STATE SAFETY PROGRAM (SSP) - UAE EXPERIENCE Capt Nasir Iqbal UAE Aviation Industry • 30 Operators – 5 Scheduled Carriers • • • • • • • • Airports 7 4 Training Schools Over 45 MROs Pilots 8,243 Cabin Crew 32,674 Engineers 3,340 Numerous Training Organizations Numerous over seas MROs UAE Aircraft Movement 900000 800000 700000 600000 623895 672547 763552 785874 2013 2014 719907 557130 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 UAE Registered Aircraft Movement 450000 400000 371016 321649 350000 300000 239614 250000 200000 391764 272519 138356 150000 100000 50000 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 UAE Registered Aircraft 900 763 800 700 644 589 600 500 693 485 529 400 300 200 100 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 UAE Registered Aircraft Non Scheduled 54 % 46 % Scheduled Operators ICAO RASGs RASG - MID • • • • • • • • Bahrain Egypt Iraq Iran Jordan Kuwait Lebanon Libya • • • • • • • Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia Sudan Syria United Arab Emirates Yemen Global Accident Records Scheduled Commercial Flights 2009 102 2010 104 2011 2012 655 626 372 118 388 99 Number of accidents Number of fatalities 2013 90 173 ICAO Report 2014 Global Accident Trend 140 120 1 100 21 2.299 2.7 80 2 60 40 20 0 8. 102 118 33 104 19 8 12 1 2009 90 49 2 71 1.8 0 0 39 2.8 5 20 39 2.8 5 20 39 9 2010 1 13 39 2011 2.8 11 2.8 2012 5 9 2013 5 Accident 20 Fatal 20 Accidents ICAO Report 2014 Global Accident Fatalities 700 600 65519 500 626 21 2 300 39 2009 388 5 39 2010 20 2.8 2011 49 2 1.8 372 2.8 2.8 0 1 2.7 400 200 100 2.2 2012 71 0 0 5 20 173 5 2013 20 Fatalities ICAO Report 2014 Global Accident Rate (per million departures) 2009 4.1 2010 4.2 2011 4.2 2012 2013 3.2 2.8 ICAO Report 2014 Global Accident Data Harmonized with IATA RASG Estimated Departures (in millions) Number of accidents Accident rate (per million departures) Fatal accidents Fatalities AFI 0.7 9 12.9 1 33 APAC 8.6 19 2.2 1 49 EUR 7.9 21 2.7 2 71 MID 1.1 2 1.8 0 0 PA 13.8 39 2.8 5 20 WORLD 32.1 90 2.8 9 173 ICAO Report 2014 Global Accident Data Harmonized with IATA RASG AFI Share of Traffic Share of Accidents 2% 10% APAC 27% 21% EUR 25% 23% MID 3% 3% 43% 43% PA ICAO Report 2014 UAE STATE SAFETY PROGRAM (SSP) SSP Development • Phased Development Approach • Starting from Gap Analysis 2009 • Implementation Plan 2010 State Safety Program State Safety Policy SSP Manual Safety Analysis Start 30/10/12 01/01/10 29/12/11 Service providers safety performance Initial agreement 30/06/13 31/12/12 97% 31/12/14 SSP Components State Safety Policy and Objectives State Safety Risk Management State Safety Assurance State Safety Promotion State Safety Policy & Objectives • 1.1 State Safety Legislative Framework – CALs and CARs – Established – State Safety Policy – Developed in 2011 – Search & Rescue Regulations – Completed in 2012 • Operations shared between UAE Defence Forces & Dubai Police • UAE National Centre for SAR – Under UAE Supreme Council for National Security • Certification/Over-Sight/Audit - GCAA State Safety Policy & Objectives • 1.2 State Safety Responsibilities and Accountabilities H.E. the DG of GCAA is Accountable Manager for SSP SSP Implementation Plan upgraded to Project in 2011 Development being monitored by PMO Safety Management Panel (SMP) – 2011 SMP upgraded to Safety Management Committee (SMC) 2012 – SSP Manual – 2012 – SSP Interdepartmental Procedure Manual - 2013 – – – – – State Safety Policy & Objectives • 1.3 Accident and Incident Investigation – GCAA AAIS – An Independent Sector in GCAA • 1.4 UAE Enforcement Standard – Enforcement Standard Established in 2013 – Provisions for SPs to resolve issues – Conditions for State’s intervention – Non Punitive State Safety Risk Management • 2.1 Safety Requirements for Service Provider’s SMS – CAR Part – X issued in 2010 – CAAP 50 Published as Guidance Material – CAR Part – X revision in process as part of periodic review State Safety Risk Management • 2.2 Agreement on Service Providers Safety Performance – SPM Model developed in 2012 • Enhancement of ICAO guidelines as per SMM 9859 SPIs ACTION PLANS SPOs Terminated SPOs SPTs ← STATE CONCERNS ← BEST INDUSTRY PRACTICES ← PARAMETERS TO COMPLETE MAPPING OF THE ENTIRE SYSTEM PROACTIVE REPORTING CHANNELS DATA GCAA SPM MODEL Foundations of GCAA SPM • Safety Performance Indicators (SPIs) • Safety Performance Targets (SPTs) • Safety Performance Objectives (SPOs) • Action Plans Industry Engagement Educating the Industry Assisting the Industry SPM Development • National Seminars : 03 • Workshops held : 35 • Follow up meetings : 100+ • Inspector Trainings : 06 • Guidance Material : 3 SPM Implementation in UAE 62% Increase 2013 2014 SPM Comparison 60% 57% 50% 40% 36% 31% 33% HC SPI 30% 20% 20% 23% 10% 0% 2013 2014 LC SPI SPO State Safety Assurance • 3.1 Safety Oversight – Annual Oversight Plan – SMS Audit Criteria established in 2012 – SMS Audits Completed by 2013 – Detailed SMS Audit criteria development in process – SPMs Audits initiated in 2014 State Safety Assurance • 3.2 Safety Data Collection, Analysis & Exchange – SDCPS • ROSI – 2010 • VORSY – 2012 • RODGO/ROSB – 2013 – On line Reporting systems – Investigations/Inquiry – Data Analysis – 2013 – Data Sharing & Information Exchange – In process – Safety Information Protection Law – In process Reporting of Safety Incidents (ROSI) • PERIOD 2010 –2014 – TOTAL – – OPS ROSI (AOAW) – – ANA ROSI (ATC, AOP, BWI) – 20,988 7,554 13,433 Reporting of Safety Incidents (ROSI) 700 599 Number of Reports 600 537 500 420 428 424 421 400 300 200 454 492 451 471 583 500 322 270 250 198 150 177 211 226 237 100 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2010 2011 2012 Quarters / Years 2013 2014 2015 Annual ROSI Statistics Accident & Serious Incidents 16 14 14 12 10 8 6 6 4 4 2 Accident Serious Incident 1 1 2012 2013 3 0 2014 Safety Data Analysis Analysis a. Exploratory data analysis (EDA) : Analyzing data sets to summarize their main characteristics b. Descriptive statistics : Quantitatively describing the main features of a collection of information OPS ROSI DATA ANALYSIS QLIKVIEW ROSI ECCAIRS LEVEL 1 5022 Aircraft operation general Aircraft/system/component 1628 Consequential events 1546 Regulatory issues / events 247 Aerodrome & ground aids 157 Air Navigation Services 106 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 LEVEL 2 –SYSTEM COMPONENT Non-component specific events 306 Landing gear 259 Hydraulic system 126 Air conditioning & pressurization 83 Aircraft equipment/furnishing 78 Navigation systems 69 Aircraft's doors 68 Fuel system 56 Aircraft wing structure 54 Engine oil system 49 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 LEVEL 3 – Non Component Specific Explosions / fire/ fumes / smoke 292 Vibration / rattle / noise 14 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 LEVEL 4 – Explosion Fire Smoke Fumes Smoke 193 Smell 31 Fire 26 Electrical smell 23 Fumes 13 Explosion 3 0 50 100 150 200 250 LEVEL 5– Smoke Smoke - Galley 108 Smoke - Passenger cabin 42 Smoke - Cockpit 16 Smoke - Cargo hold / pod 12 Smoke - Lavatory 6 Smoke - Other location 5 Smoke - Powerplant 3 Smoke - APU 3 Smoke - Avionics bay 2 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 ROSI – Main Incidents Incident ACAS/TCAS warning triggered Wake turbulence Medical emergency - passenger Deviation/ATC clearance Communications flight crew with ANS Interference by LASER/Beamer Cabin crew - injury sustained Hard landing Difficult / unruly passenger Cabin crew - medical Struck/damaged by equipment on ground Engine shutdown - precautionary (soft) Flight crew incapacitation/illness/medical issue Engine shutdown (hard) VOLUNTARY REPORTING SYSTEM (VORSY) • Established in 2012 VOLUNTARY REPORTING SYSTEM (VORSY) Objective – To capture hazards, incidents and errors which may not have been reported through mandatory reporting system – Voluntary System – Confidential VORSY Reports • 2012 – 11 • 2013 – 33 • 2014 – 82 VORSY Status 90 82 80 70 60 50 40 33 TOTAL 126 30 20 10 11 0 2012 2013 2014 VORSY – Main Issues Category of Reports Violation of Operational Procedures Cabin Crew Roster Issue Regulatory Issue Engineering Roster Issue Aircraft Technical Issues Airline Administrative/Financial Issues Flight Crew Roster Issue ATC Technical Issues ATC Operational Procedures Issue ATC Roster and Staffing Issues Airline Security Issue Airline Training – Flight Ops/Engineering RISK ASSESSMENTS STATE LEVEL • Wake Turbulence • Airprox & Level Bust – Jul 13 • Inflight Injuries due turbulence – Nov 13 • Galley Smoke Incidents • ROSI Stat Reports • Laser Incidents • Seminar 30 Apr 2015 State Safety Assurance • 3.3 Safety Data Driven Targeting of Oversight of Areas of Greater Concern or Need – Initiated in 2013 – Organization Risk Profiling Criteria – 2013 State Safety Promotion • 4.1 Internal Training, Communication and Dissemination of Safety Information • 4.2 External Training, Communication and Dissemination of Safety Information Ongoing & Continuous Process/Program – – – – – – – Training Conferences Seminars Workshops Newsletters Promotional Materials Support to our partners Challenges • UAE SSP - 5 Years • High Growth rate of industry • Safety Data Availability – ECCAIRS integration • Legislative Processes - time consuming • Development of regulatory competencies – time required • Industry SMS maturity • Defining ALoSP THANK YOU Capt. Nasir Iqbal