25.8 29.5 35.4 28.8 34.0 (22.8) 16.2 126.3 Consumer 0.8 1.0 1.9 4.1 1.9 3.6 4.9 5.5 20.0 94.9 113.6 Others 6.5 3.8 4.2 8.1 15.0 13.8 10.7 10.6 (40.8) 11.1 90.4 Total 43.0 27.7 39.5 75.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 (35.6) 42.5 92.2 Bank Rakyat Indonesia Working Capital Investment Consumer Others 16.3 2.3 5.6 2.8 21.1 2.9 7.8 1.8 24.0 2.8 10.0 2.5 29.5 3.4 11.2 3.4 60.4 8.6 20.8 10.2 63.0 8.6 23.2 5.2 61.0 7.1 25.5 6.4 62.0 7.2 23.6 7.2 29.3 24.4 38.3 -36.5 13.8 -3.6 29.1 44.5 22.8 22.2 11.6 35.8 Total 27.0 33.5 39.4 47.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 24.0 17.4 20.7 19.3 12.6 2.7 0.8 21.7 11.3 4.2 0.5 26.5 13.4 5.9 0.6 50.1 41.8 5.9 2.2 54.6 35.5 7.6 2.3 57.5 29.9 11.2 1.4 57.1 28.8 12.7 1.4 20.6 -6.0 43.4 16.7 12.6 -10.1 56.7 -35.3 21.9 18.4 39.6 20.8 32.0 35.4 37.8 46.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 10.7 6.8 22.8 BTN Working Capital Investment Consumer Others 0.2 0.0 7.4 - 0.3 0.0 8.1 - 0.5 0.1 9.6 - 0.5 0.0 10.6 - 3.0 0.2 96.8 - 3.5 0.1 96.5 - 4.9 0.8 94.3 - 4.2 0.0 95.8 - 26.4 (70.5) 9.8 - Total 7.6 8.4 10.2 11.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 55.6 28.4 15.7 9.9 53.8 25.3 19.6 6.4 68.2 25.6 25.8 7.3 94.4 42.6 31.9 12.2 50.7 25.9 14.3 9.1 51.2 24.0 18.6 6.1 53.7 20.1 20.4 5.8 109.7 105.1 126.9 181.0 100.0 100.0 Undisbursed Credit Lines Mandiri 8.1 BRI 3.9 Bank BNI 3.2 BTN 0.3 All SOB 15.5 Other banks 49.2 6.6 4.3 3.7 0.2 14.8 55.7 10.4 8.4 4.9 0.2 24.0 57.1 12.5 6.1 4.9 0.5 23.9 76.1 All Banks 70.5 81.1 100.0 Bank BNI Working Capital Investment Consumer Others Total ALL SOB Working Capital Investment Consumer Others Total 16.0 13.4 1.9 0.7 64.7 17.0 7.6 7.4 0.3 32.3 70.7 103.0 73.0 1,577.0 18.7 - (6.9) (97.8) 10.3 - 10.2 21.4 8.6 52.1 23.5 17.6 6.7 (3.2) (11.1) 24.6 (35.5) 26.7 1.1 31.9 14.2 38.4 66.6 23.4 66.4 100.0 100.0 (4.2) 20.8 42.6 9.3 6.1 5.3 0.3 21.0 79.0 12.8 10.4 6.1 0.3 29.6 70.4 16.5 7.3 7.2 0.3 31.3 68.7 (18.7) 10.5 18.0 (41.7) (4.3) 13.2 58.4 94.8 32.2 27.1 62.1 2.4 63.5 (10.5) 50.2 34.0 34.4 23.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 9.0 14.9 27.0 Note: Consumer lending includes loan to employee. Working capital lending includes syndicated loans Others lending mostly consist of program/ export loans Lending figures are based on consolidated financial statements and includes channeling loans Source: Banks’ annual reports and Financial statements 46 Table 13 Indonesia : Loan Loss Reserves and Provisions (in percent) 1982 1988 1989 1990 1991 1995 1997 2000 2003 Loan Loss Reserve/ Total Loans State Banks Private FX Banks Private Non-FX Banks Foreign Banks All Banks 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.6 2.7 4.2 1.2 0.7 2.0 3.3 2.3 1.0 0.5 1.6 3.3 4.4 0.8 0.6 1.4 2.7 4.5 1.1 0.9 1.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 1.3 2.2 2.0 2.7 2.0 2.2 3.5 2.4 Provision Expense/ Total Loans State Banks Private FX Banks Private Non-FX Banks Foreign Banks All Banks NA NA NA NA NA 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.7 1.4 0.9 1.3 (2.0) 1.8 1.1 1.1 1.5 3.6 1.5 1.7 0.3 2.5 2.7 1.0 0.0 1.4 Provision Expense/Interest Margin State Banks Private FX Banks Private Non-FX Banks Foreign Banks All Banks NA NA NA NA NA 44.9 20.7 17.1 17.2 29.2 36.0 16.3 16.7 12.8 28.2 35.5 18.1 13.4 8.7 22.3 47.3 14.9 27.2 14.6 23.4 26.2 12.9 12.0 16.7 18.6 38.7 38.9 15.0 45.0 38.4 22.2 26.3 10.5 0.0 13.4 Note: Negative or small ratios in 2000 because of reverse loan loss provisions Source: Bank Indonesia, Banks’ Financial Statements, authors’ calculations 47 18.9 14.9 9.1 8.8 3.3 3.8 22.4 13.3 16.3 11.3 (4.5) 26.3 10.5 0.0 13.4 Risk Weighted Total Capital Assets CAR-1 CAR-2 CAR-3 Mandiri 91.9 25.5 27.7% 16.7% 5.8% BNI 66.2 12.0 18.2% 9.9% 1.7% BRI 46.2 9.6 20.9% 18.7% 16.6% BTN 6.6 0.8 12.1% 11.6% 11.1% CAR-1 is published Capital Adequacy Ratio. CAR-2 is CAR-1 with additional loss provision of 50% of restructured assets. CAR-3 is CAR-1 with additional loss provision of 100% of restructured assets. Figures are in Rupiah trillions Source: Banks’ Financial Statements and authors' calculations. Bank Panel C 73.3 45.9 47.5 11.2 Cat. 2 5.9 4.8 1.2 0 48 Assets 0.1 0.3 0 0 restructuring 0.1 3.3 0 0 Assets 20.2 10.9 2.0 0.1 Foreclosed Equity from. Tot.Restr. 6.5 2.6 2.6 0.4 Loan Loss restr. asset Provisions 10.1 9.0 5.5 2.4 1.0 4.3 0 0.7 50% of 9.0 2.4 4.3 0.7 NPL-1 -3.5% 0.5% -3.0% -2.5% Net Net 132.8% 139.6% 91.8% 150.4% 164.9% Net 35.7% 29.8% 35.0% 50.2% 41.6% 16.3% 245.8 131.2 94.7 26.8 Cat. 1 14.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 Restructured loans 3.4 0.5 0.9 0.2 Asset (%) Total SOBs 498.6 177.9 12.4 17.3 12.0 0.5 3.4 33.1 16.6 16.5 -2.3% 7.0% This table identifies total “restructured” and adjusts NPL to include 50% and 100% of those assets. After deducting loan loss provisions, three net NPL ratios are shown: Net NPL-1 = (Total NPL - Loan Loss Provisions ) / total loans (published numbers) Net NPL-2 = (Total NPL - Loan Loss Provisions + 50% of restructured loans) / total loans (adjusted numbers) Net NPL-3 = (Total NPL - Loan Loss Provisions + total restructured loans) / total loans (adjusted numbers) Mandiri BNI BRI BTN (C 3,4,5) 6.5 2.6 2.9 0.4 Total Loans Total NPLs 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 % NPL-3 24.0% 24.2% 1.1% -1.8% Total Assets 1.6 1.3 1.4 0.2 Net (%) NPL-2 10.3% 12.4% -1.0% -2.2% Bank Panel B 11.0 7.6 3.4 1.7 Provisions Gross (%) -2.3% 55.8 35.7 41.2 9.0 (C 3,4,5) Total NPLs Total Loan NPL Ratio NPL Ratio Prov./NPL Loan to Total SOBs 498.6 177.9 141.8 23.7 4.5 3.0 4.9 12.4 16.5 7.0% Notes: Gross NPL ratio reflects NPLs as percent of total loans. Net NPL ratio reflects NPLs less loan loss provisions as percent of total loans; A negative net NPL ratio indicates that loan loss provisions exceed the amount of NPLs 73.3 45.9 47.5 11.2 Loan Classification Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5 -3.5% 0.5% -3.0% -2.5% 245.8 131.2 94.7 26.8 Mandiri BNI BRI BTN Total Loans 8.8% 5.7% 6.0% 3.8% Total Assets Bank Panel A Indonesia : Non-performing loans and capital adequacy of state owned banks – (December 2003) Table 14 Table 15 Indonesia : Bank Costs and Margins (percent of total assets) 1982 1988 1989 1990 1991 1995 1997 2000 2002 2003 Interest Income State Banks Private FX Banks Private Non-FX Banks Foreign Banks All Banks 1.42 1.59 0.91 4.45 1.60 9.57 15.82 16.92 11.71 11.17 10.48 14.32 14.81 12.05 11.60 11.25 16.48 19.56 12.52 13.18 13.57 20.59 25.13 12.99 16.03 10.60 13.07 14.48 11.59 11.99 10.02 9.89 13.91 9.73 19.89 11.45 7.58 8.07 11.91 9.76 12.8 11.7 16.4 8.3 12.0 9.4 9.7 14.4 7.1 9.5 Interest Expense State Banks Private FX Banks Private Non-FX Banks Foreign Banks All Banks 4.1 7.95 9.74 9.15 4.82 7.40 7.77 8.08 11.43 7.66 7.73 11.90 10.81 12.49 16.14 9.98 10.83 12.64 11.49 15.03 20.09 10.66 14.68 7.57 7.97 6.95 7.83 6.11 3.45 8.25 8.83 9.29 12.60 8.82 9.02 8.02 7.38 7.01 4.05 7.38 9.2 8.2 11.5 4.0 8.2 5.7 5.8 8.5 2.6 5.5 Net Operating Margin State Banks Private FX Banks Private Non-FX Banks Foreign Banks All Banks 2.55 4.00 3.67 4.51 2.99 2.45 2.89 1.78 3.70 2.64 2.63 2.37 1.37 3.64 2.57 2.84 2.26 1.93 3.98 2.91 1.31 2.24 1.87 4.53 1.98 0.92 1.33 0.69 4.02 1.22 0.85 0.91 1.41 2.97 1.07 -1.76 1.61 1.34 1.90 -0.06 0.3 0.6 1.8 2.6 0.8 0.8 1.4 2.3 2.7 1.4 Pre-Tax Return on Assets State Banks 2.40 Private FX Banks 3.60 Private Non-FX Banks 3.08 Foreign Banks 4.32 All Banks 2.81 1.40 1.93 1.29 1.78 1.68 1.55 1.68 0.78 2.80 1.67 1.78 1.39 0.97 3.02 1.99 0.31 1.24 0.91 3.39 0.97 0.96 1.44 1.09 4.13 1.32 0.74 0.92 1.30 2.89 1.01 0.56 0.67 1.51 2.79 1.01 2.0 1.1 2.1 4.5 2.0 2.3 1.8 2.4 4.1 1.9 Source: Bank Indonesia, Banks’ Financial Statements, authors’ calculations 49