The ICFAI University 2006-32 Mahindra & Mahindra Limited “To Strive further than the farthest, to set new standards in performance and then break them to reach for the heights and then seek a new summit. It’s about winning and beyond.”1 – Keshub Mahindra, Chairman. Anand Mahindra, Vice Chairman and Managing Director of auto major Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (M&M) was in Nanchang, China in July 2005 to launch a 30 HP tractor, a product of Mahindra (China) Tractor Company. He addressed the first board meeting of Mahindra (China) Tractor Company during this visit. Mahindra (China) Tractor Company is an 80:20 joint venture with Jiangling Motor Corporation Group (JMCG). This meeting was held after the company acquired the tractor manufacturing assets of JMCG’s subsidiary – Jiangling Tractor Company (JTC). M&M agreed for a joint venture with the Chinese automaker JMCG mainly with the objective of having an access to one of the world’s most potential tractor markets – the Chinese tractor market is nearly 5 times the size of the Indian market. In a notice sent to the Mumbai Stock Exchange (BSE), M&M said that with this acquisition it would gain an advantage in China by gaining a strong manufacturing base, an existing distribution network besides having a complementary product range. Analysts believe that with this acquisition M&M would move closer to its ambition of emerging as ‘the world’s largest tractor maker’. The Chinese unit has the capacity to produce 12,000 tractors per annum. They also felt that this acquisition would not only enhance the global presence of M&M, but also reduce the company’s exposure to a volatile domestic market. As he moved on from Nanchang to Phuket, Thailand, Anand Mahindra spoke about his ‘dreams’ of turning M&M, the Rs.110 billion M&M group into a complete auto enterprise comprising twowheelers, cars, tractors, multi-utility vehicles, light commercial vehicles and heavy commercial vehicles. COMMERCIAL VEHICLES INDUSTRY – A PROFILE The Indian automobile industry crossed a significant landmark during the year 2003-04. Exhibit 1 provides information regarding sales growth of all commercial vehicles. The commercial vehicles are classified under: Medium, Heavy and Light commercial vehicles categories. All passenger vehicles are represented under commercial vehicles segment. The total sales (domestic plus exports) of all passenger vehicles – cars, utility vehicles and MUVs – touched the one million mark. Of the total sales, domestic sales accounted for 900,752 units and 129,316 units were exported. The growth rate of vehicles remained quite high in 2003-04 – it was 36.5 percent for commercial vehicles; it was 39.5 percent for the medium and heavy vehicles, and it was 32 percent for the light commercial vehicles. The two-wheeler industry of India is the largest in the world and is also expected to show high growth rate in the near future. Exhibit 2 provides the information regarding total investment in the commercial vehicles segment, which is crucial for high growth rate achieved during 2003-04. 1 Annual General Report 2003-04. M&M 2006-32 Exhibit 1: Commercial Vehicles Sales Growth (%) Source: Indian Industry: A Monthly Review, Center for Monitoring Indian Economy, December 2005. There was a discernible change in the rate of growth in the sales of the commercial vehicles for the quarter ended June 2005. The growth rate fell to 11.9 percent for this quarter. Industry experts felt that the 8.5 percent growth recorded by Tata Motors was a major factor for this slide. At the industry level, the profits however increased by 14.6 percent, with Ashok Leyland, Swaraj Mazda and Tata Motors reporting healthy increases in PBDIT. All these companies registered around 19 to 20 percent increases. Ashok Leyland planned to sell around 68,000 commercial vehicles during 2005-06, besides other plans to launch 20 new models, in both the passenger and goods segments. In the case of Tata Motors, despite higher profits, there was a 17.8 percent decline in sales volumes of its Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles. In the passenger car segment, the sales volumes were much lower in comparison with the earlier year’s figures. Among the major players, Eicher Motors alone recorded a decline in profits. Exhibit 4 provides further information regarding quarterly financials for the period ending September 2005, of a few players in the commercial vehicles category. Exhibit 2: Investment Statistics: Commercial Vehicles Project UnderImplementation Period New Projects (No.s) (Rs. Million) Total Investment (No.s) (Rs. Million) Oct., 2002 2 1,800.0 3 1,800.0 Jan., 2003 2 1,800.0 3 2,300.0 Apr., 2003 2 1,800.0 4 2,300.0 Jul., 2003 2 1,800.0 4 2,300.0 Oct., 2003 1 1,100.0 3 1,600.0 Jan., 2004 1 1,100.0 5 3,000.0 Apr., 2004 1 1,100.0 6 8,400.0 Jul., 2004 1 1,100.0 6 8,400.0 Oct., 2004 2 2,500.0 8 9,600.0 Jan., 2005 3 2,900.0 8 9,600.0 Apr., 2005 3 2,900.0 8 9,600.0 Jul., 2005 3 6,500.0 7 8,200.0 Oct., 2005 3 6,500.0 8 15,202.0 1 2 2 1 1,400.0 1,200.0 5,000.0 (No.s) (Rs. Million) Source: Indian Industry: A Monthly Review, Center for Monitoring Indian Economy, December 2005. The growth of the Indian commercial vehicles industry during the last decade brought about changes in the industry. These changes occurred both in terms of size and usage of sophisticated technologies. When the sector was thrown open to foreign direct investment in 1996, some global majors felt that it was the appropriate time to move into the country. In less than six years, by the 708 M&M 2006-32 end of the year 2002, General Motors, Ford, Honda, Hyundai, Mitsubishi and Toyota had established their manufacturing bases in India. The period has seen the launch of indigenous and foreign models of cars, Multi-Utility Vehicles (MUVs), commercial vehicles and also twowheelers. New launches of vehicles in the higher end of the truck segment are expected within the next 1 to 2 years. Two ‘Actros’ truck models are to be launched by Daimler Chrysler India during this year. These trucks would have payload capacities of 33 tonnes and 40 tonnes. Similarly, other companies: Hyundai Motors, and Toyota Motors are keen to introduce their products covering commercial vehicles segment. In the Indian market, Tata Motors is an important player. Its Indigo is the leader in the popular customer category while its Indica runs close to Hyundai’s Santro for the top position in the B category. In this scenario, M&M’s Scorpio has emerged as the major challenger to Toyota’s Qualis and leads the MUV/SUV segment. Industry circles feel that Ashok Leyland, Bajaj Auto, Piaggio and TVS Motors are observing the market and are waiting to launch their products. Exhibit 3 gives information regarding production, sales and exports of commercial vehicles for the period October 2004 to October 2005. Exhibit 3: Production, Sales and Exports of Commercial Vehicles between Oct. ’04-Oct.’05 Period Production (No.s) Production Sales (No.s) (% chg.) Sales (% chg.) Exports (No.s) Exports (% chg.) Oct., 2004 28,306 24.82 28,588 21.83 1,943 33.63 Nov., 2004 29,318 14.81 28,801 23.19 2,257 53.54 Dec., 2004 33,358 31.06 32,656 23.74 3,170 73.32 Jan., 2005 32,792 17.41 32,932 22.97 3,302 103.08 Feb., 2005 31,852 15.53 32,597 16.97 3,190 56.22 Mar., 2005 37,592 27.43 39,618 17.89 3,520 47.84 Apr., 2005 22,523 19,125 –9.17 2,246 76.57 May, 2005 29,382 10.43 26,191 4.53 2,645 63.98 June, 2005 28,965 10.91 29,610 14.38 2,575 13.04 July, 2005 32,087 15.05 27,283 8.96 3,452 60.11 Aug., 2005 31,409 25.10 31,117 19.75 3,614 33.26 Sep., 2005 33,418 21.76 35,430 16.74 3,693 42.97 Oct., 2005 36,726 29.75 35,054 22.62 3,391 74.52 Year Apr-Oct Apr-Oct Apr-Oct Apr-Oct Apr-Oct Apr-Oct 2004-05 18,5102 33.12 1,81,807 30.31 14,557 80.07 2005-06 21,4510 15.89 2,03,841 12.12 21,635 48.62 Year Apr-Mar Apr-Mar Apr-Mar Apr-Mar Apr-Mar Apr-Mar 3,50,033 27.27 3,48,387 25.52 29,949 71.80 2004-05 –5.36 Note: Sales include Exports Source: Indian Industry: A Monthly Review, Center for Monitoring Indian Economy, December 2005. For the customer, the increased demand coincided with improved quality of products offered at competitive prices. According to industry experts this changing automobile scene not only provided an element of success, but also infused a sense of confidence in the Indian commercial vehicle industry. They also believe that industry is geared to take up challenge posed by international auto majors. This air of optimism has encouraged carmakers to draw up plans to increase production capacities by as much as 44 percent over the next couple of years. 709 M&M 2006-32 Exhibit 4: Commercial Vehicles: Quarterly Financials (September 2005) Sales Company PBDIT PAT PBDIT/Sales PAT/Total Income (Rs. (G%) (Rs. (G%) (Rs. Million) Million) Million) (G%) Sep., Sep., Sep., Sep., 04 (%) 05 (%) 04 (%) 05 (%) 47813.1 15.34 5702.3 13.09 3378.7 9.27 12.16 11.93 7.33 6.98 Ashok Leyland 12500.9 36.66 1162.4 55.32 750.0 74.15 8.18 9.30 4.64 5.92 Eicher Motors 3529.5 –20.85 18.9 –76.1 6.89 0.54 2.30 –2.12 –12.82 0.69 –7.14 1.47 4.66 3.70 Tata Motors Force Motors 2442.3 72.28 Swaraj Mazda 1485.0 6.68 –93.85 16.9 105.0 37.5 –8.70 55.0 –15.38 8.26 7.07 G% = Growth Percentage: Growth is not calculated when figures are negative. Source: Indian Industry: A Monthly Review, Center for Monitoring Indian Economy, December, 2005. Major players in the commercial vehicle segment have drawn up plans for the future. Maruti Udyog Limited (MUL) intends to increase its capacity by installing a new plant. Tata Motors, Hyundai, Ford and Toyota are planning to expand their capacities. Toyota Motor Corporation of Japan has tied-up with mini-vehicle producer Daihatsu Motor Company and announced its plans to set-up a factory in India with a production target of 100,000 small cars effective from 2007. The project envisages investment of about 10 billion yen ($89 million). In India, Toyota already operates through a joint venture with the Kirloskar group. They have announced plans to build another plant near its present location at Bangalore. The German auto-maker Volkswagon AG, though embroiled in certain controversies, is still keen to enter India. At the same time, another two multi-national car majors – Suzuki of Japan and Hyundai of Korea – have drawn up schemes to utilize their manufacturing bases in India as a global source for small cars. Despite India’s emergence as the fastest growing passenger car market in the world, analysts observe that significantly, the output levels of the Indian automobile industry appear less prominent on the global scene. The Auto Component Sector Along with the growth in the commercial vehicles industry, the Indian auto components industry has also registered rapid growth to achieve global competitiveness. Analysts observe that while the automobile market will grow at a ‘steady’ pace, the auto components industry is poised for a take-off. This is one among the handful of industries in which India clearly has a competitive advantage. In fact when international companies such as Ford, GM, Hyundai, and Toyota set-up their bases in India in the 1990s, they successfully persuaded a few of their overseas component suppliers to setup their manufacturing facilities in India. In the ‘tooling’ segment, despite stiff international competition, the domestic industry grabbed the order for Toyota Kirloskar transmission plant. Amongst the Indian companies, TVS, for instance, spent $100,000 to rework on the engine developed by them instead of spending $1.5 million to import the engine from abroad. Sundaram Fasteners has successfully executed the task of supplying radiator caps to General Motors. As a result, the value of cumulative output of the auto components industry witnessed a sharp increase from just Rs.114.75 billion in 1996-97 to Rs.306.40 billion in 2003-04. Delphi in 1995, and Visteon in 1998 proved that there is a 30% reduction in costs for manufacturing their components in India. These companies exported back to their global factories such low-cost, high-quality components. This resulted in a sharp four-fold jump in exports from Rs.10.33 billion in 1996-97 to Rs.48 billion in 2003-04. The figures revealed by the Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMAI) indicate that investments by auto component manufacturers are expected to be around Rs.100 billion over the next five years. To reconfirm this point auto majors such as Hyundai, Maruti Udyog, and Toyota, have finalized plans to invest in the critical auto components sector also. 710 M&M 2006-32 Analysts conclude that going by these trends, next success story in India could be the auto component industry. This is substantiated by the fact that the size of the global auto component industry is roughly at $1 trillion and poised for further growth. McKinsey’s report about the industry’s exports in 2003-04 opines that this sector has the potential to increase exports from a level of $1.1 billion in 2004 to touch the level of $25 billion by 2015. The Government of India recognized the importance of this sector and has designated the auto component sector as a “Thrust Sector” under its Exim Policy. The Department of Commerce is geared up to promote exports of auto components devising a specific sectoral strategy. Significantly, outsourcing of auto components from countries like India has gathered momentum. Consequently, the estimates are that over the next 10 years the value of such exports would touch the US$ 225 billion mark. The Indian industry is optimistic of securing a market share of 10%. Effectively, it would work out to an export target of US$ 25 billion by 2015. Out of this amount, the share of the forging industry is expected to be about US$ 3 billion. Auto components industry would have to set apart at least US$15 billion as incremental investment to meet the demands of both domestic and international customers, and by the year 2015, this investment is expected to generate additional direct employment of 7,50,000 while providing indirect employment to 1.8 million people. Hence, the industry experts believe that the Indian auto component industry along with the forging industry is set to be positioned in the top slot internationally while it would emerge as a major driver of growth and employment within the country. The Forging Industry The forging industry – a component of the automobile industry, was in the grip of recession, which ended as slow recovery, started in October 2002. Due to recession, capacity utilization in the forging industry was only 40 to 50 percent, and it improved to 65-70 percent as recovery started. The production increased by 22% to reach approximately 550,000 tonnes for the year. The year 2003-04 proved to be good for the industry. The situation improved further as MNCs entered the domestic automobile market during the post-liberalization era in the 1990s. This also meant better business opportunities for the forging industry. The industry accounts for exports worth US$180 million. The growth of exports is impressive as growth rate of 30% over the previous year was registered. China, Europe and the US have emerged as major markets. Analysts observe that with the prospects of further growth in the industry, achieving higher export targets in future are realistic. Some Constraints The automobile industry needs to carefully watch out with regard to certain crucial inputs. The average international prices of Steel are expected to increase during the next year. Similarly, the prices of non-ferrous metals are also expected to go up. In the power sector, the call to review the Electricity Act, 2003, has created an element of uncertainty. Uncertainty in the price levels of oil and gas could create conditions of instability. THE COMPANY The year 2005 marked the 60th anniversary of M&M; and M&M looks upon this momentous milestone as significant as per Indian tradition. The multi-sector business conglomerate that the Mahindra Group is today had a humble beginning. It began as a 2-man partnership in the year 1945. The company that began its operations as a small jeep assembly unit developed into a manufacturing giant by the year 2003. At the same time, the company initiated plans to become a competitive player in the global market. Today, M&M is ready to take on the world. It is reaching out to China, Europe, the Middle East, USA, South America, Africa, and South Asia. Analysts say that this is the essence of the M&M spirit – “faith in our abilities and the belief that all things are possible”. 711 M&M 2006-32 Automotive Sector The Automotive Sector of M&M remains as a dominant player in the Multi-Utility Vehicles (MUV) segment. The company also entered the three-wheelers category. By the year 2005, the company witnessed expansion into new export markets. Malaysia, South Africa, UAE, and Uruguay emerged as new destinations. Keeping an eye on the growing passenger car segment, the company has inked a joint venture project with Renault, a famous French company, to introduce their new car, “Logan”, in India. Farm Equipment Sector The company achieved a major milestone in the year 2004, as it rolled out its 1 millionth tractor on 9th November 2004. A few factors such as better credit facilities, lower interest rates, and the Government of India’s favorable policies towards the agricultural sector contributed to the growth of the tractor industry reversing the negative trend of the earlier 2-3 years. The FY 2004-05 remains significant for the company during which period it launched two new tractors viz., 235 DI and 245 DI tractors. The unique feature of these models is that they are in the low HP segment, which improves the performance prospects of the company in this area. The year is also significant for the reason that the company maintained its market leadership for a phenomenally high consecutive period of 22 years. During March 2005, all the Farm Equipment Sector (FES) plants of the Company were awarded TS 16949 certification by Rheinisch Westfalischer Technischer Uberwachungsverein (RWTUV), Germany. TS 16949 certificate provides the specifications for quality system requirements of automotive related products with respect to their designing, development, production, installation and servicing. The year also marked the launching of an indigenously designed 75-HP model (7520) in June 2004. This “World Tractor” was targeted towards the US market. Another model 6520 was also launched in the United States. With these tractors, the company hopes to open a new customer segment and designed specially for the overseas market. Apart from the company’s major export markets – the United States and the SAARC countries: Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka – the company entered into new markets in Australia, China, and Serbia. As already mentioned earlier, the foray into China was marked by a joint venture with Jiangling Motors Co. aimed at making a faster entry into that growing market. The company’s international operations in Australia were launched through the opening of a branch office and assembly operations unit at Brisbane. Subsidiaries and Joint Venture During this year, Bristlecone Inc., Bristlecone Limited, Mahindra Engineering Design & Development Company Limited, Mahindra Industrial Park Limited, Mahindra Insurance Brokers Limited, Cayman Islands, Mahindra Middle East Electrical Steel Service Center (FZE), Mahindra & Mahindra South Africa (Proprietary) Limited, Mahindra Overseas Investment Company (Mauritius) Limited, and Mahindra SAR Transmission Private Limited became subsidiaries of the company. Mahindra Consulting Inc., ceased to be a subsidiary of the Company after it was merged with Bristlecone Inc. Additional subsidiaries added after the year-end period were: Mahindra Automotive Steels Private Limited, Mahindra-BT Investment Company (Mauritius) Limited, Mahindra (China) Tractor Company Limited and Mahindra Europe s.r.l.. Mahindra Ford India Limited, was initially a 50:50 joint venture with Ford Motor Company, USA (Ford). After the year 1998, this venture was renamed as Ford India Private Limited (FIPL), since M&M’s stake was diluted to 15.88% consequent to induction of more capital by Ford in FIPL. During the year under review, M&M divested its 15.88% stake in FIPL, for a consideration of Rs.1.35 billion. COMPANY’S INITIATIVES On the products front, M&M’s indigenously developed and built SUV Scorpio is its flagship in both the domestic and international markets. Since its launch in 2002, around 2,400 Scorpios are sold per month in the Indian market with an additional 250-300 units sold in the global markets of Malaysia, the Middle East, Greece, Italy, and South Africa. Auto analysts say that Anand Mahindra is well aware of the fact that if he wants to capitalize on the momentum created by Scorpio, then his 712 M&M 2006-32 brand buffet has to be enlarged to include a wider fare. As per plans made in year 2005, Scorpio could well be manufactured at Renault’s Dacia plant in Romania. Scorpio could then enter the developing European pockets utilizing Renault’s distribution network. Analysts say that as a majority stakeholder, M&M stands to gain in both the ventures. This is in stark contrast to its movement in the reverse gear during mid-’90s when it entered into a joint venture with Ford Motors. M&M has plans to manufacture medium and heavy commercial vehicles by the year 2008. M&M’s brands like Armada, Bolero, and Scorpio have positioned it as a market leader in the utility vehicle segment of passenger cars. Currently, M&M manufactures mini trucks, under the brand name ‘Loadking’, having a carrying capacity ranging between 3.5-6 tonnes. The company is also finalizing a modified variant of Loadking that will have a carrying capacity of upto 7.5 tonnes. In the passenger-bus coaches segment, the company manufactures coaches under the brand name ‘Tourister’. Industry analysts feel that Anand Mahindra, struck deals across the world in different areas such as manufacturing, marketing, and outsourcing, keeping an eye on auto-component units. According to Anand Mahindra, their aspiration is to build “a global household brand which is rugged, reliable and people-centric.” Pawan Goenka, President of M&M’s automotive sector echoed this sentiment when he said, “We can’t remain competitive without a global presence.” The company aims to become the “Land Rover of the Sports Utility Vehicle (SUV) market.” The company is pumping in Rs.12 billion for building extra capacities and rolling out new products. The plans are to make M&M ‘a global juggernaut’. The revenues are slated to touch $5 billion within the next three years ending 2008. The share of exports is expected to go up from the current 8 percent to 30 percent. M&M announced two high-profile joint ventures during the year 2005, and analysts said this reflected the company’s quest for portraying it as a global venture. Firstly, it decided to enter into 51:49 percent joint venture with Renault of France. Their plans are to introduce ‘Logan’, the midsized car into the Indian market by mid-2007. This project with a capacity to produce 50,000 cars per annum is estimated to cost Rs.7 billion. A new plant would be set-up in Nashik, Maharashtra where Logan would be manufactured. These cars shall sport Mahindra-Renault brand name. Secondly, M&M entered into an agreement with International Truck and Engine Corporation of the US to facilitate its entry into commercial vehicles manufacture having a higher cargo carrying capacity. For this diversification program, M&M is expected to invest about Rs.4 billion. (Refer Exhibit 5 for financial information). This 51:49 percent joint venture company, named, Mahindra International Private Limited would increase the current commercial vehicles capacity of 10,00015,000 units to 50,000 with this tie-up. According to the company sources, the necessary Research and Development (R&D) work for the project has already been initiated. The company’s plans are to achieve 90 percent indigenous status. While, M&M manufactures its LCVs at its Zaheerabad plant in Andhra Pradesh, the company plans to set-up a new factory for the manufacture of medium and heavy commercial vehicles. Along with an upgraded version of its LCV Loadking, the company expects to launch more products after 2005. The future looks bullish as more stretches of roads along the golden quadrilateral are expected to increase the market for higher tonnage vehicles. Exhibit 5: Financial Position at a Glance (Rupees in Million) Particulars 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 Gross Fixed Assets 281044 255927 248913 241677 223148 185992 161464 142653 114642 81314 Net Fixed Assets 147488 139160 146609 153723 148252 123199 109961 101741 81011 53835 Investments 118979 111115 86227 80013 71000 82299 81030 65596 60934 41444 Inventories 75983 49970 45675 46904 55253 51554 43697 51485 44716 38298 Debtors 51153 40048 51708 64778 63201 46158 59207 51657 20805 15550 Other Current Assets 104602 62476 63964 61554 52911 68373 80381 72998 72926 42624 Misc. Expenditure not written off 2438 964 3972 – 22361 15516 9684 5988 3623 1819 Long-term 94140 65203 107190 119180 79088 84481 133457 115147 95847 16809 Borrowings Short-term 11122 7778 6794 18526 34304 10886 13162 18363 6924 20976 Current Liabilities and Provisions 175180 132924 109478 105074 92704 90021 87027 81623 71559 61070 Deferred Tax Liability (Net) 18975 20325 17710 13790 – – – – – – Equity Capital 11601 11601 11601 11601 11049 11049 10337 10337 10179 10179 Reserves 189625 165902 145380 138801 195833 190662 139877 123995 99506 84536 Net worth 201226 177503 156983 150402 206882 201711 150214 134332 109685 94715 Book Value Per Share (Rupees) 168.35 149.15 130.56 128.26 165.50 166.90 134.14 122.29 102.20 *89.19 * Book value per share is shown after giving effect to a 2:3 bonus issues in February, 1996. Book value per share is calculated after reducing intangible assets, miscellaneous expenditure not written off and revaluation reserve from net worth. Source: M&M Annual Report 2005. 713 M&M 2006-32 Dividend The company announced dividend consistently from the year 2002 onwards. As the Exhibit 6 given below shows, the percentage has shown an upward trend. For the year, 2005, it has announced a dividend of 100% and a special dividend of 30% that aggregates to Rs.13 per share. This dividend would be paid to all the registered shareholders existing in the books of the company as on the date of book closure. Exhibit 6 Year Dividend Rate (%) 2002 50 2003 55 2004 90 2005 130 Source: M&M Annual Reports, 2001-02,03,04,05. INTERNATIONAL SCENE Mahindra (China) Tractor Company was set up in July 2005 as a joint venture between Mahindra Overseas Investment Company (Mauritius) Limited and Jiangling Motor Corporation Group. M&M took an 80% stake in the joint venture and agreed to contribute its share of $8 million out of the $10 million required for purchasing Jiangling’s tractor unit: Jiangling Tractor Company, while the remaining 20% would be held by Jiangling Motor Corporation. It has indicated that the purchase of Jiangling Tractor Company is subject to regulatory approvals and based on some undisclosed conditions. M&M, believed that this China deal would help the company to tap the tractor market in China, and also facilitate sourcing parts at competitive rates for its Indian and overseas manufacturing units. In its bid for the state-owned Romanian tractor company Tractorul SA, the largest tractor manufacturer in Romania, M&M found itself short-listed. The Romanian conglomerate MYO – who is also the bidder for Tractorul, is the competitor for M&M. It was originally planned that Tractorul would be auctioned after the failure of protracted negotiations with Landini the Italian company. As per indications, the Romanian government would negotiate directly with bidders for selling its 80 percent stake in Tractorul. While M&M is reported to have placed its formal bid with AVAS, (the government agency in charge of the privatization process in Romania), significantly another Indian company, the Tata group also evinced interest in a possible deal. Tractorul has the capacity to produce 18,000 tractors per year in the 26-100 HP category. Its unit in Brasov manufactures 24,000 diesel engines for tractors. The unit has a castings and forging capacity of 35,000 tonnes and 20,000 tonnes respectively. Currently, over 700,000 Tractorul machines are being used in Egypt, Iran, and Turkey. As compared to the Romanian tractor market, which sells only around 6,000 units per year, the Indian market appears attractive as 190,000 tractors were sold in India during the year 2003-04. Finance During the FY 2005, the company bought back debentures aggregating Rs.450 million and prepaid Sales Tax loan amounting to Rs.350 million and secured the benefits of an attractive discount rate. As a measure aimed at reducing its interest cost on the debt portfolio, the company utilized derivative instruments. Attempts were made to follow a prudent financial policy, aimed at improving the capital structure and debt protection levels. CRISIL Limited (CRISIL) upgraded the credit rating from AA to AA+ to the 6 outstanding debentures of the company. Fitch Ratings India Private Limited (FITCH) which revised the rating outlook from AA+ stable to AA+ positive also did a similar upgradation to the company’s outstanding debentures. The bankers’ consortium treats the company as a prime customer and facilities at prime pricing are also offered to the company. The year also marked the implementation of CFM-SAP financial module for loans and borrowings. This was aimed at ensuring integration in financial transactions, improving process efficiencies and providing value addition in MIS for decision-making. 714 M&M 2006-32 It was a scenario of an appreciating rupee and low interest rates in the international markets for the most part of the year. In response, the company utilized a combination of financial instruments aimed at protecting and maximizing export realizations. In May 2004, the company offered US$ 100 million FCCB to international investors. The bond was issued as a Zero Coupon instrument having a maturity of five years. Its redemption price of 117.5% would yield 3.25% till maturity. The prevailing share price at the time of the bond issue was Rs.472.30 and the conversion price was fixed at Rs.647.05. The funds raised from the bond issue are being used for capital expenditure projects, acquisitions outside the country and for other purposes. Stock Options The trustees of the Mahindra & Mahindra Employees’ Stock Option Trust granted 88,855 stock options to eligible employees during the year 2004-05. The decision to grant stock options was taken by the Remuneration/Compensation Committee, and communicated to the Mahindra & Mahindra Employees’ Stock Option Trust. The stock options were priced at a discount of 5.13% against the average of the daily high and low of the quotations for the company’s shares on the Mumbai Stock Exchange. The period considered for this purpose was fifteen days prior to the date of recommendation for granting options to all eligible employees. The number of options granted as at the end of March 2005 was 2,182,751. A total of 1,163,547 options were exercised and an amount of Rs.68,649,273 was received by the Trust. The number of options still in force is 875,647. The company management says that the personnel cost as a percentage of sales drops from 8.40% to 6.97% primarily due to the increase in productivity and activity levels. RISKS AND CONCERNS A demand was made on the company for payment of differential excise duty (including penalty) of Rs.30.41 billion. This order was passed on 30th March, 2005 by the Commissioner of Central Excise (Adjudication), Navi Mumbai. This pertained to an earlier demand during the years 19911996 with regard to the classification of the company’s Commander range of vehicles. The matter is under legal scrutiny. It is expected that more stringent legislation on pollution and emission requirements will enhance production costs for the Automotive Sector. There would be a conflict of choice between maintaining the price line and increasing the prices. The Farm Equipment Sector foresees risk due to a weakening of the dollar. M&M is expected to take appropriate steps to mitigate this risk. The banking sector provides loans to 90% of the total tractors purchased. There is a threat that any pressure on banks on the Non-Performing Assets (NPA) front could affect the credit availability for tractors. Further, in comparison to the interest rates for housing and car loans, the interest rates on tractors are not competitive. Any further increase of interest rates could affect the farmers. Other issues of concern are the rising input costs and an uncertain monsoon. NEW PRODUCTS M&M launched three-wheeler ‘Champion Alfa model’ in the 0.5 tonne-payload segment in the month of August 2004. It was priced around Rs.110,000. M&M also announced the launch of pick-up, the Maxx Pik Up Flat Bed. It targets the commercial and entrepreneur segments. There is a view from industry experts that M&M is seeking ‘to traverse the safe path’. Critics say that Anand Mahindra is a ‘safe player’, while the route followed by him is ‘more strategic than patriotic’. The example of Tatas, who produced an indigenous car, is mentioned while at the same time it is also mentioned that M&M seeks to fulfill its ambition to become a full-fledged auto-maker by ‘piggybacking’ on foreign tie-ups. The threat perceived by such critics is that India would then be turned into a launch-pad for foreign entrants. This could well mean that such foreign players could even sound death-knell for M&M itself. M&M did indeed consider the option of making its own car, which however was dropped for certain reasons. M&M is however in no mood to replicate the Tata model for cars. Instead, Anand Mahindra believes that his group is ‘a niche player’. As a result, the company retains the ability to be ‘nimble, agile and focussed’ in “building a global brand DNA”. 715 M&M 2006-32 A SUBSIDIARY M&M floated the subsidiary, Mahindra Automotive Steels Private Limited (MASPL) for auto components business. MASPL, acquired the Chakan unit of Amforge Industries Limited. As per the terms of agreement, the merger of Amforge Industries’ forging unit in Chakan with MASPL was done in April 2005 at a swap ratio of 1:1. The Amforge shareholders were entitled to get one share of Mahindra Automotive for every share held. The swap ratio for the merger was approved by the Board of Directors of both Mahindra Automotive and Amforge Industries Limited. Exhibit 7 Source: M&M Annual Report 2005. Further, the shareholders of Amforge were also entitled to receive one 4 percent non-cumulative, redeemable non-convertible preference share of Mahindra Automotive for every share held. The face value of each preference shares was at Rs.31. In the post-merger scenario, Amforge shareholders were entitled to hold 52.89 percent of the equity of Mahindra Automotive, while M&M would control the remaining 47.11 percent. The auto ancillary unit of M&M would be listed on the stock exchanges. The Mahindra Automotive shares are expected to be listed on those stock exchanges where Amforge is also listed. Exhibit 7 provides information about the movement of M&M scrip on Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). Information regarding the movement of the scrip in BSE, National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Luxembourg Stock Exchange are given in Exhibit 8 below. Exhibit 8 Equity Shares The Stock Exchange, Mumbai High Rs. Low Rs. April, 2004 497.00 May, 2004 497.75 June, 2004 460.00 July, 2004 525.95 September, 2004 463.60 October, 2004 464.90 November, 2004 498.00 December, 2004 558.00 January, 2005 565.00 February, 2005 573.80 March, 2005 560.00 Source: M&M Annual Report 2005. 716 457.25 360.00 409.50 429.15 405.50 410.00 435.00 483.00 471.25 525.10 467.05 GDRs National Stock Exchange High Rs. Low Rs. 497.00 497.50 457.40 525.00 471.50 468.00 495.00 553.40 563.00 573.50 562.00 457.25 405.90 405.90 429.25 405.60 410.20 426.25 484.20 471.80 458.60 463.85 Luxembourg Stock Exchange High US$ Low US$ 11.00 10.70 9.70 11.20 9.50 9.88 10.41 12.50 11.45 12.65 12.15 10.80 10.03 9.40 9.97 8.85 9.25 10.04 11.00 11.45 12.11 11.68 M&M 2006-32 After the merger, and as per the terms of the merger agreement, M&M infused Rs.1.28 billion into its auto ancillary subsidiary as equity. The plans are that the auto ancillary subsidiary will grow into an integrated forging and machining unit. MASPL would manufacture gears, sheet metal and composites, and a machining unit too was proposed to be set-up. The forging business of the Chakan unit that manufactures crankshafts and connector rods, could perhaps establish it as one of the largest integrated forging companies in India. M&M also formed Mahindra Systems and Automotive Technologies (MSAT), a company for manufacturing auto components. This company has acquired on the domestic front, a 51 percent stake in the Rajkot-based SAR Transmission Private Limited for a consideration of Rs.14 billion. This joint venture called STPL would be engaged in the production of automobile gears and transmissions. This acquisition aimed at strengthening M&M’s presence in the gear components business. After MSAT had acquired the 36000 tonne Chakan unit of Amforge in April there were reports that it is likely to buy Ramakrishna Forgings, which is a Rs.84 billion, Kolkata based forging company, which has a 25,000 tonne capacity plant in Jamshedpur. Ramakrishna Forgings, reportedly, were scouting for a strategic partner. This company is a family-owned business. The control of the Jalan family is to the extent of 55% with the rest held by the public and financial institutions. The turnover of the company for the year ending March 2005 was Rs.85 billion. The company earned a net profit of Rs.50 million during this period. As per the projections, the sales and net profit are expected to go up to Rs.1.4 billion and Rs.12 billion, respectively, by the end of FY 2006. Speculation about the possible deal with M&M was fueled after noticing a rising trend in the share price of Ramakrishna Forgings. The share price of Ramakrishna Forgings rose markedly by 37%, from Rs.67 to Rs.91.65 on a single day (intra-day it went up to Rs.95). M&M showed an increase by 2.12 percent as it moved to Rs.692.30. The company had also shown good performance in increased tractor sales. The scrip was in great demand in the market following the publication of the company’s first quarter results ending June 2005. Answering to queries an M&M official said, “We do not comment on speculative reports” while an official of Ramakrishna Forgings said, “As of now, nothing is happening.” Press reported that the talks failed between Ramakrishna Forgings and M&M. The negotiations were apparently stalled due to differences in valuation between what the promoters of Ramakrishna Forgings expected and what M&M offered to pay. M&M desired that it needs a 51% controlling interest to enable the consolidation of the companies with the parent. In this scenario, M&M remains aggressive as it looks around for buyouts both in India and abroad. As part of this exercise, it remains active as it conducts talks with auto component manufacturers particularly in India, China, and Germany. The question then is whether it is sustainable? Anand Mahindra sounds positive and states that he is rather building an off-shoring business. His confidence is reflected in his belief ‘I am not the M&M of the 1990s’. 717 M&M 2006-32 ANNEXURE I Profit & Loss Account: Summary Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Rs. Million (Non-Annualized) Mar. 2000 Mar. 2001 12 mths Mar. 2002 Mar. 2003 Mar. 2004 Mar. 2005 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths Income Sales 43190.8 42761.8 39345.4 44982.5 58870.9 76495.2 Other income 1258 1133.3 900.9 1210.2 1342.7 1895.4 Change in stocks 871.1 365.3 –597.2 -333 90.1 1620.4 375 293.2 375 899.2 695.1 459.7 22851.6 23626.5 20159.2 23942.6 32758.8 46127.1 3975.7 4098.1 3726.4 3845.8 4254.5 4687.8 433.1 472 408.3 440.1 456.4 526.4 7873.2 7696.6 6914.9 8017.5 9745.6 10735.8 613.8 1060 1214.1 1178.7 1739.7 2016.8 Non-recurring income Expenditure Raw materials, stores, etc. Wages & salaries Energy (power & fuel) Indirect taxes (excise, etc.) Advertising & marketing expenses Distribution expenses 460.3 531 784.1 775.2 1148.4 1680.4 3371.8 3434.5 3277.9 3662 4002.2 5583.9 Less: Expenses capitalized 267.4 264.4 174.9 196.1 167.3 352.9 Non-recurring expenses 230.8 85.6 158.8 305 328 105.2 9360.2 Others Profits/ Losses PBDIT Financial charges (incl. lease rent) PBDT Depreciation PBT Tax provision PAT 6152 3813.7 3555.3 4788.1 6732.5 1414.5 1127.2 1156.4 1159 769.3 302.4 4737.5 2686.5 2398.9 3629.1 5963.2 9057.8 1232.7 1400.9 1393.8 1658.8 1661.5 1846.8 3504.8 1285.6 1005.1 1970.3 4301.7 7211 870 80 36 515 896.5 2150 2634.8 1205.6 969.1 1455.3 3405.2 5061 674.5 669.7 562.1 719.8 1177.9 1719.6 1960.3 535.9 407 735.5 2227.3 3341.4 Appropriation of profits Dividends Retained earnings Source: CMIE. 718 M&M 2006-32 ANNEXURE II Liabilities Liabilities: mfg. cos. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Rs. Million (Non-Annualized) Mar. 2000 12 mths Mar. 2001 12 mths Mar. 2002 12 mths Mar. 2003 12 mths Mar. 2004 12 mths Mar. 2005 12 mths Net worth 20171.1 20688.1 15040.1 15698.3 17750.4 20122.6 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 1750 Issued equity capital Authorized capital 1104.8 1104.8 1160.1 1160.1 1160.1 1160.1 Paid-up equity capital 1104.8 1104.8 1160.1 1160.1 1160.1 1160.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 546 546 546 546 546 546 Buyback amount 0 0 0 0 0 0 Buyback shares (nos.) 0 0 0 0 0 0 19066.3 19583.3 13880 14538.2 16590.3 18962.5 17344.4 17762.8 11651.8 12616.6 15157.5 17886.8 Share premium reserves 8154.8 8148.5 3612.9 3518.9 2520.8 1714.5 Other free reserves Preference capital Bonus equity capital Reserves & surplus Free reserves 9189.6 9614.3 8038.9 9097.7 12636.7 16172.3 Specific reserves 1542 1653.1 2067 1766.5 1284 932.5 Revaluation reserves 179.9 167.4 161.2 155.1 148.8 143.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 9536.4 11338.9 13770.5 11398.3 7297.8 10525.9 744.5 2152 3180.5 2409.1 3299.5 2349 744.5 2152 1388.4 229.6 1477.6 1084.3 Accumulated losses Borrowings Bank borrowings Short-term bank borrowings Long-term bank borrowings Financial institutional borrowings Govt./sales tax deferral borrowings Debentures/bonds Fixed deposits Foreign borrowings Borrowings from corporate bodies Group/associate cos. 0 0 1792.1 2179.5 1821.9 1264.7 3120 2198 1415.3 1776.7 2003.4 2478.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 5313.1 6700.1 8704.1 6760.3 1575.1 1055.1 242.1 211.3 332.2 422.9 395.4 247.7 0 0 0 0 0 4374 102 67 32 27 24 21.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Borrowings from promoters/directors 0 0 0 0 0 0 Commercial paper 0 0 100 0 0 0 Other borrowings 14.7 10.5 6.4 2.3 0.4 0.3 Secured borrowings 8367.5 8917.7 11551 9241.6 4852.3 3368.2 Unsecured borrowings 1169.1 2421.4 2219.7 2156.9 2445.7 7157.9 Current portion of long-term debt 216.3 606 1031.1 1275.6 1782.3 920.7 Total foreign currency borrowings 0 0 1792.1 2179.5 2941.2 5879.8 Deferred tax liabilities Current liabilities & provisions Current liabilities Sundry creditors Interest accrued/due 0 0 2136.6 2374 2327.3 2287.8 9002.6 9292.1 10509.4 10948 13041.7 17359.4 7583.1 7989.7 8335.2 8915 10098.9 12521.1 7394.6 7611.3 7851 8516.8 9347.2 11865 169.1 153.5 462 368.4 159.2 129 719 M&M 2006-32 Liabilities: mfg. cos. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Rs. Million (Non-Annualized) Creditors for capital goods Mar. 2000 12 mths Mar. 2001 12 mths Mar. 2002 12 mths Mar. 2003 12 mths Mar. 2004 12 mths Mar. 2005 12 mths 0 0 0 0 0 0 19.4 224.9 22.2 29.8 592.5 527.1 Share application money 0 0 0 0 0 0 Advance against WIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 1419.5 1302.4 2174.2 2033 2942.8 4838.3 Other current liabilities Provisions Tax provision Dividend provision 0 0 0 0 223.7 373.2 607.7 607.7 562.1 638.1 1044.1 1508.1 Dividend tax provision 66.8 62 0 81.7 133.8 211.5 Other provisions 745 632.7 1612.1 1313.2 1541.2 2745.5 38710.1 41319.1 41456.6 40418.6 40417.2 50295.7 Bills discounted 163.3 443.4 891.3 577.7 1127.5 1224 Disputed taxes 1083.5 1201.3 455.3 464.9 5649 5199.2 Letters of credit 0 0 0 0 0 0 1213.2 1846.6 1004.2 455 729.8 478.4 9.5 35.6 26.5 14.5 3.1 0 3049.9 1781.6 589.1 390.8 639.6 908.6 Total liabilities Contingent liabilities Total guarantees Future lease rent payable Liabilities on capital account Source: CMIE. 720 M&M 2006-32 ANNEXURE III Assets Assets: mfg. Cos. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Rs. Million (Non-Annualized) Mar. 2000 12 mths Mar. 2001 12 mths Mar. 2002 12 mths Mar. 2003 12 mths Mar. 2004 12 mths Mar. 2005 12 mths Gross fixed assets 18589.3 22332.8 24170.7 24909.7 25391.8 27828.3 Land & building 2741.8 3142.7 3437.2 3784.9 3834.5 3993.9 13490.7 15599.6 16348.6 19638.7 20154.7 21422.3 1289.4 Plant & machinery Other fixed assets 728.7 847.4 897.6 947.6 1003.1 Capital WIP 1628.1 2743.1 3487.3 538.5 399.5 1122.7 Less: Cummulative depreciation 6269.3 7489.7 8795.5 10230.4 11658.2 13268.4 Net fixed assets 12320 14843.1 15375.2 14679.3 13733.6 14559.9 Revalued assets 179.9 167.4 161.2 155.1 148.8 143.2 8230.1 7121.3 8003.1 8622.7 11111.5 12322.5 4542.3 4831.7 5755.7 5724.2 8144.1 9182.5 0 112.6 356.3 320.1 634.9 1662.9 Other investments 3687.8 2177 1891.1 2578.4 2332.5 1477.1 Marketable investment 2729.5 1194 1371.2 48.8 1393.1 2449.1 637.3 637.3 634.4 0 672.1 672.1 Quoted investment 2729.5 1831.3 1014.9 48.8 758.2 786.2 Market value of quoted investment 2272.6 646.6 406.1 12.1 351.8 1718.4 Investments In group/associate cos. In mutual funds In group/associate cos. Deferred tax assets 0 0 757.6 603 294.8 390.3 Inventories 5155.5 5525.4 4690.4 4567.4 4997 7598.3 Raw materials and stores 1981.3 1985.8 1740.2 1950.2 2276.9 3257.8 1613.9 1627.6 1431.2 1670.4 2013.1 2953.7 367.4 358.2 309 279.8 263.8 304.1 2883 3124.2 2487.8 2251.9 2479.1 4219.6 2525.1 2830.9 2261.6 2016.5 2145.8 3746.6 357.9 293.3 226.2 235.4 333.3 473 291.2 352.2 399.2 0 0 0 Stock real estate 0 63.2 63.2 365.3 241 120.9 Stock of shares/securities 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other stock 0 0 0 0 0 0 8799 10147.1 10724.3 9140.3 7648.4 8735.5 4615.8 6320.1 6477.8 5170.8 3993.9 5112.8 477.4 670 722.1 710.3 813.1 585.3 64.8 48.2 29.9 28.6 37.7 22 762.9 747.7 770.3 1142.2 853.4 415.7 762.9 747.7 770.3 718.1 283.6 256 0 0 0 424.1 569.8 159.7 Raw materials Stores and spares Finished and semi-finished goods Finished goods Semi-finished goods Incomplete construction contracts Receivables Sundry debtors Debtors exceeding six months Accrued income Advances/loans to corporate bodies Group/associate cos. Other cos. Deposits with govt./agencies 28.6 14.9 29.6 5.2 4.7 3.1 188.8 499 643.8 673.6 982.7 1065.3 Other receivables 3138.1 2517.2 2772.9 2119.9 1776 2116.6 Cash & bank balance 2653.9 1446.1 1906 2408.7 2333.1 6239.8 Cash-in-hand 1189.8 1062.3 1224.2 1269.3 1423.4 1623.4 Bank balance 1464.1 383.8 681.8 1139.4 909.7 4616.4 1551.6 2236.1 0 397.2 298.8 449.4 0 0 0 0 202.3 205.6 1551.6 2236.1 0 397.2 96.5 243.8 0 0 0 0 0 0 381.1 423.9 0 193 92.8 210.7 Advance payment of tax Intangible/DRE not written off Intangible assets (goodwill, etc.) DRE not written off Share issue expenses not written off VRS expenses not written off Other misc. expenses not written off Total assets 1170.5 1812.2 0 204.2 3.7 33.1 38710.1 41319.1 41456.6 40418.6 40417.2 50295.7 Source: CMIE. 721 M&M 2006-32 ANNEXURE IV Cash Flow Cash flow: mfg. cos. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Rs. Million (Non-Annualized) Net profit before tax & extra ord. items Add: Depreciation Interest payable Gain or loss on forex transactions Write offs/amortization Profit on sale of investments Profit on sale of assets Interest income Dividend income Other income/provision adjustments Cash flow before working cap. changes Trade receivables Mar. 2000 12 mths Mar. 2001 12 mths Mar. 2002 12 mths Mar. 2003 12 mths Mar. 2004 12 mths Mar. 2005 12 mths 3469 1437.8 983.8 1393.8 4087.1 7006.2 1232.7 1400.9 1393.8 1654.4 1652 1840.5 1414.5 1127.3 1156.4 1159 769.3 302.4 10.2 18.3 65.6 77 65.7 -9.9 273.4 206.6 132.9 87.2 30.3 17.7 –204.4 –79.1 –31.4 –65.1 –52.1 –8.4 60 –39.4 13.9 36.3 40.3 15.7 0 0 -638 0 0 0 –555.9 –754.9 0 –877.3 –829.8 –1104.7 2.3 0 –19.5 30 0.5 –7.9 5701.8 3317.5 3057.5 3495.3 5763.3 8051.6 1099.6 –1761.7 –164.8 1646.6 1138.8 –1829.2 –1033.1 –369.9 842.7 122.9 –393.2 –2601.3 985.6 49 –158.5 1019.2 1598.5 2490.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 6753.9 1234.9 3576.9 6284 8107.4 6111.3 Direct taxes paid –742.9 –390.2 –175.1 –152.8 –720.5 –2083.1 Dividend tax paid 0 –66.8 –62 0 –81.8 –133.8 6011 777.9 3339.8 6131.2 7305.1 3894.4 –795.8 –951.8 –2487.4 –693.4 –8.3 –236.2 Cash flow from operating activities 5215.2 –173.9 852.4 5437.8 7296.8 3658.2 Net cash used in investing activities –1552.3 –953.4 –1440.5 –545.9 –1011.4 –1743 –2550 –3639.1 –1950.4 –1160.1 –932.2 –2692.7 Sale of fixed assets 41 37.1 50.1 183.7 59.9 61.5 Acquisition/merger of cos. 85 0 0 0 76.8 0 –13179.2 –5758.6 –7922.3 –14647.2 –29907.5 –35763.2 Inventories Trade payables Others Cash flow from operations Cash flow before extra ord. items Extraordinary items Purchase of fixed assets Purchase of investments Sale of investments 13483.4 6967.6 8059.2 14448.6 28765 35143.6 Project expenses 0 0 0 0 0 0 Loan to group/subsidiary cos. 0 679.6 0 0 0 0 Loan to other cos. 0 0 –342.3 –200 122.5 487.7 Interest received 249.7 510.8 357 241.9 274.7 315 Dividend received 317.8 249.2 308.2 587.2 529.4 705.1 Other investing activities Net cash used in financing activities Proceeds from share issues Proceeds from long-term borrowings Proceeds from short-term borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 –4116.6 –62.3 1059.6 –4383.9 –6357.5 2058.4 0 0 325.9 0 0 0 302.7 4015.3 6504.5 2745.9 1853.6 5593.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 Repayment of long-term borrowings –2243.6 –2217.9 –4132.4 –5283.5 –6592.5 –2160.8 Repayment of short-term borrowings 0 0 0 0 0 0 Share issue expenses 0 0 0 0 0 0 Interest paid –1546 –1255.7 –1033.5 –1286.7 –982 –332.5 Dividend paid –629.7 –604 –604.9 –559.6 –636.6 –1042 0 0 0 0 0 0 Net cash flow –453.7 –1189.6 471.5 508 -72.1 3973.6 Opening cash balance 3065.6 2611.9 1422.3 1897.4 2405.4 2333.3 Closing cash balance 2611.9 1422.3 1893.8 2405.4 2333.3 6306.9 Other financing activities Source: CMIE. 722 M&M 2006-32 ANNEXURE V Key Ratios Profitability Ratios: Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. March 2002 March 2003 March 2004 March 2005 Percent (Non-Annualized) 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths 12 mths Margins ratios (%) As % of gross sales PBIT (NNRT) 4.94 5.64 7.99 9.36 PBT (NNRT) 2.01 3.06 6.68 8.96 PAT (NNRT) 1.91 1.91 5.16 6.15 Operating cash flow 9.09 13.97 13.77 7.99 As % of net sales PBIT (NNRT) 6 6.86 9.58 10.89 PBT (NNRT) 2.43 3.72 8.01 10.43 PAT (NNRT) 2.32 2.33 6.18 7.16 Operating cash flow 11.03 17 16.5 9.29 Corporate tax as percent of PBT 3.58 6.24 14.76 29.82 Returns ratios (%) As % of total assets PBIT (NNRT) 4.92 6.35 12 16.26 PAT (NNRT) 1.9 2.16 7.75 10.69 As % of net worth PBIT (NNRT) 11.73 16.89 28.81 38.45 PAT (NNRT) 4.54 5.74 18.61 25.28 As % of capital employed PBDIT (NNRT) 12.22 15.69 25.65 34.31 PBDT (NNRT) 7.99 11.35 22.55 33.15 PBIT (NNRT) 7.12 9.48 18.95 27.27 Appropriation of profits (as % of PAT) Dividends 58 49.46 34.59 33.98 Equity dividends 58 49.46 34.59 33.98 Preference dividends 0 0 0 0 Retained profits 42 50.54 65.41 66.02 Dividends/net worth 3.39 4.79 7.22 9.24 Equity dividends/equity capital 49.64 62.05 101.53 148.23 Equity dividends/equity cap. & sh. prem. 8.01 15.23 28.18 52.46 NNRT: Net of Non-recurring Transactions Source: CMIE. 723 M&M 2006-32 ANNEXURE VI Option Price of M&M as on 6.01.2006 Instrument Underlying Type OPTSTK M&M OPTSTK M&M OPTSTK M&M Expiry Date 25 JAN. 2006 25 JAN. 2006 25 JAN. 2006 Number Turnover Underlying Option Strike Last of in Type Price Price Contracts Value Rs. lakh Traded CA 520.00 13.70 11 73.44 512.55 CA 500.00 24.30 11 71.88 512.55 CA 540.00 6 41.14 512.55 8.00 The closing price of M&M as on 6th February was Rs.212.00. Source: www.nseindia.com 724 M&M 2006-32 ANNEXURE VII Weekly Movement of M&M Share Price and Nifty Date M&M Closing Price Nifty Closing 5-Apr-04 472.55 1856.6 12-Apr-04 472.95 1838.2 19-Apr-04 466.5 1844.05 27-Apr-04 463.65 1817.25 3-May-04 451.65 1766.7 10-May-04 490.25 1769.1 17-May-04 393.8 1388.75 24-May-04 475.4 1608.85 31-May-04 423.05 1483.6 7-Jun-04 444 1542.55 14-Jun-04 439.55 1481.35 21-Jun-04 432.15 1482 28-Jun-04 436.7 1514.35 5-Jul-04 458.85 1526.85 12-Jul-04 501.35 1556.95 19-Jul-04 465.05 1571.6 26-Jul-04 446.6 1618 2-Aug-04 447.1 1639.05 9-Aug-04 446.2 1642.6 16-Aug-04 426.15 1599.15 23-Aug-04 411.7 1578.2 30-Aug-04 424.5 1628.45 6-Sep-04 444.75 1644 13-Sep-04 439.85 1675.2 20-Sep-04 449.2 1728.8 27-Sep-04 436.3 1717.5 4-Oct-04 452 1805.65 11-Oct-04 444.1 1807.75 18-Oct-04 424.4 1786 25-Oct-04 418.55 1757.25 1-Nov-04 448.05 1797.75 8-Nov-04 451.3 1862.8 16-Nov-04 470 1879 22-Nov-04 468.5 1873.35 29-Nov-04 492.2 1939.65 6-Dec-04 501.6 1993.15 13-Dec-04 509.45 1985.35 725 M&M 2006-32 Date M&M Closing Price 20-Dec-04 525.5 2026.85 27-Dec-04 546.2 2062.6 3-Jan-05 556.45 2115 10-Jan-05 518 1982 17-Jan-05 489.45 1932.9 24-Jan-05 481.6 1909 31-Jan-05 540.1 2057.6 7-Feb-05 539.45 2055.1 14-Feb-05 562.05 2098.25 21-Feb-05 531.75 2043.2 28-Feb-05 537.2 2103.25 7-Mar-05 557.3 2160.1 14-Mar-05 531.35 2146.35 21-Mar-05 509.15 2096.6 28-Mar-05 479.5 2029.45 Source: www.nseindia.com 726 Nifty Closing M&M 2006-32 Reference 1. Center for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE). 2. www.indiainfo.com 3. www.domain.com 4. www.mahindra.com 727 M&M 2006-32 Model Question Paper Read the case carefully and answer the following questions: 1. Perform Michel Porter Industry Analysis of the Indian automobile industry. 2. Perform the SWOT Analysis of Mahindra and Mahindra Limited (M&M Ltd.). 3. Based on the financial statements provided in the Annexures, perform ROA analysis for M&M Ltd. for the past four years and comment on the same. 4. Analyze the factors affecting the demand and supply of the Automobile Industry. How the Automobile Industry performed in 2004-05 and what is the future outlook for the Industry? 5. What is difference between Strategic alliance and a Joint Venture? What is the rationale behind joint venture between M&M Ltd. and Jiangling Motor Corporation? Based on the Task-related criteria, do you think Jiangling is a right partner for M&M Ltd.? 6. What do you mean by Bankruptcy Cost? Calculate the Altman’s Z score for M&M for the financial year 2005 and interpret the same. Assume the market price of M&M share is Rs.502 and the outstanding number of shares is 235.5 million. 7. What does an Optimal Capital Structure mean? According to you, what is the main reason for changes in the capital structure of M&M in 2004-05? Comment on the company’s profitability, flexibility, control and solvency in relation to the Capital Structure. 8. What are the features of International Quasi-instruments and describe the types of international bonds? What factors, according to you, support M&M’s decision to access International Capital Markets through FCCBs? 9. Describe the Gordon Model and its assumptions. Is the share price movement of M&M Ltd. in the right direction taking implications drawn from the Gordon Model into consideration? 10. Describe and relate Efficiency Theories of mergers and acquisitions. How can you relate the Pure Diversification theory and Synergy theory to M&M’s merger and acquisition activity? 11. What are the different types of Employee Stock Option Plans (ESOP)? Under which category does the M&M’s Ltd. ESOP falls and why? Calculate the number of options lapsed. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages for M&M Ltd. by using ESOP. 12. Suppose an Investor is interested to invest in options market; he believes that in the next six months, market will not move significantly in either direction. He wants to create an option strategy to get the benefits from his view and at the same time he wants to minimize his potential loss in case of market moving against his expectations. Using the information from the pay-off table given, you are required to suggest a suitable option strategy and prepare the payoff table for the strategy and find the maximum profit/loss and breakeven point(s) for such a strategy. 728 M&M 2006-32 13. Calculate the intrinsic value of the equity of M&M Ltd. as on 01.04.2005 as per the details given below and in Annexure VII. The growth rate in the dividends will be 10% for the next 5 years and 8% thereafter. The face value of M& M share is Rs.10 and risk free rate is 5.5%. The market price as on 01-04-2005 is Rs.505.75. And the book value per share as on 31st March, 2005 is Rs.168.35. 729 M&M 2006-32 Suggested Answers 1. Michael Porter Analysis of Indian Automobile Industry Threat of Entry • There is no evidence that the existing players are enjoying considerable economies of scale in the industry. • Though some players are differentiating with product differentiation, it should not be a major entry barrier as the industry is open to global players who have fantastic technical know-how. • This is a capital intensive industry. Huge capital is required to enter into the industry. • Access to distribution channels may be a barrier to entry. However, the new entrants are handling this problem through joint ventures. Overall, the entry barriers in the industry may be moderate for a domestic company. However, it may be concluded that these barriers are low if any global players intend to enter. Intensity of Rivalry among Existing Players With the size and use of sophisticated technologies and the increasing demand, the intensity of competition among the existing players in the industry is high. As a result of this, the quality of the products is improving and the margins are coming down. Bargaining Power of Buyers The entry of global majors in Indian Automobile industry and the improvement of domestic players on the technology development front enable the launch of several indigenous and foreign models of cars, Multi-Utility Vehicles (MUVs), commercial vehicles and also two-wheelers With many players and models available in the market, the bargaining power of buyers ranges from moderate to high in different segments. Bargaining Power of Suppliers Auto component sector and forging industry have taken off in India and many players are entering into this sector to take advantage of India’s competitive advantage in terms of low cost auto components. Simultaneously, demand for auto components is also increasing. Hence, the bargaining power of suppliers is low to moderate. Threat of Substitute Products Though the industry is offering various models at fairly attractive prices, rising oil and gas prices may force the public look for alternatives such as traveling by public transport, railways and other means. 2. SWOT Analysis for M&M Ltd. Strengths 730 • The company’s ability to make the products with world-class quality setting up benchmarks for its counterparts. • Being a dominant player in MUV segment and the leader in farm equipment sector in the domestic market, M&M is able to access these segments of potential world markets through joint ventures, and mergers and acquisitions. • Usage of sophisticated technologies resulted in the ability of the company to develop special products that could tap some overseas markets. • Procurement of auto components at competitive rates for all its manufacturing plants. • The company can raise funds from capital markets, both domestic and international, with relative ease. • Top management with strategic view. M&M 2006-32 Weaknesses • Over dependence on the buyers of tractors on bank loans and the unimpressive interest rates may affect the company’s tractor sales. • The inexperience of the company and strong competition from major players in the medium and heavy commercials segment and heavy trucks. • The deals struck by the company across the world in different areas to exploit both scale and synergies in auto components may get affected if any regulatory changes take place in those countries. • Any increase in the import duty on auto components will increase the cost of the same for the company affecting the cost advantage. Opportunities • The high growth potential of automobiles, auto component business and forging business create lot of business opportunities. • The existing small portion of output levels of the Indian Automobile Industry, when compared to the global industry, creates opportunities for the industry to prove its worth. Threats 3. • Globalization attracts large investments and technologies into the industry leading to economies of scale and product differentiation. This is a threat to small and medium players in the industry. • With recent surge in international crude oil prices, people are looking at the alternative means of travel such as trains, etc. This may adversely affect the road transportation and in turn commercial vehicles segment. DU PONT Analysis It is important to examine a firm’s rate of Return on Assets (ROA) in terms of profit margin and asset turnover. The profit margin measures the profit earned per Rupee of gross revenue, but does not consider the amount of assets used for generating revenue margin ratio. Return on assets = Net profit/sales Total assets/sales = Net profit margin x Total asset turnover When analyzing a change in return on assets, the analyst could look into the above equation to see changes in its components: net profit margin and total assets turnover. PAT (Rs.cr.) Sales (Rs.cr.) Total Assets (Rs.cr.) Net Profit margin (%) Total assets turnover ratio Return on Assets (%) March 2002 96.91 3934.54 4145.66 2.46 0.949 2.33 March 2003 145.53 4498.25 4041.86 3.24 1.113 3.61 March 2004 340.52 5887.09 4041.72 5.78 1.457 8.42 March 2005 506.1 7649.52 5029.57 6.62 1.521 10.07 Both net profit margin and total assets turnover contributed to the increase in ROA from 2002 to 2005. ROA calculation keeping NPM constant: 2002 2.33% 2003 2.74% 2004 3.58% 2005 3.74% ROA calculation keeping Assets Turnover constant: 2002 2.33% 2003 3.07% 2004 5.49% 2005 6.28% Hence, M&M’s ability to turnover the assets contributed more to an increase in the Return on Assets. 731 M&M 4. 2006-32 Fundamental Analysis Factors Affecting the Demand • Availability of number of models of passenger cars, commercial vehicles, Multi Utility Vehicles and two-wheelers. • Use of sophisticated technology to improve the quality of the products to meet the fast changing requirements of the customers. • Fairly reasonable prices. • Increase in the prices of oil and gas. Factors Affecting the Supply • Entry of global majors into the industry after globalization. • Availability of low-cost auto components. • Changes in the international prices of steel, non-ferrous metals. • Intensity of competition and profit margins in the industry. Performance of the Industry in the FY 2004-05 • The industry has recorded an impressive growth with commercial vehicles posting a growth of 25.5% over 2003-04. However, this growth is below the growth recorded in 2003-04(36.7%). • There is great activity in auto component sector as there are huge investments in this sector. Also, the forging industry achieved fantastic improvement in capacity utilization. • The exports of commercial vehicles in 2004-05 surged 72%. However, the profit margins are not that great with some of the players recording low or negative growth in profit after tax. Future Outlook 5. • The capital expenditure increased in the industry, which is a good sign of development in the industry. It indicates that the players in the industry are optimistic about the future growth. • With its fascinating cost advantage, India’s auto component sector is attracting huge investments into the industry. This is an indication that India, in no time, may become the global hub for automobile manufacturing. • Imminent increase in the international steel prices and non-ferrous metals prices, the cost of production may go up forcing the companies either to increase the prices of the products or to sacrifice the bottomline. • This will lead to enhanced competition among the players and price wars may be expected. Ultimately, the consumers will be benefited out of this. However, the demand may be affected with uncertainty in the prices of oil and gas. Strategic Alliance and a Joint Venture • A strategic alliance is simply a business-to-business collaboration where two or more corporates share resources, capabilities or distinctive competencies to achieve some business purpose. • On the other hand, in a joint venture, two or more organizations set-up a separate, independent organization for strategic purposes. Such partnerships are normally focused on a specific market objective. An organizational entity usually is not created with a strategic alliance, whereas it often is in a joint venture. Rationale behind the JV with Jiangling Motor Corp. • 732 M&M’s JV with Jiangling enables M&M to enter into one of the world’s most potential markets for tractors, China. M&M 2006-32 • It is apparent that M&M’s share in technology and production facilities (M&M agreed to pay $8 million to acquire tractor manufacturing assets of the company) are substantial while Jiangling shares its distribution channels in China. • M&M’s manufacturing units will have access to parts at competitive rates as a result of this joint venture. • M&M’s cost of production will come down. • This JV achieves diversification of risks from the volatile domestic market. • The organizational learning will improve and will form the basis for new partnerships and collaborations in the future. Right Partner Apparently, M&M’s strategic goal in the farm equipment is to emerge as ‘the world’s largest tractor maker’. In pursuing this ambition, it is spreading its wings across different export markets. In this regard, Jiangling may be a right partner for the following reasons, M&M will have – 6. i. Access to the Jiangling’s production capacity of 12,000 tractors per annum. ii. Access to local market knowledge. iii. The advantage of the marketing/distribution channels of Jiangling. iv. Access to parts at competitive prices. v. Access to regulatory knowledge of China, etc. Meaning of Bankruptcy A firm is said to be bankrupt if it is unable to meet its current obligations to the creditors. Bankruptcy may occur because of a number of external and internal factors. Calculation of Altman’s Z-score: Z = 1.2X1 + 1.4 X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + 1.0X5 Z = Discriminant Score X1 = Working Capital/Total assets = X2 = Retained earnings/Total assets = 1896.25/5029.57 = 0.377 X3 = EBIT/Total assets = 751.34/5029.57 = 0.1494 X4 = Market value of equity/Book value of debt = 11822.1/1052.59 = 11.23 X5 = Sales/Total assets = 7649.52/5029.57 = 1.521 Where, 2541.3 − 1735.94 = 0.1601 5029.57 Interpretation of Z-score: If Z-score for a firm is less than 1.81, the firm is likely to go bankrupt. If Z-score is more than 2.99, it is regarded as a healthy company. The range between 1.81 and 2.99 is treated as an area of ignorance. As the Z-score is more than 2.99, M&M is healthy. Note: i. Working Capital = Current Assets – Current Liabilities. ii. Current assets include marketable investments, deferred taxes, inventories, receivables and cash balances. iii. Current liabilities include provisions. iv. Book value of debt is borrowings. v. Retained earnings are cumulative reserves and surplus. Z = (1.2 x 0.1601) + (1.4 x 0.377) + (3.3 x 0.1494) + (0.6 x 11.23) + (1.0 x 1.521) = 9.47 733 M&M 7. 2006-32 Optimal Capital Structure The objective of any company is to mix the permanent sources of funds used by it in a manner that will maximize the company’s market price. In other words, companies seek to minimize their cost of capital. This proper mix of funds is referred to as the Optimal Capital Structure. Main Reason for Changes in Capital Structure of M&M: Buyback of high cost debentures and issuing of FCCB. As FCCBs are issued as Zero coupon bonds, these are generally not included in debt for the purpose of calculating debt-equity ratio. Effects of the Decrease in the Capital Structure in this Case are: 8. • The company’s degree of leverage has been low. It can improve the profitability if it increases the debt portion in the capital structure. • M&M’s capital structure looks flexible, as the company has been able to raise funds and retire debts whenever it becomes costly. • The control of the company will not be diluted much with changes in the capital structure, as the equity portion is more in the capital structure. • M&M’s solvency is healthy with its ability to meet its obligation in terms of principal and interest payments of debt. Quasi-instruments These instruments are considered as debt instruments for a time frame and are converted into equity at the option of the investor (or at company’s option) after the expiry of that particular time frame. The examples of these are: Warrants, Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs), etc. International Bonds are Classified broadly under Two Categories: i. Foreign Bonds: These are the bonds floated in the domestic market denominated in domestic currency by non-resident entities. For example, Dollar denominated bonds issued in the US domestic markets by non-US companies are known as Yankee Bonds. ii. Euro Bonds: The bonds issued and sold outside the home country of the currency. For example, a dollar denominated bond issued in the UK is a Euro (dollar) bond; similarly, a Yen denominated bond issued in the US is a Euro (Yen) bond. Supporting Factors for Issuing FCCBs in Case of M&M: 734 • Currency Requirements: The Company was in the need of foreign currency for capital imports and overseas acquisitions. • Pricing: The low interest rates prevailing in the international market and Indian stock market performance could have encouraged the company for issuing FCCBs at low interest rates and reasonable conversion premium. • Investment: The company had plans for expansion and acquisition. Also, the company’s financials in terms of capital structure changes in the preceding years support its decision. • Depth of International Market: Relatively larger issues can be floated, marketed and absorbed in international markets more easily in the domestic markets. • International Positioning: This FCCB issue will position M&M with higher visibility and exposure in the international markets to achieve its ambition of becoming world’s largest tractor maker. • Investment Climate: International investors are looking at India as their destination with country risk coming down. This also could have encouraged M&M’s decision of issuing FCCBs. M&M 9. 2006-32 Gordon Model and its Assumptions The Gordon Model values the share by capitalizing its future stream of dividends. This model maintains that the growth rate of a firm is a product of its retention ratio and the return on its investments. The assumptions of the model are: • The firm is a going concern and has a perpetual life span. • The only source of finance available to the firm is retained earnings. The firm does not have any alternative means of financing. • The cost of equity and the return on investment are constant throughout the life of the firm. • The cost of equity is greater than its growth rate. Applying Gordon Model to M&M Cost of equity (k) = (D1/P0) + g Arithmetic average growth of dividends for the preceding years = 39.35% Next expected dividend (D1) = D0 (1 + 0.3935) = 13 + 1.3935 = Rs.18.12 Retention ratio (b) = Retained earnings/Total earnings = 334.14/506.1 = 0.66 Return on investments = EBIT/Total assets = 751.34/5029.57 = 14.95% Growth rate (g) = Retention ratio x Return on investments = 0.66 x 14.95 = 9.87% Therefore, cost of equity = (18.12/502) + 0.0987 = 13.50% The following implications can be drawn from the Gordon Model: i. When the cost of equity exceeds the return on investment, the pay-out ratio should rise to increase the market price. ii. When the cost equity equals the return on investment, the changes in the pay-out ratio will have no impact on the market price. iii. When the cost of equity is less than the return on investment, the pay-out ratio should be reduced to increase the market price. The pay-out ratio of M&M: Year Pay-out Ratio (%) 2002 58.00 2003 49.50 2004 34.60 2005 33.98 In M&M’s case, the cost of equity is less than the return on investment and the company has been reducing the pay-out ratio. The company is doing right on the basis of Gordon Model. 10. Efficiency theories of mergers suggest that Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As) provide a mechanism by which capital can be used more efficiently and that the productivity of the firm can be increased through economies of scale. These theories are: i. Differential Efficiency: If the management of firm ‘A’ is more efficient than the management of firm B, and if firm ‘A’ acquires firm ‘B’, the efficiency of firm ‘B’ is likely to be brought up to the level of firm ‘A’. As per the theory, this increased efficiency of firm B is attributed to the merger. ii. Inefficient Management: The management of one company simply is not performing up to its potential. Another control group is in a position to manage the assets of the firm more effectively. Inefficient management simply represents management that is incompetent in the complete sense. iii. Synergy: In mergers, this means the ability of a combination of two firms to be more profitable than the two firms individually. a. Financial Synergy: The impact of a corporate merger or acquisition on the costs of capital to the acquiring or the combining firm refers to financial synergy. 735 M&M 2006-32 b. Operating Synergy: The operating synergy theory of mergers state that economies of scale and economies of scope exist in an industry and that before a merger takes place, the levels of activity at which the two firms operate are insufficient to exploit these economies. Operating economies of scale are achieved through horizontal, vertical and conglomerate mergers. For instance, expensive equipment in manufacturing firms should be utilized at optimum levels to decrease the cost per unit of output. iv. Pure Diversification: Diversification through mergers is commonly preferred to diversification through internal growth, given that the firm may lack internal resources or capabilities required. v. Costs and Benefits of Merger: When a company say ‘A’ acquires, another company say ‘B’, then it is a capital investment decision for company ‘A’ and it is a capital disinvestments decision for company ‘B’. Thus, both the companies need to calculate the Net Present Value of their decisions. vi. Strategic Realignment to Changing Environments: The strategic realignment theory suggests that firms use the strategy of M&As as ways to rapidly adjust to changes in their external environments. Strategic planning as studied earlier is concerned with the firm’s environment and its constituencies, and is not just an operating decision. M&M’s Pure Diversification Strategy: M&M, through its mergers and acquisitions in India, particularly in the auto component and forging sectors, looks like diversifying through mergers. We can relate pure diversification theory and synergy theory to M&M’s M&A activity. The company acquired Amforge Industries Ltd. and SAR Transmission for achieving economies of scale in the auto parts sector. These acquisitions will also enable M&M to manufacture a wide range of auto components with possible economies of scale, which means the company is following pure diversification theory. 11. Employee Stock Ownership Plans can be divided into two categories: i. Leveraged In a leveraged ESOP, companies borrow to purchase their own shares and then make a contribution to the ESOP that is used to pay the principal and interest on the loan. Leveraged ESOPs are of more interest as a vehicle for Leveraged Buy-outs (LBOs). In a leveraged ESOP, the ESOP or its corporate sponsor borrows money from a bank or other qualified lender. The company usually gives the lender a guarantee that it will make contributions to the trust and this enables to amortize the loan on schedule; or, if the lender prefers, the company may borrow directly and make a loan back to the ESOP. If the leveraging is meant to provide new capital for expansion or capital improvements, the company will use the cash to buy new shares of stock in the company. If the leveraging is being used to buy-out the stock of a retiring owner, the ESOP will acquire those existing shares. If the leveraging is being used for divesting a division, the ESOP will buy the shares of a newly created shell company, which in turn will purchase the division and its assets. ESOP financing can also be used to make acquisitions, buy-back publicly traded stock, or for any other corporate purpose. ii. Unleveraged On the other hand, unleveraged ESOPs do not borrow. The firm contributes stock or cash to the ESOP Trust every year. Employees receive stock or cash when they retire or leave the firm, according to a vesting schedule. The employees pay nothing. ESOP holds stock for employees and periodically notifies them on how much they own and how much it is worth. Based on the above, it can be said that M&M’s ESOP is an unleveraged ESOP. 736 M&M 2006-32 Number of options granted (A) = 21,82,751 Number of options exercised (B) = 11,63,547 Number of options in force (C) = 8,75,647 Therefore number of options lapsed = A – B – C = 1,43,557. Advantages of ESOPs for M&M • The company is apparently using ESOPs for increasing productivity levels and has successfully been achieving by reducing the personnel cost as percentage of sales with improved performance of the company. • The company, however, will receive the tax benefits from ESOPs. • Though the company has received around Rs.7 crore from ESOP, apparently the company’s main purpose of issuing ESOP is not for raising finance, as the company is capable of raising huge amounts of capital from the capital markets. Disadvantages of ESOPs for M&M • ESOP implementation is expensive and time-consuming. • If the trustees of the ESOP are also the business’ owners, they may occasionally face a conflict of interest between their duties to act in the best interests of the ESOP and their duties as directors and/or officers of the company. 12. Current stock price = Rs.512.55 The appropriate strategy is long butterfly spread. We could create a long butterfly spread by buying one call option each at strike prices Rs.500 and Rs.540 and selling two call options at the intermediate strike price Rs.520. Initial investment = 24.30 + 8 – (2 ´13.70) = 4.9 Pay-off Table Stock Price Long Call (Rs.500) Long Call (Rs.540) Short Calls (Rs.520) Initial Outflow Net Pay-off 480 0 0 0 4.9 –4.9 490 0 0 0 4.9 –4.9 500 0 0 0 4.9 –4.9 510 10 0 0 4.9 5.1 520 20 0 0 4.9 15.1 530 30 0 –20 4.9 5.1 540 40 0 –40 4.9 –4.9 550 50 10 –60 4.9 –4.9 560 60 20 –80 4.9 –4.9 570 70 30 –100 4.9 –4.9 580 80 40 –120 4.9 –4.9 Therefore maximum possible profit = Rs.15.1 Maximum possible loss = Rs.–4.9 Break-even points are Rs.504.9 and Rs.535.5 737 M&M 2006-32 13. Nifty Closing M&M Nifty 5-Apr-04 472.55 1856.6 Y X XY X2 12-Apr-04 472.95 1838.2 0.085 –0.991 –0.084 0.982 19-Apr-04 466.5 1844.05 –1.364 0.318 –0.434 0.101 27-Apr-04 463.65 1817.25 –0.611 –1.453 0.888 2.112 3-May-04 451.65 1766.7 –2.588 –2.782 7.199 7.738 10-May-04 490.25 1769.1 8.546 0.136 1.161 0.018 17-May-04 393.8 1388.75 –19.674 –21.500 422.976 462.234 24-May-04 475.4 1608.85 20.721 15.849 328.405 251.184 31-May-04 423.05 1483.6 –11.012 –7.785 85.727 60.607 444 1542.55 4.952 3.973 19.677 15.788 14-Jun-04 439.55 1481.35 –1.002 –3.967 3.976 15.741 21-Jun-04 432.15 1482 –1.684 0.044 –0.074 0.002 28-Jun-04 436.7 1514.35 1.053 2.183 2.298 4.765 5-Jul-04 458.85 1526.85 5.072 0.825 4.187 0.681 12-Jul-04 501.35 1556.95 9.262 1.971 18.259 3.886 19-Jul-04 465.05 1571.6 –7.240 0.941 –6.813 0.885 26-Jul-04 446.6 1618 –3.967 2.952 –11.713 8.717 2-Aug-04 447.1 1639.05 0.112 1.301 0.146 1.693 9-Aug-04 446.2 1642.6 –0.201 0.217 -0.044 0.047 16-Aug-04 426.15 1599.15 –4.494 –2.645 11.886 6.997 23-Aug-04 411.7 1578.2 –3.391 –1.310 4.442 1.716 30-Aug-04 424.5 1628.45 3.109 3.184 9.899 10.138 6-Sep-04 444.75 1644 4.770 0.955 4.555 0.912 13-Sep-04 439.85 1675.2 –1.102 1.898 –2.091 3.602 20-Sep-04 449.2 1728.8 2.126 3.200 6.802 10.238 27-Sep-04 436.3 1717.5 –2.872 –0.654 1.877 0.427 452 1805.65 3.598 5.132 18.469 26.342 11-Oct-04 444.1 1807.75 –1.748 0.116 –0.203 0.014 18-Oct-04 424.4 1786 –4.436 –1.203 5.337 1.448 25-Oct-04 418.55 1757.25 –1.378 –1.610 2.219 2.591 1-Nov-04 448.05 1797.75 7.048 2.305 16.244 5.312 8-Nov-04 451.3 1862.8 0.725 3.618 2.625 13.093 Date 7-Jun-04 4-Oct-04 738 Weekly Returns M&M Closing Price M&M 2006-32 Date M&M Closing Price Weekly Returns Nifty Closing M&M Nifty 16-Nov-04 470 1879 4.144 0.870 3.604 0.756 22-Nov-04 468.5 1873.35 –0.319 –0.301 0.096 0.090 29-Nov-04 492.2 1939.65 5.059 3.539 17.903 12.525 6-Dec-04 501.6 1993.15 1.910 2.758 5.268 7.608 13-Dec-04 509.45 1985.35 1.565 –0.391 –0.612 0.153 20-Dec-04 525.5 2026.85 3.150 2.090 6.585 4.369 27-Dec-04 546.2 2062.6 3.939 1.764 6.948 3.111 556.45 2115 1.877 2.540 4.767 6.454 10-Jan-05 518 1982 –6.910 –6.288 43.452 39.544 17-Jan-05 489.45 1932.9 –5.512 –2.477 13.654 6.137 24-Jan-05 481.6 1909 –1.604 –1.236 1.983 1.529 31-Jan-05 540.1 2057.6 12.147 7.784 94.555 60.593 7-Feb-05 539.45 2055.1 –0.120 –0.122 0.015 0.015 14-Feb-05 562.05 2098.25 4.189 2.100 8.796 4.409 21-Feb-05 531.75 2043.2 –5.391 –2.624 14.144 6.883 28-Feb-05 537.2 2103.25 1.025 2.939 3.012 8.638 7-Mar-05 557.3 2160.1 3.742 2.703 10.113 7.306 14-Mar-05 531.35 2146.35 –4.656 –0.637 2.964 0.405 21-Mar-05 509.15 2096.6 –4.178 –2.318 9.684 5.373 28-Mar-05 479.5 2029.45 –5.823 –3.203 18.651 10.258 0.205 0.283 1223.383 1106.168 3-Jan-05 X and Y are dependent and independent variables. In this case, Y = M&M share price, X = Nifty, and n = number of observations which is taken as 52. The regression equation is: Y= a + bX We will get Beta value by calculating the value of b b= Σ XY − nXY Σ X2 − n X2 Substituting the values that are calculated above in the formula: b = 1.11 and hence β of M&M = 1.11 Cost of equity can be calculated = 11.23% 739 M&M 2006-32 Dividend Discount Model: Dividend calculation using the expected growth rate Year ending March 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Beyond 2010 Dividend (Rs.) 14.30 15.73 17.30 19.03 20.94 22.62 14.30 15.73 17.30 19.03 20.94 22.62 + + + + + (1 − 1123) (1 − 1123) 2 (1 − 1123)3 (1 − 1123)4 (1 − 1123)5 (0 − 1123 − 0 − 08) (1 − 1123)5 = 12.86 + 12.71 + 12.57 + 12.43 + 12.3 + 411.32 Price as per DDM = Rs.474.19 P0 = 0.65 PDDM + 0.20 × Pbook value + 0.15 X Pmp Where, PDDM = Price as per the DDM Pbook value = Price as per the book value Pmp Market Price. = The Pbookvalue and Pmp are given as Rs.168.35 and Rs.505.75 respectively. Applying the above formula, P0 = Rs.417.75 The intrinsic value of equity of M&M is Rs.417.75 per share. 740 M&M 2006-32 NOTES 741 M&M NOTES 742 2006-32 M&M 2006-32 NOTES 743 M&M NOTES 744 2006-32