Nordstrom, Inc. - 1 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT NORDSTROM, INC.: Financial Research Report By Rie Maiden Presented to Dr. Page FIN 534 5016 October 12, 2009 Nordstrom, Inc. - 2 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Table of Contents Abstract 3 Introduction 4 Company Overview 5 Trend & Ration Analysis 8 Stock Price Analysis 10 Foreign Operations & Global Analysis 12 Conclusion 14 References 15 Appendix A 16 Nordstrom, Inc. - 3 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Abstract The following paper serves as an analysis of the financial data present in the Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flow Statements fro Nordstrom, Inc. Nordstrom, Inc operates in the Retail sector and faces competition from various apparel retailers, re-sale, wholesale and luxury. Performing trend and ratio analysis of the financial information retrieved for January 2009, January 2008, and January 2007, which can be found in the Appendix. Comparing fluctuations in the stock price of Nordstrom common stock with those of Standard & Poor’s Stock Market Index over the past 5 years. Nordstrom, Inc. - 4 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Introduction Nordstrom, Inc is a luxury industry retailer of designer, high-end apparel, shoes, cosmetics and accessories for men, women and children. They offer an assortment of designer and private labels through various retail channels. Nordstrom, Inc is comprised of 109 Nordstrom department/anchor stores, over 55 discount stores known as Nordstrom Rack, two high-end Jeffrey boutiques, two clearance stores or Last Chance Outlets, and Nordstrom Direct comprised of catalogs and the online storefront “www.Nordstrom.com”. These stores are located throughout the United States and at one time, over 37 Façonnable boutiques throughout Europe. Nordstrom offers a private label credit card, two Nordstrom VISA credit cards and a debit card for in house purchases, through the wholly owned federal savings bank, Nordstrom fsb. . Nordstrom, Inc. - 5 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Company Overview Nordstrom’s Products As one of the most successful apparel retailers in the United States, with over 170 stores in 28 states, Nordstrom generates revenue through four business segments. Retail Stores generate revenue through the sale of high-quality accessories, cosmetics, shoes and apparel. Direct utilizes the Internet and catalogs for the sale of high quality apparel and related merchandise. The Credit segment offers a private label credit card, two Nordstrom VISA credit cards and a debit card for in-house purchases. Revenue is generated through finance and other related charges collected by the wholly owned federal savings bank, Nordstrom fsb. The final segment, Other, includes product development and corporate center operations. The product development team or Nordstrom Product Group, designs and contracts the manufacture of Nordstrom’s private label merchandise that is sold through Retail and Direct. (Datamonitor, 2008) Consumer Demand &Price Elasticity of Demand Sales are higher for the Retail and Direct segments during the second and fourth quarters of the fiscal year due in part to the Anniversary Sale in July and the Winter holidays. Nordstrom’s ability to predict changes in fashion trends and consumer preferences and respond accordingly by matching their merchandise mix to consumer tastes is what has made them so successful.(United States Securities an Exchange Commission, 2009) The significance of the impact on sales and operating results is obvious because without the quick response they would be forced to sell merchandise at higher than average markdowns and much lower than average margins. Various other uncontrollable and often unforeseeable factors, such as consumer confidence, weather Nordstrom, Inc. - 6 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT and other natural events, and general economic conditions, play a constant role in consumer spending.(Lache, Exstein, & Jones, 2009) Due to the nature of the products they sell, the price elasticity of demand can be said to be very inelastic. They have successfully incorporated brands at a range of price points as to allow consumers at any spending level to be accommodated. Their award winning customer service had made achieving sales almost a non-issue for the associates because the service and the products sell themselves. Products Substitutes Apparel retail is highly competitive. There are various other national, regional and local retailers that may carry similar lines of merchandise. Department stores, specialty stores, boutiques and Internet storefronts all offer competition for Nordstrom, which varies from market to market. The areas that they feel they can compete in the retail industry are customer service, product quality, product selection, and internal and external store environment. Theses factors not only affect Nordstrom but they are constantly changing for their vendors, manufactures and consumers. Not recognizing this and responding could be detrimental to revenue leading to a loss of market share and declining sales and profitability.(United States Securities and Exchange Commission, 2009) Brand Name Association Nordstrom, Inc. is a well-recognized brand. Its customers believe they are receiving a high level of customer service and high quality merchandise. Nordstrom, Inc. - 7 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Patent Protection There are 139 registered trademarks or pending trademark applications, including but not limited to Nordstrom, Nordstrom Rack, John W. Nordstrom, Caslon, and Classiques Entier. Each of which is renewable indefinitely provided it is still used commercially at that time. (Datamonitor, 2008) Nordstrom, Inc. - 8 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Trend & Ratio Analysis Current Ratio Quick Ratio Market-to-Book Ratio Debt-to-Equity Ratio Price-Earnings Ratio 2.0094 1.4472 1.0051 3.6785 18.25 Enterprise Value EPS 10.279 (billion) 1.50 Operating Margin Net Profit Margin Return on Equity 12.40% 4.70% 25.50% The current ratio is used to determine the amount of working capital an organization has, in order to meet short-term needs. Nordstrom with a current ratio of 2.01 and a quick ratio of 1.45 is sufficient enough to say that they can meet their short terms needs however in previous years this ratio has been higher. It is safe to assume that with the sale in 2007 of a large percent of their business they were able to increase their cash but also lost long-term revenue. Weigh this against the current economic situation and its easy to understand how a lucrative organization such as Nordstrom, Inc can maintain at roughly a 2 to 1 ratio of assets to liabilities. When evaluating the overall value of Nordstrom, Inc. it is important to acknowledge the market-to book ratio of 1.01, the debt to equity ratio of 3.68, and the Price to earnings ratio of 18.25. These ratios assess the liquidation value and the firm’s leverage. Looking at the amount of debt that an organization has in relationship to its ability to pay its short-term expenses is an indication of how successful an organization can be in the future. Ideally a firm should make a profit upon sale; in the retail industry P/E ratios are generally not very high resting in the low twenties or high teens for most comparable retailers. With the onset of the recession many apparel retailers have seen a Nordstrom, Inc. - 9 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT significant drop in sales and have experience significantly higher markdowns. This external environmental analysis puts into context these figures that might otherwise lead you to believe that Nordstrom, Inc. is headed for serious trouble. Nordstrom, Inc. - 10 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Stock Price Analysis According to this chart the price of Nordstrom common stock is on its way up. Over the past 5 years the S&P 500 has stayed very consistent with the most significant fluctuations in the past few quarters. Nordstrom, Inc common stock is all over the map, starting very close to the S&P then soaring well above at over 150% then within one to two quarters dropping dramatically to over minus 30%. Fluctuations like these do not make investors very confident in purchasing the stock. (Lache, 2009) Again the economy plays a significant factor in the fluctuation of the stocks. (Clark, 2009) The recession has forced many investors to tighten their belt and watch their portfolios closely not to mention the value of the organization as a whole has changed singe before during and after the sale of the foreign subsidiary in 2007. This generated cash but it didn’t do much on the way of valuation of stock for shareholders.(United States Securities and Exchange Commission, 2009) I would invest in this stock because of what a solid organization Nordstrom is. They have proven historically their ability to last in a highly competitive market and to thrive when other organizations aren’t. (Asaeda, 2008) Nordstrom, Inc. - 11 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Nordstrom, inc is on its way to a brighter future and investing in them while they are own means greater profits with the firms continued success. Nordstrom, Inc. - 12 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Foreign Operations & Global Analysis Prior to its sale, Nordstrom, Inc. acquired the apparel company Façonnable of France for roughly $170 million dollars. Paying $88 million in cash and issuing 5 million shares of Nordstrom common stock. Façonnable, at the time, was sold by retailers in 23 countries predominantly in Europe, South and Central America, as well as the Far and Middle East. This high-end retailer, specializing in tailored men and women's clothing, was introduced in the United States via an exclusivity agreement with Nordstrom. In 1993 its first domestic boutique debuted on NYC's Fifth Avenue. Product design and manufacturing operations remained in the brands home of Nice. Nordstrom controlled 36 Façonnable boutiques in Europe and the brand has been sold exclusively through Nordstrom since 1989. (Business Editors, 2000) A significant portion of inventory is purchased from foreign suppliers and these costs can fluctuate based on the rise and fall of the local currency against the US dollar. Changes in the value of the U.S. dollar relative to foreign currencies increases cost of goods sold, and without generating revenue that reflects these cost increases via the customers, gross margins and earnings decrease. Deterioration in economic conditions has lead to an instable stock market, restrictive consumer credit, a decline in the housing market, and significant reductions in consumer spending. Apparel retail is considered discretionary ad as a retailer of high-end apparel, shoes, cosmetics, and accessories Nordstrom has seen an adverse affect to revenues. The revenue generated through operation of the Façonnable boutiques while successful did not do much to account for the degeneration of revenues domestically. Having developed the integration of Façonnable and seen it become a well-integrated part of the overall brand as well as earn Nordstrom, Inc. - 13 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT significant revenues. (Thomson Reuters, 2007) In July of 2007, Nordstrom Inc. is sold its Façonnable brand for $200 million to the M1 Group, in order to see an increase in cash to focus more closely on the mainstay of the corporation. (Datamonitor, 2008) According to a 2007 article for Retailer Business, the President of Nordstrom, Inc Blake Nordstrom stated, "We believe this transaction is in the best interest of our company, our shareholders, our customers and Façonnable. The Façonnable brand has been very successful for Nordstrom. Over the last 19 years our company has played a pivotal role in the development and success of this unique line, which has become one of our top-selling brands. This move allows Nordstrom to focus on its core business while continuing to offer the Façonnable brand to our customers and allows Façonnable the opportunity to grow independently." Nordstrom, Inc. - 14 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Conclusion Overall, Nordstrom, Inc. is a solid organization that, like any other retailer, is experiencing the long-term and short-term affects of the recession and the declined economy. Having a strong reputation as one of the best high-end apparel retailers that provides award winning customer service allows them to sustain revenue growth when other firms cannot. The cost of capital is currently high due to structural changes that have occurred in dealing with the economy. Holding onto shares of Nordstrom, Inc. common stock should prove very lucrative over the course of the coming years. This is an invaluable investment, as this company continues to grow and make strategic investments that will provide for its long-term success. Nordstrom, Inc. - 15 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT References Asaeda, J. (2008) SS&P Picks and Pans: Activision, BMC Software, Autodesk, Nordstrom, Abercrombie. Business Week Online May 19, 2008 p 18 Business Editors (2000) Nordstrom, Inc. Agrees to Acquire French Apparel Company, Façonnable, S.A. Business Wire September 27, 2000 Retrieved from www.albusiness.com Clark, Evan (2009). Nordstrom Execs See Paycuts. Women’s Wear Daily April 10, 2009 Vol. 197 Issue 76 p14 Datamonitor (2008) Nordstrom, Inc. SWOT Analysis. Datamonitor plc December 15, 2008 p 1-9 Lache, Rod, Exstein, Michael, Jones, Heather (2009) Analyst Picks and Pans: CarMax, Nordstrom, Diamond Foods. Business Week Online May 29, 2009 p16 Thomson Reuters (2007). Nordstrom Exploring Options for Façonnable Brand. Retrieved from www.reuters.com. United States Securities and Exchange Commission (2009). Nordstrom, Inc. Annual Report Persuant to Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Exchange Act of 1934. (Form 10-K Commission File Number 001-15059). Washington, D.C Nordstrom, Inc. - 16 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Appenix A INCOME STATEMENT Operating Revenue Total Revenue Adjustment to Revenue Cost of Sales Cost of Sales with Depreciation Gross Margin Gross Operating Profit R&D SG&A Advertising Operating Profit Jan-09 (TTM) 8,573.00 8,573.00 0 5,136.00 5,417.00 0 3,437.00 0 2,386.00 0 779 Jan-07 (TTM) 8,561.00 8,561.00 0 5,105.00 5,354.00 3,207.00 3,456.00 0 2,297.00 0 910 Jan-06 (TTM) 7,722.86 7,722.86 0 4,645.05 4,888.02 2,834.84 3,077.82 0 2,100.67 0 734.17 Operating Profit before Depreciation (EBITDA) Depreciation Depreciation Unreconciled Amortization Amortization of Intangibles Operating Income After Depreciation Interest Income Earnings from Equity Interest Other Income, Net Income Acquired in Process R&D Interest Restructuring and M&A Other Special Charges Total Income Avail for Interest Expense (EBIT) Interest Expense Income Before Tax (EBT) Income Taxes Minority Interest Preferred Securities of Subsidiary Trust Net Income from Continuing Operations Net Income from Discontinued Ops. Net Income from Total Operations Extraordinary Income/Losses Income from Cum. Effect of Acct Chg Income from Tax Loss Carryforward Other Gains (Losses) 1,051.00 1,175.00 1,159.00 281 233 249 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 770 942 910 3 16 15 0 0 0 9 271 239 0 0 0 0 34 0 0 0 0 782 1,263.00 1,164.00 134 90 57 648 1,173.00 1,107.00 247 458 428 0 0 0 0 0 0 401 715 678 0 0 0 401 715 678 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 977.15 242.98 0 0 0 734.17 0 0 196.35 0 0 0 930.53 45.3 885.23 333.89 0 0 551.34 0 551.34 0 0 0 0 All amounts in millions except per share amounts. Jan-08 (TTM) 8,828.00 8,828.00 0 5,293.00 5,526.00 3,302.00 3,535.00 0 2,360.00 0 0 Total Net Income 401 715 678 551.34 Normalized Income Net Income Available for Common 401 401 681 715 678 678 551.34 551.34 Nordstrom, Inc. - 17 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Preferred Dividends Excise Taxes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Per Share Data Basic EPS from Continuing Ops. Basic EPS from Discontinued Ops. Basic EPS from Total Operations Basic EPS from Extraordinary Inc. Basic EPS from Cum Effect of Accounting Chg Basic EPS from Other Gains (Losses) Basic EPS Total Basic Normalized Net Income/Share Diluted EPS from Continuing Ops. Diluted EPS from Discontinued Ops. Diluted EPS from Total Operations Diluted EPS from Extraordinary Inc. 1.85 0 1.85 0 0 0 1.85 1.85 1.83 0 1.83 0 2.92 0 2.92 0 0 0 2.92 2.78 2.88 0 2.88 0 2.6 0 2.6 0 0 0 2.6 2.6 2.55 0 2.55 0 2.03 0 2.03 0 0 0 2.03 2.03 1.98 0 1.98 0 Diluted EPS from Cum Effect of Accounting Chg Diluted EPS from Other Gains (Losses) Diluted EPS Total Diluted Normalized Net Income/Share Dividends Paid per Share 0 0 1.83 1.83 0.64 0 0 2.88 2.74 0.54 0 0 2.55 2.55 0.42 0 0 1.98 1.98 0.32 216.6 219.2 245 249 260.69 265.71 271.96 277.78 Jan-09 (TTM) Jan-08 (TTM) Jan-07 (TTM) Jan-06 (TTM) 72 358 0 0 0 0 1,942.00 1,788.00 0 0 0 0 1,942.00 1,788.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 900 956 0 0 900 956 403 0 428 684 0 0 684 0 0 0 0 997 0 997 462.66 0 615.14 639.56 0 0 639.56 0 0 0 0 955.98 0 955.98 Additional Data Basic Weighted Shares Outstanding Diluted Weighted Shares Outstanding BALANCE SHEET All amounts in millions except per share amounts. Assets Cash and Equivalents Restricted Cash Marketable Securities Accounts Receivable Loans Receivable Other Receivable Receivables Raw Materials Work In Progress Purchased Components Finished Goods Other Inventories Inventories -Adj Allowances Inventories Nordstrom, Inc. - 18 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Prepaid Expenses Current Deferred Income Taxes Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Gross Fixed Assets (Plant, Prop. & Equip.) Accumulated Depreciation & Depletion Net Fixed Assets Intangibles Cost in Excess Non-Current Deferred Income Taxes Other Non-Current Assets Total Non Current Assets 93 78 60 55.36 210 181 169 145.47 0 0 0 0 3,217.00 3,361.00 2,742.00 2,874.16 5,328.00 3,107.00 2,221.00 0 53 0 170 2,444.00 4,909.00 2,926.00 1,983.00 0 53 0 203 2,239.00 4,547.00 2,790.00 1,757.00 84 52 0 187 2,080.00 4,323.43 2,549.56 1,773.87 135.71 0 0 137.61 2,047.19 Total Assets 5,661.00 5,600.00 4,822.00 4,921.35 Liabilities Accounts Payable Notes Payable Short Term Debt Accrued Expenses Accrued Liabilities Deferred Revenues Current Deferred Income Taxes Other Current Liabilities Total Current Liabilities Long Term Debt Capital Lease Obligations Deferred Income Taxes Other Non-Current Liabilities Minority Interest Preferred Securities of Subsidiary Trust Preferred Equity outside Stock Equity Total Non-Current Liabilities 563 556 577 540.02 0 0 0 0 299 261 7 306.62 214 0 0 0 0 268 340 285.98 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 525 550 510 490.69 1,601.00 1,635.00 1,433.00 1,623.31 2,214.00 2,236.00 624 627.78 0 0 0 0 435 0 0 0 201 614 596 577.58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2,850.00 2,850.00 1,220.00 1,205.36 Total Liabilities 4,451.00 4,485.00 2,654.00 2,828.67 Stockholder's Equity Preferred Stock Equity Common Stock Equity Common Par Additional Paid In Capital Cumulative Translation Adjustment Retained Earnings Treasury Stock 0 0 0 0 1,210.00 1,115.00 2,169.00 2,092.68 997 0 0 0 0 936 827 685.93 0 0 0 0 223 201 1,351.00 1,404.37 0 0 0 0 Nordstrom, Inc. - 19 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Other Equity Adjustments Total Equity Total Capitalization -10 -22 -9 2.38 1,210.00 1,115.00 2,169.00 2,092.68 3,424.00 3,351.00 2,793.00 2,720.46 Total Liabilities & Stock Equity 5,661.00 5,600.00 4,823.00 4,921.35 Additional Data Cash Flow Working Capital Free Cash Flow 682 948 927 794.32 1,616.00 1,726.00 1,308.00 1,250.85 147 -258 768 417.38 Invested Capital 3,424.00 3,351.00 2,793.00 2,720.46 Share Data Shares Outstanding Common Class Only Preferred Shares Total Ordinary Shares Total Common Shares Outstanding Treasury Shares CASH FLOW STATEMENT All amounts in millions except per share amounts. 215.4 0 0 215.4 0 220.9 0 0 220.9 0 257.31 0 0 257.31 0 269.55 0 0 269.55 0 Jan-09 (TTM) Jan-08 (TTM) Jan-07 (TTM) Jan-06 (TTM) 401 715 302 269 -21 -36 0 0 -36 -42 0 -34 0 0 -93 -1,234.00 53 0 9 -9 0 420 16 -19 -26 -28 678 285 -36 0 -58 0 0 -61 -39 -5 128 84 67 551.34 276.33 -33.35 0 -11.24 75.3 0 -15.14 -20.8 -1.04 -139.26 31.72 62.38 Operating Activities Net Income (Loss) Depreciation Amortization Amortization of Intangibles Deferred Income Taxes Operating (Gains) Losses Extraordinary (Gains) Losses (Increase) Decrease in Receivables (Increase) Decrease in Inventories (Increase) Decrease in Prepaid Expenses (Increase) Decrease in Other Current Assets (Increase) Decrease in Payables (Increase) Decrease in Other Curr Liabs. (Increase) Decrease in Other Working Capital Other Non-Cash Items Net Cash from Continuing Operations Net Cash from Discontinued Operations 43 200 848 0 24 40 135 60 161 1,142.00 0 0 0 0 776.23 0 Net Cash from Operating Activities 848 161 1,142.00 776.23 Investing Activities Sale of Property, Plant, Equipment 2 12 0 0.11 Nordstrom, Inc. - 20 – FINANCIAL RESEARCH REPORT Sale of Long Term Investments Sale of Short Term Investments Purchase of Property, Plant, Equipment Acquisitions Purchase of Long Term Investments Purchase of Short Term Investments Other Investing Changes Net Cash from Disc. Investing Activities 0 0 -563 0 0 0 -231 0 0 0 -501 216 0 0 3 0 0 164 -264 0 0 -110 -8 0 0 530.75 -271.66 0 0 -542.93 -8.37 0 Net Cash from Investing Activities -792 -270 -218 -292.09 Financing Activities Issuance of Debt Issuance of Capital Stock Repayment of Debt Repurchase of Capital Stock Payment of Cash Dividends Other Financing Charges, Net Cash from Disc. Financing Activities 445 2,510.00 30 51 0 -680 -264 -1,702.00 -138 -134 -415 19 0 0 0 67 -308 -622 -110 -12 0 4.95 88.62 -101.05 -287.08 -87.2 -0.35 0 Net Cash from Financing Activities -342 64 -984 -382.11 Effect of Exchange Rate Changes 0 0 0 0 -286 -45 -60 102.03 358 72 403 358 463 403 360.62 462.66 Net Change in Cash & Cash Equivalents Cash at Beginning of Period Cash at End of Period