Big Data and the Future of Marketing Florian Zettelmeyer Nancy L. Ertle Professor of Marketing Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University First Data Leadership Summit 2013 Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer Marketing using Big Data has become all the rage FROM THE BUSINESS PRESS - “We need to grab this big data resource that has landed on our front step. Armed with more detailed information about their customers, companies can then promote more effectively and in a highly customized manner.” 1999 - “If there is a phrase that summarizes the situation, that phrase is "Data Explosion." The result is over a one thousand fold increase in information and related data storage, display and utilization requirements.” What is actually 1989 new about ”? Big Data - “In the next 5 to 10 years“there will be an order-of-magnitude increase in the amount of marketing data used and a similar tenfold increase in computer 1979 power available for marketing analysis.” - “The functioning of the organization requires that numerous urgent management measures be adopted which take into account a large quantity of data and complex calculations” 1968 Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer What is new about Big Data? "Big" Big Data There is lots of it Quantity of data Computing - Move from transactions to clicks, physical movements, and networks - From mainframes to shared-nothing clusters - Combination of seemingly unrelated databases - New tools (Hadoop, Pig, Mahout, Revolution R, ...) - Tracking of pre-purchase behavior - From on-site to the cloud • Amazon Web Services • IBM BigInsights, ... - Tracking of post-purchase usage behavior Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer What is new about Big Data? Big "Data" Data enables customer analytics Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer "Big" is only a small part of big data Big Data Is about a big data mindset - Design all processes with measurement in mind - Use predictive & proactive analytics - R&D everywhere - Test everything - Challenge conventional wisdom A big data mindset is useful even if your data fits on just few servers Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer How do I leverage the big data mindset? Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Harrah’s Entertainment until recently owned and operated 29 casinos across the US States FACTS ABOUT HARRAH'S Source for this and following slides: Harrah's presentation, HBS case analysis, press reports Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Harrah's had experienced rapid growth in the gaming market SAME STORE SALES GROWTH Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Harrah's outlook looks difficult prior to 1998 SITUATION - Competitors are placing their bets on flashy new properties - Investment required to compete on properties is huge - No expected increase in legal gaming markets How can Harrah's grow? Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Harrah's asks customers to get insights INSIGHTS 1. Customer engage in large amounts of cross-market play Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Harrah's asks customers to get insights INSIGHTS 1. Customer engage in large amounts of cross-market play but ... 2. Harrah's receives small share (36%) of total gaming dollars Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Harrah's creates relationships with customers in local markets, then extend them to destination markets APPROACH BASIC REQUIREMENTS - Cross-market revenues - Identify customers across markets - Determine what a potentially good customer is - Create incentives for consumers to visit other properties Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Meeting these basic requirements was nearly impossible CHALLENGES - Each property had its own reward card and different rewards - Incentives for repeat visits applied only locally • South Lake Tahoe --> comp rooms & meals at South Lake Tahoe • Reno --> comp rooms & meals at Reno Key problem: - Each property has own P&L and resources - Property managers see customers as "theirs", not Harrah's - COO refers to them as "Feudal Lords", running "fiefdoms" Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES The solution for Harrah's was to thing of the customer, not the property as the key source of value HARRAH'S APPROACH - New organizational form: Property managers report to COO, not CEO - IT integration - New branding ("exuberantly alive") Enables marketing with a big data mindset - Designed all processes with measurement in mind • IT Integration / behavior tracking • Total Reward Program - Use predictive analytics and test everything • Forecast customer value • Test incentives Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer CASE STUDY: LOYALTY INCENTIVES Harrah's is considered a great success for marketing with the big data mindset SUCCESS INDICATORS - In 1998: Share of gaming dollars of Harrah's customers: 36% - in 2004: Share of gaming dollars of Harrah's customers: 42% - Looks like a modest increase, except... 1% improvement equates into $40 million profit Marketing with the big data mindset affects the entire organization Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer Marketing with the big data mindset is not just about marketing any more SOURCE OF POTENTIAL - Looking at the customer, but not the • service or • product or • department as the source of profits - Using every product and service to create and capture customer value Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer Traditionally, marketing is about the "4 Ps" CURRENT VIEW (Kellogg's Phil Kotler) - Product • Design • Design individual individual products products & services & services toto create create customer customer value value - Price • Capture • Capture value value from from individual individual products products & & services services for firmfor firm - Promotion • Advertise • Advertise and and promote promote products products & services & services toto driver driver awareness, awareness, persuasion persuasion and and sales sales - Place • Manage • Manage individual individual channels channels of of distribution distribution toto maximize maximize sales sales & profits & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer To leverage the big data mindset marketing has to change FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products & services to create customer value - Price • Capture value from individual products & services for firm - Promotion • Advertise and promote products & services to driver awareness, persuasion and sales - Place • Manage individual channels of distribution to maximize sales & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products services to create • Design&for continuous engagement customer value • Content no longer different from products/services - Price • Capture value from individual products & services for firm - Promotion • Advertise and promote products & services to driver awareness, persuasion and sales - Place • Manage individual channels of distribution to maximize sales & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products services to create • Design&for continuous engagement customer value • Content no longer different from products/services - Price Revenue Models • Capture value from individual products & services for firm - Promotion • Advertise and promote products & services to driver awareness, persuasion and sales - Place • Manage individual channels of distribution to maximize sales & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer 0% Free or subscription 97 % 53% 23% Transaction and subscription 15% Transaction 3% 5% Free and transaction 3% 70/30 sharing Developers Content Developers Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products services to create • Design&for continuous engagement customer value • Content no longer different from products/services - Price Revenue Models • Capture value from• individual productsnot & the product/service Price the system, services for firm • Separate value capture from value creation - Promotion • Advertise and promote products & services to driver awareness, persuasion and sales - Place • Manage individual channels of distribution to maximize sales & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products services to create • Design&for continuous engagement customer value • Content no longer different from products/services - Price Revenue Models • Capture value from• individual productsnot & the product/service Price the system, services for firm • Separate value capture from value creation - Promotion Engagement • Advertise and promote products & services to driver awareness, persuasion and sales - Place • Manage individual channels of distribution to maximize sales & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products services to create • Design&for continuous engagement customer value • Content no longer different from products/services - Price Revenue Models • Capture value from• individual productsnot & the product/service Price the system, services for firm • Separate value capture from value creation - Promotion Engagement • Advertise and promote products services to • Deep insight&about consumer motivation driver awareness, persuasion sales • Leverageand other consumer data - Place • Manage individual channels of distribution to maximize sales & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products services to create • Design&for continuous engagement customer value • Content no longer different from products/services - Price Revenue Models • Capture value from• individual productsnot & the product/service Price the system, services for firm • Separate value capture from value creation - Promotion Engagement • Advertise and promote products services to • Deep insight&about consumer motivation driver awareness, persuasion sales • Leverageand other consumer data - Place Access Everywhere • Manage individual channels of distribution to maximize sales & profits Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer FUTURE OF MARKETING - Product Product Ecosystems and Content • Design individual products services to create • Design&for continuous engagement customer value • Content no longer different from products/services - Price Revenue Models • Capture value from• individual productsnot & the product/service Price the system, services for firm • Separate value capture from value creation - Promotion Engagement • Advertise and promote products services to • Deep insight&about consumer motivation driver awareness, persuasion sales • Leverageand other consumer data - Place Access Everywhere • Manage individual•channels of distribution Consumers don't thinkto channels; nor should you maximize sales & profits • Design access for cross-channel customer Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer The future of marketing is one that enables the "big data mindset" BIG DATA MINDSET - Design all processes with measurement in mind - Use predictive & proactive analytics - R&D everywhere - Test everything - Challenge conventional wisdom Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer Thank you. Florian Zettelmeyer f-zettelmeyer@kellogg.northwestern.edu Copyright © 2013 Florian Zettelmeyer