Meeting of Board of Directors Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Teleconference February 3, 2015 Radisson Austin Downtown 111 East Cesar Chavez Austin, Texas 78701 8:00 a.m. Interested parties can listen to the meeting live by going to www.twia.org. Go to “News and Upcoming Events” and click on the audio link. It will take you to the link to listen to the meeting. Silverlight installation is required. 1. Call to Order – Reminder of the Anti-Trust Statement/Meeting Format – Georgia Neblett 5 minutes 2. Consideration and Action to: Approve the Minutes from Prior Board of Directors’ Meetings – Georgia Neblett* 5 minutes 3. Public Comment 15 minutes 4. Financial Consideration and Possible Action on the Following Financial Topics: A. Report of the Secretary/Treasurer – Mike Gerik* 1. Income Statement 2. Management Discussion and Analysis B. Financial Statement Review by Staff – Pete Gise 1. Income Statement and Expense Statement 2. Balance Sheet 3. Cash & Short Term Investments 4. Cash Flow Statement 5. Historical Data C. IRS Refund Claim – Mike Perkins 45 minutes 5. Internal Audit – Karen Meriwether Consideration and Possible Action on the Following Audit Topics: A. Internal Audit Status & Update 5 minutes 6. Actuarial – Jim Murphy Consideration and Possible Action on the Following Actuarial Topics: A. Reserve Adequacy B. Policy Count/Exposures C. Reinsurance Options, Including Catastrophe Bonds* 20 minutes TWIA Agenda 1 7. Underwriting – John Morrison Consideration and Possible Action on the Following Underwriting Topics: A. WPI-8’s B. Agent and Policyholder Surveys C. Agent Audit Program D. Insurance-to-Value Analysis 15 minutes 8. Claims – Dave Williams Consideration and Possible Action on the Following Claims Topics: A. Claims Operations – Dave Williams B. Claims Litigation – David Durden 20 minutes 9. TWIA Operations Consideration and Possible Action on the Following Operations Topics: A. Operations / Management – John Polak B. Amendments to Plan of Operation – John Polak* C. Gamboa Case – David Durden D. Depopulation – John Polak / Jim Murphy E. IT – John Polak 45 minutes 10. 84th Texas Legislature – John Polak 5 minutes Lunch break, 11:30 30 minutes 11. Closed Session (Board Only) A. Personnel Issues B. Legal Advice 60 minutes 12. Consideration of Issues Related to Matters Deliberated in Closed Session That May Require Action, if any, of the Board of Directors* 5 minutes 13. Committees – Georgia Neblett 5 minutes 14. Future Meetings – John Polak • May 5, 2015 – Hyatt Regency, Austin • August 2015 - TBD 5 minutes 15. Adjourn Estimated Total Length of Meeting 4 hours 45 minutes *Indicates item on which General Manager believes the Board of Directors may take action TWIA Agenda 2 1. Anti-Trust Statement ANTI-TRUST COMPLIANCE STATEMENT The Board of Directors of TWIA is committed to strict compliance with federal and state anti-trust laws. The anti-trust laws are designed to promote free and open competition and to penalize any activities that unreasonably lessen business rivalry. Members of the Board of Directors of TWIA may freely discuss and agree upon agenda items relating to their responsibilities as Directors including such topics as coordinating efforts regarding state or federal legislation, discussion of TWIA policy on legislative issues and methods of legislative lobbying including grass-roots lobbying, public relations, testimony before legislative committees and meetings with state and federal legislators and regulators. Because TWIA meetings bring together competitors, any unauthorized discussion of topics prohibited by the anti-trust laws such as agreements between competitors on prices and rates, agreements to boycott third parties or agreements to divide markets or even individual insureds could lead to an inference that such an illegal agreement among participants to the discussion was in fact reached. Accordingly, the following guidelines apply to any meeting or other activity conducted under the auspices of TWIA: • Someone on the TWIA staff shall be present at all times during meetings of the TWIA Board of Directors or other official activities such as meetings of various TWIA committees unless such meetings are for the purpose of discussing personnel matters; • At any such meetings or official activities, there shall be no discussion of voluntary market rates, prices, discounts or other terms and conditions of sale without the General Manager or the General Counsel being present; • There shall be no discussion of the areas in which TWIA Board members and their respective member companies will compete for the products and services that they will offer; and • There shall be no discussion of any agreement or understanding to boycott a third party or to deal with a third party only on certain terms. Texas Windstorm Insurance Association 5700 South MoPac Expressway, Building A, Austin, Texas 78749 ● P.O. Box 99090, Austin, Texas 78709-9090 512-899-4900 / Fax 512-899-4950 TWIA Anti-Trust Compliance Statement Without the prior authorization of TWIA’s General Manager or its General Counsel, there shall be no discussion of agreements to deal exclusively with certain parties, requirements that purchasers of particular products or services must purchase other products or services, standard-setting, certification, statistical reporting, or codes of ethics and other self-regulatory activities. • Only TWIA staff shall keep minutes of TWIA meetings and will immediately terminate any discussion that may violate these guidelines. • At TWIA meetings, TWIA company representatives should adhere to the written agenda and outside of TWIA meetings should scrupulously avoid discussion of any topic that might violate these guidelines. Severe civil and criminal penalties, including fines and imprisonment, can result from violations of the anti-trust laws. Whenever in doubt about how to apply these guidelines, the directors, members, officers and guests of TWIA should consult its General Manager and General Counsel and proceed in a conservative manner in order to avoid any actual, or apparent, violation of antitrust guidelines. Texas Windstorm Insurance Association 5700 South MoPac Expressway, Building A, Austin, Texas 78749 ● P.O. Box 99090, Austin, Texas 78709-9090 512-899-4900 / Fax 512-899-4950 2. Approve the Minutes Minutes of the Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Board of Directors Meeting Omni Corpus Christi Hotel Corpus Christi, Texas December 9, 2014 1. Call to Order: Chairman Neblett called the meeting to order at 8:00 a.m. Board members were provided with a copy of the anti-trust statement and reminded of the prohibitions in the anti-trust statement by counsel. The following board members were present, representing: The following Board members were present, representing: 1. Georgia Neblett, Chairman First Tier Coastal County Resident Member 2. Cliff Craig, Vice Chairman Non-Seacoast Territory Representative Member 3. Michael Gerik, Secretary-Treasurer Insurance Industry Representative 4. Ron Lawson Insurance Industry Representative 5. Mike O’Malley Insurance Industry Representative 6. Lyndell Haigood Insurance Industry Representative 7. David Franklin Non-Voting Engineer Member 8. Steve Elbert First Tier Coastal County Resident Member 9. Edward (E. Jay) Sherlock First Tier Coastal County Resident Member 10. Gene Seaman First Tier Coastal County Resident Member The following TWIA staff, counsel, and agents were present: 1. John Polak, General Manager TWIA 2. Pete Gise, Chief Financial Officer TWIA 3. Jim Murphy, Chief Actuary TWIA 4. Dave Williams, VP Claims TWIA 6. David Durden, VP Legal TWIA 7. John Morrison, VP Underwriting TWIA 8. Amy Berg-Ferguson, Executive Assistant TWIA 9. Mike Perkins, Association Counsel Sneed, Vine & Perry, PC The following were also present: Anne O’Ryan Dalton Smith Clark Thomson Verle Petri Tom Tagliabue Auto Club Enterprises Bank of America/Merrill Lynch Calhoun, Thomson + Matza Chubb City of Corpus Christi Ginny Cross Sandra Alvarez Joseph Minor Dick Myers Glenda Myers Joan Polak Tad Delk Jeff Legare Pearl Mueller Wally Goodman Matilda Saenz Sylvia Ramirez Beverly Moore Brant Chandler Marianne Baker Marilyn Hamilton Lou Cusano J.D. Lester Camron Malik Joel Matthies Karen Meriwether Tony Gonzalez Erik Johnson 12/9/14 Corpus Christi Chamber of Commerce Guest Guest Guest Guest Guest Guy Carpenter Guy Carpenter ICT IIAT Rep. Herrero’s Office Rep. Juan Hinojosa’s Office Rep. J.M. Logan’s Office Southwest Frontier Consulting TDI TDI TWIA TWIA TWIA TWIA TWIA UPC Windstorm Specialties 2. Approval of Minutes: The minutes from the August 12, 2014 meeting in Galveston, Texas were reviewed. Mr. O’Malley moved to approve the minutes. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. The motion was approved unanimously. 3. Public Comment: Public comment was received and comments were made by the following individual: Erik Johnson, Windstorm Specialties 4. Financial: A. Report of the Secretary/Treasurer: Mr. Gerik reviewed the treasurer’s report. Mr. Seaman moved to accept the treasurer’s report. Mr. Craig seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. B. Financial Statement Review by Staff: TWIA’s results as of September 30, 2014 show net income of $190M. Direct written premiums were $392M and the net underwriting gain was $189M for the nine months ended September 2014. Year to date September 2014 written premiums show an increase of 5% from September 2013, primarily due to the 5% increase in rates for 2014. The increase of $21M of direct earned premiums is a result of increased direct written premiums in 2013 and 2014. The reduction in ceded reinsurance premium is the result of the change made in 2013 whereby the entire cost of the 2013 reinsurance contract was recognized over the six month period ending November 30, 2013. In the first five months of 2013, 5/12 of the 2012 reinsurance contract was also recognized. 2 12/9/14 Through September 30, 2014, net loss and loss adjustment expense incurred was $8.8M, compared to $96.9 million as of September 30, 2013 due to favorable loss experience so far this year. The ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses for Ike are $2.64B and $315M for Dolly as of September 30, 2014. These estimates are unchanged from the previous quarter. Operating expenses increased from $16.6M in 2013 to $20M in 2014. This is due to planned increases in non-claims personnel expenses, surveys and inspections and other expenses. The increase in commission expense and premium taxes is attributable to the increase in direct written premiums. TWIA’s other income is slightly less in 2014 than in 2013. The calculation of other income in 2014 includes $7.0 million of Class 1 Bond issuance expenses ($6.1M is for the bond underwriters discount and expenses). In addition, 2014 also includes sales tax recoveries of approximately $6.8M. Mr. Gerik asked if growth is staying around 5%. Mr. Murphy said growth was a little less than 4% for each of the last few years and staff has seen that growth decline recently. Mr. Gerik asked if there were any indications as to why growth was slowing down. Mr. Murphy said he thought one of the answers was the voluntary market was no longer ceding risks to the wind pool. Mr. Gerik asked if staff was seeing any growth demographics, i.e. closer to the water or the back end of the county. Mr. Murphy said it didn’t appear to be concentrated on any one area along the coast. TWIA doesn’t normally analyze growth this specifically, but will bring this information to the February TWIA Board meeting. C. State Sales Tax Refund Claim: Mr. Gise reminded the TWIA Board of Directors that the Association had received a Texas Sales Tax exemption in August 2012 and the effective date for the exemption is April 2007. The Association has made refund claims of prior sales taxes paid dating back to transactions occurring in August 2008. Under Texas law, an organization has a four year statute of limitations to make such refund claims with the Texas Comptroller’s office (Comptroller). The potential of the refund claims is approximately $9.9M. TWIA has received $2.1M in 2013 and $6.9M in 2014. These have been included in the respective years’ income statement as miscellaneous income. At this time, $0.9M has been approved and is at the processing center of the Comptroller’s office. We expect to receive the final payment in December 2014 and this has been included in the 2014 forecast. D. IRS Refund Claim: Mr. Perkins reported that confidential legal advice would be provided regarding this item during the closed session. E. 2014 Storm Season Funding: Mr. Gise reported for the 2014 storm season, TWIA was successful in various initiatives to secure overall funding of $3.85B and doubled the liquidity available immediately after a storm. This equates to being able to fund a 1 in 70 year probability storm event. Some of the initiatives executed included placement of traditional reinsurance of $1.05B effective as of June 2014, placement of $400M of reinsurance secured through the issuance of a three year CAT Bond effective June of 2014 and issuance of $500M of Pre-Event Class 1 bonds effective September 2014 by the Texas Public Finance Authority (TFPA) on behalf of TWIA (10 years). For the 2015 storm season, some key assumptions include no significant changes in the reinsurance market, exposure 3 12/9/14 growth and probable maximum loss growth would be 1%, $600 million would be available from the CRTF and 2015 earnings, no significant changes in the statutorily available funding, class 1 post event bonds would not be marketable and thus would not be issued and class 2 and 3 post event bonds would be marketable and issued. The result of the above is available funding for the 2015 storm season of $4.6B, which equates to being able to fund a 1 in 90 year probability storm event. TWIA will also be looking to increase liquidity by working with TFPA and their legal and financial advisors to develop ready to use documents for the issuance of Class 2 securities. It is desired to be able to reduce the issuance time from 180 days after a storm event to 90 days. The work on such documents would commence in late May/early June once the results of any funding changes from the Texas Legislature are known. Ms. Neblett commented that some reports are saying that if a storm came along, TWIA’s reserves would be wiped out. That isn’t true. Not every property TWIA insures would be destroyed and that fact is worth noting. Mr. O’Malley asked if TWIA should go back to the market to do a bond issuance again. Mr. Polak said the funding is much more stable. The Association has more predictability in the funding structure than in the past. Mr. Gerik said the Association is reliant on bond issuance. Staff was asked to examine additional options for reinsurance. 5. Internal Audit: A. Review of TDI 2012 Examination Report: Ms. Meriwether reviewed the 2012 examination report. There were a few management letter comments which will be addressed. Mr. O’Malley moved that each member of the TWIA Board of Directors has reviewed the adopted Texas Department of Insurance examination report regarding the association as of December 31, 2012 and the board hereby accepts the report. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. B. Internal Audit Activity & Status, Including Enterprise Risk Management: Ms. Meriwether reviewed the activity and status document. Mr. Lawson moved that the TWIA Board of Directors approves the enterprise risk management policy and procedure included in the materials provided to the board and reviewed with the board by the director of internal audit. Mr. Haigood seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. C. Review Internal Audit Plan for 2015: Ms. Meriwether reviewed the internal audit plan for 2015. Mr. O’Malley asked if TDI has indicated an ORSA was required. Mr. Polak said the indications were they don’t believe that applies to TWIA. Mr. O’Malley moved that the TWIA Board of Directors approves the proposed revisions to the internal audit plan for 2015 to add four optional projects to replace projects in the plan that may not be required, as included in the materials provided to the board and reviewed with the board by the director of internal audit. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. 4 12/9/14 6. Actuarial: A. Reserve Adequacy: Mr. Murphy reported that TWIA actuarial staff has completed a review of Texas Windstorm Insurance Association loss and loss adjustment expense reserves as of September 30, 2014. The analysis indicates a slight increase in both 2014 and prior years due to a change in the methodology for projecting unallocated loss adjustment expenses. The increase in the ultimate estimate for 2014 is also the result of the addition of the current quarter’s experience. Overall claims experience has been very favorable compared to budgeted amounts through the third quarter of 2014. The ultimate estimates for Hurricane Dolly and Ike remain at $315M and $2.64B, respectively. It is likely that both estimates will change as of 12/31/14 to account for recent lawsuit settlements. TWIA continues to monitor new and existing litigation activity, including recent settlements, to ensure all outstanding obligations are properly reserved. As of 9/30/14, the Association held approximately $96M in reserves for Hurricane Dolly and Ike claims, with 49 claims with lawsuits still pending. Estimation of ultimate liabilities for these claims is unusually difficult and is subject to significantly greater than normal variation and uncertainty. Mr. Murphy said it was his opinion that the Association’s reserves met the requirements of the insurance laws of Texas, were consistent with reserves computed in accordance with accepted actuarial standards and principles and made a reasonable provision for all combined unpaid loss and loss expense obligations of the Association under the terms of its contracts and agreements. While there remains a material risk of adverse development, reserves continue to make a reasonable provision for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses. Mr. Gerik asked if the reserves needed to be discussed publicly. Mr. Perkins said that generally the association’s financial statement information is public information. Mr. Murphy will work with Mr. Perkins to make sure the TWIA Board gets the information on reserve adequacy the board needs going forward. B. Policy Count/Exposures: Overall policy growth year over year through September 30, 2014 is 1.96%. Premium growth is a little over 4%. C. Annual Rate Filing: Mr. Murphy reminded the TWIA Board of Directors it voted at its August meeting to file with the Texas Department of Insurance a 5% increase in both its residential and commercial rates, pursuant to Section 2210.352 (a-1) of the Texas Insurance Code. This filing was made August 14, 2014 and will become effective January 1, 2015. D. Statutory Limits of Liability: Mr. Murphy also reminded the TWIA Board of Directors it voted at its August meeting to file with the Texas Department of Insurance an increase to its maximum limits of liability for 2015 in accordance with statutory requirements. This filing was made September 17, 2014 and a hearing was held November 5, 2014. For dwellings and individually owned townhouses, the current limit is $1,733,000 and the proposed limit is $1,853,000. For contents of an apartment, condominium or townhouse, the current limit is $374,000 and the proposed limit is $390,000. For commercial and governmental structures and associated contents, the current limit is $4,424,000 and the proposed limit is $4,606,000. On November 14, 2014 the Commissioner of Insurance issued an order disapproving the filing and, as a result, 2015 maximum limits will remain the same as 2014 limits. The Commissioner’s order referenced 5 12/9/14 cumulative changes in TWIA maximum limits since 2005 compared to cumulative increases in construction costs over that same time period in its findings. E. Reinsurance Options: Mr. Murphy reported that TWIA’s reinsurance contract expires May 31, 2015. The current reinsurance program provides for $1.45B in coverage above $1.9B retention, as shown previously, and includes a catastrophe bond in the amount of $400M. The 2014 catastrophe bond has a variable reset feature that allows TWIA to adjust the retention and exhaustion points of the bond each year prior to March 31. With the recent issuance of $500M in pre-event Class 1 bonds and an expected contribution to the CRTF of over $200M, TWIA has the opportunity to increase its retention up to $700M in 2015, from $1.9B to $2.6B. This would allow TWIA to purchase considerably more reinsurance, approaching its 100-year PML. In prior years, the TWIA Board has directed staff to purchase as much reinsurance as possible within a given budget and above a given retention. In order to begin preparations for the re-set of the 2014 catastrophe bond and planning for the 2015 reinsurance program, staff requests direction from the TWIA Board on the preliminary strategy for 2015, and specifically proposed an initial assumption of a $2.6B retention and a gross premium of no more than $117M, consistent with the proposed TWIA 2015 budget. As a direct result of the cost savings achieved with the issuance of the 2014 catastrophe bond, TWIA was able to purchase an additional $100M of reinsurance within its approved budget. Given the potential continued cost savings, staff also requests approval from the TWIA Board to begin preliminary work on an additional catastrophe bond issuance for 2015 as part of the overall reinsurance program. In the coming months, staff will work with Guy Carpenter to monitor the reinsurance and alternative capital markets, model its exposures and prepare a proposed reinsurance structure for 2015, with the possible inclusion of an additional catastrophe bond, for final TWIA Board approval. Mr. Murphy will present the options in February. 7. Underwriting: A. Policies with Outstanding WPI-8’s from Ike and Dolly: Mr. Morrison reported that TWIA is currently tracking 2,223 policies with outstanding requests for Certificates of Compliance (Form WPI-8). Sixty days prior to renewal, a notification is provided to the policyholder’s agent. This information will be updated and reported at subsequent board meetings until all 2014 renewals have been processed. B. SB1702 Implementation Status: Senate bill 1702, enacted by the 83rd Texas legislature, became law in June of 2013, repealing the Alternative Certification provision (WPI-12’s). SB 1702 also states an applicant who has been nonrenewed or cancelled by their private market insurer on or after June 19, 2009 and is missing one or more Certificate(s) of Compliance (Form WPI-8) from that time period, may be eligible for coverage through TWIA. The applicant will pay premium for basic coverage based on 110% of the rate charged in the voluntary market for wind and hail. To facilitate the implementation of SB 1702, TWIA bound coverage for applicants who met the criteria described in the prior 6 12/9/14 paragraph at the regular TWIA rates in effect. TWIA Underwriting consolidated all eligible policies to one staff underwriter to calculate the appropriate premium for each coverage period once the voluntary market rate information became available. At present, six policies have met the requirements for SB 1702 eligibility. TWIA staff members are evaluating the eligibility of a seventh application. Following the receipt of the voluntary market rate information from the Texas Department of Insurance on July 1st, 2014 we finalized the premium calculation process and reviewed the key points with the Texas Department of Insurance staff. Premium calculations on five SB 1702 eligible policies have been completed and the impacted policyholders and their agents have been notified. The sixth policy requires additional information from the private market carrier to complete the calculation. TWIA staff members are working with TDI to obtain the necessary information. SB 1702 provides that all exceptions outlined above terminate after December 31, 2015. Beginning January 1, 2016, to be eligible for coverage through TWIA, all structures must have certificates of compliance (WPI-8’s) for construction occurring on or after January 1, 1988, to certify they comply with the TWIA windstorm building code in effect on the date the structure was built, added to, remodeled, altered or enlarged. C. Customer Care Surveys: Mr. Morrison reviewed the customer care survey results. As of October 2014, 265 agent surveys were received and 36 policyholder surveys were returned. Mr. Polak commented that Mr. Morrison deserved credit for clearing out the backlog of policy renewals in record time due to better business practices in his department. The underwriting team is working with the Agent Advisory Committee to keep them in the loop about the results. D. Agent Audit Program: Mr. Morrison reminded the TWIA Board of the genesis of the agent audit program. On September 8, TWIA introduced the proposed agent audit procedure to Texas Department of Insurance (TDI) personnel to seek their feedback before moving forward with the audit program. On September 30, TWIA provided the Independent Insurance Agents of Texas (IIAT) a copy of the proposed agent audit procedure for their review and feedback. On October 6, TWIA provided the Agent Advisory Group (AAG) a copy of the proposed agent audit procedure for their review and feedback. On October 14, TWIA issued a bulletin to all registered agents advising them a TWIA representative would be contacting a few randomly selected agents for a review of a small number of their policies. TWIA’s Agent Auditor began contacting ten randomly selected agents for a review of ten randomly selected policies within their agencies. Over the following four weeks, the auditor reviewed the status of the insurance license for each of the ten agents and requested proof of declination of coverage and flood insurance, when appropriate, to test their compliance with the law. TWIA provided a survey to members of the AAG to get their feedback on the program. Based on the audit experience and using feedback from members of the AAG, 7 12/9/14 edits to the audit program will be evaluated in early December and the revised procedures will be communicated to the stakeholders office’s. E. Risk Visualization Program: Mr. Morrison reported that as of November 17, 2014, TWIA has ordered 43,660 Risk Management reports. Initially, TWIA reviewed the reports against new business applications prior to policy issuance, comparing the information received from EagleView against the submitted application, the Marshall & Swift/Boeckh (MSB) replacement cost calculations, and any associated physical property inspections and other data sources. As seasonal volume peaked over July and August, the additional task of reviewing the Risk Management reports created significant delays in new business application processing. To improve the processing times, Underwriting moved the review of the risk management reports to a post issuance review beginning in September. The most common issue found remains a difference in the square footage of the primary structure. Initially, variances between the figures provided with the application and the risk visualization program data were accepted up to 10%. Following feedback from the agent community, the threshold has been increased to 25%. We continue to provide notification to agents of discrepancies, but only require a response in excess of 25%. We are beginning to see increases in the insurance coverage amounts following notification to the agents; however, the increases do not offset the increases in the estimated replacement cost. Other common issues identified are differences in the age of the structure, unrepaired damages, missing or incorrect identification of multiple structures on a single property and identification of structures requiring Windstorm Inspection Certificates (WPI-8’s). The number of physical inspections ordered continues to decline since the introduction of EagleView in late May. The percentage of physical inspections resulting in significant finding is also increasing. F. Insurance-to-Value Plan: Mr. Polak said one of the results of the EagleView review was to bring the board information and a recommendation on Insuranceto-Value (ITV). Mr. Morrison recommended taking a measured approach on this question. It appears no legislative action is required to permit updating of the major components of TWIA’s ITV program. Recommendations to address gaps identified through this review can be implemented through modification of TWIA’s plan of operation, underwriting guidelines, underwriting procedures and policy forms and endorsements. If any legislative opportunities are identified during this comprehensive ITV review, each will be reported to the Legislative and External Affairs Committee for consideration. The ITV review will necessarily be completed in stages over the entirety of 2015, due to significant commitments already underway in TWIA Underwriting, including the continued development, deployment and support for Policy Center. The proposed goals for the program review are to establish an appropriate ITV target for TWIA policies and to reduce the variance of the ITV ratios between individual properties. Replacement cost components will be addressed by the recently established senior underwriting manager responsible for agent and vendor services, in coordination with the senior manager for data management and reporting. Insurance coverage components will be addressed by the senior manager for policy services. Both groups will work with our chief actuary to analyze the contribution of each 8 12/9/14 component and the impact of any recommended changes. Mr. Gerik requested when Mr. Murphy does rate indications, that he also factor in rate increases and ITV. After discussion, Mr. O’Malley moved that Mr. Morrison move forward with the ITV project and recommend solutions to the Actuarial and Underwriting Committee by June 30. The committee will determine if a recommendation needs to be made to the board regarding the project. Mr. Gerik seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. 8. Claims: A. Claims Operations: Mr. Williams reported claim volume is very low at this time. New claim volume was down 55% and 49% lower than third quarter of 2013. Projected new claim volume for the quarter was 1,699. Year to date, new claim volume is 76% lower than projected. B. Claims Litigation: Mr. Durden said a handful of new suits came in during the last quarter. Three quarters of the existing suits are pre-HB3 and a quarter is post HB3. The City of Galveston and Brownsville suits were settled and staff is working through the others. Trials are set for early next year, one of which is City of Dickinson. The Galveston cases are scheduled through June of 2015. Most of the cases are coming from the Mostyn law firm. Mr. Gerik asked about the number of suits regarding municipalities. Mr. Durden will include the municipality suits in the next TWIA Board report. 9. TWIA Operations: A. Operations/Management: Mr. Polak reviewed the TWIA key accomplishments document. TWIA is an evolving organization. The Association has a positive cash surplus and is in the best financial situation in recent memory. The deficit was eliminated much earlier than expected and pre-event Class 1 public securities have been issued. TWIA has maximized the financing tools available to the Association by the legislature. This is the fourth consecutive year the finances have come in under budget and TWIA remains the third lowest administrative cost plan in the U.S. Mr. Polak also reviewed the Policy Center project. B. Gamboa Suit: Mr. Durden reported the court granted TWIA’s plea to the jurisdiction. The order was signed November 21. The plaintiffs have 30 days to respond. C. Receive and Act on Recommendations from Legislative/External Affairs Committee Regarding Recommendations to Legislature and Biennial Report to Legislature: Mr. O’Malley took the TWIA Board through the key aspects of the 2015 legislative recommendations document. He noted the committee met three times since the August board meeting, the board was well represented on the committee as well as coastal representatives. Recommendation number 7 on the list was “Require TDI to regularly report to the Legislature the progress of TWIA towards meeting the criteria for removing them from administrative oversight.” Mr. Gerik didn’t like the use of the word “require.” He thought the word could be softened. Mr. Gerik thought this item should be struck from the list. Mr. Haigood agreed. Mr. O’Malley moved to strike item 7 from the recommendation list. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. Mr. Gerik asked for clarification if this meant that a conversation should occur with the commissioner regarding oversight. Mr. Polak said he has discussed the issue 9 12/9/14 with the TDI Commissioner and she acknowledged that the Association has addressed all the issues that brought the organization under oversight. However, she has shown reluctance to release TWIA from oversight. If discussions could facilitate her decision, that would be an opportunity. Mr. Gerik said with the legislative session and then storm season coming up shortly, he would like that conversation to take place soon. Mr. Haigood moved that representatives of the TWIA Board should visit with the commissioner to determine the steps to be released from oversight. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. Mr. Perkins pointed out that meetings of the TWIA board are subject to the Open Meetings Act and suggested that the motion could be carried out if Ms. Neblett were to meet with Commissioner on behalf of the board The motion carried unanimously. Mr. O’Malley reviewed item 8A on the proposed list, “Authorize TWIA to develop and adopt a depopulation program, subject to approval by the commissioner that permits the removal of policies from TWIA by private insurers through any combination of assumption reinsurance and/or offers of insurance made to TWIA policyholders at policy expiration. Adopt statutory language that makes it clear that all legal and contractual obligations under policies taken out of TWIA, whether by assumption reinsurance or at policy expiration, are obligations of the insurer assuming or taking the policy out of TWIA as of the effective date of the assumption, take-out or removal of the policy, even if TWIA continues to provide some services to the policy until it is renewed on the take-out insurer's policy.” He also addressed item 8B, “Require insureds, as part of a TWIA depopulation plan, to accept any voluntary market coverage offer, provided that a surplus lines carrier must have at least a minimum A7 rating from A.M. Best, and the offer includes comparable coverage and a premium within statutorily set parameters (e.g., no more than a certain percentage higher than the comparable TWIA premium).” After discussion, Ms. Neblett asked for a motion to handle items 8A and 8B separately. Mr. O’Malley asked for the TWIA Board to move on items to remove and then vote to ratify the rest of the recommendations. Ms. Neblett amended her motion to remove 8B. Mr. Craig seconded the motion. A roll call vote took place: Cliff Craig: No Mike Gerik: No Steve Elbert: Yes Lyndell Haigood: No Ron Lawson: No Michael O’Malley: No Gene Seaman: No Edward Sherlock: No Georgia Neblett: Yes The motion did not pass. Mr. O’Malley moved to amend the motion to reflect that the consumer isn’t forced to accept the voluntary offer, but if an offer is received by the insured and meets set parameters, the consumer isn’t eligible for coverage under TWIA. Mr. Craig seconded the motion. 10 12/9/14 Cliff Craig: Yes Mike Gerik: Yes Steve Elbert: Yes Lyndell Haigood: Yes Ron Lawson: Yes Michael O’Malley: Yes Gene Seaman: Yes Edward Sherlock: Yes Georgia Neblett: No The motion passed. Mr. O’Malley reviewed item 10 on the list, “Extend the current WPI-8 waiver program for residential property with an insurance replacement cost value of less than $400,000 through December 31, 2017 in order to give homeowners additional time to make any required improvements.” Mr. Gerik asked what the reason for going to $400,000 was. Mr. Murphy said $400,000 would cover 90% of the policyholders. Mr. Seaman moved to change the recommendation from $400,000 to $200,000. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. The motion passed. Mr. O’Malley reviewed item 11 on the list, “Consider requiring WPI-8 in all circumstances of new construction, reconstruction or repair consistent with existing WPI-8 inspection requirements for properties located within the 14 coastal counties and other TWIA eligible coverage areas.” Mr. O’Malley said he thought a word was missing, “structural” should be added in front of reconstruction and repair. The TWIA Board agreed the revised statement should read, “Consider requiring WPI-8 in all circumstances of new construction, structural reconstruction or structural repair consistent with existing WPI-8 inspection requirements for properties located within the 14 coastal counties and other TWIA eligible coverage areas.” Mr. O’Malley reviewed four items from the 2012 report that were excluded from the 2014 report. After discussion of the items, Mr. Gerik requested that staff work on the rate at which premium is earned during the hurricane storm season. Mr. O’Malley reviewed the actions by the board. Item 7 was stricken from the list and items 8B, 10 and 11 were amended. Mr. O’Malley moved to accept the biennial report, with the changes discussed by the TWIA Board incorporated into the final document. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. Mr. Gerik asked Mr. Durden if he thought of anything else needed to be included in the report. Mr. Durden said he couldn’t identify any other items to add to the report. The motion passed unanimously. Mr. O’Malley thanked TWIA staff and the Legislative and External Affairs Committee for their hard work. D. Receive and Act on Recommendations from Actuarial and Underwriting Committee on Insurance-to-Value and Other Underwriting Matters: This item was discussed during the underwriting portion of the meeting. 11 E. F. G. H. I. J. 12/9/14 TWIA Expert Panel Update: Mr. Williams reported the panel is going to conduct a peer review and determine if it is a valid model. TWIA is working TDI to evaluate the model that was in place when Hurricane Ike came ashore. TWIA met with legal counsel, claims management and defense counsel on how to operationalize this process. Hopefully, there will be a recommendation by July for a model to put into effect for the next storm season. Clearinghouse and Takeout Plans: Mr. Murphy said the portal is live and allowing access. He will provide an update at the next TWIA Board meeting. Just over 20,000 policyholders opted out of the program. Plan of Operation: Mr. Durden reported the first phase of the plan of operation rewrite is completed, which incorporated statute changes. They are analyzing the statute to determine what needs to be in the plan. In the next phase, they will go into more depth about underwriting rules and make changes that are based on what should be in the plan. The next phase will likely take place after the legislative session. IT: Mr. Polak said one of the major expense items for 2015 is changing the association’s legacy policy administration system to Guidewire’s Policy Center. Policy Center was put aside after Ike but it is being picked up for implementation again. Mr. Polak reviewed how the IT organization operates at TWIA. He explained that staff had concluded that Guidewire was the best vendor to contract with after diligent review of the finalists for TWIA’s replacement of the legacy claim system. The Guidewire Claim Center system had all the capabilities the organization needed right out of the box. He then reviewed the cost/benefit analysis of the system. In discussion with the FAIR Plan Board, the benefits can cross over both organizations. Mr. Gerik moved to approve purchasing the claims system. Mr. Haigood seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. Employee Compensation: Mr. Polak reviewed the budget for compensation in 2015. Review/Approval of 2015 Budget: Mr. Gise reported that TWIA is projected to show net income in 2014 of $226M, which is above the 2014 budgeted net income of $168M. The primary driver of the higher net income of $57M is the favorable weather in 2014. TWIA is projecting a contribution to the CRTF of $227M to be paid in May 2015 after the audited financial statements are available. TWIA is projecting a net income of $149M in the 2015 budget. The change from 2014 is a result of a higher loss ratio expected in 2015. Mr. Gise noted that 2014 was an unusually positive year with respect to favorable weather. In addition, 2015 includes a full year of interest costs associated with the Class 1 Bonds issued in September 2014. Gross expenses are projected to be flat year over year, while underwriting operating expenses are projected to grow primarily as a result of continued investments in information technology projects and continued development of new departments during 2015. The direct expense ratio is projected to be 6.0% in 2014, up slightly from the 2014 ratio of 5.6%. After discussion, Mr. O’Malley moved that the TWIA Board of Directors adopts the 2015 budget of the Association as set forth in the materials provided to the board and reviewed with the board by staff. Mr. Craig seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. 12 12/9/14 10. Evaluation of General Manager Performance, Compensation & Benefits: This item will be covered in closed session. 11. Closed Session: The meeting went into closed session at 12:09 p.m. The meeting returned to open session at 2:19 pm. 12. Consideration of issues related to matters deliberated in closed session that may require action, if any, of the Board of Directors: Mr. O’Malley moved that the Board authorize the chair and her designees to work with the TDI Commissioner to determine the TWIA General Manager’s compensation for 2015 within the guidelines discussed during the executive session. Mr. Lawson seconded the motion. The motion carried unanimously. Mr. Lawson moved that General Manager and Association staff are authorized and directed to take all actions and execute all documents they deem necessary and reasonable to resolve the outstanding refund claim for federal income taxes paid on terms set forth in the notice of proposed adjustment prepared by the IRS and presented by staff with any adjustments that may be required to correct any errors and to otherwise ensure the appropriate refund amount is ultimately obtained. Mr. Sherlock seconded the motion. The motion passed unanimously. 13. Committees: There was nothing further to report. 14. Future meetings: • February 3, 2015 – Radisson Austin Downtown • May 2015 – TBD 15. Adjourn: The meeting adjourned at 2:22 p.m. ____________________________ Prepared by: Amy Berg-Ferguson Executive Assistant _________________________ Approved by: Georgia Neblett TWIA Chairman _________________________ Approved by: Cliff Craig TWIA Vice Chairman 13 4. Financial 4A. Report of the Secretary/Treasurer 4A1. Income Statement TEXAS WINDSTORM INSURANCE ASSOCIATION Statutory Income Statement for the twelve months ended December 31, (000's omitted) 2013 2014 $ 472,739 $ 456,630 (161,499) 295,130 Premiums Earned: Direct Premiums Earned Ceded Reinsurance Premiums Net Premiums Earned $ 494,036 $ 484,049 (116,493) 367,555 100,975 (70,000) (27,000) 24,138 75,609 (8,523) 9,300 104,499 Deductions: Direct Losses and LAE Incurred Direct Losses and LAE Incurred - Ike & Dolly Ceded Losses and LAE Incurred Operating Expenses Commission Expense Ceding commissions / brokerage Premium / Maintenance Tax Total Deductions 9,703 (20,000) 0 26,731 79,014 (5,962) 9,600 99,085 190,631 Net Underwriting Gain or (Loss) 268,471 1,077 0 (147) 2,177 3,106 193,737 0 $ Direct Premiums Written 193,737 $ (182,979) 193,737 11,018 71 984 (22,830) $ - Other Income or (Expense): Gross Investment Income Interest Expense on Debt Debt Issuance & Other Investment Expenses Sales Tax Refund and Other Income (Expense) Total Other Income or (Expense) 1,074 (9,779) (7,136) 7,904 (7,937) 260,534 Net Income Before Income Taxes Federal Income Tax Expense (Benefit) Net Income (Loss) Surplus (Deficit) Account: Beginning Surplus (Deficit) Net Income (Loss) Change in Provision for Reinsurance Change in nonadmitted assets - Income Tax Rec Change in nonadmitted assets - Other Other Statutory Fund Cost Ending Surplus (Deficit) 4 A 1. Income Statement 6,939 $ $ 253,595 253,595 0 6,939 1,152 (1,400) (260,286) $ - 4A2. Management Discussion and Analysis Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Management Discussion and Analysis December 31, 2014 TWIA’s results as of December 31, 2014 show net income of $253 million. Direct Written premiums were $494 million and the net underwriting gain was $268 million for the twelve months ended December 2014. The 2014 current year earnings to be contributed to the CRTF in 2015 are $260 million. This is approximately $90 million higher than planned and $33 million higher than previously forecasted and communicated to the Board in December 2014. The improvement from the forecasted results was due to favorable weather during the fourth quarter of 2014 and a reduction in the Ike estimate. Written Premium: Year to date December 2014 written premiums show an increase of 5% from December 2013, primarily due to the 5% increase in rates for 2014. Direct Premiums Earned: The increase of $27 million of Direct Earned Premiums is a result of increased Direct Written Premiums in 2013 and 2014. The reduction in Ceded Reinsurance Premium is due to the change made in 2013 whereby the 2013 Reinsurance Contract is recognized over the 6 month period ending November 30th. In the first 5 months of 2013, the 5/12 of the 2012 Reinsurance Contract was recognized. Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Incurred: Through December 31, 2014 net loss and loss adjustment expense incurred was negative $10 million, compared to $3.9 million as of December 31, 2013 due to favorable loss experience this year and a reduction in the Ike Ultimate. The ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses for Ike are $2.61 billion and $325 million for Dolly as of December 2014. Operating Expenses: Operating expenses increased from $24.1 million in 2013 to $26.7 million in 2014. This is due to planned increases in non-claims personnel expenses, surveys and inspections and other expenses. Commission Expense and Premium Taxes: Increase is attributable to the increase in Direct Written Premiums. Other Income (Expense): TWIA’s other income is less in 2014 than in 2013. 2014 includes $7.1 million of Class 1 Bond issuance expenses ($6.1 million is for the bond underwriters discount and expenses) and $9.7 million of related interest expense on that debt. 2014 also includes sales tax recoveries of approximately $7.9 million. 4 A2. Management Discussion and Analysis Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Management Discussion and Analysis (Continued) December 31, 2014 Federal Income Tax Expense TWIA has worked closely with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) during 2014 on refund claims pertaining to tax year 2009. TWIA had recorded a $60 million income tax receivable. This asset though was non-admitted under Statutory Accounting rules which had the cumulative effect of a $60 million direct reduction to surplus since 2009. Based on a preliminary agreement with the IRS, TWIA has reduced the income tax receivable from $60 million to $53 million. TWIA has also reduced the corresponding non-admitted asset from $60 million to $53 million. The impacts of those adjustments are included as a $7 million tax expense with a corresponding $7 million benefit from the reduction in non-admitted assets. The adjustments made did not impact TWIA’s surplus. However, when the $53 million refund is received, this will improve TWIA’s surplus at that time. 4 A2. Management Discussion and Analysis 4B. Financial Statement Review by Staff 4B1. Income Statement and Expense Statement TEXAS WINDSTORM INSURANCE ASSOCIATION Statutory Income Statement (000's omitted) for the twelve months ended December 31, Actuals - 2014 Premiums Written: Direct Ceded Net Premiums Earned: Direct Ceded Net Budget - 2014 Variance - 2014 Actuals - 2013 $ 494,036 $ (116,493) 377,543 500,555 $ (113,933) 386,622 (6,519) (2,560) (9,079) $ 472,739 (116,331) 356,409 $ 484,049 $ (116,493) 367,555 487,456 $ (113,933) 373,523 (3,407) (2,560) (5,968) $ 456,630 (161,499) 295,130 Deductions: Direct Losses and LAE Incurred Direct Losses and LAE Incurred - Ike & Dolly Ceded Losses and LAE Incurred Operating Expenses Commission Expense Ceding commissions / brokerage Premium / Maintenance Tax Total Deductions 9,703 (20,000) 0 26,731 79,014 (5,962) 9,600 99,085 82,926 0 0 26,987 80,089 (8,614) 9,712 191,099 (73,223) (20,000) 0 (256) (1,075) 2,652 (112) (92,015) 100,975 (70,000) (27,000) 24,138 75,609 (8,523) 9,300 104,499 Net Underwriting Gain or (Loss) 268,471 182,424 86,047 190,631 1,536 (14,016) (1,700) 0 (14,180) (462) 4,237 (5,436) 7,904 6,243 260,534 168,244 92,290 193,737 6,939 0 6,939 0 Other Income or (Expense): Gross Investment Income Interest Expense on Debt Debt Issuance & Other Investment Expenses Sales Tax Refund and Other Income (Expense) Total Other Income or (Expense) 1,074 (9,779) (7,136) 7,904 (7,937) Net Income Before Income Taxes Federal Income Tax Expense (Benefit) Net Income (Loss) Surplus (Deficit) Account: Beginning Surplus (Deficit) Net Income (Loss) Change in Provision for Reinsurance Change in nonadmitted assets - Income Tax Rec Change in nonadmitted assets - Other Other Statutory Fund Cost Ending Surplus (Deficit) $ $ 253,595 $ 168,244 $ 85,351 0 253,595 0 6,939 1,152 (1,400) (260,286) - $ 0 168,244 0 0 1,395 0 (169,639) - $ 0 85,351 0 6,939 (244) (1,400) (90,646) - 1,077 0 (147) 2,177 3,106 $ 193,737 $ (182,979) 193,737 11,018 0 71 984 (22,830) - Key Operating Ratios: Direct: Loss & LAE Ratio UW Expense Ratio: Acquisition Non Acquisition UW Expense Ratio -2.1% 17.0% -19.1% 6.8% 17.9% 5.5% 23.4% 17.9% 5.5% 23.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 18.0% 5.3% 23.2% Combined Ratio 21.3% 40.5% -19.2% 30.0% Net: Loss & LAE Ratio UW Expense Ratio: Acquisition Non Acquisition UW Expense Ratio -2.8% 22.2% -25.0% 1.3% 21.9% 7.3% 29.2% 21.1% 7.2% 28.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.9% 23.8% 8.2% 32.0% Combined Ratio 26.4% 50.5% -24.1% 33.4% 4 B1a. Income Statement TEXAS WINDSTORM INSURANCE ASSOCIATION Statutory Expense Report (000's omitted) for the twelve months ended December 31, Description Actuals - 2014 Budget - 2014 Variance - 2014 Actuals - 2013 10,208 3,920 786 3,317 116 18,347 11,636 2,563 993 3,551 169 18,912 (1,428) 1,357 (207) (234) (53) (565) 9,843 6,024 809 4,388 181 21,244 Professional & Consulting Services Legal Accounting & Auditing Information Technology Actuarial Services Omsbudsman Program Surveys & Inspections Disaster Recovery Services Other Services Subtotal 3,056 235 1,720 10 100 1,668 237 1,197 8,224 3,379 108 1,472 45 90 1,750 234 904 7,982 (323) 127 248 (35) 10 (82) 4 293 242 3,723 213 1,350 85 81 637 224 3,030 9,343 Hardware/Software Purchases & Licensing Hardware Software Purchases & Licensing Subtotal 676 2,371 3,046 997 2,401 3,398 (322) (30) (351) 989 2,549 3,538 Rental & Maintenance - Office/Equipment Travel Expenses Postage, Telephone and Express 1,165 282 1,239 1,340 270 1,151 (175) 13 88 1,177 155 1,014 Capital Management Expenses Line of Credit Fees Bond Issuance Subtotal 0 7,136 7,136 0 1,700 1,700 0 5,436 5,436 824 902 1,931 1,125 (1,107) (223) 914 1,179 Total Operating Expenses 41,165 37,809 3,356 38,708 Capitalization of Fixed Assets Allocation To ULAE Allocation To Investing & Other Expense Net Operating Expense - UW Operations 0 (7,299) (7,136) 26,731 (536) (8,587) (1,700) 26,987 536 1,288 (5,436) (256) (766) (13,657) (147) 24,138 Personnel Expenses Salaries & Wages - Permanent Contractor & Temporary Help Payroll Taxes Employee Benefits Recruiting, Training & Other Subtotal Depreciation Other Operating Expenses 4 B1b. Expense Statement 0 143 143 4B2. Balance Sheet TEXAS WINDSTORM INSURANCE ASSOCIATION Statutory Balance Sheet (000's omitted) December-14 Admitted Assets Cash and short term investments: Unrestricted Restricted - Funds Held at TTSTC Total cash and short term investments Premiums receivable & other Amounts recoverable from reinsurers Total admitted assets $ $ Liabilities, Surplus and other funds Liabilities: Loss and Loss adjustment expenses Underwriting expenses payable Unearned premiums, net of ceded unearned premiums Ceded reinsurance premiums payable Principal Outstanding on Class 1 Pre Event Bonds Interest Payable on Class 1 Pre Event Bonds Provision for reinsurance Other payables Statutory fund payable Total liabilities $ December-13 641,550 503,773 1,145,323 1,126 1,146,449 $ 75,006 10,485 244,726 27,377 500,000 9,779 18,791 260,286 1,146,449 $ $ 439,193 0 439,193 1,039 440,231 132,959 10,366 234,739 24,745 14,592 22,830 440,231 Surplus and others funds Unassigned surplus Total liabilities, surplus and other funds $ 1,146,449 $ 440,231 Balance in CRTF $ 216,813 $ 186,183 Balance in CRTF including Statutory fund payable $ 477,099 $ 209,014 4 B2. Balance Sheet 4B3. Cash & Short Term Investments Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Unrestricted Cash and Short Term Investments ($ in 000's) December 31, 2014 Bank Total Amount of Deposits Blended Rate of Investments % of TWIA's Portfolio < 40% N.A. Bank Credit Rating Superior or Strong Tier 1 Capital Ratio > 10% N.A. Regulatory Capital > $25B Are funds in excess of the N.A. Regulatory Capital? > .2% of N.A. Reg Capital Superior Strong Superior Superior 13.4% 10.7% 11.6% 12.6% $188 $164 $232 $283 No No No No Balances as of 12/31/14: Bank of America Citibank JP Morgan Chase Wells Fargo 239,879 201,483 100,106 100,083 0.16% 0.18% 0.17% 0.15% 37% 31% 16% 16% Total of all financial institutions 641,550 0.17% 100% Balances as of 12/31/13: Bank of America Citibank JP Morgan Chase Wells Fargo 183,189 201,031 54,973 - 0.21% 0.32% 0.17% 0.00% 42% 46% 13% 0% Total of all financial institutions 439,193 0.25% 100% Bank credit rating, Tier 1 Capital Ratios and Regulatory Capital were reviewed with the latest financial information available as of December 31st at the holding company level. Rates, ratios and regulatory capital are comparable and consistent with year end National Association (N.A.) results. Please be advised that N.A. data for 12/31/14 is not yet available for Regulatory Capital but is available for the other financial measures indicated. 4 B.3 Cash Short Term Investments 4B4. Cash Flow Statement TEXAS WINDSTORM INSURANCE ASSOCIATION Statement of Cash Flows (000's omitted) for the twelve months ended December 31, Actuals - 2014 Cash flows from operating activities: Premiums collected, net of reinsurance Losses and loss adjustment expense paid Underwriting expenses paid Other Net cash provided by operating activities Cash flows from nonoperating activities: Statutory fund paid Other Net cash provided by nonoperating activities Cash flows from investing activities: Sales and maturities of investments Net investment income Net cash provided by investing activities Cash flows from financing activities: Borrowed funds Borrowed funds repaid Net cash provided by financing activities $ Budget - 2014 382,515 $ (47,656) (108,092) 7,904 234,671 $ 4 B4. Cash Flow Statement 385,913 $ (169,627) (106,142) 110,144 (3,398) 121,971 (1,950) 7,904 124,527 (22,830) 387 (22,443) (17,309) (17,309) (5,521) 387 (5,134) (6,098) (6,098) (164) (164) (5,934) (5,934) 500,000 500,000 Net increase (decrease) in cash and short-term investments Cash and short-term investments, Beginning Cash and short-term investments, Ending Variance - 2014 706,130 439,193 1,145,323 $ 500,000 (500,000) - 500,000 500,000 92,672 431,381 524,052 613,459 7,812 621,271 $ 4B5. Historical Data TEXAS WINDSTORM INSURANCE ASSOCIATION HISTORICAL DATA 1971 - 2014 ($ with 000's omitted) YEAR 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LIABILITY IN FORCE END OF PERIOD $ POLICY COUNT 278,710 739,983 1,017,048 1,064,772 1,169,763 1,387,252 1,616,220 1,633,521 1,816,410 1,936,388 2,105,244 2,285,594 2,165,231 3,178,079 4,061,660 4,510,378 4,401,486 4,266,615 4,236,600 4,248,611 4,346,209 5,155,790 6,500,165 7,645,176 8,828,140 10,001,843 10,907,937 11,633,935 11,972,502 12,052,604 13,249,407 16,003,048 18,824,457 20,796,656 23,263,934 38,313,022 58,641,546 58,585,060 61,700,891 67,452,357 71,083,333 74,186,949 76,921,369 78,763,302 TOTAL 13,415 33,577 45,743 45,901 46,365 48,747 51,382 48,820 46,128 43,613 42,495 51,034 44,894 51,311 57,181 60,028 57,976 56,773 55,401 56,155 54,145 55,471 56,921 63,348 69,807 72,977 75,361 77,261 75,947 73,815 77,022 85,668 96,420 103,503 109,693 143,999 216,008 215,537 230,545 242,664 255,945 266,726 270,814 275,626 GROSS RATE CHANGES RESID COMML WRITTEN PREMIUMS $ -5.4% 3.1% 25.0% -20% (I)/-75% (B) 30.0% 25.0% 0.2% -9.4% 8.7% 18.5% 9.6% 3.1% 4.2% 8.2% 12.3% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% -15.0% -2.1% -2.0% -22.9% -3.0% 9.0% 4.0% 5.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 13.4% 3.7% 5.4% 15.6% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 2,393 4,138 4,286 4,512 6,036 8,130 9,922 10,523 11,045 9,675 9,137 8,641 6,900 9,450 18,232 20,987 20,532 19,061 18,066 18,244 20,504 11,495 19,377 26,545 32,419 40,359 42,463 44,411 44,581 48,012 54,631 72,968 87,987 102,384 113,928 196,833 315,139 331,049 382,342 385,550 403,748 443,480 472,739 494,036 4,406,890 LOSS & LAE INCURRED $ 92 214 1,427 452 592 231 203 296 2,370 14,217 2,715 982 157,112 1,294 1,510 1,202 2,555 2,509 14,176 1,590 1,783 1,321 4,778 1,572 4,033 1,484 4,133 27,235 11,320 7,937 8,011 32,359 24,955 6,115 178,370 5,188 17,985 2,587,123 (486,314) 555,025 202,539 401,873 3,975 (10,297) 3,798,242 *2014 includes data through 12/31/14 4 B4. Historical Data EARNED PREMIUMS $ NET UNDERWRITING LOSS & EXPENSES LAE INCURRED INCURRED 868 $ 3,468 4,288 4,378 5,263 6,953 9,080 10,249 11,039 10,245 9,313 9,106 7,585 7,989 3,534 5,229 4,931 3,551 5,330 16,761 7,167 4,014 123,515 25,692 29,016 37,153 41,045 28,256 28,702 28,470 31,112 44,516 51,702 52,230 65,438 85,467 135,843 (138,560) 389,600 351,730 321,781 321,122 295,130 367,555 2,866,856 92 $ 214 1,427 452 592 231 203 296 2,370 14,217 2,715 982 157,112 1,294 1,510 1,202 2,555 2,509 14,176 1,590 1,783 1,321 4,778 1,572 4,033 1,484 4,133 27,235 11,320 7,937 8,011 32,359 24,955 6,115 178,370 5,188 17,985 1,117,123 (183,974) 252,685 202,539 401,873 3,975 (10,297) 385 849 1,099 1,106 1,417 1,878 2,258 2,329 2,178 2,079 2,097 2,095 1,937 2,493 3,638 3,997 4,091 4,066 4,037 4,171 4,343 4,220 5,161 6,982 8,119 10,627 11,038 12,181 11,524 11,681 12,936 16,584 19,682 21,911 25,277 37,138 51,768 53,759 87,899 85,598 81,665 93,583 100,524 109,382 2,328,241 931,782 UNDERWRITING GAIN (LOSS) $ 391 2,405 1,763 2,819 3,254 4,844 6,619 7,624 6,490 (6,051) 4,501 6,029 (151,463) 4,202 (1,614) 30 (1,715) (3,024) (12,883) 11,000 1,042 (1,527) 113,576 17,138 16,864 25,042 25,874 (11,160) 5,858 8,852 10,165 (4,427) 7,065 24,204 (138,209) 43,141 66,090 (1,309,442) 485,675 13,447 37,577 (174,334) 190,631 268,471 (393,167) Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Catastrophe Reserve Trust Fund Summary by Year (Amounts in Thousands) Year 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Balance Beginning 280,063 303,185 305,599 308,729 311,508 361,823 388,542 0 0 76,334 146,650 178,902 186,184 Deposits Gain from Operations 19,102 0 0 28,558 35,302 8,654 74,336 0 69,554 63,589 24,666 0 22,830 Deposits Surcharge 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6,719 6,675 7,408 7,234 7,773 Withdrawals Storms 0 0 0 (35,000) 0 0 (469,281) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Withdrawals Other (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) 0 0 0 0 0 0 Investment Income 5,082 3,470 4,197 10,285 16,076 19,140 7,469 0 62 51 195 81 63 Investment Management Fees (62) (56) (67) (64) (63) (75) (65) 0 0 0 (17) (33) (37) Balance Ending 124,847 151,284 179,020 216,896 238,221 250,403 268,563 280,063 303,185 305,599 308,729 311,508 361,823 388,542 0 0 76,334 146,650 178,902 186,184 216,813 4C. IRS Refund Claim There is no exhibit for this topic 5. Internal Audit 5A. Internal Audit Status & Update Karen Meriwether Director Internal Audit MEMORANDUM DATE: February 3, 2015 TO: John Polak General Manager RE: 2014 Internal Audit Activity Highlights and 2015 Priorities I. II. III. IV. 2014 HIGHLIGHTS Established and implemented Internal Audit function and framework in 2014, including documenting and obtaining Board approval for Internal Audit Charter, Internal Audit Policy and Procedure, Internal Controls Policy and Procedure, and Enterprise Risk Management Policy and Procedure. Developed and documented an Internal Audit Manual to define the day-to-day guidelines within which the Internal Audit function will operate. To support the framework referenced above, created a Risk Register; identified the Universe of Auditable Processes for the Association; developed risk-based Internal Audit Plans for the remainder of 2014 and for 2015, obtaining Board approval for these Plans and subsequently implementing the Plans. An Activity/ Status Report of audits/ projects completed in 2014 or underway at year-end was provided to the Board at the December meeting. Completed and issued final report for audit of Business Continuity Plan; completed 3 other audit projects on the 2014 Internal Audit Plan and determined that one project (Management’s Report on ICFR) was not required and so also closed. At year end, 4 audit projects on the 2014 Internal Audit Plan were underway (see December’s Board report from Internal Audit.) Other Activities A. Oversaw external audit of Underwriting and Claims Reviews performed by Milliman, obtained action plans from management to resolve findings, and prepared and delivered report to inform regulator of progress on management’s actions to resolve findings. B. Followed-up on open finding from SAO report issued in 2012; issue was subsequently considered resolved by the SAO based on follow-up information provided. C. Delivered information to Executive Management regarding the NAIC RMORSA Model Law, Risk Management, and Risk Identification and Assessment. D. At request of CFO, facilitated SWOT Analysis by executive leadership team as part of Strategic Planning process. Also facilitated individual functional department SWOT Analyses to assist them with their Business Planning process. These were combined with meetings to discuss the functional department risk registers. E. Assisted various departments as follows: 1. Discussed with IT and reviewed plans to update IT’s disaster recovery options. 1 2. Participated in the interview process for candidates for Compliance & Communications Department vacancies. 3. Participated in meetings with staff and TDI to discuss planning for Agency Audits. 4. Reviewed CAT Plan and provided feedback during the week-long test of the plan led by Claims team. 5. Currently participating on the team to update the Association’s Business Continuity Plans. 5. Identified the potential requirement for TWIA to file with the regulator Management’s Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting. While not required for 2014 due to premium volume, potential is that this report may be required for 2015. Met with CFO and his team to discuss next steps. 6. Met with Accounting personnel to discuss SSAE16 reports the Association should obtain from its third party vendors to ensure vendor controls are strong. 7. Arranged for Accounting personnel to attend training on how to spot fraud and discussed accounting fraud indicators. Met with Accounting personnel after the Association was notified its bank (Chase) had been hacked, to discuss next steps and security issues. 8. Reviewed a variety of policies and procedures, including the Compensation Policy, Safety Policy, Organizational Change Management Plan, and Media & Public Relations Policy, and provided feedback to management regarding possible changes & improvements. 9. Met with management and staff involved with Policy Center project to discuss data protection in the new software slated for implementation in early 2015. 10. Assisted management with drafting responses to audit findings coming out of TDI examination. Obtained action plans from management to resolve findings. These will be followed up in 2015. 11. Reviewed travel policy and discussed reimbursement policy with General Manager, Manager of Accounts Payable and Director of Compliance. 12. Training a. Attended internal TWIA 101 and TWIA 201, Learning Lunches presented at the Association, and Crucial Conversations training provided by TWIA. b. Attended 18 webinars that qualify for CPE for licensing requirements. These are offered free of charge through various professional associations and vendors and are a cost-saving way to maintain my CPA license. c. Completed all courses included in the Association’s internal leadership training/development plan. I. II. III. 2015 FIRST QUARTER PRIORITIES Begin audits slated for first quarter 2015 per the approved 2015 Internal Audit Plan (see December’s Board report from Internal Audit.) Follow-up on management’s progress toward resolving audit findings from Milliman audit, TDI Examination, and Business Continuity Plan audit and update Audit Tracker. Finalize 2014 audit projects in progress. 2 6. Actuarial 6A. Reserve Adequacy James C. Murphy, FCAS, MAAA Chief Actuary Vice President, Enterprise Analytics MEMORANDUM DATE: January 16, 2015 TO: John Polak, General Manager RE: Reserve Adequacy as of December 31, 2014 TWIA actuarial staff has completed a review of Texas Windstorm Insurance Association loss and loss adjustment expense reserves as of December 31, 2014. The analysis indicates a slight increase in 2014 due to the inclusion of the fourth quarter and a change in the methodology for projecting unallocated loss adjustment expenses. Prior years show a slight decrease due to favorable loss development. Overall 2014 claims experience has been very favorable compared to budgeted amounts. The combined ultimate estimates for Hurricanes Dolly and Ike have decreased $20 million to reflect recent lawsuit settlements and continued favorable lawsuit activity. The ultimate estimate for Hurricane Ike has decreased $30 million, from $2.64 billion to $2.61 billion. The ultimate estimate for Hurricane Dolly has increased $10 million, from $315 million to $325 million. TWIA continues to monitor new and existing litigation activity to ensure all outstanding obligations are properly reserved. Estimation of ultimate liabilities for these claims is unusually difficult and is subject to significantly greater than normal variation and uncertainty. As of December 31, 2014, TWIA carried $75.0 million in total loss and loss adjustment reserves. In my opinion, the Association’s reserves met the requirements of the insurance laws of Texas, were consistent with reserves computed in accordance with accepted actuarial standards and principles, and made a reasonable provision for all combined unpaid loss and loss expense obligations of the Association under the terms of its contracts and agreements. While there remains a material risk of adverse development, reserves continue to make a reasonable provision for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses. The complete actuarial analysis is available on request. JM Texas Windstorm Insurance Association 5700 South MoPac Expressway, Building A, Austin, Texas 78749 ● P.O. Box 99090, Austin, Texas 78709-9090 512-899-4900 / Fax 512-899-4950 Exhibit 6A Page 1 of 1 6B. Policy Count/Exposures Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Statistical Report As of 12/31/14 County # PIF # PIF 12/31/13 12/31/14 # % Liability Liability # Gain Gain 12/31/13 12/31/14 Gain % Gain Prem YTD Prem YTD Premium 12/31/13 12/31/14 Gain % Premium Aransas 7,011 7,104 93 1.30 $2,283,222,945 $2,365,753,412 $82,530,467 3.60 $15,206,085 $16,259,354 $1,053,269 6.90 Brazoria 52,198 52,814 616 1.20 $14,952,366,550 $15,273,924,851 $321,558,301 2.20 $83,988,669 $87,528,371 $3,539,702 4.20 Calhoun 4,260 4,303 43 1.00 $1,023,238,775 $1,047,826,758 $24,587,983 2.40 $7,250,141 $7,534,530 $284,389 3.90 Cameron 18,289 19,481 1,192 6.50 $5,178,995,485 $5,059,800,937 -$119,194,548 -2.30 $33,000,912 $32,143,703 -$857,209 -2.60 Chambers 6,064 6,330 266 4.40 $1,845,948,100 $1,961,845,389 $115,897,289 6.30 $10,046,678 $10,930,311 $883,633 8.80 Galveston 73,469 74,358 889 1.20 $23,282,957,077 $23,867,149,646 $584,192,569 2.50 $145,318,089 $152,470,929 $7,152,840 4.90 3,866 3,888 22 0.60 $1,105,583,407 $1,129,741,400 $24,157,993 2.20 $4,910,622 $5,125,319 $214,697 4.40 38,575 38,646 71 0.20 $9,331,136,076 $9,394,755,153 $63,619,077 0.70 $60,404,959 $61,963,833 $1,558,874 2.60 Kenedy 24 23 -1 -4.20 $8,953,344 $8,888,241 -$65,103 -0.70 $66,775 $72,509 $5,734 8.60 Kleberg 1,344 1,366 22 1.60 $337,470,078 $330,457,536 -$7,012,542 -2.10 $2,367,741 $2,387,205 $19,464 0.80 Matagorda 5,457 5,616 159 2.90 $1,248,677,832 $1,326,992,662 $78,314,830 6.30 $8,140,575 $8,821,913 $681,338 8.40 Nueces 50,473 51,741 1,268 2.50 $13,718,910,106 $14,329,631,728 $610,721,621 4.50 $86,701,849 $91,750,957 $5,049,108 5.80 Refugio 414 410 -4 -1.00 $101,010,747 $109,003,751 $7,993,004 7.90 $715,113 $812,353 $97,240 13.60 8,746 8,854 108 1.20 $2,373,234,257 $2,409,403,915 $36,169,658 1.50 $14,720,151 $15,085,144 $364,993 2.50 624 692 68 10.90 $129,664,683 $148,150,760 $18,486,077 14.30 $913,991 $1,074,122 $160,131 17.50 270,814 275,626 4,812 1.78 $76,921,369,462 $78,763,326,139 $1,841,956,676 2.39 $473,752,350 $493,960,553 $20,208,203 4.27 Harris Jefferson San Patricio Willacy Total: Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Aransas Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 122 606 223 1,337 $695,817 $3,642,822 $380,738,793 $10,099,280 484 1,163 Mobile Home 32 134 32 134 $31,807 $159,536 $6,367,066 $0 128 128 1,446 6,774 1,507 7,121 $2,577,801 $12,456,996 $1,978,647,553 $164,869,644 6,492 6,831 1,600 7,514 1,762 8,592 $3,305,425 $16,259,354 $2,365,753,412 $174,968,924 7,104 8,122 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 360 1,856 626 3,412 $1,903,227 $11,734,083 $1,202,430,892 $33,839,785 1,567 2,955 Mobile Home 33 218 33 218 $42,056 $281,762 $11,442,770 $0 201 201 11,886 53,205 12,174 54,441 $16,973,494 $75,512,526 $14,060,051,189 $1,780,657,669 51,046 52,234 12,279 55,279 12,833 58,071 $18,918,777 $87,528,371 $15,273,924,851 $1,814,497,454 52,814 55,390 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 65 366 132 651 $348,474 $1,703,319 $162,933,241 $2,313,600 307 561 Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Brazoria Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Calhoun Class of Business Commercial Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Calhoun Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 20 97 20 97 $25,325 $114,224 $4,675,140 $0 97 97 802 4,044 868 4,413 $1,089,515 $5,716,987 $880,218,377 $72,179,988 3,899 4,265 887 4,507 1,020 5,161 $1,463,314 $7,534,530 $1,047,826,758 $74,493,588 4,303 4,923 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 271 1,401 674 3,151 $2,074,181 $12,374,255 $1,626,754,535 $19,162,140 1,168 2,753 5 57 5 57 $5,741 $52,980 $2,131,084 $0 54 54 4,072 19,192 4,498 20,197 $4,205,135 $19,716,468 $3,430,915,318 $366,017,141 18,259 19,118 4,348 20,650 5,177 23,405 $6,285,057 $32,143,703 $5,059,800,937 $385,179,281 19,481 21,925 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 63 241 108 357 $354,010 $1,106,523 $108,279,735 $1,823,785 189 304 Mobile Home 12 117 12 117 $16,975 $97,912 $3,826,619 $0 115 115 Class of Business Mobile Home Residential TOTAL: Cameron Class of Business Commercial Mobile Home Residential TOTAL: Chambers Class of Business Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Chambers Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 1,387 6,290 1,436 6,518 $2,133,651 $9,725,876 $1,849,739,035 $232,591,933 6,026 6,252 1,462 6,648 1,556 6,992 $2,504,636 $10,930,311 $1,961,845,389 $234,415,718 6,330 6,671 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 762 3,707 1,461 6,845 $7,003,694 $32,768,031 $3,321,650,971 $95,567,160 2,975 5,757 Mobile Home 52 235 52 235 $72,743 $304,118 $12,052,910 $0 226 226 15,969 74,304 16,505 76,824 $25,184,783 $119,398,780 $20,533,445,765 $2,328,981,369 71,157 73,535 16,783 78,246 18,018 83,904 $32,261,220 $152,470,929 $23,867,149,646 $2,424,548,529 74,358 79,518 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 27 142 48 296 $234,563 $1,005,469 $111,203,304 $2,944,290 131 283 Mobile Home 1 7 1 7 $1,875 $7,245 $289,800 $0 7 7 Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Galveston Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Harris Class of Business Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Harris Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 874 3,935 890 4,068 $903,085 $4,112,605 $1,018,248,296 $122,918,043 3,750 3,857 902 4,084 939 4,371 $1,139,523 $5,125,319 $1,129,741,400 $125,862,333 3,888 4,147 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 323 1,761 592 3,166 $2,019,051 $10,388,402 $1,017,580,302 $43,574,840 1,547 2,876 6 32 6 32 $4,550 $52,097 $1,835,030 $0 30 30 7,695 38,845 7,989 39,944 $10,374,782 $51,523,334 $8,375,339,821 $1,018,720,173 37,069 38,136 8,024 40,638 8,587 43,142 $12,398,383 $61,963,833 $9,394,755,153 $1,062,295,013 38,646 41,042 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 0 3 0 10 $0 $30,318 $1,451,341 $0 2 9 Mobile Home 0 0 0 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0 0 Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Jefferson Class of Business Commercial Mobile Home Residential TOTAL: Kenedy Class of Business Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Kenedy Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 2 23 6 39 $1,425 $42,191 $7,436,900 $73,000 21 37 2 26 6 49 $1,425 $72,509 $8,888,241 $73,000 23 46 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 36 152 62 316 $189,943 $789,125 $83,081,209 $1,512,880 113 174 Mobile Home 0 6 0 6 -$900 $6,451 $234,000 $0 5 5 293 1,340 308 1,455 $341,839 $1,591,629 $247,142,327 $24,043,684 1,248 1,364 329 1,498 370 1,777 $530,882 $2,387,205 $330,457,536 $25,556,564 1,366 1,543 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 85 385 118 660 $359,289 $1,724,850 $167,237,402 $3,073,490 309 548 Mobile Home 5 25 5 25 $9,151 $32,481 $1,393,097 $0 26 26 Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Kleberg Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Matagorda Class of Business Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Matagorda Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 1,129 5,490 1,179 5,779 $1,463,019 $7,064,582 $1,158,362,163 $116,875,059 5,281 5,561 1,219 5,900 1,302 6,464 $1,831,459 $8,821,913 $1,326,992,662 $119,948,549 5,616 6,135 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 847 4,046 1,560 8,110 $4,390,075 $24,055,044 $2,720,187,313 $86,320,465 3,205 6,777 3 51 3 51 $3,038 $44,929 $1,814,650 $0 48 48 10,611 50,949 10,998 53,098 $14,137,389 $67,650,984 $11,607,629,764 $1,271,826,739 48,488 50,455 11,461 55,046 12,561 61,259 $18,530,502 $91,750,957 $14,329,631,728 $1,358,147,204 51,741 57,280 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 13 59 47 130 $72,367 $284,429 $27,687,850 $962,730 47 111 Mobile Home 1 10 1 11 $1,501 $14,737 $651,553 $0 10 11 Class of Business Residential TOTAL: Nueces Class of Business Commercial Mobile Home Residential TOTAL: Refugio Class of Business Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Refugio Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 60 371 63 398 $94,699 $513,187 $80,664,348 $7,005,684 353 380 74 440 111 539 $168,567 $812,353 $109,003,751 $7,968,414 410 502 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 128 508 407 1,148 $750,647 $2,744,205 $293,389,769 $7,659,145 421 1,003 4 24 4 24 $3,788 $30,490 $1,240,970 $0 22 22 1,843 8,840 1,904 9,307 $2,579,807 $12,310,449 $2,114,773,176 $238,303,490 8,411 8,882 1,975 9,372 2,315 10,479 $3,334,242 $15,085,144 $2,409,403,915 $245,962,635 8,854 9,907 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period Commercial 16 65 32 120 $79,853 $273,862 $30,760,617 $458,550 54 108 Mobile Home 0 5 0 5 $0 $5,460 $302,400 $0 6 6 Class of Business Residential TOTAL: San Patricio Class of Business Commercial Mobile Home Residential TOTAL: Willacy Class of Business Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Quarterly Liability Report End of Period: 12/31/2014 Willacy Class of Business Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 142 658 154 691 $165,308 $794,800 $117,087,743 $9,413,359 632 665 158 728 186 816 $245,161 $1,074,122 $148,150,760 $9,871,909 692 779 Policies Written During Period Policies Written YTD Risks Written During Period Risks Written YTD Premium Written During Period Premium Written YTD Dir. Liab. End of Period Indir. Liab. End of Period Policies Inforce End of Period Risks Inforce End of Period 3,118 15,298 6,090 29,709 $20,475,191 $104,624,737 $11,255,367,274 $309,312,140 12,519 25,382 174 1,018 174 1,019 $217,650 $1,204,422 $48,257,089 $0 975 976 58,211 274,260 60,479 284,293 $82,225,732 $388,131,394 $67,459,701,775 $7,754,476,973 262,132 271,572 61,503 290,576 66,743 315,021 $102,918,573 $493,960,553 $78,763,326,139 $8,063,789,113 275,626 297,930 Residential TOTAL: Total All Counties Class of Business Commercial Mobile Home Residential TOTAL: 6C. Reinsurance Options, Including Catastrophe Bonds James C. Murphy, FCAS, MAAA Vice President Actuarial & Enterprise Analytics MEMORANDUM DATE: January 16, 2015 TO: John W. Polak, General Manager RE: TWIA Reinsurance Options for 2015 Hurricane Season The Texas Windstorm Insurance Association reinsurance contract expires this year on May 31. The current reinsurance program provides for $1.45 billion in coverage above a $1.9 billion retention and includes a catastrophe bond in the amount of $400 million. At its December 9, 2014 meeting, the Board of Directors directed staff to explore various options for the structure of the reinsurance placement for 2015. With the recent issuance of $500 million in pre-event Class 1 bonds and an expected contribution to the CRTF of over $200 million, TWIA could increase its retention up to $700 million in 2015, from $1.9 billion to $2.6 billion. This would allow TWIA to purchase considerably more reinsurance, approaching its 100-year PML. The TWIA Actuarial & Underwriting Committee has scheduled a meeting on January 29, 2015 to discuss the 2015 reinsurance program, including the reset of the 2014 Alamo Re catastrophe bond. TWIA’s reinsurance broker, Guy Carpenter, will discuss the state of the reinsurance market and TWIA’s options at this meeting. A copy of Guy Carpenter’s presentation is attached for your reference. Any recommendations from the Committee will be presented at the February 3, 2015 meeting. JM Exhibit 6C Page 1 of 1 Reinsurance Planning – Texas Windstorm Insurance Association Actuarial and Underwriting Committee Meeting January 29, 2015 January Renewal Insights – Reinsurance Market Pricing Summary Structure/Coverage Changes • • Aggregate structures – Significant market appetite and increase in limit purchased Guy Carpenter 1/1/2015 Cat Portfolio – Global Property Cat ROL index fell by 11% – US risk adjusted pricing decreases averaged 10.4% (range of -7% to -15%) – Regional placements decreased between 11% and 14% risk adjusted – National placements decreased between 7% and 15% risk adjusted – Capacity remains robust. 71.5% of authorized capacity deployed (down from 74% in 2014) – Lack of costly catastrophic events was a significant factor in driving rate reduction – Global insured cat losses for 2014 ~$34B – Lowest in four years and 25% below 2013 – Expanding portfolios realize most significant risk adjusted rate decreases GUY CARPENTER • Multi-Year – Important renewal theme. 35% of placements have some portion on multi-year basis –Typically offered to “core” partners – Annual reset to adjust premium/limit based on updated exposure/SPI – Partial placements can mitigate market volatility • Extended Hours expansion of hours clause, varies by both duration and peril • Premium adjustment methods –Traditional SPI or TIV may be more favorable in current environment – Model based adjustments can align cat pricing and exposures • Terrorism –Significant talking point at 1/1 given non-renewal of TRIPRA –Indications of market flexibility and willingness to provide solutions –Extension now signed into law through 2020 1 January Renewal Insights – Reinsurance Market Market observations • Quoting behavior by Region – Bermuda Higher – London • Tiering – Larger buyers are focusing trading relationships – Core versus transactional support – Domestic – Europe Counter-party management Lower • Firm orders to quotes – 91.7% of average quote – 98.6% of lowest quote • Capacity sources – 82% Rated Capacity – 18% Non-Rated Capacity – Source of Capital (traditional reinsurers, capital market investors) • Private placements – Strategic products and bespoke solutions (by reinsurer) have gained traction – Concurrency less of a focus • M&A − Renaissance / Platinum – Up from 15% in 2013 − XL / Catlin – 2014 cat bond issuance at all time high (>$8B) − Other mergers likely in current environment GUY CARPENTER 2 Market Drivers State of the P&C Catastrophe Bond Market 2014 Summary Record breaking year in terms of issuance of twenty-five 144A P&C Catastrophe Bonds (USD$8.027 Billion) and risk capital currently outstanding ($22.868 Billion) − Includes TWIA’s $400M Alamo Re 2014-1 catastrophe bond Pricing declined 15-25% year over year 144A Cat Bond Risk Capital Issued and Outstanding 1997 – 2014 2015 Market Environment Over $3.5 Billion of catastrophe bonds will mature in the first quarter Over $5 Billion of 144A catastrophe bonds will mature in the first half of 2015, which is the highest percentage of the outstanding 144A catastrophe bonds since 2011 The high level of maturities in 2015 will continue to pressure the capital markets on pricing of catastrophe bonds to sponsors like TWIA Up to three new deals are expected to be marketed in January 2015 including the recently announced Vitality Re VI Limited benefiting Aetna GUY CARPENTER Source: GC Securities Proprietary Database (P&C catastrophe bonds as of January 14, 2015 excluding private transactions and deals currently being marketed) 3 TWIA Property Catastrophe 2014 Reinsurance Renewal Highlights • Extensive review of structure alternatives given objective risk based measurements and cost/benefit tradeoffs • Consideration given to: – Occurrence vs. aggregate Protection – Alternative retentions, layering and reinstatement provisions – Program duration – Catastrophe Bond • Achieved 45% additional limit with <5% increase in spend • Increased retention by $200m from contribution to the CRTF • YOY TIV growth of approximately 3.5% • Placement of Alamo Re (2014), a new 3 year $400M Cat Bond with a variable reset • Additional $100m reinsurance layer purchased with savings achieved from Main Cat and Bond • 100% placement on aggregate basis • Competitive placement; 10 markets declined, including 3 incumbents and more than $20M of expiring capacity GUY CARPENTER 4 Alamo Re Ltd. 2014-1 Distribution Analysis Marketing Highlights Texas only risk profile and TWIA as a first time sponsor helped secure attractive pricing and terms – Texas only wind exposure has historically been a difficult risk for the ILS market to access. In addition, TWIA’s stated commitment to the market and long term limit purchasing objectives make it a natural sponsor for the 144A market. The investor base appreciated all of these features and accordingly supported TWIA with lower pricing than initially expected, notwithstanding a slightly widening market (in general) during the time period in which the Alamo 2014-1 Class A Notes were being marketed. Transaction was broadly supported across the full ILS investor base – Texas only exposure, offered at an attractive yield profile prompted an exceptionally broadly placed book. Particularly strong support was received from traditional asset managers, not all of which were typical supporters of the 144A catastrophe bond market. Transaction was ultimately placed with more than 30 accounts, while upsizing from a an initial announce target of USD 300M to a final placed amount of USD 400M. Final pricing settled at a risk spread of 635 basis points; 15 basis points below the low end of the initial guidance range. Class A Notes Risk Capital Breakdown by Investor Region Asia Pacific, 2.8% Hedge ‐ Reinsurer, Multi, 3.4% 5.1% Reins. Ded ‐ ILS, 2.0% Trad. Asset Mgr, 15.1% Western Europe, 28.6% North America, 68.6% GUY CARPENTER Risk Capital Breakdown by Investor Type ILS Only , 74.3% 5 Exposure Summary – Year over Year Comparison Exposures Statutory Limits (Renewal Data) Total Values (Renewal Data) Total Insured Values (Peak Wind Season) In-Force Premium (Renewal Data) Modeled Outputs RMS 1-250 Year Return Period 1-100 Year Return Period Portfolio Average Annual Loss AIR 1-250 Year Return Period 1-100 Year Return Period Portfolio Average Annual Loss GUY CARPENTER June 1, 2013 Treaty Data 12/31/12 June 1, 2014 Treaty Data 12/31/13 June 1, 2015 Treaty Data 12/31/14 $81,407,714,098 $90,709,956,877 $86,000,000,000 $446,302,411 $84,446,035,582 $93,537,050,013 $87,500,000,000 $473,752,350 $86,860,108,077 $95,218,318,007 $88,000,000,000 $493,960,553 2.9% 1.8% 0.6% 4.3% $6,755,372,884 $4,276,902,758 $274,759,757 $7,480,000,653 $4,565,672,222 $274,176,221 $7,465,153,734 $4,598,314,830 $275,352,886 -0.2% 0.7% 0.4% $7,876,265,844 $5,054,955,917 $259,705,204 $7,824,895,808 $5,125,062,730 $276,489,664 $8,202,391,895 $5,190,120,145 $276,624,171 4.8% 1.3% 0.0% RMS v11 stochastic, w/ LA, w/o SS RMS v13 stochastic, w/ LA, w/o SS RMS v13.1 stochastic, w/ LA, w/o SS AIR v 14, stochastic, w/ DS, w/o SS AIR v 15, stochastic, w/ DS, w/o SS AIR TS v2.0.1, stochastic, w/ DS, w/o SS Per Occurrence Return Periods Aggregate Return Periods Aggregate Return Periods % Change 6 Catastrophe Model Results 12/31/2014 Exposure Data and Year over Year Comparison Limit Values Risk Count 12/13 Exposures $84,446,035,582 $93,537,050,013 296,417 12/14 Exposures $86,860,108,077 $95,218,318,007 297,958 Change % 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% Return Period 500 250 100 50 25 20 10 Occurrence Loss Estimates ‐ Gross 12/13 Exposures 12/14 Exposures Change % AIR Clasic v15 AIR Touchstone v2.0.1 12/13 to Near‐Term w/ DS Near‐Term w/ DS 12/14 $10,438,958,602 $10,561,642,040 1.2% $7,592,907,918 $7,657,106,152 0.8% $4,992,374,269 $4,977,682,861 ‐0.3% $2,847,290,359 $2,862,154,977 0.5% $1,475,849,759 $1,464,313,228 ‐0.8% $1,205,795,917 $1,199,191,445 ‐0.5% $513,238,850 $486,666,977 ‐5.2% Return Period 500 250 100 50 25 20 10 Occurrence Loss Estimates ‐ Gross 12/13 Exposures 12/14 Exposures Change % RMS v13 RMS v13.1 12/13 to Near‐Term w/ LA Near‐Term w/ LA 12/14 $10,172,400,021 $10,137,820,705 ‐0.3% $7,157,160,146 $7,140,935,988 ‐0.2% $4,336,186,904 $4,359,630,490 0.5% $2,770,557,883 $2,790,970,316 0.7% $1,551,154,626 $1,553,995,031 0.2% $1,256,306,421 $1,253,925,723 ‐0.2% $562,535,406 $560,614,463 ‐0.3% Return Period 500 250 100 50 25 20 10 AAL Aggregate Loss Estimates ‐ Gross 12/13 Exposures 12/14 Exposures AIR Clasic v15 AIR Touchstone v2.0.1 Near‐Term w/ DS Near‐Term w/ DS $10,668,974,096 $10,871,056,565 $7,824,895,808 $8,202,391,895 $5,125,062,730 $5,190,120,145 $3,019,562,305 $3,027,399,007 $1,598,701,490 $1,628,249,320 $1,312,640,101 $1,349,050,624 $561,887,739 $539,983,142 $276,489,664 $276,624,171 Return Period 500 250 100 50 25 20 10 AAL Aggregate Loss Estimates ‐ Gross 12/13 Exposures 12/14 Exposures Change % RMS v13.1 12/13 to RMS v13 Near‐Term w/ LA Near‐Term w/ LA 12/14 $10,423,924,422 $10,479,005,432 0.5% $7,480,000,653 $7,465,153,734 ‐0.2% $4,565,672,222 $4,598,314,830 0.7% $2,954,132,202 $2,963,639,657 0.3% $1,680,387,373 $1,676,079,083 ‐0.3% $1,362,979,540 $1,357,073,561 ‐0.4% $616,404,231 $613,288,654 ‐0.5% $274,176,221 $275,352,886 0.4% Change % 12/13 to 12/14 1.9% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 1.8% 2.8% ‐3.9% 0.0% Results include Hurricane, Tornado, Hail and Loss Amplification / Demand Surge. Excluding Storm Surge. GUY CARPENTER 7 Current Financial Picture Direct Premiums Written Net Premiums Earned Incurred Losses and LAE Expenses and Other 2014 Actual $494M $368M ($10M) $109M 2015 Budget $523M $391M $85M $118M Catastrophe Reserve Trust Fund (CRTF) Current Balance Projected 2015 Premiums and CRTF Contribution Projected CRTF $217M $411M $628M Public Securities Program Class 1: $500M issued; $500M statutorily available post-event Class 2: $1,000M post-event Class 3: $500M post event GUY CARPENTER 8 Review of Committee Objectives and Issues Impacting 2015 Reinsurance • Recent Risk Management Objectives – Grow Catastrophe Reserve Trust Fund – Increase funding to 1-100 – Limit spending to fixed amount • Discussion of Alternative Objectives • Determination of attachment point and total capacity requirements • Structural considerations – Single Season vs Multi Year – Alamo Re (2014) – Alamo Re (2015) GUY CARPENTER 9 Committee & Board Decision Tree • Desired Attachment Point for 2015……………….$1.1B, $2.1B, 2.6B, or other • Reset of Alamo Re (2014) – Attachment Range must be between…………$1.7B and $3.7B • Desired Limit – Target Amount…………………………………..$__________ – Maximize within Budget Constraint……………yes / no • Sources of Capacity – Traditional Reinsurance…………………………yes / no – Alamo (2014)……………………………………..yes – Additional Cat Bond (i.e. Alamo (2015))…..…..yes / no • Multi-Year Capacity – Reinsurance………………………………………yes / no / some – Cat Bond…………………………………………..yes • Budget Constraint – Expiring $....................................................... $__________ – Expiring % of Original Premiums………….......__________% GUY CARPENTER 10 2014 Funding Structure $4.8B, 100 Years Undetermined $3.85B, 70 Years $500 Million Class 3 Bonds and remaining funds (if any) $3.35B, 53 Years $1.45 Billion Reinsurance (including $400M Cat Bond) $1.9B, 27 Years $1.9B $500 Million Class 3 Bonds Repaid by Company Assessments $1.4B $1 Billion Class 2 Bonds Repaid by Policyholder Surcharges (70%) and Company Assessments (30%) (Class 1 Not Illustrated*) $1.9 Billion in funding from cash, CRTF, and bonds $400M $400 Million Premium and CRTF GUY CARPENTER Notes: *Actual amounts of bond tranches are subject to marketability, Class 1 bonds not in illustration on left given uncertainty of issue at 2014 renewal. $500 M pre event bonds secured in September increases total funding above reinsurance. Return Periods are a blend of current model version for RMS and AIR at the time of the renewal 11 2015 Funding Structure Options Undetermined 100 Years $4.9B Undetermined Undetermined Remaining funds (if any) 90 Years Remaining funds (Class 2 & 3 Bonds) $3.7B Remaining funds (Class 1, 2 & 3 Bonds) $2.1B $1.7B $1.1B $500 Million Class 3 Bonds Repaid by Company Assessments $1 Billion Class 2 Bonds Repaid by Policyholder Surcharges (70%) and Company Assessments (30%) $1.75B xs $2.1B Reinsurance & Catastrophe Bond(s) $600 Million Catastrophe Reserve Trust Fund GUY CARPENTER $2.0B xs $2.6B Reinsurance & Catastrophe Bond(s) 50 Years 40 Years $1.25B xs $1.1B Reinsurance $2.6 Billion in funding from cash, CRTF, and Class 1,2,&3 bonds Alamo (2014) & Catastrophe Bond(s) 20 Years $2.1 Billion in funding from cash, CRTF, and Class 1 & 2 bonds $500 Million Class 1 Bonds Repaid by TWIA Premiums $600M 70 Years Alamo (2014) $3.45B $2.6B Alamo (2014) $1.1 Billion in funding from cash, CRTF, and Class 1 bonds Option 1 10 Years Option 2 Option 3 Alamo (2014) must be reset for year 2 based on pre‐agreed terms. Alamo (2015) and/or 2015 Reinsurance have significant flexibility around final Alamo (2014) structure 12 TWIA Property Catastrophe Structure Initial Pricing Guidance under various Parameters • Total capacity requirements and allocation to various capacity providers (reinsurance/collateralized/cat bond) will have impact on final pricing which is estimated to be within the ranges above. Suggest TWIA Staff and Guy Carpenter be given flexibility to structure capacity in a way to best leverage total pricing. • Alternative reinsurance structures and formal cat bond pricing to be quoted by the market and tailored based on Committee/Board objectives • Reinsurance can be structured for single wind season (2015) or multiple wind seasons • Similar to Alamo (2014), expect additional bond purchase to be 3 year term. GUY CARPENTER 13 APPENDIX Introduction to ILS Coverage Comparison: Cat Bonds vs Traditional Reinsurance Coverage Comparison Feature Perils Loss Trigger Term Reinstatement Counterparty Risk Growth Changes Traditional Reinsurance Cat Bonds Named Storms Named Storms Indemnity Indemnity Typically 1 year, limited multi-year available Typically 3-5 years Available with and without reinstatement No Unsecured credit risk from rated counterparties Limit is 100% collateralized Intra-Year: Premium adjustments based on TIV / Model risk profile changes Inter-Year: Typically not applicable Loss Adjustment Expense Exclusions Loss Reporting / Loss Payments & Collectability Commutation GUY CARPENTER Intra-Year: 10% of growth for free Inter-Year: Annual reset to fully reflect updated exposures with feature to adjust layer with formulaic change to premium Covered Covered (through applicable adjustment factor applied to losses) Typical list of exclusions Same as traditional reinsurance with possible addition of ECO/XPL type of losses Loss Reporting: Monthly or Quarterly Loss Reporting; Loss Payments: Based on actual paid (or to be paid) loss settlement; note requirement for “to be paid” varies by contract Collectability: Subject to auditing by reinsurers; arbitration provided for in reinsurance agreements Not Typical Loss Reporting: Monthly or Quarterly Loss Reporting: Loss Payments: Based on actual paid (or to be paid in next 30 days) loss settlement; also, utilize monthly payment dates Collectability: Subject to audit by independent claims reviewer (for application policy terms and not adjusters’ evaluation); arbitration provided for in reinsurance agreement; collateral cannot be released to investors until reinsurance agreement is terminated Typically at end of extension period (i.e. up to 3yrs after end of risk period) Loss Reserves are reviewed by independent loss reserve specialist 15 Established Tool for Residual Market Insurers and Government Entities Cat Bond Issuance History (2003 - 2014) 3,000 2500 2,500 USD Millions 2,000 1500 1750 1,500 1207 1000 1,000 500 765 250 400 315 ~202 500 400 500 450 290 100 315 0 Issue Outstnd Central Re (TREIP-Taiwan) 500 Issue Outstnd FONDEN (Mexico) 96 Issue Outstnd NCJUA/NCIUA 2006 2009 250 250 200 250 450 96 200 160 2003 450 305 315 100 0 1500 850 150 0 Issue Outstnd MPIUA 2010 Issue Outstnd CEA 2011 2012 Issue Outstnd California State Compensation Insurance Fund 2013 265 265 140 140 125 125 400 400 400 250 Issue Outstnd Issue Outstnd Louisiana Citizens Florida Citizens 2014 400 400 750 Issue Outstnd TCIP (Turkey) 200 200 200 200 400 Issue Outstnd Issue Outstnd FMTAC (MTA-NY) TWIA Maturing in 2015 Source: GC Securities Proprietary Database as of January 14, 2015 (P&C catastrophe bonds excluding private transactions) Note: No residual market or government entity issued catastrophe bonds in 2004, 2005, 2007 and 2008 GUY CARPENTER 16 Established Tool for Insurers Voluntary Insurers’ Use of Catastrophe Bonds (2005 – 2014) In the last 10 years, 32 private market insurers have issued $26.955 Billion of 144A P&C Catastrophe Bonds Cumulative insurer-sponsored issuance since 1996 is recorded at $30.640 Billion As of January 14, 2015, $11.954 Billion of Insurer-sponsored catastrophe bonds are currently outstanding Source: GC Securities Proprietary Database (P&C catastrophe bonds as of January 14, 2015 excluding private transactions and deals currently being marketed) GUY CARPENTER 17 Disclosure Securities or investments, as applicable are offered in the US through GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities Corp. (“MMCSC”), a US registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/SIPC. Main office: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10036. Phone: 212.345.5000. Securities or investments, as applicable are offered in the European Union by GC Securities, a division of MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd., which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Reinsurance products are placed through qualified affiliates of Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. MMC Securities Corp., MMC Securities (Europe) Ltd., and Guy Carpenter, LLC are affiliates owned by Marsh & McLennan Companies (“MMC”). Reinsurance intermediary services are offered through Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. This information was prepared by MMCSC and/or Guy Carpenter & Company, LLC. (“Guy Carpenter” or ”GC”), the reinsurance brokerage arm of MMC. All statistical tables, charts, graphs or other illustrations contained herein were prepared by MMCSC or GC unless otherwise noted. Results from simulations and projections are for illustrative purposes only and are based on certain assumptions. Therefore the recipient should not place undue reliance on these results. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Neither MMCSC nor GC is a legal, tax or accounting adviser and makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of any data or information gathered or prepared by MMCSC or GC hereunder. Your company should therefore consult with its own tax, accounting, legal or other advisers and make its own independent analysis and investigation of the proposed transaction, as well as the financial and tax consequences thereof, the creditworthiness of the parties involved and all other matters relating to the transaction, prior to its own independent decision whether or not to enter into any agreements in connection with any transaction. This document contains indicative terms for discussion purposes only. MMCSC and GC give no assurance that any transaction will be consummated on the basis of these indicative terms and no specific issuer is obligated to issue any security or instrument on such indicative terms. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or any solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to enter into any transaction on such indicative terms. An investment in insurance linked securities is speculative, involves a high degree of risk and should be considered only by institutional investors who can bear the economic risks of their investments and who can afford to sustain the loss of their investments. Noteholders may lose all or a portion of their investment. Institutional investors should thoroughly consider the information contained herein. This document is not intended to provide the sole basis for any evaluation by you of any transaction, security or instrument described herein and you agree that the merits or suitability of any such transaction, security or instrument to your particular situation will be independently determined by you including consideration of the legal, tax, accounting, regulatory financial and other related aspects thereof. Opinions and estimates constitute MMCSC’s and/or GC’s judgment and are subject to change without notice. In particular, neither MMCSC nor GC owes duty to you (except as required by the rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Financial Services Authority, and/or any other regulatory body having proper jurisdiction) to exercise any judgment on your behalf as to the merits or suitability of any transaction, security or instrument. The information contained herein is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis and you agree that it may not be copied, reproduced or otherwise distributed by you (other than to your professional advisers) without our prior written consent. This material provides general and conceptual information about certain financial strategies, and does not discuss or refer to any specific securities or other financial product. This presentation is not intended as marketing, solicitation or offering any security or other financial product in Japan. This material is intended only for sponsors, financial intuitions and qualified investors. MMCSC and/or GC may have an independent business relationship with any companies described herein. Trademarks and service marks are the property of their respective owners. The source of information for any charts, graphs, or illustrations in this document is GC Securities Proprietary Database 2014, unless otherwise indicated. Cory Anger, Chi Hum, Geoff Sweitzer, Ryan Clarke, Jay Green and Sung Yim are registered representatives of MMCSC. GUY CARPENTER GUY CARPENTER 7. Underwriting 7A. WPI-8’s John Morrison, CPCU, AIC, SCLA Vice President; Underwriting Memorandum Date: January 21, 2015 To: John Polak, General Manager Re: Policies with Outstanding Requests for WPI‐8’s from Ike and Dolly At the June 2013 TWIA Board Meeting, TWIA staff recommended non‐renewing policies with outstanding WPI‐8 requests from Hurricanes Ike and Dolly at their expiration date, rather than using a common cancellation date. The Board approved the recommendation and requested a communication to each policyholder beginning in September of 2013. TWIA began sending a letter to each policyholder and their agent regarding the requirement to obtain any and all outstanding WPI‐8’s prior to their 2014 policy renewal. TWIA ultimately tracked 2,223 policies with outstanding requests for Certificate(s) of Compliance (Form WPI‐8) through their 2014 renewal. Approximately 49.1% of the policies with outstanding requests from Ike and Dolly failed to renew. The table below provides final details on the status of this policy group. Policy Status Inactive Policies Active Policies Cancelled policy Application rejected Policy expired Complete Pending Policies 2,223 (39) (177) (875) Subtotal (1,091) 1,132 All WPI‐8's satisfied (536) Buildings excluded (212) Reissued on waiver (384) Subtotal (1,132) ‐ Extensions granted ‐ In 60 day renewal notice period ‐ Policies prior to 60 day renewal notice period ‐ Remaining ‐ 7B. Agent and Policyholder Surveys John Morrison, CPCU, AIC, SCLA Vice President; Underwriting Memorandum Date: January 16, 2015 To: John Polak, General Manager Re: Customer Care Surveys AgentandPolicyholderSurveyResults 2014 Agent Survey Jan Received Promotors Passives Detractors NPS Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year to Date 110 63 18 26 34% 26 14 5 7 27% 32% 18 9 0 9 0% 11 8 0 3 45% 19 8 4 7 5% 13% 19 11 2 6 26% 18 9 0 9 0% 8 2 1 5 ‐38% 4% 36 17 0 17 0% 9 6 1 2 44% 6 6 0 0 100% 20% 280 153 31 91 22% Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year to Date 3 1 0 2 ‐33% 3 2 0 1 33% 0% 2 1 0 1 0% 3 1 1 1 0% 5 3 0 2 20% 10% 9 4 2 3 11% 2 1 0 1 0% 7 0 0 7 ‐100% ‐33% 2 2 0 0 100% 0 0 0 0 N/A 2 0 0 2 ‐100% 0% 38 15 3 20 ‐13% Q1 Policyholder Survey Q2 Q3 Q4 2014 Jan Received Promotors Passives Detractors NPS Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Samplecomments 11/14/2014 8 (Promoter) “Maria is awesome. She helped me complete a transaction that I had never done before. She was kind, understanding and walked me through the process. You folks are usually good to me, but her efforts were exemplary. She's a treasure! Please thank her again for me.” 12/9/2014 10 (Promoter) “They are very helpful and usually refer me to your website for further assistance; I assumed I would be able to access your website with no issues, but I'm having difficulty finding the customers declarations page to renew her policy in our files. I understand from your office that she is active and pif. Thank you, Mica” Background TWIA Underwriting implemented two surveys in 2014; an Agent Customer Care Survey and a Policyholder Customer Care Survey. By engaging both agents and policyholders we ensure vital components of the health and success of the department are addressed including agent and policyholder satisfaction, employee engagement, operational efficiency and complaint ratios. The surveys utilize a modified version of the Net Promoter format, a simple one question survey with a 0‐10 scale: “How well did TWIA Underwriting meet your service expectations?” By providing a comment box, users can include additional information on their praise or concerns and the survey asks for a policy number and a contact number. Underwriting managers attempt to contact all respondents with negative scores or negative comments. Rating 0‐6 7‐8 Detractors – Unhappy with their experience Passives – Satisfied but unenthusiastic 9‐10 Promoters – Enthusiastic about their experience Detractors 0‐6 Promoters 9‐10 Calculation # # # ∗ 100 A positive NPS is considered “good” and an NPS of 50% or higher is considered “excellent”. TWIA Underwriting | Customer Care Surveys Page | 2 7C. Agent Audit Program John Morrison, CPCU, AIC, SCLA Vice President; Underwriting Memorandum Date: January 16, 2015 To: John Polak, General Manager Re: Agent Audit Status Background In 2009, HB 4409 mandated that agents meet specific declination of coverage and flood insurance requirements on a property before they could remit a windstorm application to TWIA. The law directed TWIA to implement an agent audit program to verify that agents are complying with the mandate, and to cancel policies when it was determined the structure did not meet these requirements. The law also required that TWIA establish a procedure for suspending non‐compliant agents from submitting future applications to TWIA. CurrentStatus From October 15 through November, TWIA’s Agent Auditor contacted ten randomly selected agents for a review of ten randomly selected policies within their agencies. The auditor reviewed the status of the insurance license for each of the ten agents and requested proof of declination of coverage and flood insurance, when appropriate, to test their compliance with the law. Results from the audit found that all ten agents had active insurance licenses, and all were in compliance with declination and flood insurance requirements. Based on the audit experience, as well as feedback from members of the Agent Advisory Group (AAG), TWIA made several refinements to the audit program. In 2015, the audit will be conducted quarterly. The sample size will be doubled to 20 agents including a review of 200 policies; and all agents, regardless of their in‐force policy count, will be subject to selection. Tentative procedures were designed to handle the suspension and appeal process for non‐ compliant agents. In addition, the definition of support for declination was updated to include a commented file or a copy of an email/ letter demonstrating a company’s refusal. A company’s underwriting guidelines was removed as qualifying support. During the review, it was also identified that TWIA has no systematic review of an agent’s license once an agent becomes eligible with TWIA, outside of the newly implemented audit procedures. As a result, there is a potential that an agent with an inactive license could submit applications to TWIA without immediate detection. TWIA is working to establishing a systematic review outside of the agent audit. NextSteps In January, 2015, the revised audit program, as well as the updated definition of support for declination, will be presented to the TDI, AAG, IIAT and Legislative Offices. A bulletin to the agents will follow on the updated definition of support for declination. With approval of the revised audit procedure by TDI, we anticipate that we can start a new audit following issuance of a new bulletin to all agents. We also anticipate implementing the suspension and appeal process for non‐compliant agents in the 2nd quarter. Approval of the final audit program, including the agent suspension and appeal process, will be sought from TDI in the 3rd quarter. TWIA Underwriting | Agent Audit Status Page | 2 7D. Insurance-to-Value Analysis There is no exhibit for this topic 8A. Claims Operations TWIA Claims Operations Q4 2014 New Claim Volume • • • Projected new claim volume was 1,721 New claim volume was 623 or -1,098 (-64%) lower than projected New claim volume was -336 (-35%) lower vs. Q4 2013 1 YTD 2014 New Claim Volume • • • • • • Projected new claim volume was 11,050 New claim volume was 2,858 or -8,192 (-74%) lower than projected New claim volume was -7,738 (-73%) lower vs. YTD 2013 Chart represents information for all HB 3 claims filed since inception of HB 3 in late 2011 “Disputed claim frequency” tracks number of all HB 3 claims and the number and percentage of all HB 3 claims where the policyholder is disputing the claim disposition for any reason A single disputed claim may have more than one “type of dispute” 2014 Results: • • • 120 new disputed HB 3 claims increased total from 106 at end of 2013 to 226 (+113%) 2014 disputed claim rate was 4% Percentage of disputed HB 3 claims across all filed HB 3 claims continues to stay at 1% Comments: • • • We anticipate the number of disputed claims for all filed HB 3 claims will continue to increase as more claims are filed over time and our policyholders and their representatives become more familiar with the HB 3 claim dispute processes We project the disputed claim rate to fall within a 1-2% range over time The above disputed claims with appraisal information breaks down as follows: o 44% of claims with appraisal requests actually go through the appraisal process o 29% are resolved without going through the appraisal process o 27% are withdrawn or ineligible 2 2014 Risk Visualization (RV) Program • • Results shown for first 8 months of program 3 RV Programs for Claims: o Utilization of “Before & After” images Identify pre-loss property condition to remove damage not related to claimed loss Results for first eight months indicated in chart above o Enhanced accuracy of new claim triage, assignment, and dispatch processes Designed to ensure assignment of claims to right resource, for the right reasons (by complexity), and at the right time (get it right the first time) Reduces reassignments by >25% Identifies opportunities to avoid loss adjusting expenses through “Fast Track” or desk adjusting claim process o ITV Process – reduce cycle time/increase accuracy Low claim volume…currently not delivering expected opportunities 3 8B. Claims Litigation TEXAS WINDSTORM INSURANCE ASSOCIATION LITIGATION QUARTER SUMMARY 4th Quarter 2014 4th Quarter 2014 FOURTH QUARTER 2014 SUMMARY OF TWIA CLAIMS IN SUIT New Pre-HB3 October 0 November 0 December 0 0 HB3 0 1 0 1 Settled Pre-HB3 HB3 6 1 4 0 11 0 21 1 Closed Pre-HB3 HB3 7 0 3 0 1 0 11 0 SUMMARY OF TWIA CLAIMS WITH LORS New Pre-HB3 October 0 November 1 December 0 1 HB3 3 13 18 34 Settled Pre-HB3 HB3 0 0 1 2 11 3 12 5 Closed Pre-HB3 HB3 0 1 3 4 1 3 4 8 TWIA Claims Litigation Dec-14 TWIA Claims in Suit Category Beginning Inventory Ending Inventory Pre-HB3 127 0 (1) 126 HB3 13 0 0 13 TOTALS 140 0 (1) 139 New Closed Dec-14 TWIA Claims with LORs Category Beginning Inventory Ending Inventory Pre-HB3 16 0 (1) 15 HB3 33 18 (3) 48 TOTALS 49 18 (4) 63 New Closed No Anticipation of Litigation: 33 Residential (3 Pre-HB3, 30 HB3) TWIA Claims with Suits/LORs: Detail of Ending Inventory Settled & Funded (Awaiting closing documents and final invoices) Dec-14 Active Unsettled Cases Category Pre-HB3 HB3 TOTALS Suits LORs Suits Res. Comm. Res. Comm. 37 10 47 22 2 24 5 39 44 0 3 3 Total 64 54 118 LORs Res. Comm. Res. Comm. 55 1 56 12 0 12 10 5 15 1 0 1 Total 78 6 84 GRAND TOTAL 142 60 202 TWIA Claims Litigation Firm Byrd Mazzola Hodge Toups Clarkson Daly Allan Nava & Glander Gonzalez Ketterman Lopez Scott Mostyn Speights Remaining 15 firms Municipalities Settlement/funding issues TOTALS Pre-HB3 26 1 0 1 0 4 2 1 1 0 3 3 8 14 0 64 HB3 0 0 3 5 4 0 1 2 26 1 0 0 12 0 0 54 TWIA Active Claims with Suits/LORs: County of Loss Location Dec-14 Dec-14 TWIA Active Claims with Suits/LORs: Breakdown by Plaintiff Firm County Aransas Brazoria Cameron Chambers Galveston Jefferson Nueces San Patricio TOTALS Pre-HB3 1 7 7 3 18 7 19 2 64 HB3 0 2 32 3 11 3 2 1 54 Total 1 9 39 6 29 10 21 3 118 Total 26 1 3 6 4 4 3 3 27 1 3 3 20 14 0 118 9. TWIA Operations 9A. Operations/Management TWIA Key Accomplishments Financial • Projected to contribute approximately $260 million to the CRTF as a result of 2014 operations, bringing the balance to over$475 million for the 2015 storm season • Secured the highest level of funding for the 2014 hurricane season since 2008, with up to $3.85 billion in total funds available to pay claims – over $1 billion more than the total projected cost of Ike • Issued $500M in pre-event Class 1 public securities to provide immediate claims-paying capacity after a storm and additional protection to coastal residents, with no associated impact on rates • Issued the Association’s first catastrophe bond as part of the overall reinsurance program, diversifying and expanding claims-paying capacity • Performed below budget on controllable expenses for the fourth consecutive year rd • Maintained the 3 lowest cost per policy in 2013 of the 37 U.S. FAIR plans and wind pools, despite being the 2nd largest plan nationwide Communications & Transparency • Began new website development to provide stakeholders with a better web experience and easier access to information • Implemented quarterly Agent Advisory Group meetings to improve communications with agents and soliciting input for process improvements • Created an Agent Services team to serve as a help desk for agents during the implementation of Policy Center • Increased frequency of coastal outreach events to educate communities about TWIA’s mission, vision, and operations • Scheduled TDI quarterly outreach presentations for the 2nd year • Developing Legislative and Media briefing materials to provide timely, accurate information • Developed depopulation process based on extensive input from a diverse stakeholder committee to provide policy data to carriers in order to offer TWIA policyholders voluntary alternatives Texas Windstorm Insurance Association 5700 MoPac Expressway, Building A, Austin TX 78745 | 512-899-4900 | www.twia.org Management, Controls & Accountability • Received positive results from TDI audit and independent audit of Underwriting and Claims operations in October 2014, with no material weaknesses or issues found in operational or financial controls • Addressed 100% of HB-3 required changes in TWIA operations • Developed extensive controls and detailed financial and operational metrics to measure and evaluate performance at every level in the Association • Implemented policyholder and agent satisfaction surveys with increasingly positive results • Instituted comprehensive performance management program to ensure outcome-focused accountability and credible, objective criteria to align compensation with performance • Hired an internal auditor to report to the Board and facilitate informed governance through independent validation of the Association’s compliance and risk management practices Operational Efficiency • Enhanced the Catastrophe Plan, which includes contracted vendor commitments for up to 6,626 field adjusters and 745 desk examiners – sufficient to handle claim volume associated with a 100-year event • Simplified underwriting workflows to eliminate seasonal backlogs and prevent them from occurring in the future. • Developed training programs to promote a learning and continuously improving organization, including the first extensive new hire orientation, online business skills training, and manager-specific skills training • Completed initial development of Policy Center and implemented a systematic approach to manage and communicate the change to stakeholders • Reduced claims cycle time from 30+ days in 2011 to fewer than 8 in 2014; more than 50% less than the industry average • Implemented risk visualization – a more efficient underwriting inspection process that improves assessments of insurability and premium accuracy As of 12/31/2014 9B. Amendments to Plan of Operation David Durden Vice President, Legal MEMORANDUM Date: January 21, 2015 To: John Polak, General Manager Subject: Plan of Operation Phase 1 of the revision to the TWIA Plan of Operation (Plan) is complete. This project was initiated after the Texas Department of Insurance suggested that TWIA consider a comprehensive revision of the Plan. The overall goal of the revision is to update the Plan, make the Plan more readable, user friendly, internally consistent and eliminate any unnecessary duplication. Staff and Mr. Perkins, consulted with TDI staff and agreed that the project should be accomplished with a phased approach. Phase 1 incorporates statutory changes that are not reflected in the current Plan, ensures that the Plan contains the provisions required to provide for the efficient, economical, fair and nondiscriminatory administration of TWIA and improves the readability of the Plan. Page 2 provides a summary of the changes contained in Phase 1 Phase 2 will include a comprehensive review of our underwriting processes to determine which provisions need to be included in the Plan and ensuring that the provisions are readable, and internally consistent. Phase 2 will begin in June 2015. Page 1 of 2 Summary of Changes to the TWIA Plan of Operation 1) Contents of the Plan of Operation – Section 2210.152 and other provisions of 2210 require the plan to address specific issues. a. Provisions in the plan that were not required to be included were moved out of the Plan of Operation. i. Coastal Outreach and Assistance Services Team (COAST) Program ii. Appraisal Process iii. Mediation Process iv. Expert Panel v. Windstorm Inspection Manual vi. Appointment of Qualified Engineers and Qualified Inspectors b. Sections in other divisions of the code were moved into the plan of operation i. Additional Requirements ii. Declination of Coverage iii. Flood Insurance iv. Minimum Retained Premium 2) Streamlining Plan Language - Readability a. Revised the organization of Division 1, improved the structure by providing specific section references resulting in an improved Table of Contents b. Eliminated provisions of the plan that merely duplicated language in the Insurance Code. Examples include the provisions regarding the Board of Directors and membership of the association c. Revised sections throughout the Plan to make them more concise. d. Eliminated outdated, unnecessary language 3) Incorporated Latest Statutory Changes a. HB 4409 (enacted in 2009) b. HB 3 (enacted in 2011) Page 2 of 2 9C. Gamboa Case David Durden Vice President, Legal MEMORANDUM Date: January 15, 2015 To: John Polak, General Manager Subject: Gamboa Update On December 12, 2014 TWIA received Plaintiff’s notice of appeal in the Gamboa matter. You will recall that the district court in Travis County granted our plea to the jurisdiction and dismissed the case by order signed on November 21, 2014. On January 9, 2015 we received notice that the case has been transferred to the Amarillo Court of Appeals. The transfer was purely administrative; part of an effort by the Texas Supreme Court to equalize the dockets among the courts of appeal. A general timeline for the appeals process is as follows: Filing of Appellate Record—60 days after the judgment was signed. The deadline for the trial court to file the appellate record is 60 days after the judgment was signed (November 21, 2014). The governing rules allow this deadline to be extended when requested by the trial court. The record will likely be filed sometime in January or early February. Gamboa’s Opening Brief Due—30 days after the appellate record is filed. Gamboa’s opening brief will be due 30 days after the appellate record is filed. This deadline will likely fall in mid-February or early March. Gamboa may request one or more 30-day extensions and such requests are generally granted. Depending on extensions, Gamboa’s brief will likely be due sometime between mid-February and mid-May. TWIA’s Response Brief Due—30 days after Gamboa’s brief is filed. TWIA’s response brief will be due 30 days after Gamboa files his opening brief. TWIA can likewise request extensions, so our brief may be due anywhere from March to sometime in late summer of 2015. Gamboa’s Reply Brief Due—20 days after TWIA’s brief is filed. Gamboa’s reply brief will be due 20 days after TWIA files its response brief. Gamboa may also request extensions so this deadline could be anywhere from April to early fall of 2015 given the possibility of extensions. Texas Windstorm Insurance Association 5700 South MoPac Expressway, Building A, Austin, Texas 78749 ● P.O. Box 99090, Austin, Texas 78709-9090 512-899-4900 / Fax 512-899-4950 Once all the briefing is in, the Court may grant oral argument and then it will consider the case and issue an opinion. We do not know when after briefing is complete that a decision will be made, but court statistics suggest it will be around two to three months. Court statistics also show that, on average, appeals take around a year from filing to disposition, and potentially longer if the court grants oral argument. Texas Windstorm Insurance Association 5700 South MoPac Expressway, Building A, Austin, Texas 78749 ● P.O. Box 99090, Austin, Texas 78709-9090 512-899-4900 / Fax 512-899-4950 9D. Depopulation There is no exhibit for this topic 9E. IT Completed Phases Acquire “Vendor Management” Inception “Financial & Resources” Planned remaining Milestones: Develop “Software Development” User Acceptance Testing April 2015 Policy Center (Residential) & EDW May 1, 2015 Stabilize “User Acceptance” Deploy “Production” Ongoing Jan-Apr, 2015 May-1, 2015 • Agent Training begins March 16th • New Business effective May 1st and later • Staff Training begins Jan 21st • Renewals effective July 1st and later Current Website What it could look like Key Milestones Inception Development Deploy TWIA.org Plan Date January 20, 2015 April 15, 2015 May 1, 2015 10. 84th Texas Legislature There is no exhibit for this topic 14. Future Meetings May 5, 2015 – Hyatt Regency, Austin August 2015 - TBD