Economics of Regulation Natural Monopoly What is a natural monopoly? A When a single firm can produce a product or a group of products more cheaply than two or more firms. B Technically, a natural monopoly exists in an industry where the costs are subadditive. That is, where two firms produce q1 and q2 respectively and the costs are as follows C(Q)=c(q1+q2)<c(q1) + c(q2) What is a natural monopoly? C Subadditivity is not the same as economies of scale. Costs can be subadditive even if diseconomies exist (near the total output q1+q2). In the single product case, scale economies is a sufficient condition for subadditivitity. D In the multiproduct case, product-specific scale economies is not a sufficient condition. Economies of scope is a necessary but not sufficient condition for subadditivity. Even Economies of scale and scope is no guarantee of cost subadditivity. What is a natural monopoly? E Contestable Market is one where there is free entry and even a single firm will face pressure to keep costs low and to price efficiently. Developed by Baumol, Panzer, Willig. F Sustainable natural monopoly is one where entry can be prevented. (Price where LATC meets demand curve - no incentive to enter). Other Reasons for Regulation. Destructive competition results from pricing at MC. Happens in industries where fixed costs are large and demand is highly cyclical or variable. (I.e. electrical conspiracy) Equity concerns. Errs with price discrimination. Crosssubsidies as in LD to local. Geographic rate averaging. Rationing. Radio or TV spectrum. Traditional FCC versus PCS auctions. Other Reasons for Regulation. Market Stabilization. Social welfare will improve if gov't tames wild price flunctations and stabilizes market. Agriculture markets with lags. Capture and Rent Seeking. This is not in the public interest as the other ones are. This is only a reason for the firms who want regulation. Regulators' problems A. Pricing - In many regulated industries, there are significant economies of large-scale production - In an industry with economies of scale, the LRAC curve is downward sloping - If average cost is declining, then the MC is below AC Regulators' problems Regulators' problems - Pricing at MC, the firm suffers a loss. - loss could be covered by a subsidy for gov't. Raising taxes through sales or income tax causes other distortions. If it is subsidized, it is usually publicly owned. - price discrimination where high rates for some customers are used to cover the loss. Local telephone service subsidized by LD. - Pricing at LATC, social welfare is not maximize. Deadweight loss triangle. Regulators' problems • B. Incentive Incentive Problem ---- assume regulator prices at P=ATC and firm earns no economic profit. No incentive to cut costs increasing costs lead to increasing prices. Leads to feather-bedding. Demsetz Article A. Argues aganist Natural Monopoly Theory which he defines as scale economies -> less costly for one firm than 2 or more firms -> left unregulated, firm sets price and quantity at monopoly levels. B. Deficient because it fails to reveal the logical steps that this takes in the marketplace Demsetz Article C. Uses bidding process / why does scale economies limit bidders; unlimited bidders produces pricing at cost D. Requires two assumptions • 1. No control of inputs • 2. Cost of colluding is high Demsetz Article E. Objections • 1. Excessive duplication of utility distribution systems • 2. Prohibit capture of windfall profits from technology change due to uncertainty F. Demsetz Answers to objections • 1. Problem is setting proper price of scarce resource of rights-of-way • 2. Best way to capture uncertainty is long-term contracts Berg & Tschirhart Article A. Conclusion: LECs are either non-sustainable natural monopolies or non-natural monopolies. B. Regulation is not necessary for a sustainable natural monopoly in a contestable market (w/ no entry barriers) Berg & Tschirhart Article Barriers to entry No Barriers sustainable Non sustainable Natural Monopoly Regulate Non-Natural Antitrust Monopoly Breakup Do not Regulate Regulate Impossible Do not Regulate C. Chart assumes that regulation is costless and deadweight loss is large enough to warrant intervention. Berg & Tschirhart Article Under partial regulation, four outcomes: • 1. Sustainable or non-sustainable natural monopoly losing one or more of its markets to entrants (creamskimming). • 2. Sustainable or non-sustainable natural monopoly retaining all of its markets (because its a natural monopoly and has cost advantages). • 3. A non-natural monopoly being sustainable under partial regulation and retaining all its markets (and no entry in regulated markets because of regulators) • 4. A non-natural monopoly losing one or more of its markets. Berg & Tschirhart Article E. Observe LEC experience and find out what category it fits into. (But how about if cost allocation rules make the competitive product higher than it ought to be? I.e. switched and special access) F. LEC produces three products in their model. • 1. POTS - residence - regulated. • 2. BUSINESS - Higher volumes than POTS and data transmission regulated. • 3. MESSAGE - non-regulated service sold in competitive market. Berg & Tschirhart Article G. Three Assumptions – 1. All firms have access to the same technology. – 2. LEC is price taker in competitive market. LEC produces at least as much MESSAGE as competitor and competitor earns zero profit. (But if they can influence cost and price of incumbent, they may earn positive profit. Regulators afraid of predatory pricing.) (And if there aren't competitors - then MESSAGE wouldn't be deregulated!) – 3. LEC earns zero profit under partial regulation. Berg & Tschirhart Article H. Three Observations • 1. LECs are losing market share (being bypassed) in some of their markets. Eliminates outcomes 2 & 3. • 2. Some users of BUSINESS are bypassing LECs and obtaining service from CAPs. • 3. CATV poised to begin offering POTS to residence. Berg & Tschirhart Article I. Conclusion: Either outcome 1 or outcome 4.