SYLLABUS ECO 531: Advanced Econometric Models and Applications Spring 2014 “Research is not good simply because it is mathematical or statistical, or because it makes use of ingenious machines. Research is good if it is significant, if it is fruitful, if it is consistent with established principles, or if it helps to overthrow erroneous principles” Henry Schultz, “Statistics in Economics,” Report of the Fourth Annual Research Conference on Economics and Statistics, Colorado Springs: The Cowles Commission, 1938, p.84 Time/location: Tuesday and Thursday; 12:30-1:45 AM Winslow 201 Prerequisites: ECO530 or permission. Instructor: Hsiang-tai Cheng, Associate Professor School of Economics Office: 200 Winslow Hall Phone: 581-3155 Email: hsiang-tai.cheng@umit.maine.edu Office hours: Monday and Wednesday 9:00-11:00 am. (Please email me to make an appointment) Course Description: The course provides an introduction to econometric techniques commonly used in applied micro-economics research. The course emphasizes applications by linking theoretical textbook readings on techniques with journal articles featuring applications of these techniques. The course provides students with applied econometrics research experience. Expected Learning Outcomes: Upon successful completion of this course, students will be able to: (1) Understand how applied econometric techniques are used to test and advance economic theory; (2) Effectively apply the contemporary econometric techniques covered in this course; (3) Conduct econometrics analysis and make inference Prerequisites: ECO 530 is a formal prerequisite. Students should have a good understanding of probability, statistics, calculus, matrix algebra. 1 Textbooks: Greene, W. H., Econometric Analysis, 7th ed., Prentice Hall, 2012. Griffiths, W. E., R. C. Hill, and G. G. Judge. Learning and Practicing Econometrics. New York, NY: John Wiley & Sons, 1993. (GHJ) Kennedy, Peter. A Guide to Econometrics, 6th ed. Malden, MA: Blackwell, 2008. (K) Additional Readings: Readings will be assigned from the course texts and professional applied economics and statistical journals. Software: LIMDEP will be the primary course software packages. Reading Assignments: Students are expected to have completed the assigned reading prior to lecture. Homework Assignments: Homework assignments will involve applied econometrics research. These assignments require computer programming, analytical thinking, and communication skills. Late homework assignments will receive a grade of 0 (see absence/tardiness policy below for exceptions). Grading: Letter grades will be assigned based on the following class work: homework assignments (40%), Exam #1 (20%), Exam #2 (20%), and Exam #3 (20%). Homework assignments will be weighted equally. Letter Grades: A 90% - 100% B 80% - 89.9% C 70% - 79.9% D 60% - 69.9% F < 69.9% Class Attendance Policy: You are expected to attend all class sessions and to be prepared for class. Absence/Tardiness Policy: If a student wishes to receive credit for a late homework, its tardiness must be authorized. If illness is the reason for a late homework, please submit written documentation of this illness from the health center or a doctor to the instructor. 2 Disability Policy: If you have a disability for which you may be requesting an accommodation, please contact Ann Smith, Director of Disability Services at in East Annex 123, 581-2319, as early as possible in the term. In the event of disruption of normal classroom activities due to an H1N1 swine flu outbreak, the format for this course may be modified to enable completion of the course. In that event, you will be provided an addendum to this syllabus that will supersede this version. Tentative Course Outline (Note that this is tentative and may be revised as semester progresses. Extra references will be provided in class) 1. Linear Regression Model Review & Using Limdep Kennedy, Peter E., “Sinning in the basement: what are the rules? The ten commandments of applied econometrics”, Journal of Economic Surveys, 2002, (16)4: 569-589 (Kennedd2002.pdf) Greene, W.H., Limdep version 9 Student Reference Guide. (LIMDEP.pdf) 2. Panel Data Greene. Chapter 11 (11.1,11.2,11.4,11.5). Yaffee, R. 2003, “A Primer for Panel Data Analysis” Social Sciences, Statistics & Mapping, NY University, Information Technology Services. (YAFFEE.PDF) (http://www.nyu.edu/its/pubs/connect/fall03/yaffee_primer.html) List, J.A, and W.W. Mchone. 2000. Ranking State Environmental Outputs: Evidence from Panel Data, Growth and Change, 31(1): 2339. (LIST.PDF) 3. Nonlinear Least Squares and Maximum Likelihood Estimation Griffiths, Hill, and Judge, Learning and Practicing Econometrics, 1992: Chapter 22 Habb, T.C. and K.E. McConnell, Maximum Likelihood Estimation, in Valuing Environmental and Natural Resources: The Econometrics of Non-Market Valuation, Appendix A. (habb & mccornnel appa.pdf) 4. Dichotomous Choice (Binary Probit and Logit) Greene, Chapter 17: 17.1-17.3.4 K: Chapter 16, section 16.1 Cheng, H., A.S. Kezis, S.R. Peavey, and D.A. Smith, 1990, Factors Affecting Consumer Purchase Decision for Round White Potatoes, American Potato Journal, Vol. 67, 719-726. Govindasamy, R., and R.M. Nayga, Jr. 1997. Determinants of Farmerto-Consumer Direct Market Visits by Type of Facility: A Logit Analysis, Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 31-38. 3 Exam #1 (TBA): Topics 1, 2, 3, and 4 5. Polychotomous Choice (Multinomial Probit/Logit, Conditional Logit) Greene, Chapter 18: 18.2 K: Chapter 16, section 16.2 Cheng, H., G.K. Criner, and A.S. Kezis, 1996. The Impact of Consumer Characteristics on Preferences for Selected Apple Varieties, Journal of Food Distribution Research, 3(4):1-11. Cooper, J.C. 2003. A Joint Framework for Analysis of Agrienvironmental Payment Programs, American Journal of Agricultural Economics 85(4): 976-87. Choo, S. and P.L. Mokhtarian . 2004. What Type of Vehicle Do People Drive? The Role of Attitude and Lifestyle in Influencing Vehicle Type Choice, Transportation Research: Part A: Policy and Practice 38(3): 201-22. Davies, P.S., Greenwood, M.J., and L. Haizheng. 2001. A Conditional Logit Approach to U.S. State-to-State Migration, Journal of Regional Science 41(2):337-360. 6. Polychotomous Choice (Ordered Response Model) Greene, Chapter 18: 18.3. K: Chapter 16, section 16.3 Markiewicz, A. 2006. Choice of Exchange Rate Regime in Transition Economies: An Empirical Analysis, Journal of Comparative Economics 34(3): 484-98. Fong, C. 2001. Social Preferences, Self-Interest, and the Demand for Redistribution Fong, Christina, Journal of Public Economics 82( 2): 225-46. Exam #2 (TBA): Topics 5 and 6 7. Count Data Models Greene, Chapter 18: 18. K: Chapter 16, section 16.4 Gabe, T.M. 2005. The Effects of Industry Instability on Sector Entry: The Case of Maine. The Review of Regional Studies 35(1): 64-79. Englin, J., Holmes, T., and R. Niell. 2006. Alternative Models of Recreational Off-Highway Vehicle Site Demand, Environmental and Resource Economics 35(4): 327-38. 8. Limited Dependent Variables (If time permits) Greene, Chapter 19 Exam #3 : Topics 7 and 8. Thursday, May 8, 8:00AM-10:00AM 4