MATH 1333 Take home Exam Two ANSWERS Problem 1 (70 points) We roll two fair six sided dice. Find the following probabilities: (a) A sum of seven (1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1) (b) A sum of eight (2,6),(3,5),(4,4),(5,3),(6,2) (c) A sum of nine (d) A sum of ten 3 36 0 36 (f) A sum of seven OR a sum of ten i A five on the first die 4 36 (4,6),(5,5),(6,4) = 1 6 1 9 1 12 = =0 (1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1),(4,6),(5,5),(6,4) 6 36 (5,1),(5,2),(5,3),(5,4),(5,5),(5,6) ii A five on the second die = 5 36 (3,6),(4,5),(5,4),(6,3) (e) A sum of seven AND a sum of ten 6 36 (5,6),(5,5),(5,4),(5,3),(5,2),(5,1) = 1 6 6 36 = 9 36 = 1 4 1 6 (1,6),(2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2),(6,1), (5,1),(5,2),(5,3),(5,4),(5,5),(5,6) iii A sum of seven OR a five on the first die 11 36 1 36 (5,2) iv A sum of seven AND a five on the first die Problem 2 (70 points) For each of the following situations, find BOTH the probability of and the odds for, or in favor of the given event. 1 2 (a) Flip one coin and it comes up heads 1:1 3 4 (b) Flip two coins and we get at least one head 7 8 (c) Flip three coins and we get at least one head 1 6 (d) Roll one die and it comes up six 3:1 7:1 1:5 11 36 (e) Roll two dice and we get at least one six 91 216 (f) Roll three dice and we get at least one six 11 : 15 91 : 125 Problem 3 (70 points) Rob and Lydia are going to play a game. They roll one fair die. If an even number comes up, Lydia gets $1. If an odd number comes up, Rob gets $1. Find the expected value of this game from Rob’s perspective in each of the following cases: (a) The die has six sides ( 63 (1) + 36 (−1) = 0 (b) The die has seven sides ( 73 (−1) + 74 (1) = (c) The die has eight sides ( 48 (1) + 48 (−1) = 0 (d) The die has nine sides (e) The die has ten sides ( 49 (−1) + 59 (1) = 5 ( 10 (1) + 5 10 (−1) 1 7 1 9 =0 = 0.143 = 0.111 Problem 4 (70 points) Rob and Lydia are going to play a new game. They roll one fair die. If an even number comes up, Lydia gets the amount showing in dollars. (So $4 if a four comes up) If an odd number comes up, Rob gets the amount showing in dollars. (So $3 if a three comes up) Find the expected value of this game from Rob’s perspective in each of the following cases: 1 6 (1) (a) The die has six sides + 16 (−2) + 16 (3) + 16 (−4) + 61 (5) + 16 (−6) = − 21 = −0.50 (b) The die has seven sides 1 7 (1) (c) The die has eight sides 1 8 (1) 1 9 (1) (d) The die has nine sides (e) The die has ten sides − 12 = 0.50 + 17 (−2) + 17 (3) + 17 (−4) + 17 (5) + 71 (−6) + 71 (7) = + 1 8 (−2) + 1 8 (3) + 1 8 (−4) + 1 8 (5) + 1 8 (−6) + 1 8 (7) + 4 7 = 0.571 1 8 (−8) = − 12 = 0.50 + 19 (−2) + 91 (3) + 19 (−4) + 19 (5) + 19 (−6) + 19 (7) + 19 (−8) + 19 (9) = 5 9 = 0.556 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 (1) + 10 (−2) + 10 (3) + 10 (−4) + 10 (5) + 10 (−6) + 10 (7) + 10 (−8) + 10 (9) + 10 (−10) Problem 5 (70 points) Use the following table of information to answer the following conditional questions. Topping Cheese Meat Veggie Freshman 1 5 9 Sophmore 2 6 10 Junior 3 7 11 Senior 4 8 12 1. A students favorite topping is Veggie if we know they are a Junior 11 = 0.5238 3 + 7 + 11 2. A students favorite topping is Veggie if we know they are not a Junior 9 + 10 + 12 = 0.543 1 + 2 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 12 3. A students favorite topping is not Veggie if we know they are a Junior 3+7 = 0.1754 3 + 7 + 11 4. A students favorite topping is not Veggie if we know they are not a Junior 1+2+4+5+6+8 = 0.456 1 + 2 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 12 5. A students favorite topping is Veggie if we know they are a Junior or a Senior 11 + 12 = 0.511 3 + 4 + 7 + 8 + 11 + 12 6. A students favorite topping is Veggie if we know they are a Junior and a Senior No one is both a Junior and a Senior so 0. 7. A students favorite topping is Veggie or Cheese if we know they are a Junior 3 + 11 = 0.667 3 + 7 + 11 8. A students favorite topping is Veggie or Cheese if we know they are not a Junior 1 + 2 + 4 + 9 + 10 + 12 = 0.667 1 + 2 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 12 9. A students favorite topping is Veggie or Cheese if we know they are a Junior or a Senior 3 + 4 + 11 + 12 = 0.667 3 + 4 + 7 + 8 + 11 + 12 10. A students favorite topping is Veggie or Cheese if we know they are not a Junior or not a Senior 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 9 + 10 + 11 + 12 = 0.667 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 + 10 + 11 + 12 11. A students favorite topping is Veggie or Cheese if we know they are not a Junior and not a Senior 1 + 2 + 9 + 10 = 0.667 =