1 Paleoseismic investigations Arnfried Becker, Institut für r Geophysik, ETH-Hön nggerberg, CH-8093 Zürich CONTENTS • • • • • • Introduction Basic concepts Geological archives o Active fault-scarps o Liquefaction in flood-plain deposits o Lacustrine deposits, sub-aquatic slumps o Caves o Rockfall deposits Dating methods Magnitude/Intensity estimates Epicentre estimate Keywords: paleoseismology, fault-scarp, colluvial wedge, trenching, liquefaction, seismite, speleothems, rockfall deposits, age dating, magnitude, epicentre Introduction Paleoseismology is the study of prehistoric earthquakes based on the interpretation of the geological record that these earthquakes have left behind (Krinitzsky & Slemmons 1990, McCalpin 1996, Wallace 1981). Paleoseismological investigations are particulary needed in regions with a short instrumental and historical record such as America and Australia and large parts of Africa, were written communications exist for not longer than 200 to 500 years. In these regions seismologist soon reach the limits of the written seismic record, if no other sources of information were developed. Thus, it comes as no surprise that, despite some initial research efforts in other regions of the world, systematic paleoseismological investigations started in the western part of the United States. Most of the early stimulating work in this field of research was related to safety assessments of nuclear power plants and other lifeline buildings. In Central Europe the historical record goes back for 1000 years, in the Mediterranean for 2000 years and more and in China for up to 4000 years (although reasonably complete only for 1000 years). Seismologists and local authorities in some of these regions developed a feeling of safety; the thinking was that strong earthquakes will either not or rarely happen so that damage of facilities and many 2 casualties are unrealistic scenarios. However, paleoseismological research in so-called stabile plate interiors such as Australia and the Eastern US could demonstrate that there is potential for strong earthquakes even in these regions, although average recurrence times for mainshocks are much longer (and mostly longer than the written historical record) than along active plate boundaries. A M = 7 or M = 8 earthquake in a region were nobody expects such a shock would probably result in numerous fatalities and damage to facilities because safety guidelines for buildings would not have faced the possibility of such strong earthquakes. After all, not earthquakes kill people, building do. The possible expectation of strong earthquakes also in regions which are currently not suffering strong earthquake shocks stimulated also paleoseismological investigations in different parts of Central Europe such as Switzerland. The following description will be restricted to the need of paleoseismological investigation in Switzerland leaving out methods and geological archives which cannot be used here. Basic concepts Primary targets for paleoseismological research are active faultscarps that show evidence for coseismic movements (Fig.~1). This evidence generally can only be discovered by trenching, i.e. digging a trench perpendicular (or oblique) to the active faultscarp and subsequent geological mapping of the trench faces. Active fault-scarps have the advantage that the epicentre of the paleo-earthquake can be directly determined with some degree of reliability. In addition a magnitude estimate based on the length of the reactivated fault section and the offset, can be derived. It is also possible to date the event by dating organic matter embedded in the colluvial wedge at the foot of the fault scarp. However, these data only supply information about the seismicity along a single fault. If there is no clear evidence that this fault is the only seismic active fault in the region, co-seismic movements along faults in the vicinity would not express themselves in this paleoseismic record. Therefore, secondary targets have to be taken into account, which are susceptible to the effects of seismic shaking and which record all strong paleoseismic events in a region independently of the individual fault responsible for a single earthquake. Most promising in this respect are lake deposits. Because of there depositional environment a continuous sedimentary record can be investigated which covers in general several thousand to ten thousand years, in Switzerland mostly 10’000-15’000 years. Other secondary targets could be flood-plain deposits, caves and rock fall deposits. All these secondary geological archives are sensitive to earthquake shaking; however they are also susceptible to non-seismic disturbances. One of the difficulties of these secondary archives is to distinguish between features related to earthquakes and those independent of seismic events. 3 Fig. 1 Co-seismic effects due to strong earthquakes: surface rupturing along an active fault, liquefaction and soft-sediment deformations in flood-plain and lake deposits, damage of speleothems in caves, land slides and rockfalls along steep slopes (after Levret & Combes 1997). Geological Archives Fault-scarps The most prominent features in paleoseismological research are active fault-scarps. The reason is obvious: active fault-scarps are the clearest expression of fracturing in the earth’s crust, most likely related to earthquakes. However, co-seismic rupturing 4 is not the only possibility to create such fault-scarps. Therefore, one of the major tasks for paleoseismologists is to find evidence for co-seismic rupturing and give estimates for the percentage of aseismic creep on the total offset along the faultscarp. Most experience has been built-up by the investigation of active fault-scarps in the extensional regime of the Basin-andRange Province in the western US. Co-seismic fault-scarps related to normal faulting events are therefore well understood, although the features seen in the semi-arid regions of the western US are sometimes difficult to transfer into regions with a more humid climate and more intensive disturbance by human activities. Less well known are coseismic deformations along thrust faults, because these features are less frequent at the earth’s surface and faultscarps are frequently not very prominent due to splays and the low dip angle of the fault plane. Strike-slip faults can frequently be seen as clear tectonic lines in the topography, mostly due to weathering and erosion. However, it is very difficult to give proofs for individual co-seismic offsets because strike-slip faults will not necessarily generate prominent vertical offsets along the trace of the fault-plane. Fig. 2 Generalized topographic profile of a fault-scarp. A — upper original surface, B1 and B2 are two bevels, C - free face, D - colluvial wedge, E - lower original surface, H - total vertical offset of the fault scarp, h - height of the free face (after Qidong & Yuhua 1996). Repeated co-seismic slip along a normal fault can already be seen in the development of bevels above the fault-scarp (Fig.~2). These are erosional features related to the degradation of the slopes of preceding offsets along the fault-scarp. The steepest part of the fault-scarp is the free-face, were the in situ rock surface can be seen. The height of the free-face largely depends on the material properties of the in situ rock. Young, unconsolidated rocks with low cohesion are not able to keep a steep newly formed fault scarp stabile for a long time. In that case the free face will collapse soon, creating a colluvial wedge of coarse-grained material without layering at the foot of the scarp. After stabile conditions at the fault scarp have re-established, erosional 5 degrading of the fault-scarp will add sediment to the colluvial wedge, which can be clearly distinguished from the underlying debris (debris facies) by its reduced grain-size and its layering (wash facies). If no renewed offset along the fault-scarp has happened, soil formation can commence. A new seismic event that reactivates the fault-scarp sufficiently, will create a new coarse grained layer, followed by sediments of the wash facies, and finally a soil again. Therefore, the investigation of the colluvial deposits at the base of fault-scarps are most important for the deciphering of the history of co-seismic slip events along an active fault. A method commonly used for the investigation of the colluvial wedges is trenching, the digging of a trench across the fault-scarp and the colluvial wedge. This investigation allows a separation of the individual colluvial wedges, most clearly if both the sediments of the debris and the wash facies are developed (Fig.~3). That is only possible if the recurrence times for surface ruptures along the fault-scarp are sufficiently long allowing the generation of the sediments of the wash facies as well. If the recurrence time intervals are to short it is difficult to distinguish between individual colluvial wedges. In principal the number of individual colluvial wedges allows the counting of earthquake surface ruptures along the fault with a sufficient, i.e. significant surface offset. Fig. 3 Schematical sketch of sequential stages in the evolution of a normal fault scarp. A - initial faulting, B - collapse of free face and generation of the debris facies colluvial wedge (triangles) , C — wash facies colluvium (stippled) buries debris, scarp stabilizes, soil forms, D - second faulting event creates new free face, E - newly formed debris covers earlier wedge and soil, F - wash facies colluvium and soil develop on second wedge. G - Example for a graben where colluvial wedge interfingers with sag pond muds (horizontal dashes) (after McCalpin 1989). 6 Trenching is also a useful tool for the investigation of faultscarps related to thrust faulting and has been used intensively in China during the last decade. In principal this method can be used with respect to thrusting events in a similar way like in the case of normal faulting events. In the case of strike-slip faults, the situation is different, because of no or only minor vertical offsets along the fault a colluvial wedge will not develop. However, a detailed investigation of the abutting relationships of fractures and layers will also in case of strike-slip faults give reliable results for the occurrence of individual fracture events. Fig. 4 Composite block Davenport et al. 1994). diagram of liquefaction structures (after Liquefaction in flood-plain deposits Seismically induced liquefaction is usually caused by strong or moderate earthquakes (magnitude threshold about 5 to 5.5). It is accompanied by the ejection of sand and water at the land surface, generating sandblows and small sand craters. Liquefaction is caused by an increase of the pore water pressure during the passage of seismically generated shear waves. If the pore water pressure increases to a value which is equal to the confining pressure, the effective stress drops to zero and the sediment will 7 become liquefied. Most susceptible for liquefaction are well sorted, cohesionless, water-saturated sands. Generally, gravels are not experiencing liquefaction, because water can escape during the passage of seismic waves and no pore water over-pressure is built up. On the other hand, for silt and clay the effects of cohesion will avoid liquefaction. A high ground water table and suitable sediments in a depth no deeper than 4 m covered by a 1-2 m thick slightly cohesive caprock are ideal conditions for liquefaction and the formation of sand blows at the surface and sand dykes in the caprock (Fig.~4). Flood-plain deposits along major drainage systems or coastal planes frequently fulfil these conditions and have been used for paleoseismic investigations, for instance in the Mississippi valley near New Madrid, central USA, and at Charleston on the east coast of North America. Liquefaction phenomena are suitable for the detection of strong earthquakes in a region. The liquefaction potential of a sediment remains even after several liquefying earthquake events have happened (Obermeier 1996), which gives this method potential for the reconstruction of the history of strong earthquakes in a region. Lacustrine deposits, sub-aquatic slumps Lakes are an environment of continuous sedimentation over time spans covering several 1000 or even several 10000 years. Therefore, lakes are interesting as a geological archive, which has the potential to register strong pre-historic earthquakes over a long time span. The effects of an earthquake can directly create in situ deformations related to fracturing, liquefaction, or all kind of soft sediment deformations mostly related to density contrasts. Most famous are fault-graded beds, ball-and-pillow structures and dish structures. Despite of these in situ deformation features, earthquakes may also trigger secondary features related to subaquatic sliding and slumping or seiches which can be seen in the sedimentary record as turbidites and homogenites. However, most of the features ascribed here to earthquakes may also be caused by non-seismic processes. Therefore a careful investigation of the event horizons in a lake has to be carried out along with correlating events across the boundaries of individual sedimentary basins based on age datings to constrain the findings as seismites. Caves Earthquakes may also be documented in caves due to the damage they cause (Fig.~5). Particulary susceptible for earthquake damage in caves are spelaeothems (stalagmites, stalagtites, soda straws); however, earthquakes may also cause a collapse of parts of the caves, for instance of the ceiling. Broken stalagmites and stalagtites embedded in cave deposits, fallen blocks from the ceiling overgrown by spelaeothems, regrowths of broken speleothems, growth-anomalies of soda straws, changes in the 8 growth pattern of speleothems in a cave can have different causes, such as local cave collapse, floods in the cave, rock mass instabilities and vandalism. Nevertheless, earthquakes may also have caused these deformations. Again, it is nessesary to perform a detailed investigation to distinguish between non seismical and seismical destruction features. Such an investigation primarily relies on age dating which may show a regional synchronous damage event and a comparison with other paleoseismic indicators independently of the findings in caves. Fig. 5 Different speleothems related to earthquakes: A and B — collapse of stalagmites and growth of new concretions over the broken parts, C displacement along a fault, D - collapse of stalagmites caused by the displacement of the adjacent wall, E - growth of stalagmites over collapsed blocks from the ceiling, F - start of new concretioning over a fallen block. Positions a and b indicate characteristic sampling points referring to samples characterizing the time span immediately before and after the earthquake (after Postpischl et al. 1991). Rockfall deposits All instabilities along steep valley incisions like slides, slumps and falls can be triggered by strong earthquakes with magnitudes of M ≥ 5 (Keefer 1984). However, in case of slope instabilities also, mechanisms other than earthquakes are likely to cause slope 9 failures, like exceptional precipitation events, effects of frost, over deepening of the valleys due to erosion. Just like earthquake triggered events these may happen spontaneously. It is the task of the paleoseismologist to find evidence for the triggering of such slope instabilities due to earthquakes, a very ambitious task considering that earthquake triggering has to be distinguished from other causes that affect whole regions. Deposits related to slope instabilities can support other paleoseismological findings, for instance from active fault-scarps, flood plains, lakes, caves; however, the results are difficult to interpret as long as they remain for themselves. Dating methods The most prominent method for dating purposes in palaeoseismology is the radiocarbon method. It may be used for samples of an age of up to 60’000 years. Fault-scarps can be dated indirectly by organic remains, for instance wood, charcoal, in the colluvial wedge or organic remains in soils. Radiocarbon plays an important role in dating of lake deposits, preferentially based on remains of terrestric plants, i.e. wood, leaves, plant chuff, seeds. Speleothems can be dated as well, although with much more care because of the contamination of samples by ’old carbon’ from the surrounding carbonatic rocks. In lake deposits also palynostratigraphy (i.e. the vegetation history based on pollen) for the Late Pleistocene and Holocene, sedimentation rates (varves) or tephrostratigraphy (volcanic ash layers) can be used for dating purposes. A standard method in speleology is the Uranium/Thorium method, which allows dating back to 500’000 years. Also amino-acid razemisation dating of bones has been frequently used in speleology with variable success. The measurement of exposure ages of newly formed rock surfaces, such as fault-scarps or rockfall deposits, has been attempted with different methods. Some of them are Beryllium-10, lichenometry or growth rates of weathering crusts. In case of fault-scarps the degradation rate of such scarps could be used successfully for (approximate) age datings. For paleoseismological purposes dating is fundamental, because one of the strongest arguments for a seismic event in a region is the synchronicity of presumed seismites in different geological environments. A combination of different dating methods and different kinds of deformation features supplies the strongest argument for an exceptional palaeo-earthquake. Magnitude/Intensity estimates The estimate of palaeo-earthquake magnitudes or intensities is based on regional calibration curves for recent earthquakes causing surface-deformation features. Because deformation features in sediments caused by earthquakes are strongly dependent on the 10 local and regional geology, it is important to build-up regional calibration curves. Such calibration-diagrams, which convert the degree of deformation and the regional extend of the deformation features into magnitudes (intensities), have been established for fault-scarps, liquefaction features and also rockfall deposits (Davenport 1994, Keefer 1984, Wells & Coppersmith 1994). These calibration diagrams can now be used to give an estimate for the magnitude of a prehistoric earthquake, where only geometric parameters are known, for instance the regional extend of certain deformation features, the rupture length and height of a fault reactivated during an earthquake. Examples for such conversions for reactivated fault length, for the maximum extend of liquefaction phenomena and various types of slides/falls are shown in the Figs. 6,7 and 8. Fig. 6 (a) Regression of surface rupture length on magnitude (M). Short dashed line indicates 95% confidence interval. (b) Regression lines for strike-slip, reverse, and normal-slip relationships (after Wells & Coppersmith 1994). Epicentre estimate The clearest relationship between epicentre and palaeo-earthquake is given in the case of a seismogenic fault creating a surface rupture, since the active co-seismic fault-scarp is the epicentral region. In case of liquefaction and soft-sediment deformations in flood-plain and lake deposits the epicentral region has to be mapped based on the decrease of deformation intensity with increasing distance from the epicentre. The most intensive deformation one can expect in the epicentral region. With a 11 Fig. 7 Maximum distance to site of liquefaction versus earthquake magnitude (m). Formula and solid line after Kuribayashi & Tatsuoka (1975). Dashed-dot line fit after Tinsley et al. (1985). GR = Glen Roy event, R = Roermond earthquake (after Davenport 1994). sufficient number of localities showing deformation features in the surroundings of an epicentre one should be able to map the gradient in the deformation intensity and, thus, should be also able to localize the epicentre. That procedure will only be successful with an even distribution of localities in the surroundings and good knowledge about the deformational behaviour of the various sediments involved. In case of slope instabilities it has also been attempted to map epicentral regions based on the increase of the number of earthquake triggered slides, slumps and falls. However, so far no consistent result can be given for such a correlation with recent earthquake events, probably caused by the fact that not only the type of rock defines the susceptibility for slope instabilities but also structural and topographical boundary conditions. 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