Defining and capturing synergy Introduction Synergy can be defined as the value of the cost saving and revenue enhancements of an acquisition. It represents the premium paid and consequently becomes the target for the Director responsible for the subsequent integration. Deal advisers push for speed and encourage confidence in the achievement of synergies as their fees depend on this. The result is that a price is set which includes a generous bid premium – supported by heroic assumptions on the synergies that can be achieved. The process of identifying these synergy gains is usually top down rather than bottom-up. Bid premiums backed by heroic pre-deal assumptions often lead to impossible challenges for the post acquisition integration teams Figure 1: Elusive synergies? Company Deal size Premium Expected growth i before deal Required growth after ii deal Deutsche Bank/ Bankers Trust $8.9 billion 42% 2.6% 7.1% Exxon/Mobil $77.2 billion 34% 9.9% 12.9% Comment Cultures and organisational structure differ widely. Growth must almost treble to justify the price Implies need to increase return on capital to 17.3% Mobil's highest ROCE since 1993 has been 12.2% Source: Fortune, Jan 1999 based on Stern Stewart's analysis 1 Target company's expected ten-year annualized growth in net operating profits after tax (NOPAT) implied by the market price 1 NOPAT growth implied by proposed price for target company Any bid premium reflects, either wholly or in part, the anticipated synergies. It is important to be realistic when assessing the value of the acquisition. This entails digging deeper into the operational details prior to closing the deal. To do this, senior managers must guard against being overtaken by the enthusiasm of the advisors, investors, press and stakeholder institutions for the deal. As can be seen from the frequent high level failures to deliver synergies, this lesson often is ignored. 1|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa The sources of synergy There are seven sources of synergyiii. These can be divided into revenue enhancements or cost reductions. Figure 2: Sources of synergy Revenue enhancements Cost reductions Co-ordinated strategies The benefits of reduced competition between competitors can lead to optimised pricing and greater co-ordination of reactions to competitive threats. Shared know-how This involves the sharing of best practice in business processes, leveraging expertise in functional areas or pooling knowledge about how to succeed in specific markets. Horizontal integration This involves the expansion of product lines to the same market or the extension of similar product lines into different geographic (or other, not just geographic) markets. Shared tangible resources This entails achieving the benefits of economies of scale and eliminating duplicated effort when physical assets and resources are shared. These include: manufacturing facilities, R&D facilities, warehousing and logistics. Shared head-office functions Acquisitions almost always lead to economies of scale for certain head office functions such as HR, Finance, Legal and PR. Pooled negotiating power Purchasing power results from increased scale. At the very minimum, purchasing power can be extended to overhead items such as stationery, travel, telephones and to assets such as vehicles. Vertical integration This entails bringing together the flow of products and services between businesses. Why are synergies so difficult to realise Revenue enhancing synergies usually make up the larger proportion of the total synergy gains expected. However, once the deal has been signed, they are often relegated in importance because they are insufficiently tangible and they take longer to achieve. The emphasis is usually placed on the "hard" numbers – the cost reduction exercises such as head office and procurement duplication. 2|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa Figure 4: Source of synergy Shared know-how Shared tangible resources Shared head-office functions Pooled negotiating power Co-ordinated strategies Vertical integration Horizontal integration How elusive are different types of synergy? The know-how is usually not formalised, but tacit. This achievement of such synergies means that managers have to formalise what they do. This is not only extremely difficult, but is perceived as weakening their position within the company. Easy to say, but difficult to implement because one side invariably loses out in the integration process which leads to political warfare. Differing IT systems, platforms and infrastructures can also hinder the process. Take one of two forms - a) bold and efficient whereby the acquirer makes the decisions and moves fast. This leads to a loss of morale which affects subsequent levels of collaboration or b) co-operative whereby the acquirer keeps both management team alongside. This takes longer, and has the risk that acquirer is perceived as too consensus driven and lacks the will to turn the business around. Reasonably straightforward if the head office uses its powers of influence over the business units. Requirements, procedures and key suppliers will differ. Mandates are usually required to implement the savings. Usually seen as a quick win - of benefit because profits increase without the need to reduce headcount. The acquisition of a competitor can often be perceived as a war against the culture, management and products of the acquired company. The achievement of any co-ordinated strategies depends on the success of the rationalisation of product lines into the same market (or the extension of products into new markets). This is usually slow and entails winners and losers in senior sales positions causing political fall-out. Usually sold internally as making the supply chain more efficient. However, the integration of an internal supplier with an internal customer only makes sense if costs are reduced below market rates. However, the customer feels trapped by the single supplier relationship and the supplier becomes a monopoly with a desire to push prices up not down. If the supplier becomes a cost centre, then the loss of P&L status can be demotivating. Sales-force morale suffers because of the rationalisation and the need to spread themselves across a wider product range. Geographic extensions only work if the products are correctly targeted at the new markets. If not this results in further sales-force resentment. Scale: 1=Straightforward 1 Scale of ease How elusive is it? 4=Difficult These are derived from our own work and from Synergy, a 1998 book by Goold and Campbell, published by Capstone 3|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa 4 3 2 1 3 4 3 The table argues that most of the seven sources of synergy are difficult to achieve. These specific difficulties are made worse by the context in which an acquisition is made. For example: External deal-makers drive the process Making a large acquisition entails using the services of one of the Merchant Banks. These institutions capture a percentage of the value once the deal has closed. They therefore take considerable risks in offering their services up front, but benefit enormously once a deal has closed. It is therefore in their interests to drive the deal forward as quickly as possible. The due diligence processes are risks to them in that they may uncover issues that could put a stop to the deal. Within this context, it is no surprise that the discussions over potential synergies are dealt with confidently. Availability of data Data rooms made available during the deal process provide some information about the operations but usually not enough to judge how large the synergies could be. The result is that a set of poorly worked assumptions are made which soon form part of the financial models and therefore become set in stone. The underlying data behind these assumptions can be "back of the envelope" which are difficult to find after the deal has gone through. In addition, where the data rooms do hold information, it is weighted in favour of costs rather than revenue synergies. The data room will provide detailed management accounts, but will not elucidate key account plans or information on customer needs going forward. This further encourages the short-term focus on cost reduction as part of the integration process. The nature of strategy The traditional process for making acquisitions is as follows: Develop corporate strategy Shortlist companies Pitch This approach has been undermined by the demise of corporate planning. These days, companies pronounce vision and mission statements, but have no clear plan to achieving them. More typically, companies find themselves sitting on excess funds and face pressure from investors to earn positive EVA results. A CEO facing this scenario calls in the merchant bankers who find suitable acquisitions. Each could be described as suitable against the broad backdrop of the corporate vision. Strategy becomes a reactive event to an opportunity. 4|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa How should synergies be valued before the deal? The analysis undertaken by acquirers on likely synergy gains is often rudimentary. Assumptions are made about head office cost reduction, sales increments, and production scale economies. A final figure is carved out of three or four components, a date by which this is to be achieved and no more background information. It is this number that pays for the bid premium. It is therefore important to dig more deeply. Step 1: Disaggregate the potential benefits The first step is to disaggregate the potential benefits into their component parts. This will allow managers to determine the specific questions that they need to answer before the deal. Figure 5 provides an example. Disaggregating the benefits No need for duplicate Treasuers , HR directors and FDs Reduction in Head Office costs What are the salaries and on-costs? Length of service contracts? Are earn-outs being offered? Can the space be used? Removal of non-execs What are the costs? How much is left to pay? Removal of bank charges and fees How much is left to pay in this financial year? How much next year? Centralising payroll How different are the terms and conditions? Can our systems deal with this added complexity? How will payroll changes be organised? Reduce staff communications costs per head What are the costs of the staff communications pa? How much for the rest of this financial year? Are their printing costs high or lower than ours? Step 2: Dig for the answers The second step is for the acquirer to use its operational managers to uncover the answers. Ideally, this will be done through face-to-face discussions with operational managers in equivalent positions on the other side. If this proves to be difficult, then place more resource into finding the answers a) within the data room and b) through covert discussions with suppliers and customers. This exercise must be orchestrated effectively and will require the full-time support of a project manager assigned to the task. 5|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa Step 3: Gauge the result The third step is to document what has been found in such a way that it is useful during the integration process. Prepare an expected value against each of the disaggregated synergy areas and provide a minimum and maximum. We advocate simulating the final results using specialist PC packages. Step 4: Ensure you have the capability to achieve the benefits Some companies simply allocate the task of achieving the benefits to line managers. This is a risky process because it assumes a) that they want to be involved and b) are capable of making it happen. In practice, it is wise to allocate the more important project to a central team (see next section) and to ensure that you have the right level of external consultancy support if the company is relatively inexperienced in making acquisitions. Synergy realisation – focus your effort Once the deal has been signed, a process needs to be implemented to achieve the integration. This entails dealing with both a large number of administrative issues and the achievement of the strategically important synergy gains. It is very easy during the first 100 days to become lost in the detail and disregard the more important matters. The importance of focussing effort on the few integration projects likely to lead to the most benefit cannot be underestimated. Figure 6 shows a template to prioritise the potential projects. Figure 6: Prioritisation Projects in Rank Order PBT Scaled 1-10 Where 10 = R500k Weighted 50% Ease of Implementation Scaled 1-10 Weight = 20% Timescales to Implementation Scaled 1-10 Weight = 30% The Integration Director will have a "to do" list of several hundred items. It is important to understand how these should be allocated. If all the activities are allocated to a team, then the integration will become rooted in bureaucracy. If they are all allocated to the line, then the board will not be able to monitor and push for progress. To overcome these potential problems, the following principles should be adopted: Non-complex issues should never be allocated to a team as this will slow down progress. Allocate them to the relevant individual and tick them off as soon as they have been completed; 6|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa Do not allocate radical cost reductions to teams comprising members with a vested interest. It's better to make these decisions at the top with a small team of analysts; Projects with high levels of potential synergies, but with complexities should be allocated to joint integration team and directed by an integration project board, who act as representatives of the Integration Director. These teams should be disbanded once they have made their recommendations. Synergy monitoring – output control It is vital to understand how well the integration is progressing. This entails firming up on the estimated synergy gains and simulating the final result. We advocate using project templates with weekly progress reports for the five or six priority projects. Other synergy activities can be monitored on a monthly basis. Integration requires a temporary organisational structure to be created for a period of around six months. This is illustrated below in Figure 7. Figure 7: Illustrative Integration Project Management Organisation Integration Integration Project ProjectBoard Board Meeting monthly Integration Management Integration Management Team Team Programme Programme Office Office Mentors to priority projects Mentors brief to priority projects Watching over others Watching brief over others Meeting weekly Business unit, HQ and functional sponsorship team Projects managed by by Projects managed project managers allocated to business units, units, project managers allocated to business functions and HQ who own the project functions and BPO HQ who own thesponsors project sponsors 7|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa Conclusions Once the deal is signed, ensure that a correct balance is found between cost reductions and revenue enhancements. There will always be pressure to focus on cost reduction, because it is more tangible. Prioritise the projects that could be undertaken and implement a rigorous project management approach with senior involvement on a weekly basis. Monitor success and track the achievement of synergies. Only disband the integration teams once there is certainty of success. It is at this point that implementation actions can be allocated to line management and incorporated in the on-going performance management system. -o0oAbout Auxilium Africa Auxilium Africa was formed to provide incubation and start up services; consulting on business expansion into Southern Africa; and specialist advice on all aspects of mergers and acquisitions. The company brings to bear in-depth experience from a team of specialist consultants across a diverse range of disciplines, including finance, strategy development, operations and logistics, information technology, marketing and communications, and organisational development. To contact Auxilium Africa call: +27 (11) 283 7710 8|Page Copyright: Auxilium Africa