C A S E S I N S T R A T E G I C - S Y S T E M S A U D I T I N G KPMG and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Business Measurement Case Development and Research Program Edited by Timothy B. Bell Director, Assurance Research, Assurance & Advisory Services Center, KPMG LLP Ira Solomon R.C. Evans Endowed Chair in Commerce Head, Department of Accountancy, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Foreword by D. Scott Showalter National Managing Partner, Assurance & Advisory Services Center, KPMG LLP Visiting Executive Lecturer, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign ©2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All Rights Reserved. Printed in the U.S.A. This book is not intended to constitute an exhaustive coverage of all the policies and procedures comprising KPMG’s full audit process, and how it comports with generally accepted auditing standards. TA B L E O F C O N T E N T S Foreword D. Scott Showalter . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . VII Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . XI The Strategic-Systems Approach to Auditing Timothy B. Bell , Mark E. Peecher, and Ira Solomon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 A Guide to Selecting SSA Cases Timothy B. Bell , Mark E. Peecher, and Ira Solomon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 CVS/Pharmacy: Growth Strategies in the Retail Drug Industry Stephen Asare, Richard McGowan, Greg Trompeter, and Arnold Wright . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 IDEC Pharmaceuticals Corporation Shawn M. Davis and Ronald R. King . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Lincoln Savings and Loan Merle Erickson, Brian Mayhew, and William L. Felix, Jr., . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 Loblaw Companies Ltd. Royston Greenwood and Steve Salterio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. TA B L E O F C O N T E N T S Mercedes-Benz U.S. International Brian Ballou, Richard Tabor, and Mustafa Uzumeri . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 211 Rieter Automotive North America, Inc. Roger D. Martin, Fred Phillips, and Michael D. Shields . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 Trigon Healthcare, Inc.: Growth Through Acquisition in the Hypercompetitive Managed Healthcare Environment Anne York and Linda McDaniel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 Wells Fargo: Business-to-Business Electronic Commerce George Foster, Mahendra Gupta, and Richard Palmer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 359 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. F O R E W O R D If ever there were any doubts about the criticality of the financial statement audit to the efficient functioning of the capital markets, recent events have dispelled them. Truthful and credible financial and nonfinancial business information empowers the capital supplier to assess decision-relevant states of the business, and competition within the capital markets for the best returns on investments leads ultimately to an efficient allocation of resources within our market economy. Information that is not perceived by users to be credible, even if it is truthful, will be disbelieved, causing a shift of resources from their most productive uses to less productive ones. In the final analysis, everyone is impacted negatively by widespread perceptions that business information is not credible, whether through poor decision- changing business environment. In addition, KPMG has a longstanding tradition of sharing information about our audit innovations with the academic community. By treating our audit approach as an open standard, we foster further improvements and innovations as others contribute their critical analysis, empirical validation, and new ideas. We pride ourselves on openness and strive to achieve excellence and marketplace differentiation B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T through superior audit execution and continuous innovation, not secrecy. R E S E A R C H approach so that efficient and effective audits are possible in an ever- A N D KPMG has a longstanding tradition of continuously innovating our audit D E V E L O P M E N T other ripple effects throughout the economy. C A S E and wants and new business development, inefficient labor markets, or P R O G R A M making about savings investments, mismatches between consumer needs 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G VII F O R E W O R D The quality of audits and the quality of audit education and research are inextricably linked. High-quality scholarly research fosters learning by educators and practitioners. Educators transfer new knowledge to students who apply that knowledge upon entry into the profession. professionals become tomorrow’s leaders and innovators. These They share information on new innovations and other resources needed by researchers to critically analyze and empirically validate new audit methods and techniques and generate new ideas for further improvement. These interactions taken together form a self-reinforcing feedback loop that fosters evolution of the profession so that its continued vitality is ensured. Consequently, leaders at KPMG have long understood and auditing education, as well as support for scholarly research in these areas, are strategic imperatives for the profession. A recent example of our commitment to profession-wide learning is distributing to the public the monograph entitled Auditing Organizations Through a Strategic-Systems Lens: The KPMG Business Measurement Measurement Case Development and Research Program. The monograph demands placed on auditors when assessing the veracity of management’s presents an overview of, and rationale for, recent audit innovations at KPMG (and other firms) designed to help auditors better cope with an everincreasing level of business complexity and the related business-learning assertions. Following dissemination of the monograph, the case development and research program was established to engage scholars in the development of classroom materials relevant to a 21st century audit environment, followed by scholarly research to advance knowledge and enable further improvements in audit methods and techniques. B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T Process and establishing the KPMG and University of Illinois Business C A S E A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M that proactive involvement in the continuous improvement of accounting 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. VIII K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N F O R E W O R D These projects were intentionally designed to be highly collaborative to achieve significant synergies through the combination of complementary talents and skills. Our goal was to produce some of the most realistic and intellectually nurturing teaching materials available for business and assurance education. We sought to do so by bringing together scholars with technical expertise in theory development, critical analysis and curriculum development, KPMG professionals with real-world experience applying measurement and attestation models in complex real-life decision-making venues, and business managers with a wealth of practical knowledge about their industries, business models and business processes. I believe that after presented in this volume were used in the classes. Experiencing the unfolding of the discovery process in the classroom by bright young minds was both stimulating and gratifying. Students progressed rapidly from novice-sponges who take in and react instantaneously to every new bit of information to critical thinkers with basic systems-thinking skills for internalizing and integrating relevant information about complex businesses. Students came away from the learning experiences enabled by the cases with an enhanced appreciation for the intellectual challenges of auditing knowledge work and a sense of excitement about spending their careers in a stimulating business-learning environment that continuously presents novel learning opportunities. Now more than ever we collectively B U S I N E S S need to work hard to show students that our profession is intellectually R E S E A R C H sections of the introductory assurance course at UIUC. Several of the cases A N D During the 2001/2002 academic year, I co-taught with faculty several D E V E L O P M E N T firsthand the positive impact of the materials produced by our program. C A S E at Urbana-Champaign (UIUC), I have had the good fortune to observe M E A S U R E M E N T In my capacity as a Visiting Executive Lecturer at the University of Illinois P R O G R A M reading this volume, you will agree that we have achieved our goal. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G IX F O R E W O R D challenging and rewarding, and the cases in this volume will help educators to build that awareness through actual classroom experiences. I hope that readers of this volume will give serious consideration to adopting some of the cases developed under our program. Using these cases will create in you a great sense of satisfaction that your students are better equipped to critically analyze a business and apply this essential knowledge to perform a better audit. On behalf of all of my partners at KPMG, I would like to thank all of the case developers for a job well done. We look forward to continuing our P R O G R A M National Managing Partner, Assurance & Advisory Services Center, KPMG LLP Visiting Executive Lecturer, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign July 23, 2002 B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D D. Scott Showalter R E S E A R C H collaborations with you to improve audit education and practice. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. X K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N P R E FA C E In the fall of 1997, KPMG Peat Marwick LLP1 (KPMG), the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (UIUC), and the KPMG Foundation (Foundation) introduced the Business Measurement Case Development & Research Program (Program) to the academic community. At that time, many accounting educators were expressing concerns about their ability to keep classroom materials and research activities current, given the rapid pace at which commerce, business measurement, and auditing were changing. Responding to this emerging need, KPMG, UIUC, and the Foundation established the Program to support development of educational materials grounded in current audit concepts and methods and set in realworld business contexts, and to offer successful case developers presents a conceptual overview of, and blueprint for, strategic-systems auditing (SSA)—an evolving business knowledge-acquisition approach that guides the focus, breadth, and depth of the auditor’s knowledge acquisition in today’s complex business environment. Under the SSA approach, an auditor seeks to obtain an understanding of the client’s business model—a simplified repesentation of the network of causes and effects that determine the extent to which the entity creates value and earns profits. Some of the more important business-model causal factors assessed by an auditor employing SSA are: (1) environmental factors that B U S I N E S S present opportunities to the entity for creation of strategic advantages; (2) R E S E A R C H 1997 to all academic members of the American Accounting Association, A N D from UIUC and KPMG. The monograph, which was distributed gratis in D E V E L O P M E N T KPMG Business Measurement Process (Bell et al. 1997) by representatives C A S E monograph Auditing Organizations Through a Strategic-Systems Lens: The M E A S U R E M E N T The initial step in creating the Program was joint authoring of the P R O G R A M opportunities for innovative research. 1 Now KPMG LLP. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G XI P R E FA C E other external forces and trends presenting risks that can threaten the entity’s ability to create and sustain these strategic advantages; (3) key business processes and underlying competencies that are critical to successful execution of the entity’s strategy; (4) business process risks threatening the entity’s ability to create and sustain process advantages, and related business controls; and (5) residual strategic and process risks and their implications for financial reporting and audit risks. KPMG’s Business Measurement Process (BMP) is presented in the monograph as a working example of the SSA framework. After the monograph was disseminated in 1997, KPMG and UIUC issued a under the Program. The RFP delineated two interrelated Program phases: (1) development of a case based on a major company for classroom use as a vehicle for students to enhance their understanding of SSA concepts and methods and (2) follow-on scholarly research to advance SSA knowledge and methods. Under the Program guidelines, case development was funded up to a maximum of $40,000 per case with follow-on research opportunities for funding up to a maximum of $50,000 per research study. Twenty-three case proposals totaling $814,546 were selected for funding during the Program’s three annual submission periods. The eight cases that were awarded funding in 1998 during the Program’s first submission period are presented in this volume. M E A S U R E M E N T We begin this volume with a chapter that introduces SSA concepts and extends the ideas presented in the original Bell et al. monograph. Ideas B U S I N E S S C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Request For Proposals (RFP) inviting scholars to compete for funding chapter describes how the cases contained in this volume address key XII K P M G discussed in Chapter 1 include elaborations on systems thinking, the connection between client business risk and audit risk, and the formation and utility of mental models in strategic-systems auditing. Thereafter, the 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N P R E FA C E antecedents and knowledge-acquisition activities essential to SSA. The chapter concludes by providing suggested responses to eight questions that are (or perhaps should be) frequently asked about SSA. The second chapter is intended to help instructors identify an efficient and synergistic subset of the eight cases to assign in business courses. For a quick overview of the topics covered in the cases, we provide tables characterizing each case in terms of industry membership, strategic analysis frameworks, and business processes, and the attendant business risks, critical success factors, and key performance indicators. We also discuss in this chapter the rich information set contained in the teaching notes that accompany each of the cases. 900,000 hits. More than 100,000 copies of the monograph were requested by, and distributed to, professors and business and accounting professionals, and more than 31,000 copies of completed cases were downloaded.2 The remaining in–process cases funded under the Program will be posted to the Web site when they are completed. We would like to thank KPMG, the KPMG Foundation, and UIUC for providing financial and other resources to make the Program possible. We gratefully acknowledge the following people for their significant support of and contributions to the Program: Frank Marrs (CEO, Gupton Marrs 2 These download numbers likely understate the case usage rate because some professors reproduce multiple copies from one downloaded case copy. R E S E A R C H ended December 31, 2001, the Program’s Web site received approximately A N D valuable aids for successful use of the Program’s cases. During the two years D E V E L O P M E N T Professors who have used these teaching notes tell us that they are extremely C A S E for all cases funded under the Program free-of-charge at the Web site. M E A S U R E M E N T edu/kpmg-uiuc. Also, professors can obtain comprehensive teaching notes B U S I N E S S for download free-of-charge at the Program’s Web site: http://www.cba.uiuc. P R O G R A M The monograph and all cases funded under the Program are available 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G XIII P R E FA C E International and formerly at KPMG); Terry Strange, Scott Showalter, Marty Finegan, Bernie Milano, Michael Tolpa, Ram Menon, Pam Bullis, and Karen Bell (KPMG and the KPMG Foundation); Jeff Arricale (T. Rowe Price and formerly at KPMG); Mark Peecher, Clif Brown, and Jean Seibold (UIUC); Howard Thomas (Dean, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick and formerly at UIUC); Robert Knechel (University of Florida); and members of the Program Advisory Board—Katherine Schipper, (FASB and formerly at Duke University), Krishna Palepu (Harvard University), and William Kinney (University of Texas at Austin). In addition, we thank all of the case developers, KPMG partners and staff, and client management who gave so unselfishly of their time and other resources to nurture each of Timothy B. Bell/KPMG LLP Ira Solomon/UIUC B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M the case projects funded under the Program. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. XIV K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G P R O G R A M Timothy B. Bell KPMG LLP Mark E. Peecher B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H Ira Solomon University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 1 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G B y the end of the 20th century, advances in information technologies had reduced substantially the propensity for error in processing routine business transactions.1 These same forces, however, had dramatically altered the nature and complexity of business activities and relationships. Concurrently, accelerating innovation and competition, proliferation of stock-based compensation, and heightened stock market sensitivity to unexpected earnings had increased application of audit sampling to populations of routine transactions and account balance details processed by error-prone manual accounting systems. These methodologies, however, became increasingly less efficient and effective as innovations in information technology altered the business landscape. New methodologies were needed to help auditors obtain the indepth business knowledge required to assess the economic implications of complex business relationships and activities and to guide the search for instances in which managers may have exploited ambiguous and complex 1 Several studies have provided evidence of low error rates in the recording of routine business transactions, especially those processed electronically, and a higher propensity for misstatement in nonroutine transactions, especially those recorded manually by management. See, for example, Houghton, C. W., and J. A. Fogarty, “Inherent Risk,” Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory (Spring 1991), pp. 1-21; Bell, T. B., W. R. Knechel, J. L. Payne, and J. J. Willingham, “An Empirical Investigation of the Relationship Between the Computerization of Accounting Systems and the Incidence and Size of Audit Differences,” Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory (Spring 1998, pp. 13-38); and Bell, T. B, and W. R. Knechel, “Empirical Analyses of Errors Discovered in Audits of Property and Casualty Insurers,” Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory (Spring 1994), pp. 84-100. R E S E A R C H A N D Audit methodologies traditionally had heavily emphasized broad-based D E V E L O P M E N T to material fraudulent financial reporting. C A S E auditor’s responsibility for planning and performing the audit with respect M E A S U R E M E N T in, among other things, an expansion and concomitant clarification of the B U S I N E S S complex, rules-based financial accounting standards. These forces ushered P R O G R A M the temptation for managers to exploit ambiguities in a growing body of 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 3 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G accounting rules. In light of these trends, several of the larger public accounting firms adapted their audit approaches to more heavily emphasize the need to develop a sufficiently deep understanding of the past, present, and future states of auditees’ businesses. Bell et al. (1997) call these new audit approaches strategic-systems auditing (SSA), and present an overview of KPMG’s Business Measurement Process (BMP) as an example of a SSA approach. An important aspect of SSA is an emphasis on obtaining the in-depth knowledge needed to develop rich mental models (defined later) of the business. Such business-knowledge-laden mental models are essential for P R O G R A M the auditor to discern the real states of the business, assess business risks, and appraise attendant controls. Provided that the auditor’s mental model contains sufficiently faithful representations of relevant past, current and R E S E A R C H future states of the business, he/she should be able to (1) make effective pretesting assessments of the risk of material misstatement (RMM) in managers’ assertions, (2) design follow-on tests of controls and financial A N D statement amounts and disclosures that are sufficiently reliable and apply them effectively, (3) make correct interpretations of the results of such tests, D E V E L O P M E N T and (4) form final assessments of RMM based on the accumulated results of auditing procedures that provide sufficient risk assessment (i.e., estimation) power. C A S E Importantly, auditors employing SSA use in-depth knowledge of the M E A S U R E M E N T business to assess risk factors related to fraudulent financial reporting. In particular, the degree to which managers have incentives to intentionally misstate the financial statements depends largely on the real current profitability of the business, its prospects for future profitability, and B U S I N E S S managers’ beliefs about the impact on their personal wealth of market 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 4 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G participants’ or others’ perceptions of these states.2 If poorly controlled,3 even currently profitable businesses can develop significant problems that managers may seek to disguise through inappropriate accounting and disclosure. Therefore, the risk that the auditor will fail to detect fraudulent financial reporting should decrease substantially when an auditor develops a veridical mental model of the business that reveals the business is wellcontrolled. To gain an appreciation for the difficulty of detecting fraudulent financial reporting, consider how the audit team’s knowledge acquisition task differs from that of a physician. Patients describe their symptoms to physicians in perpetrating auditees distort symptoms in the first place and may conceal symptoms from auditors as they inquire and conduct other tests. The primary difference between these two diagnostic inference venues, therefore, is that, unlike physicians, auditors face a much more difficult C A S E M E A S U R E M E N T B U S I N E S S 2 Paragraph No. 7 of the exposure draft entitled, Consideration of Fraud in a Financial Statement Audit (AICPA Auditing Standards Board, February 28, 2002) discusses the importance of obtaining an understanding of incentives that may motivate managers to commit fraud. Paragraph No. 7 states the following. “Three conditions generally are present when fraud occurs. First, management or other employees have an incentive or are under pressure, which provides a reason to commit fraud. Second, circumstances exist—for example, the absence of controls, ineffective controls, or the ability of management to override controls—that provide an opportunity for a fraud to be perpetrated. Third, those involved are able to rationalize a fraudulent act as being consistent with their personal code of ethics. Some individuals possess an attitude, character, or set of ethical values that allow them to knowingly and intentionally commit a dishonest act. However, even otherwise honest individuals can commit fraud in an environment that imposes sufficient pressure on them. The greater the incentive or pressure, the more likely an individual will be able to rationalize the acceptability of committing fraud. Identifying individuals with the requisite attitude to commit fraud, or recognizing the likelihood that management or other employees will rationalize to justify committing the act, is difficult.” 3 The concept of business control as used here extends well beyond the concept of internal accounting control. For example, a business whose strategy is no longer viable is not well controlled, or a business that executes its core business processes so poorly that time, cost, and quality are negatively impacted so as to lessen its competitiveness is not well controlled. D E V E L O P M E N T A N D problem-detection task. Auditors must acquire knowledge of symptoms R E S E A R C H to diagnose the probable cause(s) of the symptoms. In contrast, fraud- P R O G R A M the first place, and physicians follow up with a series of inquiries and tests 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 5 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G (e.g., potential business problems), and diagnose their causes, via an intensive and difficult search within strategically altered information environments.4 Among other things, the SSA knowledge acquisition methodology directly guides the auditors’ search for symptoms of the existence and emergence of significant business problems. The methodology guides the auditor’s acquisition of information required to construct a mental model of the organization using the systems-thinking approach while emphasizing identification and assessment of auditee business risks. This approach focuses the auditor’s knowledge acquisition activities on the significant P R O G R A M interdependencies among subsystems within the broad business system comprising the auditee organization, other influential organizations and agents, and other forces within the auditee’s economic environment. The R E S E A R C H SSA business risk assessment orientation defines one important audit D E V E L O P M E N T A N D knowledge acquisition objective in terms of the need to identify and learn B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E 4 Appendix A of the exposure draft entitled, Consideration of Fraud in a Financial Statement Audit [AICPA Auditing Standards Board, February 28, 2002] presents examples of business problems that can create incentives to commit fraud. The four broad categories of examples presented for the Incentives/Pressures condition in the appendix are: a) financial stability or profitability is threatened by economic, industry, or entity operating conditions; b) excessive pressure exists for management to meet the requirements or expectations of third parties (e.g., investment analysts); c) management or the board of directors’ personal net worth is threatened by the entity's financial performance; and d) there is excessive pressure on management or operating personnel to meet financial targets set up by the board of directors or management. The types of incentives and pressures indicated in categories b) through d) are determined largely by the existence of business problems such as those indicated in category a). Also, whether the opportunities and attitude/rationalizations conditions would be relevant to the risk of fraud depends largely on whether such business problems exist. Therefore, it would appear that the auditor's assessment of the risk of fraud should focus largely on the detection of business problems that could lead ultimately to financial instability and profit erosion. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 6 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G the nature of symptoms of significant business problems within the auditee organization’s network of activities and interrelationships. 5 Auditors who acquire a strategic-systems understanding of the auditee organization will have obtained a deep understanding of the important states of the world that shape the fundamental economic status and trajectory of the organization. This knowledge lays a strong foundation for all remaining knowledge acquisition activities that culminate collectively in the auditor’s opinion on the veracity of the financial statements. This chapter is intended to clarify and extend thinking in the Bell et al. organizations and then comment on some key properties of auditors’ mental models. Finally, we discuss how systems-thinking skills will enhance students’ ability to build their own mental models of business organizations 5 Risk often is viewed as the possibility of future harm that could be caused by the occurrence of an uncertain future event(s). However, an auditor using the SSA methodology to assist with his/her problem detection is searching for symptoms of existing business problems that have already caused harm to the business, but which may be unknown to the auditor, as well as possibilities of uncertain future events that could cause harm to the business. Knowledge of existing business problems should be helpful to the auditor’s assessment of the risk of fraud, and to developing expectations for financial statement amounts and disclosures. Knowledge of possibilities of future harm to the business is needed to assess the reasonableness of accounting estimates, as well as to reduce search costs during problem detection on future audits. When we say that SSA “emphasizes identification and assessment of auditee business risks,” included therein are existing business problems that have already caused harm to the business, but are unknown to the auditor, and possible future events that could cause harm to the business. The SSA business risk orientation speaks to the auditor’s need to search for past, current, and future events or forces that have already, or can possibly in the future, cause harm to the business. 6 The Bell et al. (1997) monograph is available in PDF and html formats at http://www.cba.uiuc.edu/kpmg-uiuc/monograph.html. R E S E A R C H systems auditors employ to develop rich mental models of auditee A N D describe four interrelated knowledge-acquisition activities that strategic- D E V E L O P M E N T between auditee organizations’ business risks and the RMM. We next C A S E SSA. The remainder of this chapter begins by discussing the strong relation M E A S U R E M E N T to help the reader understand the fundamental antecedents and rationale of B U S I N E S S Lens: The KPMG Business Measurement Process.6 Our overarching goal is P R O G R A M (1997) monograph, Auditing Organizations Through a Strategic-Systems 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 7 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G and, based on feedback received from instructors and students, we provide responses to frequently asked questions on key SSA principles. An Overview of SSA Unfortunately, in a great many places in our society, including academia and most bureaucracies, prestige accrues principally to those who carefully study some aspect of a problem, while discussion of the big picture is relegated to cocktail parties. . . . . Now the chief of an organization, say a head of government or a CEO, has to behave as if he or she is taking into account all the aspects of a situation, including the interactions among them, which are often strong. It is not so easy, however, for the chief to take a crude look at the whole if everyone else in the organization is concerned only with a partial view. P R O G R A M M. Gell-Mann7 Perhaps the most important principle giving rise to the need for SSA is the strong relation between RMM and the auditee’s business risks. R E S E A R C H Consequently, strategic-systems auditors believe that reliable assessments of economic systems within which auditee organizations operate together with auditee organizations’ business risks are needed to form audit opinions A N D on financial statements. Auditees’ business risks can change rapidly and D E V E L O P M E N T looking exclusively within the audited organizations. SSA has arisen, C A S E these changes frequently occur for reasons that cannot be discerned by important web of interconnects between the auditee and other therefore, in part because it addresses an endogenous demand for a conceptual framework that helps one to meaningfully and simultaneously assess an auditee’s business risks and RMM in light of an increasingly M E A S U R E M E N T organizations. Some persons have trouble envisioning how business risks—threats to the organization’s attainment of its strategic objectives—relate to RMM. The B U S I N E S S link can be clarified by a valuation assertion example. Consider an auditee 7 Gell-Mann, M., “The simple and the complex,” in Complexity, global politics, and national security, D. S. Alberts and T.J. Czerwinski (eds.) Washington, D.C.: National Defense University (1996). http://www.ndu.edu/inss/books/complexity/index.html (May 30, 2001). 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 8 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G organization whose strategic objectives crucially depend on maintaining harmonious relations with an alliance partner responsible for distributing its products. The SSA auditor would monitor indicators of the relations with the alliance partner because, if a dispute were to break out, numerous business risks would elevate. Given such a dispute, an auditor employing SSA might question the valuation of the accounts receivable from the alliance partner and the appropriateness of recognizing alliance-related revenues. Further, the RMM may become elevated more systemically with respect to asset valuation if, going forward, previously anticipated economic benefits related to the alliance were no longer expected. Such questions can be raised, for example, using the IDEC case that appears in incurring additional financing costs). Importantly, IDEC reduces such risks through contracting and other alliance relationship management activities. Another key SSA principle is anticipating how other entities’ actions and business risks generate ripple effects that can affect auditee organizations’ business risks and, hence, RMM. The Lincoln Savings and Loan (LSL) case, for example, illustrates how a complex interaction between interest rate changes, regulators’ policy decisions, aggressive auditee management, and real estate conditions can create derivative effects that significantly increase RMM. The LSL case presents an organization that may not be able to remain viable by investing more resources towards its historic practice of B U S I N E S S managing the interest rate spread. The interest rates required to recruit and R E S E A R C H business risks at IDEC (e.g., the inability to meet obligations without A N D with the alliance partner Genentech could itself heighten a number of other D E V E L O P M E N T significant source of IDEC’s operating cash flow and revenue, a dispute C A S E breakthrough drug that IDEC’s scientists discovered. Because the drug is a M E A S U R E M E N T Genentech, an organization that is responsible for distributing a P R O G R A M this volume. IDEC receives milestone payments from alliance partner 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 9 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G retain customer deposits nearly exceeds the interest rates earned on longerterm home mortgages. Because it is a savings and loan organization, LSL is limited by regulations as to the types of loans that it can make. As profits erode, aggressive auditee management begins to invest in high risk securities and real estate. But the real estate market turns down and, regrettably, the aggressive auditee management engages in fraud. Whereas using a traditional audit approach the LSL auditor did not detect this fraud, the strategic-systems auditor may well have fared better by considering technical compliance with GAAP against the backdrop of the aforementioned business developments and interactions. financial statement business measures reconcile with the auditors’ knowledge-laden expectations. These expectations concern both financial statement and nonfinancial statement business measures and the interrelationships among them. The strategic-systems auditor acquires knowledge about the auditee’s strategy for creating value, its competitive position, and its key business processes. Such knowledge helps the auditor to identify and assess the auditee’s current business problems and business risks. Generally, to the extent that the auditee’s business risks are uncontrolled and/or significant past or current business problems exist, RMM increases, so it is critical for the auditor to develop an awareness of these important states of the business. Four interrelated knowledge acquisition activities within SSA are strategic analysis (SA), process analysis (PA), business risk assessment (RA), and business measurement (BM). SA and PA are conducted in sequence, with the former informing the auditor about which business processes are critical to attainment of the auditee’s strategic objectives. RA and BM are B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Using SSA, auditors focus on the extent to which an organization’s 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 10 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G conducted continuously and recursively throughout the audit. Becoming knowledgeable about the auditee’s business risks and business measures helps auditors to contemplate RMMs about which one naturally should be concerned and to discover other RMMs that should make them concerned. Just as N. Rothschild once said, “There is no point getting into a panic about the risks of life until you have compared the risks which worry you with those that don’t but perhaps should.”8 During SA, the auditor acquires knowledge of the organization’s strategic position, the markets in which it competes, its products and services, the set of external forces and agents that should influence the auditee’s behavior, situated and likely to be headed within its economic landscape, the auditor can develop rudimentary financial statement expectations and identify the business processes critical to the auditee’s attainment of strategic objectives. Additionally, such an understanding helps the auditor to formulate organization. PA equips the auditor with a deep understanding of core business processes’ inputs, activities, outputs, critical success factors (CSFs), and key performance indicators (KPIs). A CSF is a business activity (or set of activities) that must be performed exceptionally well for the organization to attain its strategic objectives. At the entity level core business processes are CSFs because of their importance to the attainment of strategic objectives. Within business processes, a subset of critical 8 See Rothschild, N., “Coming to grips with risk.” Address on BBC television reprinted in the Wall Street Journal (March 13, 1979). C A S E those that create value for, and/or sustain the value-creation potential of, the M E A S U R E M E N T identifies and analyzes its core business processes. Core processes are B U S I N E S S Given the organization’s strategic position and objectives, the auditor D E V E L O P M E N T A N D rudimentary business risk and RMM assessments. R E S E A R C H among other behaviors. By coming to understand where the auditee is P R O G R A M and the nature of the auditee’s suppliers, customers, and alliance partners, 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 11 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G activities largely will determine the level of achieved process performance. These activities, individually and in the aggregate, are CSFs at the process level. A CSF at the process level can be, for example, the presence of effective controls over a key activity within a business process. KPIs include both backward- and forward-looking performance measures that provide significant diagnosticity or predictive value, respectively, with respect to the past, current, or likely future states of at least one CSF. KPIs can be financial or nonfinancial and they typically are quantitative. Highlevel divisional managers use KPIs at the division level both to establish accountability and decide on rewards for intra-division middle managers and to identify how division operations can be improved in the future. Also within PA, the auditor seeks to obtain an understanding of the linkages between process-level performance and routine and nonroutine business transactions, accounting estimates, financial statement account balances, and other financial statement disclosures. A final yet critical task within PA is to reflect on residual business risks to help design and execute other audit procedures that either corroborate or refute the reliability of the organization’s asserted KPIs. If auditors determine that an organization’s KPIs are relevant and reliable business measures, they can proceed with audit risk analyses. If, however, the auditor determines that an organization’s KPIs are of questionable M E A S U R E M E N T reliability, it may be infeasible to audit the organization’s financial statements in a cost-effective manner. In theory, there may be instances in B U S I N E S S C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Middle managers do the same within the business process subsystem. some such instances, it may be possible to complete a bottom-up, which an organization exercises effective control over its production of financial statement performance measures but does not exercise effective control over its production of business-process performance measures. In 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 12 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G transactions-focused audit to obtain sufficient, competent evidential matter to attain reasonable assurance. In other instances, though, scope limitations are likely to arise because of the auditor’s inability to place the financial statements into a meaningful strategic/business context. If such scope limitations were material, the organization’s financial statements might not be auditable. Both during and after SA and PA, auditors perform RA and BM by integrating their performance-level knowledge into their ever-evolving mental models of the organization. When components, magnitudes, and relationships within and among business measures that appear in the relationships would be carefully scrutinized. This scrutiny can result in management agreeing to adjust the financial statement items or in auditors becoming satisfied that their expectations failed to account for legitimate causes of the anomalies (i.e., the auditor revises his/her expectations based on new information). In either of these cases, the auditor would issue an unqualified audit report. An unlikely but possible outcome is that the anomalies simply remain unresolved after scrutiny, in which case the B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E auditor may have to render a modified or disclaimer audit opinion. R E S E A R C H assessments of RMM would be elevated and, as such, the items or A N D If, however, such items or relationships fail to conform to expectations, D E V E L O P M E N T derived expectations, auditors may be persuaded that the RMM is fairly low. P R O G R A M organization’s financial statements harmonize with auditors’ analytically 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 13 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G SSA and the Auditor’s Mental Model Mental models consist of organized knowledge, integrated data about patterns of cues, and rules for linking knowledge and cues (e.g., presumed causal and/or associative relationships). Mental models are abstractions of reality and their usefulness does not necessitate a complete, one-to-one (i.e., an isomorphic) representation of all facets of an auditee organization. Typically, even for complex systems, a many-to-one abstraction from the real world to elements of a mental model (i.e., a homomorphic representation) will suffice for decision-making purposes.9 organization prior to the start of the current year’s audit engagement. If the engagement is a continuing one, the auditor’s mental model will be based on knowledge obtained during prior engagements and updated by industry information. If, conversely, the engagement is new, the proposal process is likely to have served as the primary impetus for formulating at least a During the current year’s engagement, the auditor employing SSA draws on humans simultaneously can manipulate only five to seven chunks of B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T rudimentary mental model of the auditee organization. C A S E A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Auditors likely possess at least a rudimentary mental model of the auditee a variety of tools, some developed by experts in strategic management or business policy, to reduce the cognitive load required to build a reliable mental model of the organization.10 A robust finding in psychology is that information at a time in working memory. Given the complexity of auditee organizations’ economic webs, auditors benefit when environmental and organizational factors can be chunked by virtue of shared relations to the auditee organization (e.g., alliance partners). 9 Holland, J. H.. K. J. Holyoak, R.E. Nisbett, and P.R. Thagard, Induction: Processes of inference, learning, and discovery (Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1986). 10 See Chapter 2 for more discussion on specific tools that may be useful during SA. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 14 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G One way in which the auditor uses his or her mental model is to simulate outcomes that are likely to occur (or have already occurred but are unknown) within the auditee organization’s economic web. Whether an auditor’s mental model is sufficient to allow reliable simulation is, ultimately, a matter of professional judgment. Criteria for gauging the sufficiency of one’s mental model, however, do exist. Gary Klein, a theorist and consultant on decision-making, provides three criteria for judging mental model reliability: coherence, applicability, and completeness.11 Coherent models allow one to understand why actions by and interactions between key agents and organizations make collective sense. Models that do not explain why a key organization’s actions make sense in the context to influence the behavior of diverse organizations. Once auditors believe that their model is sufficiently reliable, they run their mental models. The act of running a mental model involves cognitively simulating probable future interactions (or past but unknown interactions) among observed cues to develop expectations for levels and interrelationships (in degree and direction over time) among a group of interrelated performance measures. By assessing the degree of expected articulation among such a group of measures (including nonfinancial statement and financial statement measures that originate within auditee 11 Klein, G., Sources of Power: How people make decisions (Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press, 1999) p. 58. R E S E A R C H should be able to develop expectations about how intermediaries are likely A N D leaps of faith about inter-organizational behaviors. For example, auditors D E V E L O P M E N T statements). Complete models do not require the auditor to make large C A S E can be more impoverished than models for conducting audits of financial M E A S U R E M E N T made (i.e., models required for conducting reviews of financial statements B U S I N E S S one with the necessary degree of assurance for the decisions that need to be P R O G R A M of other organizations’ actions lack coherence. Applicable models provide 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 15 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G organizations or other organizations), auditors powerfully analyze whether current- and future-period financial statements make sense. Within the Wells Fargo case, for example, students identify and interpret a set of nonfinancial performance measures related to the design and development of B2B e-commerce services. These measures reveal current states of Wells Fargo’s overall business and are leading indicators of likely future financial statement performance measures. As such, these measures have considerable utility for assessing the RMM associated with present and future financial statement amounts and disclosures. When auditors better assess the level and underlying sources of the RMM, they are better assessments decrease with greater convergence between the organization’s financial statement business measures and auditors’ SA/PA-based expectations of the same. A sometimes overlooked objective of SSA is to seek to ensure that entire audit teams, not just engagement partners, acquire rich mental models of the systems of which audited organizations are a part. Ensuring meaningful degrees of homogeneity in the formation and refinement of audit team members’ mental models helps improve audit effectiveness and efficiency. Even if, as some may argue, most engagement partners historically have cultivated rich mental models, SSA provides value by reducing idiosyncratic variation in mental models across partners and subordinate auditors. Reduced variation makes it easier for the team to communicate business risks and RMMs and increases the subordinate auditors’ awareness of important states of the business that provide the context for other audit work. B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M able to design additional procedures to reduce audit risk. In general, RMM 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 16 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G Students may not appreciate all of the benefits that accompany the audit team’s explicit formation and sharing of its mental models. When the audit team develops a shared mental model of an audited organization, collectively the team members become more aware of omissions and maintained assumptions. Some assumptions, as it may turn out, may need to be refined or discarded. Increased audit team situation awareness and scrutiny of its shared mental model justify greater confidence when the team reasons about how changes within or outside audited organizations’ boundaries will affect RMM. The team can better judge whether proposed lines of audit inquiry will be diagnostic given explicit communication of the team’s collective understanding of the auditee. Finally, auditors who form and share Performance of SSA tasks requires thinking skills that receive scant coverage in today’s auditing standards or textbooks. However, there are several ways students can begin to acquire these skills.12 We postulate that strong strategic-systems thinking skills facilitate auditors’ achievement of superior performance on SSA tasks. A recent study by Jacobson (2001) describes several types of strategic-systems thinking skills.13 The primary B U S I N E S S 12 Research on judgment and decision making commonly uses task performance to operationalize audit expertise. Task performance is a function of ability and experience, which provides auditors with knowledge acquisition opportunities. Such experiences can include first-hand encounters on realworld auditing tasks and second-hand encounters such as firm training and collegiate education. See, e.g,. Libby, R. and J. Luft, “Determinants of judgment performance in accounting settings: Ability, motivation, and environment,” Accounting, Organizations and Society (1993) 18, 425-450 and Libby, R., “The role of knowledge and memory in audit judgment,” Judgment and Decision-Making Research in Accounting and Auditing. Ashton, R.H. and A.H. Ashton, Eds. 176-206 (Cambridge University Press, 1995). 13 Jacobson, M. J., “Problem solving, cognition, and complex systems: Differences between experts and novices,” Complexity (January/February 2001) pp. 41-49. M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E hypothesis examined in the Jacobson study is that key differences exist A N D Systems Thinking D E V E L O P M E N T its own organization is impoverished in certain areas and respects. R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M their mental models of auditees may learn that management’s mental model of 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 17 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G between strategic-systems scientists and undergraduates in terms of the mental models used to aid their thinking. Jacobson (2001) describes two fundamentally different mental models, a clockwork model and complex systems model. These models can be differentiated along six attributes, as shown in Table 1.14 B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Table 1: Different Mental Models Used to Guide Participants Thinking Attributes Clockwork Mental Model Complex Systems Mental Model Understanding Reductive Nonreductive Control Centralized Decentralized Causality Single Multiple Action effects Small actions cause small effects Small actions cause large effects Agent actions Predictable Stochastic Final states Static, teological Equilibrative, nonteological Adapted from Table 1, p. 43, in Jacobson, M. J. (2001). “Problem solving, cognition, and complex systems: Differences between experts and novices,” Complexity (January/February) pp. 41-49. A key attribute concerns how people try to understand phenomena. Clockwork thinkers are reductionists. They decompose systems, focus on isolated parts (trees rather than forests), and conjecture about how these parts influence others in a step-wise sequence. Complex-systems thinkers focus on relations among meaningful clusters within the whole (forest). They realize that clusters within the whole or the whole itself may differ 14 The author used eight attributes to contrast the two models. Here the attribute complexity is omitted because only two comments were made by the participants that relate to it, and the attributes of final causes and ontology are combined to form a final state attribute. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 18 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G from the sum of constituent parts and that a specific part’s influence depends on many factors besides contiguity. As previously discussed, auditors who adopt SSA engage in a holistic strategic analysis of auditees to acquire a deep understanding of the economic web of which the auditee is a part. Thus, using forest thinking, as opposed to tree-by-tree thinking, is critical to SSA.15 Additionally, clockwork thinkers search for (usually exogenous) controls arising from centralized agents/factors whereas complex-systems thinkers search for (often endogenous) controls that arise from interactions among decentralized agents/factors. To illustrate, strategic-systems auditors may identify value-creating opportunities. Examples presented in the Mercedes-Benz U.S. International case (MBUSI) are control structures that interactively mitigate business risks related to events that could slow down MBUSI’s in-sequence, just-in-time (JIT) assembly process. The auditor to think in terms of a single cause yielding a single effect. Complexsystems thinkers envision multiple causes and effects, often with feedback loops that make differentiating between cause and effect relatively unproductive. In SSA, a primary reason to engage in activities such as SA and PA is to populate the auditor’s mental model with alternative explanations for observed phenomena so that undue reliance is not ascribed to a single plausible explanation. 15 A discussion of forest thinking and tree-by-tree thinking appears in Barry Richmond, The “Thinking” in Systems Thinking: Seven essential skills (Pegasus Communications, Inc., 2000). C A S E clockwork and complex-systems mental models. Clockwork thinkers tend M E A S U R E M E N T Causality is another dimension for which differences exist between B U S I N E S S controls reside inside and outside the MBUSI organization. D E V E L O P M E N T A N D employing SSA (and the student reacting to the case) learns that such R E S E A R C H third-party organizations (e.g., regulators) mitigate business risks or P R O G R A M consider how control structures that are distributed across auditees and 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 19 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G Additionally, whereas complex-systems thinkers realize that small actions can compound exponentially through reinforcement loops, clockwork thinkers generally overlook leverage points associated with small actions. Leverage point identification is an integral part of strategic-systems auditing. In the Lincoln Savings and Loan and Wells Fargo cases, to illustrate, a careful strategic analysis reveals how small shifts in the interestrate spread encroach on one of the historic means of generating value for both organizations (i.e., paying less interest on deposits than is earned on loans). Many examples of leverage points exist. A small mathematical error that reportedly would influence the average spreadsheet user about 1 in every 27,000 years of use ballooned into a media fiasco and a $475 recent controversy over Ford Explorers and Firestone tires. Apparently, tires with a claimed incidence of tread separation of as little as 5 per 1,000,000, a benchmark reportedly set by Ford, may raise safety concerns.16 Finally, systems thinkers consider how random shocks could perturb the dynamics of systems’ equilibration processes. In contrast, clockwork deterministic, as if they were a matter of higher-order design (teological). as well as the control structures employed to manage these risks. This B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T thinkers tend to view phenomena as being relatively static and C A S E A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M million write-off for Intel Corporation. Another example involves the Strategic-systems auditors understand that to provide reasonable assurance on financial statements, they must acquire a deep understanding of the business risks that threaten the auditee’s ever-changing business processes understanding helps the auditor anticipate how realizations of some 16 Grove, A., Only the paranoid survive: How to exploit the crisis points that challenge every company (Bantam Books, 1999) p. 12-16). Also see, White, J. B., S. Power, and T. Aeppel, “U.S. probe of Firestone to conclude soon; inquiry into Ford Explorer could follow,” WSJ.com (June 20, 2001) http://interactive.wsj.com/archive/retrieve.cgi?id= SB992964124569981170.djm, June 28, 2001). 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 20 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G business risks are likely to affect the auditee and, thus, perturb the performance attained within its key business processes.17 Returning to the Jacobson (2001) study, seven undergraduates and nine complex-systems scientists (some of whom were advanced graduate students) were the participants. All participants were asked to respond to eight questions on complex adaptive systems (e.g., How would you design a large city to provide food, housing, goods, services, and so on, to your citizens so that there would be minimal shortages and surpluses?). The investigator tracked the thoughts of participants via concurrent verbal mental models appear to be at odds in that neither group’s comments reflect a balanced mix of clockwork and complex-systems thinking. In particular, while more than 80 percent of the scientist group’s comments reflect a complex-systems mental model, roughly two-thirds of the undergraduates group’s comments reflect a clockwork mental model. In a related study, executives and undergraduates participated in a simulation in which they tried to maximize the quality of life for a seminomadic tribe over 25 years. To improve their chances of success, 17 For additional insight on how systems thinking provides powerful decision-making advantages see, Klein, G., Op. Cit. (1999). Especially relevant chapters include: Ch. 4, “The Power of Intuition,” Ch. 8, “The Power to Spot Leverage Points,” Ch. 9, “Nonlinear Aspects of Problem Solving,” Ch. 10, “The Power to See the Invisible,” and Ch. 13, “ The Power to Read Minds.” 18 Concurrent verbal protocols are a means of collecting useful data on human's decision processes. See, e.g., Ericsson, K. A. and H. A. Simon, Protocol analysis: Verbal reports as data (Cambridge, MA: The R E S E A R C H shaded rows to denote complex-systems thinking. From these data, the two A N D findings, using gray-shaded rows to denote clockwork thinking and bronze- D E V E L O P M E N T Table 2 summarizes these C A S E indicative of a clockwork mental model. M E A S U R E M E N T of a complex-systems mental model and they made fewer comments B U S I N E S S Overall, the scientist group of participants made more comments indicative P R O G R A M protocols.18 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 21 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G participants needed to recognize feedback mechanisms, interrelated variables, and the likelihood of unpredictable side effects. The executives performed markedly better, and their decision processes reinforced the complex system mental model. They devoted significantly more time at the beginning to gain a deep understanding of how variables were interrelated and how early actions could have large effects over time. Relative to the executives, the students acted first, stayed their course until feedback suggested a problem, and then tried to correct their understanding. 19 Table 2: Average Number of Comments Made Reflecting Different Mental Models Description Scientist Group (n=9) Undergraduate Group (n=7) 0.4 3.3 Nonreductive 2.1 0.6 Centralized 0.1 2.1 Decentralized 3.6 0.7 Single 0.9 0.9 Multiple 4.9 3.1 Small actions cause small effects 0.2 1.0 Small actions cause large effects 0.4 0.0 Predictable 1.2 1.7 Stochastic 2.3 0.7 Static, teological 0.0 0.0 Equilibrative, nonteological 2.1 0.0 Understanding Reductive Control Causality Action effects Agent actions Final states B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Attributes 19 Dörner, D. and J. Schölkopf, “Controlling complex systems; or, expertise as ‘grandmother’s know-how,’” Towards a General Theory of Expertise, K. A. Ericsson and J. Smith, eds. (Cambridge University Press, 1991) pp. 218-239. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 22 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G Frequently Asked Questions about SSA Following is a list of frequently asked questions about principles that are associated with or underlie thinking skills pertinent to SSA. Just as students cannot master the thinking skills without actively applying and generalizing these skills, they cannot apply and generalize such skills without a sound understanding of their fundamental principles. Because of the importance of the principles embedded in the following questions, we recommend that they be assigned as homework or be used as discussion foci within class breakout sessions. usually occurs because students confuse their inductive learning process with the auditor’s mental model formulation. Students need to be reminded that when they encounter cases such as those published in this volume, they are simultaneously learning a knowledge-acquisition skill and acquiring a rudimentary strategic-systems model of an auditee organization. Students’ models of auditee organizations tend to be highly malleable because they are just embarking along the learning curves associated with strategic and business process analyses. Auditors’ mental models, in contrast, are unlikely to be as malleable (although research could shed light on the issue), and even when auditors temporarily alter their mental models at an auditee’s B U S I N E S S suggestion, they seek corroboration. Suppose, for example, that the auditee R E S E A R C H whose mental models are rather well developed. Ironically, this projection A N D Students sometimes project the plasticity of their mental models to auditors D E V E L O P M E N T of the auditee organization? C A S E if an auditee is trying to cause the auditor to develop a false mental model M E A S U R E M E N T problem is that it always seems reasonable. How does an auditor ever know P R O G R A M 1. My mental model of this organization seems reasonable to me, but the 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 23 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G were to assert that, in contrast to the auditor’s current mental model, product returns hardly ever occur. The auditor could interview large customers of the audited organization, cross-check the assertion against quality control business measures that are not reported in financial statements, and see if the assertion squares with recent industry trends. Still, students who raise this issue should be lauded for pointing out that even auditors are well advised to guard against being overconfident in their mental models. It is wrong to denigrate mental models because they are sometimes wrong, but it is right to chastise auditors who become overconfident in the mental models that they construct.20 One possible P R O G R A M 2. When we first started talking about a new audit approach, I had B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D wrong in a significant way and to think creatively about which portions of R E S E A R C H remedy is for auditors, at regular intervals, to imagine that their model is the model are most likely to be in need of refinement or corroboration. envisioned acquiring new evidence. What constitutes evidence under SSA? We have found that students frequently ask the SSA-specific portion of this question without adequately understanding the more primitive concept of audit evidence. Thus we first address the more general portion of this question. When doing so, it is useful to distinguish among auditor knowledge, audit evidence, and audit documentation. Knowledge resides in the auditor’s memory in the form of facts, rules, schemas, propositions, preferences, and beliefs. At any point during the audit, the auditor's current knowledge serves as the basis for design of audit procedures. Execution of such procedures produces indicative information (i.e., evidence). The auditor’s interpretation of evidence transforms his or her prior knowledge into updated knowledge, which enables the auditor to assess the RMM at the assertion, class-of-transactions, account-balance, financial-statement 20 Klein, G., Op Cit (1999) p. 68. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 24 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G and/or supplemental disclosures levels. And, once again, the auditor's (updated) knowledge serves as the basis for the design of additional audit procedures. A positive feedback loop, therefore, exists during the audit as the auditor’s current knowledge prompts new questions for updating assessments of the RMM and determines the nature and extent of the additional evidence needed to answer these questions, and new evidence catalyzes the creation of new knowledge. While there are likely to be matters for which the auditor will obtain only persuasive rather than convincing evidence (AU§326. 22), in most cases there will be sufficient cycles of the evidence- the audit, the auditor customarily documents some evidence and/or states of knowledge (e.g., mental models) within work papers. Audit evidence varies according to its amenability to being directly documented in work papers. While, for example, returned confirmations easily can be stapled to a lead schedule, assets that the auditor physically examines (such as loan agreements or equipment) usually only can be described or represented in work papers. The auditor applies professional judgment to ensure that audit documentation is sufficient to show that the auditee’s accounting records agree with the financial statements and that the standards of fieldwork have been observed (AU§339.05). Students should understand that all audit documentation is filtered in light of the auditor’s knowledge. They also should understand that audit documentation represents only subsets of the evidence considered and the knowledge accumulated by the auditor. R E S E A R C H A N D the feedback loop between knowledge and evidence progresses throughout D E V E L O P M E N T Students sometimes confuse evidence with work paper documentation. As C A S E obtained and issue an unqualified opinion. M E A S U R E M E N T sufficiently low, he or she may conclude that reasonable assurance has been B U S I N E S S the auditor’s opinion is that the RMM for the financial statements is P R O G R A M knowledge positive feedback loop to be able to support an audit opinion. If 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 25 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G When addressing the SSA-specific portion of the question, it is useful to focus on how SSA endows the auditor with the means of acquiring indepth knowledge of states of the client’s business. Such knowledge is critical because it empowers the auditor to understand the economic substance of transactions and events (i.e., substance over form). In pursuing questions about economic substance, the auditor employing SSA designs audit procedures yielding audit evidence capable of updating numerous elements of his or her mental model. Because SSA broadens and fortifies the auditor’s knowledge it may be that some of these audit procedures might not even occur to non-SSA auditors (e.g., interview suppliers). Thus, there may be instances in which the SSA auditor obtains Further, if critical differences in knowledge about the states of the client’s business were to exist, even if these two auditors were to perform the same audit procedures and observe the same outcomes, they may reach different audit conclusions about economic substance. The LSL case contained in this volume can be used to help students recognized profits on raw land sales, and such profits constituted the bulk income. SFAS No. 66, Accounting for Sales of Real Estate, prescribes B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T understand many of the concepts discussed above. In the case, LSL C A S E A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M evidence not considered or fully appreciated by the non-SSA auditor. of its bottom-line income. The behavior of regulators assessing the ongoing viability of the company to determine whether to take supervisory action apparently was influenced by the reported bottom-line rules for determining the timing of profit recognition on these land sales. Under these rules, immediate recognition of the entire gain on real estate sales is allowed for transactions for which collectibility of the sales price is reasonably assured. To assess the RMM for LSL’s land-sales-profit assertions, the auditor must decide what specific questions to address, and what audit procedures 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 26 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G to perform, to produce evidence on the collectibility of the sales prices. SFAS No. 66 specifies criteria for assessment of whether the collectibility of the sales price is reasonably assured. For a land sale to qualify for immediate full profit recognition, the initial investment criterion requires a 25 percent down payment, and the payback criterion requires a loan payback period less than 20 years. Herein lies a dilemma for the auditor. On the one hand, rather convincing evidence can be obtained about the question—“Does the form/structure of the transaction meet these criteria?” Executed sales contracts and confirmations from buyers would be convincing evidence that a transaction was, or was not, structured to meet the criteria. On the other hand, evidence about the structure of the For example, the SSA auditor could seek evidence on the financial health and net worth of the buyer, why the buyer would be willing to pay the indicated price, current conditions in the real estate market, whether the seller has provided the buyer with funds the buyer uses to make the down payment, etc. In the final analysis, as illustrated by the LSL case, the SSA knowledge-acquisition framework and attendant rich mental model of the client’s business can improve the auditor’s understanding of the economic actual execution of the audit stays about the same as before? This question reflects a common but fundamental misunderstanding of SSA. Under SSA, audit execution commences at the point the auditor B U S I N E S S 3. Is SSA just a fancy extension of the audit planning process such that the M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E substance of transactions and events, regardless of their form. R E S E A R C H SSA provides a framework especially useful for acquiring such evidence. A N D evidence concerning relevant states of the buyer’s and seller’s businesses. D E V E L O P M E N T reasonably assured. To address this question the auditor must obtain P R O G R A M transaction may not be sufficient for knowing whether collectibility is 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 27 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G begins building his or her mental model of the auditee organization. It is not meaningful, in our view, to partition SSA into a planning and execution stage. All of the knowledge-acquisition activities in SSA enrich auditors’ memory database. Evidence helps auditors refine the lens through which they view the audited organization and, based on this viewpoint, design diagnostic audit tests and interpret the attendant test results. 4. Is SSA a way to produce revenue from new assurance services that has little to do with auditing? This question reflects another fairly common misunderstanding. First and as they have done for years, auditors can inform auditees about business problems, i.e., reportable conditions. The SSA approach, with its focus on the articulation of financial statement business measures, nonfinancial statement business measures, and an organization’s strategy, undoubtedly holds value to auditees that transcends the traditional audit.21 At the same time, however, the SSA approach sharpens auditors’ ability to acquire diagnostic audit evidence Interestingly, some students who ask this question assume a static financial strategic-systems assurance professional, however, does not rely on B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T when business conditions change or are about to change. C A S E A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M foremost, the genesis of SSA is a desire to improve audit quality. Of course, reporting model that allows little room for accounting for intangibles such as human capital or for creative ways to disclose levels and changes in business risks. New reporting models may well evolve over time.22 The 21 As one example, the recent SAS No. 90 requires auditors to discuss with members of the audit committee the overall quality, not just the acceptability, of the accounting methods. Accounting method quality implicitly is a matter of the auditor's professional judgment. Compared to the traditional auditor, the auditor who employs SSA may be more capable of assessing accounting method quality along additional important dimensions. In particular, the SSA auditor can more readily assess the degree to which the auditee organization's financial statement business measures articulate with its nonfinancial statement business measures and, from an economic substance perspective, with its strategic objectives. 22 For information as to how organizations may report business risks in the future see, e.g., Financial reporting of risk: Proposals for a statement of business risk at http://www.icaew.co.uk/depts/td/tdfrc2/risk. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 28 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G statutory financial reporting models to delimit his or her value propositions. In the competitive marketplace for reliable, high-quality information, the demand for and supply of other financial measures as well as nonfinancial business measures will continue to expand. It will be interesting over time to observe how many or few of these measures will be reported or disclosed in statutory financial statements. 5. You talk about complex interactions that happen within strategic systems but what is an interaction and are there different kinds of interactions? Phrases such as strategic interaction can apply to the predictability and same values of X and Y caused, as examples, a 13 degree increase, a 10,000 degree increase, a slight decrease, or no change at all. A related and critical observation is that, in the absence of an interaction, reductionistic knowledge of the isolated effects is tantamount to knowledge of the combined effects. For interactions, however, knowledge of the isolated effects can be nondiagnostic of combined effects. Behavioral game theorists attempt to understand decision-maker behavior arising from a special class of interactions that we call strategic-systems interactions. Strategic-systems interactions occur because decision makers try to anticipate the behavior of others before acting. These interactions are interesting in that potential effects necessarily have some influence on the B U S I N E S S causes that manifest. Nonsystems thinkers, however, typically presume that R E S E A R C H degree increase. Interactions would be evident though if combination of the A N D causes a two-degree increase while, in combination, X and Y cause a five- D E V E L O P M E N T interaction exists when, in isolation, X causes a three-degree increase and Y C A S E effects, while additive causes produce linear effects. To illustrate, no M E A S U R E M E N T the nature of the cause-effect relation itself. Interactions produce nonlinear P R O G R A M nature of how causes (e.g., inputs) generate effects (e.g., outputs) as well as 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 29 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G anticipated effects have little bearing on prior causes. Systems theorists believe that strategic agents try to anticipate how other strategic agents will behave in response to environmental conditions and/or to their own strategic behavior. Thus, these theorists believe that it is fruitful to think in terms of system behavior instead of in terms of agent behavior, per se. Nonsystems thinkers might, as an example, see value in flatly classifying some liquids as more dangerous (e.g., flammable) than others without giving consideration to the decision problem at hand and possible strategic behavior. Systems-thinkers consider the joint effects of strategic agents’ behavior when they are around different liquids. To illustrate, suppose that to handle either a flammable liquid (i.e., flash point < 140ºF) or a combustible liquid (i.e., flash point between 140ºF and 200ºF). To think about what action would be most likely to endanger B, A must consider the probability that, and the extent to which, B would treat the more flammable liquid with more care. And, A also must consider the probability that B will think that A will provide either type of liquid. One possibility is that if B were to believe that he or she had been provided with the safer liquid, B would lower his or her guard so much that the safer liquid-agent pairing places B at greater risk overall. Thus, because of the strategic interactions, greater residual risk can be associated with seemingly less ominous threats. 6. How can auditors use SSA to improve their ability to detect fraud over and above that provided by the performance of forensic auditing procedures? Questions of this variety hint at an either/or fallacy. Auditors can use B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M strategic agent A wants to endanger strategic agent B. Agent A can ask B 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 30 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G strategic-systems thinking to assess the extent to which forensic audit procedures are warranted and, when warranted, to specify the nature of forensic procedures, and to interpret the results of performing such procedures. In particular, auditors using the SSA approach may inquire of several competent sources outside the auditee and consider whether a given business strategy is likely to succeed within a given business climate. By examining how well financial statement assertions reconcile with evidence rooted in external sources, SSA provides auditors with an invaluable way to validate assertions from a triangulation perspective. In our view, the chance that fraud will go undetected is higher when auditors look exclusively or even largely within the audited organization and especially when they believe that some assertions present higher than acceptable audit risk, they can tailor forensic procedures to address these risks in particular. 7. Does SSA fixate on efficiency to the point of doing away with most understanding of the auditee to form business-knowledge-laden expectations about financial statement measures so that the auditors’ ongoing comparison of expectations to observations have diagnostic value. Not coincidentally, the act of formulating expectations after studying plausible relationships between financial and nonfinancial data and B U S I N E S S comparing these expectations to recorded amounts is, by definition, a C A S E crucial that students understand how SSA involves acquiring a deep M E A S U R E M E N T Actually, auditors employing SSA conduct numerous substantive tests. It is D E V E L O P M E N T A N D substantive tests? R E S E A R C H themselves. If, after engaging in triangulation, auditors employing SSA P R O G R A M anchor their mental models of the organization on the financial statements 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 31 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G substantive test using the standard auditing characterization of analytical procedures.23 When auditors who do not adhere to SSA think of analytical procedures, they probably envision using prior year financial statement information as a starting point for what current year financial statement information ought to look like. If current year financial statements differ, the reductionist auditor will search for an explanation. Conversely, the strategic-systems auditor’s deep understanding of the audited organization provides a strong basis to recognize whether, and the degree to which, they should anchor on prior year results. A key takeaway is that since much of what strategic- B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M systems auditors do is perform complex analytical procedures that are guided by extensive study of the auditee organization’s business processes and interconnectedness with other organizations, the strategic-systems audit heavily relies on substantive testing. The question asked has some merit, however, because SSA exists today in part because of a general uneasiness over the diagnosticity of performing, in a blanket-like fashion, substantive tests of account balance details. Under SSA, significantly fewer substantive tests of account balance details might be performed because the strategic-systems auditor strives to conduct diagnostic detailed testing in a surgical fashion. 8. I understand how SSA emphasizes complex analytical procedures and I see where auditing standards describe analytical procedures as being a substantive test. But aren’t most substantive tests of details different in that they mostly relate to detection risk? It seems that the SSA complex analytical procedures are more focused on RMM. 23 See SAS 56. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 32 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N T H E S T R AT E G I C S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G Students sometimes confuse the order in which auditing standards list risks with the point in time during the audit that these risks are addressed. The reality, of course, is that nearly all audit procedures are multiple-purpose procedures in the sense that they have the potential to inform the auditor about RMM and about the likely effectiveness of tests designed to detect misstatements. We question whether these risks are separable. For example, if an auditor were to conduct a traditional test of details of accounts receivable, he or she might learn, by studying a returned confirmation, that an auditee’s customers were double billed. The fact that a double billing was not prevented or detected by the audited organization’s accounting controls simultaneously reflects on RMM and informs the suppose that an auditor were to examine a sample of transactions and find no indication of misstatements due to improper cutoff. Does this good news provide the auditor with information about inherent risk, control risk, or detection risk? A Bayesian auditor, who would update his or her beliefs in accordance with the laws of probability, would say that all three risks are affected. But the Bayesian auditor probably would be confused if someone were to argue that little to no interdependencies exist across the three risks commonly included in the simplistic, algebraic form of the audit B U S I N E S S risk model. R E S E A R C H risk, control risk, or detection risk? How about all of the above? Finally, A N D assertion for inventory provide the auditor with information about inherent D E V E L O P M E N T them crumble under slight pressure. Does this bad news about the valuation C A S E when physically examining an inventory of diamonds finds that most of M E A S U R E M E N T the extent of misstatement. As another example, suppose that an auditor, P R O G R A M auditor about the nature of additional procedures that could help diagnose 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 33 T H E S T R AT E G I C - S Y S T E M S A P P R O A C H T O A U D I T I N G Concluding Comments In this chapter we have discussed the antecedents to SSA and presented a bird’s eye view of the SSA approach that supplements discussion in the original Bell, et al. (1997) monograph, Auditing Organizations Through a Strategic-Systems Lens: The KPMG Business Measurement Process. We also have more fully explicated the nature and value of the auditor’s mental model under SSA and described the systems-thinking ideas that provide a theoretical foundation for SSA. Our goal for this chapter has been to communicate to instructors the need more transparent and to delineate some of the benefits that accrue from an understanding of SSA. The eight cases contained in this volume are excellent vehicles for helping students to obtain such an understanding. In Chapter 2, “A Guide to Selecting SSA Cases,” we provide a series of windows into the individual cases as a means of further reducing any remaining barriers to case adoption. B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M for students to understand SSA. Our dual approach has been to make SSA 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 34 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S P R O G R A M Timothy B. Bell KPMG LLP Mark E. Peecher B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H Ira Solomon University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 35 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S S ince at least the mid-1920s, business faculties have relied on cases to help students improve their understanding of management behavior and business organizations.1 Wellestablished case series exist at several highly regarded business schools such as Darden, Harvard, and Stanford. These case series exist in part because when students actively immerse themselves in case analysis and synthesis, they hone their critical thinking and communication skills as well as broaden This chapter is designed to help instructors identify sets of cases that will facilitate achieving learning objectives for their classes. We begin by discussing industry coverage and each case’s main learning objectives as well as the strategic context of each case. Thereafter, we provide an overview of the primary tools (e.g., PEST analysis, SWOT analysis) suggested by the various case authors to guide students’ strategic analysis of the organizations on which the cases are founded. The remainder of the chapter summarizes the primary business risks, business processes, and related critical success factors (CSFs) and key performance indicators (KPIs) emphasized within and across the cases. 1 See Corey, E. R., Case Method Teaching HBS Case No. 9-581-058 (Harvard Business School Press, 1998) p.3. 2 For discussions of how active, cooperative, and discovery learning enhances business education see, for example, Learning with cases HBS Case No. 9-589-080 (Harvard Business School Press, 1989); and Christensen, C., D.A. Garvin, and A. Sweet, Education for judgment: The artistry of discussion leadership (Harvard Business School Press, 1992). R E S E A R C H A N D applying fairly abstract management principles to real-world issues.2 D E V E L O P M E N T advantages of active, inductive learning for developing skills such as C A S E in business education is unsurprising given their surface realism and the M E A S U R E M E N T and discuss and debate proposed solutions. The enduring popularity of cases B U S I N E S S students question assumptions, compare and contrast factual interpretations, P R O G R A M their knowledge about phenomena that permeate businesses. Motivated 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 37 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Before discussing industry coverage, it should be noted that several of the cases in this volume have been used successfully in undergraduate and graduate auditing classes as well as in MBA courses on strategy or strategic management. It also is noteworthy that cases (and accompanying teaching notes) share important attributes. For example, each case discusses an organization’s strategy and its relation to the organization’s strategic position within its economic environment. Each case also discusses the relations between the organization’s strategy and its core business processes, CSFs, KPIs, business risks, and strategic controls. Instructors who fully exploit the educational value of these cases will encourage students to evaluate the nature and implications of linkages among these B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M elements as opposed to merely documenting their existence. Summary of Cases Industry Coverage The eight cases contained in this volume feature organizations from six different industries. Several of the cases emphasize interrelationships between industries. Table 1 summarizes the eight cases according to the featured organizations and the industries of emphasis. In the table, bronze represents a heavy emphasis, gray represents moderate emphasis, and white indicates little to no emphasis. For example, in the Wells Fargo case column there are two bronze rectangles and one gray rectangle. A major theme in the Wells Fargo case is how a financial services organization is trying to establish a leadership position in business-to-business (B2B) e-commerce. The Wells Fargo case weaves retailers into this theme in two ways. One, several of the B2B e-commerce services under development at Wells Fargo target retail organizations. Two, one reason that a bank such as Wells Fargo would be interested in B2B e-commerce is that industry experts predict that financial services are subject to new competition from nonbanks, including retailers (e.g., Nordstrom). 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 38 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S As the color-coding in Table 1 suggests, considerable industry overlap exists across the eight cases. Several interesting relationships among case companies underlie this industry overlap. Consequently, instructors can easily identify subsets of cases complementing or reinforcing one another. To illustrate: Reiter supplies automotive organizations including DaimlerChrysler, which is the parent company of Mercedes-Benz U.S. International (MBUSI); CVS/Pharmacy distributes prescription drugs, many of which arrive on the market only after intensive research and development and FDA approval, which are business processes covered in the IDEC case. As further examples, HMO organizations such as Trigon influence the pricing and distribution of products developed by institutions that perceive a need to pursue new (albeit vastly different) value propositions; CVS and Loblaw easily could compete or cooperate on seasonal and grocery items; and click-and-mortar information technology Table 1 Organizations and Industry Membership Represented in Cases Wells CVSa IDECb Loblaw LSLc MBUSId Rietere Trigonf Fargo Medium B U S I N E S S a CVS/Pharmacy (CVS); bIDEC Pharmaceuticals Corporation (IDEC); c Lincoln Savings and Loan (LSL); dMercedes-Benz U.S. International (MBUSI); eRieter Automotive North America, Inc. (Rieter); fTrigon Healthcare, Inc. M E A S U R E M E N T Heavy C A S E Automotive Financial Services Healthcare Information Technology Real Estate Retailers D E V E L O P M E N T A N D issues confront CVS, Loblaw, and Wells Fargo. R E S E A R C H by organizations such as CVS; LSL and Wells Fargo are financial services P R O G R A M organizations such as IDEC and these products are distributed to consumers 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 39 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Instructors can use any combination of cases or select individual cases that are well suited for specialized courses or specific modules within courses on issues such as B2B e-commerce or disintermediation (Wells Fargo), valuation in the new economy or alliance management (IDEC), strategic management for healthcare related organizations (CVS, IDEC, Trigon), hybrid-business strategies (Loblaw), and business ethics (LSL). Learning Objectives and Strategic Context Table 2 presents the primary learning objectives and management issues Table 2 Summary of Learning Objectives and Strategic Context CVS/Pharmacy (CVS) Learning Objectives Introduce students to how the drugstore industry creates value and the relative competitive position of industry leaders CVS and Walgreens. Issues Emphasized The case discusses relative strategic benefits and business process implications of alternative growth strategies. Generally speaking, CVS grows by acquisition and Walgreens grows by internal expansion. The case highlights complex relationships among organizations that supply, buy from, and collaborate/compete with drugstores, including health management organizations (HMOs) and pharmacy benefit management companies (PBMs). IDEC Pharmaceuticals Corporation (IDEC) Learning Objectives Issues Emphasized Introduce students to the biopharmaceutical and related industries and to IDEC. Enable students to explain how biopharmaceutical organizations create value and the opportunities and risks these organizations confront. IDEC is considering how to leverage its successful in-house development and ® deployment (via alliances) of Rituxan and other promising new drugs. The company finds itself at an inflection point where it has moved from a state of significant cash burn to significant cash accumulation. IDEC hopes for better bargaining power in future alliances with major biotech organizations (e.g., Genentech). Eventually, IDEC may want to internally handle its production and distribution needs. Introduce students to strategic alliances in business, including their motivations, risks, and rewards. Enable students to understand the role of bargaining power in alliances. B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M emphasized in each case. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 40 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 2 Summary of Learning Objectives and Strategic Context (cont’d) Loblaw Companies Ltd. (Loblaw) Learning Objectives Introduce students to strategies and value propositions pursued by organizations operating within the mature retail grocery industry and to competitive advantages of efficient supply chain management within such a mature industry. Issues Emphasized The case discusses how a well-established grocery store chain adopts a hybrid costleadership and differentiation strategy to respond to a changing industry (e.g., Internet grocers) and market entry by retail giants (e.g., Wal-Mart). Lincoln Savings & Loan (LSL) Mercedes-Benz U.S. International (MBUSI) Learning Objectives Issues Emphasized Introduce students to the sport-utility vehicle (SUV) sector of the automotive industry. Provide students with an understanding of activities within the assembly process and supply chain management process for a prestige automotive organization. A multi-national organization responds to cultural differences and the challenge of integrating and coordinating information and production technologies with suppliers. R E S E A R C H A N D B U S I N E S S The organization is attempting to manage a backlog of customer orders on what at the time was one of the hottest SUVs on the market. D E V E L O P M E N T Ethical considerations emerge from a combination of an ambitious, aggressive management team and opportunities to commit and conceal fraud in order to keep regulators from shutting down the organization. Introduce the role of ethics when management attempts to achieve profits by aggressive and potentially illegal means. C A S E A series of regulatory shifts threatens the valuecreating potential of interest-rate management activities of a savings and loan and other forces threaten its attempt to generate value in new ways (i.e., by acquiring and developing real estate). Introduce the basics of conducting—and what can be learned by conducting—a strategic analysis and business process analysis for a financial services organization whose historic value propositions are of questionable sustainability. P R O G R A M Issues Emphasized M E A S U R E M E N T Learning Objectives 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 41 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 2 Summary of Learning Objectives and Strategic Context (cont’d) Rieter Automotive North America, Inc. (Rieter) Learning Objectives Issues Emphasized Provide students with an opportunity to understand links between and among strategy and business processes for an organization that develops, designs, and manufactures acoustical and thermal components and interior systems for automobile assemblers and manufacturers. Historically, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) within the automotive industry designed their own acoustical and thermal components and interior systems. Recently, design responsibilities have shifted to suppliers, bringing business process implications. Design capability now is a key supplier selection criterion used by automobile manufacturers. Judgments of the optimal investment in product design must take into consideration the lifecycle of products, which lasts about three years. Learning Objectives Issues Emphasized Provide students with an opportunity to apply strategic-systems thinking to Virginia’s largest managed health-care organization (HMO) that is growing by acquisition within this highly competitive industry. Competitive pressures in the 1990s prompted numerous healthcare organizations to change from nonprofit into for-profit organizations (demutualization). Pressures challenge healthcare organizations to grow to secure greater benefits from branding and economies of scale. Organizations that fail to grow risk being acquired. The case’s featured organization faces a challenge from a competing suitor to an acquisition target organization. The case emphasizes decisions associated with the growthby-acquisition strategy. Wells Fargo Learning Objectives Issues Emphasized Introduce students to how emerging business- tobusiness (B2B) e-commerce is changing the business landscape faced by financial-service organizations. A large regional bank known for technology leadership ponders the sustainability of bankingrelated value propositions because nonbanks now can provide many banking services. The bank resolves to lever its reputation for technology leadership in financial services to penetrate the B2B e-commerce market. Issues on the design and development of products that facilitate B2B as well as the role of alliances within B2B emerge. B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Trigon Healthcare, Inc. (Trigon) 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 42 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S All eight cases ask students to conduct a strategic analysis, helping them to understand how the organization fits within its larger economic system. Questions addressed by students during strategic analysis focus on the relations among the organization’s products and services, key external forces and agents that influence the organization, and the organization’s strengths and weaknesses for maintaining competitive advantage. After performing a strategic analysis, students have a basic mental model of the organization that allows them to understand why the organization must execute certain business processes very well to sustain its value proposition. For example, using the IDEC case students will learn about a relatively consuming FDA approval process) and about IDEC in particular (e.g., about its portfolio of alliance partners). Students learn how to identify and assess the impact of uncertainties inherent in a strategic change like the one IDEC is contemplating. Uncertainties arise because vertical integration will require investment in production facilities and distribution processes— core competencies not yet well developed within IDEC. Also, a management refocus on the development of new core competencies could jeopardize continued excellence in the core competencies that made IDEC successful in the first place, such as alliances resource management, drug B U S I N E S S approval, and research and development. R E S E A R C H and that, even for successful drugs, they face an expensive and time- A N D general (e.g., that biotech organizations generally have high cash burn rates D E V E L O P M E N T realizing this goal, students learn about the biotechnology industry in C A S E vertically integrated within 5 to 10 years. To assess the prospects of M E A S U R E M E N T expanding its production and distribution capabilities to become more P R O G R A M small, but profitable biopharmaceutical organization that is considering 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 43 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Although each case has accompanying teaching notes with discussion questions asking students to complete a strategic analysis, the teaching notes emphasize different analytical frameworks, reflecting author preferences and differences in case foci. Table 3 summarizes the approaches or frameworks used in the case teaching notes as well as the orientation provided by the different approaches or frameworks. This summary provides a sense of the ease with which instructors can apply the various approaches or frameworks by referring to the teaching notes. All of the cases lend themselves to approaches or frameworks that are not emphasized in the teaching notes (e.g., you could apply PEST Analysis, Porter’s Five Forces, Resource-Based View, SWOT Analysis, or Treacy and As shown in Table 3, all of the teaching notes cover the entity-level business model (ELBM), which is an integral part of SSA. Like PEST analysis and Porter’s Five Forces model, for example, an ELBM considers the influence of environmental forces on the organization. The ELBM goes beyond the other models, however, by explicitly linking factors such as environmental ELBM helps auditors (and students) deal with blurring organizational suppliers, a Japanese tool-and-die organization (Ogihara America B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T forces to the organization’s various business processes. This element of the C A S E A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M Wiersema’s model to the CVS case). boundaries. An example is the MBUSI case. MBUSI, an assembler of a prestigious SUV in Alabama (USA) whose parent organization is DaimlerChrysler headquartered in Germany, provides one of its primary Corporation), with proprietary production equipment. From a financialaccounting entity perspective, MBUSI retains ownership of the equipment, but from an SSA perspective, MBUSI’s assembly process depends as much on Ogihara as on MBUSI. If Ogihara were to shut down, the just-in-time (JIT) assembly process at MBUSI would be affected. One reason the ELBM requires this link is because auditors employing SSA seek to 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 44 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S formulate sufficiently reliable mental models of the auditee and other organizations to permit a comprehensive business-measurement perspective. In the absence of a SSA approach, obtaining such a perspective would become impracticable because organizations that constitute separate entities for financial reporting purposes influence each other’s business processes. Table 3 Strategic Analysis Frameworks Used in Teaching Notes IDEC Loblaw Wells LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Fargo R E S E A R C H A N D B U S I N E S S a Developing an Entity-Level Business Model (ELBM) requires one to identify and analyze the nature of connections among an organization’s external forces, markets, business processes, products and services, customers, and alliances (Bell, T., F. Marrs, I. Solomon, and H. Thomas, Auditing Organizations Through a Strategic-Systems Lens. KPMG Peat Marwick LLP, 1997)). b PEST analysis provides one with a general, broad brush perspective regarding an organization’s strategic environment regarding political and legal, economic, social and cultural, and technological factors (Johnson, G. and K. Scholes, Exploring Corporate Strategy, 5th Edition (Prentice Hall, 1999)). c Porter’s Five Forces Model helps one assess the overall strategic position of an organization. It holds that interactions among five forces determine the ability of organizations to earn rates of return in excess of the cost of capital. The forces are potential entrants, buyers, suppliers, substitutes, and competitors (Porter, M., Competitive Advantage (The Free Press, 1985)). d The Resource-Based View focuses on organizations’ strengths and weaknesses and presumes that heterogeneity exists across organizations and that the transfer or acquisition of new resources is costly. Resources, then, are a source of competitive advantage (Wernerfelt, B., “A resource-based view of the firm,” Strategic Management Journal 5 (1984) pp.171-180). e SWOT analysis integrates organizational and environmental analyses by focusing on an organization’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (Barney, J., Gaining and Sustaining Competitive Advantage (Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Boston, MA, 1997)). f The Treacy and Wiersema Framework argues that successful organizations excel on at least one of three dimensions: operational excellence, customer intimacy, and product leadership/innovation (Treacy & Wiersema, The Discipline of Market Leaders, Pereus Books, Cambridge, MA, 1995)). D E V E L O P M E N T Medium C A S E Heavy P R O G R A M ELBMa PEST Analysisb Porter’s Five Forces Modelc Resource-Based-Viewd SWOT Analysise Treacy and Wiersema’s Modelf M E A S U R E M E N T CVS 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 45 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Coverage of Business Processes The cases differ in terms of the business processes emphasized primarily because they focus on different organizations, each with their own competitive position and strategy. Table 4 summarizes the emphases given to various business processes across the cases, with bronze indicating a heavy Table 4 Business Process Analyses Emphasized in Cases and Teaching Notes B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M CVS IDEC Loblaw LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Strategic Management Processes Business Objective Refinement Resource Management Processes Acquisitions Management Alliance Resource Management Financial and Treasury Management Human Resources Management Information Technology Management Regulatory Management Core Business Processes Assembly, Production, and Distribution Development or Selling of Real Estate Loan and Deposit Management Marketing to or Servicing of Customers Supply Chain Management Research, Design and Development Heavy Medium 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 46 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N Wells Fargo A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S emphasis, gray indicating a moderate emphasis, and white indicating little to no emphasis. For example, the IDEC column has three bronze rectangles reflecting the heavy emphasis on alliance-resource management, regulatory management, and research, design and development processes. These three business processes relate back to IDEC’s business model and objectives. Specifically, IDEC must execute these three business processes well to harvest and leverage profits from its drug pipeline. More generally, by looking down rows in the table, one gets a sense for the business processes emphasized in a given case. By looking across columns, one gets a sense for how and to what extent the cases overlap in their emphases of business (KPIs) related to the process. For business processes of primary importance given each entity’s strategic objective, the cases provide industry and corecompetency-within-industry contexts for students to think critically about interrelations among possible business risks, CSFs, and KPIs. A format similar to that of Table 4 is used in Table 5 to summarize the emphases placed on illustrative business risks, CSFs, and KPIs. Once again, bronze denotes heavy emphasis, gray moderate emphasis, and white little to no B U S I N E S S emphasis. R E S E A R C H and finally, critical success factors (CSFs) and key performance indicators A N D used to monitor the process, risks and controls associated with the process, D E V E L O P M E N T between process objectives, inputs, activities, outputs, information systems C A S E When covering a business process, the cases generally focus on connections M E A S U R E M E N T Coverage of Business Risks P R O G R A M processes. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 47 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 5 Illustrative Business Risks Emphasized in Cases and Teaching Notes B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M CVS IDEC Loblaw LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Wells Fargo Risks Related to Strategic Management Processes Strategy Selection Risk Resource Allocation Risk Risks Related to Resource Management Processes Acquisition Management Risks • branding risk • due diligence risk • growth flexibility risk • integration risk • target identification risk Alliance Management Risks • branding risk • dispute risk • partner performance risk • profit-sharing risk • proprietary knowledge risk Facilities Management Risks • market share risk • real estate market risk • site selection risk • store integration risk Human Resources Risks • culture risk • recruiting and retention risk • unionization risk Regulatory Management Risks • compliance and sanctions risk • market entry approval risk • product approval risk Risks Related to Core Business Processes Assembly and Production Risks • cost-overrun risk • culture risk • information technology risk • labor risk • materials risk • supplier business risk • quality risk Heavy Medium 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 48 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 5 Illustrative Business Risks Emphasized in Cases and Teaching Notes (cont’d) CVS IDEC Loblaw LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Wells Fargo R E S E A R C H A N D D E V E L O P M E N T C A S E M E A S U R E M E N T Medium B U S I N E S S Heavy P R O G R A M Risks Related to Core Business Processes (cont’d) Development or Selling of Real Estate Risks • liquidity risk • real estate market risk • related-party risk Loan and Deposit Management Risks • credit risk • interest rate risk • flow risk Marketing to and Servicing of Customers Risks • customer identification risk • customer income risk • customer satisfaction risk • disintermediation risk • inflation risk • information technology risk • product liability risk • service continuity risk Supply Chain Management Risks • contractual negotiations risk • cost-of-supply risk • inventory tracking risk • product mix risk • proprietary information risk • supplier product-quality risk • supplier timeliness risk Research, Design and Development Risks • cross-disciplinary team risk • financing risk • human capital risk • patent infringement risk • product life-cycle risk • proprietary information risk • speed-to-market risk 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 49 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S For example, Table 5 shows that the IDEC case emphasizes several types of possible business risks associated with the typical alliance management process. Recall that IDEC currently lacks the manufacturing infrastructure to harvest maximum profits from the drugs that it develops and navigates through the FDA approval process. IDEC relies on alliances for the bulk of the manufacturing and distribution of its successful drug therapies. Consequently, IDEC gives up a significant share of total profits from the sales of these drugs. IDEC may be concerned about risks that chosen alliance partners will not cooperate, will divulge trade secrets, etc. The case provides the context for students to think critically about how a company like IDEC could reduce such risks through contracting and other alliance business risks related to alliance management are bronze. In contrast, several business risks related to production are gray for IDEC because they are covered only to a moderate degree. The white rectangles under the IDEC column denote risks that do not play a central role in the IDEC case or teaching note. These risks, however, may have been mentioned in the case or teaching note without being emphasized. For all eight cases, note that the business risks emphasized (Table 5) articulate with the business processes emphasized (Table 4). B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M relationship management activities. Under the IDEC column, therefore, the 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 50 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Coverage of CSFs and KPIs All cases ask students to think critically about CSFs and KPIs. Identifying CSFs helps management understand those key activities that, if not well executed, will hinder the entity’s ability to attain its strategic and businessprocess objectives. CSF identification also helps management design and develop a set of KPIs to measure the extent to which business-process objectives have been achieved. Emphases within the cases on multiple KPIs helps students to understand how using portfolios of measures can help to mitigate bias and noise inherent in any one summary measure, company like IDEC must identify suitable strategic partners who will deliver branding, infuse them with cash, and honor alliance agreements (note the bronze rectangles related to alliance management CSFs in Table 6). The nature of the CSFs emphasized within and across the eight cases presents potentially valuable learning opportunities. As an example, under Research, Design, and Development, one CSF alludes to an early mover advantage. To illustrate some of the determinants of early mover advantages, however, it may be wise to adopt multiple cases. In the IDEC case, regulatory protection and a captive market offers early movers a chance to reap enormous profits. In the Wells Fargo case, however, the first-mover with respect design and development of Internet software investment may only pave the way for copy-cat companies due to the absence of any significant barriers to entry. R E S E A R C H A N D objectives related to the alliance management process, a biopharmaceutical D E V E L O P M E N T Table 6 summarizes the diverse CSFs covered in the cases. To attain its C A S E organizational objectives have been attained. M E A S U R E M E N T managers with greater confidence in discerning the degree to which B U S I N E S S organization’s employees, and (arguably most importantly) provide P R O G R A M motivate an array of desirable accountabilities and behaviors among the 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 51 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 6 Illustrative Critical Success Factors (CSFs) Emphasized in Cases and Teaching Notes IDEC Wells Loblaw LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Fargo CSFs Related to Strategic Management Processes Identify sustainable value propositions. CSFs Related to Resource Management Processes Alliance Management CSFs • Identify suitable strategic partners. • Provide incentives for partners to fulfill obligations. • Negotiate equitable profitsharing arrangements. • Diversify to mitigate partner-specific risks. • Protect property rights. Facilities Management CSFs • Integrate operations of acquired organizations. • Integrate workforce associated with acquired organizations. • Maintain a desirable portfolio of locations. Human Resources CSFs • Integrate workforce associated with acquired organizations. • Recruit and retain skilled human capital. CSFs Related to Core Business Processes Assembly and Production CSFs • Assemble/produce at or below targeted cost, subject to attaining customer satisfaction and brand reputation objectives. • Develop skilled human assemblers/producers. • Maintain brand reputation and product quality. Heavy Medium B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M CVS 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 52 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 6 Illustrative Critical Success Factors (CSFs) Emphasized in Cases and Teaching Notes (cont’d) CVS IDEC Wells Loblaw LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Fargo R E S E A R C H A N D D E V E L O P M E N T C A S E M E A S U R E M E N T Medium B U S I N E S S Heavy P R O G R A M CSFs Related to Core Business Processes (cont’d) Acquisition of Organizations CSFs • Identify acquisition targets. • Perform due diligence. • Perform post-acquisition integration. Marketing to and Servicing of Customers CSFs • Identify customer needs, purchasing patterns, and preferences. • Manage costs subject to quality of service constraint. • Provide customers with desirable locations. • Provide customers with desirable mix of products and services. • Train associates to provide superior service. Supply Chain Management CSFs • Identify and retain desirable suppliers. • Negotiate contracts with favorable pricing and delivery terms. • Create favorable incentives for suppliers to fulfill obligations. • Manage idle inventory and supply chain costs. Research, Design and Development • Generate product or service innovations that add value to customers. • Innovate quickly to secure early mover advantage. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 53 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 7 summarizes the KPIs emphasized within and across cases. For example, to help students appreciate how IDEC could track how and how well it identifies suitable alliance partners, the case discusses a number of performance measures related to the alliance-management business process (note the bronze rectangles for IDEC related to alliance management KPIs). Some of the performance measures that the cases or teaching notes emphasize are qualitative, nonfinancial measures. In the IDEC column, the number and growth of alliances with highly branded organizations requires a qualitative assessment of what constitutes highly branded. In Table 7 we use italics to denote qualitative KPIs (nonitalicized KPIs are quantitative). performance has to be measured quantitatively (despite receiving letter grades and relying on movie reviews). Also, we believe that it is important for students to recognize that many organizations (should) use portfolios of well-articulated qualitative and quantitative (as well as financial and nonfinancial) performance measures to enhance reliability and permit greater confidence when assessing performance. B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M We make this distinction because students sometimes mistakenly think that Students who study these cases will come to learn that the general rule of thumb is that the value of a performance measure must be judged based on the degree to which it provides a cost-effective and complementary characterization of an organization’s performance. In the MBUSI case, as an example, customer satisfaction, although qualitative and nonfinancial, is a precursor to future quantitative and financial measures (e.g., number of automobiles sold and revenue per-automobile sold in year t+1).3 More generally, the cases reinforce the utility of business measurement for helping organizations assess their success in pursuing strategic objectives by mapping from such objectives to performance measure identification. 3 For additional discussion on the desirability of having strong interrelationships between strategy and performance measures see, e.g., Kaplan, R. S. and D. P. Norton, The strategy focused organization: How balanced scorecard companies thrive in the new business environment (Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2001). 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 54 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 7 Illustrative Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Emphasized in Cases and Teaching Notes CVS Wells IDEC Loblaw LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Fargo R E S E A R C H A N D D E V E L O P M E N T C A S E M E A S U R E M E N T Medium B U S I N E S S Heavy P R O G R A M KPIs Related to Strategic Management Processes Sustainable Growth Framework KPIs • return on equity - return on sales - asset turnover - financial leverage KPIs Related to ResourceManagement Processes Alliance Management KPIs • amounts and timing of cash flows from agreements • number and growth of alliances with highly branded organizations • number of contracts per alliance partner • number of contractual organizations • success rate associated with overtures to land a new alliance partner KPIs Related to Core Business Processes Assembly and Production KPIs • actual versus standard costs • customer satisfaction surveys • hours and time spent on rework relative to industry average • finished product defect rates • input materials defect rates • supplier produced inspection, defect, and rework reports • subjective assessment of capability to produce next generation products • third-party ratings of product quality 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 55 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Table 7 Illustrative Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Emphasized in Cases and Teaching Notes (cont’d) B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M CVS Wells IDEC Loblaw LSL MBUSI Rieter Trigon Fargo KPIs Related to Core Business Processes (cont’d) Acquisition of Organizations • strategic resource fit • customer demopgraphics, growth and retention ratios • information processing measures (e.g., claims processing time, downtime) • operating productivity ratios (e.g., calls per-sales-agent) • post-acquisition operating margin Marketing to and Servicing of Customers KPIs • category manager performance indices • changes in sales per square foot • customer satisfaction surveys • sales per square foot • third-party ratings of product quality • working training session feedback Supply Chain Management • actual versus planned markdowns • customer satisfaction • inventory cross-deck percentage • lead time required for delivery • market share by category • percentage of correct deliveries/orders • percentage of on-time arrivals/deliveries • post-assembly performance Research, Design and Development KPIs • growth rates in research and design expenses as percentage of sales • number of employees in design or research • time to market • success rates on new products • system security (hacking safeguards) Heavy Medium 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 56 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Notes on Teaching Notes We cannot overstate the importance of acquiring and reviewing the teaching notes that serve as companions for each of the cases in this volume. Instructors who have used one or more of these cases have communicated to us that the teaching notes were critical resources when deciding which cases to adopt and when using the cases in class. The teaching notes provide advice to instructors for helping students think critically at a strategic-systems level as well as suggestions for adapting the cases to meet different educational objectives. Some teaching notes also include valuable The teaching notes all feature several discussion questions, thorough suggested solutions, and several handouts to help students with case assignments. Finally, despite being self-contained, the teaching notes typically include a list of resources for obtaining even more information about the organizations or their industries. The case teaching notes can be obtained from the Web site of the KPMG and UIUC Business Measurement Case Development and Research Program B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E at http://www.cba.uiuc.edu/kpmg-uiuccases/cases/index.html. R E S E A R C H points, and ways to help students avoid or learn from common mistakes. A N D tips about good opening questions, lucid ways to communicate complex D E V E L O P M E N T worked well and not so well in their courses). Most teaching notes provide P R O G R A M tips that reflect the authors’ personal classroom experiences (what has 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 57 A G U I D E T O S E L E C T I N G S S A C A S E S Concluding Remarks We have embraced in this chapter the old notion that a picture is worth a thousand words. We have attempted to communicate how subsets of the eight cases could meet an instructor’s educational goals by relying more on graphical depictions than on words to convey key attributes of the cases. Before closing, however, two final points are in order. First, research provides reasons to believe that assigning multiple cases instead of a single case will facilitate students’ acquisition and nascent development of strategic-system thinking skills.4 Skill acquisition coupled with timely feedback.5 Importantly, multiple attempts at skill application plants the seed for skill generalization.6 Skill generalization structural, not superficial, information stimulates the retrieval and time. application of such principles. Second, a number of additional cases and teaching notes are now available and others will become available over Please connect to the Program Web site (URL http://www.cba.uiuc.edu/kpmguiuccases/index.html) for the most current information on case and teaching note availability, and to obtain prospectuses for available cases. B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T R E S E A R C H is the process of solidifying one’s understanding of principles such that A N D P R O G R A M requires skill application, and skill application improves with practice 4 Although some adhere to the thesis that innate ability significantly constrains an individual’s potential to acquire cognitive skills, psychology research suggests, on balance, that cognitive skills can be acquired across a wide range of innate intelligence levels. See, e.g., Ericsson, K.A. and A.C. Lehmann, “Expert and exceptional performance: Evidence of maximal adaptation to task constraints,” Annual Review of Psychology (1996) 47, pp. 273-305. 5 See, e.g., Anderson, J. R.. Learning and Memory: An Integrated Approach (John Wiley & Sons, 2000). 6 See, e.g., VanLehn, K., “Cognitive skill acquisition,” Annual Review of Psychology (1996) 47, pp. 513539. 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. 58 K P M G A N D U N I V E R S I T Y O F I L L I N O I S AT U R B A N A - C H A M PA I G N H E R E T O D O W N L O A D C A S E S B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D http://www.cba.uiuc.edu/kpmg-uiuccases/cases/index.html R E S E A R C H C L I C K P R O G R A M C A S E S 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G B U S I N E S S M E A S U R E M E N T C A S E D E V E L O P M E N T A N D R E S E A R C H P R O G R A M R E F E R E N C E S 2002 KPMG LLP, the U.S. member firm of KPMG International, a Swiss nonoperating association. All rights reserved. C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 359 R E F E R E N C E S ABN AMRO, Inc., “Buy-Sell Recommendation: Wells Fargo,” (November 10,1998). AICPA, Codification of Statements on Auditing Standards (AICPA, New York, 2001). AICPA, Exposure Draft: Consideration of Fraud in a Financial Statement Audit (AICPA, New York, 2002). Anderson, J. R., Learning and Memory: An Integrated Approach (John Wiley & Sons, 2000). Bell, T. B., and W. R. Knechel, “Empirical Analyses of Errors Discovered in Audits of Property and Casualty Insurers,” Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory (Spring 1994), pp. 84-100. Bell, T. B., W. R. Knechel, J. L. Payne, and J. J. 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C A S E S I N S T R AT E G I C - SYS T E M S A U D I T I N G 365 R E F E R E N C E S “A New Paradigm for Interior Sound,” Automotive & Transportation Interiors (May 1998). “Major Banks Set to Test Online Billing,” Technology Cybertimes (New York Times Web Service http://www.nytimes.com/pages/technology, August 11, 1999). “Managed health care: Aetna implodes,” The Economist (October 4, 1997) p. 69. “Market Trends,” Automotive & Transportation Interiors (November 1998). 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