Chapter 3 Labor Productivity and Comparative Advantage: The Ricardian Model Key Terms • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Absolute advantage (绝对优势) Comparative advantage (比较优势) Derived demand(派生需求) Gains from Trade (贸易所得) General equilibrium analysis (一般均衡分析) Nontrade goods (非贸易品) Opportunity Cost(机会成本) Partial equilibrium analysis(局部均衡分析) Pauper Labor Argument(贫民劳动论) Production possibility frontier(生产可能性边界) Relative Demand Curve Relative Supply Curve Relative wage Ricardian model (李嘉图模型) Unit labor requirement(单位产品劳动投入) Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage ( added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model Absolute Advantage Theory • Adam Smith (1723 – 1790) • Background a classical economist, was leading advocate of free trade (Laissez-Faire). “Inquiry into the Nature and causes of the Wealth of Nations” 1776 -The wealth of Nations Smith’s era is the time when governments granted monopolies and protected their own merchants against”unfair”competition , and the power of free trade was scarcely understood. • Main ideas Trade is based on absolute advantage and benefits both nations. When each nation specializes in the production of the commodity of its absolute advantage and exchanges part of its output for the commodity of its absolute disadvantage, both nations end up consuming more of both commodities. Absolute Advantage Theory • Basic Assumptions One input: Labor(L) Two outputs: Wheat (Qw) and Cloth (Qc) Two countries: US and China Full Employment, Perfect Competition, and Constant return to Scale Different technologies different productivity of labor Wheat Wheat 100 Import 20 units cloth Export 20 units cloth S’ 50 Export 20 units wheat 30 20 0 40 C S C 20 12 15 20 25 50 S Cloth 0 70 80 China Production and consumption before trade(S) Production after trade(S’) Consumption after trade (C) US Import 20 units wheat S’ 100 Cloth China 20 wheat 15cloth US 12 wheat 70cloth 50 wheat 30 wheat 0 wheat 100cloth 20 wheat 80cloth 0 cloth 20cloth Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage (added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model The Concept of Comparative Advantage • The law of comparative advantage if a nation has an absolute cost disadvantage in the production of both goods, a basis for mutually beneficial trade may still exist. The less efficient nation should specialize in the production and export of the commodity in which it has a comparative advantage (where its absolute disadvantage is less) The more efficient nation should specialize in and export that commodity in which it is relatively more efficient (where its absolute advantage is greater). Wheat Wheat 100 60 S’ 50 30 20 0 C S C 20 16 15 20 25 50 S Cloth 0 76 80 A Cloth B A Production and consumption 20 wheat before trade(S) Production after trade(S’) 50 wheat Consumption after trade (C)30 wheat S’ 100 B 15cloth 16 wheat 76cloth 0 cloth 0 wheat 100cloth 20cloth 20 wheat 80cloth The Concept of Comparative Advantage • The approach, in which international trade is solely due to international differences in the productivity of labor, is known as Ricardian model • The Ricardian model is based on technological differences across countries. These technological differences are reflected in differences in the productivity of labor. • The Ricardian model uses the concepts of opportunity cost and comparative advantage. • The opportunity cost of producing something measures the cost of not being able to produce something else because resources have already been used. The Concept of Comparative Advantage • For example: • a limited number of workers could be employed to produce either roses or computers. The opportunity cost of producing computers is the amount of roses not produced. The opportunity cost of producing roses is the amount of computers not produced. • A country faces a trade off: how many computers or roses should it produce with the limited resources that it has? The Concept of Comparative Advantage Millions of Roses Thousands of Computers U.S. -10 +100 South America +10 -30 0 +70 Total The Concept of Comparative Advantage • A country has a comparative advantage in producing a good if the opportunity cost of producing that good is lower in the country than it is in other countries. The South America has a comparative advantage in rose production: it uses its resources more efficiently in producing roses compared to other uses. The U.S. has a comparative advantage in computer production: it uses its resources more efficiently in producing computers compared to other uses. The Concept of Comparative Advantage • In this simple example, we see that when countries specialize in production in which they have a comparative advantage, more goods and services can be produced and consumed. Initially both countries could only consume 10 million roses and 30 thousand computers. If they produce goods in which they had a comparative advantage, they could still consume 10 million roses, but could consume 100,000 – 30,000 = 70,000 more computers. The Concept of Comparative Advantage • The simple example with roses and computers explains the intuition behind the Ricardian model. • Trade between two countries can benefit both countries if each country exports the goods in which it has a comparative advantage Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage (added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model A One-Factor Economy • The technology of Home’s economy can be summarized by labor productivity in each industry, expressed in terms of unit labor requirements: • The unit labor requirement is the number of hours of labor required to produce one unit of output. Denote with aLW the unit labor requirement for wine • e.g. if aLW = 2, then one needs 2 hours of labor to produce one gallon of wine Denote with aLC the unit labor requirement for cheese • e.g. if aLC = 1, then one needs 1 hour of labor to produce a pound of cheese A high unit labor requirement means low labor productivity • The economy’s total resources are defined as L, the total labor supply (e.g. if L = 120, then this economy is endowed with 120 hours of labor or 120 workers). Production Possibilities • The production possibility frontier (PPF) of an economy shows the maximum amount of a goods that can be produced for a fixed amount of resources. • If QC represents the quantity of cheese produced and QW represents the quantity of wine produced, then the production possibility frontier of the domestic economy has the equation: aLCQC + aLWQW = L Labor required for each unit of cheese production Total units of cheese production Labor required for each unit of wine production Total amount of labor resources Total units of wine production Production Possibilities • the opportunity cost is defined as the number of gallons of wine the economy would have to give up in order to produce a extra pound of cheese. • To produce an extra pound of cheese would requires aLC hours of labor . • each hours of labor could have been used to produce a certain amount of wine instead, equal to 1/aLW gallons of wine • The trade-off (opportunity cost ) is the increased amount of cheese relative to the decreased amount of wine: aLC /aLW. (aLC *1/aLW) Fig. 3-1: Home’s Production Possibility Frontier (L/aLW )/(L/aLC)= aLC /aLW A One-Factor Economy • Relative Prices and Supply The particular amounts of each goods produced are determined by prices. The relative price of goods X (cheese) in terms of goods Y (wine) is the amount of goods Y (wine) that can be exchanged for one unit of goods X (cheese). Examples of relative prices: • If a price of a can of Coke is $0.5, • then the relative price of Coke is? • The relative price of a $ in terms of Coke is? A One-Factor Economy • Relative Prices and Supply • Let PC be the price of cheese and PW be the price of wine. • Because of competition, hourly wages of cheese makers are equal to the market value of the cheese produced in an hour: PC /aLC( PC * 1/aLC ) hourly wages of wine makers are equal to the market value of the wine produced in an hour: PW /aLW • Because workers like high wages, they will work in the industry that pays a higher hourly wage. A One-Factor Economy • Relative Prices and Supply • ①If PC /aLC > PW/aLW workers will make only cheese. (PC /PW > aLC /aLW ) The economy will specialize in cheese production if the price of cheese relative to the price of wine exceeds the opportunity cost of producing cheese. • ②If PC /aLC < PW /aLW workers will make only wine. ( PC /PW < aLC /aLW ) The economy will specialize in wine production if the price of wine relative to the price of cheese exceeds the opportunity cost of producing wine. • ③If PC /aLC = PW /aLW . ( PC /PW = aLC /aLW ) Production (and consumption) of both goods occurs when the relative price of a good equals the opportunity cost of producing that good. In the absence of international trade, the relative prices of goods are equal to their relative unit labor requirement Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage (added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model Trade in a One-Factor World • Absolute Advantage A country has an absolute advantage in a production of a goods if it has a lower unit labor requirement than the foreign country in this goods. Assume that aLC < a*LC and aLW < a*LW • This assumption implies that Home has an absolute advantage in the production of both goods. • Even if Home has an absolute advantage in both goods, beneficial trade is possible. • The pattern of trade will be determined by the Trade in a One-Factor World • Comparative Advantage Assume that aLC /aLW < a*LC /a*LW (2-2) • This assumption implies that the opportunity cost of cheese in terms of wine is lower in Home than it is in Foreign. • In other words, in the absence of trade, the relative price of cheese at Home is lower than the relative price of cheese at Foreign. • Home has a comparative advantage in cheese and will export it to Foreign in exchange for wine. Determining the Relative Price After Trade • Partial equilibrium analysis-focus on a single market • General equilibrium analysis-linkage between the two markets • To see how all countries can benefit from trade, we calculate relative prices when trade exists. Without trade, the relative price of a good equals the opportunity cost of producing that good. • To calculate relative prices with trade, we first calculate relative quantities of world production: (QC + Q*C )/(QW + Q*W) World Relative Supply and Relative Demand 1.PC/PW <aLC /aLW <. a*LC /a*LW no supply of cheese; only wine Relative price of cheese, PC/PW 5 a*LC/a*LW 2. PC /PW = aLC /aLW <. a*LC /a*LW H both C and W; F only W RS 4 3. aLC /aLW <PC /PW < a*LC /a*LW H only C; F only W 3 aLC/aLW 1 2 4. aLC /aLW < PC /PW = a*LC /a*LW H only C; F both C and W 5. PC /PW > a*LC /a*LW > aLC /aLW no supply of wine, only cheese Fig. 3-3: World Relative Supply and Demand Point 1 : Point 2: the home need not specialize in Home produces only cheese, foreign only wine Trade in a One-Factor World • The Gains from Trade If countries specialize according to their comparative advantage, they all gain from this specialization and trade. We will demonstrate these gains from trade in two ways. First, we can think of trade as a indirect method of producing goods and services. Trade in a One-Factor World Another way to see the gains from trade is to consider how trade affects the consumption in each of the two countries. The consumption possibility frontier states the maximum amount of consumption of a goods a country can obtain for any given amount of the other commodity. In the absence of trade, the consumption possibility curve is the same as the production possibility curve. Trade enlarges the consumption possibility for each of the two countries. Fig. 3-4: Trade Expands Consumption Possibilities Relative Wages • Relative wages are the wages of the domestic country relative to the wages in the foreign country. • Although the Ricardian model predicts that relative prices equalize across countries after trade, it does not predict that relative wages will do the same. • Productivity (technological) differences determine wage differences in the Ricardian model. A country with absolute advantage in producing a good will enjoy a higher wage in that industry after trade. • These relationships imply that both countries have a cost advantage in production. Do Wages Reflect Productivity? • In the Ricardian model, relative wages reflect relative productivities of the two countries. • Is this an accurate assumption? • Some argue that low wage countries pay low wages despite growing productivity, putting high wage countries at a cost disadvantage. • But evidence shows that low wages are Productivity and Wages In 2000 Do Wages Reflect Productivity? • Other evidence shows that wages rise as productivity rises. After the Korean War, South Korea was one of the poorest countries in the world, and its labor productivity was very low. Even by 1975, average wages in South Korea were still only 5% of U.S. average wages. In 2000, South Korea’s labor productivity was 35% of the U.S. level and its average wages were about Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage (added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model Misconceptions About Comparative Advantage 1. Productivity and competitiveness Free trade is beneficial only if a country is strong enough to stand up to foreign competition But even an unproductive country benefits from free trade by avoiding the high costs for goods that it would otherwise have to produce domestically. High costs derive from inefficient use of resources. The benefits of free trade do not depend on absolute advantage, rather they depend on comparative advantage: specializing in industries that use resources most efficiently. Misconceptions About Comparative Advantage 2. The pauper labor argument Foreign competition is unfair and hurts other countries when it is based on low wages While trade may reduce wages for some workers, thereby affecting the distribution of income within a country, trade benefits consumers and other workers. Consumers benefit because they can purchase goods more cheaply. Producers/workers benefit by earning a higher income in the industries that use resources more efficiently, allowing Misconceptions About Comparative Advantage 3. Exploitation(剥削) Trade exploits a country and makes it worse off if its workers receive much lower wages than workers in other nations. While labor standards in some countries are less than exemplary compared to Western standards, they are so with or without trade. Are high wages and safe labor practices alternatives to trade? Deeper poverty and exploitation may result without export production. Consumers benefit from free trade by having access to Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage (added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model Comparative Advantage With Many Goods • Suppose now there are N goods produced, indexed by i = 1,2,…N. • The domestic country’s unit labor requirement for good i is aLi, and that of the foreign country is a*Li • Goods will be produced wherever it is cheaper to produce them. Comparative Advantage With Many Goods • Let w represent the wage rate in the domestic country and w* represent the wage rate in the foreign country. If waL1 < w*a*L1 then only the domestic country will produce good 1, since total wage payments are less there. Or equivalently, if a*L1 /aL1 > w/w* Comparative Advantage With Many Goods • Suppose there are 5 goods produced in the world: If w/w* = 3, if w/w* = 5 Comparative Advantage With Many Goods • If w/w* = 3, the domestic country will produce apples, bananas, and caviar, while the foreign country will produce dates and enchiladas. The relative productivities of the domestic country in producing apples, bananas, and caviar are higher than the relative wage. Fig. 3-5: Determination of Relative Wages P D L w/w* kinds L Comparative Advantage With Many Goods (cont.) • How is the relative wage determined? • By the relative supply and relative (derived) demand of labor services. • The relative (derived) demand of domestic labor services falls when w/w* rises. As domestic labor services become more expensive relative to foreign labor services, goods produced in the domestic country become more expensive, and demand of these goods and the labor services to produce them falls. fewer goods will be produced in the domestic country, further Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage (added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model Adding Transportation Costs and Non-traded Goods • The Ricardian model predicts that countries should completely specialize in production. • But this rarely happens for primarily three reasons: 1. More than one factor of production reduces the tendency of specialization (chapter 4) 2. Protectionism (chapters 8–11) 3. Transportation costs reduce or prevent trade, which may cause each country to produce the Transportation Costs and Non-traded Goods (cont.) • Non-traded goods and services (ex., haircuts and auto repairs) exist due to high transportation costs. Countries tend to spend a large fraction of national income on non-traded goods and services. Preview • • • • • • • • Absolute Advantage (added) The Concept of Comparative Advantage A One-Factor Economy Trade in a One-Factor World Misconceptions about comparative advantage Comparative Advantage with Many Goods Adding Transport costs and non-traded goods Empirical evidence on Recardian Model Empirical Evidence Fig. 3-6: Productivity and Exports Empirical Evidence • Do countries export those goods in which their productivity is relatively high? • The ratio of U.S. to British exports in 1951 compared to the ratio of U.S. to British labor productivity in 26 manufacturing industries suggests yes. • At this time the U.S. had an absolute advantage in all 26 industries, yet the ratio of exports was low in the least productive Empirical Evidence • Two principal do seem to be supported by the evidence Productivity differences play an important role in international trade It is comparative rather than absolute advantage that matters Summary • the concepts of opportunity cost and comparative advantage • Relative Prices • Trade in a One-Factor World(Figure3-3) • Comparative Advantage with Many Goods(Figure3-5) • Adding Transportation costs and non-traded