Platform Strategy & Open Business Models Geoffrey Parker Marshall Van Alstyne Tulane University & MIT Boston University & MIT gparker@tulane.edu marshall@mit.edu, InfoEcon@twitter.com In building a business ecosystem, how do you set strategy? How do old line business models transition to platforms? What can be a platform (Windows, PayPal, Facebook … Bauxite, Coca Cola)? What does an open business model look like? Can you predict unexpected competition? © 2013 Parker & Van Alstyne Platform Ecosystem Rules • Platforms beat products every time. • Remake the supply chain to “consummate the match.” • Open the top or the bottom of your platform to unexpected innovation, but don’t open both. • Look to your overlapping users to see where tough competitors will attack 3 To be a platform The system must provide a useful function or service and should provide 3rd party access + governance. Examples: iTunes: get musing onto iPod SAP: execute ERP systems Facebook: connect family, friends & acquaintances Smart Grids: capture AC/DC sources, route power Nike Fuel: motion capture and social benchmarking Pearson: match people to content, deliver content, certify learning Your biz: match … ? How do traditional linear business models transition to platforms given network effects? Traditional Supply Chain Supply Manufacture $ Assemble $ Retail $ (1) Value accumulates from stage to stage (2) Standard linear value chain (3) Logistics optimize stuff (usu. not incentives) (4) No network effects 6 Traditional Supply Chain Biz Biz Biz $ $ $ Potential B2B Platform Potential B2C Platform 7 Cust Potential B2C Platform 1. Make your business a platform by facilitating transactions across your systems. Biz Biz Biz Cust Cust Potential B2C Platform Biz 8 Creating a B2C Platform 1. Make your business a platform by facilitating transactions across your systems. 2. Expand the biz partners who can reach your customers. 3. Expand the customers who can reach your suppliers. Biz Biz Biz CustCustCust Biz 9 This is a really, really different business model due to network effects… 10 How are these related? eBay Sellers eBay Buyers Airlines/Hotels Travelers Xbox Developers Xbox Gamers Visa Merchants Visa CardHolders Doctors Patients YouTube Videographers YouTube Viewers AirBnb Rooms AirBnb Renters Electric Car Charge Stations Electric Car Drivers Mechanical Turk Laborers Mechanical Turk Jobs Monster Employers Monster Employees Android Developers Android Users Each Side Attracts More of the Other Creating a B2C Platform Market Two Price Price Market One Biz Biz Biz p1 p2 q1 q2 Quantity Platform 12 CustCustCust Quantity Creating a B2C Platform Market Two Price Price Market One p2 p1 p1 p2 q1 q2 q1 Quantity Platform 13 q2 Quantity If your supply chain has network effects then… Biz Biz $ Cust $ … you can price wrong … manage the supply chain wrong … get internal organization wrong, and … mismeasure LTV of “free customers” whenever you use linear product model practices. 14 Why do platforms beat products? Apple iPod pre-Platform Apple iPod Listener $ Music Producer Retailer $ $ (1) Product First Thinking (2) Standard linear value chain (3) User bought music retail (or P2P) (4) Minimal network effects 16 Apple iPod combined with iTunes Apple iPod Listener $ 17 Music Producer Retailer $ $ Apple iPod post-Platform User Content $$ Apple (1) Remove supply chain inefficiency (2) Triangular platform supply network (3) Apple owns financial chokepoint (4) Apple helps users find content (5) Stronger network effects 18 How Apple is killing standalone platforms 2007 Usr Today $30/share User Dvpr $4/share 2007 Today Usr Gam $53/share Usr $23/share Mus Lumia PSP Zune Nokia Sony Microsoft User Calls Music MP3 Video TV Games Dvpr Web HTML eBooks Apple has vastly stronger network effects. Sony could have – hasthis many greatwith standalone Google done is not this making mistake Androidproducts. Message for you: A great standalone product might not be sufficient. Publi How Apple is killing standalone platforms Usr P1 R1 Upld U1 Polycom eRdr Speakerphone Sony User R1 Usr P1 Upld U1 Cisco Photo Music MP3 Video TV Games R1 Dvpr U1 HP Blkbry Calculator RIM Flip Camera Flickr User Calls Usr P1 Dvpr Web HTML eBooks Message for you: A great standalone product might not be sufficient. Publi Why Apple isn’t killing Kindle We asked ourselves: “Is there some way we can bring all of these things together [web service, Prime, Kindle, instant video and the app store] into a remarkable offering customers would love?” Yes, the answer is Amazon Kindle Fire. November 14, 2011: Amazon introduces the Kindle Fire Kindle Fire Offering • 18 million movies, TV shows, songs, magazines • Amazon Appstore - thousands of apps and games • Cloud-accelerated web browsing Amazon Silk • Free cloud storage for Amazon content • Color touchscreen with extra-wide viewing angle • Priced at $199 for 7-inch Wi-Fi Version • Fast, powerful dual-core processor • Amazon Prime members get unlimited, instant streaming of 10,000 popular movies and TV shows Why Apple isn’t killing Kindle User User Calls Music MP3 Video TV Games Dvpr Web HTML Publi eBooks You can’t make calls … unless you load Skype. Amazon is also being much more sophisticated about giving free data storage service, which allows them to better “consummate the match.” © 2012 Parker & Van Alstyne Firms generally consider product feature overlap (differentiation?) to find and benchmark competition. Product Features Zune / iPod Zune / Sony PSP Zune / iPhone Eisenmann, Parker, Van Alstyne, “Platform Envelopment.” Strategic Management Journal, 2011. User overlap between Platforms predicts competitors. Size (usually but not always) predicts victor. Network Users Platform Providers T A High Overlap T A Low Overlap T A Asymmetric Overlap Eisenmann, Parker, Van Alstyne, “Platform Envelopment.” Strategic Management Journal, 2011. Open (fragmented) versus Closed (integrated) ? © 2011 Eisenmann, Parker & Van Alstyne Openness vs. Control Maximum protection ≠ Maximum Value Your Share Proprietary Open Industry Value Add Your reward = (Value added to industry) x (Your share) 27 on: Shapiro & Varian ‘99 © Based 2011 Eisenmann, Parker & Van Alstyne Does Openness Work? While Facebook focused on creating a robust platform that allowed outside developers to build new applications, Myspace did everything itself. ``We tried to create every feature in the world and said, `O.K., we can do it, why should we let a third party do it?' '' says (MySpace cofounder) DeWolfe. ``We should have picked 5 to 10 key features that we totally focused on and let other people innovate on everything else.'' Open to developers − Open gift store − − Open to “.com” The Rise & Ignominius Fall of MySpace – Business Week 2011 28 Historical Open Innovation Ford Model T Mobile Church Flour Mill Sawmill Goat Hay Carrier Carrier Racecar Snowmobile Platforms get enormous value from 3rd party developers Most firms can only concentrate on most valuable apps Profits increase when others add to platform’s “Long Tail” You don’t need to own this Consider an operating system like MS Windows, Apple Mac, or Google Android What does controlling openness mean? Split IP rights from point of customer contact. Side 1 Side Side 22 Platform Provider Platform Platform Sponsor 1) Open Access 2) Extend Platform 3) Touch Customers 4) Change Platform 31 Models for Organizing Platforms One Provider Users One Sponsor Dvprs Users Dvprs Provider Providers Sponsor Sponsor 1) Proprietary: e.g. Mac 2) Licensing: e.g. Google Android Users Users Dvprs Provider Many Sponsors Many Providers Sponsors 3) Joint Venture: e.g. Orbitz D ell … Dvprs Ac er Re d Ha t H P De bi an … U bu nt u 4) Shared: e.g. Linux Apple tried to control too much of the original Mac Users Claris Apple Mac Mac OS • Remember MacWrite, MacPaint? • Charged ~$10,000 for SDKs. • Controlled OS & HW and dominant Apps. • Vertical integration choked network effects. 33 Microsoft opened much more of its ecosystem Users Del l Dvprs IBM … • Microsoft had 6-10X developers • Open APIs / Cheap SDKs • Controlled OS, licensed. • Strong network effects. HP MS Windows 34 For real profits, control full layer Users D ell … Dvprs Ac er Re d Ha t H P De bi an … U bu nt u Linux: No one driving the bus. Limited scope of control. Users Flights Users Dvprs Provider Sponsors Providers Joint Venture: e.g. Orbitz airline collaboration Licensing: e.g. Google Android Sponsor 35 Danger! AT&T fear of Apple Microsoft fear of Netscape SAP fear of ADP Users Dvprs Providers Sponsor Facebook fear of Instagram Apple fear of Google Maps Watch for new control points closer to customer. 36 Should Apple have opened the iPod? Most firms can only concentrate on most valuable apps Profits increase when others add to platform’s “Long Tail” No! It does 1 thing only, so make it “insanely great” and own it. 37 Should Apple have opened the iPhone? Most firms can only concentrate on most valuable apps Profits increase when others add to platform’s “Long Tail” Of Course! It has video, wifi, camera (scanner), accelerometer, mobile, MP3, web browsing, etc. Platforms benefit from broad contributions. But control the top several complements. Which applications to absorb? Apps offered by Platform Sponsor Apps offered by Developers Rule 1: Absorb the highest value applications from the ecosystem. This adds value for users and mitigates threat of disintermediation. Example: Apple iPad absorbed e-books Example: Microsoft Windows absorbed web browsing Example: Google added Gdrive to absorb functions of DropBox Anything else to absorb? Apps offered by Platform Sponsor Apps offered by Developers Anything else to absorb? Rule 2: Absorb features that emerge in multiple places in the ecosystem. This increases compatibility, ensures efficient implementation, and benefits other apps. Examples: Operating systems support for (i) spell check (ii) cut & paste (iii) PDF. Value Added Why Platforms Beat Products Time • Based on owned resources, innovation occurs at a given rate. • Harnessing 3rd party resources, innovation can occur at a higher combined rate. • Even if a platform starts behind or has higher variability, its value can overtake the product leader. Platform Ecosystem Rules • Platforms beat products every time. • Remake the supply chain to “consummate the match.” • Open the top or the bottom of your platform to unexpected innovation, but don’t open both. • Look to your overlapping users to see where tough competitors will attack 43 Thank You! Questions & Discussion marshall@mit.edu, gparkter@tulane.edu Twitter: InfoEcon © 2011 Eisenmann, Parker & Van Alstyne