MINNESOTA DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Illness Activity Report A summary of influenza surveillance indicators prepared by the Division of Infectious Disease Epidemiology Prevention & Control Current: Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 All data are preliminary and may change as more reports are received Minnesota Influenza Geographic Spread* Summary During the week ending October 17, 2015, (Week 41), surveillance indicators showed SPORADIC geographic spread of influenza. No Activity Sporadic Local Regional Widespread *Based on CDC’s Activity Estimates Definitions: www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/overview.htm Minnesota Influenza Surveillance Website: www.health.state.mn.us/divs/idepc/diseases/flu/stats/ Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report: www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/ World Health Organization (WHO) Surveillance: www.who.int/influenza/surveillance_monitoring/updates/en/ Neighboring states’ influenza information: Iowa ww.idph.state.ia.us/IdphArchive/Archive.aspx?channel=FluReports Wisconsin www.dhs.wisconsin.gov/communicable/influenza/Reports/Surveillance.htm North Dakota www.ndflu.com/default.aspx South Dakota http://doh.sd.gov/diseases/infectious/flu/ 1 Hospitalized Influenza Surveillance Hospitalized influenza cases are based on disease reports of laboratory-positive influenza (via DFA, IFA, viral culture, EIA, rapid test, paired serological tests or RT-PCR) and specimens from hospitalized patients with acute respiratory illness submitted to MDH-PHL by hospitals and laboratories. Due to the need to confirm reports and reporting delays, consider current and recent weeks’ data preliminary. Hospitalized Influenza Cases by Season, Minnesota (FluSurv-NET*) Number of Hospitalizations 24 B A (not subtyped) A H3 A H1 (unspecified) A (H1N1)pdm09 A (H1N2v) A (H3N2v) A&B Unknown 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 Current Week 8 6 4 2 0 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 MMWR Week Hospitalizations this week Hospitalizations last week Total (to date) 4 3 7 *Influenza Surveillance Network Number of Hospitalizations Hospitalized Influenza Cases by Type Minnesota (FluSurv-NET*) 750 700 650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 Current Week 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 Season MMWR Week Hospitalizations current week (historic) Total 1 1 2 3 3 4 965 556 3,068 1,540 4,141 7 (to date) 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 2 Number of Hospitalizations 5.0 # of hospitalizations 45 40 4.5 4.0 Incidence (cases) per 100,000 Persons 35 30 3.5 3.0 25 2.5 20 15 10 5 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.1 0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 Region Region Central Metro Northeast Northwest South Central Southeast Southwest West Central Hospitalizations this week Total (to date) 0 (0%) 3 (75%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1 (25%) 0 (0%) 1 (14%) 4 (57%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1 (29%) 0 (0%) 50 Number of Influenza Hospitalizations and Incidence by Age, Minnesota October 4, 2015 – October 17, 2015 # of hospitalizations 45 40 4.5 4.0 Incidence (cases) per 100,000 Persons 35 30 3.5 3.0 2.5 25 2.0 20 15 10 5 0 5.0 0.3 0-4 0.0 0.0 5-24 25-49 0.3 50-64 Age Group (years) 0.4 65+ 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Hospitalizations per 100,000 Persons 50 Hospitalizations per 100,000 Persons Number of Influenza Hospitalizations and Incidence by Region, Minnesota October 4, 2015 – October 17, 2015 Number of Hospitalizations Hospitalized Influenza Surveillance - continued Median age (years) at time of admission 62.8 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 3 Respiratory Disease Outbreak Surveillance School Outbreaks K-12 schools report an outbreak of influenza-like illness (ILI) when the number of students absent with ILI reaches 5% of total enrollment or three or more students with ILI are absent from the same elementary classroom Number of influenza-like illness outbreaks Influenza-like Illness (ILI) in Schools by Season 350 2011-12 300 2012-13 2013-14 250 2014-15 2015-16 200 150 100 Current week 50 0 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 1 2 MMWR Week 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 New school outbreaks this week New school outbreaks last week Total this season (to date) 0 0 2 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 4 Respiratory Disease Outbreak Surveillance Long-Term Care (LTC) Outbreaks LTC facilities report to MDH when they suspect an outbreak of influenza in their facility. Laboratory confirmed outbreaks are reported here Confirmed Influenza Outbreaks in LTC by Season 70 Number of lab-confirmed outbreaks 65 2011-12 60 55 2012-13 50 2013-14 45 2014-15 40 2015-16 35 30 25 20 Current week 15 10 5 0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 MMWR Week New LTC outbreaks this week New LTC outbreaks last week Total this season (to date) 0 0 1 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 5 Sentinel Provider Surveillance (Outpatients) MDH collaborates with healthcare providers who report the total number of patients seen and the total number of those patients presenting to outpatient clinics with influenza-like illness. Percentage of Persons Presenting to Outpatient Clinics with InfluenzaLike Illness (ILI) Percent with Influenza-like Illness 9 2011-12 8 2012-13 7 2013-14 2014-15 6 2015-16 5 4 3 Current week* 2 1 0 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 1 2 3 4 5 MMWR Week 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 *Indicates current week-data may be delayed by 1 or more weeks % of outpatients with ILI this week % of outpatients with ILI last week 0.36% 0.45% Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 6 Laboratory Surveillance The MN Lab System (MLS) Laboratory Influenza Surveillance Program is made up of more than 310 clinic- and hospital-based laboratories, voluntarily submitting testing data weekly. These laboratories perform rapid testing for influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV). Significantly fewer labs perform PCR testing for influenza and three also perform PCR testing for other respiratory viruses. MDH-PHL provides further characterization of submitted influenza isolates to determine the hemagglutinin serotype to indicate vaccine coverage. Tracking the laboratory results assists healthcare providers with patient diagnosis of influenza-like illness and provides an indicator of the progression of the influenza season as well as prevalence of disease in the community. 20 B 45 16 A (H1N1) pdm09 35 A (not subtyped) 18 A H3 14 12 10 8 2012-13 % + by PCR 2013-14 % + by PCR 2014-15 % + by PCR 2015-16% + by PCR Current week 6 0 30 25 20 15 10 4 2 40 Percent of RT-PCR Positive Number of RT-PCR Positives Specimens Positive for Influenza by RT-PCR, by Week 5 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 MMWR Week % RT-PCR positive this week % RT-PCR positive last week 0.89% 1.64% Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 0 7 Laboratory Surveillance – Rapid Test MLS Laboratories – Influenza Testing MLS Laboratories – RSV Testing 18 16 14 A/B+ (2015-16 Season) 2011-12 % + 2012-13 % + Current week 2013-14 % + 2014-15% + 2015-16 % + 12 10 8 35 30 25 20 15 6 10 4 5 2 0 40 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 1 3 5 7 MMWR Week Region Northeast South Central Southwest Southeast Metro Central West Central Northwest State (overall) 9 11 13 15 17 19 % rapid influenza tests + (current week) 0% 0% 4% 0% 2% 1% 3% 0% 2% 0 50 Number of Positive RSV Tests A+ (2015-16 Season) 20 Number + 45 2011-12 % + 2012-13 % + 40 2013-14 % + 35 2014-15 % + 30 25 20 2015-16 % + 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 Current week 30 25 15 20 10 15 10 5 0 75 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 MMWR Week Region Northeast South Central Southwest Southeast Metro Central West Central Northwest State (overall) Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 % rapid RSV tests + (current week) 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 7% 0% 0% 4% 5 Percentage of Rapid RSV Tests Positive B+ (2015-16 Season) Specimens Positive by RSV Rapid Test, by Week Percentage of Rapid Influenza Tests Positive Number of Positive Influenza Specimens Specimens Positive by Influenza Rapid Test, by Week 0 8 Laboratory Surveillance – PCR MN Influenza Incidence Project (IISP) - Outpatients Pathogens Detected, Minnesota IISP 2015-2016 Influenza B Influenza A Unspecified Rhinovirus Coronavirus NL63 Coronavirus HKU1 Parainfluenza-3 Number Positive by RT-PCR 20 15 Influenza A H3 RSV Enterovirus Coronavirus OC43 Parainfluenza-1 Parainfluenza-4 Influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 Human Metapneumovirus Adenovirus Coronavirus 229E Parainfluenza-2 10 5 0 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 MMWR Week* 12 14 16 18 20 *Indicates current week-data may be delayed by 2 or more weeks Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 9 Laboratory Surveillance – PCR Severe Acute Respiratory Illness Surveillance (SARI) - Inpatients Positive Respiratory Pathogens by PCR, by MMWR Week Influenza B Influenza A (H1N1) pdm09 RSV Rhinovirus Coronavirus NL63 Coronavirus 229E Parainfluenza-1 Parainfluenza-3 Legionella Mycoplasma pneumoniae Enterovirus 75 Number Positive by RT-PCR 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 Influenza A H3 Influenza A Unspecified Human Metapneumovirus Adenovirus Coronavirus OC43 Coronavirus HKU1 Parainfluenza-2 Parainfluenza-4 Chlamydophila pneumoniae Bordetella pertussis 20 15 10 5 0 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 *Indicates current week-data may be delayed by 2 or more weeks 48 50 52 2 MMWR Week* 4 6 8 Minnesota Department of Health Weekly Influenza & Respiratory Activity Report for Week Ending October 17, 2015 | WEEK 41 10 12 14 16 18 20 10 Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report Current: Week Ending October 10, 2015 | WEEK 40 National Influenza Surveillance (CDC) Viral Surveillance: The most frequently identified influenza virus type reported by public health laboratories in week 40 was influenza A viruses, with influenza A (H3) viruses predominating. The percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza in clinical laboratories is low. Pneumonia and Influenza Mortality: The proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was below their system-specific epidemic threshold in both the NCHS Mortality Surveillance System and the 122 Cities Mortality Reporting System. Influenza-associated Pediatric Deaths: No influenza-associated pediatric deaths were reported. Outpatient Illness Surveillance: The proportion of outpatient visits for influenza-like illness (ILI) was 1.2%, which is below the national baseline of 2.1%. All 10 regions reported ILI below region-specific baseline levels. Georgia experienced low ILI activity; Puerto Rico, New York City and 47 states experienced minimal ILI activity; and the District of Columbia and two states had insufficient data. Geographic Spread of Influenza: The geographic spread of influenza in Guam was reported as widespread; one state reported regional activity; one state reported local activity; Puerto Rico and 27 states reported sporadic activity; the U.S. Virgin Islands and 21 states reported no influenza activity; and the District of Columbia did not report. 11