RABI FERTILIZER SITUATION: MID FEBRUARY 2013 Executive Summary 1. SUPPLY/DEMAND SITUATION 1.1 Fertilizer Offtake during January 2013 The provisional data reveal that the total nutrient offtake during January 2013 was about 293 thousand tonnes compared to 309 thousand tonnes during January 2012, showing a decrease of 5.4 per cent. Nitrogen offtake was 260 thousand tonnes which decreased by 10.9 percent whereas phosphate and potash offtake was 32.0 and 1.0 thousand tonnes which increased by 91.0 and 5.0 per cent, respectively over January 2012. In fertilizer product terms, urea offtake during January 2013 was 517 thousand tonnes, which witnessed a downward trend of 15.2 per cent and DAP offtake was 53 thousand tonnes, which registered an increase of 165.4 per cent as compared to January 2012. 1.2 Fertilizer offtake during Rabi 2012-13 (October-January) Total fertilizer nutrient offtake during Rabi 2012-13 (October-January) was about 1,488 thousand tonnes, which decreased by 1.1 per cent compared with same timeframe of last Rabi 2011-12. Offtake of nitrogen, decreased by 6.8 percent, whereas phosphate and potash offtake increased by 23.9 and 4.3 per cent respectively as compared to Rabi 2011-12. In product terms, urea offtake was 2031 thousand tonnes during Rabi 2012-13 (Oct-Jan) which decreased by 11.4 per cent while DAP offtake was 612 thousand tonnes which increased by 21.5 per cent over same time frame of Rabi 2011-12. 1.3 Fertilizer Production and Imported Supplies Total production of all fertilizer products during January 2013 was about 476 thousand tonnes. Out of this, urea was 339 thousand tonnes, which is 71.2 per cent of the total production. DAP production was 58 thousand tonnes which shares 12.3 per cent of the total production. The other products were CAN 39 thousand tonnes, Nitrophos 30 thousand tonnes and SSP 6 thousand tonnes. Imported supplies were 46 thousand tonnes which includes 44 thousand tonnes DAP and 2.2 thousand tonnes of SOP during January 2013. 2. PRICE TREND Domestic: Prices of urea (Sona) increased by 1.8 per cent during January 2013 whereas that of urea (tara) increased by 1.6 per cent (Table 6) respectively. The price of SSP (G) decreased by 2.5 percent as compared to December 2012. The price of DAP and other fertilizers remain stable with minor fluctuation during January 2013. International: The prices Fob bulk yuzhny urea fluctuated from US $ 375 to 405/t (Table 7). FOB Prilled bulk Middle East price was quoted at US $ 395 to 412/ton. DAP prices in US Gulf were quoted around US $ 455-475/ton fob bulk. MAP and SOP prices were recorded in the range of US $ 480-510 and 595-600/ton, respectively during January, 2013. Ex-Karachi price of urea was in the range of Rs.2593 to Rs. 2977 per 50 kg bag, while Ex-Karachi price of DAP was in the range of Rs.3308 to Rs. 3752 per 50 kg bag. 3. OUTLOOK FOR RABI 2012-13 During Rabi 2012-13, total availability of urea is estimated to be around 3,037 thousand tones. This includes 302 thousand tonnes of imported supplies, 2,051 thousand tonnes of domestic production and 684 thousand tonnes of opening inventory. The estimated offtake during Rabi 2012-13 is expected to be 2,831 thousand tonnes leaving behind 196 thousand tonnes of opening balance for coming Kharif 2013. As regards DAP total availability is estimated around 938 thousand tonnes during Rabi 2012-13. This includes 227 thousand tonnes of opening stock, 327 thousand tonnes of imported supplies and 384 thousand tonnes of domestic production. The estimated offtake of DAP would be 702 thousand tonnes, leaving a closing balance of 230 thousand tonnes. 2 MRR NO. 2/2013 RABI FERTILIZER SITUATION: MID FEBRUARY 2013 1. INTRODUCTION This note reviews the product-wise and nutrient-wise fertilizer supply/demand situation during January 2013, the 4th month of Rabi 2012-13 season, and presents an outlook for the remaining two months in respect of urea and DAP. It includes the average domestic retail and international prices of fertilizer products, namely urea, DAP, TSP, MAP and SOP. A brief weather situation during the month has also been given. 2. FERTILIZER OFFTAKE DURING JANUARY, 2013 Total nutrient offtake during January 2013 was about 293 thousand tonnes, which decreased by 5.4 per cent over January 2012. The offtake of nitrogen was about 260 thousand tonnes, which decreased by 10.9 per cent over January 2012. Phosphate offtake was about 32 thousand tonnes, which increased by 91.0 per cent. Potash offtake also witnessed an increase of 5.0 per cent. In product terms, urea offtake was 517 thousand tonnes, witnessing a decrease of 15.2 per cent. Offtake of DAP was about 53 thousand tonnes, which increased by 165.4 per cent over January 2012 (Table 1). Table 1. Fertilizer Offtake during January 2013 compared with previous years (‘000 tonnes) Per cent change in Nutrient/ January January January January January Product 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2013 over 2012 Nitrogen 294 276 209 292 260 -10.9 Phosphate 30 54 34 17 32 91.0 Potash 2 3 3 1 1 5.0 Total 326 333 246 309 293 -5.4 Urea 599 546 394 610 517 -15.2 DAP 44 92 59 20 53 165.4 Details are given in Annex-1 & 2. 3. CUMULATIVE FERTILIZER OFFTAKE DURING RABI 2012-13 (OCTOBER 2012 – JANUARY 2013) Aggregated data in Table 2 reveal that the cumulative fertilizer nutrient offtake during October, 2012 to January 2013, was 1,488 thousand tonnes showing a decrease of 1.1 per cent over the 3 same timeframe of last Rabi 2011-12. Out of total offtake, nitrogen was 1,136 thousand tonnes, (-6.8 per cent). Phosphate 345 thousand tonnes (+23.9 per cent) and potash 8 thousand tonnes (+4.3 per cent) Table 2. Data in Table 2 also indicate that urea and DAP offtake was 2,031 thousand tonnes (-11.4 per cent) and 612 thousand tonnes (+21.5 per cent over same time frame of Rabi 2011-12). Table 2. Cumulative Fertilizer offtake during Rabi 2012-13 versus Rabi 2011-12 (October-January) Nutrient Season Nitrogen Phosphate ('000 tonnes) Product Total Potash Nutrients Urea DAP Rabi 2011-12 (October-January) 1219 278 8 1505 2292 504 Rabi 2012-13 (October-January) 1136 345 8 1488 2031 612 Percent change -6.8 23.9 4.3 -1.1 -11.4 21.5 Details are presented in Annex-1 & 2. 4. FERTILIZER PRODUCTION AND IMPORTS About 476 thousand tonnes of different fertilizer products were produced in the country during January 2013. Out of this urea production was 339 thousand tonnes, which is 71.2 per cent of the total production. Other produced were: DAP 58, Nitrophos 30, CAN 39 and SSP 6 thousand tonnes. About 4 thousand tonnes of different blends of NPKs were also produced. About 44 thousand tonnes of DAP and 2.2 thousand tonnes of SOP were supplied through imports during January, 2013 (Table 3). Table 3. Fertilizer production and imported supplies during January 2013 Description Urea DAP NP CAN SSP NPKs SOP Production 339 58 30 39 6 4 - Percent share 71.2 12.3 6.3 8.2 1.3 0.7 - - - - 44 - - - - 2.2 - 0 Import MOP MAP (‘000 tonnes) TSP Total - 476 - 100 46 Details are given in Annex-3, 4 & 6. 5. PROVINCE-WISE UREA AND DAP OFFTAKE DURING JANUARY, 2013 Urea offtake in Punjab increased by 2.7 percent whereas in Sindh, KPK and Balochistan its offtake was decreased by 54.3, 35.3 and 44.2 percent respectively as compared to January 2012. 4 DAP offtake was increased in Punjab, Sindh, KPK and Balochistan by 101.2, 33.7, 14.3 and 112.1 percent respectively over January 2012 (Table 4). Table 4. Province-wise urea and DAP offtake during January, 2013 compared with previous years. January January January January January (‘000 tonnes) Per cent change 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 in 2010 over 2009 Punjab 426 418 UREA 280 398 409 2.7 Sindh KPK 122 40 86 27 76 22 135 42 62 27 -54.3 -35.3 Balochistan 11 16 16 35 20 -44.2 Total 599 547 394 610 517 -15 -9 -28 55 -15 21 42 101.2 5 2 7 2 33.7 14.3 Province Per cent change over previous year Punjab 34 67 DAP 40 Sindh KPK 7 3 20 2 17 2 Balochistan 0 2 1 1 2 112.1 Total 44 91 60 29 53 84 107 -34 -52 84 Per cent change over previous year 6. SUPPLY/DEMAND SITUATION DURING JANUARY 2013 6.1. Urea Total urea availability during January 2013 was about 773 thousand tonnes, including an opening balance of 434 thousand tonnes and domestic production of 339 thousand tonnes (Table 5). Urea offtake during January 2013 was 517 thousand tonnes. The closing balance at the end of January 2013 was 256 thousand tones. 6.2. DAP Total DAP availability was 258 thousand tonnes during the month under review. It comprised 156 thousand tonnes of opening balance, 44 thousand tonnes imported supplies and 58 thousand tonnes of domestic production (Table 5). DAP offtake was about 53 thousand tonnes. The closing balance works out to be 198 thousand tonnes. 5 7. OUTLOOK FOR RABI 2012-13 During Rabi 2012-13, total 3,037 thousand tonnes of urea (estimated) would be available. This includes 302 thousand tonnes imported supplies, 2,051 thousand tonnes of domestic production and 684 thousand tonnes of opening inventory. The estimated offtake during the season would be around 2,831 thousand tonnes leaving behind 196 thousand tonnes of estimated balance (Table 5) for coming Kharif 2013. As regards DAP, 327 thousand tonnes would be supplied through imports. The domestic production of DAP during the current season would be 384 thousand tonnes and opening inventory was 227 thousand tonnes making total availability of 938 thousand tonnes. The estimated offtake would be around 702 thousand tonnes. The estimated opening inventory of DAP for next season would be around 230 thousand tonnes. Table 5. Urea and DAP supply/demand situation during Rabi 2012-13 (‘000 tonnes) Description OCT* NOV* DEC* JAN* FEB** MAR** TOTAL UREA Opening inventory 684 882 1025 434 256 176 684 Imported supplies 92 106 4 0 0 100 302 Domestic production* 340 370 362 339 320 320 2051 Total availability 1116 1358 1391 773 576 596 3037 Offtake 234 327 953 517 400 400 2831 0 -6 -4 0 0 0 -10 882 1025 434 256 176 196 196 Write off/on Estimated inventory DAP Opening inventory 227 257 159 156 198 208 227 Imported supplies 146 83 54 44 0 0 327 Domestic production 68 67 69 58 60 62 384 Total availability 441 407 282 258 258 270 938 Offtake 184 249 126 53 50 40 702 0 0 0 -7 0 0 -7 257 159 156 198 208 230 230 Write off/on Estimated inventory * Actual. ** Estimated. * Production is based on assumption that there is 12% gas curtailment on Mari & all SNGPL, based plants will remain closed. Data up to January are actual while onward are estimates. 6 8. FERTILIZER PRICES 8.1 Domestic fertilizer prices during January 2013 Average fertilizer market prices in the country during January 2013 are presented in Table 6. The prices of urea (sona), urea (tara) increased by 1.8 per cent and 1.6 per cent, over last month prices while price of SSP (G) decreased by 2.5 percent and DAP 0.4 per cent over December 2012 prices. The price of all other fertilizers remained stable with minor fluctuation during the month under review. Table 6. Average Fertilizer Retail Prices in January, 2013 Compared with December, 2012 December 2012 January 2013 ( Rs. Per 50 Kg Bag ) Percent change Urea Sona 1692 1723 1.8 Urea tara 1673 1700 1.6 DAP 3969 3955 -0.4 TSP 3100 3100 0.0 NP 2563 2587 0.9 SSP (Powdered) 1100 1100 0.0 SSP (Granular) 1145 1116 -2.5 CAN 1434 1437 0.2 Product SOP 3954 3950 Source: Federal Bureau of Statistics/National Fertilizer Development Centre. 8.2 -0.1 International prices during January 2013 The prices of Fob bulk yuzhny urea fluctuated from US $ 375 to 405/t (Table 7). FOB Prilled bulk Middle East price was quoted from US $ 395 to 412/t. DAP prices in US Gulf were quoted around US $ 465-475/t fob bulk. MAP and SOP prices were recorded in the range of US $ 480510 and 595-600 per tonnes, respectively during January, 2013. Ex-Karachi price of urea was in the range of Rs.2593 to Rs. 2830 per 50 kg bag, while Ex-Karachi price of DAP was in the range of Rs.3308 to Rs. 3752 per 50 kg bag. 7 Table 7. Terms/Port (FOB) International prices during January, 2013 03-Jan (1st week) US $ per MT 10-Jan 17-Jan (2nd week) (3rd week) 24-Jan (4th week) (Rs. per bag) Ex-Karachi Price of Imported Fertilizer UREA Yuzhny 375-383 381-395 393-402 398-405 2593-2977 (Prilled Bulk) (385-387) (369-385) (372-377) (372-377) (2554-2862) Arabian Gulf 395-400 400-405 400-410 410-412 2721-2830 (Prilled Bulk) (395-400) (395-400) (395-400) (395-400) (2721-2753) DAP US Gulf 468-475 465-470 460-465 455-465 3612-3752 (Bulk) (470-480) (470-480) (475-480) (475-480) (3717-3787) China 530-540 515-520 515-520 490-500 3308-3626 (Bulk) (530-540) (530-540) (530-540) - (3371-3562) MAP Baltic 500-510 480-510 480-510 480-510 3371-3562 (Bulk) (500-530) (500-520) (500-510) (500-510) (3498-3689) TSP Tunisia 440-445 480-510 440-445 400-420 2862-3562 (Bulk) (485-495) (440-445) (440-445) (440-445) (3117-3467) SOP* US Gulf 595-600 595-600 595-600 595-600 4166-4198 (Bulk) (595-600) (595-600) (595-600) (595-600) (4166-4198) Source: Fertilizer Industry. * US $ per short tonne (907 kg) 9. Figures in parenthesis are for December, 2012, *(10-20 $ premium for granular) WEATHER SITUATION DURING JANUARY 2013 Three westerly waves passed across the country during the month. Due to which light to moderate rain with snowfall over hills has been reported from the agricultural plains of Punjab, Kashmir, Gilgit Baltistan, KPK and northwest Balochistan. Mostly dry weather/meager rain has been reported from agricultural plains of Sindh during the month. 8 Table 8. Rainfall data during January 2013 compared with January 2012 ‘mm’ Station Peshawar Kamra Rawalpindi Jhelum Sargodha Lahore D.I. Khan Faisalabad Multan Khanpur Quetta Rohri Hyderabad Gilgit Sakardu January 2012 January 2013 Per cent change 1.0 0.7 41.9 9.0 9.0 1.3 13.8 9.0 2.7 6.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sourc: National Agromet. Centre, Islamabad Dated: February 26, 2013 ANNEXES 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Month-wise nutrient offtake during Rabi 2012-13 compared with previous seasons. Month-wise Urea and DAP offtake during Rabi 2012-13 compared with previous seasons. Month-wise nutrient offtake during year 2012-13 compared with previous years Month-wise Urea and DAP offtake during year 2012-13 compared with previous years Plant-wise production, sales and stock position (January 2013). Company-wise imports, sales and stock position (January 2013). Total sales and stock position (January 2013). Province-wise and product-wise offtake of domestically produced fertilizers (January 2013). Province-wise and product-wise offtake of imported fertilizers (January 2013). Total province-wise and product-wise offtake of fertilizers (January 2013). Fertilizer production by product and manufacturer (2012-13). Rainfall (2012-13) 9 ANNEX-1 MONTH-WISE NUTRIENT OFFTAKE DURING RABI 2012-13 COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS SEASONS (Tonnes) Month/ Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Percent Season 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Change -32.0 TOTAL NUTRIENTS (N+P2O5+K2O) October 390,351 305,436 499,783 396,068 269,275 November 336,822 445,482 569,148 348,223 360,153 3.4 December 323,966 584,282 395,263 451,127 566,392 25.6 -5.4 January 325,430 332,994 245,650 309,366 292,560 Sub Total 1,376,569 1,668,194 1,709,844 1,504,784 1,488,380 -1.1 February 294,839 271,694 260,072 92,632 229,809 148.1 March 292,522 246,729 244,811 180,061 241,031 33.9 Total 1,963,930 2,186,617 2,214,727 1,777,477 1,959,220 10 11 1 -20 10 Percent change NITROGEN October 260,836 230,499 286,660 288,445 159,990 -44.5 November 245,930 295,665 464,675 259,616 222,006 -14.5 December 287,147 475,137 333,537 378,733 493,432 30.3 January 294,092 276,351 208,512 292,339 260,477 -10.9 Sub Total 1,088,005 1,277,652 1,293,384 1,219,133 1,135,905 -6.8 February 248,101 227,341 218,147 80,272 193,465 141.0 March 243,546 217,394 217,026 148,616 206,646 39 Total 1,579,652 1,722,387 1,728,557 1,448,021 1,536,016 6.1 9 0 -16 6.1 Percent change Ministe HOSPHATE October 126,536 73,060 209,676 104,783 105,776 0.9 November 89,403 148,893 101,579 86,467 136,445 57.8 December 36,532 108,588 58,398 70,248 70,785 0.8 January 29,752 53,772 33,855 16,526 31,557 91.0 Sub Total 282,223 384,313 403,508 278,024 344,563 23.9 February 43,624 40,313 39,842 11,403 33,796 196.4 March 47,796 26,613 24,791 30,070 32,318 7.5 Total 373,643 451,239 468,141 319,497 410,676 28.5 4 -32 28.5 Percent change 21 POTASH October 2,979 1,877 3,447 2,800 3,509 25.3 November 1,489 923 2,894 2,140 1,702 -20.5 December January 288 557 3,328 2,146 2,175 1.4 1,585 2,821 3,282 500 525 5.0 Sub Total 6,341 6,178 12,951 7,586 7,911 4.3 February 3,114 4,040 2,083 958 2,549 166.0 March 1,179 2,723 2,993 1,375 2,068 50.4 Total 10,634 12,941 18,027 9,919 12,527 26.3 22 39 (45) 26.3 Percent change * January onward are average of previous years 10 ANNEX-2 MONTH-WISE NUTRIENT OFFTAKE DURING RABI 2012-13 COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS SEASONS (Tonnes) Month/ Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Rabi Percent Season 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 Change October 445,726 428,948 427,429 522,688 233,990 -55.2 November 441,730 500,593 879,254 454,740 326,654 -28.2 UREA December 570,047 912,904 626,041 704,102 953,201 35.4 January 598,642 546,178 393,514 610,301 517,308 -15.2 Sub Total 2,056,145 2,388,623 2,326,238 2,291,831 2,031,153 -11.4 February 477,338 437,789 413,348 159,811 372,072 132.8 March Total Rabi 463,590 430,230 420,880 263,478 394,545 49.7 2,997,073 3,256,642 3,160,466 2,715,120 2,797,769 3.0 9 -3.0 -14.1 3.0 Percent change DAP October 251,662 137,450 383,690 199,357 184,162 -7.6 November 166,220 281,519 179,989 162,876 248,492 52.6 December 66,008 176,600 90,299 121,631 126,388 3.9 January 44,463 92,093 58,897 20,101 53,343 165.4 Sub Total 528,353 687,662 712,875 503,965 612,385 21.5 February 69,568 69,576 68,885 11,596 54,906 373.5 March 75,062 42,649 35,529 45,643 49,721 8.9 Total Rabi 672,983 799,887 817,289 561,204 717,012 27.8 19 2 (31) 27.8 Percent change * January onward are average of previous years 11 ANNEX-3 MONTH-WISE COMPARATIVE NUTRIENT OFFTAKE DURING YEAR 2012-13 COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS YEARS (Tonnes) YEAR 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 TOTAL NUTRIENTS (N+P2O5+K2O) 455,174 303,913 353,248 449,590 194,067 347,920 353,526 351,629 362,517 305,436 499,783 396,068 445,482 569,148 348,223 584,282 395,261 451,127 332,944 245,650 309,366 271,694 260,072 92,632 246,729 244,811 180,061 247,115 288,580 207,073 335,576 279,190 220,600 332,934 300,661 592,116 4,360,482 3,932,765 3,860,952 17.5 -9.8 -1.8 NITROGEN July 241,958 338,048 270,707 272,117 August 214,982 331,830 160,032 296,246 September 232,371 255,002 211,837 289,765 October 260,836 230,499 286,660 288,445 November 245,930 295,665 464,675 259,616 December 287,147 475,137 333,537 378,733 January 294,092 276,351 208,512 292,339 February 248,101 227,341 218,147 80,272 March 243,546 217,394 217,026 148,616 April 220,182 229,589 252,660 169,778 May 252,578 299,531 252,312 197,289 June 293,184 299,897 257,397 533,262 Total 3,034,907 3,476,284 3,133,502 3,206,478 Percent change 14.5 -9.9 2.3 PHOSPHATE July 23,027 116,018 30,678 78,067 August 22,880 116,421 31,928 49,935 September 56,838 97,089 135,530 70,462 October 126,536 73,060 209,676 104,783 November 89,403 148,893 101,579 86,467 December 36,532 108,588 58,397 70,248 January 29,752 53,772 33,855 16,526 February 43,624 40,313 39,842 11,403 March 47,796 26,613 24,791 30,070 April 36,255 15,852 33,147 35,846 May 60,186 33,119 25,690 21,682 June 78,341 30,703 41,876 57,701 Total 651,170 860,441 766,989 633,190 Percent change 32.1 -10.9 -17.4 POTASH July 3,358 1,108 2,528 3,064 August 2,960 1,339 2,107 1,739 September 4,330 1,435 4,261 2,289 October 2,979 1,877 3,447 2,800 November 1,489 923 2,894 2,140 December 288 557 3,328 2,146 January 1,585 2,821 3,282 500 February 3,114 4,040 2,083 958 March 1,179 2,723 2,993 1,375 April 1,191 1,674 2,774 1449 May 1,633 2,926 1,187 1630 June 1,149 2,334 1,388 1153 Total 25,255 23,757 32,272 21,243 Percent change -5.9 35.8 -34.2 * January onward are average of previous years July August September October November December January February March April May June Total Percent change 268,343 240,822 293,539 390,351 336,822 323,966 325,430 294,839 292,521 257,628 314,397 371,986 3,710,644 12 2012-13* Percent change 271,488 206,459 273,135 269,275 360,153 566,392 292,560 229,809 241,031 250,099 287,441 399,424 3,647,266 -5.5 -23.1 -40.7 -24.7 -32.0 3.4 25.6 -5.4 148.1 33.9 20.8 30.3 -32.5 -5.5 212,117 173,744 167,955 159,990 222,006 493,432 260,477 193,465 206,646 218,052 250,427 345,935 2,904,247 -9.4 -22.0 -41.4 -42.0 -44.5 -14.5 30.3 -10.9 141.0 39.0 28.4 26.9 -35.1 -9.4 58,376 32,232 102,024 105,776 136,445 70,785 31,557 33,795 32,318 30,275 35,169 52,155 720,907 13.9 -25.2 -35.5 44.8 0.9 57.8 0.8 91.0 196.4 7.5 -15.5 62.2 -9.6 13.9 994 483 3,157 3,509 1,702 2,175 525 2,549 2,067 1,772 1,844 1,506 22,283 4.9 -67.6 -72.2 37.9 25.3 -20.5 1.4 5.0 166.0 50.4 22.3 13.2 30.6 4.9 ANNEX-4 MONTH-WISE COMPARATIVE UREA AND DAP OFFTAKE DURING YEAR 2012-13 COMPARED WITH PREVIOUS YEARS (Tonnes) YEAR 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13* Percent change -19.2 UREA July 489,079 618,313 527,680 481,899 389,178 August 420,547 598,182 301,546 556,349 322,301 -42.1 September 419,580 459,225 324,066 523,945 263,552 -49.7 October 445,726 428,948 427,429 522,688 233,990 -55.2 November 441,730 500,593 879,254 454,740 326,654 -28.2 December 570,047 912,900 626,041 704,102 953,201 35.4 January 598,642 546,178 393,514 610,301 517,308 -15.2 132.8 February 477,338 437,789 413,348 159,811 372,072 March 463,590 430,230 420,880 263,478 394,545 49.7 April 422,212 452,134 486,751 308,467 417,391 35.3 May 465,695 590,688 472,697 377,463 476,636 26.3 June 541,281 580,023 491,804 1,028,798 660,477 -35.8 Total 5,755,467 6,555,203 5,765,010 5,992,041 5,327,303 -11.1 13.9 -12.1 3.9 -11.1 Percent change DAP July 33,368 225,929 48,529 131,535 101,153 -23.1 August 24,453 204,747 50,191 76,718 53,495 -30.3 September 72,405 188,614 255,993 123,715 208,101 68.2 October 251,662 137,450 383,690 199,357 184,162 -7.6 November 166,220 281,519 179,989 162,876 248,492 52.6 December 66,008 176,600 90,299 121,631 126,388 3.9 January 44,463 92,093 58,897 20,101 53,343 165.4 373.5 February 69,568 69,576 68,885 11,596 54,906 March 75,062 42,649 35,529 45,643 49,721 8.9 April 49,335 22,140 54,704 60,375 46,639 -22.8 92.1 May 95,076 48,876 29,991 26,016 49,990 June 142,627 45,326 68,184 95,899 88,009 -8.2 Total 1,090,247 1,535,518 1,324,881 1,075,462 1,264,398 17.6 0.0 40.8 -13.7 -18.8 17.6 Percent change * January onward are average of previous years 13 ANNEX-5 PLANT WISE PRODUCTION, SALES & STOCK POSITION (JANUARY 2013) (Tonnes) Plant Product Opening Production Balance Total Offtake Adjustments Adjustments Closing Availability Punjab Sindh KPK Baluchistan AJK/FATA Pakistan (+) (-) Balance FFC-Prilled FFBL-Granular TOTAL DHCL Fatima Fertilizer Ltd PAK-ARAB EFERT Agritech (PAFL) TOTAL EFERT PAK-ARAB Fatima Fertilizer Ltd TOTAL NFC-LCFL Agritech (PAFL) Suraj Fertilizer TOTAL FFC-SONA PAK-ARAB Fatima Fertilizer Ltd EFERT EFERT EFERT EFERT EFERT EFERT TOTAL Urea Urea FFC Urea Urea Urea Urea Urea Urea Urea NP NP NP NP SSP SSP SSP SSP DAP CAN CAN NPK 17:17:17 NPK 10:23:10 NPK 08:23:18 NPK 15:15:15 NPK 08:18:20 NPK 10:28:10 NPKs 6,441 2,212 8,653 1 345 11 21,188 8,158 38,356 764 (0) 2,075 2,839 25,272 4,216 25,271 50,218 37,609 334 24,026 2,007 3,548 219 6,609 211,576 2,645 214,221 23,542 101,418 339,181 2,864 27,246 30,110 3,915 2,120 6,035 58,435 39,047 3,523 3,523 218,017 4,857 222,874 1 23,887 11 122,606 8,158 377,537 3,628 (0) 29,321 32,949 29,187 6,336 25,271 60,794 96,044 334 63,073 2,007 7,071 219 9,297 149,969 3,760 153,729 12,206 87,238 5,843 259,016 122 22,730 22,852 570 506 432 1,508 28,228 21,988 542 388 29 959 33,950 580 34,530 612 25,809 60,951 1,378 2,835 4,213 1,914 274 1,095 43 224 267 16,490 310 16,800 1,290 2,345 380 20,815 57 271 328 85 85 1,482 597 48 48 10,985 120 11,105 300 6,884 18,289 665 74 739 837 13 3 16 - 211,394 4,770 216,164 14,408 122,276 6,223 359,071 2,222 25,910 28,132 570 591 432 1,593 32,461 274 23,680 646 615 29 1,290 307 307 334 8,891 9,225 - 151 151 14 165 9 9 3 3 793 - 6,472 87 6,559 1 9,465 11 637 1,934 18,607 1,740 8,891 3,402 14,033 28,614 5,745 24,839 59,198 63,583 60 38,600 1,361 6,456 190 8,007 GRAND TOTAL ALL 159,989 476,332 640,027 334,551 68,714 23,355 19,881 - 446,501 9,532 970 202,088 14 ANNEX-6 COMPANY WISE IMPORTS, SALES/STOCK POSITION (JANUARY 2013) (Tonnes) Company Product Opening Import balance FFC EFERT DHCL NFML PAK ARAB JBL KJB UNI. AGRO Total Offtake Adjustment Adjustment Closing availability Punjab Sindh KPK Baluchistan AJK/FATA Pakistan (+) (-) Balance 40 3,226 759 - 6,367 - 120 963 1,236 - - 160 312 10,462 3 158,237 - 14 - - 1,721 2,476 26,725 83 237,726 - - - - - - - - 160.0 - 40.0 - - 12 11 45 5 2,000 192 1 - 6,894 - 3 2 127 1,986 38,103 2,197 1,020 308 Urea DAP TSP SOP Urea DAP MAP Urea DAP Urea DAP 1,881 2,788 488 86 395,963 - 36,685 - 1,881 2,788 37,173 86 395,963 - 312 6,273 3 149,875 - Urea - - - - DAP MAP DAP TSP MOP MAP SOP DAP NP TSP MAP DAP TSP SOP MOP MAP AS 14 13 172 1,991 40,097 0 1,020 - 6,900 2,196 500 14 13 172 1,991 46,997 2,197 1,020 500 12 11 45 1,500.0 192 5 300.0 - 15 - - PAGE 2 OF ANNEX-6 COMPANY WISE IMPORTS, SALES/STOCK POSITION (JANUARY 2013) (Tonnes) Company Product Opening Import balance CHAWALA PACIFIC CHART UNIQUE ASBC AL-HAMZA DAP Total Offtake Adjustment Adjustment Closing availability Punjab Sindh KPK Baluchistan AJK/FATA Pakistan (+) (-) Balance 70,202 - 70,202 6,027.8 1,205.6 643.0 160.7 - 8,037 - 100 62,065 AS - - - - - - - - - - - - SOP - - - - - - - - - - - - MOP - - - - - - - - - - - DAP 6,546 - 6,546 211 - - - - 211 - - 6,335 SOP - - - - - - - - - - - - MOP 865 - 865 189 - - - - 189 - - 676 NP - - - - - - - - - - - - DAP - - - - - - - - - - - - - - DAP - - - - - - - - - - MOP - - - - - - - - - - DAP - - - - - - - - - - - - - MOP - - - - - - - - - - - - GEN. TRADE ESTB. DAP - - - - - - - - - - - - AZGARD (PAFL) DAP 24 - 24 - - - - - - - - 24 MAP - - - - - - - - - - - - MOP - - - - - - - - - - - - SOP - - - - - - - - - - - - UREA - - - - - - - - - - - - Urea 395,963 - 395,963 149,875 759 6,367 1,236 - 158,237 - - 237,726 DAP 119,252 43,585 162,836 14,024 4,772 803 1,284 - 20,882 15 6,994 134,975 ALL 522,149 46,281 568,431 164,651 5,536 7,170 2,520 - 179,876 15 6,994 381,576 Total GRAND TOTAL 16 ANNEX-7 TOTAL SALES AND STOCK POSITION (JANUARY 2013) (Tonnes) Product Opening UREA 434,319 DAP Production Import Availability Punjab Sindh KPK Baluchistan AJK/FATA Pakistan (+) (-) Balance 339,181 - 773,500 408,891 61,710 27,182 19,525 - 517,308 307 165 256,333 198,558 Balance Total Offtake Adjustment Adjustment Closing 156,861 58,435 43,585 258,880 42,252 6,686 2,285 2,121 - 53,343 15 6,994 NP 2,839 30,110 - 32,949 22,852 4,213 328 739 - 28,132 9,225 9 14,033 CAN 24,360 39,047 - 63,407 21,988 1,369 597 - - 23,954 - 793 38,660 SSP 50,218 6,035 - 56,253 1,508 - 85 - - 1,593 - 3 54,657 TSP 13 - - 13 11 - - - - 11 - - 2 SOP 4,779 - 2,196 6,976 312 5 - - - 317 - - 6,659 MAP 86 - - 86 3 - - - - 3 - - 83 MOP 1,192 - - 1,192 234 - - - - 234 - - 958 - - 500 500 192 - - - - 192 - - 308 AS NPK TOTAL 6,609 3,523 - 10,132 959 267 48 16 - 1,290 - - 8,842 681,274 476,332 46,281 1,203,887 499,202 74,250 30,525 22,401 - 626,377 9,547 7,964 579,093 17 ANNEX-8 PROVINCE-WISE AND PRODUCT-WISE OFFTAKE OF DOMESTICALLY PRODUCED FERTILIZERS (JANUARY 2013) (Tonnes) PROVINCES UREA CAN NP 22:20 SSP J SSP H DAP NPK NPK NPK NPK NPK NPK NPK 18:09:18 17:17:17 10:23:10 10:23:18 12:15:20 8:18:15 10:28:10 TOTAL Punjab 259,016 21,988 22,852 570 938 28,228 - 542 - 388 29 - - 334,551 Sindh 60,951 1,369 4,213 - - 1,914 - 43 - 224 - - - 68,714 KPK 20,815 597 328 - 85 1,482 - 48 - - - - - 23,355 Balochistan 18,289 - 739 - - 837 - 13 - 3 - - - 19,881 AJK/FATA - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 359,071 23,954 28,132 570 1,023 32,461 - 646 - 615 29 - - 446,501 Total Pakistan FERTILIZER DOMESTIC NUTRIENT OFFTAKE DURING JANUARY 2013 (Tonnes) PROVINCES NITROGEN PHOSPHATE POTASH TOTAL 135,336 18,698 168 154,202 SINDH 29,737 1,908 48 31,693 KPK 10,080 781 8 10,869 BALOCHISTAN 8,736 558 3 9,297 - - - - 183,889 21,945 226 206,060 PUNJAB AJK TOTAL PAKISTAN 18 ANNEX-9 PROVINCE-WISE AND PRODUCT-WISE OFFTAKE OF IMPORTED FERTILIZERS (JANUARY 2013) (Tonnes) PROVINCES UREA AS NP SSP DAP TSP SOP NPK MOP MAP TOTAL 10:15:20 Punjab 149,875 192 - - 14,024 11 312 - 234 3 164,651 Sindh 759 - - - 4,772 - 5 - - - 5,536 KPK 6,367 - - - 803 - - - - - 7,170 Balochistan 1,236 - - - 1,284 - - - - - 2,520 AJK/FATA - - - - - - - - - - - 158,237 192 - - 20,882 11 317 - 234 3 179,876 Total Pakistan FERTILIZER IMPORTED NUTRIENT OFFTAKE DURING JANUARUY 2011 (Tonnes) Provinces Punjab Nitrogen 71,507 Phosphate 6,458 Potash 296 Total 78,261 Sindh 1,208 2,195 3 3,405 KPK 3,073 369 - 3,443 Balochistan 800 591 - 1,390 AJK/FATA - - - - 76,588 9,612 299 86,500 Total Pakistan 19 ANNEX-10 TOTAL PROVINCE-WISE AND PRODUCT-WISE OFFTAKE OF FERTILIZERS (JANUARY 2013) (Tonnes) PROVINCES UREA CAN AS NP 1+2 SSP DAP 1+2 TSP SOP NPK's 1+2 MOP MAP TOTAL Total Punjab 408,891 21,988 192 22,852 1,508 42,252 11 312 959 234 3 499,202 Sindh 61,710 1,369 - 4,213 - 6,686 - 5 267 - - 74,250 KPK 27,182 597 - 328 85 2,285 - - 48 - - 30,525 Balochistan 19,525 - - 739 - 2,121 - - 16 - - 22,401 AJK/FATA - - - - - - - - - - - - 517,308 23,954 192 28,132 1,593 53,343 11 317 1,290 234 3 626,377 Total Pakistan TOTAL FERTILIZER NUTRIENT OFFTAKE DURING JANUARY 2013 (Tonnes) Provinces Nitrogen Phosphate Potash Total Punjab 206,843 25,156 464 232,463 Sindh 30,945 4,103 50 35,098 KPK 13,154 1,150 8 14,312 Balochistan 9,536 1,148 3 10,687 AJK/FATA - - - - 260,477 31,557 525 292,560 Total Pakistan 20 ANNEX-11 FERTILIZERS PRODUCTION BY PRODUCT AND MANUFACTURER (2012-13) (Tonnes) PRODUCT MANUFAC. JULY AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN TOTAL UREA DHCL - - - 100 10,999 - - - - - - - 11,099 UREA ECPL 58,268 71,295 58,718 85,845 97,903 86,405 101,418 - - - - - 559,852 UREA (PAFL) Agritech Limited - - 5,306 19,244 - - - - - - - - 24,550 UREA UREA (PAK-SAUDI)MM UREA (P.) G. MACHI PAKARAB FFC FFC 70,752 140,055 72,623 136,818 70,000 127,325 71,551 128,553 69,421 135,637 71,296 138,946 72,664 138,912 - - - - - 498,307 946,246 UREA (G.) FFBL FFC 22,864 20,097 18,624 17,467 28,200 33,219 2,645 - - - - - 143,116 UREA TOTAL UREA CAN NP FATIMA 38,177 330,116 - 15,422 316,255 - 9,946 289,919 - 17,197 339,957 6,700 5,441 27,779 369,939 14,774 13,294 32,532 362,398 5,226 3,305 23,542 339,181 - - - - - - - - - - - 164,595 2,347,765 26,700 22,040 PAKARAB PAKARAB+ NP FATIMA 21,316 17,611 8,125 18,629 27,847 29,410 27,246 - - - - - 150,184 CAN FATIMA 25,520 23,126 13,297 28,137 39,112 41,303 39,047 - - - - - 209,542 DAP (SONA) FFBL SSP LCFL SSP (HPFL) NP NPKs ( Various grades ) SSP FFC *AL-HAMID Agritech Limited ECPL ECPL Suraj Fertilizer 69,112 635 5,855 7,696 - 70,522 3,127 4,629 2,099 4,102 35,116 2,182 6,344 5,025 68,423 6,769 10,115 4,070 4,227 4,629 67,423 9,719 11,040 8,708 1,971 69,409 3,693 2,670 4,040 42 58,435 3,915 2,120 2,865 3,523 - - - - - - 438,440 24,731 37,109 24,312 23,889 15,769 460,250 441,471 360,008 497,097 563,827 521,496 476,332 - - - - - 3,320,481 G. TOTAL 21 ANNEX-12 RAINFALL 2012-13 (MM) STATION JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN TOTAL Peshawar Kamra Rawalpindi Jhelum Sargodha Lahore D.I. Khan Faisalabad Multan Khanpur Quetta Rohri Tandojam Gilgit Skardu 122.0 76.9 215.6 135.7 37.7 81.7 63.0 37.4 33.6 1.0 1.1 - 92.0 73.0 247.9 265.7 16.0 197.1 133.7 24.0 9.8 42.7 23.7 11.8 5.1 114.6 92.0 172.0 59.3 127.8 199.4 120.0 147.9 158.2 293.9 11.4 21.0 133.0 94.0 3.0 14.5 6.0 14.0 20.0 28.0 21.0 4.0 - 2.5 2.0 6.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 3.5 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.5 77.0 87.0 32.0 14.4 32.3 26.1 18.5 4.0 30.3 5.4 57.3 3.1 12.4 0.4 13.3 0.2 3.1 4.1 2.0 1.0 3.2 37.1 - - - - - 304 287 592 605 320 512 366 281 216 371 73 24 137 118 103 Source: National Agromet Centre, Islamabamabad 22