Diversification (Part II) 3 QUESTIONS BEFORE DIVERSIFYING “Asking the right questions takes as much skill as giving the right answers.” Robert Half In 1995, I acquired a large landscape maintenance company that I sold in 2005. My original plan was to buy it, fix it, grow it, and sell it in only five years for a handsome profit. The company was unfocused, poorly managed by an absentee owner, and was ripe for improvement. I already owned a commercial tree care company that had grown well and was consistently profitable. It appeared that, in the meantime, it would be a natural compliment to my present operation. This provided an interesting challenge and I prided myself on my ability to establish a management team, create a sales force, and manage a company profitably. It didn’t occur to me that what I knew, which was sufficient to expand an existing business, might not be enough when diversifying into a different business. I wrote a plan, ran it by other businesspeople, and had no problem attracting investors. It wasn’t clear, when things gradually went awry, if my management skills were less impressive than I thought, or the fault was in my decision to diversify my company. In reality, neither was true. When I was making the decision to diversify, I just did not possess the correct criteria on which a good decision would be based. My previous newsbrief, Four Strategies of Diversification, will help you decide what kind of company your diversified enterprise should be based on your resources and capabilities. This newsbrief focuses on whether a particular new business should be started or acquired in the first place. Business owners diversify their companies for many reasons. Some of these reasons are to: • Spread the risk • Spread the company’s overhead among more profit centers • Pursue a venture much more profitable than the existing company • Even out seasonality • Initiate a more aggressive growth plan • Lower overall costs by acquiring a primary supplier • Guarantee a market by acquiring a primary customer • Increase sales per customer by introducing the customers of an acquired company to the existing company’s service, and vice versa • Share activities between entities (e.g., office staff) or to transfer skills (e.g., marketing) with the new business that will create a strategic advantage and higher margins for the company Although these are all reasonable rationales, the reasons you choose to diversify should accomplish the purpose of owning your company in the first place – to increase its value. This is covered thoroughly in my newsbrief The Purpose of Your Business. If you own a business, invariably you will wish to diversify at some point in the future. The following three questions determine whether a particular new business should be acquired or started. Question #1 – How desirable is the industry and business? The return on investment for competing in a business depends on the industry structure. (Industry structure is discussed in my newsbrief titled The 5 Forces.) A desirable business is desirable because it can produce and sustain superior margins. But superior margins are only available when there are entry barriers that keep competitors from flooding in and diluting your profits. Also, too much control by customers will force your prices lower, and too much control by suppliers will push your expenses higher. Diversification can only be successful in adding and sustaining profits in your company if the industry is favorable. It is common to mistake rapid growth potential for an attractive industry. Rapid growth will not equate to superior and sustainable profits if the industry structure is not favorable and stable. Question #2 – How will you be better off? You could improve the value of your company and be better off in a couple of ways. The business you acquire might benefit from your existing operation. Likewise, your existing operation might benefit from the acquired company. Either way, the advantage should be skillfully forecasted and weighed by how the growth and profit performance of the combined entity will be improved compared to the non-acquisition alternative. These added profits might come from either entity, or both, due to contributing benefits such as developed distribution channels, an existing sales network, more efficient operations, or marketing prowess. When the benefit from an acquisition is a one-time (or short-lived) benefit due to improvements like installing new management, overhauling the company, or implementing a new strategy, it might be better to then sell the business to capture the full short-term benefit and then free up corporate assets. Companies should be kept long term only when they can sustain above average profits, because the parent company must invest in additional overhead to support the acquired company. Question #3 – Weigh the cost of entry. If acquiring a company is too costly, future profits may not be sufficient to overcome the acquisition costs and still provide above average margins. Market forces tend to create equilibrium over time where prices for acquisitions are pushed up to the highest levels. One reason is multiple bidders. My expansion from tree care into landscape maintenance can be evaluated as follows: Question One: Was the market attractive? The landscape maintenance industry is fragmented – there are many small companies, no one is in a position to grow much larger than the pack, and competing on price is common. Since customers have so many choices of who to use, they substantially control the prices that can be charged. Furthermore, many significant costs such as equipment, landfill, fuel, and insurance are beyond a company’s control and they rise steadily each year. This brief sampling illustrates that the industry might not have been as attractive as other choices. Question Two: Was I better off? The acquired company and my original company were both immediately better off due to the acquisition. Many of the above reasons to diversify applied and were exploited to the greatest extent possible due to our combined resources and capabilities. Question Three: Weighing the cost of entry. I bought the company at a low enough price and we made the improvements necessary to earn an excellent profit, so the cost of entry was not a burden. If I had been given the knowledge of these three questions in advance, along with the Four Strategies of Diversification from Part I, I would have approached the decision to buy the company differently. Passing only two of the three questions might have offered up a “no buy” conclusion. Since my interest was to only own the company for a few years, my original strategy was to capture the value for a while, increase its value and sell it (restructuring strategy). The problem was that I defaulted to a portfolio strategy when I did not follow through and sell the company. But I did so in an industry that was not ideal for a long-term return on investment. My opportunity for the best profits from the acquisition and turnaround diminished each year because it became necessary for me to invest heavily in an equipment-intensive business where margins were low due to the industry’s fragmented nature. It also consumed resources from my core, the more profitable tree company, which then limited its potential. Entrepreneurs, as well as leaders of the Fortune 500, who don’t adhere to such an acid test, have their acquisitions either under perform, or fail dismally. Given these strategic insights, you can see from my example that I could have not only improved the return on investment for me and my investors with a restructuring strategy, I could have chosen to repeat the process several times in those ten years. My results rested on what I failed to know about how to test a good acquisition candidate, and then how to align my company’s resources and capabilities with one of the four strategies of diversification.