Riley E. Dunlap Oklahoma State University Discerning the Need for a Paradigm Shift In trying to establish a field of Environmental Sociology William Catton and I were struck by sociologist’s reluctance to pay attention to environmental problems, even though they had become major social issues by the mid-1970s. We began to examine the context in which sociology had developed, and argued that it shared the unecological perspective of the “Dominant Western Worldview” which assumed that via science and technology humans were becoming free of ecological constraints and that progress and growth were the natural state of affairs—i.e., modern societies were becoming “exempt” from ecological constraints. Mainstream Sociology’s Exemptionalism in 1970s “… the newly found environmental dangers are vastly exaggerated….” Amatai Etzioni, 1970 Basic needs “…are satiable, and the possibility of abundance is real.” Daniel Bell, 1973 “… there are no known limits to the improvement of technology.” Amos Hawley, 1975 Our major problem is declining “faith in progress.” Robert Nisbet, 1979. Calling for a New Paradigm Based on the work of ecologists such as Carson, Hardin, Ehrlich and Commoner we discerned a “new ecological paradigm” developing in intellectual circles and the larger society, and argued that sociology should replace its implicit “human exemptionalism paradigm” (HEP) with an “NEP.” We were NOT suggesting that the NEP would replace current sociological theories, but that embracing it would encourage attention to environmental problems and lead to “greener” versions of sociological theories. Old Versus New Paradigms Comparing the DWW, HEP and NEP Catton and I compared the Dominant Western Worldview, Human Exemptionalism Paradigm (sociology’s disciplinary version of the DWW) and the New Ecological Paradigm in terms of: 1. Assumptions about the nature of human beings. 2. Assumptions about social causation. 3. Assumptions about the context of human society. 4. Assumptions about constraints on human society. Assumptions About the Nature of Human Beings DWW People are fundamentally different from all other creatures on Earth, over which they have dominion. HEP Humans have a cultural heritage in addition to (and distinct from) their genetic inheritance, and thus are quite unlike all other animal species. NEP While humans have exceptional characteristics (culture, technology, etc.), they remain one among many species that are interdependently involved in the global ecosystem. Assumptions About Social Causation DWW People are masters of their destiny; they can choose their goals and learn to do whatever is necessary to achieve them. HEP Social and cultural factors (including technology) are the major determinants of human affairs. NEP Human affairs are influenced not only be social and cultural factors, but also be intricate linkages of cause, effect, and feedback in the web of nature; thus purposive human actions have many unintended consequences. Assumptions About the Context of Human Society DWW The world is vast, and thus provides unlimited opportunities for humans. HEP Social and cultural environments are the crucial context for human affairs, and the biophysical environment is largely irrelevant. NEP Humans live in and are dependent upon a finite biophysical environment which imposes potent physical and biological restraints on human affairs. Assumptions About Constraints on Human Society DWW The history of humanity is one of progress; for every problem there is a solution, and thus progress need never cease. HEP Culture is cumulative; thus technological and social progress can continue indefinitely, making all social problems ultimately soluble. NEP Although the inventiveness of humans and the powers derived therefrom may seem for a while to extend carrying capacity limits, ecological laws cannot be repealed. Clearly Opposing Paradigms C Core of an Ecological Paradigm Viewing the world ecologically involves recognizing that modern human societies are ecosystem-dependent and thus rejecting the assumption that such societies are “exempt” from the forces of nature. Exemptionalist vs. Ecological Paradigms The human exemptionalism and ecological paradigms “entail competing views both of our species and of the global ecosystem: adherents to the human exemptionalism paradigm tend to see the world as infinite and humans as essentially omnipotent, while adherents to the ecological paradigm tend to see the world as finite and humans as constrained by that finiteness.” Dunlap, Comment on Ehrlich-Simon Debate, Social Science Quarterly, March 1983 Simon versus Ehrlich Worldviews Tentative Signs of Societal Worldviews Shifting Not only were academics discussing shifting disciplinary paradigms in the late 1970s, but social commentators were suggesting shifting worldviews with terms like these: Dominant Social Paradigm vs. New Environmental Paradigm Technological vs. Ecological Worldviews Technocentric vs. Ecocentric Worldviews Expansionist vs. Limitationist Worldviews Cornucopian vs. Spaceship Worldviews The Acceptance of Ecological Limits in the Scientific Realm “…it is abundantly clear that human activities… now match or even surpass natural processes as agents of change in the planetary environment.” U.S. National Academy of Sciences, 1990. Emergence of the Anthropocene “Human activities have become so pervasive and profound that they rival the great forces of Nature and are pushing the Earth into planetary terra incognita. The Earth is rapidly moving into a less biologically diverse, less forested, much warmer, and probably wetter and stormier state.” Steffen, Crutzen and McNeill, Ambio (Dec. 2007). Planetary Boundaries – Rockström et al. 2009 Global Ecological Footprint “Today humanity uses the equivalent of 1.5 planets to provide the resources we use and absorb our waste. This means it now takes the Earth one year and six months to regenerate what we use in a year. Moderate UN scenarios suggest that if current population and consumption trends continue, by the 2030s, we will need the equivalent of two Earths to support us. And of course, we only have one.” Global Footprint Network, 2015 Clarifying Limits and Boundaries: Three Functions of the Environment Supply Depot Source of renewable and nonrenewable natural resources (air, water, forests, and fossil fuels) which are necessary to sustain human societies. Overuse results in shortages of renewable resources such as clean air and water and scarcities of nonrenewable resources such as fossil fuels. Waste Repository A “sink” which absorbs the waste products of human life, including industrial production. Exceeding the ability of ecosystems to absorb wastes creates pollution, which may harm humans and other living beings and eventually lead to the disruption of entire ecosystems. Living Space The home for humans and other living beings, including not only our houses but where we work, play, and engage in other activities (for example, our transportation systems). Overuse of this function results in crowding and congestion and the destruction of habitats for other species. Ecological Limits Limits to growth no longer refers primarily to resource limits (as it did in the 1970s), but to the full ensemble of ecological constraints imposed by the finite ability of the global ecosystem to fulfill these three functions for modern societies. The growing global ecological footprints of modern societies suggests that Homo sapiens may have exceeded the Earth’s carrying capacity. The World of Sociology’s Youth Fig. 1. Competing Functions of the Environment -Circa 1900* * Area within largest circle symbolizes global carrying capacity . Contemporary “Overshoot” Fig. 2. Competing Functions of the Environment -Current Situation* * Areas outside of largest circle symbolize human load in excess of global carrying capacity. Scientific Responses In response to growing evidence of ecological limits we see the growth of new fields like “Sustainability Science” aimed at helping document our current ecological situation and find ways to transition to a more ecologically sustainable future. But despite hopes in the late 1970s, the larger society has not accepted the notions of ecological limits and boundaries nearly as much as have many (but clearly not all) scientists. Major Scientific Paradigm Shifts with Significant Societal Implications Copernican Revolution Recognized that the sun and not the earth was the center of our solar system, and thus that the home of human beings (the Earth) was not the center of the ‘universe’. Darwinian Revolution Challenged the notion that humans (Homo sapiens) were a totally unique species that shared nothing in common with other animals. Major Scientific Paradigm Shifts with Significant Societal Implications, cont. Freudian Revolution Challenged the notion that humans were fundamentally rational creatures. Ecological Revolution ? Challenges the notion that humans are ‘exempt’ from the ecological constraints that apply to all other species. Resistance to the NEP The Dominant Western Worldview is inherently optimistic about continued growth and (assumed) prosperity. Major institutions and traditions reinforce the idea that science and technology, coupled with the free market, will overcome all limits and ensure continued progress. Human ingenuity has always solved problems and will continue to do so. Rejecting Limits “To say that the Earth is a human planet becomes truer every day. Humans are made from the Earth, and the Earth is remade by human hands. Many earth scientists express this by stating that the Earth has entered … the Anthropocene, the Age of Humans.” “…we write with the conviction that knowledge and technology, applied with wisdom, might allow for a good, or even great, Anthropocene.” The Breakthrough Institute, An Ecomodernist Manifesto, 2015 Techno-Optimism: Climate Engineering “Climate engineering” (or “geoengineering” is attractive because it legitimates business as usual, justifying endless growth, because engineers will come up with ways to offset rising carbon emissions. “For sheer audacity, no plan by humans exceeds the one now being hatched to take control of the Earth’s climate.” Clive Hamilton, Earthmasters: The Dawn of the Age of Climate Engineering Neo-liberalism’s Need for Growth As Neo-liberal politico-economic ideology becomes increasingly hegemonic, its promoters take three steps to ensure the global spread of free markets, access to resources, and the right to reasonable pollution: 1. Limitations on and ideally abolition of governmental restrictions on capital. 2. Promotion of a technologically optimistic approach to all problems 3. Rejection of evidence of ecological problems and limits. Emergence of an Anti-Ecological Paradigm Originally in the USA but increasingly in all neo-liberal nations we see the following: Lead by the conservative movement and particularly conservative think tanks (which are funded by industry), a concerted anti-environmental “counter-movement” has been successful in casting down on the credibility of environmental scientists and the seriousness of environmental problems, and in the process fought the spread of the NEP by promoting “environmental skepticism.” The result is that while the NEP has gained in credibility throughout the sciences and academia, it has been combated effectively in the larger society and in policy circles. It’s future remains in doubt.