David F. Miller Center For Retailing Education and Research International Retailing Education and Training (IRET ) Current Status and Format of China’s Retail Industry Current Status of China Retailing Overview Total volume of retail sales of consumer goods is $1,253 Billion RMB, an increase of 15.5% (2009) Top 100 Chain Store Retailers in 2009 $136 Billion in sales, an increase of 13.5% 137,000 stores, an increase of 18.9% Market share, 11% Foreign retailers Sales increased 20.4%; Number of stores increased 15.7% Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 2 Sales of Top 100 Chain Store Retailers in China (Billion Yuan) 1357.9 1400 1199.9 1200 1002.2 1000 855.2 800 707.6 600 497.2 358 400 246.5 162 200 38.4 62.9 98.2 0 1998 1999 2000 Current Retail Status Module 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research 2007 2008 2009 page 3 Current Status of China Retailing Overview (Cont.) Regional growth First Tier Cities Sales increased 5.3% Number of stores increased 7.2% Second and Third Tier Cities Sales increased 19.3% Number of stores increased 14.7% Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 4 Types of Retailers in US Food Retailers (Levy and Weitz, 2004) General Merchandise Retailers Conventional Supermarket Big-Box Food Retailers (Supercenters, Hypermarkets, and Warehouse Club) Convenience Stores Nonstore Retailers Discount Stores Specialty Stores Category Specialist Department Stores Drugstores Off-Price Retailers Value Retailers Electronic Retailing Catalog and Direct-Mail Retailing Direct Selling Television Home Shopping Vender Machine Retailing Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 5 Characteristics of Food Retailers Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 6 Characteristics of General Merchandise Retailers Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 7 Types of Retailers in China (China’s National Standards on Classification of Retail Industry) Store-based Retailers Conventional Grocery Stores Convenience Stores Value Retailers Supermarkets Hypermarkets Warehouse Clubs Department Stores Category Specialist Specialty Stores Home Improvement Center Shopping Centers (Community, CBD, Suburb) Factory Outlets Current Retail Status Module Nonstore Retailer Electronic Retailing Catalog and Direct-Mail Retailing Direct Selling Television Home Shopping Vender Machine Retailing David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 8 Conventional Grocery Store Retail Shop Format Features Location Residential area or traditional business area Trade Area and Target Customers Radius of 0.3km; relatively fixed resident customers Size 100 square meters Commodity Structure Mainly cigarette, soft drinks, alcohol drinks, snack foods Selling Form On counter style or self-choice style or combination of the 2 Service Open more than 12 hours a day Information System None or very basic information system Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 9 Conventional Grocery Store (Cont.) Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 10 Conventional Grocery Store (Cont.) Current Retail Status Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 11 Conventional grocery store in China vs. Mom and pop stores Mom and pop stores Conventional grocery store Privately owned small business Privately owned small business Mainly sell cigarette, drinks, snacks and everyday merchandise Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 12 Mom and pop store (US) Location Module Conventional grocery store (China) David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 13 Street/Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 14 Street/Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 15 Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 16 Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 17 Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 18 Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 19 Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 20 Open Market Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 21 Department stores in China Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 22 Retail Shop Format Features Location Center of business area of cities; Business districts formed in history Trade Area and Target Customers Mainly flow customers who pursue fashion and taste Size 6,000-20,000 square meters Commodity Structure Various categories of commodities; such as clothes, footwear, bags and suitcases, cosmetics, appliances Selling Form Open-shelf self-choice style combined with on counter trade Service Emphasize on service; Built in restaurant, cafeteria, and entertainment facilities Information System High level Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 23 2500 2197 2000 1801 1482 1500 1275 1000 930 597 500 0 2003 Location Module 2004 2005 2006 2007 David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research 2008 page 24 Key Players (2008) Retailers Sales (100 M RMB) Number of Stores Bailian 943 6418 Dashang 626 150 Chongqing Shangshe 263 294 Hefei 194 125 Yinzuo 187 164 New World 148 33 Wuhan Zhongbai 142 630 Liqun 139 866 Changchun Yatai 121 18 Wangfujing 120 17 Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 25 The Market Share of Department Stores New World Wangfujing 7% 5% Parkson 5% Intime 4% Xidan 1% Others 78% Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 26 Current Status Fast Growth 30% Growth Rate Relatively High Profitability Gross margin =15.8% Profit = 4.4% Geographically Unbalanced Sales in Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjing, Liaoning and Shandong comprise 46.5% of national sales. Industry is Relatively Fragmented CR4 = 21% Mainly Regional and No National Leaders Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 27 Current Status (Cont.) It has been influenced the most by the current economic recession, but the industry is continuously growing. Market is further segmented Community Department Stores, Fashion Department Stores, High-end Department Stores, and Shopping Mall Department Stores Customer service has significantly improved Large scale discounts hurt the profitability Distribution system needs changes. Buying from regional agents Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 28 Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 29 Retail Shop Format Features Location Business area, inner city, and communities Trade Area and Target Customers Radius of 2 km Mainly residents in the trading area Size Less than 6,000 square meters Commodity Structure Mainly prepackaged food, fresh food and commodity Selling Form Open-shelf self-choice style Differentiated entrances and exits Pay at exit Service Open more than 12 hours a day; Information System Relatively high level Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 30 Retail Shop Format Features Location Business district, inner city, suburb, vital thoroughfare, and large residential area Trade Area and Target Customers Radius of 2 km Mainly residents in the trading area and traffic Size More than 6000 square meters Commodity Structure Various categories of commodities Willing to develop self-owned brand Selling Form Open-shelf self-choice style Differentiated entrances and exits Pay at exit Service Open more than 12 hours a day Information System Relative high level Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 31 Introduced in the early 1990s Serving International Visitors 1990s: Shifted focus to the local community. Supermarket developments took off in big cities. 2000 to Present: Have been experiencing rapid growth and competition became fierce. Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 32 Supermarket and Hypermarket Sales (Billion RMB) 600 500 477 401 400 344 311 300 234 200 193 100 0 2003 Location Module 2004 2005 2006 David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research 2007 2008 page 33 Number of Supermarket and Hypermarket Stores 30000 27762 25166 25000 21066 20000 18924 15000 12877 11717 10000 5000 0 2003 Location Module 2004 2005 2006 David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research 2007 2008 page 34 Key Players (2008) Retailers Sales (100M # of Stores RMB) Market share China Resources Vanguard 638 2,698 13.4% Lianhua 500 3,932 10.5% Carrefour 338 134 7.2% RT-Mart 336 101 7.0% Wu-Mart 302 2,010 6.4% Wal-mart 278 123 5.8% Nonggongshang 267 3,330 5.6% Xinyijia 175 105 3.7% Trust Mart 164 104 3.4% Hualian 150 1,946 3.1% Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 35 Current Status Hypermarkets Gross margin is 13.43%, profit is 4.53% Supermarkets Gross margin is 12.32%, profit is 4.15% Market concentration CR4=40% CR8=60% Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 36 Current Status (Cont.) Fresh food is becoming the “cash cow”. The relationship with suppliers needs improvement. Hypermarket growth is the fastest among the various formats. Saturated in the first and second tier cities Expanding in the third and fourth tier cities Foreign retailers dominate the Hypermarket format. Innovations and Differentiations High-end Supermarkets, Fresh Food Supermarkets, and Community Supermarkets. Supermarkets pursue regional advantages and serve communities. Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 37 Convenience Store Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 38 Convenience Stores Retail Shop Format Features Location Business area center; vital thoroughfare and public area (surrounding stations, hospitals, business buildings, entertainment centers, gas stations, etc.) Trade Area and Target Customers Within a five minute walk; single and young people Size 100 square meters and highly space efficient Commodity Structure Mainly fast food and commodities, priced higher than market average Selling Form Mainly open-shelf self-choice style Pay at cash register at the door Service Open more than 16 hours a day Provide facilities for fast food and some other services Information System High level Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 39 U.S. Vs. China Convenience store (US) Convenience store (China) Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 40 Convenience Store (Cont.) Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 41 Convenience Stores Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 42 Convenience Stores Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 43 Convenience Stores Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 44 Number of Convenience Stores 25000 20000 15000 12467 12685 Franchise store 11929 Directly-managed store 10000 3469 1728 5000 822 3625 6027 6574 6076 8073 8874 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 45 Sales of Convenience Stores (Billion RMB) 35 30 6.8 25 5.7 4.4 20 Franchise store 2.9 15 2.5 25 10 1.1 5 15.5 17.9 Directly-managed store 20.9 11.3 5.6 0 2003 Location Module 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 46 Market Share of Convenience Stores Meiyijia , 9.28% Kuaike, 9.08% Others , 38.85% Kede, 6.49% 7-Eleven, 6.41% Haode, 4.61% Jinhu, 3.86% Guoda, 3.25% Suguo, 3.40% Shanghao, 3.53% Location Module Liqun, 3.83% Tianfu, 3.71% Weike, 3.71% David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 47 Current Status Convenience stores are mainly regional. Haode, Kede and Suguo in Eastern China Meyijia, Tianfu and Shanghao in Southern China Liqun and Weike in Shandong 7-11 is a national store chain 12 leading retailers own 60% convenience stores Domestic retailers dominate the convenience store format, with the exception of 7-11. Shanghai and Zhejiang have half of the convenience stores. Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 48 Current Status (Cont.) Competition with other retail formats has become intensive. More attention is paid to fresh food Instant food and meal boxes Improved distribution Foreign convenience retailers replenish twice daily Chinese convenience retailers replenish once daily Constructed distribution centers Become big chain or die Most of the convenience stores are in the red. Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 49 Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 50 Retail Shop Format Features Location Center of city business areas Inside department stores and shopping centers Trade area and target customers Mainly attract customers who are shopping for certain kind of product Size Differs with the products offered Commodity Structure Mainly specific kind of product Professional, various kinds, plenty of choices Selling Form Open-shelf, self-choice style combined with on the counter trade Service Emphasize on quality service Salespeople are knowledgeable and professional Management System High level Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 51 # of Specialty Stores 80000 67,471 70000 68,967 63,997 60000 47,825 50000 40000 Department Stores Specialty Stores 30000 22,132 20000 10000 2,129 3,016 3,853 5,353 6,064 0 2003 Location Module 2003 2005 2006 2007 David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 52 Sales of Specialty Stores (100M RMB) 12000 10,573 10000 8,868 7,782 8000 6000 Department Stores Specialty Stores 4000 2000 1,581 1,191 930 1,275 597 1,482 1,801 0 2003 Location Module 2003 2005 2006 2007 David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 53 Non-Store Retailing Source: ACMR-IBISWorld Databasen-Store Location Module Retailing David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 54 Online Retailing - Products and Services Segmentation-products and service Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 55 Revenue and Revenue Growth Rate Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 56 Geographic Distribution of Revenue About 97.4% of industry revenue was generated in East China, North China and Middle South China in 2009. Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 57 Online Retailing The number of Internet users increasing fast 1996, 0.1 million; 1999, 4 million 2009, 340 million (No. 1 in the World) 110 million internet shoppers, increased 45.9% in 2008 2009 online sales was $248.35 billion 31 out of top 100 chain store retailers in China had online retailing as of 5/2010 Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 58 Online Consumers On-line consumers are most of the age groups 1824 and 25-30,according to CNNIC (China Internet Network Information Center) Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 59 Business Models Business to Business (B2B) E.g.: Alibaba Customer to Customer (C2C) E.g., Taobao,Paipai Business to Customer (B2C) E.g., Dangdang, Joyo, and Jingdong Shangcheng Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 60 Industry Characteristics Big market with great potential Barriers to entry are low Competition is increasing Government supports The level of regulation is decreasing. C2C dominates the market B2C is 1/8 of C2C Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 61 Market Share of Online Stores (China Internet Information Center, 2009 Survey report on China Internet Market) Yunwang, Maiwang, 0.30% 0.40% 99, 0.30% Honghaier, 0.90% others, 3.20% Eachnet, 0.90% Youa, 1.50% Jingdong Shangcheng, 2.20% Joyo, 2.20% Dangdang, 5.80% Paipai, 6.10% Taobao, 76.50% Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 62 Market Share of Online Stores Taobao Sales in 2008 were $146.2 M, an increase of 131% Close to 100 million registered users (by the end of 2009). Age 25-32 = 48%; Age 16-24 = 35% Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 63 Sizes of Different Retail Formats (2008) Sales (Million Yuan) Growth (%) Acreage (Square meters) Growth (%) # of Employees Growth (%) # of SKUs Growth (%) Hypermarkets 212.9 12.4 11,275 1.8% 239 0.7 25,537 4.8 Supermarkets 72.4 11.3 2,672 1.4% 101 2.8 14,325 7.4 Department Stores 883.97 11.1 32,531 1.4% 887 0.0 93,422 0.8 Convenience Stores 4.73 12.3 139 0 9.1 5.8 2,614 -0.4 Home Electronics 501.64 2.0 7,667 1.9% 289 -1.0 14,216 11.4 Drug Stores 37.06 7.1 752 0 61 0.0 6,739 4.0 Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 64 Efficiency and Profitability of Different Formats (2008) Sales /# empl oyee (1000 Yuan) Gro wth (%) Sales/ Squar e Meter (1000 Yuan) Growt h (%) Sales/ # SKU (1000 Yuan) Growt h (%) Transa ction/ day Growt h (%) Sales/ custo mer (Yuan) Growt h (%) Gross Margi n (% ) Growt h (%) Hyperma rket 891 1.8 17.6 6.27 7 8.4 10059 1.0 58.1 12.9 12.9 0.3 Superma rket 719 8.3 27.1 9.81 5 3.5 4554 6.5 43.6 4.5 12.9 0.9 Departm ent Store 997 15.3 27.2 9.3 3.5 9.2 10839 -5.2 226.4 1.5 14.1 0.3 Convenie nce Store 521 6.6 34 12.3 1.8 12.7 758 -2.7 16.2 11.1 16.4 0 Home Electroni c 1733 7.9 65.4 6.89 35.3 -8.5 729 -7.8 1901.0 2.3 10.8 1.0 Drug Store 610 6.6 49 7.1 5.5 2.9 1724 -3.8 48.2 1.3 23.0 -0.7 Location Module David F. Miller Center for Retailing Education and Research page 65