Voting, Campaigns, & Elections Government 656.001 Fall 2008 Instructor: Sean A. Cain, PhD. Email: cain@american.edu Office Hours: Friday 10-12 or by appointment Office: Ward 224 Class Meeting: Tu. 8:10 to 10:40 p.m. (Ward 304) This course is designed to acquaint graduate students with the central themes and issues in the study of voting in national elections. The grade will be based upon course participation, a takehome midterm exam, a take-home final exam, and a comparative campaign study. In the latter assignment, you will choose two states holding Senate elections in 2008 and develop an argument for why those states had similar or different senatorial and presidential election outcomes. This assignment will test your ability to apply course content to a practical setting as well as encourage you to immerse yourself in FEC data, legislative records, campaign technology, and local political environments. Each component of the course will account for 10%, 30%, 30%, and 30% of your final grade, respectively. Books Berelson et al. Voting Campbell et al. The American Voter Zaller. The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion Holbrook. Do Campaigns Matter? Popkin, Samuel. The Reasoning Voter Rosenstone and Hansen. Mobilization, Participation, and Democracy in America Corrado, et al. The New Campaign Finance Sourcebook Assigned Readings (Note: This are subject to change, with advanced notice.) August 26 Introduction Sept. 2 Voting 1 Berelson et al., Voting, Chapters 1, 6, 7, 11-14 Campbell et al., American Voter Chapters 1-4, 6-8, 19-20. Downs, An Economic Theory of Democracy, Chapters 1, 3, 11-13 (on library reserve) Sept. 9 Voting 2 Riker and Ordeshook, A Theory of the Calculus of Voting Popkin et al., What Have You Done for Me Lately? Popkin, Reasoning Voter, Chapters 1-3; Bartels, Partisanship and Voting Behavior Fedderson, Rational Choice Theory and the Paradox of Not Voting Sept. 16 Participation Rosenstone and Hansen, Chapters 1-3, 5-7 Gerber et al., Voting May Be Habit-Forming Green and Shachar, Habit Formation and Political Behaviour McClurg, The Electoral Relevance of Political Talk McDonald and Popkin, The myth of the vanishing voter Quattrone and Tversky, Contrasting Rational and Psychological Analyses of Political Choice Sept. 23 Belief Systems Converse, Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics (1964) Kinder, Belief Systems Today Popkin, Factual Basis of "Belief Systems" Lupia, Elitism and Voter Competence Kuklinski, et al., Misinformation and the Currency of Democratic Citizenship Conover and Feldman, The Origins and Meaning of Liberal/Conservative SelfIdentification Sept. 30 Public Opinion Zaller, The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion, Chapters 1-6 Zaller and Feldman, Simple Theory of the Survey Response Lacy, Nonseparable Preferences in Survey Responses Lawrence and Bennett, Rethinking media politics and public opinion Berinsky, Two Faces of Public Opinion Oct. 7 Campaigns Effects 1 Zaller, Chapter 10 Holbrook, Do Campaigns Matter? Chapters 1-6 Burden, Senators as Presidential Candidates Ansolabehere and Iyengar, Riding the Wave and Claiming Ownership over Issues Vavreck, et al. The Effects of Retail Politics in the New Hampshire Primary Oct. 14 Campaigns Effects 2 Sigelman and Kugler, Why is research on the effects of negative campaigning so inconclusive? Ansolabehere, et al. Does Attack Advertising Demobilize the Electorate? Clinton and Lapinski, 'Targeted' Advertising and Turnout" Krasno and Green, Do Televised Presidential Ads Increase Voter Turnout? Franz, Freedman, Goldstein, and Ridout, Understanding the Effect of Political Advertising on Voter Turnout Krasno and Green, Response to FFGR Freedman et al., Campaign Advertising and Democratic Citizenship Theilmann and Wilhite, Campaign Tactics and the Decision to Attack Oct. 21 Workshop in Campaign Advertising (Midterm Due) Oct. 28 Campaign Finance Corrado, et al. The New Campaign Finance Sourcebook. Jacobson, The Effects of Campaign Spending in Congressional Elections Abramowitz, Incumbency, Campaign Spending, and the Decline of Competition in U.S. House Elections Box-Steffensmeier, A Dynamic Analysis of the Role of War Chests in Campaign Strategy Nov. 4 Mass Media Popkin, Reasoning Voter Chapters 4, 5 Miller and Krosnick, News Media Impact on Presidential Evaluations Iyengar, et al. Experimental demonstrations of the ‘not-so-minimal’ consequences of television newscasts Baum and Kernell, Cable and presidential Television Nov. 11 Issues and Trust Bartels, “Class Politics and Partisan Change” and “Homer Gets a Tax Cut” Aldrich et al., Foreign Affairs and Issue Voting Mughan and Lacy, Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice Abramowitz and Segal, Beyond Willie Horton Cook and Gronke, The Skeptical American Hetherington, The effect of political trust Nov. 18 Electoral Institutions Wlezien and Erikson, The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns Bartels, Candidate Choice and the Dynamics of the Presidential Nominating Process Garand and Parent, Representation, Swing, and Bias in U.S. Presidential Elections Gelman and King, Enhancing Democracy Through Legislative Redistricting Hetherington, et al. The Redistricting Cycle and Strategic Candidate Decisions in U.S. House Races Dec. 2 Paper Workshop & Final Exam Review Bibliography Abramowitz, Alan I. “Incumbency, Campaign Spending, and the Decline of Competition in U.S. House Elections.” The Journal of Politics, Vol. 53, No. 1. (Feb., 1991), pp. 34-56. Abramowitz, Alan I. and Jeffrey A. Segal (1990). "Beyond Willie Horton and the Pledge of Allegiance: National Issues in the 1988 Elections." Legislative Studies Quarterly 15(4): 565-580. Aldrich, John H., John L. Sullivan and Eugene Borgida (1989). "Foreign Affairs and Issue Voting: Do Presidential Candidates "Waltz Before A Blind Audience?"" The American Political Science Review 83(1): 123-141. Ansolabehere, S. and S. Iyengar (1994). "Riding the Wave and Claiming Ownership over Issues - the Joint Effects of Advertising and News Coverage in Campaigns." Public Opinion Quarterly 58(3): 335-357. 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"Voting May Be Habit-Forming: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment." American Journal of Political Science 47(3): 540-550. Green, D. P. and R. Shachar (2000). "Habit Formation and Political Behaviour: Evidence of Consuetude in Voter Turnout." British Journal of Political Science 30: 561-573. Grofman, B. (2004). "Downs and two-party convergence." Annual Review of Political Science 7: 25-46. Hetherington, M. J. (1999). "The effect of political trust on the presidential vote, 1968-96." American Political Science Review 93(2): 311-326. Hetherington, M. J. and M. Nelson (2003). "Anatomy of a rally effect: George W. Bush and the war on terrorism." Ps-Political Science & Politics 36(1): 37-42. Hetherington, Marc J.; Bruce Larson; and Suzanne Globetti. "The Redistricting Cycle and Strategic Candidate Decisions in U.S. House Races." The Journal of Politics, Vol. 65, No. 4. (Nov., 2003), pp. 1221-1234. Iyengar, Shanto, Mark Peters, and Donald Kinder. 1982. 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Political Science Quarterly 116(3): 425-446. Lupia, Arthur (2007). "How Elitism Undermines the Study of Voter Competence." Critical Review 18(1-3): 217-232. Lupia, Arthur, Adam Seth Levine, et al. (2005). "Were Bush Tax Cut Supporters “Simply Ignorant?”: A Second Look at Conservatives and Liberals in “Homer Gets a Tax Cut”." McClurg, Scott D. "The Electoral Relevance of Political Talk: Examining Disagreement and Expertise Effects in Social Networking on Political Participation." American Journal of Political Science 50(3): 737-754. McDonald, M. P. and S. L. Popkin (2001). "The myth of the vanishing voter." American Political Science Review 95(4): 963-974. Miller, Joanne M. and Jon A. Krosnick (2000). "News Media Impact on the Ingredients of Presidential Evaluations: Politically Knowledgeable Citizens Are Guided by a Trusted Source." American Journal of Political Science 44(2): 301-315. Mughan, Anthony and Dean Lacy (2002). "Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice." British Journal of Political Science 32: 513-533. Popkin, Samuel, John W. Gorman, et al. (1976). "Comment: What Have You Done for Me Lately? Toward An Investment Theory of Voting." The American Political Science Review 70(3): 779-805. Popkin, Samuel L. (1994). The reasoning voter : communication and persuasion in presidential campaigns. Chicago, University of Chicago Press ——— (2007). "The Factual Basis of "Belief Systems": A Reassessment." Critical Review 18(13): 233-254. Quattrone, G. A. and A. Tversky (1988). "Contrasting Rational and Psychological Analyses of Political Choice." American Political Science Review 82(3): 719-736. Riker, William H. and Peter C. Ordeshook. "A Theory of the Calculus of Voting." The American Political Science Review, Vol. 62, No. 1. (Mar., 1968), pp. 25-42. Sigelman, L. and M. Kugler (2003). "Why is research on the effects of negative campaigning so inconclusive? Understanding citizens' perceptions of negativity." Journal of Politics 65(1): 142-160. Theilmann, John and Allen Wilhite (1998). "Campaign Tactics and the Decision to Attack." Journal of Politics 60(4): 1050-1062. Vavreck, Lynn, Constatine J. Spiliotes, and Linda L. Fowler. 2002. “The Effects of Retail Politics in the New Hampshire Primary.” American Journal of Political Science. 46: 595-610. Christopher Wlezien and Robert Erikson. 2002. “The Timeline of Presidential Election Campaigns.” The Journal of Politics. 64: 969-993. Zaller, J. and S. Feldman (1992). "A Simple Theory of the Survey Response - Answering Questions Versus Revealing Preferences." American Journal of Political Science 36(3): 579-616.