The role of panel banks in the process of money market formation B I A T E C Ing. Peter Andresič Národná banka Slovenska On 18 December 2008, an annual meeting of the panel banks was held at Národná banka Slovenska. Under standard circumstances, the purpose of such annual meetings has been the evaluation of the activity of panel banks, and the representatives of commercial banks to comment on the monetary were allowed policy activities of Národná banka Slovenska during the past period. The extraordinary nature of the December meeting consisted in the fact that it was last of its kind and that the panel bank institute was dissolved at the end of the meeting. Due to the fact that the panel banks had played a key role in the formation of the Slovak financial market, in particular the money market, I consider it appropriate to go back to the origin of this selected group of banks and to recapitulate the most important moments. The need to create a bank group that would be able to implement the standard rules and procedures widely used in advanced financial markets due to its dominant position on the domestic financial market arose immediately after Slovakia’s independence. In early 1993, the NBS started to perform activities aimed at detecting the prices of the shortest maturities traded on the domestic money market. The necessity to know the deposit prices was mainly related to the fact that the NBS initially adopted the role of the market maker for the treasury bills issued by the Ministry of Finance of the Slovak Republic, mostly to be found in the NBS portfolio. The effort to effectively place treasury bills on the secondary market could have only been successful with sufficient information about the price level on the basic, i.e. money market. The first price indications for the purchase and sale of deposits with a maturity of up to one month have been obtained by the NBS by means of simple averaging the data provided by commercial banks based on a telephone survey. This form of ascertainment was launched in March 1993. However, the participating banks were by no means obliged to provide data or even to enter into transactions at those prices. The prices were ascertained once, then twice a week. The demand for increasingly up-to-date information on interest levels in the money market required a change in the price ascertainment periodicity. From May of the same year, the NBS performed daily price ascertainment. For the sake of interest: the spread, i.e. the difference between the bid and offered rate as one of the most important indicators of liquidity on the relevant market, was at the level of 2% or 200 basis points during that period. It was as early as at that time that the first attempts to institutionalize the whole process related to the ascertainment and setting of the actual values of money on the domestic financial market occurred. Not only the NBS, but also the banks themselves represented by money market dealers were the initiators of this process. Nevertheless, the first unofficial meeting of the future panel banks was held only in September 1994 in Poštová banka; several bilateral, as well as multilateral mutual meetings between the central bank and the commercial banks having preceded that meeting. The September meeting brought an agreement on the system of ascertainment and publishing of rates, as well as the rules for the setting – quoting of prices on the part of commercial banks. The result of these efforts was an extension of the range of quoted deposits by the addition of the 3 and 6 month maturity, a reduction of the spread between the bid and ask price below the value of 100 basis points and the publishing of rates under the heading Interest Rate Monitoring in professional press. However, the problem that the banks or dealers had no obligation to quote or comply with the quoted rates remained. Efforts to eliminate this serious defect at least by means of a gentlemen’s agreement between the dealers representing the individual banks on the money market occurred as early as at the next meeting in January 1995. Thus, a group of eight banks arose, whose koruna dealers acknowledged those unwritten agreements and who wanted to implement them in practice. On the basis of those agreements, it was possible to officially establish the BRIBOR (BRatislava InterBank Offered Rate) in the summer of the same volume 17, 2/2009 1 B I A T E C year (3 July 1995); for the time being, the BRIBOR included money market rates with a maturity of up to 3 months and with the spread between the BRIBOR and BRIBID rates not exceeding 50 basis points. Thus, the financial market of Slovakia has obtained its price basis – a basis, to which other financial products and derivatives, which are a standard part of advanced financial markets, could be related to during the years to come. For Národná banka Slovenska, the BRIBOR became both an important information source on the actual interest situation on the money market and a feedback about the influence of its own monetary policy decisions. Because the money market is generally considered to be a means used by central banks to influence the economic processes in the country, the feedback factor appears to be particularly important. After the introduction of the BRIBOR, at the end of 1995, the first indications of and efforts towards a switch of the performance of monetary policy from what is called quantitative control to qualitative control, i.e. control by means of interest rates, appeared. In practice, this meant that the NBS tried to influence the money market interest rates by means of purchases and mainly sales of treasury bills from its portfolio, so that they correspond to its conception about their appropriate setting. At this stage, the NBS set its internal interest rate target in the form of a pre-set corridor of interest rates of the interbank deposit market as a means to influence the loan activity of banks. The corridor was set empirically and was based on the current state of the market. The rate stabilization attained showed its first positive effects in the binding of loan activities to the BRIBOR and in the replacement of the discount rate used for these purposes. However, this primary stage of interest control efforts was only short-term and soon the practice demonstrated that neither the general economic conditions, nor the financial market itself enabled to continue the started process at that time. For the time being, the so-called transmission mechanism of the transmission of interest rate signals of the central bank to the real economy did not work in Slovakia and the money market represented an almost independent closed circuit. The insufficiently developed money market, unfinished privatization and restructuring of the biggest bank houses, the current monetary policy based on a fixed exchange rate and the use of direct control instruments, such as credit limits, represented only some of the reasons reducing the transmission mechanism efficiency. It was also important that that money market itself or its participants needed time to create links and channels ensuring the transmission of impulses in the form of rates to other segments of the financial market and the economy as a whole. From this point of view, the establishment of the BRIBOR was only the beginning of the process of setting up an effective money market able to transmit the interest rate decisions of the NBS to 2 volume 17, 2/2009 real economic environment on the one hand and to provide credible information about the current and expected price of money on the other hand. The next step in this process was the official institutionalization of the panel banks system, based on the assumption that this formal act would provide the process of interest rate setting with additional weight and credibility. On 1 August 1996, the NBS and selected commercial banks officially signed the Agreement on the activities of a panel bank on the interbank money market. The so-called Statute of a panel bank on the interbank money market, which determines the duties of a panel bank, the way of granting the statute and other internal regulations. was also a part of the agreement. The agreement was signed by the seven banks (in alphabetical order): Investičná a rozvojová banka, a.s., Istrobanka, a.s., Poľnobanka, a.s., Poštová banka, a.s., Slovenská sporiteľňa, a.s., Tatra banka, a.s., and Všeobecná úverová banka, a.s. The ING Bank, N. V. joined one month later. Apart from the panel banks, the institute of so-called applicants to or candidates waiting for the granting of the full statute was created. Especially at the beginning, this panel bank waiting-room was exerting pressure on panel banks to behave like real deposit market makers. Československá obchodná banka, a.s. has been the first applicant; it became a panel banks as early as during the following year based on the adopted evaluation system. As the above shows, the list of panel banks has been changing several times over the first years. At the end of year 2002, the structure stabilized and remained virtually unchanged until the last meeting. The structure was made up by Tatra banka, a.s., Slovenská sporiteľňa, a.s., and Všeobecná úverová banka, a.s. These three institutions were panel banks virtually from the creation of this group to its end. Further panel banks were (ordered by the duration of their membership): ING Bank, N.V., Československá obchodná banka, a.s.., Citibank, a.s., and UniCredit bank Slovakia, a.s. This stabilization was a result of structural processes of the banking sector as a whole; on the other hand positive pressure on the existing panel banks on the part of potential candidates disappeared at the same time. Let’s return, however, to the contribution of and the role played by the panel banks during their existence in creating a domestic financial market. In the year following the official creation of the institute, the panel banks were subjected to the test of maintaining the BRIBOR quotation in an environment and under conditions more complicated than those at the time of creation of the BRIBOR. Development imbalances were threatening the economy and the central bank, in an attempt to avoid unjustified credit expansion, adopted a set of measures to prevent a negative development. After increasing the minimum reserve requirements and introducing a foreign exchange position for currency purposes in an attempt to regulate indirectly the loan activities B I A T E C The development of the spreads between the bid and offered rate during the existence of the BRIBOR (in basis points) 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Suorce: NBS. of banks in both domestic and foreign currency, the NBS also abandoned its efforts to control the interest rates. The adopted measures also applied to the exchange rate regime, because the NBS extended the Slovak koruna fluctuation band to 7%. The set of adopted measures resulted into a restrictive character of monetary policy and had a dramatic impact on the money market, the development of which was sacrificed for overall economic stabilization at that time. The NBS together with the panel banks were solving the complicated situation at many extraordinary meetings. At the expense of some concessions, such as a temporary halving of the quoted volumes, it was possible to maintain the BRIBOR and to continue its publishing. However, short-term outages have also occurred, particularly in extreme situations where deposit prices increased over the 100% threshold as a result of lack of liquidity on the market. The panel banks have tried to solve this type of outages by replacing the interest rate fixing by monitoring known from the past. This substitution was an attempt to leave information about deposit price levels for the money market; on the other hand, however, banks were not bound by the obligation carry out transactions at such indicative values. The panel banks also tried to find a common solution to the current situation by obliging themselves to revise the quotation and performance of transactions with non-residential entities, which were drawing on resources from the domestic money market to a considerable extent. This problem or outages for the above mentioned reason were eliminated in October 1998, when the NBS cancelled the fluctuation band for the fixed exchange rate and replaced it by a floating exchange rate regime. This opened a space for NBS‘ switch to interest rate control and performance of monetary policy. The NBS consulted the panel banks regarding its preparation, mainly the preparation of the part related to the implemen- 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 tation of a new performance of monetary policy operations. The subsequent application of the new approach with a considerable shift in the use of central bank instruments towards a more active influencing of the interbank money market as a means to implement monetary policy targets from 2000 onwards brought further development and qualitative changes to the money market itself. Banks with the highest activity on the market, i.e. the panel banks, initiated these changes. The BRIBOR was extended by adding 9 and 12-month maturities in the same year. Simultaneously to completing the money market curve, the spreads between bid and offered rates were reduced. As manifestation of the qualitative shift, but mostly as a result of a growth of confidence and liquidity on this market, these spreads dropped even for the longest-term maturities to the level of 30 basis points as early as in the first year of the application of the new approach Based on a stabilized money market, the derivate market, particularly swap trades, forward transactions or the so-called IRS (Interest Swap Agreement) started to flourish again. In the same year, the NBS passed the work of BRIBOR rates fixing to the external agency Telerate Dow Jones, thereby also emphasizing the standardization of the situation on the domestic financial market. The NBS took this step after negotiations with and acceptance by the panel banks. In line with the increasingly strong links between the money market and real economic processes and the associated increase in the interest in rates and the course of the trading itself, the NBS together with the panel banks started to monitor the SKONIA values. This rate was calculated based on source data for all sales of overnight deposits carried out by the panel banks throughout the day. Despite this gradual deepening and extension of products on the money market, its participants, particularly the panel banks, had to face some volume 17, 2/2009 3 B I A T E C difficult situations even after the year 2000. This applies primarily to the time when the NBS was preventing unreasonable and fast Slovak koruna appreciation by reducing sterilization operations. At that time, the Slovak money market had some features of the currently malfunctioning euro area money market. The fixed money market rates deviated considerably from the official NBS rates. The same situation can be seen now in the case of the EURIBOR. Furthermore, the real trades between the biggest market participants took places at different levels than the fixed rates. In this case, too, a parallel to the current euro area market can be found. Like in the past, the panel banks tried to solve this situation by negotiating at extraordinary meetings with the participation of the NBS. Although these meetings had not always led to satisfactory results for all of the participants, they represented an important form of correct information exchange between the representatives of the involved counterparties. In has to be mentioned in this context that even at meetings, at which solutions to the current situation were supposed to be found, a member of the NBS Bank Board frequently took part in the meetings. This enabled feedbacks in the form of opinions on the current performance or NBS monetary policy procedures on the part of direct market participants to arrive immediately at the main decision-making body. In addition to this type of negotiations, the NBS often consulted the panel banks with respect to the technological and operational aspects of the performance of monetary operations from agreements that needed to be entered into for the performance of monetary operations, through the issues of setting the optimum number of price quotations in tender application forms, up to the determination of the trade hours for marginal lending facilities. And to do justice to the Slovak name referenčné banky (the adjective “referenčné” can mean “reference” and “reporting” in Slovak), some panel banks have reported daily on the current situation on the money market or entire financial market. This information has been processed subsequently and has formed the source data for negotiations of the executive body of the NBS. Consultations between the NBS and the panel banks played an important role and had a positive effect on the setting of the last autonomous monetary operations even during the period of 4 volume 17, 2/2009 preparation of the transition to the performance of monetary policy in the euro area. It would be possible to list further elements of cooperation of the NBS with the panel banks, but I believe that even the above text explains that this group has substantially influenced not only the formation of the money market, but, to a certain extent, also the actual performance or implementation of monetary policy. For the NBS, the panel banks have been representatives of the banking sector with the strongest influence on the working of the money market, with which it was possible to solve various current problems relatively quickly and operatively. I am convinced that the cooperation has been tactful and mutually profitable over the whole period. The main activity of the panel banks, i.e. the quoting of rates and creation of the BRIBOR, came to an end on the last business day of 2008. None of the former panel banks has participated in the creation of EURIBOR rates so far. Currently, there are at least two reasons for this: the suspension of the process of accepting new banks due to the complicated situation on the euro area money market and the fact that all the former panel banks are now represented by their parent or founding institutions. Despite the facts mentioned above, I am convinced that, just like in the past, the NBS has to and will continue co-operating with banks, particularly with the most active banks on the domestic money or financial market. For the time being, the form of this cooperation and the partners are only crystallizing. I expect that banks will need time to clarify the future role they will play on the domestic financial market. On the other hand, the NBS also needs time to identify those new, maybe rehashed, key market players. Until then, I consider it necessary to express my gratitude to all banks and particularly to their representatives, i.e. dealers, managers and department heads – commercial bank treasurers, who have contributed with their knowledge, proposals, comments and activities to the existence of panel banks all the time. Last of all, I would like to express of word of thanks to all NBS employees who have made up the basic team ensuring meetings, or have participating actively in them, as well as to NBS Bank Board members having participated in some of the meetings.