SINGAPORE PRESS HOLDINGS, NEWS CENTRE, 1000 Toa Payoh North, Podium Level 2, 318994 FRIDAY, MAY 1 2009 A24 SPH Chief Executive Officer Alan Chan Heng Loon Editor-In-Chief (English & Malay Newspapers Division) Patrick Daniel Senior Executive Vice-President (Marketing) Leslie Fong Senior Executive Vice-President (Newspaper Services & Chinese Newspapers) Robin Hu Editor Han Fook Kwang Digital Media Editor Felix Soh Deputy Editor Alan John Supervising Editor Sumiko Tan Associate Editors Bertha Henson, Zuraidah Ibrahim Political Editor Chua Lee Hoong Review Editor Janadas Devan News Editors Carl Skadian, Dominic Nathan Money Editor Ignatius Low Night Editor S. Yogendran Art Editor Angelina Choy Life! Editor Helen Chia Sports Editor Mathew Pereira Picture Editor Michael Sargent Forum Editor Yap Koon Hong Straitstimes.com Editor Joanne Lee A fight for the soul of Aware? P OLICE asking for a change of venue for the Aware special meeting tomorrow, for law and order reasons, is not the first indication of official frowning over a civic dispute gone overboard. Community Development Minister Vivian Balakrishnan had put out a reminder that religion had no place in what he termed petty politics. The categorisation presumably included ding-dong fights for control of nongovernmental organisations. Despite the injunction, battle lines have been drawn between Aware’s opposing camps: the new team led by Ms Josie Lau and the defeated old leadership seeking the newcomers’ removal in a no-confidence vote. Both sides should be mortified that an argument over values and the manner of executing programmes could not be conducted free of righteous cant and religious undertones. Undoubtedly, a Christian fervour has seeped through the proceedings. Government intervention in civil society affairs, should it happen over Aware, would be damning of the disputants. It should be avoided if civic organisations are to discharge their role fearlessly as support agents in progressive change. Each side in the Aware dispute needs to act rationally in calming its supporters at the meeting, now moved to Suntec City. If choreographed shows of noisy support are being planned, they should be aborted. This is not meant to be a test of strength. Sensible people don’t do barracking. From the looks of the frantic recruiting going on for members, this is appearing disagreeably like a fight for the soul of Aware, an outfit most temporal. The controversy should never have descended into a contest between secularists and religionists. The new team has clear faith-based leanings, evident in its virulent condemnation of homosexuality. It is free to make a stand, but how is gayness such a burning issue? There are matters of import, such as family deprivation in bad times, that could gain traction if they receive PM’S MAY DAY MESSAGE Time for gumption and collaboration Unions, employers and the Government are working together to find practical solutions to see Singaporeans through the downturn, says Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong in his May Day Message M UCH has changed in the course of a year. When I was preparing my May Day Message last year, we were in a very different situation. The economy had a strong first quarter in 2008, and workers were enjoying good bonuses from the year before. The United States had already run into difficulties, but we still hoped that the world could avoid taking a major tumble. Unfortunately, the US problems grew into a major financial crisis which has caused a severe worldwide recession. World financial markets are no longer frozen, but things are far from back to normal. All the major economies are contracting simultaneously, for the first time since the Great Depression. The World Bank expects global industrial production to fall by 15 per cent by the middle of this year, and world trade also to fall sharply, especially in Asia. Governments have taken bold steps to boost their economies, but in this unprecedented situation nobody can be sure what measures will work, or how quickly. Singapore is doing all we can to buffer ourselves from the storm. We have launched the Skills Programme for Upgrading and Resilience (Spur), and the Resilience Package, which includes the Jobs Credit scheme. We have focused on preserving jobs, because when people have jobs they can look after themselves and their families. Unions and employers have supported these schemes. They have aligned the interests of employers and workers, and helped companies to think of cutting costs to save jobs, instead of cutting jobs to save costs. Singapore’s recovery will depend on how the situation develops worldwide, especially in the US. An optimistic scenario is for the US economy to stabilise by the end of this year, and begin a gradual recovery next year. But this is not at all certain. The US recession may well continue into next year. In the worst case, if the troubled banks are not put right, the problems can drag on for several years. The Ministry of Trade and Industry has revised our growth forecast down to between -6 per cent and -9 per cent. While retrenchments and unemployment have gone up, new jobs are still being created. The situation would have been worse if not for the Resilience Package. Employers have more reasons to keep jobs with the support they get from the Jobs Credit, Spur and other measures in the Resilience Package. But if global demand continues to be weak, we must expect more job losses, despite all our measures. In some sectors, things will get worse before they get better. We must prepare for a prolonged difficult period and continue to build capabilities for the future. But we have reason to be quietly confident. Our economy has important strengths. Our banks are sound, our industries are competitive, our wage systems are flexible, and many good jobs are still The basic strategy for Singapore must still be to stay open and linked to the world. We prosper by servicing the region, Asia and the world, and by being equal to the best in niche areas. available. Our workers are cooperating with employers and the Government, to acquire the skills which will make them more productive and employable. Our substantial reserves are funding programmes to counter the recession. Few countries are in as secure a position as Singapore. Despite the unfavourable climate, our economic agencies are actively seeking new business opportunities. The Economic Development Board continues to win investments. Many global companies have long-term perspectives and are still launching projects in Asia. They see opportunities in this dynamic region, and know that Singapore provides a stable base for their Asian business. Upcoming projects in the service sector, particularly the tourism industry, will create more jobs. Our two integrated Aware’s campaigning zeal. If the Christian women who captured Aware believed they had to because the secular outfit had gone down the wrong path, they needed only to set up their own society to promote their cause. They could campaign openly on a Christian platform and leaven their social programmes with Christian values. Let the public judge whether they make a contribution to society’s well-being. Whatever the outcome tomorrow, the ex-leaders could walk away from the wreck with their dignity intact. They could set up a new organisation and continue with their work, retaining the secularism that the old Aware was known for. resorts will be completed soon. Beyond that, we will have the Gardens by the Bay, the International Cruise Terminal and Asia’s first River Safari in Mandai. We are also growing our external wing. International Enterprise (IE) Singapore is helping companies to win projects in China, India and the Middle East, where many opportunities still exist. It is also working with trade associations and chambers of commerce to access markets worldwide, in Latin America and even Africa. We must venture further afield to find new business opportunities, and think of more creative ways to make a living for ourselves. The basic strategy for Singapore must still be to stay open and linked to the world. We prosper by servicing the region, Asia and the world, and by being equal to the best in niche areas. Thus banks in Singapore service customers from all over the region. We will still be a major financial centre, especially in areas like fund management or global treasury business. Our factories produce critical components for computers and active ingredients for drugs, often accounting for a third or more of the world market for those products. Unfortunately, our access to foreign markets will become more difficult, because governments will raise more protectionist barriers as they come under political pressure to help domestic producers. As we continue to develop new markets, our wide network of free trade agreements with major trading partners will prove invaluable. As an open economy, we must make ourselves globally competitive rather than try to protect ourselves from competition. We must gather talent from all over the world to strengthen the Singapore team. At the same time, we must upgrade the knowledge and skills of our own people. This downturn is an opportunity to mount a major effort in this area. Schemes like Spur and Professional Skills Programme (PSP) convert slack manpower into learning opportunities. They help workers to become more productive, flexible and competitive. Every Singaporean must do his or her part. I urge workers to go for training, to up-skill and re-skill yourselves. If you are seeking a new job, do take up one of the many jobs still available, even if it is not your first choice. Have realistic salary expectations, and be willing to learn new things and adapt to different working conditions. I urge employers to think of all possible ways to save costs, and consider retrenchment only as a last resort. Make full use of government programmes and work closely with the unions. For any cost-cutting measures, management should lead by example. Most importantly, everyone must be mentally prepared and be ready for sacrifices in these difficult times. In many countries, workers are mounting angry protests and demonstrations as the economic pain deepens and more people lose their jobs. These outbursts are understandable, but unfortunately they do not make things better. In Singapore, our response to the crisis has been rational and constructive. Unions, employers and the Government are working together to find practical solutions, to explain to Singaporeans what is happening, and what we must do to see through the downturn. This cooperation depends on the trust and confidence among the tripartite partners built up over many decades. In this moment of stress and uncertainty, it is helping Singapore to stand out from other countries, enhancing our reputation and bringing in more investments and jobs. We must use this crisis to prepare for a different, more competitive world when the storm passes. We must build resilience in a new generation of Singaporeans and strengthen their bonds with a new team of leaders. Most of all, we must unite as a nation, keep our calm, unflinching spirit and emerge stronger from the crisis. I wish all Singaporeans a Happy May Day. Singapore leads the Global Financial Centres Index’s list of locations where “new offices are likely to be opened”. PHOTO: REUTERS Bankers’ new hope – Singapore AS THE fortunes of Wall Street and the City of London decline, moneymen are looking east for new bases. And so far, the biggest beneficiary seems to be Singapore. The latest Global Financial Centres Index shows that Singapore overtook Hong Kong to secure third place – right behind New York and London – in the global competitiveness rankings. And the city state now leads the list of locations “where new offices were likely to be opened”. Singapore’s clean reputation has aided its rise. Its bankers played no part in the tricky dealings that brought down the global financial system. It’s also got a leg-up on Britain and America when it comes to regulation: Singapore’s rules are clear and well established, thanks in part to an overhaul in the wake of the Barings Bank scandal of the early 1990s. These attributes are likely to further boost Singapore’s popularity, which had already been on the rise before the crisis, thanks to the country’s reduced tax rates for offshore funds, unmatched even in Hong Kong. Singapore’s financial services sector grew by 16 per cent in 2007 – and the number of hedge fund managers rose 50 per cent to 300 – before slowing to 5.6 per cent last year as the recession set in. Meanwhile, the biggest loser may be London, which found favour as a setting for international business in the boom years but is now suffering as globalisation recedes. (So far, New York seems better cushioned, since the United States accounts for a quarter of the world economy.) Up to 20 per cent of all jobs in London’s financial services sector have already disappeared since early last year, with another 80,000 job-holders estimated to be on the chopping block. Many of them are highly skilled and footloose. Maybe they’ll follow the money – and head to Singapore, too. WILLIAM UNDERHILL The above article appeared in the April 27 issue of Newsweek.