VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE FLORICULTURE SECTOR IN ARGENTINA AND CHILE: RESTRICTIONS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR DEVELOPMENT Trujillo Becerra, Mónica María Programa de Agronegocios y Alimentos – Campo Latino Facultad de Agronomía-UBA Email: monica.trujillo@campo-latino.com Senesi, Sebastián Ignacio Sub-Director Programa de Agronegocios y Alimentos Facultad de Agronomía-UBA Email: ssenesi@agro.uba.ar Corrales Martino, Dalila Lucía Programa de Agronegocios y Alimentos – Campo Latino Facultad de Agronomía-UBA Email: dalila.corrales@campo-latino.com Alcover, Paulo Alejandro Programa de Agronegocios y Alimentos Facultad de Agronomía-UBA Email: alcoverp@agro.uba.ar Barilatti, María Mercedes Programa de Agronegocios y Alimentos Facultad de Agronomía-UBA Email: barilatt@agro.uba.ar Vilella, Fernando Director Programa de Agronegocios y Alimentos Facultad de Agronomía-UBA Email: vilella@agro.uba.ar ABSTRACT With the main objective of characterizing the fresh cut flowers chain in Argentina and Chile, a comparative analysis to identify barriers and opportunities was carried out, based in the theoretical tools of the New Institutional Economics (NIE) and the Agribusiness Systems. Despite major differences between both countries regarding the economic, social and institutional environments, relations and characteristics within the floriculture sector are very similar. In both cases there is a predominance of informality, low technological level, information restrictions, hybrid forms and market as common governance structures, a high seasonal nature of production and consumption. Among the main differences, in Chile, there is a higher level of available information and an active participation of the public sector with support programs. In Argentina, there is a higher level of association between producers, a minor involvement of the public sector and a lower level of available information. In general terms, national consumption of fresh cut flowers appears to be greater in Chile then in Argentina, in volume as well as in value. 1 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE FLORICULTURE SECTOR IN ARGENTINA AND CHILE: RESTRICTIONS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR DEVELOPMENT Track: Agribusiness chains and networks coordination 1. INTRODUCTION Ornamental plants in Argentina have a tradition and history of over 100 years; the first nurseries were settled in 1875, producing fresh cut flowers such as rose, carnation and chrysanthemum. There are two main historical immigrant communities that traditionally have worked within this activity: the Portuguese and the Japanese, which ascribes a cultural component to the economic activity. The labor consists mainly of members within the home environment. Currently, there are around 1,300 flowergrowing establishments in Argentina and they extend over, approximately, 1,160.2 hectares in the whole country. National production of fresh cut flowers is over 6,000 tons per year; trading volume is approximately 271 million stalks/years. During the latest years, export volume (kg) has fallen around 21% between 2005 and 2008. During last year, export volume was 130 tons, which were equivalent to U$S167 thousand. The principal destination was Chile, with chrysanthemum. The foreign trade outcome showed a deficit balance, that is, import volume and value are higher than exports during the analyzed period. For Chile, in Region V flower-growing is historical due to favorable agriecological conditions and the proximity of the major consuming center that is Santiago. The activity is is one of the most important ones within the region, which could also be extended towards region IV. In the other regions southwards (VI, VII, VIII and IX) the activity is characterized as being emerging innovative, of productive restructuring, as it has no more than a 10 year-production average. Floriculture has expanded with the development of basic infrastructure and with the support of governmental programs. The total flower-cultivated area in the country extends over 2,224.5 hectares. Chilean production of fresh cut flowers average out to 5,700 tons per year and 287 million stalks a year; carnation, rose, lilium, gladiolus and chrysanthemum are among them. Principally, production is developed outdoors, which implies a highly-stressed seasonal nature of supply and prices. Between 2004 and 2008, exports volume (kg) has decreased around 4%, even though it remained in value terms. In 2008, the export volume was 501 tons and almost U$S3 million. Holland is the main destination; lilium and peony are the principal export species. Regarding foreign trade, it is worth mentioning that is has a deficit balance. This is due to the fact that imports are much greater than exports, and this balance has been growing in favor of the former during the latest years. The environment of a country puts pressure on the businesses that are developing within it. These economic, social and institutional pressures go beyond the business control and management itself, but are fundamental in its present and future performance. For this purpose, the PEST analysis methodology of Johnson and Sholes (1996) will be used, as it enables the approach to the most relevant indicators of each environment in a fast and synthetic way1. For this reason, the following table shows the 1 Even though PEST analysis includes the analysis of the Political, Economic, Social and Technological indicators, in this case, only the economic, social and institutional aspects are taken into account, due to lack of comparable technological information. 2 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” general scene in which Argentine and Chilean fresh cut flowers businesses are developed and will be carried out. Table 1: PEST analysis (Economic, Social and Institutional) of Argentina and Chile ARGENTINA CHILE · GDP = 326.47 thousand million dollars (current prices, 2008). · GDP=169.46 thousand million dollars (current prices, 2008). · GDP per capita in 2008: (U$S nominal) 8,214. · GDP per capita in 2008 (current prices): U$S 10,147. First in South America. ECONOMIC · Growth: 6.,9% - 2008. · Accumulated inflation from 2008: 10% (INDEC), 25% (private sources).* SOCIAL INSTITUTIONAL · Growth: 3,2% (2008). · Accumulated inflation from 2008: 7.1%. · 40.9 million inhabitants. · 16.1 million inhabitants. · Density: 14 inhab./km.². · Density: 20 inhab./km². · 89% urban population. · 88% urban population. · Literacy rate: 97.5%. · Literacy rate over 95%. · Unemployment rate: 7.3%. · Estimated unemployment rate 7.5%. · Bad world-wide performance al (128/134) in public and private levels. · Institutional advantages that place Chile in position 42 of 134 countries in public institutions. Competitive advantages in public policy transparency, credibility in the police and low terrorism cost. · Last third in the world ranking regarding the Facility to do business (position 113 of 181 countries). · Position 40 from 181 countries regarding the Facility to do business. Chile is the best positioned with respect to Latin American average. · First quarter in world ranking for Contract compliance (position 45 of 181 total countries). In this case is slightly better than Chile. · Chile is placed in position 65 of 181 total countries for Contract compliance. · Argentina is placed in position 104 of 181 countries, regarding Investors protection. · Chile is placed in position 38 of 181 countries, regarding Investors protection · Levels of informality and corruption are similar to Latin American average. · Regarding business informality Chile is placed below the Latin American average, this is also the case of business corruption incidence. · High Macro Transaction Costs. · Relative low Macro Transaction Costs. *Inflation estimate has been questioned given the problem of methodology change and governmental intervention in the estimates registered and published by INDEC (National Statistics and Censuses Institute). The entity is strongly intervened since 2005, and the published information is questioned nationally as well as internationally. Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF), National Statistics and Censuses Institute (INDEC), Chilean National Institute of Statistics (INE), World Economic Forum, CIA World Factbook, World Bank (Enterprises Surveys, Doing Business). Despite major differences at country-level that can be observed in the three environments above mentioned, the floriculture sectors of each country share main similarities. For example, some of them are the informality, the predominance of small production units (with a low technological level), information restrictions, governance 3 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” structures, seasonal nature of production, high market power of wholesalers, seasonal nature of consumption during holidays, among others. Given the fresh cut flowers production tradition in both countries, it is important to impart information in order to understand the reality of production and domestic commercialization, to identify restrictions and strengthen the development opportunities within the industry. 2. OBJECTIVES AND METHODOLOGY The objective of this work is to characterize the fresh cut flowers chains in Argentina and Chile, following the Agro-industrial system analysis methodology, according to Zylbersztajn (1996) and Neves (2008). The main purpose is to describe the fresh cut flowers chains in Argentina and Chile, analyzing comparatively both countries. The specific objectives are: 1) To carry out a discrete structural analysis of the flowers chain; 2) To describe agents (competitors, importers, distributors – intermediaries, institutions, and final consumer) and their relations (transactions) within the flowers distribution chain; 3) To quantify the size of the flower consumption market; 4) To perform an analysis regarding opportunities and barriers to the development of fresh cut flowers chain. This article could be classified as an exploratory research since it looks towards a better interpretation of an empirical phenomenon (flowers agribusiness system). As a reference for the analysis, we based this research on two known research methods: ‘the mapping and quantification of agribusiness systems’ (Rossi et al., 2005) and ‘the strategic planning and management of agribusiness systems’, recognized as GESIS (Neves, 2008). The methodological procedures are limited to literature review and indepth interviews with sector agents. Therefore, in this work sources of primary and secondary information were consulted. With regards to Chilean and Argentine floriculture information, nowadays there is little data about buying and selling volumes—of production and trading, which makes it difficult to measure their evolution. Besides, in addition to few total secondary data taken as starting point, inevitable differences arise when comparing them, as the criteria for collecting information, as well as the initiative origins and their objectives, were not always the same. To collect primary information, semi-structured interviews were designed, with the purpose of obtaining data on the variables being studied, as well as registering other non-expected variables2 (Morse & Field, 1995). The most prominent agents within the fresh cut flowers chain in Argentina and Chile were interviewed, as well as officials that belong to entities related to the industry. The results obtained in every instance of information gathering were included in the analysis, comparing it at the same time with information collected in previous stages and carrying out new adjustments. Again, this information was discussed and corroborated with the specialists, in order to achieve consecutive approximations to a definitive description of the system being studied, more objective, reliable and complete. 2 The questionnaire used is in the Appendix. 4 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” 3. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK 3.1. Conceptualization of Agribusiness Systems (AGS) This conceptualization has its origins in two approaches developed in different time and place, but both show similarities with respect to the structure of productive systems. The first of them is based on the works of Davis and Goldberg (1957) and Goldberg (1968), which represent the first references regarding the study of agrifood businesses, and introduced the concept of “Agribusiness”. They brought the definition of “Commodity System” as an addition of the various transformations of a product along a vertical chain aimed at the consumer. The authors discuss coordination issues in agribusiness, by relating contractual relations, coordination institutions, and vertical integration and coordination. On the other hand, the notion of “filière” originates in the school of French industrial organization that applies a sequence of activities that transform a commodity until it reaches the consumer (Movan, 1985, in Zylbersztajn, 1996): “relations between agents are interdependent or complementary, and are determined by hierarchical forces.” This approach focuses on non-price coordination and, specially, on the industrial aspects of the product. Zylbersztajn (1996) bases on the contributions of these two approaches given the extent of description and the definition of vertical systems around a product; he also considers that coordination, price-mechanism limitations, institutional environment influence, distributive aspects, and the competitive environment are relevant issues (Theory of the Modern Industrial Organization). Thus, he suggests that the Agribusiness System (AGS) should be studied as a group of contractual relations between specialized companies with the aim of satisfying consumers. Figure 1 represents this model: Figure 1. Typical Agribusiness System (AGS) INST IT U T IO N AL E NV IRO M E NT : Cult ur e, Tr adit io n E duca tio na l lev el, leg a l sy ste m , ha bit s C ommo di t ies pro du cer s R&D In du st ry Wh ol esale S R E M U S N O C S u perm k T R ANSA CT IO NS T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 O RG AN IZ ATIO NA L E NVIR ON M E NT : public & pr iva t e burea u, Info rm a ti on, Co o per at iv es, F irm s Source: Zylbersztajn, 1996 The theoretical tools employed for the analysis are framed within the New Institutional Economics (NIE) and the Transaction Cost Economics, which constitute a useful framework to understand the dynamics of interrelations between different agents inside the Cut Flowers SAG in Chile and Argentina. 5 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” 3.2. New Institutional Economics and Transaction Cost Economics Following Coase, a new theory on the study of economic systems has been developing: “the transaction cost economics” (Coleman, 1998), which takes transaction as the basic unit of analysis, wherein are exchange costs. A concept by Williamson (1985) arises from the precedent works: “the new institutional economics”, based on historical processes with institutional changes (North, 1990), the economics of property rights (Demsetz, 1967), the theory of the firm and the transaction costs (Williamson, 1985), and the theory of agency (Arrow, 1963, 1968; Jensen and Mekling, 1976). One of the objectives of the NIE is to explain the determinants of informal and formal institutions3 and their continuity—or the lack of it, in time, and to “assess the impact of these on the economic performance “ (Nabli and Nugent, 1989); that is, the transaction cost level that exists under one or other institutional system. According to North (op. cit.), institutions represent an important figure regarding the development of goods and services trading, since when transaction costs are high, institutions do matter. Following Kherallah & Kirsten (2001), “to study institutions is important to the extent that the level of the latter [and the compliance of current laws or enforcement] has an influence over the economic growth, and that the sustained economic growths come from significant institutional changes.” The Transaction cost economics (TCE) is a branch within the New Institutional Economics and focuses on studying the coordination and efficiency of systems organizationally, that is, via the analysis of relations between the areas that constitute them (Williamson, 1985; 1993). This approach is based on Ronald Coase (1937) work, which associates the existence to the fact that there are costs for coordinating market production. Williamson (1985, 1991, 1996) adopts transaction as the analytical unit, proposing a theoretical model wherein agents align in an efficient governance structure for a given institutional environment, with the purpose of minimizing transaction costs. There are three dimensions—attributes—of transactions associated to transaction costs: the frequency, the uncertainty and the specificity of assets, the latter being the most important one (Williamson, 1994). Williamson (1996) employs the concept of assets specificity in order to refer to the loss of value in an investment, in case there is a contract breach due to opportunism; this implies there is a possibility of redistributing it for other purposes and by alternative users with loss of productive value. The significance of assets specificity is remarkable in the context of unfinished contracts (Williamson, 1979). The frequency of a transaction provides a dimension of its regularity and determines the extent to which the parties know each other, and, at the same time, the creation of trust-building, prestige and reliable commitment processes. Great transactions frequency—along with the consequent creation of reputation, economizes transaction costs (Williamson, 1991). The third attribute, uncertainty, is the ignorance about future events. According to Williamson (1996) it includes three aspects: the uncertainty related to contingency, the one related to lack of communication, and the one due to situations of performance in interdependent relations. If it weren’t for the limited rationality of agents, it would be possible to anticipate to every risk and adopt contingency beforehand. According to that, there is a choice of the way in which the exchange is done— governance structures (explained below)—according to the attributes above described; 3 By informal institution we refer to the culture, customs and everything that informally governs men and business. By formal institutions we refer to laws, regulations and other legal requirements that govern men and business. 6 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” it arises as an alternative adaptation to the environment in which it is developed. In this sense, three discrete governance alternatives to property rights exchange are commonly acknowledged: the classical spot market, contracts or hybrid forms, and the firm, vertical integration or hierarchy (Williamson, 1996). Given the impossibility to execute complete contracts (due to limited rationality and opportunism) and the necessity to adapt the relation of an asset provision through time (as a response to disruptions), the main institutional alternatives to be assessed are situated among short-term unfinished contracts and vertical integration or hierarchy. These theoretical assumptions provide a useful framework to understand the dynamics of the interrelations between the different agents of the Chilean floriculture AGS, and therefore, which should be the Colombian Floriculture strategies to coordinate with them. 3.3. Mapping and quantification of the production system Many are the reasons for choosing Rossi et. al (2005) research method, improved by Neves (2008). Some of them are: (i) the method’s application is relatively simple and direct, and the collection of information does not depend on public sources of data; (ii) the resulting drawing enables an easy visualization of positioning and relevance of the different existing sectors in a value system; (iii) the validation of results by cross of interviews increases research credibility. Besides the external analysis, as macro-environment (institutional, organizational, and technological environment), the mapping and quantification method can be summarized in four stages: Table 2: Summary description of the mapping and quantification method. Phases Procedures Agribusiness System Description (in focus) Designing the Agribusiness system by means of “boxes” respecting the product flows, going from the input up to the final consumer. Research in associations, institutions and data publications Some private associations or public agencies make sector data available, sometimes even in the Internet. A careful bibliographical revision also must be carried out looking for recent dissertations/theses, besides articles in magazines/periodicals with large printing amounts or academic. Interviews agents sector This is the central point of this method. Interviews with experts in order to understand the transactions throughout the agribusiness system. Besides, interviews with managers will be done, aiming at estimating the market’s size and potential. Quantification and Strategic Proposals All gathered data are processed and inserted into the system description. Then, the data are sent to the agents who collaborated, to analyze the results. The agents will send the data back with their commentaries and contributions. Also in this stage a lot of material is already available to elaborate suggestions on strategies. with Source: Adapted by the authors based on Rossi et al. (2005) and Neves (2008). 4. RESULTS ANALYSIS 4.1. Analysis of transactions among agents within cut flowers chain Below, the cut flowers chain with its main links and common agents in both countries is presented (Figure 2). According to the following diagram, the most important agents are: inputs suppliers, producers, importers and distributors, retailers and final consumer. 7 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” Final Consumers – Institutional Consumers Figure 1: Diagram of Argentine and Chilean floriculture sector Source: Designed by the authors, 2009 Once the commercialization chain is characterized, it is important to describe transactions and its main attributes that determine the governance structures. Similarly, opportunism situations that arise within the relations and contribute to increase the system’s transaction costs were synthesized. Thus, the following table summarizes this analysis: Table 3: Description of transactions within the cut flowers Agribusiness System and its attributes. T2 Producer - Wholesaler T1 Inputs supplier - Producer (propagation plant material) Transaction ARGENTINA CHILE Frequency According to productive cycle for species and variety. According to productive cycle for species and variety. Uncertainty Medium - Low Medium - Low Assets Specificity Big producers: High, certified material (royalties). Small producers: Low. Big producers: High, certified material (royalties). Small producers: low. Governance Structure Big producers: informal contract. Small producers: Vertical integration (self-propagation) and to a lesser extent market. Big producers: informal contract. Small producers: Vertical integration (self-propagation) and to a lesser extent market. Opportunism Big producers: Low. Small producers: High (they don’t pay royalties). Big producers: Low. Small producers: High (they don’t pay royalties). Frequency High: 2 to 3 times per week. High: 2 to 3 times per week. Uncertainty High: There are no reference prices, fluctuations due to undersupply or oversupply. Supply uncertainty during times of high demand. Uncertainty due to climate and environmental factors. Uncertainty concerning post-harvest treatment and duration. High: Fluctuations due to undersupply or oversupply. Supply uncertainty during times of high demand. Uncertainty due to climate and environmental factors. Uncertainty concerning post-harvest treatment and duration. Low: when there is vertical 8 T4: Retailer – Final Consumer T3: Producer /Wholesaler - Retailer VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” Low: when there is vertical integration. integration. Assets Specificity Medium – High due to flower quality and perishability Medium – High due to flower quality and perishability Governance Structure Mostly informal contracts and market, with the exception of big producers vertically integrated. Mostly informal contracts and market, with the exception of big producers vertically integrated. Opportunism Big producers: Low. Small producers: High due to price fixation and non-payment risk. Big producers: Low. Small producers: High due to price fixation and non-payment risk. Frequency In general high, outlets supplied the whole year, except small producers with frequencies according to productive cycle In general high, outlets supplied the whole year, except small producers with frequencies according to productive cycle Uncertainty High: There are no reference prices, fluctuations due to undersupply or oversupply. Supply uncertainty during times of high demand. Uncertainty due to climate and environmental factors. Uncertainty concerning post-harvest treatment and duration. Low: when there is vertical integration. Medium - Low: Price information system (fluctuations due to undersupply or oversupply). Supply uncertainty during times of high demand. Uncertainty concerning post-harvest treatment and duration. Assets Specificity Medium – High due to flower quality and perishability. Medium – High due to flower quality and perishability. Governance Structure Mostly informal contract safeguarded by trust. There is also market and to a lesser extent vertical integration. Mostly informal contract safeguarded by trust. There is also market and to a lesser extent vertical integration. Opportunism Medium - High: price information asymmetry and non-payment risk. Low: when there is vertical integration. Medium: non-payment risk. Low: when there is vertical integration. Frequency High: particularly in special occasions (Valentine’s Day, Mother’s Day, Day of the Dead). High: particularly in special occasions (Valentine’s Day, Mother’s Day, Day of the Dead). Uncertainty Low: connected to product quality and its post-harvest duration. Low: connected to product quality and its post-harvest duration. Assets Specificity High-Low, according to the product demanded by retailer. High-Low, according to the product demanded by retailer. Governance Structure Market – Creation of customer loyalty/hybrid forms. Market – Creation of customer loyalty/hybrid forms. Opportunism Low: asymmetric information on product origin and quality. Low: asymmetric information on product origin and quality. Source: Designed by the authors based on secondary data and interviews 4.2. Discrete Structural Analysis The following tables present the Discrete Structural Analysis of Argentine and Chilean floriculture sectors in a comparative way. Within the institutional environment there are macro factors of the sector such as information availability, public entities participation, national-scale quality standards, phytosanitary measures, and the informality level of the sector in general. 9 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” Table 4: Institutional Environment of the Floriculture Sector Institutional Environment of the Floriculture Sector Argentina Chile Low level of information about production volume and prices. There is information about trade volumes but with certain restriction. High level of information about production areas. Low level of information about trade volumes. Last production Survey 2002. Last production Survey 2007. Low level of secondary information or studies about the sector. Medium to High level of secondary information about the sector: studies carried out. High tax evasion. Medium tax evasion. Low participation of public entities: scarce or almost none public policies. High participation of public entities: public policy within the sector, prices information system, market studies, others. Medium level of quality standards. Scarce or almost none production and post-harvest quality standards. There are phytosanitary standards but there is low enforcement. High phytosanitary standards and high compliance level (high enforcement). Floriculture has a tradition of over 100 years and Floriculture has a tradition of over 30 years and a an ethnic character: Portuguese, Japanese and gender emphasis: women are the principal producers. Bolivian Source: designed by the authors based on secondary data and interviews The differences found in terms of this environment are: in Chile, the availability of information on the sector, public sector participation, quality standards, and enforcement are higher. In Argentina, the flower production is a longer-standing tradition. In the organizational environment, the main characteristics of transactions between agents within the flower agribusiness systems of both countries are described. Similarly, the associativism level, the predominant governance structures and the business coordination are presented. Table 5: Organizational Environment of the Floriculture Sector Organizational Environment of the Floriculture Sector Argentina Chile Informality relations Informality relations Trust as base for transactions is prioritized. Trust as base for transactions is prioritized. High associativism level: Co-operatives constitution. Low associativism level, there are neither unions nor cooperatives. The predominant governance structure is the market and informal contracts based on trust. The predominant governance structure is the market and informal contracts based on trust. Business is coordinated via prices: high pressure to drop prices. Business is coordinated via prices and quality. High informality in transactions. High informality in transactions. Most producers are small with low technological level. Most producers are small with low technological level. Source: designed by the authors based on secondary data and interviews. 10 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” In this environment, it is remarkable that in both countries there are high levels of informality in transactions, which are based, generally, on trust. The associativism level is higher in Argentina. In both cases the governance structure is the market and the informal contracts. In Chile, business is coordinated via prices and quality, unlike in Argentina. In the technological environment, the level of production and post-harvest innovation, cold chain to preserve the fresh cut flower, employed transportation, technological level and the quality of the main produced flowers are described. Table 6: Technological Environment of the Floriculture Sector Technological Environment of the Floriculture Sector Argentina Chile Low production and post-harvest innovation level Medium production and post-harvest innovation level (influenced by export emphasis) Deficient cold chain to preserve flowers Deficient cold chain to preserve flowers Inadequate transportation Inadequate transportation 80% outdoors, 20% more modernized level 84% of the area sown outdoors, 16% greenhouse Low quality in rose production, dependence on imports Low quality in rose production, dependence on imports High quality in chrysanthemum and carnation High quality in lilium, tulip and carnation Source: designed by the authors based on secondary data and interviews In this environment, there is an evident low technological level characterized by small productive units, from medium to low productive and post-harvest innovation level. In general, there is low quality in rose production and better quality in other flowers. 4.3. Quantification of fresh cut flowers consumption The main difficulty found in both countries consists in the lack of official registries about the production volume of fresh cut flowers. For this reason, a different estimation method was employed for each country. In the case of Argentina, there is data about stalks trading from the main concentrating markets4. For Chile, data from the 2007 Agricultural, Livestock and Forestry Census (ODEPA5, 2008), which provides information about sown areas6; taking this information the stalk production volume based on average performance by species was estimated (Prochile, 2002). For both countries a standard average weight per flower was assumed, based on previous estimates provided by INTA7 (2009). In Argentina, 41% of traded volume is composed by carnations, roses, freesias and chrysanthemums; 7% by gladioli, gypsophilas, lisianthus and alstroemerias. The remaining percentage is composed by more than 70 products. Domestic consumption is approximately 7.1 thousand tons. This estimate was obtained from traded volumes in concentrating markets and imports volume. 4 Argentine Floriculture Co-operative, CAF. Flower and Plant Producers Co-operative, MERCOFLOR. Office of Agrarian Studies and Policies. 6 Data on performance by species was available only for the 5 principal flowers (Carnation, rose, lilium, gladiolus and chrysanthemum), which represent approximately 70% of nationally traded volume. 7 National Agricultural Technology Institute. 11 5 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” In the case of Chile, around 30 species are produced. Of them, chrysanthemum occupies a larger area (314.7 ha., 14% of the total area occupied by flowers), followed by the lilium (202.7 ha., 9%), carnation (179.5 ha., 8%), Matthiola incana (115.6 ha., 5%), gladiolus (66.6% ha., 3%) and, to a lesser extent, rose (25.7 ha., less than 1%). According to the average species performance (measured in greenhouse and outdoor stalks), the estimate is that the average Chilean production of this cut flowers is 5.7 thousand tons8, as it is presented in Table 7. In both countries the rose is the more consumed flower and its supply depends on imports, given the high seasonal nature of production and the low quality of the national flower. The apparent consumption of main fresh cut flowers in Chile is approximately 8.9 tons. This estimate was made following volumes of flower production9, import and export. Results are presented as follows: Table 7: Apparent consumption of main fresh cut flowers in Argentina and Chile MARKET FACTOR ARGENTINA CHILE* Apparent National consumption of fresh flowers (Tons - 2008) 6.979 8.937 Production (Tons) 6.169 5.715 Imports (Tons) 940 3.414 Exports (Tons) 130 192 50 71 Apparent National Consumption of fresh flowers (U$S millions) Source: designed by the authors following Customs registries – Nosis Database, among other Argentine sources such as INTA, CAF and Mercoflor; national Chilean sources ODEPA and Prochile * A 20% loss due to production and trading handling was considered, and it was restricted to the main traded flowers. 5. CONCLUSIONS The main purpose of this work was to characterize the fresh cut flowers chain in Argentina and Chile. For this, a review of studies concerning the sector, a synthesis of the main theoretical concepts related to the Agribusiness Systems (AGSs) and semistructured interviews to primary agents within the chain were carried out. The main results obtained were presented through a description of transactions, their essential attributes and the governance structures. These relations were displayed in a diagram. Afterwards, a Discrete Structural Analysis was performed in order to achieve greater knowledge about the institutional, organizational and technological environments. Finally, the size of fresh cut flowers consumption market in both countries was estimated. Based on the results analysis, the sector main barriers and opportunities for each country were identified. The following table summarizes these data, which are significant in order to formulate public policies and to define private strategies. 8 The methodology suggested by Prochile in “Análisis del Sector y Estudio de Mercado de Flores de Corte” (2002) was employed. 9 This estimate was made taking into account the same species selection: carnation, chrysanthemum, rose, gladiolus and lilium. 12 VII International PENSA Conference “Economic crisis: Food, Fiber, and Bioenergy Chain” Table 8: Barriers and Opportunities for the Argentine and Chilean floriculture sectors ARGENTINA CHILE BARRIERS - High informality in transactions (inability to execute formal contracts) – Unfavorable climate factors for fresh cut flowers production all year - Information asymmetry (no registry about volume or reference prices) - Precarious cold chain - Inadequate internal transportation - Low technological level for production - Lack of quality standards implementation - Monopolistic competence of wholesalers - Opportunism in price setting and non-payment risk - Lack of public policies fir the sector - High informality in transactions (inability to execute formal contracts) despite macro institutional strength) - Unfavorable climate factors for fresh cut flowers production all year - Information asymmetry (no registry about traded volumes) - Precarious cold chain - Inadequate internal transportation - Medium technological level for production - Low compliance with quality standards for nationally-traded flower - Monopolistic competence of wholesalers - Opportunism in non-payment risk - Low associativism level OPPORTUNITIES - Market size: U$S 50 million in 2008 - Market potential: levels are similar to those before 2002 - Supply in times of shortages and high demand (by importing or technological advances) - Development of marketing strategies to increase consumption - Export to markets in counterseason - Development of new trading channels: supermarkets, shopping malls and others. - Growing internal market (U$S 71 million in 2007) - Supply in times of shortages and high demand (by importing or technological advances) - Development of marketing strategies to increase consumption - Export to markets in counterseason - Strengthen of trading channels: supermarkets, shopping malls and others. Source: designed by the authors For future investigations, we suggest there should be studies on the cut flowers Final Consumer, in particular, in Argentina—which lacks this kind of information, identifying market areas, preferences, opinions, perceptions, buying behavior. Besides, it is recommendable to work on local productive arrangements studies, in order to qualify the producer on seeking for value-gaining within trading. Finally, we suggest applying the agribusiness systems analysis methodology—that has been adapted in this study to a lack-of-information situation—to other industries or countries. 6. BIBLIOGRAPHY Arrow, K., 1951. Social choice and individual values. John Wiley & Sons, New York. Arrow, K., 1963. Uncertainty and the welfare economics of medical care. American Economic Review 53 (5), 941-73. Arrow, K., 1968. The economics of moral hazard: Further comment. American Economic Review 58, 537-539. 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