SUN PRAIRIE AREA SCHOOL DISTRICT COURSE POWER STANDARDS Course Title: (AP) Statistics Curriculum Area: Mathematics Credit Status: Elective Course Length: Year Date submitted: 5/04 Expected Student Results/Power Standards At the end of the course the student will be expected to: 1. Interpret information from graphical and numerical displays and summaries to observe patterns and departures from patterns. (A.12.1, A.12.2, A.12.3, A.12.4, A.12.5, A.12.6, B.12.2, B.12.3, B.12.5, C.12.1, C.12.2, C.12.4, E.12.1, E.12.2, E.12.3, E.12.4, F.12.1, F.12.2, F.12.3, F.12.4) 2. Explore and implement well developed data collection plans to gather valid information on a conjecture. (A.12.1, A.12.2, A.12.3, A.12.4, A.12.5, A.12.6, B.12.5, B.12.6, E.12.1, E.12.4, E.12.5) 3. Generate and analyze models using probability theory and simulation to determine what the distribution of data should look under a given model. (A.12.1, A.12.2, A.12.3, A.12.4, A.12.5, A.12.6, B.12.1, B.12.3, B.12.4, B.12.5, B.12.6, C.12.1, C.12.2, D.12.3, E.12.1, E.12.3, E.12.4, E.12.5, F.12.1, F.12.2, F.12.3, F.12.4) 4. Select and apply appropriate models of statistical inferential to generalize from sample statistics to population parameters. (A.12.1, A.12.2, A.12.3, A.12.4, A.12.5, A.12.6, B.12.2, B.12.3, B.12.4, B.12.5, B.12.6, C.12.1, C.12.2, D.12.1, D.12.2, E.12.1, E.12.2, E.12.3, E.12.4, E.12.5, F.12.1, F.12.2, F.12.3, F.12.4) 5. Apply a variety of problem solving strategies and communicate the process used to reach the solution. (A.12.1, A.12.2, A.12.3, A.12.4, A.12.5, A.12.6, B.12.5, F.12.4) 6. Demonstrate an understanding of how mathematical ideas interconnect and apply to other learning. (A.12.1, A.12.2, A.12.3, A.12.4, A.12.5, A.12.6, B.12.5, F.12.4) 5/04 – HS 1 Course: AP Statistics Power Standard: Interpret information from graphical and numerical displays and summaries to observe patterns and departures from patterns. (1) Students will need to know Students will be able to do (Content and/or concepts to be learned) (Skills and/or processes to be learned) A. Understand how to summarize univariate data sets using graphical displays to observe patterns and departures from patterns. 1. Construct and interpret graphical display. • Bar and pie charts • Stem and Leaf displays • Histograms • Box plots B. Understand how to summarize univariate data sets using measures of center and measures of variability. 1. Calculate and interpret measures of center. Calculate and interpret measures of variability. Calculate and interpret measures of relative standing. 2. 3. C. Understand how to summarize and analyze bivariate data sets. 1. 2. 3. 5/04 – HS Construct and interpret scatter plots. Assess the fit of a line by calculating and interpreting r, r2, and residual plots. Identify non-linear relationships and transformations. 2 Course: AP Statistics Power Standard: Explore and implement well-developed data collection plans to gather valid information on a conjecture. (2) Students will need to know Students will be able to do (Content and/or concepts to be learned) (Skills and/or processes to be learned) A. Define different types of sampling techniques and biases. • • B. Understand the basic principles and differences between surveys, observational studies, and experiments. • • • • 5/04 – HS Perform and use simulations to collect data using the various types of sampling techniques Identify the types of sampling bias present in various sampling contexts. Design, sample, and report the responses from a survey. Collect and interpret information using relevant sampling methods for observational studies. Analyze and set-up experiments following the key concepts for experimental design. Identify the strengths and weaknesses of collecting data with surveys, observational studies, and experiments. 3 Course: AP Statistics Power Standard: Generate and analyze models using probability theory and simulation to determine what the distribution of data should look under a given model. (3) Students will need to know Students will be able to do (Content and/or concepts to be learned) (Skills and/or processes to be learned) A. Understand the basic properties of probability. 1. Use basic properties of probability to calculate probabilities. • Venn and tree diagrams • Independent and disjoint events • Addition rule • Multiplication rule • Conditional probability and Byes Theorem • Law of Large Numbers B. Identify various probability distributions for random variables. 1. Select and apply a variety of probability distributions to calculate probabilities. • Discrete and Continuous Distributions • Normal distribution • Binomial distribution • Geometric distribution • Student-T distribution C. Explain the Central Limit Theorem and its relationship to sampling variability and sampling distributions. 5/04 – HS • Apply the Central Limit Theorem to calculate probabilities based on the distributions for sample means and sample proportions. 4 Course: AP Statistics Power Standard: Select and apply appropriate models of statistical inference to generalize from sample statistics to population parameters. (4) Students will need to know Students will be able to do (Content and/or concepts to be learned) (Skills and/or processes to be learned) A. Understand point estimation for parameters using statistics. • Calculate appropriate point estimates for parameters from samples. B. Describe confidence intervals and their relationship to point estimates. • Calculate and interpret the meaning of confidence intervals for population means and proportions. • Describe Type I and Type II error in various contexts. Calculate and interpret p-values. Select and apply the appropriate model for inference. C. Understand the eight-step process for hypothesis testing. • • D. Identify the correct hypothesis test to be run. 5/04 – HS 1. Perform and summarize the conclusions of hypothesis tests. • Single sample mean and proportion hypothesis tests • Two sample mean and proportion hypothesis tests • X2 tests • Linear Regression and Correlation related tests 5 Course: AP Statistics Power Standard: Apply a variety of problem solving strategies and communicate the process used to reach the solution. (5) Students will need to know Students will be able to do (Content and/or concepts to be learned) (Skills and/or processes to be learned) A. Identify, adapt, and apply a strategy or strategies appropriate to solve problems. B. Explain, monitor, and reflect on the process of mathematical problem solving. 1. Select and use a variety of problem solving strategies: • Draw a diagram or graph • Perform a simulation • Use an equation or formula • Look for a pattern • Solve a simpler problem • Work backwards • • • • 5/04 – HS Provide a reason why they have chosen to apply a particular skill or concept. Check for reasonableness of solutions. Communicate thinking to others (peers and teachers). Use mathematical language in oral, symbolic, and written communication. 6 Course: AP Statistics Power Standard: Demonstrate an understanding of how mathematical ideas interconnect and apply to other learning. (6) Students will need to know Students will be able to do (Content and/or concepts to be learned) (Skills and/or processes to be learned) A. Understand how statistics is related to other fields of study. • • B. Understand how statistics is related to daily life. • • 5/04 – HS Use statistics to solve various application problems from other fields of study. Explain, in the context of other disciplines, the statistical reasoning required to solve various application problems. Describe ways in which statistics will be useful in their future interests and careers. Use the statistics they know to solve problems they encounter in their daily lives. 7