Cluster Analysis of the Apple Orchard Industry in Yakima, WA Region By: Heidi Leonard Raymond Leonard Aziz Allaberganov Faisal Alhelal Abdullah Alnasser BADM 585 Strategic Competitiveness & Economic Development Professor Harm-Jan Steenhuis, Ph.D. 16 March 2014 1 Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary............................................................................................................................................................ 3 2. Introduction ......................................................................................................................................................................... 3 3. Yakima County Regional Analysis ..................................................................................................................................... 4 3.1. Economic Conditions .................................................................................................................................................. 4 3.2. Economic Performance .............................................................................................................................................. 5 3.3. Competitive Assessment of Yakima County ............................................................................................................... 6 3.4. Socio-Economic Context ............................................................................................................................................ 6 3.4.1 Tax Rates ............................................................................................................................................................ 6 3.4.2. Role of State and Federal Laws ......................................................................................................................... 7 3.4.3. Education Systems ............................................................................................................................................. 7 3.5. Diamond Model Analysis: Determining the Quality of the Regional Business Environment ....................................... 7 3.5.1. Factor Conditions................................................................................................................................................ 7 3.5.2. Context for Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry ............................................................................................... 8 3.5.4. Demand Conditions ............................................................................................................................................ 8 3.6. State of Regional Cluster Development...................................................................................................................... 9 Table 1. Traded Cluster Employment, Employment Share and Location Quotient by MSA (Select Clusters) Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSAs, 2010 ............................................................................................................................ 9 3.7. Sophistication of Regional Operations and Strategy ................................................................................................ 10 3.8. Key issues impacting competitiveness ..................................................................................................................... 10 3.9.1. Employment policy............................................................................................................................................ 11 3.9.2. Infrastructure..................................................................................................................................................... 11 3.9.3. Value added industry ........................................................................................................................................ 11 4. Apple Cluster Analysis..................................................................................................................................................... 11 Diagram 1. Apple Production Value System............................................................................................................... 13 Diagram 2. Apple Orchard Industry Relationships...................................................................................................... 13 4.1. History of the Yakima Apple Cluster ......................................................................................................................... 13 Diagram 3. Traded Cluster Relationships ................................................................................................................... 14 4.2. Apple Cluster Performance ...................................................................................................................................... 14 4.2.1. Global Demand and Production........................................................................................................................ 14 4.2.2. Domestic Demand and Production ................................................................................................................... 15 4.2.3. Direct Employment ........................................................................................................................................... 15 Table 3. Calculated Estimated Washington Supported/Generated Employment in other Industries as a result of Annual Median and Average Seasonal Apple Orchard Workers 2011-2013 (Top Ten) ............................................. 17 Table 4. Calculated Estimated Washington Supported/Generated Employment in other Industries as a result of Annual Median and Average Seasonal Apple Orchard Workers 2011-2013 (Bottom Ten) ........................................ 17 4.3. Mapping the Yakima Apple Cluster .......................................................................................................................... 18 Diagram 4. Yakima Apple Cluster............................................................................................................................... 19 4.4. Apple Cluster Analysis (Diamond Model) ................................................................................................................. 19 4.4.1. Factor Conditions.............................................................................................................................................. 19 Table 1. Apple Cluster Harvest Median Wages 2007-2011........................................................................................ 20 4.4.2. Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry............................................................................................................... 22 Chart 1. Orchard Category/Service, Employee Size and Revenue Profiles 2014 ...................................................... 23 4.4.3. Related and Supporting Industries ................................................................................................................... 23 Table 2. Apple Orchard Related and Supporting Industry Jobs in Yakima, WA MSA ................................................ 23 4.4.4. Demand Conditions .......................................................................................................................................... 24 4.5. Key issues impacting Competitiveness .................................................................................................................... 24 2 4.6. Policy Recommendations ......................................................................................................................................... 25 4.6.1. Maintain R&D.................................................................................................................................................... 25 4.6.2. Focused Marketing on the Industry, not the Fruit ............................................................................................. 25 4.6.3. Business Education for Apple Orchard Farmers .............................................................................................. 25 5. Exhibits. ........................................................................................................................................................................... 26 Exhibit 1. Major Employers in the Yakima Area, 2012................................................................................................ 26 Exhibit 2. Yakima, WA MSA Employment by Traded Cluster, 2010 ........................................................................... 26 Exhibit 3. Utilized Non-citrus Fruit Production in the U.S. 2012 .................................................................................. 27 Exhibit 4. U.S. Domestic and Internationally Traded Share of Utilized Apple Production 2000-2012 ........................ 27 Exhibit 5. WA and NY, Bearing, Yield and Value 2010-2012 ..................................................................................... 27 Exhibit 6. Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSA Clusters: Overall Composition and Wages 2010 .......................... 28 Exhibit 7. Yakima, WA and Rochester MSA Employment by Traded Agriculture Subcluster, 2010 ........................... 28 Exhibit 8. Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSA Wages by Agricultural Products Subcluster, 2010 ......................... 28 Exhibit 9. Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSA, Share of National Employment by Selected Cluster and Subcluster 1998-2010. ................................................................................................................................................................. 29 Exhibit 10. Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas Counties) Apple Orchard Workers as a Percentage of Regional and WA State Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 ............................................................................................................................... 30 6. References ...................................................................................................................................................................... 32 1. Executive Summary Apples are the biggest cash crop for Washington State, with the Yakima Valley dominating both production and exports locally and nationally. Acknowledging the inherent limitations of a commodity based economy, it would still be foolish to disregard the importance (and development) of this traded commodity cluster to this state’s budget. This paper utilizes Dr. Michael Porter’s cluster theory and principles to analyze the apple orchards regional affect in the agricultural cluster, identify its problem areas and opportunities for growth. A comparison with Wayne County, NY (the second largest apple producing U.S. county) is made in order to contrast important cluster dimensions, and reveals that Washington has done well in capitalizing on its natural endowments but runs the risk of repeating the mistakes made by the historically established apple cluster. The paper’s recommendations are aimed towards the Yakima County Development Association and the WA Apple Commission and explore added universal value through continued infrastructure development, better employment practices, valueadded food processing/manufacturing and targeted marketing efforts. Implementing these concepts would greatly enhance not only the apple industry but strengthen all industries in the cluster and foster an environment where other clusters could be developed. 2. Introduction Anybody familiar with basic principles of business can attest to the continued critical importance of the three “L’s” for any particular enterprise or industry: Location, Location, Location. Traditional economic theory frequently uses “inherited” factors like location (as well as quantity and quality of land, natural resources, labor pool, population, etc.) as a measurement for the potential comparative advantage of a particular region. Yakima has all those important things in abundance to support a thriving apple production industry. Yet when we begin to talk about more than just a single enterprise a different perspective is required. When the complex interactions between businesses in an industry or between industries together in a region are added to the conversation, we begin to talk about “clusters”. Although “clusters” will be looked at in depth later in this document it is important for now to know that a key aspect of cluster theory is that prosperity is created not “inherited” (Porter, 2008). It is the capacity for innovation and improvement that drive the prosperity of a region, not simply fertile fields or rich mines. More than growing a delicious apple, it is the interaction between growers, processors, transporters, sellers, and the government that generates real wealth. Consider the poverty of many of the diamond producing countries in Africa versus the wealth of resource-poor Singapore for a stark example of this principle at work. Therefore if prosperity is found through innovation and upgrade, then the obvious question is one of how to improve. The PDCA (Plan, Act, Check, Do) cycle is an established method for change (improvement) that is often used with “lean principles” (Tague, 2004). Appropriately it all starts with a plan which is developed after data analysis. It is data analysis where this paper starts and it will conclude with a plan. Apples are the biggest cash crop for Washington State and Yakima is the largest producer of apples in the state (and in the nation) and therefore apples and Yakima are the specific focus below. This paper concludes with innovative suggestions for improvement influenced by application of cluster theory. It remains for the participants in the cluster to decide if they will “Act”, “Check”, and ultimately “Do”. Like the above introduction, the analysis below begins with “location, location, location”. 4 In order to build context in the data Wayne County, NY is juxtaposed with Yakima Valley in Washington. Wayne County was chosen specifically because it the second largest apple producing region in the nation with almost 100 more years of development than Yakima. Periodically comparison is additionally made between Yakima, the state and the national average in order to further establish context and theoretical potential. 3. Yakima County Regional Analysis Yakima County is located in the central region of Washington State. Seattle (15th largest MSA in the nation), Portland (104th largest MSA in the nation) and Spokane (100th largest MSA in the nation) are all within a three hour drive from the heart of Yakima County. The second largest county (by land area) in Washington at 4,296mi2, Yakima County’s current population is estimated at just over 245,000 people, with a varied history of growth spurts since 1970, alternating between 18-19% and just over 9% population increase every other decade (Census, 1960-2010). With a population density of only 56 people per square mile there is plenty of space for development, even though 35% of the county is dedicated to tribal lands. Washington State Office of Financial Management projects growth to increase to 363,341 persons by 2030 (WA OFM, 2012), almost half again the population from the 2010 census. Serious development in Yakima began relatively recently when federal funds were allocated to begin irrigation projects in the early 1900s. Unsurprisingly given the vast land area and fertile ground, initial development and population growth centered on agriculture. While the Yakima County Development Association lists current key industries as Logistics and Distribution, Food Processing, Industrial Machinery and Supplies, Business and Professional Services Health and Medical Industry and Aerospace (YCDA, 2014), the region’s performance cannot be separated from its agricultural base or significant government presence in the area. In contrast to Washington, New York agriculture began sinking its roots nearly a century prior to Yakima beginning in the early 1800s. Wayne County is approximately 1/7th the size (in square miles) of Yakima county with three times the population density. Located on the NW border of New York on Lake Ontario, it is considered part of the Rochester area, the 51st largest MSA in the nation. It is within two hour drive of Buffalo, NY (49th largest MSA in the nation) three hour drive of Albany, NY (61st largest MSA in the nation) and five hours of New York, NY (the largest MSA in the nation). Its overall land area is 1,384 mi2 with a population density of 155 people per square mile. The population is currently estimated to be 93,284. While the population had a positive growth rate of almost 17% from 1970-80, growth has stalled in 2010 and is projected to be negative through 2040, with a forecasted population of 84,638 people. 3.1. Economic Conditions With a very similar development path to Wayne County, Yakima County’s economy has always been tied closely to its agricultural commodities. The obvious difference is the requirement for irrigation in Washington (Wayne has little to no irrigation industry). It was the introduction of irrigation techniques to the Yakama Indians in 1853 near Wapato and follow-on federal initiatives to increase the irrigation in the early 20th century that allowed farmers and businessmen to exploit its primary natural endowments: fertile soil and favorable growing 5 climate. Wayne County always had easy access to water and close proximately to transportation. The establishment of the Northern Pacific Railroad in 1888 opened up the markets further to domestic and international market access via the Puget Sound Ports. From 1910 to 1960, Yakima population increased 247% (WSDA, 1964) as the railway and road systems improved and expanded. Yakima has dominated the production of tree fruits, grapes, sugar beets, vegetables, cattle sheep and turkeys through 1959 and has ranked as the highest producer of apples, hops and mint in the state and nation since 1964 (WSDA, 1964). Again easy parallels are drawn with the path taken in New York as several grower associations and government commissions were established in Yakima during the 1940’s-60’s, including the Washington State Horticultural Association, Yakima County Cattlemen’s Association, the Hop Growers of Washington, and the Yakima County Horticultural Union to name a few. Within the Yakima Valley several food processing plans were also established to can, freeze, dehydrate juice and concentrate fruit, vegetables and berries. Today, Yakima County’s economy is also bolstered significantly by the developing wine industry which is an advantage not shared by New York. With over fifty wineries disbursed throughout the Yakima Valley it is the second largest producer of wine in the state, with one major American Viticultural Area (AVA) divided into three smaller regions: Red Mountain, Snipes Mountain and Rattlesnake Hills. Unsurprisingly the largest non-agricultural contributor to the economy is the government. County, State, Federal and Tribal governments are six of the top 15 largest employers in the area, employing almost 6,500 people (See Exhibit 1). 3.2. Economic Performance A more comprehensive view of the local, traded and natural endowment clusters is also warranted to achieve a holistic view of Yakima County’s economic profile. The cluster make-up is 29.15% traded clusters (19,227 workers), 70.51% local cluster (46,514 workers) and 0.35% natural endowments (228 workers). Local health services, hospitality, real estate construction, development and other retail activity clusters employ the most workers (see Exhibit 2), though rank very low when compared nationally (low to mid-200 range of MSAs). The top traded clusters by employment include agricultural products (ranked 19th nationally), distribution services, processed food, transportation and logistics and entertainment (U.S. EDA, 2010). The gross domestic product for the county has increased 59.7% from $5,077M to $8,108M between 2001 and 2012, with the leading industries being government, crop and animal production, education and health services, healthcare and social assistance and financial activities (U.S. Economic Development Administration, 2010). The real GDP per capita for Yakima has been between 58% and 64% of the national average for the same time frame. In 2011, Real GDP per capita was just shy of 60% (U.S. BEA, 2011) of the national average. The GDP growth trend has generally been positive over the last ten years, showing steady increase and future potential. The unemployment rate varies widely throughout the year as a result of the agricultural-based economy, but hovers around 9.1% for Yakima and 8.7% for Wayne during non-harvest months. One employment aspect that greatly impacts the local economy is the influx of documented and undocumented workers who support agricultural industry. 6 3.3. Competitive Assessment of Yakima County Overall Yakima has the potential to build a strong competitive position. Yakima County is ideally located for regional, domestic and international market access. Yakima has a municipal airport with four primary carriers. The road system (I-82, U.S. Routes 12 and 97), well established rail system, and port access make transportation of commodities inexpensive and easy to nearby Seattle, Portland and Spokane. As of 2011, 69,410 people are employed and living locally in Yakima County, indicating a strong local workforce. The outflow trend has decreased in the last five years while the inflow trend has increased over the last decade to overtake the outflow (Census, 2002-11). This indicates that more people are commuting to work in Yakima as its economy and industries develop, rather than leaving for other opportunities outside of the county. One significant concern is the presence of illegal workers, which have been estimated to add between 40-60,000 to the population and employment. Better data is needed to determine how much of paid wages are being funneled out of the region and the impact of potentially “cheaper” labor on the employment/ unemployment and wage level picture. Wayne County’s inflow of workers has increased 10.49% between 2002 and 2011, even though the census population is roughly half of Yakima’s. Wayne County’s local and outflow populations have decreased 6.6% and 3.8% respectively. The outflow population is the dominant portion of workers in contrast to Yakima, likely because there are no major metropolitan areas in Wayne County; the closest MSA is Rochester, NY to the west. 3.4. Socio-Economic Context Over all Yakima County has lower GDP than the average for the nation while also having a low cost of living and access to most modern services. It is close enough to several large metropolitan areas to have the potential to attract tourism but separated enough to avoid becoming a suburb of a larger city, unlike several areas of Wayne County which are being slowly converted into a Rochester suburb. The commodity-based economy brings in outside cash and but suffers from key vulnerabilities that all commodities share: weather and seasonal variation. Other key expenses and regulations that influence Yakima’s socio-economic dynamic include taxes and laws. 3.4.1 Tax Rates Yakima City sales tax is 1.70% in addition to the State Sales Tax of 6.5%., and is lower than 52.7% of other cities and counties. Special taxes focus on the retail and food consumer industries, particularly clothing at 8.2% and prepared food at 11.7%. Since the State has no personal income, corporate or franchise taxes this is a major concern when 60,000 workers may be taking the wages and repatriating them instead of spending in the local area. Yakima County does not levy additional sales or income tax, but has a property tax rate that hovers generally around 1% of the property’s assessed fair market value (Taxfinder.org, 2014). Combined property taxes supporting school districts, cities and bonds however increase the property taxes close to 13% in some tax districts (Yakima County Tax Assessor, 2013). 7 Wayne County in contrast maintains combined property tax rates ranging from 10.4% to 14.42% outside of its towns in addition to a marginal state income tax of 4-8.82%. 3.4.2. Role of State and Federal Laws The agricultural industry (and therefore Yakima’s economy base) is generally heavily subsidized by both the state and federal government. Historically the government has focused on income support payments (“direct payment program”), new federal assistance is migrating to government crop insurance subsidies (USDA, 2014). The Farm Bill passed into law on 7 February 2013 however does not have a means-testing provision to limit received subsidies, while it cut conservation and nutrition assistance and eliminated transparency by not requiring disclosure of subsidy recipients (Faber, 2014). 3.4.3. Education Systems In Yakima County there are 15 school districts and 11 private schools with a 15-20 teacher-to-pupil ratio and six regional higherlevel education institutions. The largest enrollment by far is at Yakima Community College, followed by Central Washington University Heritage University and Perry Technical Institute. Washington State University Learning Center is also a critical player in regional development, as will be discussed further. The majority of the schools have a vocational focus to match the current local workforce needs. It is also important to note that most high schools east of the Cascades have strong Agricultural Education Programs and many students do not pursue education beyond 12th grade, favoring instead to join the workforce after graduation. 3.5. Diamond Model Analysis: Determining the Quality of the Regional Business Environment The diamond model is a useful tool to organize the data into contextually relevant information. Dr. Porter’s methodology for determining the quality of the business environment will be employed here, using factor conditions, context for firm strategy structure and rivalry, related and supporting industry and demand conditions (Porter, 2008). As previously discussed it is clear that Yakima is generally dependent on its agricultural commodities and other factor conditions, which is reflected in the regional diamond model analysis. 3.5.1. Factor Conditions The following factor conditions cover regional access to high quality business inputs such as human resources, capital availability, physical infrastructure, administrative and information infrastructure and efficient access to natural endowments. 3.5.1.2. Natural Endowments Although ultimately prosperity is not a result of simply having rich natural endowments it is clear that it formed the foundation upon which Yakima’s present business environment has been built. This is certainly true of Yakima valley and the fertile land has led to nearly 100 years of investment in the agricultural and transportation infrastructure of the region. Although the environment in the Yakima Valley is almost perfect for cultivation there was one major limitation: the lack of available water. The federal government made funds available through the Reclamation Act of 1902 to develop irrigation systems specifically in 8 Sunnyside, Tieton and Roza. As a result more than 29,800 acres of apple orchards and tree fruits, 72,000 acres of cropland and an additional 90,000 of irrigated acres were added by 1920 (Census, 1964). Today, the Yakima Irrigation Project delivers water to approximately 460,000 acres in central Washington which provided the missing element to turn the fertile soil and dry sunny weather into an almost perfect cultivation combination. The Yakima Valley is centrally located in the state of Washington but close to major river and rail transportation networks including BNSF and Port of Grandview. McAllister Field provides regional air transport to the area and the irrigation network is serviced by snowpack and five nearby reservoirs and plentiful, cheap power is available from wind, hydro, and conventional generation plants. 3.5.1.3. Social Infrastructure and Political Institutions Politically Yakima County is a participant in the Washington state government system. In common with many agricultural districts it is typically fairly conservative in policies. Frequent issues with State Policy being dictated by generally more liberal population centers on the west coast of the state do impact the local business environment. Particularly when initiatives such as age requirements and mandated wage/benefit packages designed around Seattle cost of living and industry are forced on farming communities. As previously mentioned the government is one of the largest employers in the region. A large military training facility forms the other major political institutions. Agricultural associations and economic development committees are frequently the originator of public initiatives. 3.5.2. Context for Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry Local competition is open in Yakima County. Most organizations of small to medium size serve the local community. The agricultural sector is one of the top in the nation for productivity and quality. As previously mentioned Yakima, like many small communities and agriculture areas, can be seriously impacted by heavy handed government policy. The Yakima Indian reservation has an adverse effect in some areas as it is provided competitive advantage via tax immunities. 3.5.3. Related and Supporting Industry The regional economy is primarily based on local clusters (another reason to be concerned with the amount of wages being repatriated by undocumented workers). Approximately 70% of the regional economy is internal (exhibit 6) while 29% of employment is in traded clusters. The major classifications (using the NAICS system) in Yakima County are healthcare making up twice the employment of the next classification of local hospitality followed closely by real estate. Agriculture and agricultural support fall in around 6th and 7th respectively. 3.5.4. Demand Conditions Depending on the industry or sector requirements, there are varying levels of sophisticated customer requirements. It is clear that Washington State foster strong environmental, safety and other protection laws which will be discussed further on. The concentration of cluster types discussed in the next section more adequately explains the type of customer that Yakima industries and business are tailored towards. 9 3.6. State of Regional Cluster Development The state of the traded regional cluster development should be discussed in order to identify and quantify how concentrated the region’s industry is, its export areas and potential to build monetary inflow to the economy. The higher the location quotient is in the below table, the more potential that cluster concentration has likelihood for export potential (Porter, 2008). Employment and employment share are also strong reference indicators. Employment is simply the number of jobs in the regional cluster while employment share is a calculation of the employment compared to other clusters in the same specialization nationally. A high employment share indicates competitiveness with other clusters nationally and may infer higher cluster specialization. For the purposes of this discussion, Yakima, WA MSA and Rochester, WA MSA traded clusters were used as the closest regional information match for statistical comparison. Yakima, WA MSA had 19,227 employees in its traded clusters while Rochester, NY MSA had 122,423. While the number of employees is different, the composition of traded vs. local and natural endowment clusters is similar. Table 1. Traded Cluster Employment, Employment Share and Location Quotient by MSA (Select Clusters) Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSAs, 2010 Yakima, WA Agricultural Products Distribution Services Entertainment Trans. & Logistics Processed Food Forest Products Heavy Machinery Construction Materials Production Technology Plastics Prefabricated Enclosures Heavy Const.Services Furniture Sport, Rec.&Child Goods Hospitality and Tourism Ed&Knowledge Creation Employment Employment Share Location Quotient 3219 3089 1443 1622 1633 448 379 196 695 744 190 896 205 60 936 798 1.13 0.18 0.16 0.12 0.12 0.1 0.1 0.097 0.096 0.087 0.071 0.062 0.053 0.051 0.045 0.039 20 3.18 2.85 2.14 2.017 1.81 1.75 1.69 1.67 1.5 1.23 1.065 0.92 0.88 0.78 0.67 Rochester, NY Publishing and Printing Medical Devices Ed&Knowledge Creation Agricultural Products Aerospace Engines Aerospace Engines Comm.Equipment Analytical Instruments Production Technology Business Services Plastics Information Technology Distribution Services Processed Food Entertainment Trans.& Logistics Employment 11797 4024 22366 2651 750 750 2775 3827 3633 19193 3585 3390 5795 4579 2771 3719 Employment Share Location Quotient 1.17 1.11 1.087 0.93 0.79 0.79 0.66 0.51 0.5 0.48 0.42 0.36 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.28 3.048 2.88 2.83 2.43 2.05 2.05 1.71 1.34 1.31 1.26 1.086 0.95 0.9 0.85 0.82 0.74 Source: U.S. Economic Development Administration, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, http://clustermapping.us (2010) Yakima, WA MSA has more concentrated clusters compared to Rochester, but holds a lower employment share nationally. While Rochester’s cluster specializations tend to indicate an innovation-based economy (education and knowledge creation, medical, devices and publishing and printing), Yakima seems to be generally factor-based, enterprising from natural endowments and inexpensive (and relatively unskilled) labor (agricultural, forest products, distribution and transportation). Rochester’s clusters also indicate a non-commodity based 10 economy in contrast to Yakima, whose distribution services and transportation and logistics concentrations have a stronger comparative presence. 3.7. Sophistication of Regional Operations and Strategy The current level of Yakima regional operations and strategy is generally low. Heavy governmental presence and subsidies from the federal, tribal, state and county do not provide incentive enough to significantly change or develop new strategies or methodology for regional business and industry development and growth. Though there are clearly some pockets of excellence such as firms and farms taking advantage of emerging technology, most market and company activity remains in the “blue collar” realm. The overarching effect of the current strategy seems to be one of the status quo maintenance – if it’s working (generating acceptable profit), don’t change it, i.e. if it’s not broken, don’t fix it. The lack of innovation in the area might also just be a product of unfocused (or incorrectly focused) community and governmental development efforts, not necessarily a lackadaisical approach to regional operations and strategy. 3.8. Key issues impacting competitiveness There are several issues that affect the regional competitiveness of the Yakima area. First, Yakima County nor its industry leaders have participated in, or cannot qualify to participate in, the state’s Dept. of Commerce Innovation Partnership Zones (IPZ) initiative established in 2007 to stimulate “a decade of innovation” (WEDC, 2011). By comparison, its regional neighbors Walla Walla and Tri-Cities have received over $1.5M in cluster and innovation grants to develop key efforts to improve their business environment, such as sustainable development, alternate energy and bio-based product manufacturing in addition to water conservation and management efforts. While the area’s primary economic development entity, the Yakima County Development Association’s mission is to “enhance the income quality of life and employment stability” (YCDA, 2014), its primary strategies are to build local business (training, seminars, recruitment), recruit divers new businesses (marketing, website and relationships with developers) and provide workforce and community leadership (YCDA, 2014). Its measurable outcomes are not focused on research, building local education, innovation or fostering industry relationships, i.e. it’s not focused on the right measurable outcomes to build their clusters and foster prosperity growth in the region. Furthermore, its current strategies may only continue to foster Yakima’s current factor-based economy rather than making progress towards an efficient or innovative one. The continuing improvement of the physical and educational infrastructure is an expensive activity but necessary for the continued profitability of the traded clusters as well as attracting potentially new industries 3.9. Policy recommendations The following policy recommendations are geared to the Yakima County Development Association. They include comments for improvement in three areas: employment tracking and policy, infrastructure and focus on value-added industries. By focusing on these three areas, the economy may perhaps be able to spark evolution from a factor-based economy to an efficiency-based economy. 11 3.9.1. Employment policy This is an extremely sensitive topic that few people want to face head on. It is placed as the number one recommendation for the simple reason that an honest look at this issue is required to clean up the data analysis. 30% of the industry in this region is considered a traded. Phrased differently: 30% of the industry (economic activities) in the region brings in 100% of the dollars being used to support all the rest of the local clusters such as healthcare, eateries, construction, etc. (we recognize that this is somewhat of an oversimplification but none the less useful for illustration). If just 25% of wages from traded clusters are being drained out of the region by sending cash away instead of spent in the local area it represents a huge economic loss to the local cluster. If politics can be set aside long enough to find the true numbers then a real assessment can be made and this item can either be invalidated or corrected as a policy change requirement. 3.9.2. Infrastructure Infrastructure not only supports the commodities based traded cluster (and thus the region) but it also becomes the anchor on which other industry is attracted to the area. Primary concern is the immense irrigation efforts. Refining and advancing this system while also developing techniques to protect water quality and support nature will pay dividends in several local industries. Changing irrigation from simple trenches into something that also contributes to tourism attraction could be a huge plus. The Dutch systems and even the ancient roman aqueducts are examples that STILL attract tourists. The large available land area combined with central location provides plenty of room establish a satellite shipping hub safe from the geographic vulnerabilities such as major earthquake, Volcano, and flooding that the Puget Sound ports are vulnerable to. Large open spaces close enough to sea ports, airports, highway and river ports provide the ultimate stable staging area. 3.9.3. Value added industry The region would benefit strongly from increasing its proportion of traded commodities from local commodities. We believe that the best method of this would be bringing more of the value added processes closer to the commodities while leveraging the existing cluster concentrations. For example the wine industry already attracts “foodies”. Fresh local agriculture is the ultimate source for gourmet food. Apples become crisp cider sold for far more than the price of an apple. Hops for beer grown locally and wheat from nearby counties quickly becomes local sourced beer. 4. Apple Cluster Analysis Many challenges are inherent in trying to separate the apple cluster analysis from the regional analysis due to the Yakima area’s heavy reliance on agriculture as the basis of its economy. Additionally, open source data sets are not necessarily limited to the same geographic area, nor provide the specificity required in most instances to determine direct effects (and therefore performance) of the cluster. Apple orchards cluster research also does not appear to have been a popular project; there are no existing cluster model samples that we discovered during our research. Other clusters such as wine cluster (in WA and CA) have over 15 samples from the Harvard Business site, in 12 addition to several available professional reports from paid researchers with specially designed economic modeling software and closedsource national data sets. The largest challenge encountered during this project however, is capturing the effects (or attempting to quantify or qualify) of non-reported agricultural labor sources. This will serve as an introduction and brief history of the apple, the orchard value chain and industry relationships and lead to an in-depth discussion on the Yakima apple orchard cluster (diamond model analysis), its performance and recommendations for its future. The apple as we know it is not native to North America, but rather came over with early European colonists. Although the apple is just one of many things that made the same voyage to the “New World” it has played an important part in the development of the modern U.S. and agriculture. When the frontier moved west, so too did Johnny Appleseed, planting, tending, and selling orchards along the way. The orchards were frequently planted even before a proper house was built, and beyond providing the “proof” of land ownership the apple trees were a form of insurance. Many things have changed in the last hundred years but the apple continues to enjoy immense popularity and a steadily increasing demand worldwide. The market viability of apples is demonstrated clearly at the grocery store where they are one of the top volume items. A beautiful splash of color and variety is often the first greeting the market consumer receives entering a store, with more than 100 apple varieties produced and sold commercially (a small fraction of the 2,500 varieties cultivated domestically, and approximately 7,500 varieties globally) (Washington Apple Commision, 2010). In the U.S. the average consumer purchases about 40 pounds of apples and apple products a year. There is no doubt that apples are a commodity in demand. Apple harvest is primarily dependent on the natural endowments; the weather, environmental and soil conditions. Apples need a good balance of sunny dry weather and cold periods to develop properly. The soil must provide the right structure and nutrients; Yakima has an advantage in this area due to the loamy soil deposited by glacial activity and formed by Miocene Columbia River basalt flows. Additionally there are many factors that affect the size of harvest and successful production, including: the quality of the stock, orchard inputs, proximity of processing and speed of shipping. Beside climate, the most important factor contributing to harvest size is the availability of water while labor and land management contribute the highest costs. The apple production value system diagram below depicts the inputs and processes from orchard to consumer in addition to apple orchard industry relationships. Further on the relationships will be organized and specifically tied in a Yakima apple orchard cluster map. 13 Diagram 1. Apple Production Value System Source: Student Analysis Diagram 2. Apple Orchard Industry Relationships Source: Student Analysis Source: Student Analysis 4.1. History of the Yakima Apple Cluster The first orchard that was planted in the Yakima Valley Cattlemen’s Association, the Hop Growers of Washington, and the Yakima County Horticultural Union to name a few. Within the in 1870 consisted of 100 apple and pear trees. The gateway to a Yakima Valley several food processing plans were also regional agricultural market opened in 1886-88 with the established to can, freeze, dehydrate, juice and concentrate fruit, establishment of the Northern Pacific Railroad’s transcontinental vegetables and berries. By 1964, Yakima County ranked first line and encouraged growth with new access to the Puget Sound. locally and nationally in the production of apples, hops and mint, a Several grower associations and government commissions were established in the 1940’s-60’s, including the Washington State Horticultural Association, Yakima County trend that continues today over half a century later. 14 Diagram 3. Traded Cluster Relationships Today’s apple cluster sits snugly in the nexus of the agricultural, processed food and transportation, warehouse and distribution clusters as indicated in Diagram 3. Source: Student Analysis 4.2. Apple Cluster Performance Performance of the Yakima cluster focuses on two areas: production value (domestic and global markets) as well as economic impact of the apple orchard cluster on the regional and WA economy in terms of jobs and labor wages. Fresh apple export from Washington State has been steadily increasing with approximately $569M in 2009, to $825M in 2012. The top three exporting destinations were China, Japan and Canada. Approximately 78% of Washington apples are sold fresh with the remaining 22% sold processed. The top nine varieties of apples grown in WA are the Red Delicious, Golden Delicious, Gala, Fuji, Granny Smith, Braeburn, Honeycrisp, Cripps Pink and Cameo. About 30% of the apples grown in WA are Red Delicious apples. They also account for over 48% of WA apples exported globally. (Exhibit 4) Comparison of apple production, yield and value are also in Exhibit 5. No apple export info was found on New York State. Approximately 50% of NY apples are sold fresh with the remaining sold processed. Washington State has emerged as the main strategic competitor in the U.S. with New York a distant second place. Yakima County leads the Washington State and U.S. market with nine times the apple production of its closest competitor, Wayne County, New York (Exhibit 5). Of the U.S. states Washington has both the highest yielding crops per acre at 45,000 lbs./acre and by far the largest amount of acreage with 146,000 acres of apple orchards. It is an important item to note that 100% of production is utilized. The overall market is not saturated and the supporting industry provides significant buffer capacity. The best apples go to market to be sold crisp and fresh. The remaining apples are turned into apple products such as sauce, juice, or cider. 4.2.1. Global Demand and Production According to U.N. figures the top five apple-producing countries currently are China, U.S., India, Turkey and Poland (Food and Agriculture Organization of the U.N., 2007 - 2011). With exports of approximately $1.8B the U.S. is the second largest exporter of apple 15 products and Yakima County is the single biggest apple producing county in the nation. Competing effectively in the global market may be one key to growing the apple orchard cluster in Washington. In terms of dollars, U.S. apple exports increased from $368M to $826M with dollars generally corresponding volume; Mexico $217M, Canada $146M, Taiwan $50M, Indonesia $54M and Hong Kong $53M. The bulk of U.S. exports go to our closest neighbors whose climates are not as favorable for growing this fruit and thus quick transportation remains a key factor. Though the percentage of the crop that we export is small it will remain an important piece of the cluster to nurture this cash infusing endeavor (Exhibit 2, 3). 4.2.2. Domestic Demand and Production In the non-citrus fruit category, U.S. production of apples is second only to grape production in both volume and value. (National Agricultural Statistics Service, 2012). In 2011, the U.S. produced 4.2 M metric tons of apples with a deviation of only 1% over the previous five years (Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN, 2007 - 2011). Washington State has emerged as the main strategic competitor in the U.S. with New York a distant second place. Yakima County leads the Washington State and U.S. market with nine times the apple production of its closest competitor, Wayne County, New York (Exhibit 4). Of the U.S. states Washington has both the highest yielding crops per acre at 45,000 lbs/acre and by far the largest amount of acreage with 146,000 acres of apple orchards. It is an important item to note that 100% of production is utilized. The overall market is not saturated and the supporting industry provides significant buffer capacity. The best apples go to market to be sold crisp and fresh. The remaining apples are turned into apple products such as sauce, juice, or cider. Fresh apples not sold at market return to the pipeline for processing (Exhibit 5). One recent concern is that the consumption rate of apples has plateaued. Currently the consumption rates tend to be consistent with population growth rates. Without looking more towards global markets or value-added industry, apple orchard farmers may face an oversupply of apples in WA. To combat this, the WAC has developed special international relationships with Russia and Canada, and currently hosts a marketing and information website in both countries. 4.2.3. Direct Employment While the NAICS has assigned codes for Apple orchards (111331), and Pruning of orchard trees and vines, in addition to orchard cultivation services (115112), these codes are not tracked locally or nationally to determine employment effects via traditional means. Additionally, seasonal and undocumented workers provide challenges to determine effectiveness of the Apple orchard cluster in Yakima. Fortunately, WA State provides two key data tools to extrapolate the direct and indirect effect of apple orchard wages and employment regionally and in WA: Employment Security Department’s Seasonal Agricultural Employment Wage Data and the Office of Financial Management 2007 Washington Input-Output Model (I-O 2007). 16 While the wage data survey is relatively new (2011 data is the earliest available open-source document), and incorporates Kittitas County in the South Central region information they can provide short-term employment trends, and representation of Apple orchard occupations. The I-O 2007 model provides direct and indirect affects across major NCAIS groupings based on the Washington economy, its structure, inter-industry linkages and dependence on U.S. domestic and international markets (OFM, 2012). Table 2. WA ESD Seasonal Agricultural and Apple Orchard Employment Data 2011-2013 Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas Counties) Apple Orchard Seasonal Labor, 2011-2013 Year 2013 2012 2011 Jan 4,050 4,431 3,858 Feb 2,284 3,716 4,216 Mar 2,044 3,400 3,013 Apr 3,837 3,450 2,981 Year 2013 2012 2011 Jan 5,790 6,211 5,940 Feb 5,555 6,140 6,934 Mar 6,217 7,021 6,068 Year 2013 2012 2011 Jan 9,095 10,726 10,653 Feb 8,420 10,455 10,908 Mar 9,016 10,924 9,420 Apr 15,071 13,143 9,269 Year 2013 2012 2011 Jan 16,863 18,393 17,845 Feb 19,077 19,608 20,689 Mar 22,739 23,858 21,176 Apr 30,773 27,443 23,984 May 3,568 3,238 4,098 June 7,476 10,002 5,127 Jul 4,967 8,549 9,578 Aug 6,830 6,438 9,856 Sep 17,192 15,818 12,960 Oct 12,337 16,944 17,472 Nov 2,878 10,527 7,736 Dec 3,259 4,906 2,508 Sep 25,371 22,176 21,765 Oct 16,555 20,345 23,685 Nov 5,037 12,010 10,179 Dec 4,165 6,524 3,417 Aug 27,315 19,114 23,890 Sep 42,177 44,738 37,767 Oct 40,299 47,135 47,793 Nov 14,374 25,400 23,707 Dec 9,485 9,974 9,325 Aug 65,742 64,914 66,002 Sep 69,825 67,717 64,605 Oct 56,835 62,174 66,519 Nov 24,949 33,980 33,144 Dec 17,777 17,903 15,356 Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas Counties) Total Seasonal Labor, 2011-2013 Apr 9,379 7,825 6,646 May 9,249 10,393 7,772 June 20,022 23,073 12,229 Jul 23,868 29,312 30,101 Aug 17,563 17,000 18,430 Total State Apple Orchard Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 May 12,229 12,888 11,363 June 22,848 25,793 18,244 Jul 24,096 20,800 23,618 Total State Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 May 29,815 33,197 24,719 June 62,898 65,940 43,323 Jul 88,252 94,976 86,026 Source: Employment of Covered Seasonal Workers by Crop, 2011-2013, WA Employment Security Department, (WESD, 2011-2013) The chart above illustrates the significant proportion of Yakima region Apple Orchard workers regionally and in the state. Regionally, apple agricultural occupations, primarily pruning, thinning, harvesting, sorting/grading/packing and other apple application occupations account for not less than 20% regionally (historically averaging 50%, up to 73.8-83.3% during peak harvest) of all seasonal jobs (Exhibit 10). Apple Orchard workers in Yakima/Kittitas Counties account for one-sixth to one-fifth of state averaged seasonal workers 20112013, up to one quarter during peak harvest. These figures additionally multiply the reported agricultural cluster employment by the U.S. Economic Development Administration Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness by up to five times including only Apple Orchard median number of workers. The implication of seasonal and accurate reported employment information cannot be underscored more clearly; the differences in reported data are so extreme. Using the reported seasonal median and average Apple Orchard workers 2011-2013 from WA Employment Security Department Seasonal Agricultural Work Data, we can extrapolate in a simple I-O 2007 analysis the direct Washington impact in terms of output (mils.$2012) in the same industry, in addition to output, employment and labor income impact in other industries (mils.$2012). 17 Table 3. Calculated Estimated Washington Supported/Generated Employment in other Industries as a result of Annual Median and Average Seasonal Apple Orchard Workers 2011-2013 (Top Ten) 0 1-19 20-99 100-249 250-499 500-999 Number of Workers Source: Calculated using WA ESD Apple Orchard Seasonal Employment Data and WA OMF I-O 2007 Economic Impact Worksheet Table 4. Calculated Estimated Washington Supported/Generated Employment in other Industries as a result of Annual Median and Average Seasonal Apple Orchard Workers 2011-2013 (Bottom Ten) Washington Employment Impact from Reg. 2 (Yakima and Kittitas Counties) Apple Orchards Median and Average Seasonal Employment 2011-2013 Median RANK NAICS Title 42 Machinery Manufacturing 43 Other Manufacturing 44 Chemical Manufacturing 45 Forestry and Logging 46 Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction 47 Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 48 Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 49 Ship and Boat Building 50 Electrical Equipment Manufacturing 51 Primary Metal Manufacturing 52 Aircraft and Parts Manufacturing 0 1-19 NAICS Code 333 316, 326, 339 325 113 (Incl. state forests, etc.) 2373 334 3361, 3362, 3363, 3365, 3369 3366 (Incl. federal/PSNS) 335 331 3364 20-99 100-249 250-499 2011 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2012 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 2013 2 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2011 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 Average 2012 3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 2013 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 500-999 Number of Workers Source: Calculated using WA ESD Apple Orchard Seasonal Employment Data and WA OMF I-O 2007 Economic Impact Worksheet, (WA OMF, 2012) The preceding tables outline the direct annual impact of seasonal Apple Orchard workers in terms of employment in other Washington industries. It is unsurprising that several of the industries in the top ten mirrors the top employment clusters in Yakima (primarily local) as discussed in the regional cluster related and supporting industries portion 3.5.3. In terms of labor income impact in other areas, the median employment affect in 2013 calculated to $217.7M, with the top five labor-income affected NAICS categories being: Waste Management/Other, and Agricultural Services ($36.4M), Credit Intermediation and Related Activities ($35.4M), Other Construction($27.7m), Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing ($26.6M) and Other Retail ($28.3M) (See Exhibit 11). The bottom ten employment impact outline the non-interrelated nature of the apple orchard cluster with its and least impacted industries, one of which is a fairly concentrated LQ in the Yakima, WA MSA (forestry products). It is unclear in the I-O 2007 Simple Analysis Worksheet however if the employment in other industries is restricted to the region, or is/can be disbursed across the state. Regardless, it cannot be denied that Apple Orchard has a 18 significant impact to both the regional and state economic performance, and clearly supports primarily local cluster industry activities, not traded cluster industry activities. 4.3. Mapping the Yakima Apple Cluster The apple orchard industry today bears little resemblance to the orchards of Johnny Appleseed’s day. Automation in the fields and irrigation has generally increased the scale of every operation. Technology has allowed for greatly increased density of crop on any given acre while science appears to allow the modification and repair of deficiencies in the basic natural endowment. In the industries that support agriculture perhaps the greatest impact has been in the logistics of travel. Apples grown in Washington can reach the other side while still crisp and juicy in refrigerated containers by land, sea, or air. Harvest remains a largely tied to manual labor but processing, sorting and storing of produce is streamlined by automation. Every orchard starts with tree, underlying the importance of nurseries as an orchard support activity. Universities and grows have developed and cultivate dwarf varieties of trees that have doubled the production of each acre of land; the competitive advantage this has given Yakima orchard farmers can be seen in exhibit 5. The agricultural schools continue to play major roles in the improvement and even development of new species of apples, with WSU leading the way providing resources to local and regional orchard farmers. It takes specialized equipment to maneuver between the now densely packed trees and specialized knowledge to repair and run these machines. Chemical development and supply is needed to produce the fertilizers, pesticides, and many other chemicals that are used to increase growth and prevent damage to crops. Hundreds of miles of irrigation channels are dug and maintained. Thousands of miles of irrigation pipe gets installed and maintained. All these things happen prior to an apple ever getting picked. Harvest is done primarily by hand in order to avoid damage to the trees and fruit, but alternate harvesting and collecting equipment are also used, regionally mechanical harvesting machine operators were added to the orchard occupations tracked by Washington’s Employment Security Department in 2013 (WA ESD, 2013). Legions of trained workers are used to pick the apples off the trees and move them out of the orchard. Then the apples must get processed either for market sale or to become any one of several value added products. Fresh apples must get washed to remove any chemical residue and then waxed to protect the fruit for its trip to market. The rest must be washed and then sent to the processing plant for conversion to apple juice, apple butter, apple sauce, etc. All these apples and apple products must get moved somehow. Last year 6.5M pounds of apples were shipped out of Washington orchards. That volume of shipping implies a robust logistics industry able to move freight quickly and precisely to right locations. The figure below depicts the interconnection between the agricultural, processed food and transportation cluster, and where the apple orchard cluster exists relative to the overlapping clusters. Loss or migration of these clusters in Washington will negatively affect the continued growth of the apple orchard cluster in Yakima County. 19 The graphic below depicts the weak, moderate and strong links between the Yakima orchards, input and supporting industries, outputs, related clusters and products. Some weak links which may become stronger in the future include hard cider production (increasing popularity of local and WA-brewed products, and Washington Beer Commission focus and support support) and its associated equipment, in addition to the Yakima tourism cluster which currently is an underdeveloped area with only a .78 LQ. Diagram 4. Yakima Apple Cluster Source: Student Analysis 4.4. Apple Cluster Analysis (Diamond Model) As in the regional analysis, the diamond model will be utilized to determine the quality of the business environment supporting the Apple Cluster. Again factor conditions, context for firm strategy structure and rivalry, related and supporting industry and demand conditions will be visited in context specific to the apple orchard industry. 4.4.1. Factor Conditions The following factor conditions cover apple orchard farmer access to high quality business inputs such as human resources, capital availability, physical infrastructure, scientific and technologic infrastructure and efficient access to natural endowments. 4.4.1.1. Factor Conditions: Employment and Wages In Yakima, there were approximately 3,219 employees (Exhibit 7) in the agricultural cluster in 2010 as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Development, though there was significant discussion regarding number of employed Apple Orchard workers in 4.2.3. Average wages for agricultural workers in the area are just over $33,000 (Exhibit 8). It is worth noting that there is a significant seasonal variation to the employment requirements of an apple orchard, and wages are not necessarily based on hourly, but by the bin (see table below). Harvest 20 of different apple varieties is varied throughout the year to maximize production and offset increases in labor requirements for harvest. Supporting industries are slightly buffered from the seasonal surge since repair and maintenance activities are year round and processing other than fresh sale is accomplished incrementally on the harvest. Table 1. Apple Cluster Harvest Median Wages 2007-2011 Source: Survey of Washington Fruit Growers, WA State Employment Security Dept., 2011 Yakima County is ranked 19th in the nation by both numbers of agricultural workers and annual income. Agriculture is the number one source of employment in Yakima, WA MSA traded clusters. It should be noted that while annual income is below the national average, apple orchard workers on average make 17% more than the real GDP per capita rate, which sits at 60% of national average, or just under $27,000 in 2012 (U.S. BEA, 2012). The low income wage however reflects the relative-low skill requirement of orchard apple occupations. Census information for Rochester, NY (major metropolitan area near Wayne County) shows that there are approximately 2,600 agricultural workers. It is ranked 23rd nationally in traded agricultural clusters. 4.4.1.1.1. Treetop Treetop is a primary influence in the Yakima Apple Cluster because it is a cooperative of over 1,000 local apple and pear growers, and focuses primarily on apples, apple sauce and apple juice. It’s re-formation from a privately owned company in 1960 contributed to the establishment of the cluster. Employing over 1,000 people in the Yakima Valley, Treetop is one of the biggest single employers in the area. Treetop was started by Bill Charbonneau with a single apple processing plant. The company is named after the belief of the time that the best fruit grew at the top of the tree and continues to hold the ideal of using only the “best fruit”. Seneca and Del Monte fresh fruit processing companies also have a significant presence, driving the local food processing concentration in the Yakima area. 4.4.1.1.2. Mott’s Making apple products since 1842, Mott’s is a pioneer in the field of fruit processing. Focusing on apple sauce and juices, it has led the field in packaging innovation, offering the first single-serve plastic cups in 1985. Mott’s fruit flavored apple sauces, reduced sugar and 21 fortified products have exploited new advances and trends in healthier, less processed food. Mott’s remains a major employer in the area and primary driver of the developing apple cluster in Wayne County. 4.4.1.2. Factor Conditions: Capital Availability A variety of loans are available to farmers from local, private, state and federal programs. It is more of a matter of educating orchard farmers about available loans and financial resources, rather than a lack of capital availability. Some examples of loans from Washington State include the Beginner Farmer/Rancher Loan Program (WA Housing Finance Committee), the Rural Washington Loan Fund (WA Department of Commerce), USDA and UDSA Rural Development Program Loans and AgVision loans from Northwest Farm credit services. 4.4.1.3. Factor Conditions: Access to Natural Endowments Although the environment in the Yakima Valley is ideal for growing apples, the area must be extensively irrigated. As a result of the Reclamation Act of 1902, irrigation systems were developed in Sunnyside, Tieton and Roza. This alone increased acres of apple orchards and tree fruits to more than 29,800 acres (Census, 1964). Today the Yakima Irrigation Project delivers water to approximately 460,000 acres in central Washington, 95,351 of which was reported as bearing orchards in Yakima County in 2007 (USDA Census of Agriculture, 2007) consisting of 1,470 farms. The Yakima Valley is centrally located in the state of Washington but close to major river and rail transportation networks including BNSF and Port of Grandview. McAllister Field provides regional air transport to the area and the irrigation network is serviced by snowpack and five nearby reservoirs and plentiful and cheap power is available from wind, hydro, and conventional generation plants. 4.4.1.4. Factor Conditions: Scientific and Technical Infrastructure The state and federal government are very involved in tree research, including orchard systems and establishment, fruit quality improvement, pest management, genomics, tree fruit physiology, irrigation and pathology. Significant regional research facilities and resources are the Washington Tree Fruit Commission, the USDA-ARS Yakima Agricultural Research Laboratory, Northwest Horticultural Council. Additionally several major agricultural universities make their home in Washington and continue to support advanced studies in agriculture and apples specifically. Washington State University is has extension campuses located throughout the state and provide extensive horticultural and fruit tree support services. 4.4.1.4.1. WSU WSU currently holds three patents in their apple breeding program. It is by far the most accessible resource for farmers to improve harvest quality, produce longevity and production methodology. Washington State University Research and development has been focusing on genetic solutions primarily to increase efficiency and production. In 2014, the WSU fruit breeding program announced that it is releasing WA-38, large and dark red Crossbreed of Enterprise and Honeycrisp apples. WA-38 is slow to brown when it is cut and should hold its flavor for more than a year. WA-38 is scheduled to be released in 2017. Previously WSU developed and launched WA-2 and WA-5. Both hybrids 22 with outstanding quality and productivity and bred for excellent structure, firm, and crisp, with a very balanced combination of acid and sugar. WA-2 and WA-5 were successfully launched in 2009 and 2011 respectively. (WSU Apple Breeding Program, 2011) WSU’s presence across the state, and superior accessibility to subject matter expertise in apple orchard cultivation is absolutely critical in the improvement and continued innovation that Washington, particularly Yakima County, exploits to maintain and expand its market dominance. 4.4.1.4.2. Cornell New York focused late in the 19th century on agricultural science research by establishing the New York State Agricultural Experiment Station. While early efforts included focuses on dairy, horticulture and an evaluation of field crops, it later expanded to fruit horticulture, chemistry, plant diseases and pest species, among other fields. Cornell University assumed control of the state-run organization in 1924, and continues to operate and expand the facility. In 2006, several agricultural innovations were introduced, including the breeding of Cortland, Empire, Jonagold, Jonamac and Macoun apples and three new wine grapes. Cornell in many instances acts as a de-facto government agency regarding many fields of research, including agricultural innovation and other areas of statistical study. 4.4.2. Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry Local competition is vigorous in the Yakima apple cluster, with up to 161 reporting orchard organizations (Manta, 2014). Local information is used other than census data in the interest of the most up-to-date information. While the 2012 USDA Census of Agriculture has been completed, the detailed reports per county will not be released until May 2014 (USDA NASS, 2014). Local orchards generally fall into four combined production and service categories: “orchards, tree service”, “orchards, farms, tree service,” “orchards, fruit & vegetable growers, shippers”, and “orchards, tree service, fruit & vegetable markets” (Yellow Pages, 2013). 75% of the reporting orchards fall into the third category, implying integrated shipping activities in their operations. While there are some major farms in the area, with between 100 and 4,999 employees, the majority of orchards report 1-4 employees (69%), followed by 5-9 employees (12%). Just fewer than 80% of the orchards report annual revenue of under $500K. 30 growers in the area report more than $500K annual revenue, up to $10M, see below charts. 23 Chart 1. Orchard Category/Service, Employee Size and Revenue Profiles 2014 Source: Yellowpages.com, Manta.com 2014. Intellectual property in the agricultural sector is primarily protected by trademark. Patents do exist, but are not common in apple orchard production. WSU’s Apple Breeding Program has three patents. Trademarked and patented apple breeds and/or technology are regulated via licenses issued from the owner. 4.4.3. Related and Supporting Industries Suppliers and related industries support the current state of the apple cluster well. Below is a chart outline major contributors to the pre- and post-production processing of apple products in Yakima. Minor growth trends are evident in the Yakima WA MSA Share of National Employment between 1998-2010 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis in the Processed Food and Local Food and Processing Clusters. Created jobs were evident in especially in retail food stores, food wholesaling, paper containers, metal and glass containers, food product machinery and specialty foods and ingredients. (See Exhibit) Agricultural products and farm management employment has barely fallen, but does show a negative trend of .3% and .75% respectively over the same timeline. Table 2. Apple Orchard Related and Supporting Industry Jobs in Yakima, WA MSA Total Primary Jobs Nurseries Farm Management/Related Services Distribution Services Food Produce Wholesaling Farm Material/Supplies Transportation Veh.&Equip Chemical – Special Packaging Employment 2010 132 1,714 3,089 1,900 653 175 60 Rank in U.S. --* 5 85 14 49 54 62 Processed Food, Paper Containers, Boxes and Special Ingredients Transportation Arrangement and Warehousing Irrigation Systems 570 98, 145 1,542 30 108 157 24 Source: U.S. Economic Development Administration, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, http://clustermapping.us (2010), *Manta.com (2014) 4.4.4. Demand Conditions Washington has strict quality, safely and environmental standards, primarily encapsulated in Title 15 of the RCW, Agriculture and Marketing. It addresses standards of grades and packs (15.17 RCW), controlled atmospheric storage of fruits and vegetables (15.30) and sales limitations (15.21) to name a few. Yakima County does not have codes that directly affect the agricultural cluster, outside of tertiary effects of urban growth development, but most are captured in 15th Chapter of the Revised Code of Washington (RCW); Agriculture and Marketing. The law addresses multiple facets of quality, growth and production, environmental standards, contracts and fair market standards. The code further establishes several commissions, including the Washington Apple Commission, Dairy Products Commission, Honey Bee Commission, Hardwoods Commission, Wine Commission, Washington Beer Commission, Forest Products Commission and Washington Grain Commission (WA State Legislature, 2013). The county is very proactive in the State Environmental Policy Act (under Chapter 16, Environment), and protection of critical water areas (Chapter 16A, C) and wildlife habitat conservation (Chapter 16D)(Yakima County, 2013), which support or mirror the requirements of state law, Chapter 90 of the RCW. These water control, protection and conservation laws compliment environmental regulations published by other government departments and agencies, such as the USDA, EPA, and DNR. Consumer protection laws pertaining to agriculture are addressed in 15.83 RCW, Agricultural Marketing and Fair Practices. 4.5. Key Issues Impacting Competitiveness The primary issues impacting competitiveness in the Yakima apple cluster are its lack of real domestic competition, general low awareness of apples as a traded cluster generator and the general deficit of business education amongst orchard farmers (and in agriculture in general). Washington has been the number one producer of apples in the nation since the mid-sixties. While research and development is still on-going and new cultivation and horticultural development techniques are being explored, where does one go when they are at the top? This report used Wayne County, NY and its outlying MSA of Rochester, NY to generate recommendations of what not to do, but the lack of available specific data is likely evident. Frankly Wayne County seems in decline and is not a realistic guide for what Yakima orchard farmers and cluster leaders should do next to increase their competitive advantage, only what actions to avoid and issues/threats to be aware of. Another key issue is the general low awareness of apples as a cluster-generator. Everyone knows that apples generally make a lot of money for Washington and contribute to the economy, but it’s not a particularly sexy fruit. It is not a grape; it does not make wine. This low awareness is also likely influenced by the region’s development strategies discussed previously. The region does not participate in IPZ, nor promote the benefits of industry relationships and cluster-development unlike the Walla Walla Region and Tri-Cities area. Available specific data, and sensitive subjects that would need to be explored (illegal labor) may also keep a damper on truly developing products for public consumption and cluster development. 25 4.6. Policy Recommendations The following policy recommendations are geared to the Washington Apple Commission. They include comments for improvement in three areas: investment in research and development, specific marketing and promoting business education for apple orchard farmers. By placing emphasis on these three areas, a higher level of awareness and interest in the well-being (investment, research and development) of the apple orchard industry may develop in order to take this traded cluster to the next level. As it is already the first apple producer in the nation, it is currently considered to be the most competitive. 4.6.1. Maintain R&D Almost without exception investment in Research and Development pays off in the long run. Investment as simple as grants to community colleges (Walla Walla wine industry which has funded several local schools) to something as complex as a regional center of excellence, the ROI goes beyond simple product development and drives process, value, and innovation. The existing levels of funding appear to have kept WA in the top producing regions but continued investment and awareness of competing factors will keep the apple cart rolling. Specific premium fruit has demonstrated a particular success in the marketplace and the population looks forward to new offerings. 4.6.2. Focused Marketing on the Industry, not the Fruit One area that could be beneficial to the apple cluster is to market the industry not the fruit. The dairy industry has done an outstanding job in this recently. Every dairy farmer is an environmental steward, educator, and animal rights activist…potentially a model, great singer, and an actor and feeds the homeless. It is only infrequently that we hear anything about “milk does the body good” anymore (also consider the “Got Milk” campaign). The value of this “goodwill” marketing cannot be overstated particularly in the premium markets. One particularly easy suggestion is that every apple farmer is a steward of the trees. Sure you could be a Subaru and have a tree planted but when you buy an apple you support an entire forest of trees. The apple industry plants more trees than the forest service and those trees all have flowers. The apple flowers are doing full time duty to keep the nation’s bees flying and making honey. The plight of the bees is not just a marketing opportunity but is a very real issue that can be partially addressed for profit. 4.6.3. Business Education for Apple Orchard Farmers Business education should be a top priority for orchard farmers in the Yakima cluster, primarily because of the relative market position of the cluster. Without close domestic competition driving improvement in the cluster, one must drive industry forward using available tools; particularly as WA apples are pushed more and more to international markets. Sound business practices, training in entrepreneurial development and networking are just some of the positive benefits orchard farmers would receive. Another tangible benefit is access to a wider array of ideas, and different perspectives to grow future opportunities in the Yakima apple cluster. 26 5. Exhibits. Exhibit 1. Major Employers in the Yakima Area, 2012 Employer 1. Yakima Valley Memorial Hospital 2. Yakima School District 3. Walmart 4. Washington State Department of Social and Health Services 5. Yakima County 6. Del Monte Foods 7. Yakima Valley Farm Workers Clinic 8. Yakima Regional Medical & Cardiac Center 9. Yakima Training Center 10. AB Foods 11. Yakima Valley Community College 12. City of Yakima 13. Yakama Legends Casino 14. Washington State Department of Transportation 15. Tree Top, Inc. Type Persons employed Hospital 2,200 School district 1,736 (Education) Department store 1,587 State government 1,400 (Social services) County government 1,213 Fruit processing 1,200 Hospital 1,181 Hospital 942 United States Army 850 (Military) Beef processing 850 Education 761 City government 711 Casino 634 State government 555 Fruit processing 540 Total 6,465 Source: "Yakima Valley Major Employers". Greater Yakima Chamber of Commerce. Retrieved from http://www.yakima.org/yakima/demo.html Exhibit 2. Yakima, WA MSA Employment by Traded Cluster, 2010 Source: U.S. Economic Development Administration, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, http://clustermapping.us 27 Exhibit 3. Utilized Non-citrus Fruit Production in the U.S. 2012 Source: USDA, http://quickstats.nass.usda.gov/ Exhibit 4. U.S. Domestic and Internationally Traded Share of Utilized Apple Production 2000-2012 Source: USDA, http://quickstats.nass.usda.gov/ Exhibit 5. WA and NY, Bearing, Yield and Value 2010-2012 Source: USDA, http://quickstats.nass.usda.gov/ 28 Exhibit 6. Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSA Clusters: Overall Composition and Wages 2010 Source: U.S. Economic Development Administration, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, http://clustermapping.us Exhibit 7. Yakima, WA and Rochester MSA Employment by Traded Agriculture Subcluster, 2010 Source: U.S. Economic Development Administration, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, http://clustermapping.us Exhibit 8. Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSA Wages by Agricultural Products Subcluster, 2010 29 Source: U.S. Economic Development Administration, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, http://clustermapping.us Exhibit 9. Yakima, WA and Rochester, NY MSA, Share of National Employment by Selected Cluster and Subcluster 1998-2010. 30 Source: U.S. Economic Development Administration, Institute for Strategy and Competitiveness, http://clustermapping.us Exhibit 10. Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas Counties) Apple Orchard Workers as a Percentage of Regional and WA State Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 Year 2013 2012 2011 Year 2013 2012 2011 Year 2013 2012 2011 Year 2013 2012 2011 Apple Orchard Workers as a Percentage of Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas Counties) Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 69.9% 41.1% 32.9% 40.9% 38.6% 37.3% 20.8% 38.9% 67.8% 74.5% 57.1% 71.3% 60.5% 48.4% 44.1% 31.2% 43.3% 29.2% 37.9% 71.3% 83.3% 87.7% 64.9% 60.8% 49.7% 44.9% 52.7% 41.9% 31.8% 53.5% 59.5% 73.8% 76.0% Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas County) Apple Orchard Workers as a Percentage of State Total Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 53.9% 44.1% 39.6% 49.0% 41.0% 36.3% 27.3% 41.5% 60.4% 70.9% 57.6% 58.3% 53.3% 45.8% 47.9% 38.8% 39.1% 21.9% 29.4% 66.1% 75.8% 74.7% 59.7% 52.7% 44.5% 38.6% 46.0% 42.1% 27.5% 36.2% 58.5% 71.8% 71.5% Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas County) Apple Orchard Workers as a Percentage of State Total Apple Orchard Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 44.5% 27.1% 22.7% 25.5% 29.2% 32.7% 20.6% 25.0% 40.8% 30.6% 20.0% 41.3% 35.5% 31.1% 26.2% 25.1% 38.8% 41.1% 33.7% 35.4% 35.9% 41.4% 36.2% 38.7% 32.0% 32.2% 36.1% 28.1% 40.6% 41.3% 34.3% 36.6% 32.6% Region 2 (Yakima and Kittitas County) Apple Orchard Workers as a Percentage of State Seasonal Labor 2011-2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 24.0% 12.0% 9.0% 12.5% 12.0% 11.9% 5.6% 10.4% 24.6% 21.7% 11.5% 24.1% 19.0% 14.3% 12.6% 9.8% 15.2% 9.0% 9.9% 23.4% 27.3% 31.0% 21.6% 20.4% 14.2% 12.4% 16.6% 11.8% 11.1% 14.9% 20.1% 26.3% 23.3% Source: WA ESD Seasonal Agricultural Employment Data 2011-2013, Dec 78.2% 75.2% 73.4% Dec 53.4% 55.7% 60.7% Dec 34.4% 49.2% 26.9% Dec 18.3% 27.4% 16.3% 31 32 6. 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