WORKING PAPER SERIES NO. 49 STRATEGIC RE-ENGINEERING SMALL FIRMS’ TACTICS IN A MATURE INDUSTRY NOLA HEWITT-DUNDAS and STEPHEN ROPER NORTHERN IRELAND ECONOMIC RESEARCH CENTRE Strategic Re-Engineering - Small Firms' Tactics in a Mature Industry January 2000 Nola Hewitt-Dundas* and Stephen Roper** *Northern Ireland Economic Research Centre and CAM Benchmarking Ltd 46-48 University Road, Belfast Northern Ireland, BT7 1NJ Tel: (028 90) 237767 / 261811 e-mail: nola.hewitt@cam-benchmarking.com ** Northern Ireland Economic Research Centre and Dept of Economics, Queen’s University of Belfast s.roper@qub.ac.uk Acknowledgements This paper would not have been possible without the generosity of the 39 Managing Directors who spoke to us, and our team of market researchers. We would also like to thank Brendan McFerran of CAM Benchmarking Ltd for his support for this research and Lynne Rainey for her diligence in the data collection process. Comments on an earlier draft of this paper were received from participants at the 22nd National Small Firms’ Conference: European Strategies, Growth and Development, Leeds, November 1999. This research was undertaken as part of the CAM Benchmarking project, which is funding by the EU Special Programme for Peace and Reconciliation. Abstract Mature industries are characterised by static or declining sales, low average margins and intense competition between firms for market share. This paper develops a typology of strategic options for small firms in the furniture industry and examines the extent to which firms are adopting simple or complex strategies. Empirical analysis is based on data from 39 firms with between 10 and 100 employees in the Irish furniture industry. Three main results emerge from the analysis. First, there is some support for the suggestion that firms in mature industries such as furniture tend to adopt simple business development strategies. Second, in terms of strategy success, we find no evidence that simple strategies unambiguously out-perform more complex approaches. Instead, the success of either a simple or complex business strategy is directly related to the strength of firms’ resource base. Finally, marked differences were found in firms' ability or willingness to re-engineer their strategies in the light of their experience. 1 Introduction Two main schools of thought exist on the importance of firm specific influences on businesses’ choice of market development strategy (Mauri and Michaels, 1998). While the industrial organisation literature stresses the role of market or industry structure in determining firm conduct or behaviour (e.g. Bain, 1972; Caves 1980; Demsetz, 1973; Clarke, 1985), newer resource based perspectives stress the importance of firm-specific characteristics (Barney, 1991; Conner, 1991; Wernerfelt, 1984; Grant, 1991; Peteraf, 1993; Dooley et al., 1996). In isolation, each perspective leads to very different predictions about the type of strategy choices that firms will make within a given industry or market. An industrial organisation perspective suggests, for example, that in the longer term firms’ strategies will converge, as the optimal strategy for each market context steadily becomes clearer. Resource-based perspectives on the other hand suggest that variation in firms’ strategy choices within a market will persist reflecting the diversity of firms’ core competencies and their search for competitive advantage (Variyam and Kraybill, 1993; Roper, 1997; 1998)1. Recent empirical studies have sought to synthesise these two perspectives. Mauri and Michaels (1998), for example, examined the performance of 264 large US manufacturing enterprises over a fifteen-year period and concluded that "firms' unique resource endowments, and not the participation in a particular industry, are the cause of differences in performance… [but] firms competing in the same industry tend to develop homogeneous competitive strategies for investing in technology and marketing resources". The suggestion is that while firms' resource endowments may determine strategy success, strategy choice is – as the industrial organisation literature suggests – restricted by market structure. One important aspect of market structure, determining as it does the scope for technologically based product innovation, is the maturity of the industry. As Porter outlines, industry structure not only determines the rules of competition but also the “strategies potentially available to the firm” (1980:3). For example, firms operating in dynamic and fast growing market environments will face markedly different 1 This is not necessarily inconsistent with the idea of strategic convergence. For example, indivisibilities or economies of scale or scope in an industry or market might lead to uniformity in the technological or production resources of competing companies. In this situation even if strategy was resource determined, strategic convergence might occur. 1 competitive forces to firms in mature and stable markets. Miller et al. (1996) in examining strategy choice across a range of industries, distinguish between simple and complex business strategies. They argue that simple, one dimensional strategies involving either price or quality based competition are likely to be most appropriate to mature industries (e.g. furniture) while complex, multi-dimensional strategies may be more suited to more dynamic markets (e.g. software)2. Mintzberg (1979), reflects an essentially similar argument, suggesting that decision making processes (or coordinating mechanisms) within a firm should be attuned to the complexity of the firm’s business environment. In what follows we make use of the distinction between simple and complex strategies suggested by Miller et al. (1996) to explore the process of strategy formation, success or failure, learning and strategic re-engineering by small firms in the Irish furniture industry3. More specifically, we develop a typology of strategic options for small furniture manufacturers in their search for higher profits. This defines the range of possible strategies and allows us to identify the extent to which firms are adopting simple or complex approaches. Section 2 of the paper describes the context for the study and outlines the main hypotheses to be investigated. Section 3 outlines the methodology we adopt and describes the data sources. Section 4 then describes the main empirical results considering first the extent to which firms’ choices between simple and complex strategies depend on their resource base. This is followed by an assessment of the success of alternative strategies in terms of their profit payoff. Again, we consider the extent to which firms’ resource-base was contributing to the success of their adopted strategy. Finally, we address the question of whether our sample of small firms was learning from the success or otherwise of their strategic choices and undertaking strategic re-engineering. The results emphasise the importance of firms’ resource base 2 Miller et al.’s empirical evidence for large US companies does not, however, support this argument. In their data simple strategies prove most effective in raising profitability in both stable and dynamic market environments (Miller et al., 1996, pp. 880-884). 3 Miller et al. (1996) distinguish between two mechanisms which may lead to strategic re-engineering: passive adaption and opportunistic adaption or learning. In the former, firms follow incremental behaviours designed to maintain stability and enhance organisational competence within current activities. In the latter, firms seek out and explore a wide variety of alternative goals, activities and models of operation. 2 in determining strategy success but provide little support for the universal superiority of simple strategies suggested by Miller et al. (1996). 2 Industry Context and Hypotheses Furniture manufacturing is a mature industry typified by low profit margins, low entry costs, limited market growth and intense competition between firms for market share (Porter, 1980). Pressure on firms to increase the scale of their production operations does exist but the sector remains highly fragmented with a disproportionate share of small firms. In the United Kingdom in 1997, for example, 96.5 per cent of all furniture manufacturers had less than 100 employees. Similarly, all furniture manufacturers in Northern Ireland and 95.7 per cent of those in the Republic of Ireland have less than 100 employees (Table 1)4. Table 1: Size Structure of Businesses in the Northern Ireland and Republic of Ireland Furniture Industries Employment Sizeband Furniture Northern Republic Ireland of Ireland % % All Manufacturing Northern Republic Ireland of Ireland % % 1-9 employees 10-19 employees 20-99 employees 100-499 employees 500 plus employees 82.9 9.9 7.2 0.0 0.0 51.2 20.5 24.0 4.3 0.0 66.9 13.5 14.7 4.4 0.5 33.1 21.2 34.4 10.2 1.1 Total (%) Total (no. of units) 100.0 555 100.0 391 100.0 4280 100.0 4599 Sources: Republic of Ireland: Table 10, p. 96, Census of Industrial Production, 1996, CSO. Northern Ireland: Table 9.2, p.126, Size Band Analysis of UK Business, PA1003, 1998, ONS. 4 See also on the US furniture industry Vlosky, 1996, Muth and Falk, 1994; Seldon and Bullard, 1992; on Denmark, Maskell, 1998 and on South Africa, Kaplinsky and Manning, 1998, pp. 144-147. 3 Similar fragmentation is also characteristic of the UK and Irish furniture markets with demand and sales growth varying widely between different product groups. From 1992 to 1997, for example, sales of living room furniture in the UK rose 44 per cent compared to a 38 per cent increase in sales of bedroom furniture and an 85 per cent increase in sales of dining room furniture (Mintel, 1998, p. 8). Significant variability also exists between the cost structure, value added and profitability of firms in different industry sub-sectors. Data from the Republic of Ireland Census of Production, for example, suggests that gross output (a measure of sales) per employee varied from £63,700 pa in firms manufacturing chairs, seats etc. to £46,800 pa in the production of office furniture. Labour productivity (measured by net output per employee), however, varied less markedly between furniture sub-sectors but was less than a third of the manufacturing average (Table 2)5. In part, this reflects the low capital intensity of furniture manufacture as well as the fact that labour costs as a percentage of gross output were more than double the manufacturing average (Table 2). 5 Furniture production is also characterised by relatively low elasticities of substitution between labour, capital and raw material inputs (Seldon and Bullard, 1992). This, together with the relatively high labour share of costs emphasises the importance of labour productivity and unit costs (Maskell, 1998). 4 Table 2: Cost and Productivity Indicators by Furniture Industry Sub-Sector: Republic of Ireland, 1996 Furniture Industry Sub-Sectors Chairs/ Office/ Other Other Seats Shop Kitchen Tables Furniture Furniture All Manufacturing Firms A. Cost Structure (% Gross Output) Cost of Materials 55.9 44.5 Cost of Services 1.6 5.1 Fuel Costs 1.9 1.5 Net Output 40.5 48.9 Labour Costs 18.5 24.4 53.9 1.1 1.6 43.4 20.1 51.1 1.6 2.2 45.1 20.3 47.4 1.4 1.2 45.0 9.9 B. Productivity Indicators (£000 pa) Gross Output per 63.7 46.8 47.1 49.5 161.1 Employee Net Output per Employee 20.5 22.3 80.5 Note: 25.8 22.9 Average employment in all manufacturing firms was 49 compared to 22 in firms manufacturing chairs and seating, 16 in firms manufacturing office and shop furniture, 11 in kitchen furniture and 17 in firms manufacturing other tables. Source: Table 1, p. 54 Census of Production, Republic of Ireland, 1996, CSO Differences in the market prospects of the various sub-sectors of the furniture industry also offer firms considerable scope for developing alternative business strategies. Standard technologies, low capital intensity and low switching costs between subsectors enables furniture firms to choose between changing their sales composition by diversifying their product lines across a range of products and thereby targeting more profitable sub-sectors, or changing their market position by pursuing differentiation strategies that raise their profitability compared to the average in that sub-sector. Miller et al. (1996) argue that in the absence of market threats or resource shortages, firms in a mature market environment will tend to simplify their strategic repertoires and pursue increasingly focused strategies (Miller, 1990; Miller and Chen, 1993) 6. Porter (1980, p. 211) also suggests that unless firms are large enough to dominate 6 The coefficient of variation on sales, as a measure of the industry turbulence has been used in the past to highlight relatively high market stability in furniture manufacturing. Furniture manufacturing was found not only to have lower market growth rate, but also lower R&D intensity, with this being interpreted as an index of product obsolescence. (Tosi, Aldag & Storey, 1973). 5 their operating environment the most feasible strategy is one of "focus or specialisation on some tight strategic concept". Hence, we expect that in the mature furniture industry: Hypothesis 1 - Simple strategies relating to either changes in sales composition or changing market position are more common than more complex or ‘mixed’ strategies. As suggested earlier, resource-based perspectives argue that firms’ choice of strategy will be driven by their internal capabilities (Wernerfelt, 1984; Barney, 1991; Peteraf 1993; Castrogiovanni, 1991). For example, firms with strongly developed design and R&D capabilities may seek competitive advantage through superior product quality (Porter 1980). Similarly, where there is 'administrative slack' in a firm, this may discourage the adoption of a focused and simple strategy by allowing an organisation to pursue a wider variety of activities such as advertising, R&D, engineering and training (Levinthal and March, 1981; March, 1981; Nelson and Winter, 1982). Because of their limited managerial resources, small firms’ strategy choices will be more strongly resource constrained than those of larger businesses (Variyam and Kraybill, 1993), with the background and attitudes of the owner-manager affecting both the firm’s strategic capacity and attitude to risk-taking (Wozniak, 1987). This suggests that: Hypothesis 2 – The choice between simple and mixed strategies will vary systematically with differences in firms’ resource-base. In mature industries, the evidence to date suggests that simple strategies that build on firms’ key strengths can be highly successful (Miller et al., 1996). Porter (1980, p. 211) also argues that excessive complexity in a firm's strategy may lead to "confusion, mediocrity, and inefficiency in the use of resources". Rodgers (1992) also suggests that a focused and simple strategy can help firms to acquire competitive advantage while multi-faceted strategies may scatter resources too broadly. Hence, we expect that: 6 Hypothesis 3 - Simple strategies (relating to either changes in sales composition or changing market position) will have greater profit pay-off than more complex strategies. Central to the success of either a simple or complex strategy, however, is the consistency of the strategy with a firm’s resource-base7. Therefore, we anticipate that: Hypothesis 4 – The profit payoff of simple and complex strategies will vary systematically with differences in firms’ resource-base. We assume that firms evaluate the success of alternative strategy approaches in terms of their profit payoff, or more specifically by their contribution to increasing gross profit margins. Unsuccessful strategies will then be re-engineered as firms seek a better ‘fit’ between their chosen strategy, their resource base and their market environment. Thus we expect that: Hypothesis 5 – Through a process of learning, firms re-engineer their strategy towards those strategies that have the greatest profit payoffs. Such strategic re-engineering may involve a more efficient use of resources in support of a firm’s current strategy, or alternatively, the re-allocation of resources and the adoption of a new strategic direction. Human capital resources, particularly that of the owner-manager, is likely to be central to the ability or willingness of a firm to reengineer its strategic approach. Variyam and Kraybill (1993), for example, suggest that "Firms with higher levels of human capital have a better command over technical information for implementing strategies. Such firms also have higher allocative abilities and, hence, are more efficient in utilising the knowledge they acquire" (Variyam and Kraybill, 1993, p. 138). Hence we expect that: 7 Chandler and Hanks (1994, p. 336), for example, conclude that "performance is a function not only of the attractiveness of the market- and resource-based capabilities, but also of the fit between resourcebased capabilities and chosen firm strategies". 7 Hypothesis 6 – Firms’ ability or willingness to 'learn' and re-engineer their strategy to achieve greater profit payoffs will vary systematically with differences in their resource base. 3 Methodology Data for this investigation of strategy choice was collected during an interview survey with small furniture companies in Ireland during late 1998 and early 1999. All Irish companies in the target employment sizeband (i.e. 10-100 employees) were contacted by letter and invited to participate in the study. Those firms choosing to participate received a benchmarking report comparing their strategic position to that of other similar small firms8. In all, 129 companies were approached of which 44 (34 per cent) took part in the benchmarking exercise and 39 (30 per cent) provided sufficiently full information to be included in this study. Average employment of the final group of 39 sample firms in 1997 was 33, with average sales of £1.68m. In the company interviews, sixteen product groups were distinguished of which 10 related to goods produced for household use and six to contract markets (see Table 3). On average, each firm was selling in 2.7 of these product groups. As expected, gross profit margins varied considerably between product groups, with some of the highest gross margins in 1997 occurring in the manufacture of contract vanity units (32 per cent), fitted bathroom furniture (42.6 per cent) and kitchens (32.3 per cent), and the lowest gross margins in household living and dining room furniture (17-19 per cent). The growth in average margins between product groups from 1994 to 1997 also varied substantially. Large increases in gross margins on bathroom furniture (14.6 per cent) and contract bar and restaurant furniture (5.5 per cent) contrasting sharply with declining margins on contract desks and furniture systems (-3.3 per cent) and seating (-3.0 per cent). 8 This study is part of an EU funded benchmarking initiative for small firms in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland being conducted by CAM Benchmarking Ltd (e.g. McFerran et al., 1996; HewittDundas and Roper, 1998). 8 Table 3: Gross Profit Margins of Sample Companies, by Product Group, 1994 and 1997 1994 Mean Std Dev % % 1997 Mean Std % Dev % Household Furniture Kitchen Bedroom Beds & Bedding Living Room Dining Room Upholstered Bathroom Occasional Home Office Other Domestic 29.3 25.8 30.0 16.2 18.2 27.5 28.0 23.0 na 26.7 8.9 10.7 11.3 11.1 12.2 7.2 na 12.8 na 16.6 32.3 27.0 28.6 17.0 19.2 28.3 42.6 23.0 29.6 25.1 11.5 13.0 10.9 9.7 11.4 7.0 16.1 10.5 20.7 16.0 3.0 1.2 -1.4 0.8 1.0 0.8 14.6 0.0 na -1.6 Contract Furniture Vanity Units Office Desks, Systems Bar/Restaurant Seating Other Contract 30.0 29.0 25.7 13.5 24.8 27.5 0.0 9.2 10.2 4.9 8.2 8.2 32.0 26.7 22.4 19.0 21.8 27.6 2.8 12.8 12.7 15.5 11.2 15.5 2.0 -2.2 -3.3 5.5 -3.0 0.1 Note: Change in Means % In 1994 no sample companies were involved in the production of home office furniture. Only one sample firm was engaged in producing bathroom furniture. Source: Company Survey Considerable diversity in productivity and profitability between sub-sectors of the furniture industry combined with the relative ease of switching between these subsectors means that small furniture companies may be said to have two main strategic options in the search for higher profit margins. They can either change their distribution of sales across the furniture sub-sectors, and/or, change their market position in their existing product groups (i.e. to move ‘up’ or ‘down’ market). Our aim here is to define a framework to distinguish between these strategies and isolate their effects on gross profit margins (see also Variyam and Kraybill, 1993)9. 9 We focus here on a single profit measure, the gross profit margin. Other studies have suggested that this indicator is strongly and positively correlated with other profit and performance measures. Droge 9 Let π ij be the gross profit margin of firm i, for product group j. The average gross profit margin for firm i is then π ij = ∑ π ij λij , where λij is the share of firm i’s output j in product group j. To assess the success of firms’ strategy choices we examine the extent to which their average gross margins increased over the 1994 to 1997 period due to changes in sales composition (i.e. changes in λij ) and changes in market positioning (i.e. changes in π ij − π j , where π j is the mean profit margin for product group j). The change in firm i’s average gross margin from 1994 to 1997 can then be written: 94 94 97 97 94 97 94 94 π i97 − π i94 = ∑ π ij97 λ97 ij − ∑ π ij λ ij = ∑ π ij (λ ij − λ ij ) + ∑ (π ij − π ij )λ ij j j j (1) j Here, the first term reflects the profit impact of changes in sales composition, and the second term reflects the profit impact of changes in firm i’s gross profit rate for each product group. Moves in the firm’s gross profit rates for each product group may, however, reflect either changes in the firm’s market positioning or secular movements in average profit rates for that particular product group. To separate these two effects and enable us to identify the strategically determined element of profit change note that: 94 94 97 94 π ij97 − π ij94 = (π ij97 − π 97 j ) − (π ij − π j ) + (π j − π j ) (2) Which, when substituted into (1), gives: 94 π i97 − π i94 = ∑ π ij97 (λ97 ij − λ ij ) j [ ] 97 94 + ∑ λ (π ij97 − π j97 ) − (π ij94 − π j94 ) + ∑ λ94 ij (π j − π j ) 94 ij j (3) j et al., (1994) for example, in their study of US furniture manufacturers found that return on sales was positively correlated at the 1 per cent level with both return on investment and market share (Table 3B, p. 679). 10 We regard the first and second terms in this decomposition of profit change (denoted Ai and Bi respectively below) as strategically determined reflecting the profit impact of changes in sales composition and firms’ market position respectively. The third term (denoted Ci below) reflects the exogenous impact on firms’ profit rates of secular changes in average profit rates for each product group. The very different levels and growth in gross profit margins between product groups suggests the potential importance for firms of selecting the ‘right’ target markets. In the next section we consider the strategies adopted by firms, the success of these strategies and the extent to which firms were re-engineering their strategic approach in the light of their experience. 4 Empirical Results 4.1 Strategic Choice and Its Determinants The framework defined above distinguishes four possible strategies: changing nothing (i.e. Ai=0, Bi=0), changing sales composition only (i.e. Ai ≠ 0, Bi=0), changing market position only (i.e. Ai=0, Bi ≠ 0), or changing both sales composition and market position (i.e. Ai ≠ 0, Bi ≠ 0). In terms of the distinctions made by Miller et al. (1996) the second and third of these strategic options might be regarded as ‘simple’ strategies with the fourth option (changing everything) reflecting a more ‘complex’ approach. On this basis it is possible to divide firms in the sample into those pursuing each type of strategy over the 1994 to 1997 period (Table 4). What emerges is that among our sample of companies two strategic options are dominant: twenty-three firms (59 per cent) chose to pursue a simple strategy changing only their market position while maintaining their sales composition (i.e. Ai=0, Bi ≠ 0). The remaining 16 companies (41 per cent) adopted a complex strategy, changing both their sales composition and market position. The larger proportion of companies choosing a simple strategy provides some support for Hypothesis 1 outlined above and is consistent with the idea that simple strategies may be seen by firms as appropriate to a mature industry like furniture (Mintzberg, 1979; Miller et al., 1996). In section 4.2 below we consider the success of these alternate approaches but focus for the moment on examining the internal resources of those firms choosing simple and complex business strategies. 11 Table 4: Sample Firms’ Choice of Strategic Options (Number of Firms) Changes in Market Positioning No (Bi=0) Yes (Bi≠0) Changes in Sales Composition No Yes (Ai=0) (Ai≠0) 0 0 23 16 Source: Company Survey On average, firms in our sample choosing a simple strategy (i.e. changing market position only) tended to be larger, to have stronger external links, a more experienced but less well educated owner manager and were less likely to have received government support than those adopting a more complex strategy (Table 5). They also tended to have higher value added per employee but a lower value added share in turnover. Little significant difference was evident, however, between the ages of the firms choosing each type of strategy or their business systems with the notable exception of the use of Computer Aided Design (Table 5). The suggestion, both from the differential size of the companies, their productivity profile and their greater use of CAD, is that those small firms adopting simple strategies were more capital intensive and more strongly oriented towards large batch production than the more craft-based firms adopting complex strategies. Because of their smaller scale, this latter group of firms may also be more flexible and more able to shift easily between product groups. The presence within these companies of better-educated ownermanagers may also have increased the firm’s ability to assess the strategic options and made the adoption of more active product and market development strategies more likely (see also Roper, 1997). In either case, the significant differences in the internal resources of firms adopting simple and mixed strategies provides some support for Hypothesis 2. 12 Table 5: Characteristics of Sample Firms by Strategy Choice Simple Strategies Number of Firms 2. 3. 23 Firm Characteristics Age of Firm (Years) Sales Turnover in 1997 (£000stg) Employment in 1997 Turnover per Employee (£000) Value Added per Employee (£000) Value Added to Turnover (%) Founder still in firm (% of firms) Age of Owner-Manager Owner Manager - Years in Industry Owner Manager - Years in Firm Owner Manager - Highest Qualification 25.0 2445 42.6 61.0 25.9 45.4 52.2 (3) 21 16 (2) Business Systems (% of Firms) ISO 9000 in 1994 ISO 9000 during 1994 - 97 Use of Robotics Use of CAD MAS in 1994 13.0 21.7 0.0 73.7 34.8 External Relationships (% of Firms) Universities Other group companies Suppliers 4.3 13.0 21.7 Government Assistance (% of Firms) Plant Machinery and Equipment Managerial or Clerical Training Supervisory Training Quality Assurance Strategic Planning 4.3 17.4 0.0 4.3 4.3 Notes 1. Complex Strategies 16 ** * ** ** ** * ** * * * ** ** ** 33.8 1625.0 32.1 38.0 21.1 55.4 18.8 (2) 14 11 (4) 6.3 6.3 12.5 43.8 18.8 12.5 0.0 12.5 43.8 50.0 25.0 18.8 25.0 ** Denotes a significant difference between those firms choosing simple and complex strategies at the 5 per cent level on the basis of a Kruskal-Wallis H test. * Denotes a significant difference at the 10 per cent level. Turnover per employee, value added per employee and value added to turnover are averages for the 1994-97 period. Figures in brackets refer to categorical variables. The coding for the age of the owner-manager is 1, 20-29; 2, 30-39; 3, 40-49; 4, 50-59; 5, 60 plus. The coding for the highest qualification of the owner-manager is 0, none; 1, GCSE; 2, apprenticeship or OND; 3, A-levels; 4, HND or equivalent; 5, degree. Source: Company Survey. 13 4.2 Strategy Success To isolate the impact of firms’ strategy choices on gross margins we isolate and remove the impact of secular or cyclical changes in average profit rates for each product group using equation (3)10. Strategic changes in firms’ market position and sales composition may then counteract, balance or exaggerate the effect of these secular or cyclical changes on firms’ average gross profit. Table 6 displays the individual impact on gross profit due to, changing sales composition (Ai) and market positioning (Bi). The impact on gross profit of both market positioning and secular changes in average profit rates (Bi+Ci) is also highlighted. Twenty-three firms pursuing simple strategies (Cases 1 to 23) had no change in gross profit due to changing sales composition (i.e. Ai=0), and mixed impacts on gross profit due to market positioning (i.e. Bi≠0). Of these 23 furniture firms, 12 (Cases 1 to 12) had successfully positioned themselves in their market, acquiring increased profit between 1994 and 1997 with 11 firms (Cases 13 to 23) experiencing deterioration in profit in their product markets. For those firms where the sum effect on gross profit of both market positioning and secular changes in profit rates was zero, (i.e.Bi+Ci=0, see cases 13 to 18), deterioration of gross profit due to market positioning (i.e. Bi<0) was counteracted by secular or cyclical movements in average profitability in the firms’ product markets (i.e. Ci>0). Of the 16 firms pursuing complex strategies (Cases 24 to 39), combining both changes in sales composition (i.e. Ai≠0) and market positioning (i.e. Bi≠0), mixed impacts on gross profit were found. Twelve of these 16 firms (cases 24 to 35) experienced deterioration in their market position (i.e. Bi<0). While 7 of the 12 firms achieved gross profit gains through changes in their sales composition (i.e. Ai>0, see cases 24 to 30), for the remaining 5 firms gross profit loses through market positioning were exacerbated by loses through sales composition (cases 31 to 35). These alternative combinations of positive and negative profit impacts from changes in market position (MP) and sales composition (SC) suggest that our sample of firms 10 Average profitability for each product group was taken as the simple average of the gross profit rates of sample firms selling that group of products. 14 can be divided into five groups on the basis of the success of their strategy choices in boosting gross profit margins (Table 6): Table 6: Sample Firms’ Strategy Success: By Type of Strategy and Change in Average Profit Rates 1 Profit Impact of change in Sales Composition (Ai) 0.0 Profit Impact of Change in Market Position (Bi) 1.3 2 0.0 10.4 9.0 3 0.0 3.9 6.0 4 0.0 2.9 4.0 5 0.0 2.0 0.6 6 0.0 3.6 7 0.0 1.4 8 0.0 7.2 4.0 9 0.0 4.4 5.0 10 0.0 5.4 8.1 11 12 0.0 0.0 10.7 1.0 13 0.0 -0.8 0.0 14 15 0.0 0.0 -3.1 -0.8 0.0 0.0 16 17 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -2.1 0.0 0.0 18 19 0.0 0.0 -1.9 -1.2 20 21 0.0 0.0 -2.0 -0.8 1.0 -0.1 22 23 0.0 0.0 -6.0 -3.8 -2.0 -3.0 24 0.1 -1.3 0.0 25 26 3.1 9.7 -0.2 -0.4 27 28 0.1 0.4 -0.9 -0.8 29 30 0.5 0.1 -1.6 -2.5 31 -1.0 -3.0 32 33 -0.3 -0.3 -0.7 -0.9 34 35 -0.3 -0.2 -21.4 -0.5 36 4.0 26.5 37 38 2.1 -0.6 6.0 2.6 39 3.0 1.1 Case No. Total Profit Impact of Market Positioning (Bi) and Secular Profit Rates (Ci) 0.0 2.0 MP Gainers 2.0 Simple Strategies MP Losers 13.0 -2.0 0.0 1.1 0.6 3.0 MP Losers / SC Gainers -0.8 -2.1 -0.9 -2.0 MP Losers / SC Losers Complex Strategies 0.0 0.0 1.9 -23.8 -2.0 MP Gainers / SC Mixed 27.7 7.0 1.6 -0.5 Source: Company Survey 15 MP Gainers – twelve firms (see Table 6, Cases 1 to 12), adopting a simple strategy whose average gross profit margins increased as a result of changing their market position but whose sales composition was unchanged. One firm in this group was Up Market Furniture Ltd. Case Number 7 – Up Market Furniture Ltd has 85 employees engaged in the manufacture of bedroom (10 per cent), dining room (45 per cent) and occasional (45 per cent) furniture for the Irish household market. The firm has a highly automated production facility and is run by a 45-year-old ownermanager who is educated to degree level and who has over 20 years experience in the furniture industry. From 1994 to 1997 the firm made no change in its sales composition but either replaced or upgraded its entire product range. These product modifications improved the firm’s market position and added 1.4 pp to gross margins. The firm also benefited from a secular rise in average profit margins for the products it was selling (see Table 3), a factor which added 0.6 pp to its gross profit rates. MP Losers – eleven firms (see Table 6, cases 13 to 23), adopting a simple strategy whose margins fell as a result of changes in market position but whose sales composition was unchanged. Fred Bear Upholstery Ltd is an example of a firm in the group of MP Losers. Case Number 23 - Fred Bear Upholstery Ltd is a long established company employing 20 people in the manufacture of upholstered furniture. The company serves a local market and is run by a 63-year-old owner-manager whose highest qualification is an apprenticeship. Over the 1994 to 1997 period the firm did modify all of its products but experienced deterioration in its market position. This reduced gross margins by 3.8 pp. This loss was partially offset by an increase of 0.8 pp in the average gross margins on upholstered furniture. MP Losers/SC Gainers – seven firms (see Table 6, cases 24 to 30), adopting a complex strategy whose gains in gross margins due to changes in sales composition 16 were offset by losses due to strategic shifts in their market position. One firm in this group was T. Imber Projects Ltd. Case Number 26 – T. Imber Projects Ltd employ 20 people in the manufacture of kitchen, bathroom and bar/ restaurant furniture for the contract market. Around a quarter of the firm’s sales are made in Europe with the remainder in Ireland. The company is highly automated and has been heavily assisted by government in recent years. The owner-manager of the firm is 45 years old, has a degree and 17 years experience in the furniture industry. From 1994-97 the firm changed its sales composition radically moving away from kitchen and bathroom furniture towards the more profitable bar/ restaurant furniture. This change in sales composition contributed 9.7 pp to average gross margins. Over the same period the firm’s market position deteriorated slightly reducing average margins by –0.4 pp but the company gained from an increase in average profitability in its markets which added 3.4 pp to average gross margins. MP Losers/SC Losers – five firms (see Table 6, cases 31 to 35) adopting a complex strategy whose gross margins fell due to changes in both sales composition and market position. One such case was W. Worm Furniture Ltd. Case Number 31 – W. Worm Furniture Ltd employs 15 people in the manufacture of kitchen and bedroom furniture. The firm sells all of its output in the Irish market and largely continued to manufacture the same products over the 1994 to 1997 period. The owner-manager of the business is 34 and began work in the furniture industry 15 years ago without any qualifications. Over the 1994 to 1997 period the firm sought to diversify into the manufacture of occasional furniture. Lower average margins in this sector (see Table 3) meant that this change in sales composition reduced average gross margins by –1.0 pp. Over the same period the firm lost some ground relative to its competitors in its main markets resulting in a worsening market position and a reduction in gross margins of –3.0 pp. Over the 1994 to 1997 period, however, these strategy-induced profit effects were offset by an increase in average margins of 3.0 pp in the markets for kitchen and bathroom furniture (Table 3). 17 Four other firms (see Table 6, cases 36 to 39), adopting a complex strategy form a residual category (MP Gainers/Mixed SC) whose gross profit margins increased due to changes in market position but who experienced a variety of sales composition effects. Table 7 summarises the profit performance of each of these groups of companies over the 1994 to 1997 period. The table distinguishes between that element of profit growth that was strategy related (i.e. Ai, Bi) and that due to secular or cyclical trends (i.e. Ci). As we would expect, no statistical difference was observed between the five groups of firms in the size of the cyclical or secular movement in average gross margins. Statistically significant differences were evident, however, between the strategy-determined components elements of the change in average gross margins for the five groups of companies11. The implication is that over the 1994 to 1997 period strategy choice did have a significant impact on the growth in gross margins of our sample of firms, although our data suggests no clear distinction between simple and complex strategies. More specifically, the distribution of the strategically determined element of profit growth was not significantly different between the groups of firms adopting simple and complex strategies12. This result is at odds with Hypothesis 3, and contrasts with the results of Miller et al. (1996) who found that strategic simplicity was positively related to profit success in both the furniture and software sectors13. 11 A Kruskal-Wallis test for equality of means for gross profit effect of changes in sales composition χ(4)=29.48 (ρ<0.001); for effect of changes in market positioning χ(4)=27.70 (ρ<0.001); and for secular/cyclical effects χ(4)=5.77 (ρ=0.22). 12 A Mann-Whitney test of the difference in the distribution of the strategy determined elements of the profit growth of companies in the simple strategy groups compared to those in the mixed strategy groups had Z=-0.314 (ρ=0.753). 13 Miller et al. (1996) suggest that ‘perhaps in turbulent settings strategic parsimony confers some competitive advantage to firms vying against less focussed rivals’ (p. 880). 18 Table 7: Decomposition of Change in Sample Firms’ Gross Profit Rates (Percentage Points) Simple Strategies Mixed Strategies MP Gainers MP Losers 12 11 7 5 4 % % % % % 0.0 0.0 2.0 -0.4 2.1 4.5 -2.1 -1.1 -5.3 9.0 Total Mean Strategy Effect 4.5 -2.1 0.9 -5.7 11.1 Mean Secular/Cyclical Effects (Ci) -0.2 1.8 0.8 0.5 -0.1 Total Mean Change in Gross Profit 4.3 -0.3 1.7 -5.2 11.0 Number of Firms Strategy Effects Mean Change in Sales Composition (Ai) Mean Change in Market Position (Bi) MP Losers/ SC Gainers MP Losers/ SC Losers MP Gainers/ Mixed SC Source: Company Survey For the firms in our sample, adopting a simple strategy provided no guarantee of an increase in average gross margins. Rather, significant variation exists in the profit performance of those firms within the groups adopting simple and complex strategies14. One possibility is that the success or failure of each strategy choice to contribute positively to gross margins is linked to firms’ characteristics or resource base. It may be, for example, that firms achieving positive profit benefits from their strategy choices had a richer resource base than their less successful counterparts thus allowing them to pursue their chosen strategy with more vigour or imagination. Table 8 reports a number of indicators describing the characteristics and resource base of sample firms in the four main categories identified above. Statistical tests are also reported to identify any significant differences between the characteristics of firms whose strategy choices had positive and negative impacts on average gross margins. 14 Mann-Whitney tests of the difference in the distribution of the strategy determined elements of the profit growth of companies between the simple strategies groups had Z=-4.066 (ρ<0.001). A similar test for the groups MP Losers/SC Gainers and MP Losers/SC Losers had Z=-2.049 (ρ<0.040). 19 Table 8: Characteristics of Sample Firms by Strategy Success Simple Strategies MP MP Gainers Losers Number of Firms Complex Strategies MP MP Losers/ Losers/ SC Gainers SC Losers 12 11 7 5 20.3 2666.4 47.3 54.5 28.1 51.9 58.3 (3) 23 18 (3) 30.1 2151.0 36.5 68.3 23.5 38.1 45.5 (3) 19 14 (1) 41.9 2651.0 41.5 49.1 29.6 62.4 29.0 (3) 20 16 (4) 30.2 821.3 22.7 33.9 15.2 47.7 0.0 (2) 8 8 (4) Systems (% of Firms) ISO 9000 in 1994 ISO 9000 introduced 1994 – 97 Use of Robotics Use of CAD MAS used in 1994 25.0 33.3 0.0 70.0 33.3 0.0 9.1 0.0 77.8 36.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.6 28.6 0.0 20.0 40.0 100.0 20.0 External Relationships (% of Firms) University Other group companies Suppliers 0.0 8.3 16.7 9.1 18.2 27.3 0.0 0.0 14.3 40.0 0.0 0.0 Government Assistance (% of Firms) Plant Machinery and Equipment Managerial or Clerical Training Supervisory or Skill Training Quality Assurance Strategic Planning 8.3 25.0 0.0 8.3 0.0 0.0 9.1 0.0 0.0 9.1 42.9 28.6 28.6 0.0 28.6 40.0 60.0 20.0 20.0 20.0 Firm Characteristics Age of Firm Sales Turnover in 1997 (£000) Employment in 1997 Turnover per Employee (£000) Value Added per Employee (£000) Value Added to Turnover (£000) Founder still in firm (% of firms) Age of Owner–Manager (mean) Owner Manager- Years in Industry Owner-Manager - Years in Firm Owner-Manager – Highest Qualification Notes 1. 2. 3. * ** ** * ** ** ** ** * * ** ** Denotes a significant difference between firms in groups S1 and S2 and M1 and M2 at the 5 per cent level on the basis of a Kruskal-Wallis H test. * Denotes a significant difference at 10 per cent level. Four firms in the residual MP Gainers/Mixed SC group are excluded. Turnover per employee, value added per employee and value added to turnover are averages for the 1994-97 period. Figures in brackets refer to categorical variables. The coding for the age of the owner-manager is 1, 20-29; 2, 30-39; 3, 40-49; 4, 50-59; 5, 60 plus. The coding for the highest qualification of the owner-manager is 0, none; 1, GCSE; 2, apprenticeship or OND; 3, A-levels; 4, HND or equivalent; 5, degree. Source: Company Survey 20 Two significant differences exist between those firms whose simple strategies had positive and negative impacts on average gross margins. First, MP Gainers had a significantly higher value added to turnover ratio than MP Losers. Secondly, MP Gainers were significantly more likely to have implemented ISO 9000 quality certification procedures either prior to 1994 or during the 1994 to 1997 period than MP Losers. Both the high value added share in output and the significant effort required by small firms to obtain ISO 9000 certification suggest that the MP Gainers group have a particularly strong commitment to high product quality (Karlton, Axelsson and Eklund, 1998). This commitment is likely to have played a key role in determining the success of the firms’ attempts to improve their market position. A wider range of differences was evident between firms adopting successful and unsuccessful complex strategies. First, MP Losers/SC Losers were significantly smaller on average than MP Losers/SC Gainers. Secondly, MP Losers/SC Losers were also more likely to have introduced new production and design systems (e.g. robotics, CAD) over the 1994 to 1997 period than MP Losers/SC Gainers (Table 8)15. One possibility is that the demands of managing both a complex market development strategy and this internal up-grading may have overloaded the limited managerial resources available within the small MP Loser/SC Loser firms leading to less effective strategy implementation and weaker profit outcomes. The suggestion is that for these firms a complex strategy may have been inappropriate given their limited managerial resources. This provides support for Hypothesis 4 that there exists a systematic relationship between firms’ resource base and strategy success. 4.4 Strategic re-engineering A firm’s assessment of the need to re-think its business strategy will be based on an evaluation of the success of past strategies and expectations of future market developments (Nelson and Winter, 1982; Buzzell and Gale, 1987). We assume that for the firms in our sample the main impetus for re-engineering or re-thinking their business strategy for the post-1997 period was their success in achieving growth in 15 Note also that the impact of these new production and design systems was not evident in either sales per employee or productivity, both of which were lower than among this group than among MP Losers/SC Gainers. 21 gross margins over the 1994 to 1997 period (e.g. Table 7)16. Sample companies in the MP Gainers group may therefore have little incentive to rethink their strategic approach compared to, say, those in the MP Losers/SC Losers Group. For Miller et al. (1996), strategic re-engineering comes about when firms’ failure to achieve gross profit growth translates into managerial discomfort. Other factors, notably managerial or financial resource constraints or the particular characteristics of the furniture sector, may limit firms’ scope for strategy development17. Our assessment of the extent of strategic re-engineering among firms in our sample is based on an interview question asking firms to identify their main strategic objective post-1997. Reflecting the framework defined earlier, firms were offered four alternatives: Consolidation – i.e. not to undertake any strategic market development but to focus instead on maintaining or increasing their sales of their current product range in their existing markets New Market Development - i.e. a simple strategy intended to develop new markets for the firm’s existing products. This means either that firms intend to sell their products originally developed for the household sector in contract markets, or viceversa. Market Repositioning – i.e. a simple strategy intended to reposition the company in its existing markets by the development and marketing of new or improved products. New Market Development and Market Repositioning – i.e. a complex strategy combining a search for new markets and the development of new products. Table 9 summarises the main strategic objectives of sample firms for the post-1997 period on the basis of their strategy choices and success over the 1994-97 period. It is 16 Other objectives or criteria for evaluating the success of past strategic choices are possible. Firms may, for example, wish to build market share in order to establish a more dominant market position (Buzzell and Gale, 1987). In this case, the strategy choices firms make are likely to be very different from those made to maximise gross profit margins (e.g. Roper, 1997). 22 worth noting however, that for this analysis our sample sizes are small because we are comparing the proportions of firms within each group adopting different strategy options for the post-1997 period. Some caution is therefore necessary in the interpretation of the results. Table 9: Sample Firms Strategy Choices Post-1997 (Percentage of Firms) MP Gainers Consolidation New Market Development Market Re-Positioning New Markets and Market RePositioning Total Note: MP Losers MP Losers/ MP Losers/ SC Gainers SC Losers n % n % n % n % 6 1 4 1 50 8 34 8 4 5 1 1 36 46 9 9 5 0 1 1 72 0 14 14 1 0 2 2 20 0 40 40 12 100 11 100 7 100 5 100 Four companies in the MP Gainers/Mixed SC group are omitted from the table. Source: Company Survey For the 12 MP Gainers in our sample there was perhaps the least incentive to change their strategic direction. In fact, in the post-1997 period 6 (50 per cent) of these companies adopted a non-strategic approach seeking to consolidate their new market position (Table 9). A further 4 firms (33 per cent) intended to continue with their simple strategy with the objective of moving further up-market. Only 2 (16 per cent) of the MP Gainers intended to re-engineer their strategic direction towards the development of new markets for new or existing products. As expected, the 11 MP Losers who adopted less successful (simple) market repositioning strategies intended more strategic re-engineering. By and large, these firms intended to abandon their attempts at market repositioning and sought either to consolidate their existing market position (36 per cent) or to adopt an alternative simple strategy to identify new markets for their existing products (46 per cent). Only one (9 per cent) of MP Losers intended to move from a simple towards a more complex strategy (Table 9). The 17 For example, see Rothwell and Dodgson (1994) for a discussion of the constraints product 23 tendency for the MP Losers to move towards alternative simple rather than more complex strategies is at odds with some of the arguments put forward in Miller et al. (1996). They argued that firms experiencing managerial discomfort due to negative profit growth resulting from a simple strategy would be likely to move towards a more complex approach. Our evidence suggests instead that experience of an unsuccessful simple strategy is more likely to stimulate firms to seek alternate simple strategies rather than a more complex strategic approach. Among those firms in our sample pursuing complex strategies with positive profit outcomes over the 1994 to 1997 period (i.e. the MP Losers/SC Gainers) we also observe a considerable degree of strategic re-engineering. Only one (14 per cent) of these firms intended to continue their complex strategic approach post-1997, with 5 (72 per cent) firms intending to consolidate their market position. The remaining firm (14 per cent) in the MP Losers/SC Gainers group moved towards a simpler strategic approach designed to move up-market. It is difficult to account for the degree of strategic reorientation by these companies given the (albeit small) positive gross profit effect of their previous complex strategy (Table 6). One possibility, however, is that these firms were hoping to exploit the positive profit benefits of previous changes in sales composition while avoiding a recurrence of the profit falls from market repositioning they incurred over the 1994 to 1997 period (see Table 7). Our final main group of companies (i.e. the MP Losers/SC Losers) had, if anything the greatest incentive to re-engineer their strategic approach. Over the 1994 to 1997 period these firms experienced falls in gross profit due both to changes in their market position and changes in sales composition (Table 7). Added to this, these firms were notably smaller than others in our sample and were also undertaking internal upgrading with the adoption of CAD and robotic systems (Table 8). In terms of the Miller et al. (1996) analysis, the combination of this poor profit performance and stretched managerial resources, would suggest these firms would be particularly likely to move towards a simpler strategic approach. In fact, of the five firms in this group, two (40 per cent) indicated their intention to continue with a complex strategy (Table 9). Another two firms (40 per cent) were also intending to adopt a simple strategy aimed at market repositioning despite the fact that over the 1994 to 1997 period this innovation by small companies. 24 was the source of the majority of the deterioration in their gross profit rates (Table 7). Despite the small number of companies in this group, the impression given is that the MP Losers/SC Losers were maintaining rather than substantially re-engineering their strategic direction regardless of their experience over the 1994 to 1997 period. Two significant differences between the firms in the MP Losers/SC Losers group and the remainder of the sample may be contributing to these firms apparent reticence to learn from their previous experience (Table 8). First, the MP Losers/SC Losers were significantly smaller than other sample companies, a factor that is likely to be reflected in a lack of specialised managerial functions and/or developed management and information systems. For example, the proportion of MP Losers/SC Losers having a management accounting system (MAS) was lower (albeit insignificantly) than that in any other group. Secondly, the owner-managers of the MP Losers/SC Losers were, on average, 10 years younger and had less than half the years of experience in the furniture industry than those owner-managers running the other three groups of companies (Table 8). These limitations probably made it more difficult for the MP Losers/SC Losers to monitor and/or evaluate their strategic successes and failures and modify their strategic approach (Variyam and Kraybill, 1993; Kotay and Meredith, 1997). Although sample sizes here are small, these results provide some tentative evidence that firms were learning from their experience over the 1994-97 period and reengineering their strategies towards those having greatest profit payoff. This provides some positive support for Hypothesis 5. Firms in the MP Losers/SC Losers group, however, which had the worst strategy experience over the 1994 to 1997 period were also undertaking the least extensive strategic re-engineering. This group of firms were also the smallest and had the youngest and least experienced owner-managers suggesting that, as Hypothesis 6 suggests, the extent of firms’ ability to undertake any strategic re-engineering will depend on the quality of their resource base. 25 5 Conclusions Our analysis of the business strategies and profit growth of small furniture companies in Ireland suggests three main empirical results. First, in terms of strategy choice, like Miller et al. (1996) we find some support for the notion that firms in mature sectors such as furniture tend to adopt simple business development strategies. Among the thirty-nine firms considered here, 23 (59 per cent) chose a simple strategy based around changing market position. The remaining 16 firms (41 per cent) adopted a more complex strategy intended to boost gross margins by changing both sales composition and market position. The choice between simple and more complex business strategies was strongly conditioned by the quality of firms’ resource-base. Second, in terms of strategy success, we find no evidence that simple strategies unambiguously out-perform more complex approaches even in the mature furniture sector. What is evident, however, is that significant differences exist between the characteristics and resource bases of those firms increasing gross margins by adopting both simple and complex strategies. For our sample of firms, achieving success with a simple strategy aimed at improving market position was strongly associated with attempts to improve product quality and quality certification. Similarly, achieving success with a more complex strategy involving changes in both sales composition and market positioning was associated with larger businesses and more mature and experienced owner-managers. Third, although our analysis is limited by relatively small sample sizes, we find some differences in firms’ ability or willingness to re-engineer their business strategies in the light of their experience. Sample firms, which had adopted successful strategies over the 1994 to 1997 period, tended to adopt a more conservative approach for the post-1997 period often emphasising consolidation rather than further product or market development. A group of smaller, more resource constrained firms, however, which had the worst profit experience also undertook the least extensive strategic reengineering. The suggestion being that the extent of small firms’ ability to undertake any strategic re-engineering is again strongly conditioned by the quality of their internal resource base. 26 Although care is required in drawing more general conclusions from small-scale studies such as this, some points are worth drawing out. 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