THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES SCHOOL OF MECHANICAL AND MANUFACTURING ENGINEERING GSOE 9830 ECONOMIC DECISION ANALYSIS IN ENGINEERING SEMESTER 2 2013 1 Contents Page Course staff Course details Course aims 2 2 3 Student learning outcomes Teaching strategies Assessment Academic honesty and plagiarism Course schedule Resources for students Course evaluation and development Administrative Matters 3 3 4 4 6 7 7 7 COURSE STAFF: Course Coordinator Dr M Hasan School of Mechanical Engineering m.hasan@unsw.edu.au 02-9385-5692 Lecturer/s Dr M Hasan School of Mechanical Engineering m.hasan@unsw.edu.au 02-9385-5692 Guy Allinson School of Petroleum Engineering Building g.allinson@unsw.edu.au 02-9385-5189 COURSE INFORMATION The course consists of two sections: Section 1 (Week 1-6) : Dr Maruf Hasan Section 2 (Week 7-12): Guy Allinson 2 This is a 6 unit-of-credit (UoC) course, and involves 3 hours per week of lectures, tutorials and group discussion. For this course you are expected to put in at least six hours per week of additional time in order to obtain a good grade. COURSE AIMS The objective of the course is to provide engineers and managers with the knowledge of principles, basic concepts and methodology of economic decision analysis. This will assist the students to develop proficiency with the methods and with the process for making rational decision they are likely to encounter in professional practice. STUDENT LEARNING OUTCOMES By successfully completing Section1 of the course, the student should be able to: 1. apply the knowledge of systematic evaluation of the costs and benefits of proposed technical and business project and ventures. 2. identify what is needed to perform an engineering economy study. 3. understand cost concepts, cash flows, their estimation and interest formulae. 4. be familiar with various methods for economy studies and comparing alternative investments. 5. understand various depreciation methods and learn about the effect of income tax on economy studies. 6. understand and calculate the effects of inflation in economic analysis. 7. use spreadsheet functions to solve engineering economy problems. Section 2 of the course aims to help students understand: • • • the role of probability analysis in decision making. decision tree analysis. how to value information. how to carry our Monte Carlo simulations how to analyse a portfolio of investments TEACHING STRATEGIES Readings and lectures will be used to introduce and explain the theoretical foundations of various economic analysis principles. Tutorial exercises will be used to apply and reinforce the understanding of the concepts and how they can be applied to solve problems encountered in the real world. Student are expected to complete the assigned readings prior to lectures so that they can contribute to class discussions. Students will be required to form groups to discuss and solve the case study and assignment problems. 3 ASSESSMENT Section 1(contributes 50% to the overall mark) Assessment Task Weighting Assignments (Handed out Wk4 due Wk7) Class Test (Wk 5) Final Exam 5% 15% 30% Section 2(contributes 50% to the overall mark) There will be a test during weeks 7 to 12. This will have a weight of 15% of the marks for the whole course. We will announce the date for the test during the first few weeks of the session. The questions in the final exam for Section 2 of the course have a weight of 35% of the marks for the whole course. The final examination for the course is a written formal examination and will include material covered in the whole course. Calculators You will need to provide your own calculator, of a make and model approved by UNSW, for the examination. The list of approved calculators is shown at https://my.unsw.edu.au/student/academiclife/assessment/examinations/calculato r.html It is your responsibility to ensure that your calculator is of an approved make and model, and to obtain an “Approved” sticker for it from the School Office or the Engineering Student Centre prior to the examination. Calculators not bearing an “Approved” sticker will not be allowed into the examination room. Special Consideration and Supplementary Assessment For details of applying for special consideration and conditions for the award of supplementary assessment, see Administrative Matters for All Courses, available from the School office as part of The Guide, or on the School website. ACADEMIC HONESTY AND PLAGIARISM What is Plagiarism? 4 Plagiarism is the presentation of the thoughts or work of another as one’s own.* Examples include: • • • • • direct duplication of the thoughts or work of another, including by copying material, ideas or concepts from a book, article, report or other written document (whether published or unpublished), composition, artwork, design, drawing, circuitry, computer program or software, web site, Internet, other electronic resource, or another person’s assignment without appropriate acknowledgement; paraphrasing another person’s work with very minor changes keeping the meaning, form and/or progression of ideas of the original; piecing together sections of the work of others into a new whole; presenting an assessment item as independent work when it has been produced in whole or part in collusion with other people, for example, another student or a tutor; and claiming credit for a proportion a work contributed to a group assessment item that is greater than that actually contributed.† For the purposes of this policy, submitting an assessment item that has already been submitted for academic credit elsewhere may be considered plagiarism. Knowingly permitting your work to be copied by another student may also be considered to be plagiarism. Note that an assessment item produced in oral, not written, form, or involving live presentation, may similarly contain plagiarised material. The inclusion of the thoughts or work of another with attribution appropriate to the academic discipline does not amount to plagiarism. The Learning Centre website is main repository for resources for staff and students on plagiarism and academic honesty. These resources can be located via: www.lc.unsw.edu.au/plagiarism The Learning Centre also provides substantial educational written materials, workshops, and tutorials to aid students, for example, in: • • • correct referencing practices; paraphrasing, summarising, essay writing, and time management; appropriate use of, and attribution for, a range of materials including text, images, formulae and concepts. Individual assistance is available on request from The Learning Centre. 5 Students are also reminded that careful time management is an important part of study and one of the identified causes of plagiarism is poor time management. Students should allow sufficient time for research, drafting, and the proper referencing of sources in preparing all assessment items. * Based on that proposed to the University of Newcastle by the St James Ethics Centre. Used with kind permission from the University of Newcastle † Adapted with kind permission from the University of Melbourne. COURSE SCHEDULE Section 1 (Week 1-6) Week Date Topic 1 30/07 Engineering economic decisions, cost concepts, time value of money, interest formulae 06/08 Present worth(NPV)analysis, future worth, annual worth 13/08 Internal rate of return, payback period method 20/08 Comparing alternative investments 27/04 Mid-semester Break 27/08 Depreciation methods; 03/09 Income taxes 2 3 4 5 6 Text Tutorial exercises reference 1,4 4.1,5,6,8,31,34,57, 58,60,66,68,70,72,73,77,79,80,81,82,85,91,103, 107, 5 5.2,4,21,23,24,27,32 5 5. 44,45,49,53,54,60,63,67,67 6 6.2,4,12,13,15,19,28,29,35,37,41,45,52,56,57,67,70 7 7.7,8,11,12,14 7 7,23,32,38,39,40,41,42,47,55,60 Section 2 (Week 7-12) Week Date Topic 7 10/09 Limitations of sensitivity analysis Using probability distributions 8 17/09 Exploration decisions 9 24/09 Binomial distributions 1/10 (Mid-Session Break) 10 08/10 Decision trees 6 11 15/10 Value of information 12 22/10 Monte Carlo simulation Portfolio analysis Course revision (Week 13) 13 29/10 Course Revision We reserve the right to change lecturers and topics depending on the availability of the lecturers and the progress of the course RESOURCES Text book 1 W.G. Sullivan, E.M. Wicks, C.P. Koelling, “Engineering Economy”, Prentice Hall International, 15th Ed., 2012. The textbook is available for purchase at the UNSW book shop. Lecture outlines will be provided on Blackboard/Moodle. Textbook 2 (optional) Decision Analysis for Petroleum Exploration Paul Newendorp and John Schuyler Planning Press 2000 Course notes for the Section 2 of the course are provided on Blackboard/Moodle. CONTINUAL COURSE IMPROVEMENT Periodically student evaluative feedback on the course is gathered, using among other means, UNSW's Course and Teaching Evaluation and Improvement (CATEI) process. Student feedback is taken seriously, and continual improvements are made to the course based in part on such feedback. ADMINISTRATIVE MATTERS Information about each of the following matters is presented in a School handout, Administrative Matters for All Courses, available from the School website www.mech.unsw.edu.au/sites/default/files/AdminMatters.pdf 7 It is essential that you obtain a copy, read it carefully and become familiar with the information, because it applies to this course and to each of the other courses in which you are enrolled. Expectations of students (including attendance at lectures and tutorials/laboratory classes/seminars; and computer use, for example, in the use of email and online discussion forums) Procedures for submission of assignments and the School’s policy concerning late submission Information on relevant Occupational Health and Safety policies and expectations: : www.ohs.unsw.edu.au Examination procedures and advice concerning illness or misadventure Equity and disability Students who have a disability that requires some adjustment in their teaching or learning environment are encouraged to discuss their study needs with the course convener prior to, or at the commencement of, their course, or with the Equity Officer (Disability) in the Equity and Diversity Unit (SEADU) by phone on 9385 4734, email seadu@unsw.edu.au or via the website www.studentequity.unsw.edu.au/content/default.cfm?ss=0. Issues to be discussed may include access to materials, signers or note-takers, the provision of services and additional exam and assessment arrangements. Early notification is essential to enable any necessary adjustments to be made. M Hasan and Guy Allinson July 2013 8 9